Akron vs. Bowling Green Prediction & Top Betting Picks (November 18, 2025)
The Akron Zips will look to finish their 2025 season strong on Tuesday, although they will be a +138 in their season finale against Bowling Green.
Akron has not been great during a 4-7 season, but they’ve been better of late with two wins and four straight games with 24+ points scored. They’ll hope their recent offensive improvement can power them to a solid finish where FanDuel and other sportsbooks have them as 3.5-point road dogs.
Bowling Green hasn’t fared much better, as they enter as mild home favorites despite struggling to an even worse 3-7 mark in 2025. The Falcons will hope to stop the bleeding as they try to end their current four-game skid.
Not sure who to bet on? I’ll walk you through the latest odds and key matchups, pointing you to the game’s top picks and my ultimate Akron vs. Bowling Green prediction.
Game Basics & Context
- Matchup: Akron Zips (4-7) vs. Bowling Green Falcons (3-7)
- Date & Time: Tuesday, November 18th, with kickoff at 6:00 pm CT (7:00 pm ET)
- Venue: Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green, OH
- How to Watch: The game will be broadcast on ESPNU.
Betting Odds
Check out the latest Akron vs. Bowling Green odds, per FanDuel:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Akron | +3.5 (-110) | +138 | Over 47.5 (-110) |
Bowling Green | -3.5 (-110) | -164 | Under 47.5 (-110) |
Rivalry & Venue Context
These two sides have faced off a decent amount, with Tuesday’s clash being their 32nd meeting ever. Bowling Green owns a commanding 21-10 series advantage and has been on a roll (three straight wins) recently.
Bowling Green has been winning regardless of venue, but the last win came in Akron and went down to the wire. The last game played at Doyt L. Perry Stadium was a blowout victory (41-14) for the Falcons, but they’ve gone just 2-2 the last four times these teams faced off in their backyard.
Why This Game Matters
This game has no impact on the MAC title or any bowl games. Both of these teams have seven losses and have nothing to play for but pride.
Both sides will still want to win, as the Zips have been in solid form and Bowling Green wouldn’t mind putting an end to their current losing streak. Bragging rights will also be on the line, while Akron also would like to steal a win from Bowling Green for the first time since 2021.
Team Profiles
Akron Zips
The Zips have not been a very productive offensive team on the season (110th in scoring), and their defense hasn’t done them any favors.
While true, Akron has really upped their offensive play of late, and they do have some key areas where they excel in overall.

- Lean on Gant: Star running back Jordan Gant hasn’t always had the opportunity to carry the team, but he’s been one of Akron’s most productive players and has 92+ rushing yards in each of their last five outings.
- Air Attack: Akron can let it fly at times, as quarterback Ben Finley has enjoyed a solid season (2,299 passing yards, 18 TDs), and is coming off a huge 424-yard and 3-TD outing.
- Red-Zone Monster: The Zips have not been prolific at scoring this year, but their red-zone defense has raised some eyebrows. They come into this game ranked 13th at stopping teams inside the 20.
Bowling Green Falcons
Bowling Green is in very poor form, having dropped four straight and failed to score more than 21 points in any of those losses. They are even worse than Akron on the year, but offer a better defense and a more reliable ground game.
Here are a few key areas where they stand out going into Tuesday:

- Run the Ball: The Falcons really like to run the ball, as they call run plays at the 33rd highest rate. That volume leads to the nation’s 72nd best ground game, although the production is rather spread out.
- Opportunistic Defense: The Falcons do a solid job at forcing turnovers, as they collect 1.3 per game – good for 54th in the country.
- When in Position: Since their offense isn’t super reliable, it’s good that they have a strong kicking game. The Falcons can take advantage of favorable field position thanks to a nice field goal conversation rate (84.62%), which ranks 40th in college football.
Key Matchup Angles
Consider the following key matchups:
- Akron’s Red-Zone D vs. Bowling Green’s Red-Zone O: This may be the biggest matchup of this game, as Akron’s RZ defense is elite, but Bowling Green’s RZ scoring is the only thing their offense has going for it.
- Akron’s passing game vs. Bowling Green’s pass defense: The Zips pass more than they run and they’re not half bad at it (75th), while they’ve been even better in recent weeks. The Falcons (51st) are capable against the pass, however.
- Bowling Green’s rush offense vs. Akron’s run defense: The Falcons love to run the ball and even though they aren’t elite at it, they still grind out 147.3 yards per game. This is their ticket to success in this game, as Akron allows 4.5 yards per carry and 155.9 yards per game on the ground.
Betting Insights & Trends
Akron has been slightly better (5-6) against the spread on the year, but they are just 4-5 against the spread as the underdog and 2-3 ATS as the road team.
Bowling Green has gone 4-6 against the spread in 2025, while they are 0-4 ATS when favored and 2-3 against the spread at home.
Best Bets & Confidence Levels
Check out my favorite Akron vs. Bowling Green picks:
| Bet | Recommendation | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
Akron ML (+138) | The Zips have looked rock solid over their past several games and look like the better team. They’ll also be eager to end their season on a high note against a rival they haven’t beaten since 2021. | 7/10 |
Over 47.5 (-110) | Neither offense is particularly reliable, but Akron has been in strong form lately and these defenses allow a combined 58.5 points per game. | 7/10 |
- Primary Pick: Akron ML (+138)
- Secondary Pick: Over 47.5 (-110)
The Zips have looked far more cohesive lately. Their defense is worse, but they also offer enough value as +138 underdogs for bettors to pounce on them.
The Over is in play when you factor in Akron’s recent offensive form and both defenses being unable to consistently stop opponents from scoring.
Risk Factors & What Could Go Wrong
Sometimes even the best wagers can fall short. Here are some reasons why Akron vs. Bowling Green picks could miss:
- Still Bad: Akron looks better than Bowling Green, but they are still not a reliable team. Their 4-7 record is a perfect representation of the risk you’re taking.
- No Defense: The Zips have really come around offensively, but they still can’t stop anyone. They could easily make Bowling Green look amazing in this matchup.
- Poor Offense: These teams have elite matchups on the table, but neither offense averages even 20 points per game on the season. It’s entirely possible they both struggle in a low-scoring affair.
Putting Our Pick on the Board: Here’s How It Plays Out
Final Score Prediction: Akron 33, Bowling Green 30
This is still a MAC game and neither defense can stop a nosebleed, so I think we’re in for a bit of a shootout. The game total is fairly modest despite both defenses struggling immensely, while Akron’s offense has taken flight over the last four games, too.
Akron is the flat out better team across the board. They have a worse defense, but that feels like a wash here. Look for the Zips to put up points and set the tone in this spot, forcing Bowling Green to work hard to keep up.
Ultimately, Akron is the more attractive play, as they look to close out their year with a win – and end their skid against Bowling Green at the same time.
Who Dies in Stranger Things Season 5? Odds, Predictions & Betting Insight
Season 5 of Stranger Things is finally on the way, and one thing is already crystal clear… not everyone is making it out alive. Fans have been tossing around theories for years, but the final season raises the stakes higher than ever. The Duffers have hinted at darker themes, emotional endings, and a storyline that pulls everything full circle — which means some of our favorite characters may be in real danger.
And every time a major show reaches its final chapter, the same thing happens: betting markets explode with speculation. Offshore books have a history of posting novelty odds for big TV moments, and Stranger Things has one of the most passionate theory-driven fanbases on the internet.
So today, we’re breaking it all down — the characters most at risk, fictional odds to help you evaluate the landscape, key fan theories driving the predictions, and insider-style betting insight to help you make sense of it all.
Let’s dig into who might survive, who’s in serious trouble, and who the odds suggest could be the next heartbreaking goodbye.
Why Character-Death Betting Is a Real Thing
It might sound strange at first — betting on fictional character deaths — but it’s become a genuine trend in the entertainment world. Any time a major show builds a dedicated fanbase and creates real emotional stakes, speculation turns into analysis… and analysis turns into odds. By the time a series reaches its final season, the conversation becomes even bigger, because fans know no one is fully safe.
Entertainment betting lives in this sweet spot between fandom and prediction. Offshore books have posted lines for years on everything from the next James Bond to reality TV outcomes. Even when the markets aren’t official, fans love treating character fates the same way they’d treat props or futures in sports — you’re identifying patterns, reading clues, and trying to spot value before everyone else.
What makes TV-death betting so popular?
- Huge emotional investment: People feel connected to the characters.
- Unpredictable storytelling: Fans know plot twists are coming.
- Massive online theory culture: Speculation spreads fast and creates “market movement.”
- High-stakes finales: The final season always ramps up the tension.
- Social bragging rights: Predicting the right character death is a badge of honor in fandom circles.
There’s no official U.S. betting market for character deaths, but the fun part is treating the predictions like a handicapping challenge — and Stranger Things has the exact mix of fandom, mystery, and emotional weight that makes these speculative odds explode.
Stranger Things Season 5: What We Know So Far

This isn’t just another chapter — it’s the final act for the crew from Stranger Things in Hawkins. The show’s creators, the Matt Duffer and Ross Duffer (collectively “the Duffers”), have confirmed that Season 5 is the end of the story for the Hawkins gang.
Here are key bullet points of what we do know:
- Finality confirmed. The Duffers have said this is the conclusion of the main storyline for characters like Eleven, Mike, Lucas, Dustin, Steve, Will, and the rest. No further seasons for this core Hawkins story.
- Release schedule and structure. Season 5 is planned for 8 episodes, and will be released in three volumes: the first part on November 26, 2025; the second on December 25, 2025; with the finale on December 31, 2025.
- Production scale and ambition. According to reports, the season is described as “the biggest it’s ever been,” pulling in unused ideas from earlier seasons (Season 2, specifically) to bring everything full circle.
- Story and tone hints. The Duffers say this season will tie up the Upside Down mystery, revisit long-standing arcs, and feel like the early seasons and something amplified. They’ve mentioned unused ideas from Season 2 being repurposed for this final run.
- Key casting and new roles. Core cast members are returning (Millie Bobby Brown, Finn Wolfhard, Sadie Sink, Noah Schnapp, Caleb McLaughlin, Gaten Matarazzo, Winona Ryder, David Harbour). New additions and elevated roles include actors like Linda Hamilton.
- Narrative stakes and scene setup. Expect big moments: reports say the first episode will be “eventful,” the series finale wraps up multiple arcs, and the Upside Down will be addressed in full.
What to Watch For
- A time jump or shift in setting: Modern hints suggest the story picks up in fall 1987 in Hawkins.
- Hawkins under crisis: Military presence, quarantine, or large-scale threat elements are teased.
- Character arcs wrapping up: Long-running threads (Will’s connection to the Upside Down, Eleven’s power evolution, the original group’s fate) are moving to closure.
- Massive set-pieces & emotional stakes: The creators describe the season as “movie-size” in ambition and execution.
Assessing Risk: Who’s in Trouble?
Before we dive into the odds, it helps to look at how we evaluate the “death risk” for each character. Season 5 isn’t just another chapter — it’s the show’s final act, which means the writers are no longer protecting characters the way they did in earlier seasons. The Duffers have already said they’re bringing the story full circle, closing open threads, and delivering emotional punches that feel earned. That alone pushes several main characters closer to the danger zone.
To make sense of who’s truly at risk, we looked at four main factors:
How We Assess Risk:
- Narrative trajectory: Is the character’s arc building toward sacrifice, closure, or a turning point?
- Screen time patterns: Is the character heavily featured or drifting into the background?
- Emotional leverage: Would their death create meaningful impact without derailing the story?
- Fan-theory momentum: What are the strongest theories saying, and how do they influence perception?
Using these angles, we sorted the main cast into a three-tier danger system — High Risk, Medium Risk, and Low Risk. And to make it more fun (and more useful from a betting standpoint), we turned those tiers into fictional entertainment odds.
Here’s how the entire board shakes out.
Season 5 Death Odds (Fictional Entertainment Odds)
| Character | Odds | Risk Tier | Why the Odds Look Like This |
|---|---|---|---|
Will Byers | +150 | High | Full-circle story arc, emotional payoff likely |
Steve Harrington | +180 | High | Fan-favorite with heroic arc; repeated near-deaths |
Jonathan Byers | +275 | High | Arc feels close to wrapping; major emotional leverage |
Max Mayfield | +320 | Medium | Fragile post-S4 state; depends on revival direction |
Hopper | +350 | Medium | Plot armor weaker now; mentor-role sacrifice possible |
Eleven | +500 | Medium | Would be bold but thematic; ultimate sacrifice arc |
Nancy Wheeler | +600 | Low | Key role but not central to Upside Down resolution |
Dustin Henderson | +900 | Low | Protected “heart of the group”; unlikely to be killed |
Mike Wheeler | +950 | Low | Critical to Eleven’s emotional arc; safer than most |
Lucas Sinclair | +1200 | Low | Strong growth and narrative momentum |
Erica Sinclair | +1400 | Low | Younger, fan-favorite, lots of future potential |
Robin Buckley | +1600 | Low | Could deliver emotional shock without breaking story |
High-Risk Characters (Most Likely Deaths)

