Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever Preview & Prediction (July 24, 2025)
Who’s on the schedule tonight? It’s the Las Vegas Aces vs. the Indiana Fever for a prime time WNBA game.
Indiana’s coming off their biggest win of the season, nabbing a Commissioner’s Cup title, and they did it without their star player, Caitlin Clark (she’s still out with a groin injury). That win only shows how much they’ve grown as a team after they went through a wobbly stretch earlier this year.
The Aces are in a much different place, as they’re sitting at 8-8 and looking up at the contenders. This week’s trade for NaLyssa Smith, a former No. 2 overall pick with skills but here-and-there play, felt like it was a reactive move. Giving up a 2027 first-rounder for a rotation-level forward? That looks more like a panic move than a calculated one.
The Fever are at the same 8–8 mark, but they have a totally different vibe. Indiana has a Cup title in hand, and when Clark is back? They’re set to rise in the playoff race.
Let’s talk about star power; A’ja Wilson is playing unreal basketball right now, and Indiana will most likely be missing Clark (she’s listed as day-to-day) and possibly Sophie Cunningham, who has a mild ankle sprain.
The Aces are looking for their identity midseason, while the Fever are trying to prove their Cup success wasn’t a one-off. The styles and the stakes will give this matchup a lot of edge going into tipoff!
Keep scrolling to read the game details, the latest betting odds, team forms, and our picks for the three best bets!
Game Details
- Matchup: Las Vegas Aces (12–11, 5–7 road) at Indiana Fever (12–12, 7–6 home)
- Date & Time: Thursday, July 24, 7 pm ET
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis
- How to Watch: Streaming on Prime Video
- Projection: Indiana has a 57.1% edge in win probability, and Las Vegas is at 42.9%
Betting Odds & Context
If you’re betting on this game, ESPN BET has the latest odds and lines:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Aces | -2.5 (-110) | -140 | Over 163.5 (-105) |
Fever | +2.5 (-110) | +120 | Under 163.5 (-115) |
- Team Totals: Aces o82.5/u82.5 (–115); Fever o81.5/u81.5 (–110/–120)
Injury Updates
- Aces: Megan Gustafson is out with a lower-leg issue
- Fever: Sophie Cunningham is sidelined due to an ankle injury (scans came back clear; she’ll be re-evaluated before the game); Caitlin Clark is still day-to-day with a right groin issue and is unlikely to play on Thursday
Team Form & Main Factors
We talked a little about how both teams have been playing, but let’s go a little deeper into the team forms, stats, and main factors!

Las Vegas Aces
- Record: 12–11 overall, 5–7 on the road
- A’ja Wilson: She is the engine of the saves and is the most dominant scorer in the league. She put up 53 against Indiana last year and is averaging 32+ over her last three. Her footwork and strength inside are forcing constant double-teams, but she keeps converting at a high rate.
- Defense: Vegas leads the league in fewest turnovers per game (11.7) and ranks near the top in blocks. That defensive stability has helped them stay competitive when the outside shooting stalls.
- Form: They’ve been unpredictable; one game, they’re moving the ball really well and controlling the glass, and the next, they’re passive and fall behind early. Wilson gives them a high floor, but guard play has been up and down; Chelsea Gray’s limited minutes and Jackie Young’s shooting dip have thrown off the perimeter flow.

Indiana Fever
- Record: 12–12 overall, 7–6 at home
- Injury Report: Caitlin Clark (groin) is unlikely to suit up Thursday. Sophie Cunningham is listed as out, but she could play depending on her eval before the game.
- Stepping Up: In the Cup Final without Clark, Kelsey Mitchell carried the offense with slashing drives and mid-range jumpers, and Aliyah Boston controlled the paint on both ends. Mitchell’s speed off the dribble gave Minnesota mismatch issues, and Boston’s positioning helped to neutralize second-chance looks.
- Form: Indiana’s half-court execution has improved. They’re smarter with shot selection and rotations, especially when they’re at home. They’ve held opponents under 80 in three of their last five and are forcing longer possessions defensively.
Main Matchups
What are the main things we’re watching? The following:
A’ja Wilson vs Aliyah Boston
Wilson is scoring from every angle in the paint and drawing fouls at a high rate. Boston has the strength to body her up but hasn’t been able to slow down elite post scorers this season. If Indiana can hold Wilson under 30 without constant double-teams? It’ll change how Vegas runs its offense. If not, Boston risks getting pulled out of position or into foul issues.
Bench vs. Depth
With Clark and Cunningham possibly out, Indiana’s rotation is thinned out. Fagbenle and Wallace have seen more floor time, but neither one is a consistent scorer. Las Vegas will bring in Stokes, Bell, and Clark to stabilize lineups. Indiana needs scoring from someone not named Mitchell or Boston, or they’ll fall behind in the non-star player minutes.
Pace & Scoring
Neither side is built for high-volume threes, and both teams rely on half-court sets. Vegas is averaging just over 82 PPG, and Indiana usually stalls out when Mitchell isn’t creating shots. If Vegas sends extra defenders at Wilson and Indiana can’t generate clean looks off the rotation, their offense stalls and the tempo drops. On the other end, Indiana’s lack of off-the-dribble creation without Clark puts a cap on their ceiling. This matchup favors a lower total unless one team starts racking up second-chance points or transition looks off turnovers.
Our Best Bets
Where’s the value in this matchup? We have three best bets that are based on the trends, player usage, and pace projections!
| Pick | Confidence | Why Do We Like It? |
|---|---|---|
| ★★★☆☆ (Medium) | Indiana’s been sharper in close games and more dependable at home than Vegas away. |
Under 162.5 (–110) | ★★★★☆ (High) | Neither team pushes tempo, and both rely on defense inside the arc. |
A’ja Wilson 23+ PTS –125 | ★★★★☆ (High) | She’s the first option on nearly every set; Indiana doesn’t have a real counter. |
Betting Angle Breakdown
How did we choose our best bets? Look below for a complete betting breakdown!
Fever +2.5 (-110)
- Our Confidence Level: Medium
Indiana’s been really dependable at home and hits the court with the stronger recent form. Vegas hasn’t looked good on the road, and the Fever have an analytics edge in win probability.
Under 163.5 (–115)
- Our Confidence Level: High
Expect a half-court game, with both teams relying on interior defense and limited fast-break chances. Injuries to main scorers will only reinforce the case for the under.
A’ja Wilson 23+ Points
- Our Confidence Level: High
Clark and Cunningham are, as of now, out, so Indiana will have to collapse the lane, and Wilson’s still going to get her looks. She’s cleared 23+ in 5 of her last 6.
Aces vs. Fever: Our Final Say
With the teams tied in the standings, Thursday’s game gives either side a shot at separation. Las Vegas has been erratic on the road all season, and despite the addition of NaLyssa Smith, they still haven’t solved their spacing issues or bench scoring gap.
Indiana’s record at home has kept them in the convo, and even if Caitlin Clark and Sophie Cunningham don’t play, the Fever showed their ceiling by taking the Cup. The backcourt has more than stepped up, and Aliyah Boston will have her hands full dealing with A’ja Wilson’s interior presence.
Best Bets Recap
- Fever +2.5 (-110): Medium Confidence
- Under 163.5 (-115): High Confidence
- A’ja Wilson 23+ PTS: High Confidence
Final Score Prediction: Indiana Fever 79, Las Vegas Aces 75
Why? Indiana’s ability to defend at home, limit second-chance looks, and exploit Vegas’ road inconsistencies gives them the advantage. Even with Wilson pushing the pace inside, the Fever’s support pieces and defensive rotation are in a better place right now!
Boston Red Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Top Bets (July 23, 2025)
Cristopher Sanchez was absolutely dealing against the Red Sox on Tuesday night! He struck out 12 and went the distance in the Phillies’ 4–1 win over the Red Sox.
Kepler and Schwarber both knocked out homers, but this game was all Sanchez (he’s now 9–2); breezes through all nine innings on 106 pitches without giving up a single walk.
The Phils are now up 2 games in the series, and the second game was a lot less weird than the first, when Philadelphia won with a “walk off.” The game was tied at 2-2 in the 10th inning, bases loaded, and Phillies batter Edmundo Sosa checked his swing on a 2–2 pitch. His bat clipped Red Sox catcher Carlos Narváez’s glove. After a replay review, it was ruled a catcher’s interference, sending Sosa to first base and the runner from third home for a 3–2 Phillies win. It’s only the second walk-off via catcher’s interference in MLB history, and it was wild.
Game three is in Philly at the Bank, and first pitch is at 7:05 pm ET. Will the Phillies sweep? Or will the Red Sox get the last game?
Keep scrolling to see the latest betting odds, starting pitchers, team form, head-to-head, season stats, and our three best bets!
Game Details
- Matchup: Boston Red Sox (54–48) at Philadelphia Phillies (58–43)
- Date & Time: Wednesday, July 23, at 7:05 pm ET
- Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- Weather Forecast: High near 82°F, partly cloudy, with a slight breeze blowing out to left field, and those are perfect conditions for homers
- How to Watch: MLB.TV, local RSNs, and ESPN+
Betting Odds
If you’re gonna put some money on this MLB game, here are the latest odds and lines via FanDuel:
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total Runs |
|---|---|---|---|
Red Sox | +1.5 (-160) | +130 | Over 8.5 (-122) |
Phillies | -1.5 (+132) | -154 | Under 8.5 (+100) |
- Implied Win Probabilities (via FanDuel odds): Phillies ~60.6%; Red Sox ~43.5%
FYI: The odds might shift during the day depending on team lineups and the betting volume, so lock in your bets early!
Starting Pitching Matchup & Breakdown
Who’s on the hill for the Phils and the Red Sox? Here’s who is slated to start!
| Matchup | Cristopher Sánchez (PHI) | Jesús Luzardo (BOS) |
|---|---|---|
2025 Stats | 8–2, 2.45 ERA, 1.09 WHIP | 6–6, 4.21 ERA, 1.32 WHIP |
Hand | LHP | LHP |
Recent Form | Allowed 2 ER or fewer in 8 of last 10 starts | Solid outing last start after June slump |
Notes | Hard to barrel up; leans on movement and pinpoint changeups | Throws harder than Sánchez, but gives up bigger innings and walks at a higher rate |
Pitching Analysis
- Bullpen edge: Phillies (3.45 ERA) outperform the Red Sox bullpen (4.28 ERA).
- Splits vs. LHP: Phillies hit .280 against lefties; Boston’s lineup is less effective in same-side matchups.
Recent Form & Momentum
How have Philadelphia and Boston been playing lately? Here’s the recent form and momentum for both clubs:

Red Sox Trends
- Entered the All-Star break on a 10-game win streak but have dropped 3 of 4 since.
- Lineup cooled off: Only 3 runs total across two losses in Philly.
- The bullpen’s been overworked this week, so watch for possible overuse.

