Top 5 Betting Podcasts Every Gambler Should Follow
We know that the podcast market is oversaturated. Everyone and their mother has one (or at least it seems that way). If you’ve got a mic and the will to talk about something for 40-60 minutes? You probably have a podcast.
And it’s not a bad thing! But there are some that, and this is the nicest way we can say it, are more deserving of your ears than others. It all depends on what you’re interested in and your capacity to listen to another person (or people) talk at you.
In the more deserving category of podcasts, we have found five of the best betting ones. There are shows about everything, and betting is a big one!
Some bettors? They only watch the odds. But the smartest ones? They take advantage of all available resources and listen to others. They’ve got their AirPods in and a broadcast running while they’re running. Or brushing their teeth. Headphones on and absorbing the best betting advice.
Sports betting podcasts have become one of the most useful (and criminally underused) resources for gamblers, and it doesn’t matter if you’re a numbers-first handicapper or just betting the over in every Pacers game. In a space that’s flooded with hot takes and unverified picks, our fav shows have substance, like market breakdowns, insider reads, great interviews, and, most importantly, lessons that can improve your strategy!
Since sports betting is now legal in over 30 states, podcasts are doing what old-school betting books and Reddit threads used to, but they’re doing it faster, better, and with clear audio.
If you want insider views, pick up your Beats by Dre and listen with intention to our recs for the top 5 betting podcasts that every gambler should follow!
How We Picked The Podcasts
If a podcast hasn’t been uploaded in six months, it’s out. If the hosts just read odds off a screen, nope! The five that we picked hit every angle that matters to bettors.
Here’s what they’ve all got in common:
- Credibility: All of the hosts know their way around betting markets. Some came from sportsbooks, others from the media, but they’ve all put in the work.
- Consistency: Episodes drop regularly. The information is timely and in no way stale.
- Sharp Content: They aren’t surface-level recaps. The good ones go into matchups, motivations, market reactions, and angles that most bettors can overlook or miss.
- Style: If it’s high energy or laid-back, each show has a tone that fits its purpose, and it hooks you.
- Ratings & Feedback: The podcasts didn’t make our list just because we like them! They all have large audiences with loyal listeners because the content delivers.
One last thing: this list isn’t ranked. Every show on it brings something different to your eardrums. What works best for you all depends on how far down the rabbit hole you like to go and how much time you’ve got before the game starts!
Top 5 Betting Podcasts Every Gambler Should Follow
Ok, so some of the shows concentrate on picks. Others teach you how to think like a trader. A few are just flat-out fun and entertaining. Whatever your style is, there’s something here to add to your podcast rotation!
1. Bet The Board Podcast
Hosted by Todd Fuhrman (a former Las Vegas oddsmaker) and Payne Insider (a professional bettor with a great eye for market inefficiencies), Bet the Board Podcast is pure signal. There’s no filler, and no gimmicks; it’s chock-full of smart betting talk.

What It Covers
The main focus of Bet the Board is NFL and college football, and there are the occasional episodes on college hoops, March Madness, or major betting events. Every breakdown goes way past surface stats. You’ll hear about matchup edges, coaching tendencies, historical spots, and how the lines are reacting.
Why Listen
- They don’t just tell you to “take the under.” They give detailed explanations about why it’s been mispriced based on tempo, weather, travel, or defensive injuries.
- Fuhrman brings the bookmaker lens, and Payne handles the sharp money and line movement part of the convo.
- It’s like sitting in on a pro capping session, only minus the ego and static.
Where to Find It
- Spotify, Apple, YouTube, SoundCloud
2. Gamble On
This one’s a lot more industry-driven and is hosted by longtime gambling journalists Eric Raskin and John Brennan. If you care about what’s happening behind the scenes with legislation, expansion, and interviews with sportsbook execs, Gamble On will be in your wheelhouse.

What It Covers
Weekly updates on the state of the sports betting world. That includes operator news, state-by-state legal developments, interviews with decision-makers, and trends bettors need to watch out for. There’s also a recurring “Betting Pick of the Week” segment, but the real value is in the context they provide around the gambling business.
Why Listen
- They cover the stories that you won’t see in mainstream sports media, like tax code changes, licensing disputes, or new regulatory frameworks.
- Interviews are well-researched and to the point. And these two never softball the guests.
- The dynamic between Raskin and Brennan is natural and warm. They both bring their years of experience to life without sounding stale or like it’s a TED talk.
Where to Find It
- Spotify, Apple, US Bets, Podchaser
3. The Sharp 600
If the two shows above feel a little too much like grad school, The Sharp 600 will be your go-to for fast, punchy, weekday-smart betting talk. Hosted by Jason Logan of Covers.com, The Sharp 600 is built for speed; each episode clocks in at around 10 to 15 minutes, but they all manage to deliver more value than most hour-long pods.

What It Covers
Logan hits all the big sports: NFL, NBA, MLB, college ball, and has a rotating mix of short analysis, market reads, and occasional guest segments. It’s not pick-pick-pick; you’ll get context on trends, key numbers, and how public money is affecting pricing.
Why Listen
- It’s one of the only betting podcasts that you can finish before your iced coffee gets watery.
- Logan has a solid read on how books adjust early-week versus late-week lines.
- It’s efficient without being shallow. Even in 12 minutes, you get enough intel to fine-tune your card!
Where to Find It
- Spotify, Apple
4. Even Money Podcast
This one is equal parts sports radio and betting roundtable. Hosted by former NFL offensive lineman Ross Tucker and pro bettor Steve Fezzik (the only man to win the SuperContest twice), the Even Money podcast balances real football perspective with pure betting IQ. If you focus on the NFL, this is one that you should have queued up every week.

What It Covers
No nonsense, straight-up NFL betting talk. ATS picks, futures, season-long portfolio discussions, all of which are broken down by a guy who played in the league and a guy who’s made a career fading casual money. They go week-by-week through the full slate during the season and also cover offseason betting strategy and contest insights.
Why Listen
- You get the best of both betting worlds: locker-room intel and pro bettor mindset.
- Fezzik’s breakdowns include stuff like fourth-down playcalling trends and red zone regression, which are serious tools if you’re betting sides and totals.
- They track picks and records in-season. They won’t disappear if they have a bad week.
Where to Find It
- Apple, Spotify, RossTucker.com
5. Be Better Bettors
This tongue twister (try saying Be Better Bettors five times fast) is hosted by Spanky (yes, Spanky), who is one of the few recognizable names in the professional betting world. His podcast is less about weekly picks and more about what it takes to beat the market. If you’re looking for honest talk about what goes on behind the scenes of the pro betting arena, this one is it.

What It Covers
Long-form interviews with vet bettors, bookmakers, sharp originators, and people who’ve been in the game long enough to know where the edge lives. This isn’t a pod for beginners, but if you’ve ever wondered what full-time bettors talk about when the cameras aren’t rolling, this is as close as you’ll get!
Why Listen
- You won’t hear this kind of access anywhere else, full stop.
- Spanky’s guests range from old-school legends to new-era data savants, and the conversations are interesting and serious.
- No BS’ing here. It’s just people talking shop. Sometimes it’s an hour long, and sometimes for an hour, sometimes it goes for two, but there’s always at least one thing in every episode that’ll change how you think about and see risk!
Where to Find It
- Apple, Spotify
Honorable Mentions
The next ones didn’t make our top five, but they’re still well worth checking out, especially if you’re into a specific angle or want a few extra voices in your queue!
- Circles Off: Great for anyone who is serious about market theory, bet timing, and closing line value. It’s hosted by the guys who are behind BetStamp.
- Props & Hops: A heavy concentration on NFL props and beer. Sharp, niche, and surprisingly useful if you like targeting player markets.
- You Better You Bet: Loud, energetic, and super entertaining. If you want betting talk that feels like a sports radio show with sharp insight, this one’s a fun listen.
Tips for Getting the Most from Betting Podcasts
It’s simple to hit play and let it wash over you, but if you’re listening to get better? Well, you’re gonna have to be a little more hands-on.
- Use commutes and downtime wisely: These shows are great while you’re driving, walking, or doing errands. Make them a part of your daily routine, not just for pregaming.
- Track notes—not just picks: Don’t just write down what team someone likes. Track why they like it. Look for patterns in their reasoning and see how it fits in with your process.
- Cross-check guests and hosts: Not every guest will be right for your betting style. Follow the ones who speak your specific betting language and ignore the ones who sound like they’re trying to sell you something.
- Get involved: All of these podcasts have online communities, Discords, or Twitter (X) spaces. Join them! The sharpest stuff usually comes from conversations that happen outside of the episodes.
Conclusion: Listen to Level Up Your Game
Betting podcasts won’t change your life overnight or win you a bunch of money the next time you bet. But the right ones? They will absolutely change how you think about games, markets, and money.
Want pro-level analysis? Check. Smarter ways to handle variance? Check check. Or do you just want a better read on public vs. sharp moves? Triple check. All five podcasts on our list give you tools to work with. And you can listen while you’re folding laundry, commuting, or scrolling through injury reports.
Pick one. Listen to a few episodes. If it hits? Subscribe. If it doesn’t? Try another one! The point isn’t to just mimic what the hosts say or copy picks. You’re trying to upgrade your whole process.
And if you’re looking for where to test out your newfound knowledge, you can check out our sports betting guide to find top sportsbooks, tools and helpful advice!
Texas Rangers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Betting Picks (June 20, 2025)
Jacob deGrom has the ball on Friday night at PNC Park, and the Rangers are looking to square up their record behind him. They’re hovering below .500 and looking for consistency behind deGrom, who’s pitched into the sixth in three straight starts and is trending upward in velocity and strikeouts since he was put back into the rotation.
Pittsburgh hasn’t been hitting much; only 9 runs during their last four games, and will bring in Mike Burrows, who’s still working back into form after missing all of 2024 after elbow reconstruction surgery. He’s made a few short outings but hasn’t gone past five innings, and Texas has too much contact and patience, so he’ll be on a short leash.
Keep scrolling to see how the pitchers compare, team form and stats, the betting odds and lines, and the two best bets we’ve picked just for you!
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Texas Rangers (36-39) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (29-46)
- Date & Time: Friday, June 20, first pitch at 6:40 pm ET
- Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh
- TV Channel: SportsNet PT and CW33
- Weather: The temperature will be in the mid‑80s with clear skies
Starting Pitchers
Who will be throwing the first pitches for the Rangers and the Pirates? Here’s who:
Who’s throwing tonight? These are the pitchers who will be on the hill first:

