Los Angeles Lakers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Betting Picks (November 12th, 2025)
The Los Angeles Lakers will be +235 underdogs when they travel to Oklahoma City to battle the 11-1 Thunder.
SGA and co. will welcome the Lakers with open arms, but with every intent of burying them. The defending champs have been a problem for most teams so far this year, and that is unlikely to change for L.A.
LeBron James is nearing his return, but he isn’t a good bet to be ready to take the court for this one, although bettors need to stay on top of news for this one with OKC operating on the second leg of a back-to-back set.
Could OKC rest some bodies and shift the Lakers vs. Thunder odds to the point where we get an advantageous bet? Or is there a spot in this matchup where we can already tap into some underrated value?
I’ll inspect the latest odds to answer that, while also offering my best bets and ultimate Lakers vs. Thunder prediction.
Game Details
- Matchup: Los Angeles Lakers (8-3) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (11-1)
- Date & Time: Wednesday, November 12th, at 9:30 pm ET
- Venue: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, OK
- How to Watch: ESPN, FanDuel Sports Network Oklahoma, Spectrum Sports Net + and Spectrum Sports Network
Early Season Performance & Trends
Los Angeles Lakers
The Los Angeles Lakers have been fantastic to open the 2025-26 NBA season, as they have stormed out to a stellar 8-3 mark despite not having LeBron James on hand for any of their games.
L.A. has even dealt with absences from both Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves, but has done an excellent job staggering those spots and winning games, regardless.

Defensively, the Lakers aren’t wowing anyone as the 15th-best unit in the league. It remains to be seen if the return of King James will help them in that regard, but as things stand, they rely on offensive execution and free throws to dominate games.
Oklahoma City Thunder
SGA continues to wreck opposing defenses (33 points per game), while the defending champion Thunder paces the entire league at 11-1 despite not being fully healthy at the moment.
Chet Holmgren has been in and out of the lineup, while big man Jalen Williams has yet to suit up for a single game. Despite the lineup inconsistency and lack of useful bodies on a nightly basis, OKC is getting help from surprise rotational star Ajay Mitchell (17 ppg) and six players in total, averaging double figures in scoring.

OKC hasn’t missed a beat offensively (5th in scoring), but they also have not slacked on defense (#1 scoring defense).
Head‑to‑Head / Historical Context
The Lakers and Thunder have met during the regular season 270 times and in the playoffs 41 times. L.A. holds a 26-13 edge in postseason play and has a 157-113 lead in regular-season games.
OKC had the upper hand last year, taking two of three games. The last one was in dominant fashion (136-120). L.A. dominated with three of four wins the year prior.
Oklahoma City has been the best team in basketball the last year, so even stealing one win in this series is a big deal for the Lakers.
Key Matchup Breakdown
The Lake Show presently resides in first place in the Pacific Division thanks to elite play out of both Doncic (37 ppg) and Reaves (30 ppg). The two have formed quite the dynamic duo, but this is still just the 15th-best offense in terms of raw points.
Los Angeles is shooting the lights out overall and destroying teams on the inside (5th most points in the paint), but their isolation ways hurt their assist numbers, and this has not been a team that is deadly from long range.
That usually won’t matter when you’re executing inside like the Lakers are, while head coach J.J. Redick has this team getting to the charity stripe and converting at an elite rate.
OKC leans heavily on their MVP, as SGA churns out over 33 points per game and contributes to an offense that ranks 10 in free throw makes per game.
The Thunder are very good at finishing inside (10th) and are capable of getting hot from long range. However, their bread and butter right now is their mid-range game anchored by SGA, as well as dominating the paint.
As good as SGA has been, the Thunder are incredibly deep. Chet Holmgren is technically their #2 scorer, but anyone can step up and hurt you on this team at the moment – meaning an off night from SGA isn’t automatically a death sentence like it once was.
OKC owns the best defense in all of basketball, as they are holding opponents to a league low 108 points per contest. The Thunder are doing this despite still running pretty fast (12th in pace).
OKC ranks #1 in opponent shooting percentage, 9th in blocks, and 4th in turnovers forced per game.
The Lakers don’t have much positive in the way of defense. Their slow-paced and efficient offense is their defense by extension.
- Luka Doncic vs. OKC’s interior defense: Doncic can launch threes as well as anyone, but his game is predicated on working inside and either scoring or finding the open man. OKC’s defense is stout on the interior, so this is a clash of styles where only one can win.
- Pace of Play: OKC runs at a faster pace, and the Lakers play slow on offense. If OKC gets out and runs, it will be interesting to see if the Lake Show can keep up. Based on their unreliable outside shooting, it’s not a great bet.
- Free Throw Merchants: Both Luka Doncic and SGA spearhead offenses that can kill you inside the three-point line and also make a living at the free-throw line. Who does it better could end up deciding this game.
The Lakers and Thunder both continue to operate at less than full strength. Both LeBron James and Jalen Williams are two huge stars both sides are missing.
OKC could be tired after playing last night. This will also be their fourth game in five days, while the Lakers last played two days ago. L.A. will be far more rested.
Betting Odds & Market Interpretation
Check out the latest Lakers vs. Thunder betting odds (via DraftKings):
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Lakers | +6.5 (-105) | +225 | Over 229.5 (-108) |
Thunder | -6.5 (-115) | -278 | Under 229.5 (-112) |
What the Market Suggests
The market indicates there is a hefty gap between the Thunder and Lakers. That’s fair, seeing as OKC has just one loss on the year and hasn’t been tripped up on their home floor yet.
L.A. isn’t expected to be without any key players beyond LeBron James, but OKC could end up resting some guys since they played last night. That will be a situation to monitor before finalizing your bets.
The game total is fairly modest, as OKC has an elite defense and the Lakers aren’t a top-10 offense. If the game blows out and OKC’s defense shines, the Under would be in play.
From a Bettor’s Lens
The pricing is fair considering how dominant the Thunder have been, but the Lakers do have a few things going their way. These teams are an interesting matchup stylistically, while it’s worth noting that the Thunder have largely been blowing teams out lately.
The key to any Lakers vs. Thunder prediction will be projecting who actually plays for OKC since they had a game on Tuesday. Targeting the Lakers early could give bettors an edge.
Situational Considerations
The Lakers are a compelling value due to the fatigue factor. They haven’t played in two days and will be well rested, while OKC has played one more game than they have in a five-day span.
OKC does thrive at home and is so deep that it may not matter who ends up taking a seat, although SGA or Holmgren sitting would move the Lakers vs. Thunder lines considerably.
Best Bets & Confidence Levels
| Bet | Recommendation | Confidence Level |
|---|---|---|
Lakers ATS +6.5 (-105) | Luka Doncic has had the Lakers in just about every game. Their efficiency could allow them to at least beat a pretty big spread, while OKC could be dealing with fatigue and a lack of bodies after playing on Tuesday night. | 7/10 |
Luka Doncic Over 30+ Points (-158) | Provided this game stays reasonably close, Luka topping 30+ points is a rock-solid bet. He is averaging more than that per game on the year, and for L.A. to have a chance, he’ll definitely need to show up in the scoring department. | 7/10 |
Oklahoma City Thunder ML (-278) | The value isn’t amazing here, but we can hedge our Lakers bets with a bigger bet on OKC to win. They have one loss on the year and grade out far better than L.A. across the board, and will be at home. They have enough depth to off-set any fatigue or injuries and get the win. | 7/10 |
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder odds can shift fast — follow every line move, compare spreads and totals, and lock in the best price at the best sports betting sites before tip-off.
Final Score Prediction & Closing Thoughts
Final Score Prediction: Thunder 116, Lakers 112
Luka Doncic shows up in big-time situations, and a battle against the defending champs (and best team in the league) certainly qualifies.
I still think the Thunder take care of business on their home floor, per usual, but the Lakers have the scoring and efficiency to at least give OKC a good sweat. We still don’t know if the Thunder will be resting anyone, so this 7.5-point spread is worth rolling the dice on early.
Should the Lakers give it a go like I think they can, Doncic would need to show up as a scorer. Asking for simply 30+ isn’t even that high of a bar, provided OKC doesn’t completely ice him out and shut L.A. down.
Toledo vs. Miami Ohio Prediction & Betting Picks (November 12th, 2025)
The Toledo Rockets travel to take on Miami Ohio on Wednesday night, where they will be solid -176 favorites to get a big road win.
Miami Ohio desperately needs a bounce-back win, as they will be +3.5 underdogs at home after dropping a massive game against MAC rival, Ohio. Both teams enter the night with 5-4 overall records, but a win would tie Toledo with Miami Ohio within conference play.
More than that, it’d be a death blow to Miami Ohio’s bowl aspirations, while vaulting Toledo into the conversation for first place in the conference.
There’s a lot on the line for this mid-week primetime affair, and that won’t make it any easier to finalize your bet slips. I’ve got your back, though, as I’ll look at the latest odds and key matchups to come to my top picks and a Toledo vs. Miami Ohio prediction.
Game Basics & Context
- Matchup: Toledo Rockets (5-4) vs. Miami Ohio RedHawks (5-4)
- Date & Time: Wednesday, November 12th, with kickoff at 6:00 pm CT (7:00 pm ET)
- Venue: Yager Stadium in Oxford, Ohio
- How to Watch: The game will be broadcast on ESPN2.
Team Record
- Toledo is 5-4, 3-2 in the MAC.
- Miami Ohio is 5-4, 4-1 in the MAC.
Betting Odds
Check out the most current Toledo vs. Miami Ohio odds, per FanDuel:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Toledo | -3.5 (-115) | -180 | O 45.5 (-105) |
Miami Ohio | +3.5 (-105) | +152 | U 45.5 (-115) |
Rivalry & Venue Context
This is a fun MAC showdown, as these teams know each other pretty well after facing off 54 times already. Miami Ohio has the lifetime edge (29-24-1), but Toledo won the most recent clash.
The Rockets pulled away in a 30-20 when these two sides last met in October of 2024, while Miami Ohio won the MAC title in 2023 (23-14) over Toledo.
Toledo has had the upper hand overall lately, as they’ve won three of the last four meetings. They got some revenge for that MAC Championship loss, but they’ll be eager to stay hot in this series for several reasons.
Why This Game Matters
The MAC is far from decided, and both of these teams still have a shot to win the conference, so you better believe this game means something.
The rivalry is enough to get both sides up for this one, but Toledo is one game out of first place at the moment. Miami Ohio’s big loss to Ohio last week puts them behind the eight ball, but a win here would keep them within striking distance in the event Ohio falters.
Either of these teams losing would push them further away from bowl consideration. They probably need to win out and claim the MAC title to guarantee one at this point.
Team Profiles