When you look at the story structure, the emotional stakes, and the way the Duffers have been setting up long-running arcs, a few characters stand out as being firmly in the danger zone. These are the ones whose journeys feel close to completion, whose emotional weight would hit the hardest, or whose arcs naturally point toward sacrifice. In other words — if Season 5 delivers the heartbreak fans are bracing for, it probably starts here.
Will Byers
Will has been the emotional anchor of Stranger Things since the very first episode. His disappearance launched the entire story, and his lingering connection to the Upside Down has shaped every season that followed. Now, with the show wrapping up, all signs point to his arc coming full circle — and that’s not great news for his survival odds.
Why Will is High Risk:
- Central connection to the Upside Down: He feels Vecna, senses danger, and has been “marked” since Season 1.
- Symbolic narrative arc: Ending the story where it began is exactly the kind of writing choice final seasons lean into.
- Emotional impact: A Will sacrifice would be devastating but thematically powerful.
If the writers want the final blow to feel meaningful, Will is the most narratively aligned character for it.
Steve Harrington
Steve’s transformation from jerk boyfriend to fan-favorite protector is one of the best arcs in the series — and that’s exactly why fans are terrified for him. Steve has all the classic markers of a heroic, heartbreaking death: redemption completed, emotional maturity reached, and multiple close calls already stacked behind him.
Why Steve is High Risk:
- Repeated near-deaths: Season 4 practically teased his exit multiple times.
- Hero archetype: His protector role makes him a prime candidate for a final act of sacrifice.
- Massive fan attachment: If the writers want impact, Steve is the jackpot.
Steve dying to save the kids — or specifically Dustin — would break the internet, which is exactly why the theory is everywhere.
Jonathan Byers
Jonathan’s role has steadily shrunk compared to earlier seasons, which often signals a character whose arc is nearing its endpoint. He still matters, but he isn’t as central as he once was — and final seasons often use characters like Jonathan to create emotional turning points for others.
Why Jonathan is High Risk:
- Reduced presence in Season 4: His screen time and purpose were noticeably lighter.
- Relationship crossroads: His arc with Nancy and his brother Will is reaching a natural conclusion.
- Narrative utility: Jonathan’s death would push both Will and Nancy into major emotional territory without breaking the core plot.
He may not be the top prediction, but he’s absolutely in the tier of characters whose stories could end before the finale fades to black.
Medium-Risk Characters
The Medium-Risk tier is where things get interesting. These characters have strong narrative value and solid fan support, but their story arcs contain just enough uncertainty to put them in legitimate danger. They aren’t as exposed as Will or Steve, but the final season could easily use them to raise the stakes, deliver emotional tension, or shift the story in a meaningful way. Their survival isn’t guaranteed — and that’s what makes this group worth watching closely.
Max Mayfield
Max is already hanging by a thread after the events of Season 4. Her physical and emotional state going into Season 5 is one of the biggest question marks in the entire show. Whether she comes back stronger, comes back different, or doesn’t come back at all sets the tone for her risk level.
Why Max Is Medium Risk:
- Still vulnerable post-S4: Her near-death experience leaves her recovery — or lack of it — wide open.
- Unfinished emotional arc: Her trauma and guilt need resolution, but resolution in final seasons can go either way.
- Vecna connection: If Vecna targets her again, the odds aren’t great.
Max surviving would be powerful. Max dying would be heartbreaking. Both options are narratively viable.
Hopper
Hopper is the embodiment of resilience in Stranger Things. He’s escaped death, survived the Soviet storyline, and rebuilt his relationship with Eleven. But final seasons sometimes close mentor arcs with a sacrifice — and Hopper fits that mold perfectly.
Why Hopper Is Medium Risk:
- Diminished plot armor: After the Season 3 fake-out, writers may not hesitate to kill him for real if it serves the story.
- Father-figure archetype: Characters in this role often face high-stakes endings in sci-fi and fantasy narratives.
- Emotional leverage: Hopper’s death would hit the audience hard and supercharge Eleven’s motivation.
He’s too important to dismiss… but not safe enough to ignore.
Eleven
Eleven is the face of the series — which makes her death feel unlikely — but Season 5’s “all or nothing” theme leaves a slim but real possibility that her story ends in ultimate sacrifice. Killing the main character would be bold, controversial, and unforgettable… which is exactly why people keep theorizing about it.
Why Eleven Is Medium Risk:
- “Chosen one” narrative: Characters with world-saving power often face sacrificial endings.
- Direct connection to Vecna and the Upside Down: Her powers are central to resolving the conflict.
- High-impact story payoff: If Eleven sacrifices herself to close the Upside Down forever, it would be emotional and definitive.
Still — given the show’s heart and tone — it’s more likely she survives. But Medium Risk is the right call.
Low-Risk Characters
These characters feel the safest heading into Season 5. Their arcs still have room to grow, they anchor emotional stability within the group, or they simply serve roles the writers are unlikely to cut before the final resolution. While anything can happen in a series finale, this tier contains the characters whose deaths would feel off-tone, creatively unnecessary, or too disruptive to the narrative.
Dustin Henderson
Dustin is the heart and humor of the entire show — and the Duffers know it. Removing him would break the emotional rhythm of the final episodes.
Why Dustin Feels Safe:
- Core emotional anchor
- Essential to the group’s chemistry
- Loss would shift the tone too drastically
Mike Wheeler
Mike’s relationship with Eleven remains central, making his survival important for the emotional payoff of her arc.
Why Mike Is Low Risk:
- Narrative importance to Eleven
- Ongoing character growth
- Symbolically part of the “original crew” ending
Lucas Sinclair
Lucas has become one of the show’s most grounded, emotionally mature characters. Season 4 pushed him to new depths, and the writers seem invested in giving him a hopeful future.
Why Lucas Is Low Risk:
- Strong arc momentum
- Major family connections (Erica)
- Balanced role between action and heart
Erica Sinclair
Erica brings levity and confidence — the kind of energy writers almost always keep alive through the finale.
Why Erica Is Low Risk:
- Younger character with long-term potential
- Fan favorite with comedic timing
- Lightens heavy narrative moments
Wildcard Death Candidates (Dark Horse Picks)
This group is intriguing because their deaths wouldn’t derail the core plot — but would still deliver emotional shockwaves. They’re not top-tier risks, but the writers could absolutely use them to raise the stakes.
Most Notable Wildcards:
- Robin Buckley — Loved, important, but not central enough to be “safe”
- Nancy Wheeler — A pivotal character who could be used as a catalyst
- Murray Bauman — Comic relief with expendable narrative weight
- Dr. Owens — Valuable ally who could fall victim to government fallout
- Argyle — More likely for tension or emotional beats than story necessity
Wildcards keep things unpredictable — and Season 5 absolutely needs unpredictability.
Fan Theories Fueling the Death Predictions