Texas: Jacob deGrom (RHP)
- Record: 6–2
- ERA: 2.19 | WHIP: 0.91
- Strikeouts: 80 in approximately 82 innings
- Recent form: Has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in 11 straight outings

Pittsburgh: Mike Burrows (RHP)
- Record: 1–1
- ERA: 4.24 | WHIP: 1.33
- Strikeouts: Around 25 in roughly 23 innings
- Recent form: Roughly a 1.80 ERA over his last 3 appearances
Team Form & Stats
Texas is pulling wins with steady pitching; Pittsburgh hasn’t matched pace on offense.
- Rangers: Averaging 3.6 runs per game; team ERA sits at 3.19
- Pirates: Scoring just 3.2 runs per game (lowest in MLB); team ERA up to 3.74
- Last 10: Texas has taken 7 wins; Pittsburgh has dropped 6 of its last 8
Matchups to Watch
What are we watching out for in the game? The following:
- deGrom vs. Pittsburgh’s lineup: He’s held his opponents to 2 earned runs or less in 11 straight outings. The Pirates are still close to the bottom of MLB in scoring and haven’t been able to hit much of anything.
- Pirates vs. high-velocity pitching: Fastballs over 96 mph have been a big problem; Pittsburgh’s contact rate drops off a cliff. If they don’t reach base in the first few innings, it doesn’t look good for the Pirates.
- Late-inning bullpen comparison: Texas relievers have allowed 1 run or fewer in 7 of their last 8 games. Pittsburgh’s relief corps has surrendered leads in 3 of its previous 6.
- Home field factor: PNC Park hasn’t helped the Pirates; they’re 19–19 at home and averaging under 3 runs per game in that stretch.
Injury & Availability Updates
Here’s who’s injured and the latest roster availability for this one:
Rangers
- Josh Smith (UTL): Smith is listed as day-to-day with a left hamstring problem.
- Chris Martin (RP): Also day-to-day with right shoulder fatigue.
Pirates
- Bryan Reynolds (OF): He’s on the paternity list but is expected back later this week.
- Colin Holderman (RP): Holderman is on the IL with a right thumb inflammation.
- Tim Mayza (RP): Mayza is on the 60-day IL with a lat strain.
- Justin Lawrence (RP): Also on the 60-day IL due to elbow inflammation in his right arm.
Betting Odds Breakdown
Thinking about betting on this one? Here are the latest odds and lines according to DraftKings:
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total Runs |
|---|---|---|---|
Rangers | -1.5 (-110) | -194 | Over 8 (-106) |
Pirates | +1.5 (-110) | +158 | Under 8 (-114) |
Our Best Bets
This isn’t a fair fight. DeGrom’s on the hill, the Pirates can’t seem to get their bats going, and the Rangers have covered this number more often than not when he starts. Because of those factors, here are the two best bets and why!
Rangers -1.5 Run Line | Our Confidence Level: ★★★★☆
- deGrom has allowed 2 ER or fewer in 11 straight starts and averages over 1 K per inning
- Pirates have scored 3 or fewer in 6 of their last 8 games
- Texas has covered the run line in 4 of deGrom’s last 5 outings
- The Rangers’ batters usually break through in later innings, especially when it’s against weaker middle-relief
Under 8 Total Runs | Our Confidence Level: ★★★★☆
- deGrom usually works 6+ innings and neutralizes scoring
- Burrows has a ~1.80 ERA over his last 3 starts
- Pittsburgh ranks near the bottom in OBP and SLG
- A cooler night weather and PNC’s ballpark dimensions are good to pitchers
What to Expect: Great Pitching, Not Many Big Hits
Final Score Prediction: Rangers 4, Pirates 1
Texas has the obvious pitching advantage with deGrom on the hill. Why? As we said, he’s allowed only 14 earned runs across his last 72 innings and hasn’t given up more than five hits in a game since May.
Pittsburgh’s lineup is ranked bottom-five in batting average and hitting. They’ve had a tough time with hard-throwing right-handers and haven’t scored more than three runs in a game in over a week. Burrows has posted a 1.80 ERA in his last three starts, but he hasn’t been up against a top-10 offense like Texas. If the Rangers get runners on base in the early innings? It won’t even be close.
Best Bet Recap
- Rangers –1.5
- Under 7.5
- Lean: If deGrom handles his usual workload? Texas won’t have any trouble closing this one out!
Flamengo vs Chelsea Prediction (June 20, 2025) – FIFA Club World Cup
Flamengo is up against Chelsea in the Club World Cup semifinal on June 20 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia! Yes, that’s where the Eagles play.
It’s the first time that a South American team has reached this stage at an NFL stadium in the U.S; the Brazilian side hasn’t lost a single one of its 15 matches and opened group play with a solid win.
Chelsea got past LAFC 2–0 without needing a full-strength lineup, which continues their steady run under Enzo Maresca. It’s been over 10 years since a South American club hoisted the FIFA World Cup trophy. Does Flamengo have the best chance they’ve had in years? Or will Chelsea stay unbeaten?
Keep scrolling to see what we think, look at the matchup, betting odds, and our kind of surprising best bets!
Match Overview
- Date & Time: Friday, June 20, at 2 pm ET (7 pm BST)
- Venue: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
- Broadcast Info: DAZN (free global stream), TNT/truTV (US), talkSPORT 2 & DAZN (UK coverage), Channel 5 live stream in the UK
- Tournament Format: Group D opening match in the revamped 32-team FIFA Club World Cup, running from June 15 to July 13
- Group D Teams: Flamengo (Brazil), Chelsea (England), LAFC (USA), Espérance de Tunis (Tunisia)
- Group Context: A win puts either team in a great position to reach the Round of 16; the top two from the group move on
Team Form & Main Players
Flamengo and Chelsea both picked up wins to open group play, but the way they’ve managed their squads and created chances says a lot about what we’ll see next! Below is a snapshot of form and the main players going into the game.
| Team | Form & Strengths | Players in Focus |
|---|---|---|
Flamengo | Unbeaten in 15 of 16; opened 2–0 over Esperance; defense with 7 shutouts in last 8 | Jorginho (veteran presence), De Arrascaeta (scored last match), Filipe Luís (manager, ex-Chelsea) |
Chelsea | Shutout vs LAFC; goals from Neto and Fernández; rotation handled with control | Pedro Neto, Enzo Fernández, Liam Delap (impact sub vs LAFC) |
Tactical Breakdown
- Defensive strength on both sides: Flamengo has allowed only one goal in their last eight matches, and Chelsea beat LAFC without giving up a serious scoring chance. Don’t expect to see a lot of open looks or high shot volume here.
- Midfield matchup could decide it: Jorginho controls the tempo for Flamengo and hardly ever loses possession. Chelsea’s midfield plays faster, presses higher, and looks to force mistakes early in build-up. That contrast could change how the game is played.
- Coaching decisions will matter: Filipe Luís knows Chelsea’s tendencies from his time there, and his side doesn’t stray far from its system. Maresca rotated in the last match but kept the pace and spacing consistent. Any changes here? They’ll be calculated ones.
Betting Odds Overview (Updated June 20)
We know this is what you came for! Look below for the latest betting odds and lines according to ESPN BET:
Moneyline (3-way)
- Chelsea: +115
- Draw: +220
- Flamengo: +250
Spread
- Chelsea –0.5 (+105)
- Flamengo +0.5 (–150)
Over/Under
- Over 2.5 (+130)
- Under 2.5 (-175)
Our Best Bets
This semifinal looks like it’ll have a measured pace, and there’ll be limited scoring chances in the first 45 minutes. And that’s why we think the following are the three best bets!
Both Teams to Score – Yes | Confidence: Medium
Flamengo has scored in 14 of their last 15 matches across all competitions. Chelsea has kept a few clean sheets but conceded against quick, technical sides. A 1–1 draw or narrow win with goals at both ends is definitely on the menu.
Under 2.5 Goals | Confidence: High
In Chelsea’s last five competitive matches, only one has finished with three or more goals. Flamengo’s last six have all stayed under that total. Don’t expect much action before the hour mark; this could stay level or low-scoring well into the second half.
Flamengo Double Chance (Win or Draw) | Confidence: Medium
Flamengo is unbeaten in 15 of 16 games and has been really consistent in midfield control and shot suppression. If Chelsea hasn’t scored by the 70th minute? This match could begin to lean in Flamengo’s favor. A draw or late counter is a good possibility.
Post-Match Angle to Watch
What happens after the final whistle blows could be almost as important as the result itself! Here’s what to watch out for post-match:
- Flamengo has a chance to end Europe’s 33-match unbeaten run: The last time a South American club beat a European side in this tournament was in 2012. If Flamengo wins, it will end over a decade of European control.
- Filipe Luís facing Chelsea on U.S. soil: It’s Chelsea, it’s a semifinal, and it’s in the U.S. in a football stadium (weird). His lineup choices and tactical decisions will draw attention no matter how the game shakes out.
- Round of 16 implications: First place in the group comes with a little wiggle room. Second could mean a rematch with LAFC or a tougher draw, depending on the results in other matches. The outcome here? It decides how manageable the next round looks.
Chelsea vs. Flamengo: Who Gets One Game Closer to Glory?
Flamengo is unbeaten in 16 and standing in the way of another European run through this tournament. Chelsea took care of LAFC without much resistance, but this matchup brings a higher level of pressure and fewer openings to exploit.
Finishing first means facing a weaker opponent and getting an extra day to recover. Second place could lead to a cross-continent matchup on short rest.
It’ll probably be a measured first half and limited chances until the final 30 minutes. Take the under! If you’re looking at props, check out Jorginho’s distribution totals or Enzo Fernández’s involvement around the edge of the box. And don’t wait on the lines; once the starting XIs drop, the numbers will change fast.
This match determines more than placement. It also impacts rest, opponent quality, and how much bumpier the road will get going forward.
Our Final Score Prediction: Flamengo 1 – 1 Chelsea
This looks like it’ll be a midfield-heavy match with limited space in the final third. Both teams are capable of scoring, but with the bracket still in play? Neither side will push too far forward. A 1–1 result sets up a nail-biter finish in Group D; knockout spots will still be up in the air going into the final round.
Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction & Top Bets (June 19, 2025)
Dodger Stadium will be lit up tonight as it hosts a game between two Cali teams. San Diego rookie Ryan Bergert will be on the hill in Los Angeles after making his MLB debut in April and delivering a 2.33 ERA over three starts; he had 16 strikeouts and under one WHIP.
Ohtani isn’t starting tonight, as the Dodgers are spacing out his pitching appearances; he’s on a once-a-week schedule as he builds back up from Tommy John surgery. Bergert will face off against Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who has a 2.64 ERA, 90 strikeouts, and a sub-1.10 WHIP on the season.
The Dodgers have the upper hand in the NL West, having won 28 of 40 at home, and they swept their last series against San Diego. The Padres have dropped three in a row on the road and rank as “below average” (analysts’ words, not ours!) in most offensive metrics.
Yamamoto has some sick pitches in his arsenal, and Dodger Stadium does favor his style, and the rookie Bergert hasn’t had to throw to elite batters.
Who’ve we got winning this one? Read on to see the game details, pitching stats, betting odds, and our best bets!
Game Overview
- Matchup: San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers
- Date & Time: Thursday, June 19, 10:10 pm ET (7:10 pm local PT)
- Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles. The Dodgers are 24–12 at home this season, and the Padres are 18–19 on the road
- Broadcast: MLB Network, local broadcasts, or stream on MLB.tv
- Weather Forecast: Clear skies and mild temps; 72°F at first pitch with a light breeze toward center field
Starting Pitchers
Who’s throwing tonight? These are the pitchers who will be on the hill first:

Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD)
- Record: 6–5 | ERA: 2.64 | ~90 strikeouts
- Limits hits and walks; strong home performance
- Good matchup against San Diego’s strikeout-prone lineup

Ryan Bergert (SD)
- Record: 1–0 | ERA: 2.33 | 16 strikeouts
- Making his first career start against the Dodgers
- He’s pitched at least five innings in each of his three appearances this season without giving up more than two runs
Betting Odds & Trends
How are the odds lining up for tonight? Here are the latest betting odds according to DraftKings:
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total Runs |
|---|---|---|---|
Padres | +1.5 (+107) | +216 | Over 9 (-101) |
Dodgers | -1.5 (-131) | -272 | Under 9 (-120) |
Dodgers Betting Trends
- 64.5% win rate (40–22) as favorites in 62 games
- 8–1 in their last 9 games when listed at –250 or shorter
- Home games have gone Over in 25 of their last 40
Padres Betting Trends
- 15–20 as underdogs this season (42.9% win rate)
- Unders hit in 31 of their 72 total games (about 44%)
Head‑to‑Head & Recent Form
- Current series sweep: Dodgers have won all three games so far (4–3, 8–6, 6–3).
- Last 5 home matchups: Four games went Over, one went Under, showing there are higher-scoring trends at Dodger Stadium.
- Season series: Dodgers lead the season matchup 5-1
Our Best Bets
What are we looking at? Below is a quick breakdown of where the value sits for this game. Yamamoto’s on the hill, and it’s been a lopsided series up until this point, so most betting angles are leaning toward the Dodgers, but there’s still some room for prop and total plays depending on the number. Here are our three picks for best bets:
| Bet | Rationale | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
Dodgers –250 | L.A. has owned this series, is on point at home, and Yamamoto is an elite pitcher. | A (★★★★) |
Padres 1st 5 Innings Under 1.5 | The Padres have had some trouble getting going vs. right-handers, and Yamamoto shuts teams down in the early innings. | A– (★★★☆) |
Over 8.5 Total Runs | Despite the pitching advantage, Dodgers’ bats can pile on, and bullpen innings could get messy. | B+ (★★★) |
FYI: Adjust your wager size to match your usual strategy!
Game Flow & What to Watch
- Opening stretch: Can Yamamoto hold San Diego hitless through the first trip in the order?
- Bergert’s first test vs. LAD: Watch how Bergert handles Mookie Betts and Ohtani in the opening two innings.
- Middle relief factor: Dodgers’ bridge arms have been really good, but an early exit from Bergert could put pressure on San Diego’s bullpen by the fifth.
- Big hitters: Ohtani and Tatis Jr. have both homered this week, so either at-bat could change the game.
Our Prediction Recap & How to Bet It
Final Score Prediction: Dodgers 6, Padres 3
The Dodgers don’t have to overcomplicate this one. Since Yamamoto is starting and the hitters are doing their job (and doing them well) all series long, they’re in a really good spot to wrap this up with a fourth straight win. They’ve had San Diego’s number this week, and the glaring gap between the rotations tonight is impossible to ignore.
Bergert’s shown some decent control in shorter outings, but asking him to handle this lineup at Dodger Stadium? And without a lot of run support behind him? That’s a big reach. He could hold it together for a few frames, but it’s a huge ask from the rookie.
Here are the bets we’re backing: Dodgers ML (even at the cost), Padres 1st 5 Under 1.5, and a watchful eye on the Over 8.5 depending on how long Bergert lasts. The game depends on if the Padres can get anything early. If they can’t? This game slides toward LA again.
NOTE: Always double-check the odds across sportsbooks before you place any bets! They can change as it gets closer to first pitch. And as always, please gamble responsibly!
Saudi Arabia vs. USA Prediction (June 19, 2025) – Concacaf Gold Cup
Whoever wins this one? They’ll avoid Mexico in the quarterfinals, and Mexico is a formidable team. There’s a lot on the line with this match!
The U.S. finally clapped back after a succession of losses to beat Trinidad & Tobago 5–0. Breaking out of a losing stretch that raised some valid questions about roster choices to midfield play means they’re headed in the right direction, but it’s not a full-on fix.
Saudi Arabia beat Haiti 1–0 by staying compact, breaking up passing lanes, and taking their single Hail Mary when it presented itself. They don’t need high possession or long stretches in the final third to make it count.
The U.S. does have the pace and squad depth to push the tempo, but they’ll have to do it against a team that slows things down and barely gives up any space. Group D’s top spot is at stake, and the way forward gets a lot messier for whoever finishes in second place (they have to play Mexico).
Keep scrolling to read what to expect from this one! We have team breakdowns, betting odds, and what we feel are the best bets!
Match Details
- Matchup: Saudi Arabia vs. USA
- Date: Thursday, June 19
- Kick‑off Time: 9:15 p.m. ET / 8:15 p.m. CT / 6:15 p.m. PT (as confirmed by CONCACAF and ESPN)
- Venue: Q2 Stadium, Austin, Texas. This is a soccer-specific venue that opened in 2021 and seats around 20,700 fans
- Home Advantage: The U.S. is unbeaten at Q2 Stadium; they’ve won all five matches there and outscored opponents 13-0
- Broadcast & Streaming: English broadcast on FS1; Spanish coverage via TUDN and ViX (also available on FuboTV)
- Competition: CONCACAF Gold Cup Group D; the winner gets a spot in the knockout stage and will avoid going up against Mexico in the quarterfinals
Team Form & Psychology
The U.S. looked in top form in their last match, and even though Saudi Arabia didn’t, they still got the result. Look below to see how each team got here for a preview of what to expect in this one!