Toledo Rockets
Toledo has had a very up-and-down 2025 campaign, but short of one blowout loss to Washington State, they’ve been in every game.
When they aren’t losing, they are absolutely dominating. The Rockets have only lost defensive battles where the opposition found a way to slow down their offense, while they have poured it on thick with 40+ points in each of their five victories.
That’s thanks to a very balanced offensive attack that comes into Wednesday ranked a solid 37th in passing and 45th in rushing. They aren’t necessarily elite in either area, but they can burn defenses on the ground and through the air.
Running back Chip Trayanum (637 rushing yards, 8 TDs) heads a more than capable running game, while the connection between wide receiver Junior Vandeross III (9 TDs) and quarterback Tucker Gleason (2,020 passing yards, 15 TDs) makes them a threat through the air, just as well.
The elite balance gives Toledo a shot in any matchup, while the offense is fantastic at protecting the football (15th fewest giveaways) and doesn’t take a lot of sacks (14th).
Toledo is even better on the other side of the ball, as they own the nation’s 9th-best scoring defense. That unit has been nasty up front (10th against the run) and is even better (6th) against the pass.
Naturally, the Rockets are completely shutting teams down in their blowout wins, while their balance and defense keep them competitive no matter who they run into.

Miami Ohio RedHawks
Miami Ohio really wants to run the ball, as they come into this game with a 56.7% rush rate. They are respectable on the ground (67th), but top back Jordan Brunson (4.4 yards per carry) isn’t offering enough explosive plays, and they aren’t as efficient as a whole for a team that runs as much as they do.
The RedHawks really need to establish the run, as they aren’t particularly explosive and only rank 86th in scoring. They have a very low completion rate (116th in the country) and turn the ball over more than you’d like to see.
Offensively, they are one-dimensional, and if that one area isn’t clicking, they can get into trouble in a hurry. That said, after a brutal 0-3 start, they did well to go on a five-game winning streak using improved defense and that rushing attack.
They hit a wall in a loss to Ohio last week, and bouncing back against a stiff Rockets defense won’t be easy.
Should Toledo’s defense limit them, they’ll need their defense to step up to help keep the game close. That’s worked out for them lately, as they have allowed more than 24 points just once in their last six contests.
Defensively, Miami Ohio allows more points on average than they score, which is obviously suboptimal. They do own the 22nd best sack rate, however, while they’ve been passable at times against the run.
Against a balanced Toledo offense, they may find a tough time prioritizing one thing to stop.
Key Matchup Angles
Consider the following key matchups:
- Miami Ohio’s rush offense vs. Toledo’s run defense: This is easily the biggest thing to watch for this game. The RedHawks 100% need to establish the run to have a shot here, but Toledo has been elite against the run (just 2.8 yards per carry allowed).
- Miami Ohio’s pass rush vs. Toledo’s passing game: Toledo doesn’t need to excel through the air to win this game, but when they pass their o-line needs to be on point. Their pass protection has been great on the year, though, suggesting they can succeed in this matchup.
- Kamryn Perry vs. Toledo’s secondary: The Rockets have been very stingy overall against the pass, but Kamryn Perry is super explosive (26.3 yards per catch). If he can win his individual matchup and get behind the defense, this game could break wide open.
Betting Insights & Trends
Toledo has had the upper hand in this series, winning the most recent matchup and three of the last four meetings.
The Rockets have been good ATS (6-3) on the year, and are 3-2 against the spread in MAC games, as well as 5-3 ATS when favored. They’re just 1-3 against the spread as the road team, however.
Miami Ohio is also a strong 6-3 against the spread on the year. They’ve been fantastic ATS inside the conference (4-1), too, but they are just 1-3 against the spread as the underdog.
Best Bets & Confidence Levels
Check out my favorite Toledo vs. Miami Ohio picks:
| Bet | Recommendation | Confidence Level |
|---|---|---|
Toledo -180 | They’re on the road at night in the middle of the week, but they’re the better team. The Rockets have dominated this series, while they have a nasty defense and a far more balanced offense. | 8/10 |
Under 45.5 (-115) | Toledo’s defense has me digging the Under in this one. Miami Ohio will try to run as much as possible, while the Rockets are more than capable of doing the same if/when they are in the lead. | 7/10 |
Prop Play – Chip Trayanum Anytime TD (-165) | Toledo is probably going to be leading and scoring a good deal, so it stands to reason their best player will find the end-zone at least once. He has 9 total scores on the year and 1+ touchdown in each of his last six games. | 7/10 |
- Primary Pick: Toledo ML (176)
- Secondary Pick: Under 45.5 (-110)
Toledo is on the road, but they look like the better team. They can burn Miami Ohio on the ground or in the air, while their defense should contain the RedHawks, even if their offense struggles.
That defense and Miami Ohio’s playing style make the Under look fantastic. Game totals can be tricky, though, so targeting a player prop like the ever-consistent and reliable Chip Trayanum to score is a great way to cover all of our bases.
Toledo vs. Miami Ohio odds won’t stay put — track every line move, compare spreads and totals, and lock in the best price before kickoff at the top football betting sites.
Risk Factors & What Could Go Wrong
There are no guarantees in sports betting. Here’s why these Toledo vs. Miami Ohio bets could potentially fail:
- Rivalry Game: This is an MAC battle with a ton at stake, so Miami Ohio holding serve and finding a way to gut out a win at home wouldn’t be that shocking.
- Big Play Threat: The matchup against Toledo’s secondary stinks, but Kamryn Perry is a big play waiting to happen. If he uncorks here and takes over, he could flip the script.
- Sacked Lunch: Another ticket to success for Miami Ohio is their solid pass rush livening up enough to make life tough on the Rockets. It’s no lock, but if they can generate pressure they could make Toledo one-dimensional and easier to defend.
Putting Our Pick on the Board: Here’s How It Plays Out
Final Score Prediction: Toledo 34, Miami Ohio 17
I sense a blowout here. It feels bad since Miami Ohio has rebounded nicely since that rough start to the year, but last week’s loss to Ohio may have taken the wind out of their sails.
The harsh reality is the RedHawks simply are not consistent or dynamic enough to keep up with Toledo. Even if they were, the Rockets have a nasty defense that limits scoring and overall production on both the ground and in the air.
Toledo does have an uphill battle on the road and at night on a Wednesday, but everything points to them getting the win, and probably rather easily.
Anaheim Ducks vs. Colorado Avalanche Prediction & Betting Picks (November 11th, 2025)
Tuesday offers NHL fans and sports bettors an early showdown of #1 seed contenders, with the Anaheim Ducks registering as +184 underdogs as they visit the Colorado Avalanche.
The Ducks are off to a roaring 11-3-1 start, as they are tied for the most wins in all of hockey and presently sit atop the Pacific Division. They’ll be road underdogs against Colorado, however, as the Avalanche have just one true loss on the year.
Colorado has been fairly dominant (4-0-2) at home, but they’ll be battling a Ducks squad that is riding a seven-game winning streak and has a sparkling 6-2-1 mark on the road.
Both sides have a case, but the 6.5 game total suggests we’re in for some scoring. Both of these teams are the only teams in the Western Conference with more than 60 goals, and it may show when they face off on Tuesday night.
Not sure which team to back or how to bet on the game total? I’ll walk you through the latest odds and matchup while highlighting my best bets and ultimate Anaheim vs. Colorado prediction.
Game Info
- Matchup: Anaheim Ducks (11-3-1) vs. Colorado Avalanche (10-1-5)
- Date & Time: Tuesday, November 11 at 9:30 pm ET
- Venue: Ball Arena in Denver, CO
- How to Watch: HBO Max, TNT and truTV
Betting Odds
Take a look at the latest Ducks vs. Avalanche odds for Thursday night, courtesy of FanDuel:
| Team | Puck Line | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Anaheim | +1.5 (-124) | +190 | Over 6.5 (-122) |
Colorado | -1.5 (+102) | -230 | Under 6.5 (+100) |
Recent Form & Context
Here’s a closer look at both teams, how they stand out, and what injuries they’re dealing with:
Anaheim Ducks
- Anaheim leads all of hockey with 4.13 goals scored per game.
- The Ducks rank inside the top-10 in power player percentage (23.7%).
- Anaheim ranks 2nd in the NHL with 168 points.

Injuries
- Ryan Stone has been activated from IR and could make his season debut vs. Colorado.
- Radko Gudas has been placed on injured reserve and will not take the ice on Tuesday.
- Mikael Granlund continues to miss time due to a lower-body injury and is unlikely to face the Avalanche.
Colorado Avalanche
- Colorado has an elite defense (tied-2nd for goals against).
- The Avalanche are averaging the second-most goals (4.00) per contest.
- Colorado ranks first in the NHL in total points (174).

