Seahawks vs. Patriots Super Bowl LX Prediction (February 8th, 2026)
Super Bowl 60 is finally here, as the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots prepare to face off in Santa Clara, California.
Super Bowl Sunday will be quite a treat, as this matchup features two elite defenses, but also two of the most explosive offenses the NFL has to offer. That has sports bettors wondering if this will be a shootout, or if it will be a defensive slugfest.
Early odds at DraftKings have Super Bowl XL slated with a fairly palatable 45.5 game total, while the Seahawks come in as mild 4.5-point favorites to win. There is going to be value in betting on the Big Game no matter which side you like, but picking the right bets is always preferred.
Looking for a Seahawks vs. Patriots Super Bowl prediction? I’ll scan the latest odds and highlight my favorite bets, while wrapping things up for who I think will win Super Bowl 2026.
Game Info Snapshot
- Date & Location: Sunday, February 8th, 2026 | Kickoff at 5:30 pm (6:30 pm ET) at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, CA
- Team records entering the game:
- Seattle Seahawks: 16-3
- New England Patriots: 17-3
- Odds (from DraftKings)
- Spread: Seahawks -4.5 (-115) | Patriots +4.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Seahawks (-230) | Patriots (+190)
- Total: Over 45.5 (-108) | Under 45.5 (-112)
The Super Bowl 60 odds favor the Seahawks. They ended the year as the NFC’s top seed and looked more impressive during their NFL playoff run, so the pricing shouldn’t shock anyone.
The game total feels a bit low. It’s likely priced this way both to encourage bets on both sides, but both offenses have big play upside, so you could argue it should be higher. Two elite defenses that have looked positively nasty throughout the playoffs threaten to complicate matters, however.
Storylines to Watch
Check out the key storylines for this Seahawks vs. Patriots Super Bowl showdown:
- Super Bowl Rematch: These two sides faced off back in Super Bowl 49 and produced one of the greatest endings of all time. The teams are very different now, but Seattle will look to correct the wrong from that matchup.
- Redemption: Both Sam Darnold and Cooper Kupp were left behind by previous teams – both as recently as this past offseason. Both have been crucial for Seattle’s run and will aim to finish the season strong and complete their redemption arc.
- Gonzalez vs. JSN: The showdown of elite cover man vs. the unrecoverable wide receiver goes down at Super Bowl 60. Christian Gonzalez is one of the best defensive backs in pro football, while Jaxson Smith-Njigba has been unstoppable. Who wins this matchup will be key for this game’s outcome.
- New Dynasty: The Patriots are known for winning these games, while Drake Maye and co. can kick off a brand new dynasty with a win over the Seahawks.
Team Profiles
New England Patriots
The Patriots enjoyed a stellar 14-3 season that resulted in an AFC East division crown and the #2 seed in the AFC. They had to fight hard to get here – and it wasn’t always pretty – but they leaned hard on a gritty defense and their offense executed when it had to.
In hindsight, New England’s regular-season schedule looks fairly soft. Even so, they dominated their competition and strolled into Super Bowl 2026 riding a six-game winning streak. In fact, since a week one loss to the Las Vegas Raiders, this team is on an epic 17-2 tear.
We haven’t seen it a whole lot in these playoffs, but second-year quarterback Drake Maye pieced together an MVP-level year, and his Pats offer one of the most explosive passing games in the league. Whether he and that unit can find success could be the deciding factor in this epic Super Bowl showdown.
Before we make that call, let’s look back at what the Pats did well on the season:
- Ground Control: The Patriots have a healthy running back tandem with Rhamondre Stevenson doing the grunt work and TreVeyon Henderson offering big-play upside. This team loves to run the football (5th highest rush rate), and that duo is quite good at it, with the Pats ranking 5th in rushing yards per game and 9th in rushing scores per game. Star quarterback Drake Maye (450 yards) is also a viable extension of the ground game and can help keep the defense honest.
- Splash Plays: Maye is best utilized as a thrower of the football, as he guides the NFL’s 2nd most accurate passing game (69.6%) and attacks down the field (8.6 yards per pass) better than anyone. Maye generated the league’s 6th-best overall passing attack and also did a fantastic job of taking care of the football (9th-lowest INT rate).