USA
The U.S. comes in off a 5–0 win over Trinidad & Tobago, a much-needed one after four losses in a row. They looked better in every phase; more organized at the back, more decisive in the final third, but one game doesn’t erase the issues that happened before. Coach Mauricio Pochettino has gone with a younger squad for this tournament, leaving out vets like Christian Pulisic and Weston McKennie. The change means more speed and movement, but also inexperience in a few high-pressure spots.

Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia took three points from Haiti with a 1–0 win that followed their usual approach: stay compact, keep the tempo slow, and wait for mistakes. They’ve been in really good form lately, reaching the Gulf Cup semifinals earlier this year and sticking to a structure that doesn’t give much of anything away. Hervé Renard’s side doesn’t force it; they stay organized, absorb pressure, and exploit openings when teams get too aggressive or stretched out.
Tactical Preview
- The U.S. will push numbers forward, especially through the wings, as they want to break down Saudi Arabia with speed and short passing combos. The attack is fluid, but it leaves gaps if the midfield loses shape.
- Saudi Arabia sticks to a 4-2-3-1, with two defensive midfielders cutting off central lanes and keeping the back line protected. They aren’t chasing the ball; they wait for mistakes and move in once they see them.
- Al-Shehri and Al-Buraikan are the main outlets when Saudi Arabia moves forward. If the U.S. pushes too high, it only takes one pass behind the line or a defensive lapse to turn it into a scoring chance.
- They ended up 0–0 in a recent friendly, and if Saudi Arabia controls possession in the first half, this could settle into a low-event match with not a lot of open chances.
Latest Betting Odds
Looking to bet on this one? Here are the latest odds and lines via BetMGM Sportsbook and a breakdown of why:
| Team | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
USA | -185 | Over 2.5 (-110) |
Draw | +300 | |
Saudi Arabia | +475 | Under 2.5 (-130) |
Odds Breakdown
- The U.S. is favored; the moneyline is –190.
- A tie is +300, which shows there’s a reasonable chance of a close game.
- Saudi Arabia is a long shot at +475.
- The Over/Under line sits at 2.5. Slight lean toward the under (–135), which hints that less goals will probably be more likely than a high-scoring game.
Our Best Bet Picks
Drumroll, please…it’s time for our picks! Below are the three best bets that we think have the most value.
1. USA Moneyline (Win) – Our Confidence Level: ★★★★☆
The U.S. is the favorite at most sportsbooks and just beat Trinidad & Tobago 5–0. Even without Pulisic and McKennie? They have a stronger bench and more attacking options.
2. Under 2.5 Goals – Our Confidence Level: ★★★★☆
Saudi matches are usually low-scoring, and their last six have gone under this line. The U.S. might control the game, but Saudi Arabia’s structure limits wide-open play.
3. Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – Our Confidence Level: ★★★☆☆
Saudi has scored in 10 of their last 11 outings. The U.S. will likely find the net, but they’ve also conceded in three of their last four vs. Saudi. This is definitely worth a look as a middle option.
Our Prediction & Final Thoughts
The U.S. ran up the score against Trinidad & Tobago, but Saudi Arabia won’t give them the same time on the ball. They defend in blocks, limit space around the box, and don’t give away a lot of chances. This matchup should be a slower one and more controlled, and Saudi’s limited attack leaves them not a lot of ways to come back if they go down early.
- Betting Takeaway: U.S. to win is the clearest angle; the total goals likely stay under.
- Our Best Bets: USA ML | Under 2.5 | BTTS (lean yes)
Always check top online sportsbooks for the latest odds before kickoff! Late movement could open better value.
Our Final Score Prediction: USA 2 – 0 Saudi Arabia
The U.S. controls midfield, connects in the final third, and creates clear chances. Saudi Arabia keeps their shape but will have a hard time pushing numbers forward or testing the back line. Two quality finishes will get it done, and the USA will finish on top of the group!
Thunder vs. Pacers Game 6 Prediction & Betting Picks (June 19, 2025)
One more win. That’s all it’ll take for the Oklahoma City Thunder to be crowned the NBA champs for the first time since the franchise moved to OKC. And it’s because of Jalen Williams. More on that in a bit.
The Thunder beat the Pacers 120-109 in Game 5 and are now ahead 3-2 in the series. The Pacers
Back to Jalen. The third-year forward scored a playoff career-high 40 points, carrying Oklahoma City to another Finals win. He’s now put up at least 26 three games in a row. His scoring explosion stalled multiple Indiana surges with baskets that stopped the Pacers from getting any real traction.
But none loomed larger than his three-pointer with 8:06 left in the fourth. Seconds earlier, Pascal Siakam had cut down Oklahoma City’s lead to 95–93, which gave flashbacks of the Thunder’s Game 1 meltdown that handed Indiana a series opener win.
Siakam drove hard to the rim but couldn’t finish through traffic. Wallace grabbed the rebound and kicked it back out. The ball found Williams on the right wing, and he buried it. Then he drilled a 3, which pushed their lead another 5 points, and a steal and layup from Cason Wallace made it 100-97.
From that point on? Indiana never got back in range. Star guard Tyrese Haliburton, who was slowed down by a calf injury, finished with only 10 points and couldn’t play the way the Pacers needed him to.
Game 6 is up next, and the Pacers will be on home court. If they don’t win this one, it’s all over for Indy. We’ve got all you need to know about the do-or-die game: betting odds, our best bets, and who we think will win!
Game Details & Stakes
- Matchup: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers
- Series Status: OKC Leads 3-2
- Date & Time: Thursday, June 19, 8:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
- Where to Watch (U.S.): ABC (national broadcast); Stream on ABC app or ABC.com, Hulu + Live TV, YouTube TV, FuboTV, Sling TV, and DIRECTV STREAM, and TNT Sports / Discovery+
Key Storylines
Below is what’s front and center going into Game 6, and why Indiana’s in deep you-know-what.
- Tyrese Haliburton’s Health: Haliburton can’t move the way that he needs to. He scored 4 points and didn’t attempt a single shot in the fourth quarter. Every possession started with him giving the ball up early, avoiding contact, and drifting through sets. If it’s pain from his calf, stiffness, or both, he’s not putting any pressure on the defense, and that takes the entire heart out of Indiana’s halfcourt game.
- OKC’s Defensive Dominance: The Thunder have forced 20 turnovers in the series by attacking passing lanes, crowding the paint, and switching across four spots. Lu Dort has made Haliburton super uncomfortable, Wallace has been glued to Indiana’s shooters, and Caruso’s timing on help defense has killed multiple possessions before they could get going.
- Depth and Role Players: The Thunder’s bench is holding its ground and changing swinging quarters. In Game 5, Wallace grabbed a contested rebound, hit a corner three, and came up with a steal; all in one run. Wiggins fought through contact on both ends and blew up two Pacers’ actions. Indiana’s bench has been limited to McConnell keeping pace in transition, and Mathurin hitting contested looks that haven’t changed much.
OKC is getting more stops, winning the second-chance battles, and forcing Indiana into making less-than-stellar shots. Unless Haliburton changes how he’s playing in the first quarter (yes, the first, not the fourth), this ends in six.
Matchup Spotlight
We’re watching three things in Game 6 that have shaped the series so far. And if the Pacers can’t change any of them? They’re homeward bound.
Gilgeous-Alexander is getting downhill whenever he wants; he’s scoring via contact, forcing double teams, and dictating how Indiana defends possessions. Haliburton looks like he’s in pain, and that means he’s not creating space, not taking the shots that he normally would, and hasn’t been able to put pressure on the defense since Game 2. If that keeps up, Indiana’s offense will stay one-dimensional.
Holmgren has erased layups, disrupted post touches, and forced Indiana into rushed floaters or off-balance midrange attempts. Siakam has found openings only when he faces up outside the lane and drives early. If Turner isn’t spacing the floor or slipping behind the defense? OKC has absolutely no reason to leave the interior.
The Thunder have been aggressive on the perimeter, jumping out on shooters and recovering in rotation without giving up clean looks. Indiana is 9-for-33 on corner threes over the last three games. If that number doesn’t get better, OKC won’t have to change anything. They’ll keep squeezing driving lanes and force Indiana into contested jumpers late in the shot clock.
Betting Odds (Updated June 19)
Time to talk numbers! If you’re planning to bet on this one, here are the latest odds and lines via FanDuel, along with betting trends!
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
OKC Thunder | -6.5 (-106) | -250 | Over 221.5 (-110) |
IND Pacers | +6.5 (-114) | +205 | Under 221.5 (-110) |
Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City is 5–2 ATS vs. Indiana this season
- The Thunder have had a really hard time with ATS on the road during the playoffs
- Pacers have covered 3 straight elimination games
- 4 out of 5 Finals games have gone Under the posted total
Best Bets & Confidence Levels
Where do we think the value is in Game 6? Look below for our three best bets plus a prop that’s worth a look before the lines change!
Thunder -230 | Our Confidence Level: High
Oklahoma City has the defensive matchup advantage, the healthier roster, and the track record in closeout spots. They’ve ended every series without needing a seventh game.
Thunder -5 ATS | Our Confidence Level: Moderate-High
All of the sportsbooks favor OKC to cover the spread. Their road ATS record isn’t 100% reliable, but given the current matchup, bench impact, and Indiana’s injuries? This number is definitely in range.
Over 224.5 Total Points | Our Confidence Level: Moderate
Even though most of the Finals games have gone under, both teams still average high combined totals during the postseason. Multiple books and sports analysts are leaning toward the over in Game 6, given late-game fouling risk and an uptick in free throws.
Prop Bet – Jalen Williams Over 23.5 Points | Our Confidence Level: Moderate
Jalen has scored 25 or more in three straight and keeps seeing a lot of volume late in games. Analysts and books have flagged this as one of the top Game 6 player props!
Pacers’ Last Stand or Thunder’s Coronation?
Oklahoma City has outplayed Indiana in back-to-back games. They’ve defended better, gotten more out of their bench, and forced the Pacers into rushed decisions on most possessions. Jalen Williams has been the MVP; he’s scoring every which way and taking over when the offense slows down.
SGA hasn’t had to carry the whole load, and that’s the point! OKC’s rotation has held up across six or seven players, and they’ve been really organized at both ends. Indiana hasn’t had solutions. Haliburton looks limited, and outside of a few solid stretches from Siakam and McConnell, the offense hasn’t held up.
Unless Haliburton can get back to breaking down defenders off the dribble and forcing help, the Pacers are dunzo. Right now, too many of their possessions end without pressure on the defense. The Thunder don’t need to play a perfect game to close this out. All they have to do is play like they have in the last two.
Final Score Prediction: Thunder 119, Pacers 110
We think OKC wins this series 4–2 and become the 2025 NBA champs.
Ready to put our top bets to the test? Head over to one of our best rated betting sites to find the most competitive odds and quick payouts on your winnings.
Arkansas vs. LSU Prediction & Top Bets (June 18, 2025) – MCWS
Two of the SEC’s best meet in Omaha tonight with a Bracket 2 final berth up for grabs. Arkansas and LSU both notched 50+ wins this season and are playing an elimination game at the Men’s College World Series. Florida is waiting for one of them in the bracket final, so this one has big postseason consequences for two rosters that are teeming with MLB-caliber talent.
Arkansas is coming off a 19-strikeout no-hitter by Gage Wood, one of the best performances ever at the CWS. The Razorbacks couldn’t generate enough run support in their earlier 4–1 loss to LSU, but Wood’s insane showing kept their season going and gave the bullpen a full day off.
LSU has looked better and better with each game. They’ve bounced back with two straight wins, a balanced 6–3 effort with good defense and productive at-bats up and down the lineup. All they need is one more solid outing to keep their run going!
We’ve got all you need to know about tonight’s game! Keep scrolling for a breakdown, the latest betting odds, and our picks for the best bets!
Game Overview
- Matchup: Arkansas Razorbacks vs. LSU Tigers
- Date & Time: Wednesday, June 18, 7:00 pm ET
- Location: Charles Schwab Field, Omaha
- Broadcast: ESPN/ESPN+
What’s on the Line
- Double-elimination format: Arkansas faces elimination; LSU would force a Thursday rematch with a loss.
- Arkansas (50–14) is coming off a 6–0 loss and trying to regroup.
- LSU (50–15) has won two in a row and will stay in the bracket, win or lose.
Recent Form & Storylines
Arkansas and LSU are both sitting on 50-win seasons, but how they got to Omaha is not the same.