The Stranger Things fanbase doesn’t just watch the show — they dissect it. Spend five minutes on Reddit, TikTok, or YouTube breakdown channels and you’ll realize fans are treating Season 5 like a puzzle that can be solved if you connect the right clues. These theories don’t just add hype — they directly influence how fans think about who might die, who might survive, and how the story closes.
Here are the biggest theories shaping the conversation right now:
1. The Will Sacrifice Theory
This is the dominant theory online, and it’s been gaining momentum ever since the Duffers hinted that Season 1 and Season 5 would “echo” each other.
Core ideas behind the theory:
- Will’s connection to the Mind Flayer and Vecna goes deeper than anyone else’s.
- He’s been psychologically tied to the Upside Down since day one, making him the only one who might fully understand it.
- Closing the gate may require someone with a direct link — and Will is the link.
Many fans believe the series ends with Will giving his life to shut the Upside Down permanently. It’s tragic, but it fits the “full-circle” storytelling the Duffers love.
2. Steve’s Heroic Death Theory
Fans have been bracing for this one since Season 4.
Why this theory won’t go away:
- Steve has had multiple near-death moments, which often foreshadow an eventual sacrifice.
- His protector role — especially toward Dustin — is classic setup for a heroic final stand.
- Viewers love him, which makes his death a “perfect storm” for emotional impact.
Some versions of this theory even suggest Steve saves Nancy, Dustin, or the younger kids in a final act of selflessness.
3. Eleven’s Final Stand Theory
This is the boldest (and most controversial) theory in circulation.
Why fans think Eleven might die:
- She’s the only one powerful enough to destroy Vecna once and for all.
- Her entire arc has been tied to sacrifice, identity, and redemption.
- A “chosen one dies saving everyone” finale is common in sci-fi storytelling.
Most fans doubt Netflix would kill off the face of the franchise… but not everyone is ruling it out.
4. The Original Group Target Theory (Vecna Finishes What He Started)
This theory suggests Vecna isn’t interested in random victims — he wants the original four boys.
Why?
- Will, Mike, Lucas, and Dustin represent the emotional heart of the show.
- Season 4 revealed Vecna’s plan to break the group psychologically.
- Some fans think Vecna will specifically target the OG kids in Season 5 as a final act of vengeance.
This theory doesn’t predict who dies — it predicts who’s hunted.
5. The “Mass Casualty Finale” Theory
This one comes from fans who believe the Duffers will go big, not safe.
Signs supporting it:
- The Duffers have said Season 5 will be “as big as any series finale ever done.”
- The Upside Down is merging with Hawkins — meaning real stakes for the town.
- Final seasons often deliver more than one major death.
According to this theory, we might lose multiple characters across different storylines.
6. The Redemption Arc Death Theory (Nancy or Robin)
Fans who track character arcs closely have floated the idea of a key female supporting character dying — usually Nancy or Robin — to close out emotional threads involving Steve, Jonathan, or the group dynamic.
Why some fans believe this:
- Both characters have had substantial personal growth.
- Their loss would hurt, but not break the story.
- They’re central enough to matter, but not untouchable.
This theory stays in the background but consistently pops up in deep-dive discussions.
7. The Brenner Connection Theory (Owens Pays the Price)
Some fans believe Dr. Owens becomes collateral damage in the government’s internal cleanup.
Reasons why:
- He openly defied Brenner’s methods.
- He still knows too much about Eleven’s past.
- Government involvement will likely escalate.
This theory doesn’t drive the biggest debates — but it’s a common “quiet prediction.”
These theories don’t guarantee anything, but they absolutely shape how people think about death predictions heading into Season 5 — and they add fuel to every odds discussion, every fan debate, and every entertainment betting angle.
Predictions: Our Final Picks for Season 5 Deaths
With the odds laid out and the major theories dissected, it’s time to make the actual predictions. These aren’t guesses — they’re based on narrative trajectories, character arcs, emotional payoff, and how final seasons typically land their biggest moments. Some characters feel positioned for closure, while others seem destined for a future beyond Hawkins. Season 5 will almost certainly deliver heartbreak, but the question is: whose loss hits hardest while still serving the story?
Here’s where the evidence points.
Most Likely to Die
Will Byers
If there’s one prediction that feels narratively locked in, it’s this. Will’s story began with the Upside Down, and ending the series with him sacrificing himself to close it would be powerful, emotional, and thematically perfect. It’s the kind of full-circle moment the Duffers love.
Why He Tops the List:
- Direct link to Vecna
- Emotional impact without derailing the story
- Long-running arc built around trauma and connection
Will dying would cement the finale as unforgettable — and tragically fitting.
Steve Harrington
Steve’s redemption arc has been building toward a heroic sacrifice since Season 2. He’s brave, selfless, and fiercely protective of the kids — which unfortunately puts a giant target on his back.
Why Steve Feels Doomed:
- Too many near-death moments to ignore
- Hero archetype perfectly set for a final stand
- Writers know fans would feel this one
If the show wants its major gut punch, Steve is the perfect storm.
Jonathan Byers
Jonathan sits in the quieter danger zone. He’s meaningful enough that his death would matter, but not so central that it would break the plot. His arc feels like it’s winding down, and killing him could shape both Will’s and Nancy’s futures.
Why Jonathan Could Go:
- Hasn’t had a major arc payoff lately
- Could push Will toward a final confrontation
- Could reshape the Nancy–Steve–Jonathan storyline
He’s not the highest-risk character, but he’s more vulnerable than casual fans realize.
Most Likely to Survive
Dustin Henderson
Dustin is the emotional engine of the show. Killing him would drastically shift the tone — and not in the right way. He’s almost certainly safe.
Why He Survives:
- Fan favorite
- Symbol of hope and humor
- Too important for the final emotional balance
Lucas Sinclair
Lucas has stepped into a stronger, more mature version of himself — the kind of arc writers usually reward with survival, not tragedy.
Why He Survives:
- Major growth since Season 1
- Balancing relationship with Max
- A stable character for the finale’s emotional grounding
Mike Wheeler
Mike’s bond with Eleven remains central. His presence is crucial for her story to resolve the right way.
Why He Survives:
- Essential part of Eleven’s emotional arc
- Part of the original group the writers often protect
- Offers stability and continuity
Erica Sinclair
Her sharp humor and fearless attitude make her too valuable to lose — and her younger age also makes a death unlikely.
Why She Survives:
- Brings levity
- Younger character
- High fan appeal
The Final Roll of the Dice in Hawkins
Season 5 is shaping up to be the most emotional, explosive, and unpredictable chapter Stranger Things has ever delivered. With the Upside Down closing in, long-running arcs reaching their peak, and the Duffers promising a finale that ties every thread together, the stakes have never been higher — and neither has the uncertainty. Some characters feel destined for survival, others are clearly on borrowed time, and a few sit right in the crosshairs of narrative necessity.
The odds and predictions here aren’t guarantees, but they do give us a clear look at how the storylines, fan theories, and risk tiers all line up. Whether it’s a heroic sacrifice, a full-circle ending, or a surprising wildcard death, Season 5 will bring moments that fans remember for years.
Until then, enjoy the speculation, follow the clues, and keep an eye on how the odds shift as new footage and updates drop. And as always, stick with GamblingSite.com for more entertainment breakdowns, betting insights, and prediction analysis as we head toward the endgame in Hawkins.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Las Vegas Raiders Prediction & Betting Picks (November 17th, 2025)
The Dallas Cowboys will officially be on their last leg on Monday Night Football, where they’ll be -185 favorites to defeat the Las Vegas Raiders.
Coming in with a pedestrian 3-5-1 record, Dallas has little hope of claiming the NFC East title at this point, and may need to win out just to sneak into the NFC playoffs.
That journey starts on MNF, where Dallas will be 3.5-point favorites on the road. Las Vegas knows where they stand for 2025, as they are just 2-7 and clearly looking to build a winning foundation for next year.
So, are the Cowboys an easy bet, or should bettors cheer for the Raiders to play spoiler? I’ll turn over every stone as I inspect the odds and key matchups en route to my Cowboys vs. Raiders prediction.
Game Info Snapshot
- Matchup: Dallas Cowboys (3-5-1) vs. Las Vegas Raiders (2-7)
- Date & Time: Monday, November 17th, 2025 | Kickoff at 8:15 pm ET
- Venue: Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, NV
- How to Watch: ABC/ESPN
The pricing indicates the Cowboys are the far more respected team, as they are almost four-point favorites despite this game not being played in Texas.
Neither defense is getting much love, as the 49.5 game total indicates we’re going to be in for plenty of scoring.
Storylines to Watch
The Dallas Cowboys have their backs against the wall in front of the nation on Monday Night Football.
There were high expectations for Big D (as there often are), but they have fallen short so far at a middling 3-5-1. Whether they can bounce back and get back on track in a winnable spot will be one of the key storylines for this game.
Here are a few more Cowboys vs. Raiders storylines to consider:
- Bower Outage: Brock Bowers returned from a knee injury to completely dominate (3 TDs) two weeks ago, then was barely involved last week. If the Raiders want to stage the upset, feeding their best offensive weapon would probably be wise.
- Aged Out: Pete Carroll was hired to restore a winning tradition to the Raiders’ sideline, but that hasn’t worked out at all. Could the 74-year old coach be a one-and-done hire if the Raiders don’t win here and close out the season strong?
- Sad Goodbyes: Perhaps the biggest storyline will be how Dallas responds after losing one of their own. Pass rusher Marshawn Kneeland died this past week and the Cowboys have to find a way to look past this tragedy and get a win.
Team Profiles
Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys are who we thought they were. Everyone said going into the season they’d be fun on offense and a disaster on defense. That’s been precisely their identity, with the surprise caveat that newcomer Javonte Williams has given their running game a jolt.
Dallas has also simply been inconsistent. One week they are giving the defending champion Eagles all they can handle and the next they can barely beat the Giants.

Here’s a quick look at how they’ve stood out in some key areas in 2025:
- Pass Happy: Whether by design or necessity, the Cowboys love to pass (5th highest pass rate) and they’ve excelled when doing it (3rd in passing yards). Dak Prescott and co. haven’t been perfect, but their success through the air has been a key reason they rank 4th in scoring on the season.
- No Defense: Dallas has big passing numbers at least partially because they have to. Their defense (31st in scoring) has been abysmal, as they rank bottom three both against the run and against the pass.
- Max Protect: Despite taking it to the air 60% of the time, Dallas has been remarkably good at keeping Dak Prescott protected. They allow the 3rd lowest sack rate in the NFL.
Las Vegas Raiders
The Raiders made huge changes this past offseason, hiring Pete Carroll as head coach, trading for quarterback Geno Smith, and spending a top-10 pick on Ashton Jeanty.
None of that has translated to much, as the team has just two wins through nine games. The team has never really seemed to be fully in sync due to injuries and so many changes.

Here’s where they stand out in some key metrics:
- Turnover Patrol: Geno Smith was brought in to be an upgrade under center when it comes to leadership and decision-making. That hasn’t really been the case, as he’s taken the 7th most sacks and has Las Vegas ranked dead last in interception rate.
- Failing Jeanty: Ashtony Jeanty is plenty involved, but the Raiders should try to be more balanced and properly utilize their prized draft pick. On the year, they have just a 41% rush rate, while their weak o-line has been responsible for the league’s second worst yards per carry average.
- Strong Up Front: Las Vegas has done a good job against the run on a per carry basis (4th). The problem is they are often trailing or even getting blown out, so the volume adds up and the overall numbers look worse than they might actually be.
Key Matchups & Angles
Check out the key Cowboys vs. Raiders matchups:
- Dak Prescott vs. the Las Vegas pass defense: Prescott will need to be aware of where Maxx Crosby is at all times, but the rest of this Raiders defense isn’t very scary. The NFL’s 3rd best passing offense should move the ball at will in this matchup.
- Ashton Jeanty vs. the Cowboys run defense: Las Vegas hasn’t run the ball as much as they’d like – nor as effectively as you’d hope – but Dallas (28th vs. the run) gives them one of the best matchups they’ve had on the ground all season.
- Turnover Battle: Both offenses have great matchups on paper, but something has to break in the turnover department. The Raiders (28th) can’t stop giving the ball away and Dallas (27th) is allergic to takeaways.
Betting Trends & Odds Context
Check out the latest Cowboys vs. Raiders odds, per DraftKings:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Cowboys | -3.5 (-108) | -185 | Over 50.5 (-108) |
Raiders | +3.5 (-112) | +154 | Under 50.5 (-112) |
Take a look at some key betting trends for this showdown:
- Public Betting: The public is all over Dallas in this one, with 93% of the bets and 96% of the money backing the Cowboys despite being on the road.
- Record History: These two sides have only faced each other 13 times, with Las Vegas holding a slight 7-6 series advantage. They won the most recent clash (36-33) in an OT thriller, but Dallas won three in a row before that.
- ATS Tidbits: Both teams have been bad against the spread in 2025 (4-5). Dallas is just 1-4 ATS as the favorite this year and 2-4 against the spread in non-division games. The Raiders are 2-2 ATS at home and 3-4 against the spread as the underdog.
Best Bets for Cowboys vs. Raiders
Pick 1: Cowboys ML (-185) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
Dallas has a weak record, but they could easily be 4-5 (or better) and have the vastly superior offense. They also have a little light at the end of the tunnel yet in regards to their playoff hopes, so they should show up and leave no doubt in this one.
Risks/What to Watch
Las Vegas is still at home and have played very competitive football the last two games, losing them by a combined four points. Dallas has the offensive edge, but they still tied or lost six times in 2025 and are obviously not the most reliable team.
Pick 2: Over 49.5 (-102) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
This game has no defense to get excited about, so we should anticipate plenty of scoring. Most Dallas games are either shootouts or they’re giving up a bunch of points, as the Over is 6-3 for them on the year.
Risks/What to Watch
Las Vegas is really bad offensively. It isn’t crazy to think their paltry offense could negatively impact the Over.
Pick 3: Prop Play – Ashton Jeanty Anytime TD (-145) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
You could probably talk me into a handful of touchdown scorer props for this game, but Jeanty’s price is to die for. He scored last week and has a TD in three of his last four games. Dallas has coughed up 10 total touchdowns to RBs in 2025 and rank 29th in red-zone defense.
Risks/What to Watch
The Raiders are not good offensively. Matchup be damned, they could always lay an egg and get shut out or simply have someone else luck into a touchdown.
Final Verdict: Cowboys Stay Alive With Big Road Win
My Cowboys vs. Raiders prediction is that Dallas will win with relative ease and that we get a mild shootout. I don’t think Dallas completely rolls in a blowout, but they will get a convincing win – one that is good enough to cover.
The Raiders will still contribute to the Over, as both defenses stink and the matchups are too good across the board to not produce a good amount of scoring.
Ultimately, Dallas has way more upside and they have more to play for. They also simply have a better o-line and a superior offense. Las Vegas will struggle to keep up, but they’ll score enough to keep it interesting and help all of my Cowboys vs. Raiders picks deliver.
Final Score Prediction: Cowboys 34, Raiders 24
Detroit Lions vs. Philadelphia Eagles Prediction & Top Bets (November 16, 2025)
The best NFL game of the week is saved for Sunday Night Football, where the visiting Detroit Lions will be mild +126 underdogs against the Philadelphia Eagles.
Both teams are fighting for first place in the NFC, and a win here for Philly would put them in sole possession of first place thanks to a tiebreaker win over the Los Angeles Rams.
Naturally, this is a huge game for the Lions, who need to win to keep themselves in the running for that top spot. The moneyline and point spread (+2.5) indicate it will be a close game, while the 46.5 game total sets fans and sports bettors alike up for a bit of a slugfest.
Will the Lions come into Philadelphia and get the win, or will the Eagles stand firm and continue their reign atop the NFC? I’ll offer my Lions vs. Eagles predictions, while also touching on the latest odds, key matchups, and my favorite bets for the game.
Game Info Snapshot
- Matchup: Detroit Lions (6-3) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (7-2)
- Date & Time: Sunday, November 16th, 2025 | Kickoff at 7:20 pm ET
- Venue: Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA
- How to Watch: NBC/Peacock
The pricing is pretty tight, as oddsmakers anticipate a close game. The 2.5-point spread and +126 moneyline suggest a virtual pick’em.
The game total is straight down the middle. The Eagles are coming off of a game that featured just 17 total points, but both teams have high offensive ceilings.
Storylines to Watch
The biggest storyline is simply what is at stake in this game. The Lions need to win to stay ahead of the pack in the competitive NFC North, while a loss here would drop them out of the #1 seed conversation in the NFC.
As for Philly, the NFC East is already basically wrapped up. However, they can continue to distance themselves from a good chunk of teams when it comes to a potential first round bye.
Here are a few more Lions vs. Eagles storylines to consider:
- Diva WR: Stop me if you’ve heard this before, but Eagles wide receiver A.J. Brown is unhappy with his role and he’s letting everyone hear about it. Whether or not the Eagles fold and feed him the ball – and how that impacts this game – will be interesting to monitor.
- NFC Title Game Preview: This is the NFC Championship game we should have seen last year, but Detroit got upset by the Commanders. This should give us a pretty intense taste of what we could see later in the year at even higher stakes.
- Take Over: Dan Campbell seized control of Detroit’s offensive playcalling, and it worked out beautifully last week. That was just one game, though. How will that move look against a Philly defense that held the Packers to one score?
Team Profiles
Detroit Lions
The Detroit Lions got off to a slow start this year, as they got embarrassed in a week one blowout loss to the Packers. They’ve rebounded nicely since then, going 6-2 ever since.
Detroit entered the season with question marks on both sides of the ball, but the offense hasn’t missed a beat. They’ve topped at least 24+ points in seven of their 10 games, and they come into this SNF tilt with the #2 scoring offense in all of football.