Phillies Trends
- Took the first two games of this series, including the strangest walk-off win on Monday.
- 31–17 at Citizens Bank Park, which is one of the best home records in MLB.
- Their bullpen ERA ranks among the best in the NL since mid-June
Head-to-Head History
- Last 10 meetings overall: Phillies lead 6–4
- Red Sox road trips to Philly: They’re 1–3 in their last 4
- Last matchup (July 2024): Phillies won 5–3, featuring a go‑ahead three‑run inning in the 7th
- Scoring trend: The average combined runs in the last 5 meetings is approximately 9.2, and that signals an over trend
Main Factors to Watch
What will we be keeping our peepers on in this game? These things:
- Scoring Windows: Boston’s lineup is really aggressive in the first few innings, but Philly tends to chip away and break through in the middle innings.
- Bullpen Edge: The Phillies have a relief advantage with the top five in bullpen ERA and WAR.
- Lefty Matchups: Philadelphia hits against left-handed pitchers really well (.280 team average); Boston doesn’t hit against southpaws as cleanly.
- Ballpark Conditions: Citizens Bank is hitter-friendly with warm weather and wind carrying to left field.
Our Best Bets
What looks good for this matchup? We think the following three are your best bets, and there’s a bonus lean that’s worth a look!
1. Phillies Moneyline (–154)
Our Confidence Level: ★★★★☆
Why Do We Like It?
Sánchez has kept games under control with movement and location, and the Phillies have been solid at home all season. Boston’s recent streak stopped cold once they ran into better pitching.
2. Sánchez Under 6.5 Strikeouts
Our Confidence Level: ★★★★☆
Why Do We Like It?
The Red Sox have made pitchers work, and Sánchez has finished under this number in four of his last six starts. This feels like a night where contact could play a much bigger role.
3. Over 8.5 Total Runs (–122)
Our Confidence Level: ★★★☆☆
Why Do We Like It?
Citizen’s Bank Park favors hitters in this weather, and both pens have logged innings in the last two nights. If either starter exits early? Things could open up in the later innings.
4. Same Game Parlay (bonus)
Our Confidence Level: ★★★☆☆
- Phillies ML + Over 7.5 Total Runs = +210 (estimated)
This one is for those who are looking for that plus-money juice! It’s a good value combo if you’re expecting a Philly win with action on the scoreboard.
Risk Factors & Watchouts
- Devers vs. Lefties: He’s hitting .489 this season against left-handed pitching and already has six homers off southpaws. Sánchez has to be precise, because anything that’s left over the plate? It could get launched.
- Luzardo’s Blow-Up Potential: In 4 of his last 6 outings, he’s given up 3+ runs in a single frame. If he loses command, Philadelphia’s lineup is built to stack extra-base hits.
- Bullpen Workload: Phillies arms like Alvarado and Hoffman have pitched two days in a row. If Sánchez exits early, the relievers behind him may not be the ones they want on the hill in close spots.
Suggested Bet Slip
Want help with a bet slip? We gotchu! Here’s where we’re putting our money for this one:

Don’t forget to stake appropriately; 1–2 units per bet max unless you’re unusually confident!
Can Philly Defend the Bank?
The Phillies have the pitching advantage and home record to back it up. Sánchez has been dazzling on the hill, and Philly’s bullpen has more depth if this turns into a reliever-heavy finish. Boston’s bats have been hot, but they’ve def hit a wall in this series, and it’s a bad spot to snap out of it against Sánchez at Citizens Bank Park.
Best Bets Recap
- Phillies ML (–154): ★★★★☆
- Sánchez Under 6.5 Ks (~–120): ★★★★☆
- Over 8.5 Runs (–112): ★★★☆☆
- Parlay: PHI ML + Over 7.5 (+210): ★★★☆☆
Final Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Red Sox 4
This one might be close into the middle innings, but if either arm starts to wear down? Philly has the stronger relief crew and the lineup depth to take over in the late innings!
Remember to bet smart and keep it responsible.
Sports Betting vs. Casino Gambling: Which Is More Skill-Based?
People love to think that they have an edge when they’re gambling. Why would you play otherwise? We get that! It’s a normal way to approach it.
But do you really have one? It’s an important question to ask yourself when your money is on the line! Are you really leveraging skill and knowledge, or are you just hoping that luck will smile upon you?
Sports betting and casino games both scratch the gambling itch, but they really differ in how much skill a player can use. Why? Because sports bettors do a lot of research, and when you’re playing a casino game, they’re engineered to be random.
Do either reward skills? Or is it all up to Lady Luck? This is the great debate between these two pastimes: skill vs. chance in sports betting and casino games. When we finish our exploration, you’ll know which one gives players a better chance, and why understanding the difference has such an impact on your bankroll!
Defining Skill vs. Chance in Gambling
First, let’s clarify what we mean when we say a “skill-based” game versus a game of chance. In skill-based gambling, your decisions and knowledge can influence the outcome.
In chance-based games, the outcomes are all random, and no amount of strategy can change the odds. Most gambling activities fall on a spectrum between these extremes. On one end, you have pure luck games like the lottery or roulette; each draw or spin is unpredictable. The odds of hitting the Powerball jackpot are about 1 in 292 million, which shows how little control a player has. On the opposite end of the spectrum are contests that are almost entirely driven by skill, like competitive poker.
Sports betting? That lies somewhere in the middle: it’s not as random as a lottery, but it’s also not as skill-dominant as poker.
Randomness and House Edge
Casino games are built around probability and statistics that favor the house over the long run. Every slot pull or roulette spin has outcomes distributed by design. You might get lucky in the short term, but the math guarantees that the casino makes a profit overall. In games of pure chance, zero amount of strategy can overcome this built-in advantage. If you play these games long enough, the results will inevitably align with the house edge and whittle down your bankroll. That’s why casinos love long play sessions; given enough time? The house always wins.

Skill-based gambling allows players to gain a long-term edge (or at least decrease the house edge) with expertise, strategy, and better decision-making. The important distinction is in the long-term vs. short-term outcomes.
- In the short run, luck can sway results in any game. A newbie could win a single poker hand against a pro with lucky cards, or a casual sports bettor might hit a big parlay one weekend.
- A long-term edge means that across dozens or hundreds of bets, the person who is making smarter decisions should come out ahead (or lose less) compared to someone who is relying totally on luck.
To illustrate, consider two extremes: slot machines vs. poker. Slots are 100% luck; you pull the lever and hope. There’s no decision that changes the outcome, and the machine is calibrated to pay out less than it takes in (aka the house edge). In contrast, poker is heavily skill-influenced: decisions like when to bet, fold, or bluff separate the winners from losers over time.
A study found that professional poker players won about 55% of their hands on average, and amateurs won only 45%. That difference, though it’s small per hand, is a meaningful edge gained by skill over the long run. The same logic applies to sports betting vs. most casino games; sports betting has more avenues for skill to make a difference, whereas typical casino games rely on chance.
The Case for Sports Betting as a Skill Game
Sports betting is often held up as a thinking person’s gamble. Unlike spinning a wheel or feeding a slot, betting on sports allows (and arguably requires) you to do tons of research, analyze info, and make informed predictions. Below is why so many argue that sports wagering is a skill-based endeavor!
Successful sports bettors treat it pretty much like an investment or a job. They study team statistics, player performance, weather conditions, injuries, and countless other factors before they place a wager. By crunching numbers and staying informed, you can identify bets that have value; where the odds offered are better than the true probability of an outcome.
Professional bettors can spend up to 40–60 hours a week analyzing games and developing models to find an edge. And all of this homework does pay off. If you know a star quarterback is injured (and the market hasn’t adjusted the odds yet), your knowledge can lead to a smarter bet than the average person who just bets on the favorite.
Past just picking winners, skillful sports betting involves strategy in how you bet. This includes managing your bankroll wisely and choosing the right spots to bet. A big part of the sports betting skillset is understanding odds and line movement.
Sports odds aren’t fixed; bookmakers adjust the lines as money comes in or news breaks. A skilled bettor monitors all of these shifts. If the public is heavily betting on one side because everyone is hyped about Team A, the odds can move to favor Team B, creating a potential value opportunity for contrarian bettors.
Sharp bettors also pay attention to “sharp money,” which is bets from respected, knowledgeable players, as they signal the more informed side of a wager. In some cases, experienced bettors can even influence the odds themselves. Skilled gamblers will place small decoy bets to move the point spread, then hammer the favorable line with a big bet. It’s a more advanced tactic, but it underscores how much strategy can matter in sports betting.
Skill in sports betting isn’t only picking the right team; it’s also how you manage your money and optimize your bets. Smart bettors employ techniques like value betting (only betting when the odds are in your favor relative to true probability) and arbitrage (betting on all outcomes via different bookmakers to lock a small profit when possible). An important concept is closing line value (CLV), which is a metric that compares the odds you bet vs. the final closing odds.
Consistently “beating the closing line” (getting a better number than the closing odds) is considered a hallmark of skilled bettors. If you bet a football team at +3 (underdog by 3 points) early in the week, and by game time the line moves to +1, you’ve beaten the closing line. Even if that particular bet loses, making bets at better odds than the market’s final consensus means in the long run you’re likely to profit.
This is why the smartest gamblers shop for the best lines across sportsbooks! They compare odds on DraftKings vs. FanDuel, and usually bet early before lines sharpen. They also practice discipline in bet sizing, like risking only 1-2% of their bankroll on a given play, to survive the swings of variance. All of these skills in money management separate sustainable betting strategies from reckless gambling.
Perhaps the strongest argument that sports betting can be skill-based? The existence of people who consistently win. The truth is, most sports bettors lose money because sportsbooks wouldn’t exist if everyone beat them.
Estimates suggest only about 1–5% of bettors are profitable long-term, and they are always the disciplined, analytical ones. These are professional bettors or handicappers who find an edge over the house’s odds. Ever heard of legendary sports bettor Billy Walters? It’s said that he earned hundreds of millions of dollars over his career by outsmarting the bookmakers. How? Walters used computer models and a network of informants to identify mispriced lines and would place massive bets (indirectly to avoid detection) to capitalize on them. He’s an extreme outlier, but he proved that skill and strategy can yield consistent profits in sports betting. Even on a smaller scale, there are sports betting syndicates and sharps who grind out profits season after season by staying a step ahead of the oddsmakers.
Modern sports bettors also have an array of tools that make it more of a skill game. Data analytics, predictive algorithms, and AI models are used to project game outcomes. A casual bettor can subscribe to services that provide advanced statistics or use software to track bets and performance. Most serious bettors keep detailed records of all their wagers to analyze what’s working. There are also betting exchanges and odds-tracking apps that help identify when a line is off. All of these tools can improve a bettor’s results, but only if they are used with skill and understanding.
All that said, luck still plays a big role in sports betting, no question about it. Unexpected things happen in sports all the time, like a last-second fumble, a freak injury, or a bad ref call, and even the best bettor will have losing streaks. But over the long haul? Skillful bettors do believe they can tilt the odds in their favor.
They accept short-term luck (good or bad) as part of the game, and focus instead on making smart decisions that should yield profits in the long run. The 3% of bettors who do win long-term prove that sports betting isn’t just random luck. It’s difficult—extremely difficult—to beat the sportsbooks consistently, but it is possible with the right knowledge, strategy, and discipline.
The Case for Casino Gambling as a Skill Game
Okay, so when you think of casino gambling, “skill” probably isn’t the first word that pops into your mind. Slot machines and the roulette wheel ooze pure chance. And indeed, most casino games are designed so that no strategy can overcome the built-in odds. But there are a few corners of the casino where player skill can make a noticeable difference!
Casinos do have a handful of games where decision-making matters. The prime examples? Poker and blackjack. Poker, because you’re playing against other people, not the house, so a skilled player can regularly outplay less skilled opponents and take their money. That’s why poker is considered a game of skill, so much that it’s not legally classified as “gambling” in some jurisdictions. As we said earlier, skilled poker pros win a higher percentage of hands and money than amateurs.
When you play blackjack, you are playing against the dealer, who has an element of skill in terms of optimal strategy. You make decisions on each hand—hit, stand, double down—and those choices have mathematically “correct” moves. A player following basic strategy, which is the mathematically best move for every card combo, can decrease the house edge to as low as 0.5%.
That’s a really small edge for the house, so a skilled blackjack player loses only about 50 cents on average per $100 bet, compared to an unskilled player who might be up against a house edge of 2-8% because of mistakes. In games like video poker, using proper strategy can also bring the return-to-player (RTP) percentage super close to 100%.
In addition to basic strategy, there are certain casino games that allow for advantage play techniques that give the player a long-term edge. The most famous? Card counting in blackjack. By keeping track of what cards have been dealt, a skilled card counter can tell when the remaining deck is rich in high cards, which is favorable to the player. Then they raise their bets, and when the deck is unfavorable, they bet minimal amounts.
This technique, if done adeptly, can turn that 0.5% house edge to about a 1% player edge in a blackjack game. A card counter can beat blackjack in the long run, and casinos know it. They shuffle the deck more often, ban known counters, or use multiple decks to make counting harder. Still, blackjack offers a sliver of hope where skill and stealth can turn into profits.
Other advantage plays include looking for dealer errors, exploiting promotion loopholes, or “hole carding” (gleaning a look at the dealer’s facedown card), all of which are highly skillful (and sometimes ethically gray) tactics. Outside of blackjack, skilled video poker players hunt for specific machines with favorable pay tables and combine expert play with casino comps to gain an edge. Poker, as we said, is beatable by skill, and there are pro poker players who make their living in casino card rooms at games like Texas Hold’em and Omaha, where the casino only takes a small rake from each pot but doesn’t mind who wins.
Despite the above examples, the vast majority of what you’ll find on a casino floor leaves almost no room for skill. The slot machines, roulette wheels, craps tables, keno draws; all are fundamentally games of chance with a programmed advantage for the house. No strategy can predict where a roulette ball will land or what symbols the slot reels will stop on. Each spin is independent and random. In roulette, bets pay 35-to-1 on a single number, but the true odds are 37-to-1 (on a double-zero wheel), yielding a 5.26% house edge every spin.
Craps has bets with a low house edge (some under 1%), but again the outcomes are pure dice rolls; you can choose bets that minimize the edge, but you cannot change the odds.
Slot machines are the worst for players: they have some of the highest house edges (slot hold percentages can range from 5% to 15% or more for the casino), and they involve zero skill. You just press a button. The outcomes are determined by random number generators that guarantee a certain percentage payout over time called RTP (return to player), and it’s typically 85-97% on slots, meaning the house keeps 3-15%. You can’t improve your chances by playing better on a slot; you can only get lucky or not.
House edge and payout structures are such that, over the long term, a player will lose money on these games, guaranteed. It’s worth emphasizing that even in the most skill-influenced casino games like blackjack, the best you can do (without special advantage tricks) is roughly break even, and in everything else, the odds are against you. The casino’s profit margins are literally built on the assumption that chance, not your skill, dictates the outcomes.
Casinos are masters at leveraging human psychology. Almost all games feel like they involve skill or give the player a sense of control when they don’t. Take slot machines: the “Stop” button that lets you halt the spinning reels? It can make you feel like your timing mattered, but in truth, the result was decided the moment you hit “Spin.”
Stopping the reels doesn’t change the outcome at all; it’s purely for player satisfaction. Studies have found that features like stop buttons encourage an erroneous perception of skill in slots. Similarly, slot machines will tease you with “near misses,” like when the jackpot symbol lands just one spot above or below the payline. It feels like you “almost” won, and players interpret that as being somehow due or getting closer, which is an illusion.
The near-misses increase players’ motivation to keep playing, tricking the brain into a false sense of control or progress. Another example is craps: players rolling the dice have their own little rituals and genuinely feel their throw influences the result (“setting” the dice, blowing on them for luck, etc.). While dice setting is a debated concept, those actions don’t change the random outcome, but it does make them feel involved and skillful.
Casinos design electronic roulette or craps games with touchscreens where you “toss” a digital ball or dice, imitating a skill gesture while still giving a random result. This mimicry of skill keeps players engaged and betting. It’s the psychology of gambling: humans are wired to find patterns and to believe they have control, which is known as the illusion of control. Casino games exploit this by giving just enough interactivity or near-success feedback to make you think your choices mattered, when in reality, luck was always in control.
Casino gambling is predominantly luck-driven, with a few notable exceptions. Games like poker and blackjack provide a space for skilled players to excel (to a degree), and a handful of elite gamblers have found ways to beat the house using skill and smarts. Those are the exceptions, not the rule. The typical casino offering is not designed to reward skill; it’s designed to be a fun, random flutter where the odds favor the house. The average person playing slots or roulette has essentially no chance to improve their expected outcome with skillful play. You might get lucky, you might have a big win, but that’s just variance smiling on you for a moment.
Head-to-Head Comparison
To really crystallize the differences, below is a side-by-side comparison of sports betting versus casino gambling that hits on several important dimensions!
| Feature | Sports Betting | Casino Gambling |
|---|---|---|
Skill Involvement | High (with strategy): Your research and decisions can have a significant impact on outcomes. | Low to Moderate: Most games rely on luck, with a few (poker, blackjack) allowing some strategy. |
Variance | Medium-High: Upsets and swings happen, but skill can smooth results over time. | High: Outcomes are highly unpredictable and can swing wildly; luck dominates in the short run. |
Long-Term Profit Potential | Yes (with edge): A small percentage of bettors can profit long-term by skillfully exploiting odds. | Rare: Except for skilled poker or blackjack play, the house edge makes long-term profit unlikely. |
Tools for Players | Data analysis, models, line shopping, bet tracking software, expert picks; there are plenty of resources to improve betting decisions. | Basic strategies for a few games (e.g., blackjack charts, poker knowledge); otherwise, mostly bankroll management to endure luck. |
Public Perception | Strategic: Often seen as a form of analysis or investing (e.g., “handicapping” games like an expert). | Recreational/Luck-based: Viewed as a fun diversion; big wins are seen as lucky streaks rather than mastery. |
Why It Matters for Your Gambling Strategy
Understanding whether a game is skill-based or luck-based isn’t just an academic exercise; it has real implications for how you should approach gambling and where to put your time and money!
Sports Betting
If you want to minimize randomness and have a say in the outcome, sports betting gives you way more to work with. It rewards preparation. You can study, hone your prediction models, learn from each bet, and gradually improve. If you’re the type of person who likes studying stats, following news, and seeking patterns? Sports betting is the more of the two.