Arkansas
- Followed a tough opening loss with a combined no-hitter (Gage Wood struck out 19), then knocked out UCLA.
- Offense still dangerous, powered by All-SEC bats Wehiwa Aloy and Charles Davalan.

LSU
- Back-to-back wins, with Anderson and Holman giving quality innings.
- Several holdovers from last year’s title team are helping anchor the run once again.
Head-to-Head Advantage
- Arkansas leads in team batting average and limits any free passes at the plate and on the mound.
- LSU racks up strikeouts and has postseason-tested depth throughout the roster.
- Starting pitchers Zach Root and Kade Anderson are expected to go head-to-head—both have gone at least five innings in recent outings without surrendering any big innings.
Betting Lines
Here are the latest odds and lines via ESPN BET if you’re betting on this one:
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total Runs |
|---|---|---|---|
Arkansas | -1.5 (+110) | -130 | Over 10.5 (-120) |
LSU | +1.5 (-155) | -105 | Under 10.5 (-115) |
Best Bets
We’ve looked at it all, and below are what we think are the three best bets!
1. Arkansas –130 | Our Confidence Level: Medium–High
Arkansas comes in with back-to-back wins, including a no-hitter and a 6–3 win over UCLA, where they controlled the game from beginning to end. Zach Root is expected to start and has held top offenses to minimal scoring chances throughout the postseason. LSU’s Kade Anderson can be really hard to bat against, but Arkansas has faced stronger rotations and found ways to score.
- Watch for — LSU brings postseason experience and a reliable bullpen, but the Razorbacks have been better across the board.
2. Under 10.5 Total Runs | Our Confidence Level: High
Two strikeout-heavy starters, a ballpark that suppresses home runs, and an elimination setting where runs are slow to come in? This total feels a little bit high. Arkansas has given up only 3 runs in its last two games. LSU’s recent wins (4–2, 3–1) also fit the under trend.
- Bonus Angle — First 5 Innings Under 5.5: Both starters have done really well early, holding lineups in check and preventing any extended rallies in the opening frames.
3. Arkansas Team Total Over 5.5 Runs | Our Confidence Level: Medium
The Razorbacks have hit 6 or more in five of their last six games and have done it against quality SEC pitching. Their approach is patient, with good batting decisions and solid results when runners do get on. Anderson has had trouble putting hitters away in the first few frames—Arkansas has the kind of lineup that’ll foul off pitches, wait for something to drive, and get him working from behind in the count.
- Watch For: If the wind’s pushing out at Charles Schwab, that ball carries! It’s worth checking conditions before betting the over on Arkansas’s team total.
Closing Prediction: Razorbacks or Tigers?
Final Score Prediction: Arkansas 5 – LSU 3
Arkansas has been the better team on the mound and the more productive with runners on base in their last two games. LSU does have the big-game pedigree, but their pitching hasn’t always been able to contain lineups that work counts and take advantage of mistakes.
We’re siding with Arkansas based on their recent performance; fewer walk issues, better execution in scoring spots, and a better defense. The under 10.5 is the smartest angle; both starting pitchers are capable of controlling contact and limiting extra-base hits!
We think the game will be close into the later innings, but the Razorbacks are better equipped to hold leads and finish without giving up big innings.
How to Spot Value in Early Lines Before the Public Jumps In
It’s the Monday morning after an NFL Sunday bloodbath. You’ve forgotten about the coffee in front of you because you’re in shock, scrolling through the wreckage of your parlay.
And as you try to process your loss, somewhere else a sharp bettor is already placing wagers for next Sunday. They aren’t doing it because they’re obsessed with sports betting, no, no, no. They know something that most others don’t, and that’s that the real money isn’t made when the game starts. Nope, it’s made when the lines first open.
These are the early lines, which are like a sportsbook’s “first draft:” their purest, most analytical take on a matchup, based on complex algorithms, power ratings, and matchup analysis, before the tsunami of public opinion, media hype, and emotional betting hits the beach.
Once the public jumps in? The value evaporates. That initial number gets pushed, pulled, and stretched thin by the sheer volume of casual money betting on big names, recent blowouts, or whatever ESPN is yelling about that day. What started out as a golden opportunity becomes just plain ol’ odds. The window is really small, but the possible payoff? That’s where the sharps live.
Our guide doesn’t require a PhD in math, but you will have to do the work and train your eyes to see the genuine value that’s hiding in plain sight within those early numbers. We’ll crack open how lines shift, why the public is usually dead wrong (and how books exploit that), the exact signs that say, “Bet me now!”, the tools the pros use to track it all, and most importantly, when to pull the trigger before the chance vamooses.
What Are Early Lines and Why Do They Shift?
Walking into a store the second that it opens versus right before it closes is not the same experience. The selection and maybe the prices? Totally different. And betting lines work the same way. How? Keep scrolling to find out!
- Early Lines: These are the first odds released by the sportsbook, often days (NFL, College Football) or even hours (NBA, MLB after pitching confirmations) before the game. This is the book’s “vanilla” assessment. It’s based heavily on statistical models, historical performance, key matchup data, and initial injury reports. It’s the baseline.
- Closing Lines: These are the odds you see seconds before kickoff or tip-off. This is the number shaped by everything, like sharp action, public betting floods, late-breaking news, weather updates, you name it. It’s the market’s final consensus.
Why the heck do they move? Because two big forces collide:
- The “Sharps” (The Smart Money): These are the pros, the syndicates, and the bettors with proven long-term winning records. They have sophisticated models, deep info networks, and serious bankrolls. When they see an early line that they believe is fundamentally wrong? They’re on it. They bet big, and they bet fast. Sportsbooks pay really close attention to the “respected money.” If a ton of sharp cash hits one side, the book will move the line to balance their own risk and discourage further bets on that now “cheap” side. This is called “reverse line movement,” which we’ll get into further down.
- The Public (The “Square” Money): This is the majority of bettors; the passionate fans who are betting with their hearts are influenced by headlines, star players, recent wins/losses (good or bad!), and basic popularity. As game time nears, the flood of public money hits. If 80% of the cash is going to Team A, the sportsbook moves the line to make Team A less attractive (worse odds, higher spread) and Team B more attractive (better odds, lower spread). This protects the book. They don’t care who wins; they just want the action to be balanced. The public’s emotional betting forces the line away from its “true” early value.
This happens constantly—it’s not a one-off or a rare occasion. Significant movement is the rule, not the exception, particularly in the most popular markets. Studies and analysts have proven this.
In the NFL, it’s not unusual for key spreads to move 1.5 to 2 points between open and close, like after major news or heavy sharp action. Moneyline underdogs can see their odds shrink dramatically (from +250 to +180) if sharps believe in them early.
Betting analysts highlight that identifying why a line moves is usually more valuable than predicting the winner. The early line is where that story begins.
The Psychology of Public Betting and Line Movement
There’s more to sportsbooks than just math; there are also psychological aspects. They don’t set the most accurate line; they set the line that will best balance the betting action based on how they predict the public will act. They know that the public is super predictable, usually irrational, and easily swayed. Here’s how they exploit it, and how you can exploit their exploitation:

Recency Bias
Did Team A just win a massive, emotional game on national TV? Did Team B get blown out in a nasty fashion? The public overvalues the last thing they saw, and it projects far into the future. Sportsbooks know this, and they’ll shade the early line slightly against the team that’s coming off the big win, anticipating public overreaction will push it further. This creates potential early value on the team that just lost.

Star Power & Brand Name Tax
LeBron James. Patrick Mahomes. The New York Yankees. The Knicks. The public loves betting on stars and famous franchises, and it’s usually regardless of the matchup, injuries, or context.
The popularity is baked right into the early line, which makes these teams a tad more expensive to bet (steeper spreads, worse moneyline odds) than pure analytics suggest. They expect the public to bet on them anyway. This can create early value against the star teams if the line is inflated enough.

Media Hype Machines
A 24/7 sports news cycle needs narratives. “Team X is unstoppable!” “Player Y is in a slump!” “This rookie is the next GOAT!” The public absorbs the storylines and bets accordingly.
Sportsbooks anticipate which narratives will drive money and adjust lines preemptively or react to them when they happen. The early line, which is released before the hype reaches a fever pitch, might not fully reflect this impending distortion.

The Overreaction to News
A star player is “questionable” with a rolled ankle? The public panics and bets against his team. Books could move the line aggressively on even minor news, anticipating a public overreaction.
Sometimes, the real impact of the news is less severe than the market reaction. The early line, set before the news broke or before the public frenzy hits, is your baseline for spotting this overreaction.

The Underdog Aversion, aka Bandwagon
This varies, but the public tends to dislike betting big on underdogs, as they feel like they’re throwing money away. That is, unless there’s a huge bandwagon narrative (“Cinderella story!”). Conversely, they love to bet on modest favorites. Books shade the lines accordingly.
Public betting has always been driven by emotion, narrative, and accessibility, not on value. Sportsbooks profit from this. The gap between this public perception that’s literally baked into the closing line and the more analytical early line is where your opportunity is. You’re handicapping the handicappers and the crowd’s predictable mistakes!
The Signs a Line Offers Early Value
Sure, theory is good, but how do you see this value in the wild? You have to be able to recognize specific, actionable signals in the early numbers. The following is how to do this:

Your Numbers vs. Their Numbers
The core mismatch is fundamental, so develop your own power ratings or use reputable projections. When the opening line is way different from your calculated fair odds (e.g., you have Team A as a 3-point favorite, but the book opens at -1.5), that’s a giant sign. But ask why! Did the book know something you missed? If your analysis holds up, and the discrepancy is obvious, this is primo value territory.

The ‘News Gap’ Opening
Yes, sportsbooks are fast, but they aren’t omniscient. Does the opening line look like it’s ignoring or underweighting big or recent news, like the things below?
- An injury that’s announced right before lines open that the sportsbook may not have fully priced in.
- A major weather report (e.g., 20mph winds for a passing team) was released post-line opening.
- A suspension, coaching change, or impactful trade rumor hits after the initial number is set.
An example of this would be a starting QB who’s ruled out 30 minutes after the lines open. The line might move from -7 to -3, but the initial move might only be to -5.5, leaving a breach before the full adjustment. If you act fast based on solid info? You get value.

Public Perception is Wrong
Look at the matchup. Is the public obviously going to favor one side based on name recognition, a recent big win/loss, or media narrative? If the early line hasn’t yet built in a big enough “public tax” for that popular side, there could be value on the other side. The early line is your chance to bet before the public distortion fully inflates the price.

Reverse Line Movement (RLM)
This is a powerful, but usually counterintuitive signal. RLM happens when the line moves against the tide of betting tickets. Let’s say that 70% of bets are coming in on Team A (-3), but the line moves to Team A -3.5 or even -4. Why? Because the money is heavily on Team B (+3). The large bets (sharps) are hitting Team B, forcing the book to move the line to discourage more sharp money on Team B, even though most people are betting on Team A.
Spotting RLM early in the line’s life is a strong indicator that sharp money sees value on the unpopular side.

Hype Train Inflation
As we said above, media narratives can create insane overreactions. A team wins three in a row? A rookie has one amazing game? The public (and sometimes books preemptively) overvalues them. If the early line feels inflated beyond the reasonable metrics due to hype alone, there’s possible value on the other side.
Look for the teams that are riding unsustainable highs or facing a tough matchup and being ignored by the narrative. If a middling NBA team wins 4 straight against weak opponents with high scores, the media will say they’re an “offensive juggernaut.” They open as -6 favorites against a strong defensive team with a slower pace. The hype might have added 1-2 points to the line. Where’s the value here? Possibly on the defensive underdog.
Tools and Resources for Spotting Early Value
You don’t need to own a supercomputer, but you do need to have the right intel. Don’t just check a single betting site. Below are the tools that you can use to track the market and spot those early value signals!

Line History Trackers
These are non-negotiable. Sites like OddsJam, VSIN, and VegasInsider let you see the following:
- The exact opening line from multiple books is super important because sportsbooks open at different times/prices.
- How the line has moved over time at each sportsbook. Did it move steadily? Did it jump after news broke?
- Current line vs. opening line across the market. This is a must for spotting RLM and overall movement trends.

Betting Splits & Ticket Counts
Platforms like The Action Network, Covers, or Pregame.com all show the percentage of the following:
- Betting Tickets: The total number of bets that are placed on each side, which shows public sentiment.
- Handle Percentage: The percentage of total money wagered on each side. This is important! If 70% of tickets are on Team A, but only 55% of the money is, it suggests the big bets (sharps) might be on Team B.

Injury & News Alerts
Speed is really important, so set up alerts for the things below!
- Team-Specific Beat Reporters on Twitter (X): They break news the fastest. Turn on notifications for insiders who cover the teams you bet on.
- Aggregation Services: Apps like Underdog Fantasy (for NFL) provide rapid-fire news updates.
- Official Team Accounts & NFL/MLB/NBA/Etc. Transaction Feeds.

Sharp Money Indicators & Consensus
No service perfectly identifies “sharp” action, but some will give you clues:
- “Steam Moves” or “Reverse Line Moves” Flags: Some trackers (like OddsJam premium) specifically flag lines moving against the ticket %.
- “Pros vs. Joes” or “Big Money” Indicators: Services like Sports Insights (now part of The Action Network) or Pregame highlight games where big money differs significantly from the ticket count.
- Market-Wide Consensus: Seeing where the majority of books have settled, a line can show where sharp money has pushed it. Comparing the opening line at a sharp book (like Pinnacle, CRIS) vs. a public book (like FanDuel, DraftKings) can be really revealing.
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Timing Is Everything: When to Lock In Your Bets
Finding a sweet spot early line is only part of it! Timing your bet is the other part of this equation, and it’s just as important. Bet too early? You might miss valuable info. Bet too late? The value is gone. Below are the best times to lock in your bets!
- NFL Sundays (Look Early Week): The absolute king. Lines for next week open Sunday night or Monday morning. This is the peak value window. Sharps are on the prowl, and books are setting initial lines that are based purely on analysis before the week’s narrative takes over.
- College Football Openers (Sunday Night/Monday): Similar to the NFL with huge markets, and the public loves favorites. Early lines drop after the weekend’s games. Value can be big before the campus hype builds.
- NBA Back-to-Backs (B2Bs): Lines for the second game of a B2B usually open before the first game is played. If you have a strong read on a team’s B2B performance tendencies or potential rest situations, you can find value before the market adjusts post-Game 1.
- Immediately After Major News: As discussed, if you get injury/transaction/news fast and confirm it’s impactful, acting before the line fully adjusts (sometimes just minutes) is critical. Have your sportsbook account funded and ready to go!
- Before Public Betting Triggers: Anticipate when the public floodgates open. For the NFL, this is Thursday-Saturday. For big college games, it’s Friday/Saturday morning. Bet before this surge.

