Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins Picks & Prediction (October 30, 2025)
The Baltimore Ravens get their hero back in week 9, when they hit the road on a short week to battle the Miami Dolphins. Lamar Jackson is back on the field just in time to help the Ravens make a playoff push, and they’ll enter this Thursday Night Football tilt as big 7.5-point road favorites.
Baltimore has barely survived a lingering hamstring injury to their star dual threat quarterback, as they enter the week 2-5 and at risk of joining the Cleveland Browns in the cellar of the AFC North. However, with the Pittsburgh Steelers losing two games in a row recently, a path still exists for the Ravens to climb to the top of the division.
On the other side are the Dolphins, who are being disrespected as touchdown underdogs in front of their home fans. Should they be? Miami is just 2-6, but they bounced back with a huge blowout win over Atlanta last week and have been in the majority of their games.
While this game is shaping up as a tough one to call, we’ll inspect the latest odds, break down the matchups, and highlight the top picks for this TNF showdown.
Game Info Snapshot
- Matchup: Baltimore Ravens (2-5) vs Miami Dolphins (2-6)
- Date & Time: Thursday, October 30, at 7:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL
- How to Watch: How to Watch: Prime Video (Thursday Night Football)
Current odds from FanDuel:
- Spread: Ravens -7.5 (-115) | Dolphins +7.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Ravens -430 | Dolphins +340
- Total: Over 50.5 (-110) | Under 50.5 (-110)
The odds are greatly favoring the Ravens. Road teams are not typically favored unless there is a perceived significant gap between the teams – and a full touchdown on top of that is huge. Naturally, the Ravens are highly expected to win and potentially convincingly. The high total is a nod to both defense’s having rough seasons, so while Miami might look like a poor bet, they could contribute to a high-scoring affair.
Storylines to Watch
The biggest storyline to watch is the return of Lamar Jackson to Baltimore’s lineup. The team was struggling to win games even with him under center, but they had the league’s highest scoring offense before he got injured. It will be interesting to see if getting him back vaults them right back to where they were or if there will be some rust for him to shake off.
Here are a few other storylines to consider before placing your bets:
- King Henry, Unleashed: Derrick Henry was unstoppable in week one with a healthy Lamar and he’s bounced back over the past two weeks. Miami stifled Bijan Robinson last week, but previously had been getting gashed on the ground. Could Lamar’s return unlock the Henry we saw back in week one?
- One Win Wonder: Miami has been in a lot of games this year and they impressed by dominating Atlanta on the road last week. Was that one last gasp of life for a dying team, or could it be the sign of things to come?
- Shootout Loading: Both of these teams looked sharp defensively last week, but this high total and the struggles they’ve had all year suggest a shootout is coming. If it does, could the underdog Dolphins have the edge on their home field on a short week?
- Something has to Break: Baltimore hasn’t won on the road yet in 2025 (0-2), and Miami has just one win at home. One of these teams will figure it out on TNF.
Team Profiles
Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens are probably a lot better than their 2-5 record suggests. They were beating Buffalo in week one and fumbled that game away, losing 41-40. They also lost a shootout with the Detroit Lions and had to live life without their starting QB the past 3.5 weeks.
The defense still has question marks with 30+ points given up in four games, but the offense is otherworldly when a healthy Lamar is under center. Here are a few key notes:
- Offensive strengths: Derrick Henry has had a very mixed season, and yet he has over 500 rushing yards and six scores on the ground. Lamar has missed the past three games, and Baltimore still ranks 13th in scoring and 8th in rushing. His return doesn’t guarantee a thing, but it gives the entire offense a theoretical lift and could be coming just in the nick of time.
- Defensive notes & concerns: The Ravens have looked a lot better on defense lately. After getting destroyed 44-10 by the Texans three games ago, Baltimore only gave up 17 points to the Rams and last week shut down the Bears in a 30-16 win. We don’t believe they’re suddenly elite just yet, but they could be showing signs of progress.
- Injury notes: Offensive tackle Ronnie Stanley is banged up, but practiced in a limited capacity this week. Lamar Jackson returned to full practice and is “excited” to get back to the field. The Ravens, by all accounts, are at full strength when they need their health the most.
Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins got crushed in week one, and everyone left them for dead. It turns out everyone was right, but Miami deserves some credit, as they battled back and have been in the majority of their games.
Miami is thankfully not in last place in the AFC East, but they’re not far off. Running Back Devon Achane has been the offense’s saving grace, as he’s piled up 539 rushing yards and seven total touchdowns through eight games.
Here are a few things to keep in mind when betting on or against Miami this week:
- Still Shorthanded: Miami lost top wide receiver Tyreek Hill to a devastating knee injury earlier in the year, and starting tight end Darren Waller is on IR with a pec issue. That means a lot of pressure on the aforementioned Achane and Jaylen Waddle to produce.
- Injury notes: Miami’s injury list is quite long. They have several banged-up players like Malik Washington and Tua Tagovailoa that are expected to play, but might not be quite 100%. Their defense is the one to monitor, though, as star pass rusher Bradley Chubb (4 sacks) is dealing with shoulder and foot ailments and has only gotten in a limited practice. If he’s out, Miami’s defense would take a huge hit. Starting safety Ashtyn Davis hasn’t practiced and could be trending as a game-time decision.
- Betting trends: We noted Miami’s competitive play, and they’ve been better than expected against the spread. They’re 3-2 against the spread as underdogs in 2025 and 4-4 ATS overall.