The ability to find an edge means you at least have a chance at long-term profit (though as we’ve said, it’s difficult). From a strategy perspective, this means investing your energy in developing skills; you have to learn about bankroll management, understand how odds are made, practice picking value bets, etc. Over time, a skilled sports bettor can get better at avoiding sucker bets and focusing on wagers where the odds are in their favor.
Casino Gambling
Casino gambling is easier to get into for a beginner, but far harder (virtually impossible) to beat in the long run. If you’re looking for a quick thrill with no homework required, casino games are literally designed for that. You can sit down at a slot machine or a roulette table and play with no knowledge needed, just money and a willingness to risk it.

This makes casino games great for entertainment; it’s fun! And fun is a perfectly valid reason to gamble, as long as you do so responsibly. But you have to be aware that you’re unlikely to win long-term at these games. The longer you play, the more certain it becomes that the house edge will eat away at your funds.
So if you do choose casino gambling, your strategy should be centered on entertainment and budget. Set strict limits, treat any wins as lucky bonuses, and know when to walk away. It’s not a domain where doubling down on effort yields better results; playing longer or “trying harder” won’t overcome the math. Most casino games thrive on a negative feedback loop: losing players will keep chasing losses or believe a win is “due,” and that just leads to more losses. Don’t fall into that trap, and accept that luck is in control.
Risk Tolerance/Goals
Risk tolerance and personal goals also come into play.
| Sports Betting | Casino Gambling |
|---|---|
Sports betting, with a mixture of skill and uncertainty, usually has a moderate variance if you stick to single bets (you’ll win around 50-55% on good days, lose about the same on bad days if you’re somewhat skilled). But if you lack skill or discipline, you can still lose a lot; sometimes more slowly, but inevitably. | Casino gambling, except for poker, has a higher variance. You could go bust quickly or hit a big win, but you can’t control it. If you’re someone who can’t tolerate the idea that you have no control, you will find pure luck games maddening. If you’re gambling strictly for excitement and leisure? The strategic aspect of sports betting might not be enjoyable for you, whereas a night at the casino will be just the ticket. |
Profit Goals
If your aim is to make money or at least not lose money gambling, you should pick sports betting, poker, or potentially blackjack (with a lot of practice and maybe some card counting).
Be prepared to treat it seriously: it entails lots of learning, analyzing results, and being super disciplined. It might even mean specializing in one sport or one game type so you can become an expert in that one niche.
And even in sports betting, only a tiny percentage of people can make a living or make a significant profit from it. But at least you’re fighting a winnable fight, compared to, say, trying to beat the slot machines (which is unwinnable by design). The upside of skill games is that with dedication, you can noticeably improve your results. The downside? It can feel like work and takes a lot of patience, as you won’t win every time, even when you do everything right.
If your goal is pure entertainment and you don’t care if you lose a set amount of money, as you just want to have fun, then the distinction matters less, and it becomes a matter of preference. Do you like the analytical process of sports, or the sensory thrill of the casino? You’ll probably prefer casino gambling in that case, because it’s simple fun.
Tips for Skill-Based Gambling Success
Looking for some tips? We have them! Look below for ones you can apply to skill-based gambling.
- Track Closing Line Value (CLV): This is your reality check. If you consistently bet at better odds than where the line ends up, it’s a good sign you’re reading the market well, even if every result doesn’t go your way. Long-term, beating the closing line is a really strong indicator of skill.
- Use Bet Tracking Software: Don’t rely on your memory. Keeping track of your bets, stakes, and outcomes helps you spot trends, identify leaks, and stop lying to yourself about how well you’re doing. It’s also a way to see where you might already have an edge.