Danger Zones
Just as there are the best times to bet, there are also times when you need to hold your fire. Here’s when those times are:
- Injury Uncertainty (Especially “Questionable” Stars): If the status of a franchise QB, MVP candidate, or main defensive anchor is up in the air, betting the early line is gambling on the injury report. Wait for clarity unless you have an extremely strong contrarian view and the line hasn’t adjusted much yet. The risk/reward ratio here is poor.
- High-Variance Matchups (Rookie QBs, Bad Weather Forecasts): Games with extreme unpredictability, like a rookie QB’s first start or potential monsoon conditions, make early lines very volatile. The value might be illusory, or the line could swing insanely based on later info. Tread carefully.
- When Lines Move Too Fast Against You: You identify value on Team A at +3.5. You wait. It moves to +3.0, then +2.5. The value is eroding. At a certain point (determined by your own assessment), the advantage is gone. Don’t chase the specter of the early line. Be disciplined and fold.

Timing Tip: Automate Your Watch
- Set Line Movement Alerts: Most tracking tools allow you to set alerts for when a line moves by a specific amount (e.g., “Alert me if Pacers spread moves by 0.5 points”). You’ll be notified instantly.
- Use News Alert Apps: As we mentioned, have injury/news alerts beeping at you.
- Bookmark Pages: Have the line history pages for upcoming games you’re targeting readily accessible. Monitor them during known value windows (e.g., Monday AM for NFL).
Mistakes to Avoid When Betting Early
Early value is a strong lure, but if you rush in without knowing what you’re doing? All you’ll accomplish is blowing your bankroll. Below are the most common mistakes and how to sidestep them!

Injury Roulette
This is the cardinal sin. Betting a lot of money on an early line before critical injury reports are confirmed is pure speculation, not value hunting. Did that “questionable” tag turn into “out”? Did the “probable” star practice? That +4.5 you grabbed evaporates into +2.0 instantly if bad news breaks.

Misreading Sharp Move vs. Public Steam
Don’t confuse a “steam move,” which is the public flooding in on a popular side, moving the line predictably, with a genuine Reverse Line Movement. Chasing steam is betting with the public, and it’s usually at the worst possible price. RLM signals a possible sharp contrarian value. Use your tools (betting splits, money percentages) to distinguish the cause before assuming it’s smart money.

Overestimating Your Own Model
You built a power rating system? Cool! But falling in love with your own projections and ignoring clear market signals, like heavy sharp action against your pick, is dangerous and dumb. The market has info or insights that you don’t. If your model says Team B +7 is value, but the line quickly moves against Team B to +6.5, +6.0 despite little public money on Team A, that’s a red flag. Re-evaluate! Sharps could know something that you don’t. Be humble enough to question your own work.

Chasing Ghost Value
You saw a line at +110 that you thought was +EV. You hesitated. It moved to +100, then +90. Betting it at +90 just because you “missed” it at +110 is a losing strategy. The value at the current price is probably one. Stick to your process and only bet when the current line offers a clear edge based on your criteria. Don’t anchor on the past number.

Ignoring Sportsbook Differences
Sportsbooks are all different, and some will open lines that are closer to the “true” price and react faster to sharp money. Public books like FanDuel and DraftKings might open with more public bias already included and move slower on sharp action (relying more on balancing public money). Understand where you’re seeing the line and what that implies. An early line at a public book might give you different opportunities than one at a sharp book!
Conclusion: The Art of Beating the Market
The sports betting market is a living, breathing entity, which means that it is constantly shifting and reacting. The early lines represent a fleeting moment of relative purity; the sportsbook’s best analytical guess before it gets twisted by the predictable, and usually irrational, flood of public money. The window is where the smartest bettors regularly find their advantage.
Look below for a recap of the basics of spotting early lines:
- Early Bird Gets the Worm: The best opportunities are in the initial hours or days after lines open (Sunday/Monday AM for NFL), before public perception distorts the odds.
- Mind the Gap: Your advantage comes from spotting discrepancies, like between the early line and your own fair value assessment, between the line and any recent impactful news, or between predictable public bias and the initial price.
- Follow the Smart Money: Learn how to recognize the signals, especially Reverse Line Movement (RLM), where the line moves against the tide of betting tickets, indicating respected money sees value on the unpopular side. Then use tools to confirm it.
- Arm Yourself: You need more than a feeling. Line trackers, betting splits, news alerts, and sharp indicators are your most important tools for negotiating the early market.
- Timing is Everything: Know when to strike and when to hold back. Set alerts, stay ready, and be patient.
- Stay Humble, Stay Disciplined: Avoid the traps of betting on unknowns, misreading line moves, overestimating your models, or chasing lost value.
Final Tip: Make it a ritual! Set your alarm for Monday mornings during football season. Fire up your Keurig, open your line tracking tools, and scour the freshly opened NFL lines. This is one of the highest-probability value windows in sports betting.
The public is still recovering from the weekend, but the sharps? They’re already on it. Be like them! Watch the lines, spot the discrepancies, confirm the news, and lock in your bets before the Monday morning hype shows and the lines solidify. This kind of discipline, more than any one pick, is the hallmark of a bettor transforming from a square to a sharp!
Louisville vs. Coastal Carolina Prediction (June 18, 2025) – College World Series
In case you weren’t aware, the College World Series is happening right now! Baseball’s collegiate best are slugging it out to see who will be the top dog. This is another elimination game, so let’s get into it!
Louisville has already survived two elimination games this week. And Coastal Carolina hasn’t lost a game since May 14. One team has fought through the bracket game by game. The other has made it look like beating each of its opponents was easy.
The Cardinals stayed in it with a six-run eighth inning against Arizona, using pressure on the bases and a perfectly-timed pinch hit to turn a deficit into a multi-run lead. Now they face a Coastal Carolina team that’s held opponents to three runs or less in seven of its last eight and has played solid defense throughout the tourney.
If Louisville doesn’t produce in the first three innings? Coastal’s starter has a really good chance to settle in. He’s worked through full lineups without giving up much contact, and if he hands off a lead, the bullpen has been untouched since the Super Regionals.
Who do we have for this game? Look below for team profiles, betting odds, what to watch for, and our best bets!
Game Details & Stakes
- Matchup Louisville vs. Coastal Carolina
- Date & Time: Wednesday, June 18 at 2:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: Charles Schwab Field Omaha (TD Ameritrade Park), Omaha, NE
- Tournament Format: Men’s College World Series, Bracket 1 — double-elimination structure
- How to Watch (US): Live on ESPN
- What’s on the Line: – The winner advances to the Bracket 1 final; the loser is out of the tournament
Louisville Profile
Louisville’s offense forces action with speed, contact, and early-count swings. The staff is built around a high-strikeout starter, and the bullpen has evened out going into their third elimination game in five days.

- Offense: The Cardinals are hitting .305 with 155 stolen bases, applying pressure by forcing quick decisions from opposing infields and pitchers.
- Pitching: Patrick Forbes has 107 strikeouts in 66 innings and continues to anchor the rotation, while the bullpen has improved its control and avoided extra-base traffic in recent games.
- Coaching & History: Dan McDonnell is in his 19th season and has led the program to six College World Series appearances, including two in the past six years.
Coastal Carolina Profile
Coastal Carolina has 25 straight wins, really strong pitching from top to bottom, and a first-year head coach who is building on the program’s national title legacy.