Injuries
- Samuel Girard continues to miss time with an upper-body ailment and is unlikely to play on Tuesday.
- Logan O’Connor is set to return following hip surgery, but his exact return date and limitations are unknown. If he returns on Tuesday, he could provide a significant boost to an already fantastic Avalanche offense.
Matchup Breakdown
These are two of the best offenses in all of hockey. Nobody in the Western Conference has a better record or is putting up more goals, while the Ducks have the edge in power play execution.
Colorado is the better offense overall, however, and they also have a far stingier defense with four fewer goals allowed. They come in as -230 moneyline favorites due to superior balance, and it’s possible they get reinforcements for this game if Logan O’Connor can return.
Playing Styles & Trends
- Anaheim: The Ducks use elite puck control and player movement to dominate on offense, while Leo Carlsson (25 points,10 goals) leads their impressive power play execution.
- Colorado: The Avalanche aren’t as nasty in power play execution, but they still are stacked with Nathan MacKinnon (14 goals) and Cale Makar leading the charge. They also emphasize puck control and lean on territorial control.
- Defense: Colorado has been the more impressive team. Scott Wedgewood (9 wins, 2.37 goals allowed per game) has the best record among goalies and has a solid .906% save rate. Lukas Dostal has the second-best goalie record (8-3-1), but his team’s overall defense is slightly inferior compared to Colorado’s.
Betting Market Notes
- Puck Line (1.5): This game has shootout potential, but the Ducks come in at just -124 to keep it within two goals. Colorado’s defense and the game being on their home ice play into the puck line.
- Moneyline (+190/-230): The moneyline definitely leans toward the Avalanche. They have just one non-overtime loss on the year and have yet to lose at home.
- Total (6.5): Despite Colorado’s strong defense, the total is a little high given both offensive ceilings. The West’s two best scoring teams face off, so some fireworks wouldn’t be shocking.
Props & Alternative Markets
- Anytime Goal Scorer: Nathan MacKinnon (+100) feels like the safest bet to get a goal. The Colorado star leads all players in this game with 14 goals scored already, and of the two sides, he has the softer matchup at home.
- Team to Score First: Again, it’s tough not to side with the Avalanche, as they are at home, have been the better offense, and have the best scorer in the game. There are no odds for this prop yet, but when available, I’d target Colorado to score first.
- Will there be overtime? This one is risky, but I actually like the “yes” side at +360. Colorado has lost five games in OT this year, after all.
Best Bets for Anaheim vs. Colorado
Check out my preferred Ducks vs. Avalanche bets for tonight:
| Bet | Why Do We Like It? | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
Avalanche -230 | The price isn’t amazing, but it is palatable enough for a team that simply isn’t losing games. They have better balance, and they have yet to lose at home. | 7/10 |
Over 6.5 Goals (-122) | You can get plus money with the Under, but even with Colorado’s defense, I see this one delivering. There is just way too much offensive firepower to pass this one up. | 7/10 |
Anaheim Ducks vs. Colorado Avalanche lines can swing fast—track real-time odds, watch how the puck line moves, and lock in the best price at our top sports betting sites before puck drop.
Risk Factors & What Could Go Wrong
Anaheim is no slouch. Their defense isn’t as good as Colorado’s, they have less star power, and they’re on the road, but hockey can be a fickle beast.
Despite everything pointing to a Colorado win, Anaheim does have the edge in power play and has enough offense to pull off the upset if the game turns into a shootout.
Anaheim vs. Colorado Prediction
Final Score Prediction: Colorado Avalanche 4, Anaheim Ducks 3
I think the Avalanche will be right at their goal scoring average, while their defense can keep the Ducks just below theirs.
Anaheim’s power play execution should play a key role in keeping this one close, so while the 1.5 puck line is appealing at +102, I’d rather play it safe and simply bet on Colorado’s moneyline.
While the Avalanche’s defense should be key to them getting the win at home, the offensive firepower is still good enough to get us to the Over in what could still be a mild shootout.
Ohio vs. Western Michigan Prediction & Betting Picks (November 11, 2025)
The Ohio Bobcats will be ever so mild road favorites (-118) when they take on the rival Western Michigan Broncos in a huge MAC clash on Tuesday night.
Ohio is red hot, as they’ve won each of their last three games, including a massive showdown with conference rival Miami Ohio to boost them to a four-way tie for first place in the MAC.
Western Michigan will be hoping to do more than play the role of spoiler, as they are part of that tie atop the conference standings. A win here would leave them all on their own for the moment. Still, the Broncos will be 1.5-point home underdogs in a game that isn’t expected to be a huge shootout thanks to a modest 46.5 total.
So, which side should bettors back? Ohio could stay hot, or Western Michigan could continue to defend their turf (4-1 at home this year). Let’s find the best bets for this game as I inspect the odds and matchups en route to an Ohio vs. Western Michigan prediction.
Game Basics & Context
- Matchup: Ohio Bobcats (6-3) vs. Western Michigan Broncos (5-4)
- Date & Time: Tuesday, November 11th, with kickoff at 7:00 pm CT (8:00 pm ET)
- Venue: Waldo Stadium in Kalamazoo, MI
- How to Watch: The game will be broadcast on ESPN2.
Team Record
- Ohio is 6-3, 4-1 in the MAC
- Western Michigan is 5-4, 4-1 in the MAC.
Betting Odds
Check out the most current Ohio vs. Western Michigan odds, per DraftKings:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Ohio | -1.5 (-105) | -112 | O 46.5 (-115) |
Western Michigan | +1.5 (-115) | -108 | U 46.5 (-105) |
Rivalry & Venue Context
This is a solid college football rivalry that has been going on since the dawn of time. These two teams have faced off 66 times, with the results being virtually even.
Western Michigan holds the all-time edge, 34-31-1, but it’s been all Bobcats in the last two meetings. Ohio won 20-17 in the most recent showdown in 2023, while they got past Western Michigan with ease (33-14) in 2022.
Why This Game Matters
First place in the MAC is on the line. Well, to be more specific, these teams are currently literally tied for first place. Buffalo and Miami Ohio, also factor into that, but this game breaks up that four-way tie.
One of these teams will plummet down the standings, while Western Michigan could be at risk of losing a shot at a bowl game if they drop this one.
Ohio would move to 7-3 and temporarily be in first place all by themselves at 5-1 if they win.
Beyond the conference title implications, these two teams know each other well and will get up to play for the first time since 2023. High stakes thrown on top just make this showdown that much more compelling.
Team Profiles

Ohio Bobcats
The Ohio Bobcats are coming off a huge win against inner-state rivals, Miami Ohio. It wasn’t easy, but they got the job done in a 24-20 thriller and are now in fantastic form with wins in five of their last six games.
Ohio looks like the favorite to pull away and win the MAC this year, but they have to go into Michigan and get a tough road win to realize their ceiling.
The Bobcats are not an imposing team on paper. They are balanced enough with a capable offense and solid defense, but they aren’t necessarily elite in either regard. The only thing they do at a high level is run the football, of course, as they love to do it (56% rush rate), and they rank 28th in rushing yards per game.
If they can establish the run early, Ohio can enforce their will and control this game. That’s easier said than done, however, as they can be sloppy with penalties and turnovers.

