Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington Commanders Prediction (November 2, 2025)
The Washington Commanders (3-5) are on life support as they head into a tough Week 9 matchup with the Seattle Seahawks (5-2). Washington will get star quarterback Jayden Daniels back in the lineup, but can they surprise as +135 home underdogs?
Washington has been hit or miss all season, but they better hope they round back into form quickly, as a loss further distances them from a playoff appearance. Seattle, meanwhile, has a major incentive to live up to their 2.5-point spread as the favorites, as they are fighting for first place in the NFC West.
The early odds suggest Seattle is the best bet on the road, but is there something bettors could be missing? I’ll turn over every stone by inspecting the pricing, eyeing the matchups, and handing you the best picks for this NFC clash.
Game Info Snapshot
- Date & Location: Sunday, November 2nd, 2025 | Kickoff at 7:20 pm ET (Peacock) at Northwest Stadium in Summerfield, MD
- Team records entering the game:
- Seahawks: 5-2
- Commanders: 3-5
- Odds (from ESPN Bet)
- Spread: Seahawks -2.5 (-130) | Commanders +2.5 (+110)
- Moneyline: Seahawks -155 | Commanders (+135)
- Total: Over 48.5 (-105) | Under 48.5 (-115)
The Seahawks are road favorites, which tells you the oddsmakers see them as a considerably better team compared to the Commanders. The line is still pretty tight, however, as Washington has some nice wins and gets Jayden Daniels back in this one. Both defenses are capable, but the 48.5 game total suggests a possible shootout.
Storylines to Watch
The top storyline to consider before finalizing your Seahawks vs. Commanders bets is the healthy return of Jayden Daniels. Washington’s quarterback has been in and out of the starting lineup, but he naturally improves their offense and gives them their best chance to win.
Here are a few more storylines to keep in mind:
- Not So Scary: The man known as “Scary” Terry McLaurin will not suit up for this game. Just when Washington gets one star player back, they lose another. Not having all of his weapons isn’t ideal, so a big storyline will be who steps up at receiver for Daniels with McLaurin sidelined.
- Is Seattle Legit? The Seahawks seem plenty legit after a 5-2 start, but a testament of a truly great team is winning games you’re supposed to – and kicking teams when they’re down. Washington is at home in a primetime setting, but can SEA go for the jugular and offset their desperation, anyway?
- Tory Horton Szn? Cooper Kupp is banged up with multiple injuries and may not play. JSN should enjoy plenty of success against Washington’s pass funnel defense, but if Kupp is out, someone else needs to step up. Don’t be shocked if it’s big-play rookie receiver, Tory Horton.
Team Profiles
Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks have looked quite good in 2025. Their only losses came in a defensive battle with the 49ers in week one and a wild shootout against Tampa Bay three weeks ago.
Overall, Sam Darnold has been a revelation for the league’s 5th-best scoring offense. Here’s what else you need to know about these Seahawks:
- They Want to Run (A Lot): Seattle is one of the most balanced teams in football, as they own a 49.63% rush rate (2nd in the NFL). They run a ton, but only rank 21st in rushing yards. It’s worth wondering if they’ll keep banging their heads into the wall against a good Commanders run defense, or if they’ll just opt to cook them through the air.
- Darnold+JSN=Beauty: Sam Darnold (12 TDs) has looked like a borderline MVP candidate, while Jaxon Smith-Njigba (50-819-4 stat line) looks like one of the best WRs in the entire league. That connection has been virtually unstoppable en route to the pro football’s most explosive passing attack (#1 in yards per pass).
- Legion of Doom: Seattle used to be the Legion of Boom, but it may be time for a new nickname. This defense they have now isn’t quite on the same level, but they are still quite good. They enter SNF ranked 11th in pass rate, 7th in scoring, and tops against the run.
Washington Commanders
The Commanders won a lot of close games last year. That isn’t going their way in 2025, and they also can’t seem to stay healthy. Apparently, having good players on the field matters; who would have thought?
As rough of a ride as it has been, Washington is still a dynamic offensive team with a superstar under center. They are hurting at 3-5, but there is reason to believe a turnaround is in play:
- Washington’s RZ Offense is Elite: Washington ranks 2nd in red-zone scoring on the year. They don’t always work their way inside the 20, but when they do, it’s as good as a touchdown.