- Study Line Movement and Public Betting Trends: Understanding how odds shift, and why can separate you from casual bettors. If a line moves away from the popular side, that’s usually a clue about where sharper money is going. Use that info to time your bets and avoid inflated lines.
- Stick to Bankroll Rules: The best edge in the world won’t matter if you’re betting too much on a single game. Set a fixed percentage per bet and resist the urge to chase bigger payouts. Discipline keeps you in the game long enough for your skill to matter.
- Never Chase Losses: Everyone takes a hit. What matters is how you respond. Doubling your bets after a losing streak isn’t bold, it’s reckless. Staying calm, sticking to your system, and logging off when you’re tilted are the traits of a skilled player.
Conclusion: Skills or Thrills?
If you’re putting money on the line, you should know what you’re playing for! Sports betting does reward effort, but it asks for a lot of it. Casino gambling? It’s all luck dressed up in lights and sound—that is, unless you’re sitting at a poker table or counting cards without getting caught.
There’s no shame in choosing fun over profit, but you can’t confuse the two! If you’re after wins, pick a game where your decisions will matter. If you’re only chasing a high, don’t fool yourself that you have a strategy.
Here’s a recap of the sports betting vs. casino gambling debate:
- Sports betting gives you way more room to apply skill, but it’s by no means automatic. You’ll need to study, track, and stay disciplined if you want to win.
- All casino games run on luck. If there’s any edge to be had, it’s in poker or blackjack with strategy. The rest? The house rules.
- This isn’t about better or worse! It’s about knowing what you’re after. Want control and a shot at profit? Go where skill matters. Want quick hits and fun? Casino gambling it the one for you!
Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces Prediction & Preview (July 22, 2025)
The Aces are back on home court following the All-Star game and will be facing off against the Dream.
Both Vegas (11-11) and Atlanta (13-9) want to get a better foothold in a close playoff fight, and it all goes down at the Michelob ULTRA Arena in Nevada at 10 pm ET.
Two of the league’s top scorers, A’ja Wilson (22.3 PPG, 2nd in the WNBA) and Allisha Gray (18.4 PPG, 8th), will hit the floor Tuesday night, and you can watch it on ESPN.
Las Vegas is coming off a 90–86 road win over Dallas, backed by Wilson’s 37 points, 10 rebounds, and 2 blocks on 60% shooting. Jewell Loyd added 14 points and 8 boards on 45.5% from the field.
Atlanta’s last outing was a blowout 86–49 win in Chicago; Brittney Griner led with 15 points and 2 blocks on 75% shooting, and Gray posted 14 points, 7 rebounds, and 5 assists, even though she was shooting only 2-for-8 from beyond the arc.
Keep scrolling to see a breakdown of this WNBA game; we’ve got the latest betting odds, team forms, what to watch for, and our picks for the three best bets!
Game Details
- Matchup: Atlanta Dream (13-9, 5-6 away) at the Las Vegas Aces (11-11, 6-4 home)
- Date & Time: Tuesday, July 22, 10 pm ET
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV
- How to Watch: ESPN
- Records vs. Spread: Dream 11-11 ATS | Aces 8-14 ATS
Latest Betting Odds
If you wanna bet on the Aces vs. the Dream, ESPN BET has the latest odds and lines!
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Dream | +1.5 (-120) | -105 | Over 160.5 (-115) |
Aces | -1.5 (EVEN) | -115 | Under 160.5 (-105) |
Remember that odds and lines can change, so always check your sportsbook for any updates!
Current Form & What to Watch (Post-All-Star Break)
Las Vegas Aces: Dropped three straight before the break, then pulled out a 90–86 win over Dallas. A’ja Wilson led with 37 points and is averaging 32.3 over her last three. The team is 11–11 and still adjusting to changes in rotation and shot distribution.
Atlanta Dream: Have won 3 of their last 5 but remain inconsistent on the road (5–6 record). They rely on interior scoring and physical defense around the rim, with limited outside shooting.
What to Watch
Now that the All-Star Game is done and dusted, regular games are resuming. What are we watching for in this particular matchup? The following:
- Can Atlanta slow down Wilson without bringing a second defender and leaving shooters open? When teams double her on the catch or bring help from the wing, she passes out quickly, and opponents have created open looks by swinging the ball into space. The Dream hasn’t rotated really well in those kinds of spots.
- Will the Aces improve their perimeter looks? They’re hitting 31.8% from three, and way too many of those are coming off forced possessions or without movement beforehand.
- Atlanta holds teams to 6.8 made threes per game, so if Vegas doesn’t get better spacing, they’ll need to rely on post entries, short midrange shots, or trips to the line, and none of that is guaranteed when you’re up against a crowded interior.
Our Best Bets
It’s about that time again! We handpicked the three best bets if you’re into this action.
#1 Aces –1.5 (Spread)
- Our Confidence Level: ★★★★☆ (4/5)
- Line: Aces –1.5 (EVEN at ESPN BET)
Why Do We Like It?
- A’ja Wilson is averaging 32.3 points during her last three and had 37 in the final game before the break. Atlanta doesn’t have the size or mobility inside to slow her down once she’s in position.
- Las Vegas is 6–4 at home and performs really well when they’re given a few days to prepare.
- The Dream are 5–6 on the road and sometimes erode defensively when they’re playing from behind.
- The line likely reflects the Aces’ overall record, not the current form of their best player. But with Wilson in control? This number has value!
#2 Under 160.5 Total Points
- Our Confidence Level: ★★★☆☆ (3/5)
- Line: 160.5 (–105 at ESPN BET)
Why Do We Like It?
- Recent totals support the under: 6 of Atlanta’s last 9 and 7 of Vegas’s last 10 have stayed below this mark.
- First games after extended breaks often lead to uneven possessions, fewer made threes, and longer rotations.
- Atlanta plays an inside-out offense and operates mainly in the half-court.
- The Aces shoot 31.8% from three and rely on post touches to score.
- The Dream allows only 6.8 made threes per game, and that forces Vegas to operate inside the arc and take more contested midrange looks.
#3 A’ja Wilson 30+ Points (Player Prop)
- Our Confidence Level: ★★★★☆ (4/5)
Why Do We Like It?
- Wilson has scored 30 or more in three in a row, including the 37-point performance right before the break.
- Atlanta doesn’t have a true interior defender who can handle Wilson’s strength and footwork near the rim.
- When the Aces need baskets, they go right to Wilson, and especially when it’s a close second half.
- She draws fouls at a high rate and converts at the line, giving her high-floor scoring lines even when the field goals aren’t falling at volume.
Our Final Thoughts
Final Score Prediction: Aces 82, Dream 75
The Aces cover –1.5, and the game stays under the 160.5 total
A’ja Wilson is an absolutely relentless presence in the paint. She draws the defenders in, forces defensive rotations, and keeps a ton of pressure on opposing frontcourts from tip-off until the final buzzer.
Atlanta’s biggest challenge? That’s managing the interior workload without opening up the perimeter. If they can protect the arc and keep Vegas from getting extra possessions, they could have a chance. But Vegas has the experience, an advantage on the glass, and a super reliable scoring anchor in Wilson, so we are firmly backing the Aces.
Best Bets Recap
- Aces –1.5 spread: ★★★★☆
- Under 160.5 total points: ★★★☆☆
- A’ja Wilson 30+ points: ★★★★☆
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction & Top Betting Picks (July 21, 2025)
The Yankees are heading north to Toronto, and hoo boy, they need to win this. The Blue Jays (58-42) passed NY (55-44) in the AL East standings, so this series gives the Yanks a chance to catch up. The playoff race is tightening up, and all of these head-to-head games count!
Carlos Rodón will start for New York after giving up 11 earned runs in his last two starts. Kevin Gausman goes out to the mound for Toronto, and he’s fared better, holding opponents to under three runs in three of his last four outings.
Both clubs are on the hunt for the playoffs; the Jays have a 70-80% chance to make the postseason. And the Yankees? They’re currently in the first Wild Card spot!
Who’s gonna win this one? Keep scrolling to see the latest betting odds, a complete matchup breakdown, our picks for the four best bets, and some prop bet recs!
Game Details
- Matchup: New York Yankees (55-44) at the Toronto Blue Jays (58-41)
- Date & Time: Monday, July 21, at 7:07 pm ET (Rogers Centre local time)
- Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
- Weather Forecast: Mostly sunny, highs in the low 70s°F, with temps dropping into the 60s
- How to Watch: Sportsnet (Canada), YES Network (Yankees region), or streaming on MLB.tv
- Starting Pitchers: Yankees: Carlos Rodón (10–6, 3.08 ERA); Blue Jays: Kevin Gausman (6–7, 4.19 ERA).
Betting Odds & Market Insight
Feel like betting on this ballgame? Below are the current odds and lines that DraftKings Sportsbook has posted:
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total Runs |
|---|---|---|---|
Yankees | -1.5 (+139) | -120 | Over 8 (-119) |
Blue Jays | +1.5 (-170) | -102 | Under 8 (-102) |
Matchup Breakdown
The Yankees and Blue Jays are in the middle of the AL playoff race. Rodón gets the ball for New York, and Toronto is going with Gausman at home. What else matters besides the starters? The bullpen, offense, and recent trends!
Pitching match-up

Carlos Rodón has a 3.08 ERA and really good strikeout numbers! He’s limiting walks and keeping hitters from squaring him up, and has already logged six innings of two-run ball at Rogers Centre earlier this year.

Kevin Gausman has had a little bit more trouble in his home starts, which include a 5+ ERA in Toronto this season. If Rodón works ahead in counts? The Yankees should have the advantage in the pitching department.
Bullpen & Depth
- Yankees:
- Bullpen is thin and banged up: lefty Ryan Yarbrough (signed for depth) is on the 15‑day IL with an oblique strain, still throwing off flat ground.
- Other arms like Mark Leiter Jr., Fernando Cruz, and Yerry De los Santos are also on IL, limiting depth.
- Internal options (Allan Winans, Ian Hamilton, Scott Effross) show flashes but remain inconsistent and unproven for high-leverage situations.
- Blue Jays:
- Strong relief core: 6th‑best bullpen ERA in MLB at ~3.55, with 30 saves and a 1.20 WHIP
- Key arms: Chad Green (setup), Jeff Hoffman (23 saves), and Brendon Little, all reliable in mid‑high leverage.
- Depth extends beyond the back end – several arms have stepped up across midsummer innings..
Offense & Trends
- Blue Jays: Toronto is 12–3 this month and averaging 5.8 runs per game. Guerrero Jr. has four home runs in his last seven, and Springer’s OBP is finally headed up.
- Yankees: New York has won five of their last seven against Toronto. Judge has gone yard twice in his last five.
Our Best Bets
Ready for some best bets? We picked out the four best angles based on stats and models!
1. Blue Jays Moneyline (–102 on DraftKings)
Our Confidence Level: Medium-High
Why Do We Like It?
Toronto has won 12 of its last 15 games, and that includes five of seven against New York this season alone. Gausman has fared better when he’s at home, and the Yankees’ lineup hasn’t done a lot against him historically. Both clubs are in the playoff picture, but we trust the side with the stronger recent win rate and better late-inning arms!
2. Under 8 Total Runs (if line closes at 8)
Our Confidence Level: Medium
Why Do We Like It?
Rodón has only allowed 3 runs or less in 9 of his last 11 starts. Gausman has kept hitters misreading his pitches at home despite his ERA. Three of Toronto’s last five wins have stayed under this number, so if this stays at 8? It’s playable! And you can hold out for 8.5 if you want a little more wiggle room.
3. First 5 Innings: Blue Jays -0.5
Our Confidence Level: Medium
Why Do We Like It?
Toronto has scored first in 10 of its last 14 games. Gausman has opened well in his recent outings; he’s logged really clean first innings in 5 of 6. Betting on the first half means you can steer clear of bullpen drop-offs.
4. Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Total Bases
Our Confidence Level: Medium
Why Do We Like It?
Bichette is 5-for-13 career vs. Rodón; he’s hitting .320 against left-handers this season, and he’s driven the offense this month with multi-hit games in three of his last six games.
Game Strategy & Prop Recs
Rodón and Gausman are both projected to stay under 3.5 earned runs through five, which puts early-inning unders and First 5 markets in play.
If you’re targeting bullpen props? Look at Jonathan Loáisiga for 3+ strikeouts or a hold if he enters with a lead; he’s logged at least 2 innings in 3 of his last 4 outings. Chad Green has picked up two holds in his last five appearances and could be a candidate again if Toronto is ahead late.
For hitters, you could think about late-game RBI props for lefties like Daulton Varsho, but only if Rodón is out by the sixth inning and the Yankees turn to a righty-heavy bullpen.
What to Watch Live
If you’re doing a little live betting, here’s what you should keep an eye on!
- Rodón’s pitch sequencing when Guerrero Jr. and Bichette are up with runners! Can he keep them from driving rallies?
- Gausman’s control during the first two times through the order. Why? Because he’s had some issues when the 4th and 5th innings roll around.
- Bullpen decisions around the sixth and seventh; Loáisiga and Green are always the likeliest candidates to handle pressure spots if either starter exits early.
Closing Line: Where to Place Your Bets
Final Score Prediction: Blue Jays 4, Yankees 2
Look, Toronto’s just been playing smarter baseball, plain and simple. They’re not making a lot of mistakes and getting more traffic on base. Gausman’s numbers at Rogers Centre are better than his road starts are, and the bullpen has held its own this month. Yes, Rodón’s been serviceable, but the Yankees’ lineup hasn’t clapped back in this matchup. The Jays have the advantage here, and we’re backing Toronto. Sorry, NY; it’s nothing personal!
Best Bets Recap
- Blue Jays Moneyline (–115): ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆
- Under 8 Total Runs: ⭐⭐⭐☆
- First 5 Innings: Blue Jays –0.5: ⭐⭐⭐☆
- Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Total Bases: ⭐⭐⭐☆
If you’re going with Toronto, hop on the number early! Home field advantage and their current form are baked into the price, but movement is always possible.
The Fastest Growing Online Casino Games in the U.S.
If you’ve played on a casino app in the last year and felt like half of the games look like slot machines on Monster energy drinks or blackjack with a TikTok filter slapped over it, you aren’t hallucinating. Online gambling in the U.S. has gone full-on warp speed ahead. Why? People got bored. So, gambling sites are cleaning up their acts in order to target different players than they used to.
The old-school stuff is still there, and it won’t be going away, but it is fading into the background. What’s getting the most attention are the game formats that have been built for mobile use, short sessions, and people who aren’t interested in the casino floor nostalgia. They may have never even seen a casino IRL. We’re seeing branded slots that feel like movie trailers, roulette with lightning bolts, and crash games that look like arcade games.
We aren’t doing a trend report; we are just taking note of the games that are pulling in the most players on a weekly basis, and how casino platforms are trying to meet the demand for these games!
Why Online Casino Games Are Booming
We can’t act like online casino games are catching on because of a trend. There are obvious reasons why they’re growing, and they have less to do with “technology” and more to do with what players want. And that’s real access, real rewards, and platforms that respect their time. It’s not a mystery! It’s a reaction to years of bad casino UX and limited access finally getting fixed.
From state-by-state legalization to faster mobile apps and better loyalty systems, below is what’s driving the boom.
The single biggest factor behind the recent surge? States started getting out of their own way. As more U.S. states began regulating online casinos, what was once a fringe option became a mainstream way to gamble legally, without crossing a state line or stepping into a physical casino.
New Jersey, Michigan, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, and Connecticut are already in the game. Others like Illinois and Indiana are moving closer. And the more states that allow it, the larger the market becomes—not just for players, but for developers. Bigger markets mean more funding, which means stronger apps, better games, and more innovation from platforms competing for attention.
The legalization wave has flipped casino gaming from a static experience into a living one that adjusts to user demand. You want more tables? They add them. You want daily drops or real-time bonuses? They build those in. You’re no longer gambling under restrictions—you’re gambling in a growing, player-driven economy.
When casino platforms stopped pretending everyone wanted to play on a desktop browser, things took off. Today’s apps are built to live on your phone—not as an afterthought, but as the main event. That shift wasn’t just cosmetic. It rewired how people interact with the games.
Shorter sessions, faster load times, instant deposits and withdrawals—it’s all part of the same push: make casino play accessible in the same way social media or streaming is. Tap, play, move on. You don’t need to commit to a two-hour table session. You can jump in for three hands of blackjack, 20 spins on a Megaways slot, or one round of Lightning Roulette and still walk away satisfied.
More than 70% of online casino activity now happens on mobile. That’s not a side trend—that’s the core market. And game developers know it. Which is why the newest, fastest-growing titles are designed with vertical play, one-hand tapping, and instant feedback in mind.
The apps that are thriving aren’t just shoving old games into new skins. They’re reworking how games are delivered. Live dealers are streamed with HD cameras and built-in chat. Loyalty systems give players XP bars, challenges, and unlockable perks that carry across sessions. Animations don’t look like they’re from 2005 anymore—they react to wins, bonuses, and near-misses in real time.
What this adds up to is an experience that feels less cold and transactional. You’re not just betting—you’re participating in something. Platforms have studied how mobile games keep users hooked, and they’ve borrowed every smart trick: progression mechanics, sound design, visual reinforcement, and push rewards that encourage re-entry.
The result? Even players who weren’t interested in online gambling a few years ago are logging in and staying longer, because it doesn’t feel like the same old casino.
The proof’s in the pudding, or, erm, the data. Online casino revenue in the U.S. jumped more than 15% year-over-year in early 2025, with Q1 figures clearing $6 billion across legal states. Michigan and Pennsylvania continue to break records month after month, and New Jersey is still one of the top-grossing regions for online slots and table games.
What’s more telling is where the money’s coming from: mobile. Nearly three-quarters of that revenue comes from players using their phones, not computers, not tablets, and definitely not retail kiosks. This is now a mobile-first business, and the games winning the most attention are the ones built specifically for that format.
All of this paints a clear picture. Online casino games are growing because they’ve finally caught up to how people want to gamble. The market isn’t expanding on hype—it’s expanding because it works.
Top 5 Fastest-Growing Online Casino Games in the U.S.
Not all casino games are pulling equal weight. Some are just sitting there, recycled and forgotten. But others? They’re driving the traffic, eating up mobile session time, and showing up in bonus promos because the casinos know that people keep coming back to them.
The following five formats aren’t only pulling ahead, they’re changing what online casino apps prioritize, how they market, and who they’re trying to reach. Read on for a breakdown of what’s growing right now and why!
1- Online Slots (Branded & Megaways)
You’ve seen them all over the place: slots that are based on TV shows, game shows, or blockbuster franchises, and they’re all packed with features and huge reels. Branded slots rely on familiar characters and logos, and Megaways titles are built with dynamic reel systems that create thousands of ways to win with every spin. They aren’t one-line cherry games; they’re loaded with animations, sound design, and bonus rounds that are designed to hold players’ attention.
Why They’re Growing
Three reasons: faster rounds, bigger payout ceilings, and recognizable themes. Players aren’t only looking for reels; they’re looking for engagement, and branded slots like Wheel of Fortune Megaways, Rick and Morty Megaways, or Buffalo Blitz Megaways deliver exactly that.