Western Michigan Broncos
The Broncos are one big win from making the MAC title theirs to lose. They certainly take care of business in front of their home crowd, as they are 4-1 at home. They are also coming off a big win over an intense rival of their own, as they downed the Chippewas 24-21 last week.
Western Michigan got off to a brutal 0-3 start early in the year, but they have bounced back in a big way, winning five of their last six games. Their lone loss during that run was a relatively close 26-17 meeting with Miami Ohio.
This is not a gifted offensive team. The Broncos only muster 19.3 points per game, but they are capable of running the ball, and they don’t make a lot of mental mistakes.
Western Michigan’s biggest asset is their defense, though. They are incredibly stingy in the scoring department (17th) and have the nation’s 9th-best sack rate. In addition, they don’t typically get burned on the ground, and their pass rush plays into the 11th-best pass defense in the country.
The Broncos are not scary on offense, but they combat that with a sharp mental game and hard-nosed defense. That gives them a shot against anyone, and it’s mildly surprising they aren’t favored in this one due to that.
Key Matchup Angles
Consider the following key matchups:
- Ohio’s rush offense vs. Western Michigan’s run defense: The Bobcats want to run the ball and do a solid job of it, but the Broncos are capable against the run. Whether or not the Bobcats can get it going on the ground will tell us a lot about how this game unfolds.
- Western Michigan’s pass rush vs. Ohio’s o-line: The Broncos have an elite pass rush that should be able to give Ohio problems when they throw. Stuffing that run game and forcing Ohio to the air is crucial for their success in this matchup.
- Turnover & Penalty Battle: Ohio is not as disciplined in terms of penalties and protecting the football as Western Michigan. If that holds true, the Broncos could have a serious advantage on their home field.
Betting Insights & Trends
Both of these teams are coming off a big win, so betting on the “letdown” narrative isn’t wise. I’d focus on the matchup and also give Western Michigan a boost at home, where they have lost one game all year.
Ohio is a respectable 5-3-1 against the spread in 2025, but they are just 2-2-1 ATS following a win and they are just 1-2-1 against the spread on the road. In addition, they are a middling 3-3 against the spread as the betting favorite.
Western Michigan has been better (6-3) against the spread, while they are 2-0 as the home underdog and 4-1 ATS at home in general. The Broncos are also 3-1 ATS following a win and 3-2 against the spread as the underdog.
Best Bets & Confidence Levels
Check out the top picks for this game:
| Bet | Recommendation | Confidence Level |
|---|---|---|
Western Michigan -108 | The Broncos have been very good defensively, can run the ball a bit, and are tough to beat at home. Ohio may be the better offensive team, but on a short week, I favor the home team. | 8/10 |
Under 46.5 (-105) | If Western Michigan wins this game like I think they will, it will probably be low-scoring. Both teams also like to run a lot, which plays into the clock burning quickly. | 7/10 |
- Primary Pick: Western Michigan ML (-108)
- Secondary Pick: Under 46.5 (-115)
Western Michigan is a stellar 4-1 at home, and this is a huge game for both sides. Given the clear defensive edge and their solid form, I love the value we get with them as the home dog in a night game on a short week.
Additionally, the offensive styles and defense in this game have me leaning toward the Under.
Ohio vs. Western Michigan lines can shift quickly—keep an eye on every move and lock in the best spread or total before kickoff with the tools at the top football betting sites.
Risk Factors & What Could Go Wrong
There are no guarantees in betting. Here’s why these bets could potentially fail:
- Rivalry Game: MAC battles are tough to predict, and conference rivalry games can always flip logic on its side.
- Superior Offense: Ohio definitely has the better offense. If Western Michigan’s defense doesn’t show up, the Broncos could get blown out.
- Star Power: Ohio could lean hard on stud running back Sieh Bangura, who has 830 rushing yards and 10 scores already.
Putting Our Pick on the Board: Here’s How It Plays Out
Final Score Prediction: Western Michigan 23, Ohio 20
Ohio is the trendy pick and the favorite, so I get why people would want to take them here. They have the superior offense, and they are more capable than Western Michigan of going off.
However, Western Michigan can also run the ball, they’re great at home, and they have a way better defense. Ohio’s offense is not so dominant that I trust them on the road and at night on a short week.
Give me the Broncos to get the job done and for the Under to also deliver in what should be a low-scoring defensive battle.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Green Bay Packers Prediction & Betting Picks (November 10th, 2025)
NFL fans get a bitter NFC clash on Monday Night Football, where the visiting Philadelphia Eagles will be mild +100 underdogs against the Green Bay Packers.
Jordan Love and co. are favored by 1.5 points with this game going down at Lambeau Field, while the game has a modest 44.5 total. Green Bay could be looking to dish out some revenge, as they saw their season ended by the Eagles in the playoffs last year.
The defending Super Bowl champion Eagles have had their ups and downs on the year, but still have a stout 6-2 record and would move into a three-way tie for first place in the conference with a win.
This game is basically priced as a pick’em, making it difficult to come to an Eagles vs. Packers prediction. If you’re looking for some winning picks for this game, though, I’ve got you covered with a look at the latest odds and my top bets to target at FanDuel.
Game Info Snapshot
- Date & Location: Monday, November 10th, 2025 | Kickoff at 7:15 pm ET (ABC/ESPN) at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI
- Team records entering the game:
- Eagles: 6-2
- Packers: 5-2-1
- Odds (from ESPN Bet)
- Spread: Eagles +1.5 (-102) | Packers -1.5 (-120)
- Moneyline: Eagles (+100) | Packers (-118)
- Total: Over 44.5 (-120) | Under 44.5 (-102)
The Eagles are being respected in a big way here, as they are barely underdogs despite traveling to Green Bay to battle a solid Packers team in Lambeau Field.
The game total is fairly modest, as both teams have more than capable offenses; both rank 11th or higher in scoring..
Storylines to Watch
The big storyline is the fact that this game is a rematch of a playoff game last year. The two teams also faced off in Brazil in week one last season, but a bruising playoff battle that catapulted the Eagles to a title should be fresh in Green Bay’s mind.
Here are a few other storylines to track:
- Staying Hot: The Eagles struggled with consistency earlier in the year (particularly with their passing game). They figured it out and have been clicking over their previous two games, but with the team resting during a bye last week, it’s worth wondering if they lose some of the chemistry they rediscovered.
- Receiving Sore: Green Bay’s receiving core is incredibly banged up. They came into the season with a deep and talented group, but Jayden Reed is on IR, Matthew Golden is closer to doubtful for this game, and even recently returned Christian Watson is questionable to play. Health (or lack thereof) could be key for Green Bay’s passing attack.
- Saquon Barkley Szn: Green Bay’s run defense has been great on the year, but there are two things to consider. First, they have regressed in that department lately, and second, Saquon Barkley tends to thrive against them. If he has a big game once again, the Packers could be in trouble.
- Tush Push: One more big storyline (and perhaps the biggest one), is how much the Eagles utilize the tush push – and just how effective they are with it. The Packers infamously tried to get the league to eradicate the play, so don’t be shocked if the Eagles go out of their way to abuse it in this matchup.
Team Profiles

Philadelphia Eagles
Not much has changed for the Eagles. They remain a very balanced offensive team that loves to run the football. They haven’t been consistently elite at it like they have in the past, but Jalen Hurts and Saquon Barkley still combine to give the Eagles a dynamic duo on the ground.
Philly also knows when to pick their spots and take shots down the field, while the team has a talented defense that can wreck games when they’re clicking. More than anything, Philly is a master of situational football and exploiting favorable matchups.
- Deep Ball: The Eagles don’t throw the ball a ton, but they are pretty efficient when they do. A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith give them two terrific down-field weapons, allowing them to rank 5th in completion rate and 9th in yards per pass.
- In the Red-Zone: The Eagles are “in the zone” more than anyone once they get inside the 20, as they score at a sick 85% clip (#1 in the NFL). Jalen Hurts and Saquon Barkley do a lot of the damage together on the ground, which makes it no surprise they also rank 8th in rushing scores.
- Protect the Ball: A dominant ground game and efficient passing attack combine to limit Philly’s turnovers. They have the fewest in the league, and that is a huge advantage going up against a Packers team struggling to create takeaways.

Green Bay Packers
The Packers had everyone talking about the Super Bowl after demolishing the rival Lions back in week one. They proceeded to jump out to a 2-0 start, but have had several bumps along the way.
Green Bay has definitely had some game management concerns, but they have played up (and down) to their competition, have a solid offense, and have loads of talent on defense.
- Offensive Juggernaut: Two bad losses and a tie seem to have hidden how good the Packers have actually been. They rank 8th in points scored per game, 5th in yards per play, and 8th in yards per game. If they clean up some of their issues, they have the makings of an unstoppable unit.
- Too Much Balance: Green Bay deserves credit for trying to run the football, but it hasn’t been their strength. The Packers run the third most, but their passing game (3rd in completion rate, 3rd in yards per pass) has been way more effective and should be utilized more.
- Turnover Battle: When the Packers turn the ball over, it’s shocking, as they have the third-fewest turnovers on offense in pro football. They need to keep that up, as their defense has been putrid (31st) at taking the ball away.
Key Matchups & Angles
Check out the key Eagles vs. Packers matchups:
- Eagles rush offense vs. Packers run defense: Green Bay’s run defense looks good on the year, but it has struggled in their two shocking upset losses. The Eagles are equipped to give them major troubles up front.
- Packers passing game vs. Eagles secondary: Green Bay needs to actually decide to do it, but given how effective Jordan Love has been, they could wreck the Eagles through the air. Philly has a weak sack rate (25th) and hasn’t been especially good against the pass.
- FG Execution: The Packers have a good red-zone offense, but the Eagles happen to have the league’s third-best RZ defense. If the Packers see their drives stall, their shaky kicking game (27th-best conversion rate) could come to the forefront.
Betting Trends & Odds Context
Check out the latest odds, per FanDuel:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Eagles | +1.5 (-125) | -105 | Over 46.5 (-105) |
Packers | -1.5 (+105) | -115 | Under 46.5 (-115) |
Take a look at some key betting trends for this showdown:
- Public Betting: The public loves the Eagles in this one, as Philly has garnered 77% of the bets and 82% of the money so far.
- Record History: The Eagles have had Green Bay’s number lately. They swept them 2-0 last year and have won three in a row in the series.
- ATS Tidbits: The Eagles are a solid 5-3 against the spread in 2025 and are 3-1 ATS on the road. Green Bay has done horribly (3-5) as the favorite and are just 3-5 against the spread overall.
Best Bets for Eagles vs. Packers
Pick 1: Eagles +100 – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
It’s never easy to go on the road and win in Lambeau Field, but Philly knows how to play the Packers. You just need to sustain drives, avoid their pass rush, and run the football. The Eagles do all of those things as well as anyone.
Risks/What to Watch
Green Bay has upped their game against quality opponents, and they have an extremely capable offense at home. It wouldn’t be all that crazy for them to exact some revenge in this spot.
Pick 2: Under 44.5 (-102) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
The Eagles like to keep the clock moving with runs and short passes. They take their shots down the field, but for the most part, they are eating clock. If they limit Green Bay’s possessions and execute, their style of play could keep this one low-scoring.
Risks/What to Watch
Both of these teams can be rather explosive down the field and happen to put up a good amount of points on average. A shootout isn’t completely impossible.
Pick 3: Prop Play – Josh Jacobs Anytime TD Scorer (-155) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
I don’t love taking a touchdown scorer when it isn’t plus money, but Jacobs’ scoring is as close to a lock as it gets. As noted before, the Packers are very good in the RZ, and the guy they turn to is Jacobs (10 TDs). Plus, Philly has allowed the 8th most rushing scores to RBs in 2025.
Risks/What to Watch
Predicting touchdown scorers isn’t the easiest, as game flow and matchups can change things. It’s always possible Green Bay gets shut down or they succeed with passing scores, too.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Green Bay Packers odds can shift quickly — monitor line changes, compare spreads, and lock in the best price before kickoff at our top football betting sites.
Final Verdict: Eagles Continue Their Hold on Packers
The Packers are a good team, and they’re at home on MNF, but they have lost some winnable games. If they can lose to the likes of the Browns and Panthers, they are not going to be very easy to trust in more tense situations.
Green Bay has a shot if they can set the tempo and play with a lead, but Philly is especially good at controlling the time of possession. If the Eagles establish the run and take care of the football, it’s likely they stay ahead of this one and pull out a tight defensive battle.
Final Score Prediction: Eagles 20, Packers 17
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Miami Heat Prediction & Betting Picks (November 10th, 2025)
The Cleveland Cavaliers look for their eighth win of the 2025-26 NBA season on Monday night, when they’ll be big -310 favorites in South Beach against the Miami Heat.
Cleveland is working their way to full strength and are off to a strong 7-3 start, while a big road win on Monday would tie them for first place in the Central Division.
The Cavs will be sizable 7.5-point road favorites, as the Miami Heat are down two key starters. While it’s undeniable Cleveland should have the edge, Miami is still undefeated on their home floor, and the always adaptable Erik Spoelstra will have his crew ready to play.
Wondering if the Cavs can cover or if Miami can stage the upset? I’ll inspect the latest odds and work my way to a Cavaliers vs. Heat prediction, while also pointing you to the game’s best bets.
Game Details
- Matchup: Cleveland Cavaliers (7-3) vs. Miami Heat (6-4)
- Date & Time: Monday, November 10, at 7:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL
- How to Watch: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio, FanDuel Sports Network Sun, and NBA League Pass
Early Season Performance & Trends
Cleveland Cavaliers
The Cavs have been a well-oiled machine, as they’ve managed to top 100+ points in every single game this year. When they lose, they lose big, however, as they lost by at least eight points in each of their three losses.
Cleveland wasn’t at full strength to get the 2025-26 NBA season going, but star point guard Darius Garland is back in the fold. That gives the Cavs extra bite defensively, as well as more playmaking and scoring.