- Winning Streak: The Chanticleers have won 25 in a row, including seven straight in Omaha. They’ve held opponents to two runs or less in five of those games.
- Pitching: Cameron Flukey leads the rotation, while Jaxon Appelman and Ryan Lynch have handled late innings with control and low contact rates.
- Leadership: Head coach Kevin Schnall has kept the program grounded in its 2016 title mindset and was named Sun Belt Coach of the Year.
Betting Odds & Trends
Got a betting itch to scratch? Here are the latest odds and lines according to DraftKings:
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total Runs |
|---|---|---|---|
Louisville | +2.5 (-135) | +190 | Over 11 (-115) |
Coastal Carolina | -2.5 (+110) | -238 | Under 11 (-115) |
- Moneyline: Louisville (+190), Coastal Carolina (–250)
- Run Line: Louisville +2.5 (–135), Coastal Carolina –2.5 (+105)
- Total: 11 (Over –115, Under –115)
Trends
Coastal is the heavy favorite at –250, similar to their previous matchup, but Louisville’s price has grown, and that suggests lower confidence from the market after recent results.
In-Play Factors
- Running Game Impact: Louisville’s stolen base pressure forces defenders to make quick decisions, so expect Coastal’s catcher and middle infield to be way more active.
- Bullpen Workload: Coastal’s relievers have been stretched across multiple appearances this week, and that could affect command in the later innings.
- Pitching Matchup: Forbes and Flukey have both struck out 9 in earlier starts. Whoever handles lineup adjustments better after the third or fourth inning? They will likely give their team the upper hand.
Best Bets for Louisville vs. Coastal Carolina
This is gonna be a heck of a baseball game, but we have some thoughts about where the value sits! Here are our three picks for best bets:
1. Coastal Carolina –1.5 (Run Line)
Our Confidence Level: 8/10
- Covered this line in both College World Series games.
- Scored 8+ runs in each outing with production throughout the lineup.
- Louisville’s bullpen gave up go-ahead runs in the 7th or later in two of their last three tournament games.
2. Under 8.5 Total Runs
Our Confidence Level: 7/10
- Flukey has gone at least six innings in six straight, giving up two or fewer each time.
- Louisville hasn’t produced consistent extra-base contact in this bracket.
- Omaha’s outfield size and current weather have limited home run totals.
3. Coastal Carolina Moneyline
Our Confidence Level: 9/10
This is a straightforward value play. Why? Because it’s hard to bet against the current best team in college baseball!
- Lineup handles off-speed pitching and can pressure weak infielders..
- 25 wins in a row, including back-to-back CWS victories by 4+ runs.
- Pitching staff limits free passes and avoids long innings.
X-Factors / Things to Watch
There are a few things to watch that could change up how both teams play!
- Louisville’s stolen base threat could force rushed throws and decision-making from Coastal’s infield.
- Flukey threw 104 pitches in his last outing; if his pitch count climbs again by the fifth or sixth, Coastal might need multiple relievers to cover the final innings.
- Mid-afternoon wind blowing in from the left could suppress fly balls to that side of the park, which will change how the lineups approach certain matchups.
Prediction Recap: Will the Streak Continue?
Coastal Carolina has won 25 straight because they don’t give opponents much to work with; low walk rates, quick innings, and got hits when they needed them to keep their lead intact. They haven’t needed any huge innings because of steady execution and good matchups.
Louisville’s best shot comes from turning this into a sprint, forcing extra pitches by the fourth or fifth, stealing bases, and creating traffic that Coastal hasn’t dealt with in Omaha yet. If they fall into a back-and-forth game of uneventful innings, they’re at a disadvantage.
Coastal’s pitching and lineup balance make them the safer side. Unless Louisville throws something unexpected at them? The streak will hit 24!
We think it’ll be a close game in the early innings, but Coastal will get the lead and never look back.
Final Score Prediction: Coastal Carolina 5, Louisville 2
The Chanticleers get to the Bracket 1 final by suppressing contact and generating just enough run support!
Please remember to bet responsibly and within your means. Odds can change as it gets closer to the first pitch so be sure to keep an eye on it with one of our recommended sports betting sites.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction (June 17, 2025)
The Brewers open a three-game set at Wrigley Field on Tuesday, and they are trailing the Cubs by one game in the NL Central. Chicago has been on point when they play at home; they’ve won 20 of 31. Milwaukee is coming off a division series win over St. Louis, and the starting pitching has been *chef’s kiss*.
The teams have split their previous 26 matchups, and their records through the first half show how close the race has been. Both clubs are sending out their regular starters and want to break the deadlock, so this opener matters in the standings and for the Brewers/Cubs rivalry!
We’ve got all the info you need about this game below: stats, pitchers, the latest betting odds, and our picks for the best bets! Batter up, play ball, and so on.
Game Details
- Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs
- Date & Time: Tuesday, June 17, 8:20 pm ET (7:20 pm CDT)
- Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
- Broadcast: MLB.tv, Marquee Sports Network, Bally Sports Wisconsin
- Weather Forecast: Mostly clear skies with temperatures around 75°F
Current Form & Stats
The NL Central race has been super close, and both baseball clubs bring solid pitching into the opener. Chicago has controlled games at home, and Milwaukee’s rotation has kept them competitive despite a few inconsistencies from its bullpen. Look below for the current form and stats!

Milwaukee Brewers (39–34, 16–19 Away)
- Team ERA: 3.78
- Starters: 3.38 ERA
- Relievers: 4.28 ERA
- Notables: Abner Uribe (1.31 ERA), Grant Anderson has totaled 42 strikeouts in 31 innings; strong strikeout numbers against right-handed hitters

Chicago Cubs (44–28, 23–12 Home)
- Team ERA: 3.57
- Bullpen: 3.16 ERA
- Home record: 23–12 at Wrigley, which is among the best in the NL
Pitching Matchup
Ok, here’s how the pitchers compare. Chad Patrick has pitched into the sixth in six of his last seven starts and has held opponents to three runs or fewer. Ben Brown has shown he has a strikeout upside, but has allowed frequent contact and hasn’t been able to work deep into games in any consistent way. Look below for the specifics:
| Pitcher | Record | ERA | K/IP | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Brewers | Chad Patrick (RHP) | 3-6 | 3.25 | 71 K in 74.2 IP | Rookie with a steady strikeout rate, facing the Cubs for the first time |
Cubs | Ben Brown (RHP) | 3-5 | 5.71 | 83 K in 69.1 IP | Generates plenty of strikeout, but has allowed too many baserunners |
Patrick has been more stable from start to start, limiting walks and keeping his pitch count manageable. Brown has the strikeout totals, but hasn’t held the zone well into the later frames. If both rotations hand things over by the middle innings, bullpen command and matchup usage will probably tip the game!
Betting Odds & Analysis
Next up? The betting odds! Here are the latest lines and props courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook:
- Moneyline | Cubs –148, Brewers +126: Chicago’s home record and bullpen give them the advantage here.
- Run Line – Brewers +1.5 (–156): Milwaukee offers value with a strong strikeout number, six, and Patrick’s upside.
- Total Runs – 9.5 (O/U –110): Both rotations have limited scoring in recent outings; the weather looks neutral with low wind and typical June temps.
Player Props
- Chad Patrick Over 5 Strikeouts: The rookie has averaged nearly one K per inning.
- Pete Crow‑Armstrong Over .235 AVG: He’s hitting above .270 this season with extra-base power and Wrigley home field advantage
Our Best Bets
Time for our best bets! This one looks like it’ll be a close finish, and the market shows that. Chicago’s bullpen and home form give them an advantage, but Milwaukee has value on the run line with Chad Patrick on the hill. Below is how we’re playing it.
1. Cubs –120 | Confidence Level: 7.5/10
- Chicago is 23–12 at Wrigley and usually handles late-inning matchups better
- Ben Brown’s strikeout totals (83 in 69.1 IP) help offset shorter outings
- Cubs’ offense has scored 5+ in six of their last eight night games
FYI: Monitor bullpen usage from the previous game, but Chicago should have its late-game arms available!
2. Brewers +1.5 (–140 to +100) | Confidence Level: 8/10
- Chad Patrick has a 3.25 ERA and has kept games close in most starts
- Milwaukee has covered the run line in 7 of their last 9 as on-the-road underdogs
- If this stays within a run either way? The number covers
3. Player Prop: Pete Crow-Armstrong to Record a Hit | Confidence Level: 8.5/10
- Batting .268 with 18 HRs and hits in 9 of his last 11 games
- Has much better contact numbers against right-handers like Patrick
- Price Range: Typically between –160 and –180; really useful in same-game parlays
4. Pitcher Prop: Chad Patrick Over 5.5 Strikeouts | Confidence Level: 6.5/10
- Cubs have one of the higher strikeout rates vs right-handers
- Patrick sits just under 1 K per inning this season
Caution: Humid conditions could impact grips late in the game, so think about starting with 4+ Ks if you’re laddering this prop!
Brewers vs. Cubs – Wrapping It Up
The Cubs have done well in close games at home and have been the more reliable club out of the bullpen. And that gives them a slight advantage on the moneyline, even though there’s some uncertainty around Ben Brown’s command.
Milwaukee offers value with +1.5. Why? Because Chad Patrick has allowed three runs or less in six of his last seven starts and has worked through at least five innings each time. That gives the Brewers enough stability early to stay within range.
As for prop bets, Pete Crow-Armstrong to record a hit is a good option. He’s produced really well against right-handed pitching and has been making consistent contact. Patrick’s strikeout total also has potential, although his pitch count and a weather delay could limit his chances. Check local radar and lineups before you place your bets!
Final Score Prediction: Chicago Cubs 5, Milwaukee Brewers 4
You can count on lead changes through the middle innings; both starters will give way by the sixth. The Cubs pulled ahead in the seventh after capitalizing on a matchup change out of Milwaukee’s bullpen. Chicago holds the lead from that point on, but the Brewers keep it close enough to cover the +1.5 in a 4–3 final!