Key Matchups & Angles
Check out the key Ravens vs. Dolphins matchups for TNF:
- Baltimore’s Rush offense vs. Miami’s run defense: It’s a road game, so anything goes, but Baltimore lives and breathes the ground game, and on the year, it’s been a great way to dominate the Dolphins. They handled Bijan last week, but what are the odds they have it in them to stifle two great rushing offenses consecutively?
- Just How Healthy is Lamar?: Lamar’s back in the lineup, but will he be his usual self? Hamstring injuries can limit running ability, change-of-direction, speed, and explosiveness. If Jackson is not actually 100% it could end up hurting Baltimore’s game plan. If he’s at full strength, however, Miami could be cooked.
- Turnover Battle: Miami ranks 25th in giveaways with 1.5 per game. Tua Tagovailoa could easily have a good game against a porous Ravens secondary, but he needs to take care of the football. He’s thrown at least one pick in five games so far in 2025, and he’s thrown six total in his last three games alone.
- Are Ravens Still a Pass Funnel D?: Baltimore has turned it up a notch against the run lately, so the clear path to success against them remains their pass defense. They have looked sharp over the last two games, but Tua could still exploit this matchup at home on a short week. If he does, this game has legit shootout upside, and Miami could have a chance at the upset.
Betting Trends & Odds Context
Here are the latest odds, per FanDuel:
| Bet Type | Ravens | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
Spread | -7.5 (-115) | +7.5 (-105) |
Moneyline | -430 | +340 |
Total | Over 50.5 (-110) | Under 50.5 (-110) |
Here are some key betting trends to consider:
- Public Betting: So far, the Ravens are the popular team to bet on, getting 58% of the money and 59% of the bets. This action could bump the line even more in Baltimore’s favor, making the Dolphins an intriguing value.
- Total Increased: The game total opened at 50.0 earlier in the week, but has elevated to 50.5. That isn’t much of a budge, but it’s a mild boost if you feel this game has a good chance of hitting the Under.
- Injury Impact: Baltimore looks to be mostly healthy, but Miami is shorthanded on offense and could be without two key starters on defense. Bradley Chubb and Ashtyn Davis are the two big names to watch. If one or both of them are out, Baltimore’s path to a win gets a lot easier.
- Poor ATS Bet?: Things do seem to lean toward the Ravens, but they’re just 2-3 ATS as the favorite in 2025. Do bettors ignore that due to a tough schedule and three games without Lamar, or do they lean into it?
Best Bets for Ravens vs. Dolphins
Pick 1: Over 50.5 (-110) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
We need to see more before we believe either of these defenses are anything close to reliable. Baltimore changed their style of play a bit with Lamar out, and it ended up helping their defense – as did some positive matchups. That defense is still prone to production through the air, and going on the road on a short week to attack a talented offense isn’t ideal.
Whether Miami steps up and plays their part in a shootout or Baltimore just comes out and dominates, the Over feels like a rock solid bet. It’s 6-1 so far in Baltimore games, while it’s 6-1-1 for Dolphins games, too. Don’t be shocked if we get some fireworks.
Risks/What to Watch
Both defenses played very well last week. If that’s a trend that turns into fact – not to mention how ugly TNF games can be – it’s entirely possible both offenses struggle to perform at a high level. Lamar being rusty in his return is also something bettors need to account for.
Pick 2: Prop Play – Derrick Henry Anytime TD (-240) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
You can get more aggressive and bet on King Henry to get 2 touchdowns (+400) or target this same prop at FanDuel with Lamar Jackson (+160), but Henry scoring is one of the better bets on the board.
Henry has a touchdown in four different games and the best way to beat Miami is on the ground. Lamar’s return also should free him up quite a bit, while the Dolphins have allowed the third most rushing yards to RBs on the year. This is a spot where Henry could feast, so I also like his 80+ rushing yard prop (-180).
Risks/What to Watch
It’s always possible Miami sells out to stop the run and contains Henry. In addition, it could be the Lamar Show in his first game back. If either of those things happen, a would-be lock could end up missing.
Pick 3: Baltimore Ravens -7.5 (-115) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
Baltimore is almost definitely winning this game, but betting on them at -450 isn’t any fun. I think it’s a close call with the spread, but Miami is incredibly tough to trust. They did look great last week in a trouncing of Atlanta, but they also got smoked 31-6 the week before that against the Browns.
You simply never know which version of Tua will show up, and if he falters, Miami is cooked. The return of a healthy Lamar is also a massive boost that should rally the troops and ignite a fire under the Ravens as a whole.
Miami could do enough early to keep things interesting – which contributes to the Over – but Baltimore has too much firepower and has the more capable defense. I like this game for scoring, but the Ravens should pull away late.
Risks/What to Watch
Miami has been pretty competitive for much of the year, and they’re at home on a short week. If they come in hungry and don’t back down, this game could feasibly go down to the wire.
Ravens vs. Dolphins odds are moving fast — grab the best numbers before kickoff. Compare spreads, totals, and props now at the best football betting page.
Final Verdict: Lamar Returns to Dominate the Dolphins
Final Score Prediction: Ravens 37, Dolphins 27
The Miami Dolphins are a little bit better than their 2-6 record suggests, but they’ve also gotten blown out twice this year. They’ve been a solid 3-2 ATS as the underdog, and they have a slight edge at home on a short week – but Baltimore is the better team.
Even if the Ravens haven’t cured what ails them on defense, I like their chances in a shootout, and think it’s entirely plausible to expect the Ravens to send a strong message with a dominant effort.
The reality is Baltimore has superior coaching, better offensive talent, and a more capable defense. On top of all of that, they still have a realistic path to a playoff appearance this year, while dropping to 2-7 could very easily be the last straw for head coach Mike McDaniel in South Beach.
