Rams vs. Seahawks Prediction & Best Bets (January 25th, 2026)
The Los Angeles Rams and Seattle Seahawks face off for the third time this year on Sunday, when they square off in the NFC title game.
The two sides split their regular-season series, but the Seahawks will be mild 2.5-point favorites at home. Seattle is riding high after trouncing the NFC West San Francisco 49ers 41-6 in their last game, while the Rams gained confidence after outlasting the Chicago Bears 20-17 in an overtime thriller.
Will Seattle’s dominance shine through, or will a battle-tested Rams team be their kryptonite? A ticket to this year’s Super Bowl is on the line, and both sides will know who they’ll be going up against before this game kicks off.
There are plenty of theatrics to get amped up about for this huge NFC showdown, but this is also a fantastic game for betting purposes. It’s important to avoid trappy bets and single out the top picks, though. Join me as I do just that, while analyzing the latest odds and working my way to a final Rams vs. Seahawks prediction.
Game Info Snapshot
- Date & Location: Sunday, January 25th, 2026 | Kickoff at 5:30 pm (6:30 pm ET) at Lumen Field in Seattle, WA
- Team records entering the game:
- Los Angeles Rams: 14-5
- Seattle Seahawks: 15-3
- Odds (from FanDuel)
- Spread: Rams +2.5 (-105) | Seahawks -2.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: Rams (+130) | Seahawks (-154)
- Total: Over 46.5 (-120) | Under 46.5 (-102)
These are tight odds, as you can bet on either team’s spread or moneyline and get solid value in return. Seattle opens as the light favorite; however, as they are at home, they squeaked out a win the last time these teams met up.
This is a healthy game total. The weather will be a lot warmer up in Washington than it was in the Rams’ most recent game, plus both offenses are quite explosive. Given that the last matchup featured over 70 combined points, the Over instantly stands out as an appealing bet to consider.
Storylines to Watch
Check out the key storylines for this Rams vs. Seahawks NFC Championship game showdown:
- Third Meeting: The Rams and Seahawks face off for a third time. They split the regular season series down the middle, but all bets are off when any two divisional foes meet each other in the playoffs with this much on the line.
- MVP Race: Matthew Stafford continues to add to his NFL MVP case. The voting process is probably locked up by now, but a big effort with a Super Bowl appearance at stake probably wouldn’t hurt his chances.
- RB Room: Seattle did an amazing job on the ground last week, with Kenneth Walker III popping off for three scores. He lost his running mate, Zach Charbonett, to a torn ACL, though. That could mean an unproven running back steps into a bigger role, or Seattle asks even more out of Walker.
Team Profiles
Los Angeles Rams
The Rams belong here. They had to survive scares against both the Panthers and Bears, but they are one of the most complete teams in the league. Sean McVay is also one of the best shot-callers in the league, and while they haven’t dominated, they’ve proven their worth with hard-earned wins.
L.A. has dealt with turnovers and some sloppy play, but their ability to battle through imperfection makes them a compelling bet. We also know how good they can be when they’re firing on all cylinders, as this is one of the most dynamic offensive squads, and their defense can match wits with anyone.
The Rams come into this matchup with 14 wins behind them, and even in defeat, they have been in every single game this year. Nobody has been able to beat them by more than a touchdown at any point this season, so you can bet they won’t go quietly into the night.
Los Angeles is plenty viable here, but before we decide if they’ll pull off the upset, let’s see where they’ve excelled the most this season:
- Air Assault: Matthew Stafford tossed 46 scores during the regular season, leading a lethal Rams passing attack to the #1 passing game in the NFL. It’s not the most accurate passing game, but it’s explosive (7.7 yards per pass) and does a good job limiting mistakes (3rd best INT rate) and avoiding sacks (3rd lowest sack rate).
- RZ Maestros: The Rams are very good at moving the football with an offense capable of slicing up secondaries and providing explosive runs. However, they’re also fantastic at finishing drives. They own a 64% scoring rate once they pass the 20 (7th), while they’re even better (6th) when you look at their red-zone defense.
- Turnover Battle: The Rams have been a bit sloppy of late, but they are usually a team that is strong fundamentally. Their offense commits just 0.8 turnovers (3rd fewest) per game, while the defense is opportunistic with 1.6 takeaways (5th) per game. We saw that firsthand last week, as they sealed a win over the Bears by picking off a pass in overtime.
Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks have looked like one of the best teams in football for much of the year, but they really turned it up a notch in their last two games. I knew their defense was good, but holding the 49ers to nine total points in two one-sided wins – one for the NFC West/#1 seed and the other to advance to this game – won me over.
The big question mark is forever going to be if a team can win with Sam Darnold running the offense. He answered that to a degree last week, but he also went into that game with an oblique injury. Whether or not he’s 100% healthy and how he performs against a better Rams defense will be key for Seattle.
Regardless of what comes next, the Seahawks are legit. They are explosive down the field through the air, they have an emerging ground game, and they can be flat-out punishing on the defensive side of the ball.
That is their backbone and may be enough by itself to get them to the Super Bowl. Before we make that call, however, let’s highlight the areas they’ve crushed it in so far:
- Pass Attack: Sam Darnold has not led even a top-10 passing game, but he’s been highly accurate (5th) and explosive (8.4 yards per pass). This is a passing offense that can struggle with turnovers and consistency, but when it picks its spots, it can be very tough to stop.