Donovan Mitchell carried the offense until Garland could make his way back, while the Cavs have been electrifying in that regard. Despite their high-scoring ways, they’ve also been fairly tough defensively, while doing a fine job on the glass as well.
The top team in terms of record in the Eastern Conference a year ago, the Cavs look good at 7-3 and stand in as one of the better teams in the league.
Miami Heat
Miami wasn’t about to be confused with a legit championship contender coming into this season, but here they are, just one game behind the Cavs in the win column.
This is without center Bam Adebayo that last couple of games, while Miami has also been forced to navigate their schedule without star shooting guard Tyler Herro the entire season so far. Herro is nearing a return at some point in November, but either way, Miami has done well to keep their heads above water at 6-4.

Miami will still be up against it in this one, of course, as they are down their two best players. That will put added pressure on newcomer Norman Powell and a deep but star-lacking rotation – albeit one that has contributed to the NBA’s second best scoring offense.
Keeping up that production with Bam on the shelf won’t be easy, but Miami does the little things well and a 136-131 win over the Hornets is proof they could give it a go against the Cavs at home.
Head‑to‑Head / Historical Context
Cleveland and Miami have some history, as they’ve faced off 133 times before. Miami has had the upper hand, going 80-53 in those regular-season meetings.
The Cavs won the season series (2-1) last year, while the Heat won three of four games the year prior. The two sides have also faced off in the playoffs one time, with Cleveland sweeping Miami in the first round.
Key Matchup Breakdown
Cleveland has a dynamic and explosive offense. Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley give them a nice interior duo that can get putbacks, dunks, and points from the post. They also have the outside and mid-range covered from stellar guard play and an array of solid bench sparks.
The Cavs are off to a terrific start, averaging 120.7 points per game (7th most), while they run at the league’s 4th fastest pace.
Donovan Mitchell is this offense’s lifeblood, as he puts up over 30 points per game and somehow finds the time to dish out five dimes per contest, too. De’Andre Hunter, Jarrett Allen, Evan Mobley, and even Sam Merrill all chip in at least 15 points per game, giving the Cavs one of the most balanced and deep scoring arsenals in The Association.
Miami’s offense has impossibly been better. Nobody pushes the pace more (1st), while the Heat are extremely effective in transition (2nd), dominate on the inside (2nd), and share the ball as well as anyone (2nd in assists).
When you think of team basketball, the Heat are one of the first teams you picture at the moment. They’ve been forced to be largely a no-name crew, as they are getting over 23 points per game out of veteran guard Norm Powell, while Jaime Jacquez is enjoying a career year (17 points per game) off the bench.
On top of pushing the pace, scoring on the break, and finishing inside, Miami is also shooting the lights out. The Heat own the league’s fourth-best overall shooting percentage, but they are also 12th in made threes and are hitting from long range at a 38% clip (8th best in the NBA).
Miami is faster in terms of pace than anyone, but the Cavs really aren’t far behind. In terms of style, these teams are actually quite similar. The gap is the Heat won’t have two key players for this showdown.
Cleveland has far more defensive aptitude. Miami has a shot to flex their defensive muscle when Bam Adebayo is on the floor, but without him they see a noted dip.
- Kel’el Ware vs. Cavs Bigs: With no Bam down low, Miami will need to get big minutes from backup center, Kel’el Ware. Ware hasn’t lit the world on fire since Bam suffered his toe injury, and Cleveland’s interior defense (8th) isn’t the spot to demand Ware to suddenly dominate.
- Battle of The Mitchells: Donovan Mitchell can score on anyone, but he will definitely face a tough on-ball defender in Davion Mitchell. It may amount to nothing, but if Davion can slow Donovan even a little, it could give the Heat an edge.
- Cleveland’s Defense vs. Miami’s Long Ball: Miami’s best shot at stealing this win is maintaining their fast place and hot shooting. The Cavs have not been tough on opposing three-point shooters, so Miami getting and hitting their open looks from deep could be huge.
Miami is pretty banged up right now, while the Cavs are finally starting to get healthy. Larry Nance will be listed as questionable, but that would be a low-impact absence if he were to miss this game.
Betting Odds & Market Interpretation
Check out the latest Cavaliers vs. Heat betting odds (via FanDuel):
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Cavaliers | -8 (-108) | -300 | Over 247.5 (-110) |
Heat | +8 (-112) | +245 | Under 247.5 (-110) |
What the Market Suggests
The Cavs are a good team, but being 7.5-point road favorites is pretty wild. It’s a testament to their offensive ceiling and star power, but also a nod to Miami’s battered roster.
The total is indicative of both teams’ offensive prowess and pace. These are top-5 teams in terms of pace, and both teams can rack up buckets in a hurry.
From a Bettor’s Lens
The spread and moneyline are fair. Cleveland has to go on the road (where Miami has yet to lose this year), but with both Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo sidelined, they are the rightful favorites.
The game total is what is a bit interesting. If the game stays close the Over could hit despite this high line, but the spread indicates that may be tough to trust.
Situational Considerations
Miami is a perfect 5-0 at home this year, while two of Cleveland’s three losses have come on the road.
Cleveland is on fire with wins in each of their last four games. Both of these teams have played quite a bit, as this will be their fourth game in six days.
The fatigue element is neutral, while the home edge obviously favors the Heat.
Best Bets & Confidence Levels
| Bet | Recommendation | Confidence Level |
|---|---|---|
Cavaliers ATS -8 (-108) | Miami can run and shoot with anyone, and they’re perfect at home, but the Cavs are more balanced, can match their style, and they’re much healthier. | 7/10 |
Prop Play – Jaime Jacquez Over 14+ Points (-110) | Whether this game gets out of hand or not, Jacquez should get his. Miami is without two key stars, and he is already scoring 17+ ppg on a nightly basis. His role will be enhanced, so this feels like a great bet. | 7/10 |
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Miami Heat odds won’t stay still — track how the lines move and lock in the best number before tip-off at the best sports betting sites.
Final Score Prediction & Closing Thoughts
Final Score Prediction: Cleveland Cavaliers 128, Miami Heat 117
The playing styles and offensive aptitude put the Over on the table – I just think it’s asking a lot. We’re also playing with fire if we’re betting on a Miami upset, and even the Heat against the spread feels like a gamble given the bodies they’re without.
The reality is the Cavs have all of their main guys, so the matchup on paper greatly favors them. It would be extremely surprising if Miami just came in and executed at an elite level as if not having Herro or Adebayo didn’t even matter.
In all fairness, Miami did do that last time out against the Blazers, but replicating that in consecutive games is a tall order.
Ultimately, the Cavs are a great bet to win, and I think they can pull away late and cover.
Detroit Pistons vs. Philadelphia 76ers Prediction & Betting Picks (November 9th, 2025)
NBA fans get a tense Eastern Conference clash on Sunday, when the Detroit Pistons enter Philly as rare road favorites to battle the 76ers.
Joel Embiid won’t be on hand due to rest, but the 76ers will still be tasked with slowing down a Detroit team that is a stellar 7-2 through nine games and owns the 4th best defense in The Association.
Cade Cunningham and co. will be -145 betting favorites to get the job done, while a big road win would extend their current winning streak to six games.
It’s a tough game to peg, especially with Embiid out and the Pistons on the road. Not sure which team to back? I’ve got you covered as I investigate the latest odds and matchups en route to my Pistons vs. 76ers prediction and top picks.
Game Details
- Matchup: Detroit Pistons (7-2) vs. Philadelphia 76ers (6-3)
- Date & Time: Sunday, November 9, at 6:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA
- How to Watch: FanDuel Sports Network Detroit, NBA League Pass, and NBC Sports Philadelphia
Early Season Performance & Trends
Detroit Pistons
The Pistons have been amazing to start off the 2025-26 NBA campaign. We saw this from them for chunks of last year, and it has carried over into the new season thanks to star point guard Cade Cunningham.
Cunningham paces the team with 25.5 points per game, but he’s also dishing out 9.6 dimes per game. The team isn’t playing especially fast (14th in pace), but they are executing in transition (2nd in fastbreak points) and dominating inside (#1 in points in the paint.

Jalen Duren is to thank for the inside work, as he’s been an elite two-way force that is also stingy inside the paint on the defensive end of the floor. Detroit has a passable offense with the inside/outside game of Cade and Duren, but their defense (4th in scoring) is what they continue to hang their hat on as a collective.
Philadelphia 76ers
There was a time when the 76ers had the profile Detroit has now, but they’re the 23rd-ranked scoring defense and are getting obliterated in transition. The 76ers aren’t doing a ton right on defense these days, but they combat that by pushing the pace (12th) and piling on points (123.3 points per game).
Joel Embiid is chipping in what he can when active, but it’s actually been stud point guard Tyrese Maxey who has been the lifeblood of the Philly offense. Maxey is off to a scorching hot start, averaging over 33 points per game so far.