- Nothing Easy: The Patriots’ defense wasn’t quite as dominant during the regular season as they’ve been in the playoffs. Their quality of opponent could have something to do with that, but there’s no denying they flipped a switch. Still, they only give up 17.3 points per game (2nd) and do not give up big plays. Their run defense allows just 4.1 yards per carry (10th), while their secondary is extremely stingy. Christian Gonzalez headlines a pass defense that only allows 6.3 yards per pass (5th) and ranks 8th overall.
Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks are on a dream run that virtually nobody saw coming. Seattle appeared to be flying by the seat of their pants as recently as this past offseason, when they traded starters Geno Smith and DK Metcalf away.
That proved to be absolutely genius, as Metcalf’s departure parted the seas for a JSN breakout, while the team also upgraded under center (and got younger) by turning to Minnesota Vikings cast-off, Sam Darnold.
Those two moves got the ball rolling, but head coach Mike Macdonald’s defense eventually became the heart and soul of this team. Overall, though, the Seahawks turned into an extremely balanced and complementary squad that was able to routinely win games even when one facet of their game plan didn’t materialize.
Through it all, the Seahawks finished 14-3, wrapped up the NFC West title, and secured the top seed in the NFC. Doing so allowed them to pave a shortcut to the Super Bowl, but they still earned their ticket by trouncing the 49ers and outlasting the Rams in an instant classic.
Seattle looks like the Super Bowl 60 winner on paper – and they’re favored to be – but let’s look at what has made them so great before coming to a prediction:
- Pound the Rock: Seattle’s ground game took a hit with a season-ending injury to Zach Charbonnet, but Kenneth Walker III is still around. Seattle runs even more than New England (2nd), and they turn that volume into the league’s 10th-best rushing attack. Walker isn’t always the most efficient, but his explosive ability was on full display during their playoff run.
- Air Assault: Seattle is just as nasty as New England down the field through the air. They rank 4th in completion rate, 2nd in yards per pass, and 10th overall in passing. Sam Darnold runs a balanced offense that picks their spots, but JSN is near-impossible to track for an entire game, and Seattle’s o-line (11th in sack rate) gives Darnold a clean pocket to operate from.
- Smothering D: The Pats have a very good defense, but Seattle’s might be better. They literally own the league’s top-ranked scoring defense (17.1), while they have the 5th-best red-zone defense, the 3rd-best run defense, and the 11th-best pass defense. That secondary also only gives up 6.2 yards per pass (2nd), and a 13th-ranked pass rush applies routine pressure.
Key Matchups & Angles
Check out the key Seahawks vs. Patriots matchups:
- New England’s rush offense vs. Seattle’s run defense: The Pats are the underdog, and their offense struggled in the playoffs, so I think how they perform on the ground is more important for them. The matchup is as bleak as it gets, as the Seahawks only give up 3.8 yards per carry (1st) and don’t allow rushing scores (1st).
- Big Play Battle: Both teams have home run hitters on the ground and have strong passing games that are especially dangerous down the field. But both defenses sniff out the run and are both top-5 at preventing splash plays. The team that can spring more big plays and win the battle of field position will have a clear edge.
- Sam Darnold vs. New England’s pass defense: I think this game ultimately comes down to how Sam Darnold performs. Historically, he has a problem with turnovers, and during the regular season, he produced a poor 2.8% interceptions rate (27th). He will need a clean pocket and will have to stay on time with his throws to avoid a collapse like we saw with Minnesota down the stretch last year.
Betting Trends & Odds Context
Take a look at the latest Seahawks vs. Patriots odds, per DraftKings:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Seahawks | -4.5 (-115) | -230 | Over 45.5 (-108) |
Patriots | +4.5 (-105) | +190 | Under 45.5 (-112) |
Take a look at some key betting trends for this showdown:
- Public Betting: The public is pretty split, as the Patriots are getting 56% of the bets on the moneyline, but Seattle is getting 72% of the bets on the spread. The Over (60%) is also getting more action than the Under.