The Lions have reasonable bite on defense, too, as they rank 13th in scoring and are doing a fantastic job limiting big plays.
Here are a few more things that stand out for Detroit going into this matchup:
- TNT: The Lions are as explosive as they come on offense. They are generating the 4th best yards per play average in the NFL (6.1), ranking inside the top-10 in big play rate both on the ground and through the air.
- Mid Protection: While they spring big plays with regularity, the Lions are not elite in pass protection right now. They’re not awful (13th), but this could be a problem against a talented Eagles pass rush.
- Hyper Accurate: Detroit can burn you from anywhere on the field, but they are also painfully accurate. As in, the most accurate passing attack (73.55%) in all of football.
Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles continue to be an extremely well balanced and gritty team. They get knocked at times for suspect in-game decisions and an ugly playing style, but all they do is win.
Philly comes in with an extremely capable offense and a top-10 scoring defense. They aren’t necessarily better than the Lions at several key areas, but overall they are good enough to match wits with anyone.

Here are a few more key factors for them going into this game:
- Splash Plays: Due to an inefficient rushing game, the Eagles are probably going to need to flip field position with big plays. Fortunately for them, they rank 8th in yards per pass and have the weapons to attack deep down the field.
- Ball Control: Philly’s system and ability to protect the ball make them tough to beat. Jalen Hurts paces all of football (1 INT) in interception percentage, but he could be challenged against a feisty Lions defense (10th in takeaways).
- Finish the Job: Detroit has a great pass rush and can force turnovers, but if the Eagles get near the goal-line, it’s game over. Philly owns the very best red-zone offense (80.95%) in the NFL.
Key Matchups & Angles
Check out the key Lions vs. Eagles matchups:
- Overly Aggressive: Detroit is not shy about being aggressive and given their talent and coaching, they’re often successful at it. They rank 7th in 4th down conversion, which could be a huge deal against a Philly defense that has been even better (5th) at stopping teams on 4th down.
- Long Distance: A massive key to this game for the Lions is to make sure Philly has long third downs. That will slowly remove their ground game and also curb the impact of the famed Tush Push. Owning the league’s 4th best pass rush could be their ticket to leveling the playing field.
- Pound the Rock: The Eagles want to run the ball (3rd in rush rate) as much as anyone. They haven’t been particularly great at it (21st), while the Lions (8th) have stopped the run pretty well on the year.
Betting Trends & Odds Context
Check out the latest Lions vs. Eagles odds, per FanDuel:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Lions | +2.5 (-104) | +124 | O 46.5 (-114) |
Eagles | -2.5 (-118) | -146 | U 46.5 (-106) |
Take a look at some key betting trends for this showdown:
- Public Betting: This one is wonky, as the Lions are only getting 36% of the bets, but 97% of the money. Expect the money to dip but it’s still a telling stat.
- Record History: These two sides have met 36 times throughout NFL history, with Philly owning an 18-16-2 edge. We haven’t seen a game between these two teams since 2022, but it was a wild 38-35 shootout that the Eagles won.
- ATS Tidbits: Both teams have been pretty good against the spread (6-3), but the Eagles are just 2-2 ATS as the home favorite. They are 5-3 against the spread as favorites in general, though, while they are 5-1 ATS outside of the NFC East. Detroit is 5-1 ATS outside of their division, but just 1-2 against the spread as the underdog.
Best Bets for Lions vs. Eagles
Pick 1: Lions ML (+126) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
Detroit is the more explosive team and they have key stats that stand out more in this matchup. They can run and pass at elite levels, while they also stop the run well and get after the quarterback. If they play up to their ability, they feel like a screaming value.
Risks/What to Watch
Philly is at home at night in a primetime setting and their ugly style of play usually allows them to dictate the pace of the game. If they can establish the run and keep the game low-scoring, they’ll have the edge.
Pick 2: Over 46.5 (-102) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
Given Detroit’s offensive upside, I think the Over is the more appealing play. Philly is coming off a season-worst offensive performance, so they’re in for a mild bounce-back on their own.
Risks/What to Watch
Philly’s style leads to a lot of Unders, so if they grind the clock out and limit possessions, this could be an insufferable bet to lose.
Pick 3: Prop Play – A.J. Brown Over 50+ Receiving Yards (-192) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
This is not a very high yardage total and A.J. Brown is fully capable of getting it in one play. On top of that, Detroit’s pass defense is weaker than their run defense and Brown has publicly griped about not being involved enough in Philly’s offense.
Risks/What to Watch
The Eagles could always choose not to bend the knee and opt not to force the ball to their disgruntled star. That, or the Lions could focus on stopping him just because of how explosive he can be.
Final Verdict: Lions Prove They’re The Team to Beat
Coming to a Lions vs. Eagles prediction isn’t easy, just because there are so many different things to consider. On one hand, the Eagles just flexed their defensive capacity last week and their playing style allows them to control games.
On the other hand, the Lions are a much more dynamic and explosive team on offense, they have the run defense to stifle a struggling Eagles offense, and they also need this game more.
The game should be close, but Detroit is aggressive and will attack all night – something the Packers really didn’t do a week ago. That will lead to the Over and a (narrow) Lions win.
Final Score Prediction: Detroit Lions 27, Eagles 23
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Washington Commanders vs. Miami Dolphins Prediction & Betting Picks (November 16th, 2025)
The NFL touches down in Madrid, Spain this weekend, where the Miami Dolphins will “host” the Washington Commanders as -148 betting favorites.
Condolences to the people of Madrid, as this is not the best NFL game they could have been awarded. In fact, both sides are missing some serious star power, as big names like Jayden Daniels and Tyreek Hill won’t be on hand due to injury.
No matter, as these teams still offer some offensive upside, as a healthy 47.5 game total suggests. The early Commanders vs. Dolphins odds indicate a close game (2.5-point spread) and a mild shootout could be in the cards, so here’s to hoping everyone in Spain gets the show they deserve.
Even if it’s not the best game the NFL could have given Madrid, you can at least profit from it. If you’re not sure how to do that, join me as I inspect the latest odds, analyze the key matchups, and work my way to a Commanders vs. Dolphins prediction.
Game Info Snapshot
- Matchup: Washington Commanders (3-7) vs. Miami Dolphins (3-7)
- Date & Time: Sunday, November 16th, 2025 | Kickoff at 8:30 am ET
- Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabeu in Madrid, Spain.
- How to Watch: NFL Network
This game is priced as a borderline toss-up. Miami has the slight edge on a neutral field, but the tight spread suggests a lack of faith in them as the favorite.
Both teams are dealing with injuries and are having trouble closing games, while neither team is overly impressive defensively. The game is also in a neutral setting outside the United States, so nobody has home field advantage.
The 47.5 game total reflects the weak defense and offensive upside, indicating a game that could yield a good amount of scoring.
Storylines to Watch
Both of these teams are likely dead in the water with identical 3-7 records. Miami seems to still be fighting the good fight, but probably need to win out (or close to it) to have a shot at sniffing the playoffs.
Washington, on the other hand, is without star quarterback Jayden Daniels, who suffered an elbow injury in his last game.
Here are a few more storylines to monitor for this game:
- Playing to Stay: Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel is probably playing for his job, while quarterback Tua Tagovailoa also needs a good stretch run to convince the Miami brass that he’s their QB of the future.
- Explosive Plays: Miami has two dynamite offensive weapons in De’Von Achane and Jaylen Waddle and they could be in for a lot of work against a Washington defense that ranks 31st in yards per play allowed.
- Hawaii Bowl: Tagovailoa is worth mentioning for a second reason, as he is Hawaiian and will be facing another quarterback – Marcus Mariota – who is also Hawaiian. It seems trivial, but there’s a decent amount of history connecting these two as well.
Team Profiles
Washington Commanders
Washington is not the same team they were last year. They got used to pulling out close wins and taking the league by surprise, but the NFL adapted and now they’re 3-7 through 10 games.
The Commanders have been dealt a rough hand in terms of injuries, as star wide receiver Terry McLaurin is also not going to be on hand for this game. This offense is dynamic when at full strength, but that hasn’t been the case for much of 2025.

- Musical Chairs: Jayden Daniels has been in and out of the lineup all year due to injury and his latest may be a season-ender. Mariota can benefit and parlay this time into a starting gig next year, but it’s led to the league’s 10th worst offense.
- Ground Control: The good news is the Commanders have the ability to move the ball on the ground. They have a decent stable of running backs and two quarterbacks who can make magic happen with their feet. Washington comes in ranked 7th in the league in rushing yards per game.
- Sieve: Washington was solid defensively in 2024, but injuries and weak offensive play have contributed to an epic collapse. They enter this Madrid battle with the 3rd most points allowed per game (28) on the season.
Miami Dolphins
Miami hasn’t been any better in terms of wins, but they have been the more cohesive unit on the offensive side of the ball. Health under center has helped, as often concussed passer Tua Tagovailoa hasn’t missed a single game.
Stud running back De’Von Achane has powered an explosive offense, but one that has certainly been inconsistent and has failed to rise up and produce against top shelf competition.