Plus, Megaways mechanics have something that traditional slots don’t, and that’s random reel expansion. The unpredictability keeps players playing when it’s combined with stacked multipliers or cascading wins. Add in autoplay features, fast re-spin triggers, and progressive jackpots, and it’s easy to see why these titles outperform the more static options.
Themed content makes a difference, too! A player who’s never touched a slot before might play because they recognize the brand. Once the bonus rounds hit? They stick around.
Where to Play
- BetMGM Casino: Offers Buffalo Blitz Megaways, Wheel of Fortune Triple Extreme Spin, and a rotating library of branded exclusives.
- FanDuel Casino: Strong Megaways library with featured slots in daily promos.
- DraftKings Casino: Known for proprietary versions of big-name Megaways titles.
Live Dealer Blackjack
Live dealer blackjack puts you at a real table, with a real human dealer streaming cards in real time. It’s not a simulator, it’s not RNG-driven; it’s blackjack happening right in front of you. You place your bets through the interface, watch the cards being dealt, and make your moves just like you would in person. Except you’re playing from your couch or on your phone whenever you are.
It’s the closest thing to a casino floor without the drive or the dress code!
Why It’s Growing
Simple: people trust it more. Digital blackjack is fine, but for newer players, like those who grew up around sports betting apps or crypto trading, watching real cards hit the felt helps to alleviate any doubts they might have. It feels more transparent, more interactive, and less like you’re playing against a robot.

The games are fast, social, and available 24/7, 365. You can chat with dealers, tip, watch other hands play out, and jump between tables without waiting. Casual players love the human element. More experienced players like being able to scale bets and track patterns over time.
It also bridges a gap: people who like table games but hate crowded pits finally get a way in. And casinos are really leaning into it by adding side bets, offering low-limit tables, and promoting blackjack lobbies front and center in their apps.
Where to Play
- Caesars Palace Online Casino: Excellent live table setup with real-time dealer interaction and branded tables.
- BetRivers Casino: Good range of table limits and live blackjack promos tied to loyalty rewards.
- BetMGM Casino: Big selection of live blackjack variations, including Infinite Blackjack and Party Blackjack.
- FanDuel Casino: Clean interface and fast-loading tables with early payout options.
- DraftKings Casino: Offers exclusive tables and frequent promos for live dealer games.
Online Roulette (Lightning Roulette & Variants)
Online roulette has been around forever, but it didn’t really start getting the attention of younger audiences until games like Lightning Roulette hit the casino scene. The newer versions keep the traditional setup (a spinning wheel and numbered board) but add randomized multipliers, faster pacing, and great studio production that looks more like a game show than a casino pit.
You’re still picking numbers, splits, or sections. But now, on top of the regular payouts, random numbers get zapped with bonus multipliers that are worth 50x to 500x. That single twist has changed how, and how long, people play!
Why It’s Growing
Classic roulette always had loyal fans, but it wasn’t really built for mobile sessions or modern attention spans. Variants like Lightning Roulette, Instant Roulette, and Double Ball Roulette fixed that. They move faster, look cleaner, and give players more reasons to stay engaged without changing the core game too much.

It also helps that these versions run much smoother on mobile than a lot of legacy table games. You don’t have to pan around a 3D wheel or wait for animations to drag. Just tap your picks, watch the spin, and check if you landed a boost. It’s roulette, trimmed down and built for speed, and it’s super appealing for players who don’t want to babysit a game for 10 minutes just to see if red 24 hits.
The multiplier formats also attract slots players who want a bigger upside without switching categories. If you’re used to going after big payouts? This makes sense.
Where to Play
- Borgata Casino: Features Lightning Roulette and other variants powered by Evolution Gaming.
- Caesars Palace Online Casino: Hosts high-quality roulette streams with multiplier support.
- FanDuel Casino: Strong roulette game variety with sleek mobile performance.
- DraftKings Casino: Offers Lightning Roulette plus low-limit tables for casual players.
- BetMGM Casino: Features both standard and enhanced roulette titles, including speed variants.
Crash Games / Instant Win Games
Crash games are fast-paced, minimalist-style bets where you watch a multiplier go up in real time and decide when to cash out before it crashes. That’s it. No reels, no cards, no boards. Just a curve climbing upward, promising bigger payouts the longer you wait until it cuts off with no warning. If you bail too late? You lose everything.
Popular titles like Aviator, JetX, and Spaceman have helped mold this category, but more casinos are now launching their own versions under different names.
Why They’re Growing
These games are built for mobile-first gamblers, and by that, we mean Gen Z and after. There aren’t any drawn-out rules, and no prior experience needed, just one basic question: do you take the money now, or risk a little longer for more of a payout?
That simple format is all part of the attraction. You can play multiple rounds in a minute, watch others make moves in real time, and talk sh*t in the group chat, and you don’t need a huge bankroll or a strategy chart. It’s quick-hit gambling that is more like timing than luck, even though the outcome is still unpredictable.

Crash games also lean heavily into social-style features: leaderboards, live stats, multipliers that update on the fly, and group chats built into the game screen. It’s a sense of shared timing where everyone is watching the same curve and deciding if they should cash out that makes it more communal than most casino formats.
And from the operator’s side? These games are cheap to run, fast to scale, and keep players spinning through bets at a rapid pace.
Where to Play
- BetRivers Casino: Offers exclusive instant win crash games under “Fast Games” category.
- FanDuel Casino: Aviator and similar real-time cash-out games are included in promo rotations.
- DraftKings Casino: Includes custom-branded versions of crash games with leaderboard rewards.
- Caesars Palace Online Casino: Expanding instant win game offerings with crash-style mechanics.
- BetMGM Casino: Hosts Spaceman and other crash-style games, which are occasionally tied to deposit bonuses.
Online Poker (Rebounding via Cross-Platform Play)
Online poker took a serious hit after its early boom in the 2000s, but it’s made its way back. And this time, it’s built into casino apps that are way slicker than the clunky clients from a decade ago. Traditional Texas Hold’em, fast-fold tables, sit-and-go tournaments, and heads-up cash games are making poker once again a real draw in regulated U.S. markets.
Today’s platforms let players hop into games across devices, join pools with multiple states, and switch between poker and casino games within the same app. That hybrid setup has made it so much easier to stay engaged!
Why It’s Growing
Two things are driving this comeback: better infrastructure and smarter integration. Multi-state pooling lets platforms combine traffic from states like New Jersey and Michigan, meaning tables fill faster and tournament prizes scale higher. That wasn’t possible a few years ago, and it’s a big reason poker feels like it’s alive and well again in U.S. markets.