- Record History: The Patriots and Seahawks have only faced each other 20 times. Seattle holds a tight 11-9 series edge and has secured wins in three straight meetings. New England’s last win, ironically enough, came in a thrilling 28-24 battle in the Super Bowl.
- ATS Tidbits: Seattle has been elite (14-5) against the spread this year. They are 12-4 ATS when favored and 3-2 ATS outside of the NFC. New England (13-6-1) is about as good as they have gone 4-2 ATS as the underdog and 4-1 ATS outside of the AFC.
Best Bets for Seahawks vs. Patriots
Pick 1: Over 45.5 (-108) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
Both offenses are highly explosive. They both rank inside the top-5 in yards per pass, so even in the face of a tough matchup, they are going to attack – and likely find success – down the field. The Seahawks averaged 29.2 points per gam,e and the Pats put up 27.2 per game. Some will expect a defensive battle, but the total is pretty modest, so slightly going Over feels like a good bet.
Risks/What to Watch
These are the top two scoring defenses in the league. New England was especially dominant during their three-game playoff run. It wouldn’t shock anyone if this was a defensive slugfest, so there is risk no matter which way you bet on this wager.
Pick 2: Patriots ATS +4.5 (-105) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
I like Seattle to win, but their -238 ML isn’t very inviting. I also think the Patriots will make this a close game, and a last-second field goal can’t be ruled out. Considering the grit they’ve displayed to this point and how they have performed against the spread, I am digging the points.
Risks/What to Watch
Seattle destroyed San Francisco and has the ability to smoke anyone they face. The Pats have not been sharp offensively in the playoffs, either. A lopsided win in favor of the Seahawks isn’t off the table.
Pick 3: Prop Play – Cooper Kupp Anytime TD (+250) – 6/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
Kupp and Darnold are on a redemption tour, and it’d only be fitting for Kupp to find the end zone. He did just that last week against his old Rams team, while New England will be doing all they can to keep JSN in check. Kupp should benefit from that.
Risks/What to Watch
Kupp is older and slower than he was when he was an elite force, and he doesn’t get a ton of volume his way. The Pats also present a stiff challenge, even if he won’t feel the brunt of their coverage. Touchdown variance is also a thing, while it’s possible this game would end up being low-scoring.
Odd lines continue to change for Seahawks vs Patriots as bettors react to spread movement and Super Bowl betting trends. Compare sportsbooks and updated odds at our top football betting sites.
Final Verdict: Sam Darnold Claims Super Bowl MVP, Seahawks Edge Patriots
Coming to a Seahawks vs. Patriots prediction is difficult. Not only do these teams have a lot of similarities, but they also excel on both sides of the ball. That can lead to a wide range of outcomes, with a tight game with precious few points being one extreme, and a wild shootout being another.
Here’s the reality, though: the Pats haven’t run into an offense this good in these playoffs yet. They faced a punchless Chargers defense, they were gifted numerous opportunities by CJ Stroud, and they faced a backup quarterback in extreme weather conditions in the AFC title game.
On a level playing field, fully containing JSN won’t be easy. Preventing Kenneth Walker from a huge touchdown run won’t be a given. And the story is similar on the other side, as the Pats are extremely battle-tested after surviving elite defenses in three consecutive do-or-die contests.
My first Seahawks vs. Patriots pick is that we get more scoring than most people think. The big reason why I like this bet is the game total isn’t very high. I think the talent, playing styles, explosiveness, and magnitude of this game can get us 46 total points.
The other main Super Bowl 60 prediction is that the Patriots keep it close. Seattle’s ML is the safer play, but their -230 price isn’t something I’d suggest targeting. Instead, bet on the game being tight and going down to the wire. The Pats could easily win, too, so betting on them to beat the spread – something they’ve been fantastic at – makes a lot of sense.
If you approach this game through that lens, I think you’ll find some winning bets. Kupp’s touchdown prop is a risky venture, but one I think could deliver given this game’s set-up.
Final Score Prediction: Seattle Seahawks 27, New England Patriots 24