- Max Protect: Miami has done a good job keeping Tua Tagovailoa off his back. They rank 11th in sack rate as an o-line, which is great for a guy who has a history of head injuries.
- Dynamite: De’Von Achane was held in check more than Miami would like earlier in the year, but he’s certainly still been an explosive asset. He’s the main reason why their offense remains dynamic and presently ranks 10th in yards per rush.
- Hands Off: Another thing the Dolphins do well is avoid silly penalties. They give their coaches headaches for other reasons, but come into week 11 ranked 12th in penalties per game.
Key Matchups & Angles
Check out the key Commanders vs. Dolphins matchups:
- Washington’s running game vs. Miami’s run defense: The Dolphins have looked a bit better against the run in recent weeks, but on the year they’ve been awful (26th). They also have to deal with Washington, who has been effective (7th) on the ground this year.
- De’Von Achane vs. Washington’s defensive line: At one time the Commanders had a strong front seven. Their run defense has sulked in 2025, however. They own the league’s 8th worth run defense and it should struggle to contain an explosive back like Achane.
- Air Tua: This should be a great spot for Tua Tagovailoa to pop off. Washington has a middling pass rush and a terrible secondary (31st against the pass), giving him one of the best matchups he’s had all year.
Betting Trends & Odds Context
Check out the latest Commanders vs. Dolphins odds, per FanDuel:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Commanders | +2.5 (-108) | +126 | Over 47.5 (-104) |
Dolphins | -2.5 (-112) | -148 | Under 47.5 (-118) |
Take a look at some key betting trends for this showdown:
- Public Betting: The public action has greatly favored Miami. Over 64% of the bets have backed the Dolphins and 85% of the money is on Miami as well.
- Record History: These teams have only faced each other 16 times in league history. Miami holds a 10-6 series edge and won the most recent meeting (45-15) in 2023.
- ATS Tidbits: Washington has been just as bad (3-7) ATS this year, while they are 1-6 against the spread as the underdog. Miami has gone 5-5 ATS overall and are 1-2 against the spread when favored.
Best Bets for Commanders vs. Dolphins
Pick 1: Miami Dolphins ML (-148) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
Miami is the better team right now. They actually have their starting quarterback and have simply looked more cohesive over the past several weeks. If they win here and get hot, they have a clearer path to sneaking into the playoffs.
Risks/What to Watch
It’s a neutral setting, both teams are bad, and Washington has nothing to lose. They could easily rise up and dispatch a Dolphins team that is dangerously close to checking out.
Pick 2: Over 47.5 (-104) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
Both offenses still have dynamic and explosive talent to work with. Marcus Mariota can be a fun dual threat passer and is one of the better backup QBs in the league. Neither defense is particularly scary, either, so let’s hear it for a show in Spain!
Risks/What to Watch
Mariota could crumble in another start, while the Dolphins and Commanders are both weak by the numbers. Commanders games are just 2-3 when they’re the away underdog, too.
Pick 3: Prop Play – De’Von Achane Anytime TD Scorer (-175) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
De’Von Achane is the most explosive player in this game and he has been in a groove. The Commanders have coughed up 10 total scores to RBs in 2025 and he’s coming off a two-touchdown game last week.
Risks/What to Watch
Scoring touchdowns is hard. Washington isn’t good, but they should do everything they can to neutralize Miami’s best offensive weapon in an effort to keep him out of the endzone.
Final Verdict: Dolphins Stay Alive in Fun Spain Rout
I think Miami still has something to play for and Washington is running on fumes. Marcus Mariota brings enough to the table to keep things interesting in the first half, while I think the Commanders can help get us to the Over.
That should be a sweat, but Miami to win and cover won’t be. Achane is looking at a huge game as Miami puts up plenty of points and keeps themselves alive in the competitive AFC playoff picture.
Final Score Prediction: Miami Dolphins 34, Commanders 17
Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Ethyn Ewing UFC 322 Prediction & Betting Picks (November 15th, 2025)
UFC 322 underwent its first major facelift prior to Saturday’s massive event, as undefeated prospect Malcolm Wellmaker got a new opponent on short notice.
Wellmaker was a -160 favorite to take out Cody Haddon, but Haddon was forced out of UFC 322 and replaced quickly by the surging Ethyn Ewing. Ewing holds an 8-2 record and has been on fire, claiming a big knockout win just last week.
Ewing gets a massive opportunity on incredibly short notice, as he will make his official UFC debut against one of the sport’s more tantalizing up-and-comers.
Wellmaker’s 2-0 record inside the UFC and vicious finishing ability still have him pegged to get a win at UFC 322, with his odds spiking to -550 at ESPN Bet. Of course, the new wrinkle in this weekend’s festivities has bettors unsure as to how to wager.
Want to know what side to take or where the value is at? Join me as I analyze the latest odds, single out my favorite bets, and offer my Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Ethyn Ewing prediction.
Event Overview
- Event: UFC 322
- When: Saturday, November 15
- Where: Madison Square Garden Arena In New York, New York
- Schedule: Preliminary Card – 8:00 pm ET
- How to Watch: Streaming on ESPNNEWS, ESPN Deportes and Disney+
- See the full UFC 322 card
Current Betting Odds & Market Snapshot
Check out the Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Ethyn Ewing odds over at ESPN Bet:
| Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
Malcolm Wellmaker | -550 |
Ethyn Ewing | +375 |
Fight Goes the Distance | OFF |
Method of Victory | N/A |
Total Rounds | Over 1.5 (+125) | Under 1.5 (-160) |
What the Odds Tell Us
The pricing clearly suggests that Malcolm Wellmaker is the more talented and dangerous fighter. He is fully expected to win and is a major threat to end this fight early, which is why wagers for the method of victory and whether it goes the distance presently aren’t available.
The Wellmaker vs. Ewing odds for total rounds further that sentiment, as this fight is priced as one that will end via stoppage, and isn’t very likely to go past the second round.
Matchup Preview & Fighter Profiles
Malcolm Wellmaker (10-0)
Wellmaker is one of the more exciting UFC prospects. He first made a name for himself when he rocked Adam Bramhald in Dante White’s Contender Series, and he’s 2-0 with two devastating KOs since graduating to the big show.
Despite being a striker at heart with excellent pacing and crushing power, he does have some floor game, as evidenced by two career submissions. His defense is elite against takedowns so far, and he’s obviously never been finished in any regard.

I will say that he has a very calm and controlled demeanor when he fights, but he often does leave himself open to some big shots. He will need to avoid that or withstand some punishment against a relatively dangerous opponent.
Wellmaker enters as a huge favorite due to his power, as he has scored three straight knockouts with one punch. The level of competition he’s faced has not been amazing, but he’s passed every test with flying colors so far.
Ethyn Ewing (8-2)
Ewing deserves a lot of credit for jumping to the highest level of mixed martial arts on incredibly short notice. On top of that, he literally fought a week ago, so there has to be serious fatigue and preparation concerns.
I think Ewing is going to give it a go and try to shock the world, but short-notice fights rarely go as planned, and this plays to Wellmaker’s advantage in a big way.

That said, Ewing has a nice combination of wrestling and power in his back pocket. He does lose height and reach in this matchup, but he has some vicious striking ability of his own and has shown a consistent tendency to finish opponents standing up or on the mat.
Ewing is on a tear of his own, as he hasn’t lost since 2022 (8 straight wins) and has finished the guy across from him in each of his last three fights. Two of those came in 2025 alone, as he KO’d Billy Brand last week with one punch, and dropped Santos Verdinez in January with a head kick.
He actually might be slightly more versatile than Wellmaker, but in terms of raw power and overall talent, he is correctly labeled as the underdog.
Tale of the Tape
| Malcolm Wellmaker | Ethyn Ewing | |
|---|---|---|
Record | 10-0 | 8-2 |
Height | 5’10” | 5’8” |
Reach | 71” | 68.5” |
Stance | Switch | Orthodox |
Style | Striker | Striker |
Both fighters have good-to-great records and have elite striking ability. Ewing profiles as the slightly more versatile mixed martial artist, while Wellmaker has a clear height and reach advantage.
Key Matchup Factors to Watch
These guys both like to stand up and trade. Ewing is probably going to be a bit more eager to switch things up and lean into his wrestling background, but my guess is we see this fight play out on the feet.
- Height & Reach: Ewing could try to test Wellmaker on the mat, but height and reach disadvantages – not to mention Wellmaker’s strong takedown defense – are probably going to prevent that from being a sound strategy.
- Raw Power: Both of these guys can absolutely end this thing early. Neither have ever been KO’d, but it’s been their main path to wins. They are both explosive and have proven to be plenty patient to wait for the perfect opening.
- Fatigue: I assume Ewing feels good enough for his UFC debut, but fighting twice in one week sounds insane. He may not have a ton of gas in the tank for this one, so lasting beyond two rounds seems unlikely.
Best Bets & Betting Strategy
Check out my top Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Ethyn Ewing bets at UFC 322:
| Bet | Reasoning | Confidence Level |
|---|---|---|
Under 1.5 Rounds (-165) | These guys are elite finishers who typically end fights early. Neither has ever been KO’d, but something tells me that will change at UFC 322. | 9/10 |
Malcolm Wellmaker ML (-550) | I think there is value with Ewing at +375 just for fun (YOLO, etc), but Wellmaker is going to win this fight. The -550 ML is poor value, but you can toss this on a UFC 322 parlay. | 9/10 |
Don’t get caught by surprise—odds often shift as fight night nears. Check updated lines before you wager, and browse our trusted sports betting sites to secure the best prices and fastest payouts.
Risk Factors & Things to Watch
Things can go wrong when betting on a high-variance sport like MMA. Here’s why our Wellmaker vs. Ewing picks could fail:
- One Punch: It takes just one clean shot from a powerful striker like Ewing to shock the collective UFC world. Wellmaker seems to have a strong chin, and he’s the more likely knockout threat, but the UFC is unpredictable, and Ewing has a puncher’s chance.
- Unknown: The other thing working to Ewing’s advantage – just as much as you could argue it a disadvantage for him – is the fact that Wellmaker has had zero time to prepare for him. In training, you work on aspects of your game and prep for a specific opponent, but a lack of familiarity could help Ewing in this spot.
- Too Patient: As for the total rounds bet, it’s always possible we have two gifted strikers who don’t get knocked out and wait too long to look for the perfect shot. Maybe we just get a ton of damage and we make it through three rounds with the best fight of UFC 322.
The Bottom Line: Wellmaker Gets Another Knockout
Ultimately, my Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Ethyn Ewing prediction isn’t going to shock you.
I do think Ethyn Ewing is an interesting fighter. He certainly is skilled, he has good pace, and he’s adept at pressuring and finishing bouts early. He’s also coming in on remarkably short notice and going up against a more talented prospect. This will be Ewing’s UFC debut, too, and he simply has never faced someone as good as Wellmaker, nor does he have experience against top tier talent like his opponent does.
An upset is always possible because it’s the UFC, but a Wellmaker win – and probably an early finish – is what I see happening in this fight.
I don’t suggest laying a ton of money on Wellmaker’s -550 moneyline, though. That is a bet to add to a parlay. I’d also be on the lookout for more Welmaker vs. Ewing bets to drop, and I’d be very interested in the Method of Victory prop (namely for KO).
Final Prediction Summary
- Total Rounds Under 1.5 (-165) — Confidence: 9/10
- Fight Winner: Malcolm Wellmaker (-550) — Confidence: 9/10
Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville State Prediction & Betting Picks (November 15th, 2025)
The battle for the Conference USA title is officially on this Saturday, when visiting Kennesaw State will be -156 favorites to wrestle sole possession of first place from Jacksonville State.
The Kennesaw State Owls come in with a strong 7-2 record and are undefeated in Conference USA play, while they are red hot behind a seven-game winning streak.
Jacksonville State is a 3.5-point underdog despite being perfect at home on the year. The magnitude of this game and how good both teams have been set up for a tense battle that could go down to the wire.
That makes coming away with a Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville State prediction difficult, but I’ll inspect the latest odds and key matchups to point you to some winning picks.
Game Basics & Context
- Matchup: Kennesaw State Owls (7-2) vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks (6-3)
- Date & Time: Saturday, November 15th, with kickoff at 7:00 pm CT (8:00 pm ET)
- Venue: AmFirst Stadium in Jacksonville, AL
- How to Watch: The game will be broadcast on ESPN.
Betting Odds
Check out the latest Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville State odds, per FanDuel:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Kennesaw State | -3.5 (-104) | -156 | O 55.5 (-110) |
Jacksonville State | +3.5 (-118) | +132 | U 55.5 (-110) |
Rivalry & Venue Context
This rivalry is not an extensive one, as these two sides have only faced off five times. Kennesaw State holds the narrow edge (3-2) in what has been a series of runs.
Kennesaw State claimed the first three wins, with a 2018 battle producing an insane 60-52 thriller. Jacksonville State bounced back with wins in the last two meetings, winning a 35-28 shootout in 2022 and then obliterating the Owls 63-24 in last year’s meeting.
Saturday’s tense Conference USA tilt goes down at AmFirst Stadium, where the GameCocks (3-0) have yet to lose in 2025. The home team is just 3-2 so far in this limited series, however.
Why This Game Matters
This one is as big as it gets. There is no major bad blood between two teams that haven’t played each other that much, but there’s no doubt Kennesaw State wouldn’t mind some revenge after getting stomped by the Gamecocks last season.
More than that, of course, this game is for sole possession of first place in the Conference USA. Both teams enter with strong overall records, but share equally perfect (5–0) marks within the conference.
Western Kentucky University (5-1 in the conference) is breathing down both of these team’s necks, putting the loser at a major disadvantage with these three teams vying for the top spot.
Nobody here can make a push for the CFP, but the top three teams in Conference USA will be jockeying for position when it comes to bowl games. The conference title is the big thing these teams want, though, and a win on Saturday could secure it.
Team Profiles
Kennesaw State Owls
The Owls have been very good all year. They lost to Wake Forest by one point in a defensive battle back in week one, and they got crushed by Indiana, who have been one of the best teams in all of college football.
Their response? Ripping off seven straight wins and going perfect in Conference USA action. A big reason for their success has been running back Coleman Bennett (468 rushing yards), who leads a balanced ground game that ranks 54th in rushing yards per game.