Second, casino operators have realized poker doesn’t need to stand alone anymore. Most sportsbooks and casino apps build poker into the same interface, so bettors who come in to place a parlay end up sitting at a poker table a few taps later. That cross-traffic matters, and it’s turning casual players into regulars.
Add in quick-seat features, lower buy-ins, and timed tournaments that run throughout the day, and online poker now works better for modern gamblers than it did during its original peak. You don’t need hours; all you need are a few minutes and a bankroll that doesn’t hurt to lose.
Where to Play
- BetMGM Casino / BetMGM Poker: One of the top U.S. poker operators, with cross-state pools and regular MTTs.
- Borgata Casino / Borgata Poker: Offers linked player pools and shares a network with BetMGM.
- Caesars Palace Online Casino / WSOP: Through WSOP, Caesars delivers the largest live-linked tournament platform in the U.S.
- BetRivers Casino: Expanding poker features with low-stakes tables and social integrations.
- DraftKings Casino: While it concentrates more on casino and sports, they’ve begun testing timed poker events within the app.
What’s Fueling These Trends?
It’s anything but random that certain games are trending upward! The rise in traffic across slots, crash games, live tables, and poker has less to do with marketing and has to do with how (and who) is playing. There are younger users with different expectations and platforms that reward repeat play with better promos and tech upgrades—the entire environment has changed.
Younger Players Are Changing the Market
The current surge is mainly coming from users in their 20s and 30s who’ve grown up with mobile-first gaming, fast feedback loops, and a way lower tolerance for slow interfaces or glitchy gameplay.
They’re not looking for the casino version of a retirement cruise. They want instant gratification, transparency, and variety. The change in the player base is why crash games, Megaways slots, and speed-table variants are doing so well, because they play more like apps than legacy casino titles.
Creators Are Turning Games into Content
Streamers and gambling influencers on platforms like Twitch, Kick, and YouTube have done a ton to get certain casino formats into the spotlight. They’re playing, and while they do it, they’re narrating, reacting, and building an audience around what hits and what flops.
When a crash game hits during a stream or someone gets a monster bonus on a branded slot, it creates a ripple. Players go looking for the same experience. And when casinos see what drives traffic, they start featuring those games higher on the app.
Even poker is getting a lift from this due to vloggers running tournament diaries and sharing cash game strategy from mobile setups. The visibility turns into curiosity from viewers, and that leads to play.
Bonuses Are Built Around What’s Popular
There’s a reason you see bonus spins offered on branded slots but not on obscure 3-reel games from 2016. Platforms want to steer players toward what performs, and all promos reflect that. The fastest-growing games right now are the ones most often included in welcome bonuses, reloads, and loyalty rewards.
Slots like Buffalo Blitz Megaways or Wheel of Fortune regularly come with deposit matches and spin offers. Crash games are used for leaderboard competitions or timed rewards. And live tables and roulette variants have begun showing up in cashback deals and “win streak” promos.
The goal is a basic one—to give players a reason to test-drive the games that already work!
Where to Play the Hottest Casino Games in 2025
You don’t have to search or scroll through tons of sketchy sites or hunt down offshore platforms to find the games we are talking about! The best-performing titles (slots, crash games, live tables, and poker) are all available on licensed, regulated U.S. platforms with real money payouts, reliable apps, and promo support to help you stretch out your first few sessions.
Below is where to find them all:

BetMGM Casino: Strong coverage across all major game categories; Megaways slots, live blackjack, Lightning Roulette, and poker. Available in NJ, MI, PA, and WV. Regular bonuses include matched deposits and live dealer cashback.

FanDuel Casino: Fast-loading app, solid live dealer experience, and expanding crash game support. Active in MI, NJ, PA, and CT. Regular promos for branded slots and daily free-to-play features tied to trending games.

DraftKings Casino: Known for its proprietary slots and unique cross-promo tie-ins with the sportsbook. Roulette, blackjack, and instant win games all run well here. Licensed in NJ, MI, PA, and WV. New users get access to deposit boosts and exclusive table games.

Caesars Palace Online Casino: Offers a polished interface with great live table options and access to WSOP poker in select states. Available in NJ, MI, PA, and WV. Bonuses are frequently tied to loyalty tiers and slot tournaments.