Maxey isn’t totally alone, as rookie VJ Edgecombe is putting up 17 points per game already, while three other players are good for 17+ points on any given night.
Philly isn’t the defensive force the Pistons are, nor are they as balanced. But they can match wits with anyone on offense and Maxey has been virtually unstoppable all season long.
Head‑to‑Head / Historical Context
Playing in the same conference for decades, the Pistons and 76ers have faced off quite a bit – 394 times during the regular season, to be exact.
Philly has dominated the lifetime series, going 234-160 over the course of those meetings. The Pistons had the upper hand last year (2-1), which could be the signaling of a turning of the tide, so to speak.
The 76ers dominated to the tune of an eight-game winning streak prior to that point. The history is rich and leans toward the Sixers, but Detroit appears to be trending in a more positive direction at the moment.
Key Matchup Breakdown
Detroit’s offense starts with Cade Cunningham, who owns a massive usage rate and is responsible for creating a ton of their offense.
Cunningham can do a lot of the heavy-lifting on his own, but he sets his teammates up beautifully and hunts for open shots. This is not an offense that relies on the outside shot, however, as Cunningham looks for the best shot available, while Duren can feast inside.
That can keep Detroit from offensive explosions or from getting hot from long range, but they’re a reasonably efficient squad that takes high percentage shots and knows how to get to the free throw line as well.
The Sixers thrive on executing in transition and converting open threes. When they have Joel Embiid he can take over and dominate the mid-range and paint, but this is a team that allows Tyrese Maxey to find the soft spots in the defense for the most part.
Maxey does a fantastic job, as the Sixers can score with the best of them, and he has a slew of capable shooters waiting to knock shots down when the defense collapses. Philly only launches the 15th most threes per game, but open looks turn into made shots.
The 76ers rank 8th in made threes per game, while they’re shooting the lights out (3rd) with a 40% mark from long range. It’s fair to wonder if that type of efficiency on low-ish volume is sustainable, but right now it’s working for a group of snipers that don’t force the issue.
Philadelphia is not a strong defensive team right now. They’re typically putting up so many points that it doesn’t matter, but they rank 23rd in scoring and 30th in fastbreak points allowed.
I know what you’re thinking; their elite scoring simply forces opponents to compete and put up points. Perhaps to an extent, but they are 20th in defensive efficiency, so they simply just aren’t very good at stopping teams currently.
Detroit is, as they rank 4th in scoring, 2nd down low, and 3rd in efficiency. These teams are polar opposites of each other right now.
In terms of pace, the Pistons play a slower brand of basketball (16th), while Philly is a little faster (12th).
- Who Stops Duren? If Embiid weren’t resting, I’d say this matchup could tilt in his favor. However, the 76ers will toss a litany of bodies Duren’s way. Realistically, none of them should contain him, nor will he have too much trouble limiting them inside.
- Cade vs. Maxey: This is going to be a great matchup. Cunningham is easily the better defender of the two, but putting the clamps down on either of these guys is a tall order.
- Pistons D vs. Philly’s 3s: The Pistons are nasty down low on defense, but their defense on the outside is simply average. They will need to stay on their man and/or close out, though, as the Sixers have a slew of perimeter shooters who will hit wide open looks at a scary rate.
The 76ers will continue to be without star center Joel Embiid on the second leg of back-to-back sets. With Embiid playing last night, he’ll rest his body on Sunday and miss this game.
Detroit continues to be without shooting guard Jaden Ivey, but is otherwise at full strength for this matchup.
Betting Odds & Market Interpretation
Check out the latest Pistons vs. 76ers betting odds (via DraftKings):
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | -4 (-110) | -164 | Over 231.5 (-110) |
76ers | +4 (-110) | +138 | Under 231.5 (-110) |
What the Market Suggests
The Pistons are getting a considerable amount of credit for their hot start and strong defensive play. Usually, the road team is still the underdog when the teams are relatively even, but the oddsmakers are suggesting a clear lean toward Detroit.
Joel Embiid resting on the second leg of back-to-back sets plays into this a bit. The 76ers have still been quite competitive without their star center, but they lack imposing size and scoring down low without him.
The game total feels a little high despite Detroit’s defensive impact. Philly puts up 123 points per game, but Detroit’s 4th-ranked scoring defense complicates matters.
From a Bettor’s Lens
There is obvious value with the Pistons and the Under. The game total respects Philly’s offense at home more than Detroit’s defense, while the Sixers feel like trappy value at home on the second leg of a back-to-back set.
Situational Considerations
The Sixers played last night with some of their key players getting significant minutes. Add in the absence of Embiid, and we could have a tired and shorthanded Sixers squad on our hands.
Detroit has also done a great job against the spread this year. They are 7-2 ATS overall, 3-1 against the spread on the road, and 5-1 ATS when favored. In all fairness, the 76ers are 4-1 ATS as the underdog, 6-2 ATS overall, and 2-1 against the spread at home.
Best Bets & Confidence Levels
| Bet | Recommendation | Confidence Level |
|---|---|---|
Under 231.5 (-110) | I am going to lean into the Pistons’ defense. Philly could be tired after playing last night, while they will be down one of their best players. | 7/10 |
Pistons -164 | Winning on the road is never easy, but Detroit has looked fantastic. They are the fresher team, and we get good value with them due to this being a tough road environment. | 7/10 |
Detroit Pistons vs. Philadelphia 76ers odds won’t stay still — watch how the lines shift and lock in the best number before tip-off at the best sports betting sites.
Final Score Prediction & Closing Thoughts
Final Score Prediction: Pistons 112, 76ers 110
I still expect a close game and plenty of points. Philly is still at home with the explosive Tyrese Maxey leading the charge, so I think they can at least push Detroit’s defense to what they allow on average most nights.
Philly getting to their season average doesn’t feel right. They are without a key contributor in Embiid, who gives them a lot of points, defense, and rebounding. They have a collection of big men they can rotate, but nobody near his caliber.
The 76ers have a lot of wing talent to work around Maxey, but Cade’s defense and Detroit’s interior dominance on both ends are ultimately going to be too much. Give me the Pistons in a mild defensive battle that allows the Under to hit.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Los Angeles Chargers Prediction & Betting Picks (November 9th, 2025)
The Pittsburgh Steelers will be mild +130 road underdogs this week when they head west to battle the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday Night Football.
Aaron Rodgers guides the 5-3 Steelers, who still hold onto first place in the AFC North, into a hostile environment. Pittsburgh has been a balanced team that has been competitive in every game, but long travel and a primetime setting could combine to work against them.
Los Angeles may have more incentive to get the win, as they are 6-3 and looking up at the Denver Broncos in the stacked AFC West. They’ll own a light 2.5-point spread advantage as they hope to avoid falling to .500 at home on the year.
With a mild 44.5 game total, this showdown doesn’t project for insane fireworks, which could mean the week 10 SNF clash is of the methodical variety and goes down to the wire.
So, which team can bettors trust? I’ll investigate the odds and key matchups more closely as I get to my Steelers vs. Chargers prediction, along with my top picks for the game.
Game Info Snapshot
- Matchup: Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3) vs. Los Angeles Chargers (6-3)
- Date & Time: Sunday, November 9th, 2025 | Kickoff at 8:20 pm ET
- Venue: SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA
- How to Watch: Peacock / NBC
The Steelers have to travel across the country for a primetime game, so the fact that they are still just +2.5 road underdogs suggests oddsmakers don’t see a huge gap between these two teams.
Pittsburgh has a slower, more methodical offense, while both defenses have showcased the ability to be stingy at times. That plays into a more tame game total.
Storylines to Watch
The biggest storyline continues to be what might be Aaron Rodgers’ retirement tour. He has a long history filled with excellent primetime efforts, and this is another one in a tense AFC clash.
Rodgers has been must-see TV for decent chunks of the season, so all eyes will be on how he and the Pittsburgh offense perform. If they don’t bring their A-game, they could struggle on the road.
Here are a few more storylines to keep in mind:
- Harbaugh vs. Tomlin: It’s a noisy narrative for the most part, but there’s still something cool about a legendary coach being on both sidelines. The strategy and decision-making aspect of this game is top level with two great minds going against each other.
- Primetime Studs: It’s just as interesting to see Aaron Rodgers and Justin Herbert duel. Both have been lauded for their typically stellar play under the bright lights, and if they both show up this one could be a barn burner.
- Alt-ernative OT: A massive storyline that beats everything else is the absence of stud offensive tackle Joe Alt. The Chargers have been spotty offensively without him at times in 2025 and he was recently ruled out for the year. If his replacement isn’t on point, the Steelers could give the Bolts’ o-line serious trouble.
Team Profiles
Pittsburgh Steelers
The Pittsburgh Steelers are a pretty shocking playoff contender, and they’ve gotten here in the weirdest way. Everyone assumed the arrival of Rodgers would give them a shot, but they are in full control of their playoff destiny at the moment.
Rodgers has had some big games, but this is a team built to run and play with a lead. They also have a talented but under-performing defense. If both are clicking, they are tough to beat.

- Under 30: Pittsburgh’s usually strong defense has been shaky this year, as they’ve allowed 31+ points three times – all losses. Naturally, Pittsburgh performed better in their other games, with only one win coming with the defense giving up more than 21 points.
- Extension of the Run: Pittsburgh would love to run the ball, but they simply aren’t very good at it. That’s led to a staggering 58% pass rate, but Rodgers and co; lean on short area, quick passing game. It doesn’t yield a lot of explosive plays, but it negates sacks and allows the Steelers to sustain drives.
- Sack Attack: Pittsburgh is middle of the road against the run and they’ve had major issues against the pass, but they can still get to the quarterback. They come in with the NFL’s 11th best sack rate and if they can generate pressure on SNF, the other defensive numbers may not matter.
Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers have been a rock solid team, albeit one that has been inconsistent. They should have a better standing considering they got off to a blazing 3-0 start, but most teams would love a 6-3 record through nine games.
L.A. has loads of offensive talent, but they aren’t breaking any records on offense this year. Their defense has often carried them, which at least is a reminder that this team is balanced enough to roll with anyone.