- The Commanders Can Run: I’m not sure they’ll run all over Seattle’s brute run defense, but their numbers are just as promising. Rookie rusher Jacory Croskey-Merritt has been a bit of a revelation as the Commanders have churned out the league’s 3rd best rushing offense.
- Sulking Defense: Washington had a strong run defense earlier in the year, but it’s regressed to the point where they now rank 23rd in that regard (yikes). They do own the league’s best sack rate, but they’ve done little else to have us confuse them with anything close to an elite unit.
Key Matchups & Angles
Check out the key Seahawks vs. Commanders matchups:
- Seattle’s rush offense vs. Washington’s run defense: The Seahawks really want to run the football. They haven’t been overly efficient – and Washington at one time was a feared run defense – but this could actually suddenly be a matchup the Seahawks can exploit.
- Washington’s rush offense vs. Seattle’s run defense: The Commanders can still hang their hat on a strong ground game, while the return of a healthy Daniels is an extension of that. Just how much success will they have against the NFL’s top-ranked run defense, though?
- Seattle’s passing game vs. Washington’s secondary: Washington’s pass defense ranks 26th, but their even bigger issue is an insane 5.9 yards per play allowed (29th!). I tend to think Seattle (3rd in yards per play on offense) can take advantage of that.
Betting Trends & Odds Context
Check out the latest odds, per ESPN Bet:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Seahawks | -2.5 (-130) | -155 | Over 48.5 (-105) |
Commanders | +2.5 (+110) | +135 | Under 48.5 (-115) |
Take a look at some key betting trends for this showdown:
- Public Betting: The public is very high on Seattle even though they’re on the road in a night game. Roughly 91% of the bets are on Seattle, and about 88% of the money is on the Seahawks.
- Defensive Battle: Seattle has been stingy for much of the year, as just two teams have topped 20 points against them. Due to this, the Over is just 4-3 so far in their games.
- Record History: This series has been back and forth. Washington holds a 13-10 lifetime advantage, but nobody has won consecutive games in this series in the last five meetings.
- ATS Tidbits: Seattle has been quite reliable ATS, going 4-1 as the favorite and 5-2 overall. Washington has been the opposite, going 3-5 ATS overall and just 1-4 against the spread as the underdog.
Best Bets for Seahawks vs. Commanders
Pick 1: Seahawks -155 | 8/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
Seattle is on the road, but they’re the better team, and they are healthier. They have the way better defense, their offense matches up better in this game, and at 5-2 and atop their division, they have a lot to play for. All things considered, this -155 ML is a steal.
Risks/What to Watch
Winning road games in primetime settings isn’t easy. Jayden Daniels is back, and at 3-5, the desperate Commanders could give this one everything they have. Sometimes the numbers simply can’t account for the emotional edge.
Pick 2: Prop Play – JSN Over 80+ Receiving Yards (-225) | 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
JSN is a massive piece of Seattle’s offensive puzzle. You could bet on his catches prop just as well, but Washington’s poor yards per play allowance seals the deal. Cooper Kupp may also miss this game, so more target volume only boosts JSN’s yardage ceiling.
Risks/What to Watch
Seattle could enjoy some success on the ground in this one, or the Commanders could shock everyone and shut the Seahawks down in a big home win. Neither seems overly likely, but they’re not impossible.
Pick 3: Prop Play – Jacory Croskey-Merritt Over 35+ Rush Yards (-220) | 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
The man known as “Bill” has been hyper-efficient for the Commanders, safely hitting the total in four of his games this year. He has admittedly struggled of late with Washington getting blown out, but this game projects to be reasonably close with Daniels back in the saddle.
Risks/What to Watch
The game could always blow out. If it does, Washington would run less, and JCM’s rushing total would suffer due to it.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington Commanders odds can change fast — stay ahead of line shifts and compare spreads now at GamblingSite’s best football sportsbooks before kickoff.
Final Verdict: Jayden’s Return Changes Nothing
Final Score Prediction: Seahawks 24, Commanders 20
Washington exceeded expectations last year, and now they are simply regressing to the mean. They are not a terrible team, but they have their warts, and they’re hosting a better and healthier team on Sunday Night Football.
Jayden Daniels has the ability to nuke a game plan, but Seattle’s passing game has a serious advantage in this matchup. On top of that, this Seahawks defense is legit. I anticipate Seattle holding JD and co. in check, while the Darnold+JSN connection will generate enough big plays to squeak out a huge road win.