BetRivers Casino: Underrated for crash games and newer slot variants. Also, really strong on loyalty program returns! Active in PA, MI, NJ, and WV. Welcome promos usually include bonus play and low wagering free spin offers.
Tips for Playing Fast-Growing Games Wisely
We love all of these games, but you might not agree! Not all headliner games are worth your time and money. Follow the tips below to protect your bankroll if you’re gonna test out what’s trending!
- Set a Budget before You Play: Popular games can ramp up really quickly, so decide on how much you’re comfortable spending and don’t move from that number.
- Use Demo Modes to Learn the Game: If a casino app offers a demo, play it! It’s the fastest (and freest) way to see how the mechanics work without losing any actual money.
- Claim Promos and Bonus Spins First: New-user bonuses and free rounds are tied to top-performing games. Use them to test the games.
- Avoid High-Variance Titles if You Hate Long Lulls: If you’d rather see steady outcomes, gravitate toward low- or mid-volatility games instead of the ones built around big ups and downs.
Conclusion: Trending Now, But for How Long?
Casino games come and go, but the ones that are trending now have blown up for good reason. They don’t drag, they don’t waste your time, and they’re fun. The formats are winning because they meet players where they are, and that’s on their phones.
Here’s a brief recap of what we covered:
- U.S. casino platforms are doubling and tripling down on the game types that work on mobile and have fewer barriers for younger players.
- Branded slots, live blackjack, fast roulette variants, crash games, and poker are at the front of the pack.
- The formats all deliver faster decisions, clearer outcomes, and more control over gaming sessions.
Our final bit of advice is to always play on a licensed and legit gambling site, and to always gamble responsibly!
Check out our curated list of the best online casinos to play the fastest-growing games games!
Los Angeles Angels vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Best Bets (July 20, 2025)
The Phillies and Angels will wrap up their series Sunday at Citizens Bank Park, and both teams look to take the series after the Phil’s evened it up on Saturday. Ranger Suárez gets the ball for the home side, and he’s got a sub-2.00 ERA and one of the lowest hard-hit rates among qualified starters. The Angels are sending out José Soriano, who’s turned in some solid outings but keeps putting runners on at a high rate and has been super vulnerable against patient, top-heavy lineups.
Philadelphia is still in control of the NL East and doesn’t want to gift another game to a team that’s sitting below .500. The final score of this one will depend on pitching durability, bullpen stability, and how well the Angels’ offense defends itself against a lefty who’s been pretty close to untouchable at Citizen’s Park!
Keep scrolling to see the game details, starting pitcher stats, the latest betting odds, what we’re watching storyline-wise, and our picks for the four best bets!
Game Details
- Matchup: Los Angeles Angels at Philadelphia Phillies
- Date & Time: Sunday, July 20, 5:35 pm ET
- Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- How to Watch: NBC Sports Philadelphia, MLB.tv
- Starting Pitchers: Phillies: Ranger Suárez – 7–3, ~1.94 ERA; Angels: José Soriano – 6–7, ~3.90 ERA
Pitcher Stats
The Phils will start out with lefty Ranger Suárez on the mound, and LA is countering with right-hander José Soriano. Look below for both of their stats!
Ranger Suárez (PHI)
- Record & ERA: 7–3, 2.15 ERA
- WHIP & Innings: 1.06 WHIP in 83 ⅔ innings
- Strikeouts: 78 Ks, averaging 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings
- Home Performance: Undefeated (3–0) at Citizens Bank Park with a 3.12 ERA
- Pitching Profile: Suárez consistently keeps hitters off-balance using precise location, producing ground-ball outs and limiting solid contact.
José Soriano (LAA)
- Record & ERA: 6–7, 3.90 ERA
- WHIP & Innings: High 1.45 WHIP over 113 innings, indicating frequent traffic on bases
- Strikeouts: 98 Ks, averaging 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings
- Recent Starts: Allowed five runs (one earned) against Arizona in his last outing (July 13)
- Pitching Profile: Soriano throws hard and can strike out batters, but he gets into trouble after the fourth or fifth inning because of inconsistent location and rising pitch counts.
Betting Odds
Who you got? The Phils or the Angels? If you’re betting, here are the latest odds via FanDuel:
| Bet Type | Angels | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
Run Line | +1.5 (-137) | -1.5 (+114) |
Moneyline | +150 | -178 |
Total | Over 8.5 (-122) | Under 8.5 (+100) |
Storylines to Watch
Who (and what) do we have our eye on for this ballgame? The following factors:
- Suárez vs. Contact: Suárez has allowed only one home run since the middle of June and holds opponents under a .210 average. The Angels don’t draw a lot of walks, and that puts them right into his strategy: early contact, weak grounders, and short innings.
- Phillies Want Revenge: Philly lost Game 1, but they won’t want to leave this one up to their bullpen again. Soriano has a high baserunner rate and goes long innings, so this will lean toward a front-loaded scoring window for the Phillies.
- Runline Says More Than the Moneyline: The Angels are +110 to win outright but only –176 to cover +1.5. That price gap? It tells you that oddsmakers are expecting a close game, but it’s one where L.A. loses but keeps it within 2 runs.
- Defensive Separation: The Phillies rank top-5 in double plays turned and bottom-5 in errors. The Angels aren’t far off in miscues, and in a low-total game, one bad throw or a missed stop will matter, so that’s another nod toward the under.
Our Best Bets
How are we gonna play this one? We’ve got three solid angles and one middle-of-the-road play if you’re betting!
1. Phillies Moneyline (–178)
- Our Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ (8/10)
Why do we like it?
- Suárez has the obvious pitching advantage; he’s got an elite ERA, low WHIP, and has had excellent results at home.
- The Phillies hit off righties well and should be in control if they make early contact off Soriano. Plus, they’ve got the Philly fans behind them.
2. Angels +1.5 Runline (–137)
- Our Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐☆☆ (6/10)
Why do we like it?
- This one will cover you if it finishes as a one-run game. L.A. was close in Game 1 and can do the same again if the top half of the order gets involved.
- The price on the runline suggests that bookmakers expect a close final score.
3. Under 8.5 Total (+100)
- Our Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ (7/10)
Why do we like it?
- Both starting pitchers limit home runs, and Philly’s defense cuts down extra-base chances.
- The total is shaded to the under despite the names that are involved, and that’s an indication this could be a slower scorer than expected.
4. Mike Trout Anytime HR (+340)
- Our Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐☆☆ (5/10)
Why do we like it?
At this number? Trout is worth a one-unit play for bettors who are looking to add a prop with some upside!
Trout has already homered in this series and has a great track record hitting against southpaws.
Who Wins this One: East Coast or West?
Suárez gives the Phillies a solid five innings before the bullpen takes over with a one-run lead. Philadelphia picks up just enough off Soriano, and it’ll most likely be in the second or third trip through the order, and the Angels will chip away with a scattered offense, mostly in the middle frames. The ninth could get a lil dicey, but the Phillies will hold the line and take the series.
Best Bets Recap
- Phillies Moneyline (–130): ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆
- Angels +1.5 Runline (–176): ⭐⭐⭐☆☆
- Under 9.5 Total (–106): ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆
- Mike Trout Anytime HR (+250): ⭐⭐⭐☆☆
Final Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Angels 4
A 5–4 finish lines up with our card! The Phillies ML hits, Angels +1.5 covers, and it stays just below the total. And if Trout homers? You’ve got yourself a clean sweep!
Team Clark vs. Team Collier Preview & Prediction (July 19, 2025)
The star-studded showdown will take place without Caitlin Clark’s sensational presence on the court. It would be a big miss, as Caitlin Clark won’t come up against Team Collider in their WNBA All-Star clash, especially when the match is going down in front of her home crowd in Indiana. Her absence has hit her team hard, as the team has slipped even lower as the underdogs in the match. But there is still no lack of star power to bring us an epic showdown.
Last year, the WNBA vs. Team USA gave us a thriller that went as high as 226. For the regular WNBA game, 190 to 200 is considered high. As such, projections put this clash at over 250, even with Caitlin Clark on the sidelines. Team Collier has a stacked roster that would certainly give us a high-scoring match with plenty of rookie-veteran play dynamics to watch out for.
Betting-wise, the market might gravitate towards an under against the 250 mark. We expect the match to start in a relaxed manner before gaining momentum in the later rounds.
We’ll dig deeper into the team dynamics and give you a head-to-head comparison of the clash.
Game Details
- Matchup: Team Clark vs. Team Collier
- Date & Time: Saturday, July 19, 8:30 pm ET
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
- How to Watch: ABC, WNBA League Pass
- Key Player Replacements: Brittney Sykes for injured Caitlin Clark and Brionna Jones for injured Satou Sabally (all in Team Clark)
Team Form and Momentum
Each of the two teams offer something very different. Check out their current form below.
Team Clark
As mentioned earlier, Team Clark isn’t lacking in star power even with Caitlin Clark’s absence. The team still boasts offensive firepower with A’ja Wilson as the leading scorer. A’ja Wilson has stellar stats for 2025, returning with 34 points, 16 rebounds, 4 assists, and 2 blocks to help the Aces beat the Valkyries. This game happened after she left Tuesday’s game because of a wrist injury and missed Thursday’s match against Washington as well.
Sabrina Ionescu is currently seventh on the preseason rankings with an average career-high 19.4 points per game. She made 34 points back-to-back in June and, for the all-star clash, remains a threat. The WNBA star’s intensity and efficiency have been crucial in keeping New York on track so far.
Then, we have rookies like Angel Reese, who remain a threat to Team Collier despite their experience level.
Team Collier
Team Collier has the edge in terms of experience. The team boasts stars like Napheesa Collier herself and Breanna Stewart.
Collier currently leads the WNBA in scoring. She leads by more than three points per game and is on the way to grabbing the Defensive Player of the Year award, as she averages a combined 3.2 steals and blocks per game as well. Since losing the MVP to A’ja Wilson, the star has established herself as the league’s best player and kept her team, the Lynx, as the league’s best team.
Breanna Stewart brings scoring power to Team Collier and will be one of the biggest threats on the court. You also have versatility from Paige Bueckers, who has been nothing short of stellar in her debut season in Dallas. She is the clear rookie favorite for the year and also ranks among the top 10 in scoring. Even better, she is one of the three players to average five assists in a game.
With Breanna Stewart on the scoring side and Napheesa Collier as one of the primary defensive anchors, Team Clark has their work cut out for them. Team Collier brings both experience and the edge in rebounding. Still, both sides are capable of hitting 100+ PPG in an all-star setting.
Head-to-Head & Trends
Due to its uniquely drafted format, there are no direct H2H results for the teams as you would get in regular WNBA games. Instead, we have to fall back on past All-Star games. These games have reached an average of over 180 points, with overs hitting more frequently than unders.
When it comes to the trends, past All-Star games typically went over. The key reason for that is the minimal defense from the teams, as they typically focus on scoring and creating an entertaining game.
The 2024 game saw Team WNBA upset Team USA 117-109. We expect a similar scoreline for Team Clark vs. Team Collier.
The Players to Watch Out For
Here are the key players to keep an eye out for in the game:
| Player | Team | Key Stats and Role |
|---|---|---|
A’ja Wilson | Team Clark | 27.2 PPG, 11.9 RPG; dominant scorer and rebounder. |
Sabrina Ionescu | Team Clark | 19.4 PPG, 6.2 APG; elite shooter, potential MVP. |
Angel Reese | Team Clark | 13.5 PPG, 11.9 RPG; rookie double-double machine. |
Napheesa Collier | Team Collier | 20.0 PPG, 10.2 RPG; versatile leader and favorite. |
Breanna Stewart | Team Collier | 19.3 PPG, 9.0 RPG; multi-time MVP with range. |
Paige Bueckers | Team Collier | 21.9 PPG (college), explosive rookie guard. |
Betting Odds
Below are the latest betting odds for this matchup, courtesy of ESPN BET:
| Market | Team Clark | Team Collier |
|---|---|---|
Spread | +4.5 (-115) | -4.5 (-115) |
Moneyline | +160 | -190 |
Total | Over 258.5 (-120) | Under 258.5 (-110) |
Best Bets
Bet #1: Team Collier ML (-170)
Rationale: The team has four stars. It also has superior depth and veterans like Stewart and Collier. The team is more likely to overwhelm Team Clark, even with the latter boasting star power of its own.
Bet #2: Over 178.5 Points
Rationale: All-star games typically feature lax defense with high scoring, and we expect this clash to be no different. Also, recent overs have cashed out.
Bet #3: Sabrina Ionescu Over 18.5 Points (prop)
Rationale: For prop bets, Sabrina Ionescu hitting over 18.5 points seems the most likely, as she is a hot shooter in exhibitions. She is also most likely to shine for MVP contention.
Team Clark or Team Collier? Here’s Our Pick
Team Collier has a balanced roster that is not only fun but also high-scoring. Our pick for the match is Team Collier wins 98-92.
Even so, we pick Sabrina Ionescu to earn the MVP honors for Team Clark.
Holloway vs. Poirier Prediction & Betting Preview: UFC 318
Poirier Will come into this fight against Holloway as the winner of their last two encounters. He won one match (on February 4, 2012) by submission and the other (on April 13, 2019) by decision. However, Holloway goes into the fight as the clear favorite. He is the current BMF titleholder and will be looking to retain his title and grab a win against Poirier in what would be their last match.
For Poirier, a win at UFC 318 will be a perfect three-win record against long-time opponent Holloway. He brings knockout power, slick submissions, and veteran guile. But will those be strong enough to checkmate Holloway’s relentless volume striking and unbreakable cardio?
While the odds change, the current figures put Holloway as the betting favorite while Poirier is the underdog. We’ll review each fighter’s profile and make our tactical breakdown. Then, we’ll recommend bets based on what we think will most likely happen.
Fight Overview
- Matchup: Max Holloway (26-8-0) vs. Dustin Poirier (30-9-0, 1 NC)
- Event: UFC 318
- Date: Saturday, July 19
- How to Watch: ESPN+ PPV
- Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA
- Start Time (Main Card): 10:00 PM ET (Prelims at 8:00 PM ET, Early Prelims at 6:00 PM ET)
- Weight Class: Lightweight (155 lbs)
- Title on the Line: UFC BMF
- See the full UFC 318 card
Fighter Profiles
Max Holloway
Max Holloway is not the same fighter who faced Poirier a few years back. He has grown, amassing an impressive record of 26-8-0. While that is still shy of Poirier’s record, Holloway has made a mark for himself when it comes to unbreakable pace and UFC-record significant strikes.
In the UFC 300 lightweight fight on April 14, 2024, Max Holloway proved his evolution both in strikes and pace. He also got himself a knockout win against Justin Gaethje, who also has an impressive record of 26 wins.
Max Holloway’s transition to lightweight full-time has also had a significant impact on his strength, pace, and agility.
Dustin Poirier
Dustin Poirier won’t go down easily, as his past performances are even more stellar than Max Holloway’s. The veteran holds UFC records for knockouts in lightweight and fan-favorite wars. On March 10, 2024, Poirier took the win in his match against Benoît Saint-Denis. He won the latter via knockout.
Max Holloway currently sits below Dustin Poirier when it comes to the number of fights won. Dustin Poirier has won 30 fights, while Max Holloway has won 26 fights.
While Max Holloway embraces the hype surrounding the fight, Dustin Poirier remains unfazed by the hype. As a veteran, Poirier would rather focus on guillotine subs and left hooks. And let’s not forget that he will take on Holloway on home turf. The home crowd’s cheers in Louisiana are certain to add an emotional edge to this encounter.
When it comes to being a threat in the ring, Poirier has a well-rounded attack structure. The veteran is experienced in submissions and power strikes and will likely bring these into the fight.
Tactical Breakdown
Holloway won’t be so easy to take down, as the fighter currently boasts a strong takedown defense of 71%. But, we won’t count so much on his get-up game, as he isn’t renowned for his wrestling or grappling escapes. We expect him to rely more on his strikes and movements to avoid being taken down or to recover quickly.
Poirier has the takedown experience on his side and holds the submission edge with his guillotine and BJJ. While he may excel early in the fight, he is more likely to fade due to his age and mileage. If that happens, then Holloway’s superior endurance will most likely give the fighter the edge he needs to win the fight.
When it comes to the psyche and momentum, Holloway is in for revenge against Poirier for the past two losses. To him, it will be a moment to regain the narrative and keep his lightweight title.
For Poirier, a fight at home is enough for mental fortitude. We also expect him to be more tucked into the fight as he looks to make the most of his last chance at capturing a title and becoming the BMF champion before retirement.
If Poirier uses the guillotine choke to push Holloway into submission, then that will be the perfect storybook ending to an adventurous career. But to pull that off, he has to find a loophole in Holloway’s takedown defense.
Betting Outlook and Odds
- Current odds: Holloway -140, Poirier +115 (via BetMGM)
- Implied probability: Holloway (58.33%), Poirier (46.51%)
Betting Corner: Our Top Bets
| Bet | Rationale | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
Holloway to Win by Decision | Holloway has the durability and volume strikes to get the scorecards screaming in an intense five-rounder. | 🔥🔥🔥 Medium -High |
Fight Over 3.5 Rounds | Poirier and Holloway are likely to lock into a tactical fight of their strength and skill differences. We don’t expect a quick finish but a fight that will last more than four rounds. Moreover, both fighters have made the stretch in their recent big fights. | 🔥🔥 Medium |
Poirier by Submission | All Poirier needs is for Holloway to shoot or get sloppy in his movements. With that, the veteran will likely jump at the opportunity to use his guillotine choke. | 🔥🔥 Low–Medium |
Holloway vs. Poirier: Who Has the Final Edge?
To Poirier, the fight is a chance to grab a title before hanging up his gloves. For Holloway, it is an opportunity to get back at Poirier for the two previous fights and also retain his BMF title. His recent form and pace have a high potential of offsetting Poirier, especially in the later rounds. However, Poirier’s experience in wars and dominance is not to be swept under the carpet.
The different approaches between the two experienced fighters bring opportunities in the method of victory prop bets. You will also find valuable odds in over-round prop bets.
Do you think this fight will be the perfect retirement gift for Poirier? Share your predictions and picks with the community in the comment section, as we’d like to hear your thoughts as well.
Our Final Prediction: Max Holloway wins via unanimous decision.
Poirier will likely put up a good fight in the early rounds. And he is less likely to catch Holloway at this stage for a choke. Holloway’s superior cardio, volume, and motivation will likely keep him in the game long enough for Poirier to edge out.
Ready to put your picks to the test? Check out the top UFC betting apps to place your wagers at and ensure fast payouts on your winnings.
The Secret to Successful Parlays: Strategic Bet Building
Parlays are like catnip to bettors. Why? Because they have big odds, small stakes, and they promise to turn $10 into $500. And that’s a super easy sell.
Sportsbooks know this, and that’s why they market these bets so aggressively. The truth is that most bettors lose. It’s not because they’re clueless; it’s because by their very nature, parlays are built to wreck you for just one bad read.
But they’re not unwinnable. All you have to do is stop building them like they’re a lottery ticket and start to think like a trader. With some smarter construction, like using correlated outcomes, market awareness, and basic restraint, parlays can go from reckless to strategic.
You are never guaranteed anything in sports betting (or life), but that doesn’t mean you have to keep torching your bankroll on bad parlays!
Keep reading if you want to find out how parlays can work with smart construction tactics; we’ll tell you everything you need to know.
What Is a Parlay Bet?
A parlay bet is one wager that links together two or more individual bets (called legs) into one combined stake. To win a parlay, every leg has to win; if any one leg loses, the entire parlay loses.
Because the odds of each leg multiply, parlays offer way bigger payouts than single bets, but they are also a lot riskier! Three standard point-spread bets at -110 odds (implied ~52.4% each) can be parlayed together by converting to decimal odds (1.91 each) and multiplying:
Example of a 3-leg parlay: Three -110 spreads → decimal 1.91 × 1.91 × 1.91 ≈ 6.97. A $10 bet multiplies to $69.70, yielding +597 or about a 6-to-1 payout.
The above example shows how the odds compound: a two-team -110 parlay (~3.65 decimal) pays roughly +265, whereas a three-team parlay (~6.97 decimal) pays nearly +600. The draw is obvious; for small stakes, you could see a huge potential return.
But, and this is a big “but,” parlays also increase the risk. Each added leg multiplies the house’s edge and slashes the true win probability. The gambler has to cheer for every pick: one missed game? That means a $0 payoff. Investopedia says that parlays “Are riskier since they comprise many individual chances but give a bigger payout if all individual wagers win.” They are an all-or-nothing gamble.
Why Parlays Usually Fail
Sure, parlays are really tempting, and that’s understandable, but the odds are heavily stacked against bettors. The math works against you: Each bet is usually priced with a built-in bookmaker margin (the “vig”). When you combine bets, you not only multiply the positive outcomes but also multiply the vig.
With standard -110 lines (~52.4% true win chance, 4.54% house edge each), a 2-leg parlay has only a ~25% win probability (house edge ~8.88%), and a 4-leg parlay falls to ~6.3% win chance (house edge ~16.97%). So, adding legs quickly crushes your chance to win. A three-leg parlay might promise +596, but its raw win probability is only about 12.5%. The compounding effect? It explains why parlays generate large profits for sportsbooks.