- Ground Control: It’s brutal that the Seahawks lost part of their one-two punch at running back right before the NFC title game. Losing Zach Charbonnet hurts their red-zone scoring and overall dynamic ability on the ground, but they still have Kenneth Walker III, who was part of the league’s 7th-best rushing attack.
- Elite D: The Seahawks are staggering across the board on defense. They’ve graduated to become the #1 scoring defense in the NFL, while they are #1 in points per play and #1 in yards per play. This suffocating unit ranks 2nd against the run, 8th against the pass, 12th in sack rate, and 4th in RZ scoring. There are no weaknesses here.
Key Matchups & Angles
Check out the key Rams vs. Seahawks matchups:
- Rams passing game vs. Seahawks pass defense: This is the one spot where the Rams could turn the tables. They certainly had success in the last meeting, but Seattle’s pass rush can be tamed, and L.A.’s offensive line is very strong. The Rams have two elite wide receivers in Puka Nacua and Davante Adams, too, and stopping both of them feels unlikely. L.A. thrives through the air. Shutting this part of their offense down isn’t realistic, so it’ll come down to how much Seattle can limit their success.
- Seahawks ground game vs. Rams run defense: Seattle could curb the Los Angeles passing game by just controlling the clock. Kenneth Walker III looked fantastic last week, and while the Rams are decent overall against the run, they are below average from a yards per carry perspective (16th). Walker could dominate in this matchup.
- Seahawks deep passing game vs. Rams secondary: L.A. has not been good against the pass, as they rank 11th in yards per pass allowed, 15th in sack rate, and 21st against the pass overall. Caleb Williams and Bryce Young both had some big moments against them, so it stands to reason Sam Darnold could torch them a bit in a home game with the Super Bowl on the line.
Betting Trends & Odds Context
Take a look at the latest Rams vs. Seahawks odds, per FanDuel:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Rams | +2.5 (-105) | +130 | Over 46.5 (-120) |
Seahawks | -2.5 (-115) | -154 | Under 46.5 (-102) |
Take a look at some key betting trends for this showdown:
- Public Betting: Everyone is on Seattle for this game. The Seahawks’ ML has gotten 63% of the bets, while Seattle has 86% of the bets to cover. The Over is also the preferred play, with 65% of bets going with that side of the game total.
- Record History: These teams play in the NFC West together, but have still only played each other 57 total times. It’s been a tight series, with Seattle narrowly edging the Rams 29-28. Seattle won the most recent game in a wild 38-37 shootout, but they’ve traded wins and losses (2-2) over their last four meetings.
- ATS Tidbits: L.A. has been rock solid (12-7) against the spread. The Rams are 5-5 ATS on the road and 1-1 ATS as the underdog, however. Seattle has been even better (12-5) against the spread. The Seahawks are 11-4 ATS when favored and 5-4 ATS at home.
Best Bets for Rams vs. Seahawks
Pick 1: Seahawks ML (-154) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
Seattle is at home with a chance to punch a ticket to the Super Bowl. They were absurdly dominant against the 49ers, while the Rams have barely squeaked by inferior teams. Add in a nasty defense and an explosive passing attack, and the Seahawks feel like the team to back.
Risks/What to Watch
The Rams obviously know the Seahawks well, so they won’t shy away from contact in this one. They also know how to finish close games. If they can hang in there, an upset isn’t out of the question.
Pick 2: Over 46.5 (-120) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
The Seahawks almost got to this game total all on their own last week. I think the Rams can muster up more of a fight than the 49ers did. After seeing the fireworks the most recent game in this series produced, fading the Over feels dicey.
Risks/What to Watch
It’s still a tense playoff setting with two very solid defenses. After seeing the Rams struggle last week, a defensive battle isn’t totally out of the question.
Pick 3: Prop Play – Sam Darnold Over 2+ Passing Touchdowns (-121) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
Most people will flock to Stafford, Puka, or Walker props, but give me the Darnold Over here. The matchup demands it, as the Rams are the 2nd best defense at preventing rushing touchdowns, and their pass defense is where they are a liability the most.
Risks/What to Watch
Trusting in Darnold can give you indigestion. He’s only thrown multiple scores eight times on the year and hasn’t done it in any of his last three games. There’s always the possibility that oblique ailment lingers and impacts his play as well.
Rams vs. Seahawks odds continue to move as bettors react to spread pressure and total shifts in the NFC title game — track every line change, compare markets, and lock in the best betting value at our top football betting sites.
Final Verdict: Seahawks Edge Rams Out in Instant Classic
My main Rams vs. Seahawks prediction is that Seattle gets the job done at home and advances to the Super Bowl. You can certainly get a better price by betting on them to cover a 2.5-point spread, but I don’t want to play with spreads after the last game ended on a two-point conversion.
I’m not sure we get an ending as crazy as that again, but -155 is a really nice price for what I view as the superior team. I thought the Rams were going to be the play several weeks ago, but they’ve flashed too many flaws for me to trust them going forward.
Trusting in Sam Darnold normally wouldn’t make me feel much better, but he’s just part of the machine here. Avoiding a total meltdown and getting out of the way of Kenneth Walker III and this nasty defense is all he has to do.
While the Seattle defense is going to make sure they advance, I do think the Rams still put up a fight. That makes them a threat to beat this spread, but the bigger takeaway is that we should get enough combined points to feel good about the Over.
Final Score Prediction: Seattle Seahawks 27, Los Angeles Rams 24