Dual threat quarterback Amari Odom has been helpful on the ground as well, while he’s kept defenses guessing with big plays down the field. He leads a run-heavy attack that is capable enough, but really hangs its collective hat on ball control and mistake-free football.
Kennesaw State is more impressive on defense, where they allow just over 22 points per game (35th) and average 1.1 takeaways per game. A decent pass rush allows them generate solid pressure, while they don’t give up big plays down the field very frequently.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
The Gamecocks have one more loss than the Owls, but they are also 5-0 in the conference and come in plenty hot, having won their last four contests.
Jacksonville State is an interesting home dog in this spot, especially since they completely destroyed the Owls the last time they ran into them. The Gamecocks are a similar offensive team, but they want to run more than almost anyone in college football.

The Gamecocks have an absurd 66% rush rate (6th in the nation) and are very good at enforcing their will on the ground. Volume is certainly part of it, but they rank 17th in yards per rush en route to the country’s 5th most productive rushing attack.
That unit is paced by the electrifying Cam Cook, who is having a sensational season with 1,181 rushing yards and 12 scores. Operating at a 5.9 yards per carry clip, he is definitely a major problem for Kennesaw State to solve.
The Gamecocks do have an issue of their own, as they are not very effective through the air and they are obviously quite one-dimensional. If their running game doesn’t show up, they could be in serious trouble.
Defensively, the Gamecocks aren’t elite. They allow 28 points per game and don’t particularly excel at anything on that side of the ball.
Key Matchup Angles
Consider the following key matchups:
- Cam Cook vs. Kennesaw State’s run defense: The Gamecocks want (and need) to run the ball, so unleashing the fury of Cam Cook on a suspect Owls run defense is key. There isn’t much to suggest they will struggle in that plight, of course.
- Amari Odom vs. Jacksonville State’s pass rush: Odom does not take a lot of sacks, while he contributes to Kennesaw State’s ground game. If the Gamecocks can’t find a way to disrupt his flow, he could have a lot of success in this matchup.
- Red-Zone Battle: This could be the key to the game. The Gamecocks have an elite red-zone offense (25th), but they happen to be running into one of the top red-zone defenses (31st), too.
Betting Insights & Trends
This has been a series of runs, with Jacksonville State currently dominating the series with two straight wins. It’s a thin edge, but the home team is also 3-2 through five meetings.
Kennesaw State has been rock solid (6-3) against the spread in 2025. They are just 3-2 against the spread when favored, but they are 4-1 ATS in Conference USA games.
Jacksonville State has not been as good against the spread (4-5), but they are 3-2 ATS as the underdog and 2-1 against the spread as the home team.
Best Bets & Confidence Levels
Check out my favorite Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville State picks:
| Bet | Recommendation | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
Jacksonville State ATS +3.5 (-118) | The Gamecocks can really punish Kennesaw State on the ground and I think that matchup is the key. They are also at home, while they tend to play close games (3 of last 4 have been decided by 3 points or less). | 7/10 |
Under 55.5 (-110) | Kennesaw State limits teams to just 22.1 points per game, while Jacksonville State loves running at an insane rate. That combination – plus the stakes in this game – point to a low-scoring defensive battle. | 7/10 |
Kennesaw State ML (-156) | I like the Gamecocks to keep this close, but Kennesaw State is still the team that has the overall edge. They are far more balanced than Jacksonville State and they have the way better defense. | 6/10 |
- Primary Pick: Jacksonville State ATS +3.5 (-118)
- Secondary Pick: Under 55.5 (-110)
Both teams have been in fantastic form and there is a ton on the line. Jacksonville State gets credit for this game being in their own backyard, and also being able to gut out close wins.
Kennesaw State is more balanced with superior defense, though. I think they win a close game that is light on points. Both teams love to run, so we should be looking at a moving clock in a game that goes down to the wire.
Risk Factors & What Could Go Wrong
Sometimes even the best wagers can fail. Here are some reasons why my Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville State bets could whiff:
- One-Dimensional: Kennesaw State doesn’t consistently blow teams out, but they do have some convincing wins and they have a clear path to dominance; stop the run.
- Suspect Defense: Usually one strong defense and two teams wanting to run the ball should lead to a lower scoring game. However, Jacksonville State does give up 28 points per game. It isn’t impossible for that to lead to the Over.
- Home Field Edge: Jacksonville State is 3-0 at home and the home team has gone 3-2 in this series. It’s possible the home field advantage could kick in and play a bigger factor.
Putting Our Pick on the Board: Here’s How It Plays Out
Final Score Prediction: Kennesaw State 27, Jacksonville State 24
I think we give Under bettors a good sweat, but the way these teams play suggests a tight, low-scoring game. This total is a bit ambitious in general, while it’s worth noting Kennesaw State’s last two games hit the Under.
The Gamecocks can absolutely dominate on the ground and they do carry a mild edge with this game being played in front of their fans. But if their running game doesn’t control this game, it could really blow up in their face. Look for a close game that very well could come down to a last second field goal, with the Gamecocks beating the spread and the Under delivering, but the Owls coming away with the win.
If you’re looking to place a wager on this game or another NCAAF matchup, be sure to check out our top-rated football betting sites to get you started. Find bonus offers, competitive odds, and a fast payouts on your winnings.
Virginia vs. Duke Football Prediction & Betting Picks (November 15, 2025)
The ACC is still up for grabs come week 12, when the #19 Virginia Cavaliers visit the Duke Blue Devils as mild +142 underdogs.
Virginia has been one of the best teams in college football all year, as they enter this conference tilt at an impressive 8-2. Coming off a shocking loss in their last game, the Cavaliers desperately need to get back on track if they want to win the ACC, among other things.
Duke has their own ambitions, but may be running out of time to punch their bowl game ticket. Standing in at 5-4, the Blue Devils are actually still in play for the conference title, but may need to win out to guarantee anything else.
So, which side is the better bet? I’ll break down the latest odds and key matchups and point you in the right direction with my Virginia vs. Duke prediction.
Game Basics & Context
- Matchup: Virginia Cavaliers (8-2) vs. Duke Blue Devils (5-4)
- Date & Time: Saturday, November 15th, with kickoff at 2:30 pm CT (3:30 pm ET)
- Venue: Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham, NC
- How to Watch: The game will be broadcast on ESPN2.
Team Record
- Virginia is 8-2, 5-1 in the ACC.
- Duke is 5-4, 4-1 in the ACC.
Betting Odds
Check out the latest Virginia vs. Duke odds, per DraftKings:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Virginia | +3.5 (-115) | +142 | O 59.5 (-105) |
Duke | -3.5 (-105) | -170 | U 59.5 (-115) |
Rivalry & Venue Context
Duke and Virginia are quite familiar with each other, as they have gone head-to-head 75 times. Virginia leads the series 41-34, while they took the most recent meeting in a tense 30-27 thriller in 2023.
It’s been all Virginia for a while now, as Duke crushed them in 2022, but the Cavaliers have won eight of the last nine games.
The home team has also done quite well in this series, winning five in a row. This game will be played in Durham in front of Blue Devils fans, where Duke is just 2-2 in 2025.
Why This Game Matters
Virginia has had some questionable games despite a strong record. They need to win out and claim the ACC title. That alone would be a huge accomplishment – and obviously isn’t guaranteed – but it would also go a long way in punching their ticket for the College Football Playoff.
Duke is technically still mathematically in the mix to win the ACC. They’ve been erratic on the year, but they only have one loss in conference play. Dropping this one would virtually end their season and could kill their shot at a bowl game.
Team Profiles

Virginia Cavaliers
The Cavaliers have not been perfect, but until last week were a stellar 8-1 with their only loss being a wild week two shootout (35-31) against NC State. Last week’s loss is pretty forgivable, too, seeing as starting quarterback Chandler Morris exited the game with a concussion.
Morris has a shot to face Duke on Saturday, which is a pretty big deal since he’s been a steady hand (2,088 passing yards and 12 TDs) guiding the nation’s 32nd-ranked scoring offense.
Virginia has been remarkably effective on third downs, and Morris has them ranking 30th in completion rate and 57th overall as a passing unit. The Cavaliers are a balanced offense that can hurt you on the ground just as well, of course, with J’Mari Taylor (784 rushing yards, 11 TDs) pacing the country’s 53rd-best ground game.
Defensively, Virginia has been plenty nasty. They’re only allowing 22.2 points per contest, while they make opposing offenses work to beat them (26th lowest yards per play average allowed). On top of that, they are sniffing out the run (30th) on a regular basis.

Duke Blue Devils
The Blue Devils are not exactly what their record says they are. Duke has done very well in a competitive ACC, while they have mostly lost to top-shelf teams. Getting housed by Illinois doesn’t look so bad, while seven and nine-point losses to good Tulane and Georgia Tech squads isn’t too damaging, either.
More recently, Duke dropped a wild shootout to UConn (37-34), giving them four losses – but all to good-to-great teams with winning records.
Obviously, the running trend for Duke is their atrocious defense. The Blue Devils have allowed 27+ points six different times on the year, and that’s led to a 2-4 record when that has happened.
Giving up 30.6 points per game isn’t going to be a winning formula for most teams, but Duke is fortunately elite offensively. They come into week 12 with the nation’s 19th-best scoring offense (34 points per game), and they have been very explosive across the board.
The Blue Devils have a plenty capable ground game (44th in yards per rush), but the passing game is their bread and butter. They do it as well as anyone, with Cooper Barkate (824 receiving yards) and Darian Mensah (2,794 passing yards, 24 TDs) forming a lethal connection through the air.
That’s just one part of a dynamic passing game that ranks 18th in completion percentage, 28th in yards per pass, and 8th in passing yards per game.
Simply put, Duke is built for shootouts. Their defense definitely makes them tough to trust, but Mensah has been one of the best passers in all of college football, and he gives them a shot every single week.
Key Matchup Angles
Consider the following key matchups:
- Virginia’s pass defense vs. Duke’s passing offense: Duke does have the edge here, but Virginia’s ability to defend the pass is good enough to maybe slow the Blue Devils down a bit. They do have a respectable sack rate and rank 54th against the pass.
- In the Clutch: This is a bit noisy and tough to measure, but it’s still true: Virginia has consistently closed out tight games and have the defense to win when their offense isn’t clicking. Duke can’t say the same. Plus, between the two, only Duke has endured a blowout loss in 2025.
- Under Center: The biggest key to this game is the status of Virginia QB Chandler Morris. He is a huge asset for the Cavaliers offense, but more than that, they would see a marked downgrade in expected offensive production if they are forced to turn to their backup.
Betting Insights & Trends
Virginia won the last meeting and has dominated the series lately, winning eight of the last nine showdowns.
The Cavaliers don’t just have a nice overall record; they’re also a solid 6-4 against the spread this year. They’re 2-1 ATS as the underdog, too, while they are 4-3 ATS in ACC games.
Duke has struggled (4-5) against the spread in 2025. The Blue Devils are a middling 3-3 against the spread when favored, while they are just 1-3 ATS at home.
Best Bets & Confidence Levels
Check out my favorite Virginia vs. Duke picks:
| Bet | Recommendation | Confidence Level |
|---|---|---|
Over 59.5 Total (-105) | Duke has a great offense and a terrible defense. That has combined for a bunch of their games to hit the Over, and with both teams coming to play in this one, I see no reason not to hammer the Over with confidence. | 8/10 |
Virginia ATS +3.5 (-115) | This bet hinges on the status of Chandler Morris. If he’s available, Virginia is going to put up points and at least be in this game until the end. Last week was a mulligan. Virginia isn’t losing by much if they do get tripped up here. | 8/10 |
Virginia +142 | I think Virginia can flat-out win this one. Duke is going to make them sweat, but their defense is atrocious and won’t do them any favors. They haven’t been able to stop far worse offenses, so the odds of them holding back Virginia are not good. | 7/10 |
- Primary Pick: Over 59.5 Total (-105)
- Secondary Pick: Virginia ATS +3.5 (-115)
The game total is very high, but Duke teams tend to get you there. In nine games, the Over is 7-2 on the season.
Virginia is probably winning this game, but betting on a close game is the safer path. I don’t mind going for both bets, but the game is on the road, and we still don’t know for sure if the Cavaliers will have their top QB.
Virginia vs. Duke odds can shift fast — monitor every line move, compare spreads and totals, and lock in the best value before kickoff at the top football betting sites.
Risk Factors & What Could Go Wrong
Sometimes even the best bets can fail. Here are some reasons why my Virginia vs. Duke picks could falter:
- Emergency QB: Virginia may not have their normal quarterback. Even if he does suit up, perhaps his concussion symptoms return or he gets hurt again. There is a certain element of risk we need to account for here.
- Shootout City: Duke has a bad defense that should allow Virginia to do whatever they want, but they also have an offense that is very hard to stop. If this game goes off the rails, Virginia could potentially struggle to keep up.
- High Total: The recipe for a ton of points is right in front of us, but the total is still pretty high. While most Duke games deliver, two have not on the year. There’s always that slim chance this one is unlucky #3 to fail bettors.
Putting Our Pick on the Board: Here’s How It Plays Out
Final Score Prediction: Virginia 41, Duke 38
Duke puts up over 34 points per game and is also coughing up over 30 points per game. The Cavaliers are good for over 31 points per game, too.
The math isn’t totally math-ing here, but I see a game where Virginia could enjoy one of its best offensive outings of the season. Duke will still get theirs, but Virginia definitely has the defensive edge and also happens to be a more balanced team on offense.
Ultimately, this game comes down to whether or not Chandler Morris will be active and whether he can play up to the level we’re accustomed to seeing. I’d reserve my bets until we know if he’s playing or not, but if he’s a full go, Virginia and the Over look like killer values.
Why the Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Fight Could Be the Most Disruptive Boxing Match of 2025
Something huge just hit the combat sports world — the kind of announcement that instantly sends shockwaves through boxing purists, casual fans, and sports bettors all at once.
Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua are officially in talks for a December boxing showdown streamed worldwide on Netflix. Yes… you read that right. A YouTuber-turned-boxer stepping into the ring against a former unified heavyweight champion. It sounds impossible. It sounds insane. And yet, here we are — staring at what could be the most disruptive fight of 2025.
If this deal gets finalized, it won’t just be a spectacle. It’ll be a full-blown industry moment. A fight that changes how matchups are made, how events are promoted, how streaming platforms enter sports, and how bettors approach massive cross-over bouts.
And the timing couldn’t be better. Paul is fresh off the global Tyson event. Joshua is searching for a defining stage to remind the world who he is. Netflix is hunting for its next big live-sports splash. Put them all together, and you get a matchup that’s bigger than boxing — it’s a cultural collision with real money, legacy, and betting value on the line.
Let’s break down what this mega-fight really means.
Fighter Breakdown
Before we dive into betting angles and industry impact, it’s important to understand exactly who’s stepping into this potential December spotlight. Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua couldn’t come from more opposite worlds — one built his fame through viral content, the other through Olympic gold and championship belts — but their paths are about to collide in a matchup nobody thought was possible. And that contrast is exactly what makes this fight so fascinating.
Jake Paul: The Self-Made Attraction