In addition to that face, only one loss in a parlay wipes out the whole bet. You can get almost every leg correct, and if you miss one? Busted. And because each leg carries the book’s margin, the effective house edge on a multi-leg parlay is enormous; it’s much higher than any single bet’s 4–5%. If you treat a 3-leg parlay as a single bet, the house edge can be seen as ~12.5% from the bettor’s stake perspective, and this makes parlays long shots, not fair wagers.
Common Mistakes Bettors Make
Given the steep odds we talked about? It’s really easy to make common mistakes like the following:
A lot of bettors think
but each extra leg makes the parlay dramatically harder to hit. Going beyond 2–3 legs turns a bet into a lottery ticket. And a 5‑leg or 10‑leg parlay is almost a guaranteed loser. Why? Because even if you think some picks are “sure things,” the odds stack up. The more legs you add, the lower your true odds of winning go.
Some bettors will pad their parlays with underdog picks or so-called “locks” to inflate the payout. But if you wouldn’t take a bet singly, you shouldn’t toss it into a parlay! If you wouldn’t bet [a leg] as a single, definitely don’t include it in a parlay! Mixing strong picks with one random longshot only multiplies risk without any chance of a decent reward.
Betting a parlay every day as if it were just another regular wager is not smart. Some bettors will chase their losses by building bigger or more frequent parlays, hoping to recoup some of their money. This usually leads to consistent losses. Parlays should be special, occasional plays; never your main strategy. The house edge looms large over every single leg, so daily parlays are only gonna burn through your bankroll.
All selections in a parlay have their own vig, and those really add up! Each additional leg increases the house edge and lowers your odds of winning. In practice, even a small bookmaker margin, like -110 lines,gets multiplied out, making parlays worse than a single bet that’s being played repeatedly. A lot of bettors forget about this compound vig and wind up just tossing away value.
Smart Parlay Construction Tactics
So, we’ve established that parlays are really hard to win. Got it? Good. But intelligent parlay design can tilt the odds slightly in your favor. The goal is to preserve upside but minimize your risk. What are the smartest parlay construction tactics that informed bettors use? The following ones!
1. Limit the Number of Legs
Keep parlays short. Industry analyses and sharps recommend sticking to 2–3 legs max. With three -110 lines, your win chance is already only ~12.5%; with four legs, it drops to ~6%. Most professional bettors avoid parlays altogether or cap them at three picks. Fewer legs means a higher probability of hitting, so it’s a safer balance of risk and reward.
2. Stay Within a Single Sport or Market
Limiting to one sport (or even one game) helps leverage your expertise and decreases the unpredictable variables. Sticking to a familiar league means that you can apply specific knowledge (injuries, weather, matchup history, etc.) across all legs. Parlaying across different sports or random games adds unnecessary uncertainty. When you concentrate on a single sport or theme, you also avoid schedule misalignment and guarantee that your insights mean something.
3. Use Correlated Outcomes (When Allowed)
Look for legs that logically reinforce each other! When one outcome happens, it increases the chance of another; you’re finding a positive correlation. In an NFL game, you could pair Team A to win + QB passing yards over. If Team A wins, it usually means that their offense performed well, making a big QB stat more likely. If a running back’s rushing yards over tend to align with that team’s moneyline? The linked bets work in tandem.
Warning: Always check sportsbook rules! Some “obvious” correlations are disallowed. If a team’s moneyline and its point-spread bet are effectively guaranteed to correlate (if the team wins outright, they likely cover even a small spread), most sportsbooks won’t let you parlay those.
4. Shop for Best Odds on Each Leg
Always compare prices across sportsbooks, as even small differences in individual odds multiply in a parlay! The same 5-team parlay could pay out +6531 at one book but only +4000 at another. On a $5 bet? That’s a $200 payout versus $326, which is a big gap. A tiny edge in each leg can translate to big gains on the ticket. Use line-shopping tools or multiple accounts to snag the best line for every pick, and a sportsbook-specific parlay calculator will also highlight which sportsbook site is offering the highest payout for your combo!
5. Avoid Heavy Favorites Just to ‘Boost’ Payout
You might feel like it’s a good idea to pad a parlay with an extremely likely outcome (like a –500 favorite) to bump the total odds as a near-certain add-on, but it’s NOT. The heavy favorites almost always carry extra risk (upsets can and do happen), and they don’t move the needle on payout as much as you’d hope.
We actually advise avoiding massive favorites on parlay tickets. The teams with large expected leads usually ease off late, which makes big favorites less sure. Plus, steep favorites have low true plus-odds; adding one leg at –500 might only raise your parlay odds modestly while adding a considerable chance of ruin. Only parlay picks that you really believe in; don’t slip a presumed “can’t lose” pick onto the slip just for a little increased payout.
6. Use Bankroll-Protecting Strategies
Keep each parlay wager small (just a few percent of your bankroll). Always look at parlays (and all gambling) as entertainment, aka a chance at a big score, and not as a main strategy. We advise treating parlays like scratch-off lotto tickets. They’re cheap, fun, and easy to control, and you should never build your betting bankroll strategy around them.
The smartest approach? Mix parlays with regular straight bets: save the parlays for when you have really strong convictions on multiple legs, and otherwise place normal bets where the house edge is lower. Never chase a parlay; if you lose one, stick to your plan and do not double down.
Advanced Tips from Pros
We like to think of ourselves as pros, so we put together some more advanced tips for all of you parlayers!

Using Round Robins for Safety Nets
A round-robin is like buying partial insurance on a multi-leg parlay. Instead of one big parlay, you make several smaller parlays covering all combos of your selections.
If there are three teams, A, B, C, instead of one 3-team parlay, a round robin would place three separate 2-team parlays (AB, AC, BC). This way, if one team loses? You can still win one of the two-team tickets. You are sacrificing some of the maximum upside for a higher chance of a partial payout. A round robin requires more total stake (you’re placing multiple bets), but it decreases the chance of a complete loss. For bettors who are worried about a single upset wrecking the whole ticket, small round robins can be a really useful tactic.
FYI: Bigger round robins get expensive: a 5-team “full cover” round robin has 26 bets, so use them judiciously!
Building Same-Game Parlays Strategically
Same-game parlays (SGPs) let you combine multiple bets from one game. Pros use SGPs to exploit game-specific insights. If you foresee a high-scoring NFL game, you could parlay Team A moneyline + over X points total + a player prop (like QB over yards) in that same game.
The key here is logical consistency: your chosen bets should fit a coherent game narrative. Allowed combos include “team to win” with that team scoring over 110 points, since one doesn’t guarantee the other. Another expert tip? Focus on positive correlations, like if you bet on a team covering a big spread, it usually makes sense to include the over on total points, as high-scoring wins tend to cover spreads in blowouts. And parlaying player props with relevant game outcomes (like a star’s points over with the over on the game total) are better for coherence. Again, make sure that a sportsbook allows the combination!
Parlaying Props vs. Spreads/Totals
Props (player statistics and special bets) can add a lot of value if used carefully and correctly. Props usually have less efficient pricing, so sometimes value does exist. But props can also be highly correlated, like if a quarterback’s passing yards directly tie to his team’s success.
If you use props in parlays, treat them like you would any leg: make sure that they mesh logically with the others. Don’t parlay an NBA player’s rebound prop with an unrelated football game! If you like a soccer game’s over, you could parlay it with a relevant player’s goal prop. Traditional bets (spreads/totals) are straightforward but usually just stack the normal -110 vig multiple times. Props do allow for some nuance, but also come with a higher vig or are more complicated. You should only mix them when a solid reasoning connects the two.
Real Examples: Smart vs. Dumb Parlay Construction
We wouldn’t talk endlessly about parlay construction without giving you examples! Below are two; one is smart and one is straight up dumb.
Dumb Example (5-leg parlay)
Suppose you parlay Team X ML (–250), over/under in a different league, Team Y –3 (–110), MLB over 8.5, and Team Z –6 (–110). This ticket spans multiple sports and contexts, includes more than three legs, and has a heavy favorite. It’s a literal recipe for disaster. As we said earlier, mixing sports makes it harder to focus, and with five legs? The true hit probability is extremely tiny. Adding that –250 favorite will barely bump the payout, but an upset would blow the whole ticket. In practice, a loser on any one leg (very likely) pays nothing. This example violates so many rules: too many legs, cross-sport, and an unnecessarily heavy favorite.
Smart Example (2-leg correlated parlay)
Now let’s build a simpler ticket: In an NFL game, you take the Baltimore Ravens moneyline (+125) and Lamar Jackson over 80 rushing yards. Both bets are from the same game and positively linked. If the Ravens win,? Jackson probably rushed a lot. The parlay odds might be around +265 (just an example), and your chance is well above the ~12% of a 3-leg shot. Even if each individual leg is a moderate pick, together they form a reasonable upside (+165 combined in decimal ~2.65) with a plausible shared theme. This two-leg parlay is way more sensible: there are fewer legs, it’s the same game, and logically correlated, making it a calculated “stretch” and not a longshot lottery.
Analysis
The first parlay is pretty much doomed from the start. It flouts basic advice: “don’t overload parlays! Only 2–3 legs max,” and “stay far away from longshots or ‘just for fun’ add-ons.”.
The second parlay? It follows the smart guidelines, and that means a limit of two picks, keeping them within one game, and using their natural correlation. While it’s still not a lock, the smarter parlay has a much higher realistic chance and a solid strategy behind it!
When (and When Not) to Use Parlays
Okay, so when should you use parlays? And when should you not? Look below for our basic guidelines!
Parlays can make sense as a speculative tool, but never as a staple. Ideal scenarios include when you have a genuine edge or promotion! If a sportsbook offers a parlay booster or insurance (e.g., “4-leg parlay pays +50% more”) or if you identify multiple underpriced picks across the board, then that’s a signal.
If each leg carries a positive expected value on its own, stringing a couple together can multiply a real advantage. Also, if you are betting small stakes and simply want a slim chance at a large payoff, that’s a reasonable entertainment use. In the above cases, treat the parlay as a longshot lottery ticket that’s funded by a tiny budget, and do your homework so that each selection is well-researched.
Don’t even go near parlays if you’re emotional or chasing losses. Don’t throw together a parlay out of desperation, as that frame of mind usually leads to adding weak picks just to boost the payoff, which never works out.
If you haven’t thoroughly researched each leg, a parlay is a bad idea. Likewise, skip parlays when “on tilt” (angry or unlucky); personal bias will only make you stack assumptions. If you find yourself making parlays hoping one big score will bail you out, you’re not betting anymore, you’re dreaming.
Parlays are fine occasionally and for small stakes, but they are rarely profitable as routine bets. Sharps generally focus on straight wagers and only dabble in parlays here and there, and only under special circumstances!
Conclusion: Turning Risks Into Smart Strategies
Parlays aren’t broken; they’re just badly built! We have seen way too many bettors throw five random legs together and hope for a miracle, and then rinse and repeat when it falls apart.
That’s not a strategy; at that point, you are donating your money to sportsbooks, and you can’t even use it as a tax write-off!
If you’re going to bet parlays, treat them like you would any high-risk trade: minimal exposure, smart combos, and absolutely no filler. You’re not in any way gaming the system by stacking bets; what you’re doing is multiplying every flaw in your process. But when the construction’s solid, the math checks out, and the risk is managed? That’s when parlays can start to make sense. But only as an occasional treat, not as a daily one!
Here’s a brief refresher on parlays and how to build (and not build) them:
- Parlays do indeed offer big payouts but have really low win probabilities, and every added leg cuts your chances and multiplies the risk.
- Most bettors lose parlays due to compounding house edge and an unrealistic construction.
- Shorter parlays (2–3 legs) are always smarter. Anything longer usually turns into a losing ticket.
- Stick to one sport or game when possible, as it keeps your edge tighter and the unknown variables lower.
- Use correlated outcomes strategically (when allowed) to raise the probability of multiple legs hitting.
- Don’t pad parlays with heavy favorites; they usually add risk without adding any meaningful value.
Line shop every leg—even small odds differences can make a big payout difference. - Use parlays as an occasional tool, not a daily habit. Keep your bet size low and avoid chasing losses.
- Round robins and same-game parlays can offer a better structure for risk-conscious bettors.
Want to test out some parlay strategies? You can take advantage of our free Parlay Calculator when you are building!