- Pass Happy: The Chargers pass at an insane 60% rate. Losing Joe Alt could impact that number long-term, while they actually have run the ball (10th) extremely well. They are loaded with weapons in the passing game, however, and they rank 6th in the NFL for their efforts.
- Stingy D: The Bolts rank 12th in points allowed per game, but they are especially tough on the pass. They own the league’s 8th best sack rate and also rank 3rd against the pass so far this year.
- Turnover Issues: The Chargers turn the ball over quite a bit for a team with such a good record. They come into this matchup ranked 22nd in giveaways per game and 23rd in interception rate. Conversely, the defense isn’t opportunistic enough (22nd) to offset things when they’re turning the ball over.
Key Matchups & Angles
Check out the key Steelers vs. Chargers matchups:
- Steelers pass rush vs. Chargers o-line: Pittsburgh’s biggest defensive asset is their pass rush. T.J. Watt is one of the best in the business and he was going to be a factor anyways, but remove Alt from L.A.’s o-line, and this matchup gets way more important.
- Chargers passing game vs. Steelers secondary: The Steelers went out of their way to improve their secondary, but they got older and worse. They come in ranking dead last against the pass, while the Bolts pass 68% of the time and are deadly accurate. If the Steelers pass rush isn’t successful, this could be quite bad for Pittsburgh.
- Chargers run game vs. Steelers run defense: This matchup comes down to what the Bolts want to do. If they are giving up too much pressure, they could opt to turn to their ground game. Kimani Vidal has looked good in two of three starts, while the Chargers (10th) have been effective on the ground when called upon.
Betting Trends & Odds Context
Check out the latest odds, per ESPN BET:
- Spread: Steelers +2.5 (Even) | Chargers -2.5 (-120)
- Moneyline: Steelers (+130) | Chargers (-150)
- Total: Over 44.5 (-115) | Under 44.5 (-105)
Take a look at some key betting trends for this showdown:
- Public Betting: Most of the bets (62%) are coming in on the Chargers, while just 42% of the money is there. This one is split, which isn’t shocking given the tight spread.
- Record History: These teams have faced off 36 times, with Pittsburgh holding a 25-11 series lead. They have only faced one time within the last four seasons, however, with the Steelers prevailing, 20-10.
- ATS Tidbits: Pittsburgh comes in 4-4 against the spread on the year, while they are 1-2 ATS on the road and 2-1 against the spread as the underdog. L.A. has been worse, going 3-5-1 against the spread overall, 1-3-1 ATS as the favorite, and just 1-2-1 ATS at home.
Best Bets for Steelers vs. Chargers
Pick 1: Steelers ML (-155) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
This is a big game for both sides, but the Steelers have a clear edge with Joe Alt being out of the lineup. If their pass rush can get to Justin Herbert early, we could be looking at a struggling Chargers offense and a shorter field for Aaron Rodgers and co.
Risks/What to Watch
The Chargers are the better team by the numbers, while they are at home and the Steelers have a long trip just to play this game. If the Chargers keep the Steelers’ pass rush at bay, they could have a lot of success in this spot.
Pick 2: Prop Play – Jaylen Warren Anytime TD (+125) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
Whether the Steelers win or not, I think there’s a decent chance Jaylen Warren finds the end-zone. Pittsburgh has been elite (7th) in red-zone scoring, while Warren is their go-to guy and the Chargers have allowed the 6th most rushing scores to running backs in 2025.
Risks/What to Watch
Predicting touchdowns in the NFL can be a volatile task, as variance can allow for a change in game plan, teams getting shutout, or a backup vulturing a score. Warren is a good bet to score, but what if Rodgers accounts for all of the team’s TDs through the air? There is inherent risk involved with TD props that bettors need to embrace.
Pick 3: Prop Play – Justin Herbert Over 250+ Pass Yards (-125) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
The Chargers could very well dial back their passing with Joe Alt on the shelf, but their 68% pass rate and the positive matchup sets things up nicely for them. Herbert has hit the Over five times in 2025 and this is one of the better spots he’s been in.
Risks/What to Watch
If the Chargers are playing with a lead, it’s always possible Herbert doesn’t have to pass as much. After all, he only passed 29 and 25 times in L.A.’s last two games.
Final Verdict: Steelers Pass Rush is Too Much for Chargers
My top Steelers vs. Chargers prediction is a Pittsburgh win. The Chargers need to prove to me that they aren’t the classic Bolts of old, where they constantly shoot themselves in the foot.
Pittsburgh also proved a lot of people wrong last week, when they beat a really good 7-1 Colts team. They’ve also been in every game this year, so if their defense can play more like it did against Indy, they should have a chance at dictating how this one unfolds.
I am a bit wary of the travel for this one, but the Steelers are a fun upset pick. The Warren and Herbert props align enough with the bet and have a good chance of hitting, too.
Final Score Prediction: Steelers 24, Chargers 20
Gabriel Bonfim vs. Randy Brown Prediction (UFC Vegas 111, November 8th, 2025)
MMA fans get an electrifying main event this Saturday, where Gabriel Bonfim (18-1) is favored to take down Randy Brown (20-6). The two have contrasting fighting styles, which could set up an epic battle, or lead to a quick finish.
Bonfim’s floor game is superior to Brown’s, but Brown’s power and striking could give him the upper hand, just as well.
Want some help picking a side in the UFC Vegas 111 main event? I’ll break down the latest odds, dissect the matchup, and offer my Gabriel Bonfim vs. Randy Brown prediction, along with my preferred bets.
Current Betting Odds & Market Snapshot
Here’s a look at the latest Gabriel Bonfim vs. Randy Brown odds over at FanDuel:
- Gabriel Bonfim: -184
- Randy Brown: +148
- Fight Goes the Distance: Yes (+210) | No (-290)
- Method of Victory: KO (+170) | Submission (+150) | Decision (+200)
- Total Rounds: Over 2.5 (-128) | Under 2.5 (+102)
What the Odds Tell Us
The moneyline is tight and the pricing favors this thing to end early. Both of these guys are elite finishers, and the contrast in fighting styles also supports this not going the distance.
Gabriel Bonfim vs. Randy Brown prediction won’t be easy to nail, but this fight going Under 2.5 rounds at plus money looks very appealing.
Matchup Preview & Fighter Profiles
Gabriel Bonfim (18-1)
I think Bonfim is the guy I’d back at first glance, as he is a submission guru (13 career submissions) and an elite wrestler, but he also has some boxing background.
That could allow Bonfim to match wits with Randy Brown when the fight is on the feet, but his wrestling and floor game give him a massive edge if the fight goes to the floor.
Bonfirm has experience against skilled strikers, as he just grinded out a Decision win over Stephen Thompson in July, and he submitted Khaos Williams in February. He’s also in fantastic form in general, having won each of his last three bouts.
Bonfim does a good jump switching up his approach and can peck away at his opponent with jabs and kicks. His bread and butter is scoring takedowns (4.03 averaged per fight) and finishing things on the mat.

In terms of weakness, we did see him get knocked out against a violent fighter in Nicolas Dalby. That alone isn’t to scare anyone off of Bonfim, but just a friendly reminder that he is vulnerable to power and if he’s not careful, can be taken advantage of with ground and pound on the canvas.
Randy Brown (20-6)
Randy Brown is known for his finishing ability, but he isn’t just a knockout artist (8 KOs), as he also has the ability to force a tap out (5 submissions). In addition, he has more experience than Bonfim and also happens to hold a massive 5.5-inch reach advantage.
Brown is not very active with takedowns on average, but he is liable to possibly counter Bonfim and surprise on the mat. However, Bonfim is definitely the much more dangerous wrestler and if the fight does get to the mat, Brown probably isn’t winning.
Instead, Brown should look to stick to his strengths, and that’s leaning on his length, power, and pacing. If he can stay on his feet, he has the striking advantage, and a knockout is absolutely in play.