Jake Paul isn’t just a social media star who decided to throw on a pair of gloves. He’s a calculated, disciplined, and determined competitor who has built his boxing career brick by brick. Every move he makes is strategic, every opponent is chosen with a purpose, and every win adds fuel to his rapid rise.
His strengths include:
- Athletic power – He carries genuine knockout ability, especially early.
- Rapid skill development – Each fight shows visible improvement.
- Marketing genius – No one in boxing sells a spectacle like Paul.
- Pressure-proof personality – Big stages bring out his best performances.
Still, Paul has never faced anyone remotely near Joshua’s caliber. This isn’t a faded legend or a stylistic experiment. This is a leap into deep water — and he knows it.
Anthony Joshua: The Established Force

Anthony Joshua represents legitimacy at the highest level of heavyweight boxing. His résumé speaks for itself: former unified world champion, Olympic gold medalist, and one of the most recognizable names in the sport.
Joshua brings:
- Elite size and physicality
- Crisp, technical boxing fundamentals
- Devastating finishing ability
- Experience in championship-level pressure
But this fight offers something different for Joshua — a massive global audience and a unique opportunity to reframe his image. Instead of climbing back through traditional contenders, he gets a crossover megafight with guaranteed visibility and minimal downside.
Joshua knows exactly what’s at stake: protect the legacy, secure the bag, and reintroduce himself to the world.
Industry Impact: Why This Fight Is a Big Deal
This isn’t just another boxing announcement. Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua has the potential to reshape multiple industries at once — combat sports, streaming, marketing, and sports betting. It brings together two completely different audiences, two different eras of boxing, and two business models that rarely mix: traditional championship boxing and modern creator-driven entertainment.
In short, this fight could become a pivot point. And the ripple effects will reach far beyond the ring.
1. Streaming Takes Center Stage — Possibly for Good
Netflix stepping into live combat sports isn’t a small experiment. It’s a declaration.
This one event could:
- Set new global streaming viewership records
- Reduce the relevance of traditional pay-per-view models
- Attract millions of new, younger viewers to boxing
- Prove that streaming platforms can outscale broadcast networks
If Netflix pulls massive numbers, other platforms (Amazon, Apple, YouTube) will ramp up their pursuit of big fights — meaning the future of boxing may be digital-first, not cable-first.
2. Crossover Fights Become Bigger and More Frequent
Jake Paul didn’t invent crossover boxing — but he did commercialize it. And if he steps in against someone like Anthony Joshua, it signals a major shift in what “big fights” can be.
Expect the industry to chase more matchups that blend shock value with competitive intrigue, such as:
- Champion vs. influencer
- MMA star vs. boxer
- Creator-vs-athlete supercards
- Legends matches anchored by modern stars
Whether purists like it or not, hybrid events generate clicks, bets, and massive social traction.
3. Fighters Gain New Revenue Paths Beyond Titles
Traditionally, big-money fights required belts, rankings, or rivalry storylines. This matchup proves something new:
Attention = currency. Not titles. Not rankings. Attention.
If the Paul vs. Joshua deal succeeds, expect more fighters to:
- Build personal brands
- Seek crossover opponents
- Negotiate directly with streaming platforms
- Create media-first fight promotions
This shifts power away from promoters — and toward the fighters.
4. Betting Markets Will Grow Faster Than Ever
Fights that merge mainstream celebrities with elite athletes create explosive betting interest. Casual fans turn into first-time bettors. Experienced bettors look for inefficiencies. Sportsbooks ramp up prop markets.
This fight will likely produce:
- Sky-high betting volume
- Tons of prop markets (rounds, method, specials)
- Global bet placement due to Netflix’s reach
- More creative odds tied to hype-driven matchups
The Paul effect is real — and Joshua’s name elevates it even further.
5. Boxing’s Cultural Relevance Gets a Boost
Boxing has been fighting for mainstream attention for years. This fight changes that overnight.
Two massive audiences collide:
- Jake Paul’s younger, digital-native fanbase
- Anthony Joshua’s international boxing audience
Put them together on Netflix and you get one of the most widely watched fight promotions of the decade.
That alone can reignite cultural interest in the sport.
What Bettors Should Expect From the Odds