Of course, Brown is no lock to get a finish. He has racked up 13 of them, but he’s allowed a lot of his opponents to hang around, while between these two fighters, he’s proven to be much more vulnerable to early losses.
Tale of the Tape
| Fighter | Record | Height | Reach | Stance | Style |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gabriel Bonfim | 18-1 | 6’1″ | 72.5″ | Orthodox | Mixed Martial Artist |
Randy Brown | 20-6 | 6’3″ | 78″ | Orthodox | Striker |
This is your classic striker vs. grappler bout. It might not be quite that simple since Bonfim can mix in solid striking and has been the more dominant fighter, but that’s the way I am viewing it.
Key Matchup Factors to Watch
This should be a very good fight so long as these guys aren’t afraid to make a move. Brown’s length advantage should allow him to take shots right away, though, and how Bonfim responds – and whether he can score a takedown – will decide how this fight plays out.
- Reach Advantage: The biggest strength for Brown in this fight is his massive height and reach edge. If he can use it to land easy strikes and keep Bonfim from scoring takedowns, he has a clear path to victory.
- Wrestling Edge: Closing the gap on that reach won’t be easy, but it’s not something Bonfim hasn’t done before. If these guys hit the ground, he has a clear edge.
- Inside the Distance: Due to both fighter’s having top shelf finishing ability and there being a clear contrast in styles, someone is getting finished. Bettors should be looking at KO and submission props with confidence.
Best Bets & Betting Strategy
This fight is fairly straight forward, but the key is to apply the matchup to actual odds and take home some value. Here are the top picks for this bout at UFC Vegas 111:
| Bet | Reasoning | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
Inside the Distance (-290) | The odds favor this thing ending before five rounds are up, and so does the contrast in styles. Both fighters know how to finish fights, so you don’t even need to pick a side to get an easy win. | 9/10 |
Bonfim by Submission (+180) | This fight won’t go the distance and if I’m right about that, I think Bonfim via submission is the most likely outcome. He has a staggering 13 submissions to his name and has the matchup advantage by quite a bit if he can get the fight to the ground. | 8/10 |
Under 2.5 Rounds (+102) | Bonfim’s gas tank isn’t praised as the best, so if he’s going to win like I think he can, he will have to do it early. The nice thing is Brown can obviously shock with the upset and we can still cash this plus money bet. | 8/10 |
Risk Factors & Things to Watch
Things can go wrong even with sure things. Here’s why our favorite bets could fail:
- You Reach, I Teach: The saying usually applies to basketball, but reach advantages are no joke in MMA. It’s entirely possible Brown capitalizes on that edge and either scores the KO or at least keeps Bonfim’s takedown attempts at bay.
- Upset Special: MMA is one of the highest variance sports there is, as upsets happen all the time. Even the biggest favorites can lose, and Bonfim isn’t even an alarming favorite.
- Decision Time: This fight also has a slim chance to go the distance. Bonfim has excellent defense and wrestling, but Brown has proven he can grind fights out. If the reach factor ends up being a big issue, this fight could simply be a snoozer that lasts five rounds.
The Bottom Line: Gabriel Bonfim’s Time to Shine
Ultimately, my Gabriel Bonfim vs. Randy Brown prediction has the man known as Marrentinha coming out on top. He’s the younger fighter in his physical prime, he’s in stellar form, and he has a ton to fight for.
In addition, Bonfim has been the far more dominant fighter and he has a more lethal skill-set. He can even stand and trade for a bit, leaving Brown’s reach advantage as the only real obstacle to a win.
Brown could always shock us with a knockout win or grind out a boring fight, but the more likely scenario has Bonfim taking him to the mat and choking him out.
Final Prediction Summary
| Bet | Pick | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
Inside the Distance | Yes | -290 | 8/10 |
Method of Victory | Submission | +180 | 8/10 |
Total Rounds | Under 2.5 | +102 | 8/10 |
Ready to place your wagers on this matchup? Check out our list of the top UFC betting apps to find the best odds and welcome bonuses.
BYU Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction & Betting Picks (November 8th, 2025)
The BYU Cougars will be in unfamiliar territory in week 11, as they travel to Texas as massive 10.5-point underdogs to face the Texas Tech Raiders.
You couldn’t ask for a bigger game this week, as BYU will look to prove themselves against a worthy foe. These are the top two teams in the ultra competitive Big 12 conference, while sole possession of first place is on the line this weekend.
The oddsmakers think Texas Tech (-410) is the easy call to get the job, while the 51.5 game total suggests a shootout could be in the cards.
Not sure how to bet? I’ve got your back, as I’ll inspect the latest odds, go over the key matchups, and hand a BYU vs. Tech Tech prediction, along with my top picks.
Game Basics & Context
- Matchup: BYU Cougars (8-0) vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders (8-1)
- Date & Time: Saturday, November 8th, with kickoff at 11:00 pm CT (12:00 pm ET)
- Venue: Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock, TX
- How to Watch: ABC
Betting Odds
Check out the most current BYU vs. Texas Tech odds, per DraftKings:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
BYU | +10.5 (-110) | +320 | O 51.5 (-115) |
Texas Tech | -10.5 (-110) | -410 | U 51.5 (-105) |
Rivalry & Venue Context
This matchup isn’t a tense rivalry, as the Cougars have only been in the Big 12 since 2023. As expected, there have not been many meetings between these two sides, with just two total games being played ever.
The most recent and only relevant clash came two years ago, where BYU prevailed 27-14.
Even that isn’t something we should hang our hat on too much when dissecting this game, so for the most part, we can ignore any rivalry impact.
Of course, it’s worth noting that BYU won on the road in that game. Although, Texas Tech has been nasty (5-0) at home in 2025.
Why This Game Matters
This game is about as big as it gets. Short of it being the actual Big 12 title game, it’s for first place in the conference right now. Who knows if it will hold given the state of the Big 12 (five total teams have 7+ wins), but it’s still extremely important.
Texas Tech needs the win more, to be fair. They probably wouldn’t mind keeping their home record pristine (nor exacting revenge for that 2023 loss), but a loss may signal the end of their bid for the Big 12 crown.
Both teams have legit conference championship aspirations, while deep runs in the College Football Playoff can’t be ruled out. What happens here doesn’t necessarily derail either of their seasons, but it absolutely could have a significant impact as far as their ultimate ceilings.
Team Profiles
BYU Cougars

The Cougars are probably the best 10.5-point underdog we’ll see all year. Some will call them a fraudulent undefeated team, but all I see is a winner. BYU got the season started off right with a 69-0 demolition over Portland State, and they never let up.
The offense has been methodical and on point all season, never dipping below 24 points in any game. They’ve survived all kinds of tests, whether it be upsetting as the underdog or taking care of business as big favorites.
BYU is undefeated in a brutal Big 12 conference, too, as they’re coming off a terrific 41-27 win over Iowa State.
This team can hurt you in a number of ways, as running back LJ Martin (789 yards) paces the nation’s 35th best ground game. Through the air, quarterback Bear Bachmeier is more than just a guy with an awesome name; he’s executing at a high level (11 TDs) and keeping the Cougars balanced.
That’s led to the country’s 35th best scoring offense, and one that is particularly good at closing out drives (27th in RZ %) and protecting the football (7th fewest turnovers).
BYU is even better defensively. That balanced attack helps them out, to be sure, but the Cougars take care of business, allowing just 19 points per game (19th), and doing a passable job against both the rush and the pass.
Texas Tech Red Raiders

The odds suggest Texas Tech is even better, which is honestly saying a lot. Where BYU is more balanced and methodical, the Red Raiders are admittedly more explosive, as they put up over 40 points per game (3rd).
Texas Tech has easily one of the nastiest offenses in all of college football, as they can light you up down the field (17th in passing yards per game) with Behren Morton slicing defenses up to the tune of 1,728 yards, 15 TDs, and a blistering 68.7 completion rate.
The running game isn’t half bad, either, as the Red Raiders lean on Cameron Dickey (760 rushing yards, 10 scores) to generate the country’s 37th best ground game.
As gifted as Texas Tech is on offense, they are impossibly just as good on the other side of the ball. The Red Raiders can flip fields better than anyone (2nd in takeaways), while they are incredibly stingy (5th in scoring) and stifle the run better than anyone.
All of that sounds like bad news for BYU – and it probably is, to an extent – but let’s not forget that Texas Tech did stumble a few weeks ago. Neither their offense or defense were up to par in a 26-22 loss to Arizona State.
Key Matchup Angles
Consider the following key matchups:
- BYU’s rush offense vs. Texas Tech’s run defense: This is probably the most important stylistic matchup, as BYU likes to run (57% rush rate) and they’re going up against the best run defense in all of football.
- Texas Tech’s passing game vs. BYU’s pass defense: The Red Raiders are more balanced than BYU, and they have a more explosive passing attack. How it fares against the Cougars opportunistic secondary could tell us a lot about how this game goes.
- Turnover Battle: Speaking of opportunistic, one of the biggest keys in this game is the turnover battle. BYU does not cough up turnovers, but Texas Tech is one of the best defenses in football at forcing them. Something has to break.
Betting Insights & Trends
Both of these teams have been very good against the spread. BYU is 6-2 overall ATS on the year, 2-0 ATS as the underdog, and 3-2 against the spread in Big 12 games. They are also 3-1 against the spread as the road team.
The Red Raiders have been even better, coming in with a stellar 8-1 ATS mark so far in 2025. Texas Tech is 5-0 ATS at home, too, while they are 5-1 against the spread in conference games.
The total is admittedly tough to gauge when you have two teams that can be so good on offense, yet so stingy defensively. Playing into that, the Over is just 4-4 in BYU games this year, while it is just 4-5 for Texas Tech.
Best Bets & Confidence Levels
Check out the top picks for this game:
| Bet | Recommendation | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
BYU ATS +10.5 (-110) | I don’t care how much better anyone thinks Texas Tech is than BYU; this spread is egregious. BYU is 2-0 as an underdog on the year and this is just insanely disrespectful. I think they are even in play to win, but +10.5 is just silly. | 9/10 |
Over 51.5 (-110) | This is a tough one given both team’s defensive aptitude and what is on the line here. However, Texas Tech can do most of the damage all on their own. I think BYU gives it a go, so 52 total points probably isn’t asking the world. | 6/10 |
The only bet in this game I feel really strongly about is BYU beating the spread. Texas Tech is the better team by the numbers and they are very good at home, but they’re not unbeatable.
At least so far, BYU has been. I think they have their own flaws, but they’re quite balanced and don’t have enough glaring weaknesses to buy them falling this short.
The Over also looks good on paper given the scoring ability of both teams. Texas Tech averages over 40 points per game and they could seriously get us there all on their own.
Risk Factors & What Could Go Wrong
There are no guarantees in betting. Here’s why these bets could fail:
- Home Field Advantage: BYU is a 10.5-point dog for a reason and Texas Tech has been unstoppable at home. With the Red Raiders needing this win a little more, it is entirely possible they come out and smoke the Cougars.
- Elite Defenses: I like the Over, but the defenses are just as good as the offenses. Texas Tech holds opponents to 14 points per game and BYU isn’t that far off. I think a shootout is in the cards, but we could always see a defensive battle given the stakes.
Putting Our Pick on the Board: Here’s How It Plays Out
Final Score Prediction: Texas Tech Red Raiders 34, BYU Cougars 27
Texas Tech is perfect at home and they pass the eye test when you watch the tape and measure these teams against each other by the numbers. Their ability to flip the field in the turnover game is huge and they have the explosive offense and stingy defense to allow them to dominate even someone as good as BYU.
That has me liking Texas Tech to get the win, but we are not targeting them at -410 and I think the 10.5-point spread is a bit rich. BYU is better than that, as they’ll obviously want to stay perfect. They also still have a good defense and a more than capable offense.
A shootout is entirely possible given what is on the line, while the total is actually fairly modest when you look at what the Red Raiders can do offensively. Ultimately, I like Texas Tech to win, BYU to beat the spread, and this game to hit the Over.