When sportsbooks open lines for Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua, expect them to come out swinging just as hard as the fighters. Oddsmakers won’t treat this like a typical influencer crossover bout — and they won’t treat it like a traditional heavyweight title fight either. This matchup sits in its own category, where skill gaps, public perception, and massive betting volume collide.
Here’s what bettors should be ready for:
Anthony Joshua Will Open as a Heavy Favorite
Sportsbooks will give Joshua enormous respect from the jump. He has every measurable advantage — size, power, ring IQ, championship pedigree, and the experience of fighting the best heavyweights in the world.
Expect AJ to be favored in nearly every market, including:
- Moneyline: Joshua priced as overwhelming chalk
- Method of Victory: Joshua by KO/TKO as the most popular prop
- Round Betting: Early-round knockout odds likely under +200
- Fight to Go the Distance: “No” will be heavily favored
Joshua’s job is simple: avoid getting clipped early, and he should dominate.
Jake Paul Will Be a High-Variance Underdog
Paul’s game plan is straightforward — create chaos early. He hits hard, especially in the first two rounds, and he’s shown he can hurt slower or unprepared opponents. But the skill gap here is undeniable.
For Paul, expect:
- Huge plus-money KO odds
- Longshot Round 1–2 props
- Inflated moneyline driven by public hype
- Underdog value only via early-finish scenarios
If you’re betting Paul, you’re essentially betting on volatility — not technique.
Public Money Will Distort the Lines
This is one of the few fights where casual bettors may outweigh sharps. Jake Paul’s fanbase is massive, loud, and eager to bet. That means:
- Early lines may shift unnaturally
- Joshua could become more affordable if public money floods in on Paul
- Value may appear in the midweek window before fight night
This is where disciplined bettors can find real opportunities before the market corrects itself.
Round Props and Live Betting Could Be the Goldmine
Given the styles, there’s a strong chance this fight ends early. Joshua is not the type to dance around with a smaller opponent for 12 rounds, and Paul will look to land something big before AJ settles in.
Key markets to watch include:
- AJ by KO/TKO Rounds 1–3
- Under 3.5 rounds
- Live bets if Paul starts fast but fades
- AJ after Round 1 (if Paul has early success)
This fight is tailor-made for bettors who like timing-based props and value windows.
Key Betting Angles & Risk Factors
Before placing a bet on Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua, bettors need to understand the deeper layers beneath the hype. This isn’t a standard matchup. It’s a collision between two wildly different profiles — and the risk factors run in both directions. If you’re looking for smart angles instead of emotional bets, this is where your focus should be.
The Size & Skill Gap Will Drive the Story
Anthony Joshua isn’t just bigger — he’s a full-sized, legitimate heavyweight with Olympic pedigree. His jab alone is a weapon that Jake Paul has never had to deal with. Combine that with Joshua’s timing, accuracy, and knockout power, and it’s easy to see why oddsmakers will lean so heavily toward AJ.
But here’s the angle: Large mismatches often create inflated props, leaving room for bettors who know where to look.
Jake Paul’s Early-Round Threat Is Real — But Short-Lived
If Paul wins, it happens early. Period.
He has power. He has explosiveness. He has the confidence to take risks in the opening minutes. But once the fight settles and Joshua adjusts, the advantage flips dramatically.
This creates a clear set of betting opportunities:
- Paul Round 1 KO (longshot value)
- Fight ends inside 3 rounds
- Joshua KO anytime
Bettors should expect Paul to look dangerous early — and then struggle to keep pace.
Joshua’s Motivation Is the Wild Card
This is the biggest unknown.
A fully locked-in Joshua ends this fight decisively and early. But if he treats it like an entertainment showcase, allows himself to get comfortable, or underestimates Paul even slightly, the door opens for risk.
Signs Joshua is taking this seriously:
- Tight media-week body language
- Focused press conference responses
- Early-camp training footage
- No “friendly” tone between camps
If AJ enters the ring in casual mode, bettors should expect drama.
The Public Money Wave Will Move the Lines
Jake Paul fights attract massive betting volume from casual fans. That means value may shift in unexpected directions. Sharps know this — and often wait for the public to overreact.
Possible scenarios:
- Paul moneyline gets bet down too far
- Early KO props get hit with hype-driven action
- Joshua round props become more profitable midweek
- Overs get artificially inflated
The best value may not appear until 48–72 hours before the fight, when sportsbooks adjust to lopsided public betting.
The Referee, Rounds, and Rules Could Matter More Than Usual
Because this is a crossover fight, bettors should pay attention to:
- Round length (10 rounds or 8?)
- Glove size
- Referee tendencies (fast or slow stoppages)
- Break rules and clinch enforcement
- Whether knockdowns trigger mandatory 8-counts
In matchups with extreme skill gaps, small rule changes can drastically affect outcomes — particularly round props and KO timing.
What to Watch Before Fight Night
Because this matchup sits at the intersection of spectacle and high-level boxing, bettors need to pay attention to the weeks leading up to the event just as much as the fight itself. Small details will shape the odds. Media moments will move the public money. Training clips, weigh-in footage, and even body language from the press conferences can signal which fighter is truly locked in.
If you want to get ahead of the line movement — and avoid hype traps — here are the key factors every bettor should monitor.
1. Official Fight Details: Weight, Rounds, and Rules
This fight is far from traditional, so don’t assume anything.
Critical details that will influence betting markets include:
- Weight class – Will this be heavyweight? A catchweight?
- Number of rounds – 8? 10? (Shorter fights favor volatility.)
- Glove size – Smaller gloves mean higher KO probability.
- Ring size – Larger rings benefit more technical fighters.
- Referee selection – Some refs stop fights early, others let action continue.
Crossover matchups often include unusual rule sets — and any of those tweaks can swing round props dramatically.
2. Training Footage & Physical Condition
This might be the most important pre-fight indicator.
For Anthony Joshua, look for:
- Snappy combinations
- Controlled sparring intensity
- Leaner physique
- Calm, focused demeanor
For Jake Paul, watch for:
- Defensive improvements
- Discipline in footwork
- Controlled aggression
- Signs of explosive conditioning
Training clips rarely tell the full story — but they do tell you who’s preparing seriously.
3. Press Conferences & Media Week Energy
You can learn a lot from the pre-fight buildup.
Focus on:
- Who looks confident vs. who looks tense
- Whether Joshua treats the fight as business or entertainment
- Whether Paul gets under Joshua’s skin (good for Paul)
- How seriously each team answers tactical questions
If AJ shows “lighthearted, playful energy,” that can actually increase Paul’s early-round upset probability.
If AJ is all business? Expect a short night.
4. Opening Odds Movement
Line movement reveals where money is landing and how sportsbooks are adjusting.
Bettors should watch for:
- Early public bets on Jake Paul pushing his odds too low
- Sharps hammering Joshua props causing sudden shifts
- Round totals moving as analysts assess the mismatch
Smart bettors wait to see how the market reacts during the first 48 hours.
5. Injury Reports or Camp Rumors
Camps rarely reveal injuries outright, but subtle signs matter:
- Limited training content
- Unusual silence on social media
- Changes in sparring partners
- Rumors of “minor tweaks”
- Late weigh-in fluctuations
Heavyweights with even slight injuries are dangerous betting territory.
6. Promotional Narrative & Public Hype
The storyline sold to the public influences where casual money goes.
Watch for:
- Netflix teasers and promotional trailers
- Celebrity endorsements or predictions
- Viral moments that shift momentum
- Narrative swings (“Paul looks sharp!” vs. “AJ is dialed in!”)
The more the public buys into the underdog, the more value opens up for sharp bettors.
If you track these key indicators in the weeks leading up to Paul vs. Joshua, you’ll be positioned to find real value while the rest of the betting world responds emotionally.
The Fight That Could Change Everything
Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua isn’t just a boxing match — it’s a cultural moment loaded with impact. It blends two completely different eras of the sport, two drastically different audiences, and two fighters walking into December with everything on the line, but for very different reasons. Joshua wants legacy, relevance, and a statement-making finish. Paul wants validation, disruption, and the chance to shock the world on the biggest stage he’s ever had. And Netflix? They want to prove they can dominate the live-sports space the same way they’ve taken over entertainment.
From a betting perspective, this fight is the perfect storm. You get sky-high public interest, massive volume, inflated lines, and unique prop opportunities you simply don’t find in traditional matchups. Whether you’re targeting early-round chaos, hunting for value as the market swings, or waiting for late-week odds movement, this event will offer more angles than anything we’ve seen all year.
One thing is certain: if this fight becomes official, it won’t just capture global attention — it will redefine what “big fight” means in the streaming era.
And when it does, we’ll have full picks, props, and predictions ready for you right here at GamblingSite.com.
Golden State Warriors vs. San Antonio Spurs Prediction (November 14, 2025)
The Golden State Warriors will aim to build a winning streak on Friday night, where they will be +120 road underdogs against the San Antonio Spurs.
Fans witnessed an epic battle filled with triple-doubles and hot shooting just two days ago between these two teams, and Golden State will face off with San Antonio yet again in an encore.
The Dubs have battled back against a brutal schedule to begin the year, while the Spurs will hope to hold down the fort at home. Logic does back the Spurs in front of their home crowd, while the aging Warriors will need everything they’ve got to steal this game.
Need some help deciding which bet to target in this game? Join me as I take a look at the latest odds and comb through key matchups en route to a Warriors vs. Spurs prediction, along with my preferred picks.
Game Details
- Matchup: Golden State Warriors (7-6) vs. San Antonio Spurs (8-3)
- Date & Time: Friday, November 14th, at 9:30 pm CT
- Venue: Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, TX
- How to Watch: Amazon Prime Video
Early Season Performance & Trends
Golden State Warriors
Everyone knew going into the 2025-25 NBA season that Golden State was up against it, as their schedule had them hitting the road eight times in their first 14 games. That onslaught is only getting worse, as Friday’s tilt is game three in a brutal six-game stretch away from home.
Despite the rough sledding, the Warriors have kept their heads above water at 7-6. Stephen Curry has battled a recent illness, but the team has largely avoided major injury and has weathered the storm while playing borderline top-10 defense.

Golden State’s offense hasn’t been very consistent, but they have the framework to produce at a higher level in that regard going forward.
San Antonio Spurs
The Spurs have made a sizable jump compared to last year, as they are off to a nice 8-3 start through their first 11 games. The team was 8-2 before falling to the Dubs in their last outing, with the team wasting a 31-point triple-double from superstar big man, Victor Wembanyama.
San Antonio is getting healthy, however, as they just got starting point guard De’Aaron Fox back in the lineup for the first time this year. Now at full strength, an already stellar Spurs team should continue pushing themselves to new heights, with the best record in the conference within striking distance.

Head‑to‑Head / Historical Context
The Warriors and Spurs have faced off 190 times during the regular season, with San Antonio holding a commanding 117-73 edge in the series.
Golden State just won the first meeting of the year 125-120 on Wednesday night, and will aim to take a 2-0 series lead. The Spurs had the upper hand (2-1) last year, while the Dubs claimed the series (3-1) the year prior.
Key Matchup Breakdown
Golden State’s offense is typically spread out and balanced, but rather perimeter-based. It lacks any reliable interior scoring and relies on Stephen Curry to work his magic from long range.
Curry has obliged, pouring in a commendable 27 points per game despite not being at 100% in recent games. He’s fresh off a huge 46-point outburst that downed these very Spurs, and his hot shooting spearheads a more than capable attack that connects from outside at the fourth-best rate in the league.
Jimmy Butler chips in with a strong intermediate game (19 ppg), while the team has gotten a lift from forward Jonathan Kuminga as well. Their team-first playing style has led to the third most assists per game, while the team is converting (7th) when they get to the charity stripe.
Improved interior scoring and better overall efficiency are areas the Dubs can address as the season wears on, but as things stand they are an inconsistent but respectable offensive team.
Wemby is the driving force behind the Spurs, who dropped their first home game of the year on Wednesday to this same Warriors team.
San Antonio has been on top of it on their home floor, while just one of their three losses has gotten away from them. They’ve been quite reliant on a stellar defense, but the offense (10th in scoring) is still about as good as anyone.
The Spurs are inside the top-10 when it comes to scoring inside, while they are looking for easy buckets and scoring effectively in transition (7th in fastbreak points scored per game).
San Antonio’s assists numbers aren’t great, but the return of Fox should give their overall offensive numbers a boost. Fox himself can set up the offense, but he and Stephon Castle working together allows for more isolation scoring and mid-range shooting.
One point of weakness continues to be the team’s outside shooting. If the team can boost their perimeter game, they could be an extremely tough team to defend.
Both of these teams play top-shelf defense. Golden State traded for Jimmy Butler last year with a boost in defensive impact in mind, and it’s gone according to plan with the Dubs ranking 10th in defensive efficiency.
Golden State is middle of the pack in the NBA in terms of pace, and fewer possessions tend to help their defensive numbers. The team is limiting the opposition to just 115 points per game, while they are especially effective on the break and limiting free trips to the charity stripe.
San Antonio has been the better defensive team by the numbers, as they enter this showdown ranked 6th in defensive efficiency and 4th in points allowed per game.
The Spurs are an even slower-paced team than the Dubs (20th), while they rank inside the top-5 in fastbreak points allowed, points in the paint, and rebounding.
- Steph Curry vs. Spurs Perimeter D: Chef Curry just showed us two days ago what he can do in this exact matchup, while the Spurs aren’t exactly stifling outside shooters (27th). Curry could very well go off again.
- Wemby vs. Golden State’s Interior Offense: The Warriors would be wise to simply avoid the shot-blocking ace. They aren’t really equipped to bang down low, anyway, but the inability to go get a slew of easy layups is a bit restricting to their overall offensive upside.
- Spurs’ Mid-Range Game vs. Warriors’ D: Golden State plays tight defense on the outside and is tough down low, so the Spurs need to hit their mid-range shots. They do have two isolation scorers who thrive there, and Wemby is matchup proof, so it’s a spot the Spurs could have an edge in.
As noted, the Dubs have played on the road a ton this year, and only more games away from home are coming. They stole a wild game two nights ago, but doing the same thing again in the same building could prove difficult.
Golden State may not be at 100% for this game, either. Forward Jonathan Kuminga is banged up and is questionable to play. Even Steph Curry, who has been battling an illness, is technically questionable, although he has stated he will try to play.
Betting Odds & Market Interpretation
Check out the latest Warriors vs. Spurs betting odds at FanDuel:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | +2.5 (-110) | +118 | Over 234.5 (-110) |
Spurs | -2.5 (-110) | -138 | Under 234.5 (-110) |
What the Market Suggests
The market indicates the Spurs are the slightly better team, and they get a boost due to this game being played on their home floor. That said, the Spurs vs. Warriors odds are tight, which shows a clear respect for Golden State – not just for them as a team, but probably because they won in this same matchup on Wednesday.
The game total likely stems from the last meeting, which was a wild 125-120 shootout, while it basically mirrors a combination of both teams’ scoring averages on the year.
From a Bettor’s Lens
Golden State feels like a trap here. They have been bogged down by a brutal schedule, and Wednesday’s loss was San Antonio’s first at home. The Spurs are the better defensive team and a bit more cohesive on offense at the moment.
The game total also feels misleading. It’s not really factoring in the slow paces and defensive aptitude for both sides.
Situational Considerations
These teams faced off on Wednesday. The familiarity and a second game at home favor the Spurs.
Golden State has also had a much more difficult schedule to this point, while the statuses of both Kuminga and Curry will be worth monitoring before finalizing your bets.
Best Bets & Confidence Levels
| Bet | Recommendation | Confidence Level |
|---|---|---|
Under 234.5 (-110) | The last meeting topped this mark easily, but when you factor in pace and defensive ability from both sides, a slower, lower-scoring game stands out. We’re probably getting value on a total that feels a tad too high. | 7/10 |
Spurs -138 | The Dubs stole game one, but the Spurs have done well in this series over the past two years, and they’ve been very tough at home. It feels unlikely they’re going to drop two in a row in front of their home fans. | 7/10 |
Golden State Warriors vs. San Antonio Spurs odds can shift fast — track line movement, compare spreads, and secure the best number before tip-off at the best sports betting sites.
Final Score Prediction & Closing Thoughts
Final Score Prediction: Spurs 112, Warriors 110
NBA fans should still brace for a pretty tense game on Friday, as the Warriors can still shoot the lights out from long range and won’t want to drop back down to .500.
Still, the Spurs feel like the more complete team right now, and they’ve been tough to beat on their home floor. Look for them to respond in this one, evening the regular season series, and pushing them back into the #1 seed conversation.
Golden State should keep it close and is an OK bet against the spread. Messing with 2.5-point spreads is just dicey and not something I’d suggest. Instead, hammer the Under, as the defense and pace in this one don’t really suggest a second straight high-scoring affair.
