Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys Prediction & Best Bets (November 23, 2025)
The Dallas Cowboys may be looking at their last gasp on Sunday when they’ll be +142 underdogs at home against the Philadelphia Eagles.
Dak Prescott and co. are coming off a big win over the Las Vegas Raiders, but will be facing a 3-point spread at AT&T Stadium with the 8-2 Eagles coming to town.
An up-and-down season has materialized into a pedestrian 4-5-1 record that threatens to derail their playoff hopes. Can they upset an Eagles team they played closely back in week one, or is a season sweep the last straw on what will ultimately be a lost year?
I’ll go over the latest odds and key matchups to point you in the right direction. Read on for my favorite bets in this game, as well as my Eagles vs. Cowboys prediction.
Game Info Snapshot
- Date & Location: Sunday, November 23rd, 2025 | Kickoff at 3:25 pm ET (FOX) at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX
- Team records entering the game:
- Eagles: 8-2
- Cowboys: 4-5-1
- Odds (from DraftKings)
- Spread: Eagles -3 (-112) | Cowboys +3 (-108)
- Moneyline: Eagles (-162) | Cowboys (+136)
- Total: Over 47.5 (-115) | Under 47.5 (-105)
The odds give Dallas some credit at home. Part of the tight spread probably has to do with the previous meeting in this series, as well as the magnitude of this game for a desperate Cowboys team.
The game total could be tricky. The Cowboys have a dynamic offense and one of the worst defenses in the league, but Philly’s games have been brutal for Over bettors lately.
Storylines to Watch
The main Eagles vs. Cowboys storyline is easily whether Dallas can get the upset win and keep their playoff hopes alive. Getting back to .500 would keep them in the running for the final spot in the NFC playoff bracket, but a loss could effectively end their season.
Here’s a quick look at some other Cowboys vs. Eagles storylines to consider:
- Hot Streak: Philly comes in red hot as winners of four straight. They are feeling comfortable atop the NFC East, so will they stay on fire, or overlook the Cowboys?
- Disgruntled: An ongoing storyline has been the demeanor of diva Eagles wide receiver A.J. Brown, who appears to be disappointed with his role. He’s made comments about himself and other teammates recently, suggesting his displeasure and creating a mild rift for the team to manage.
- Improved Defense: A running storyline for Dallas has been their terrible defense. They made some big moves ahead of the NFL trade deadline, however, and looked quite good last week. Was that more about their overhauled unit, or a tasty matchup with a bad Raiders team?
Team Profiles
Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles and Cowboys faced off in week one, with the defending Super Bowl champions prevailing in a closer-than-expected game. Philadelphia has gotten the job done more often than not since then, but it hasn’t always been pretty.
Jalen Hurts and co. are 8-2 and well on their way to another Super Bowl run, but they do have some things to clean up along the way. Here’s a look at where they’ve stood out to this point, however:
- Unstoppable: The one constant for the Eagles is the use of the Tush Push and their insane effectiveness inside the 20. They own the league’s best red-zone conversion rate (75%) and are really tough to stop at the goal-line.
- Ground Control: This is still a team that wants to be as balanced as possible, lean on the run, and grind defenses to a pulp. They’re still plenty successful at executing their style of play (2nd in rush rate), but the production hasn’t come as easily as it did last year.
- Mr. Perfect: Certainly, owning the league’s 2nd-lowest pass rate has something to do with it, but when called upon, Jalen Hurts doesn’t throw interceptions. Philly has just a 0.37% interception rate as a team, ranking first in the NFL.
Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys got tripped up by Philly in week one, but responded like only they know how; by barely beating the New York Giants in overtime, 40-37. A few weeks later, they battled the Green Bay Packers to a 40-40 tie.
All of this is to say Dallas can ball, but their defense has really hurt them over the course of the season. They did make some major adjustments recently, though, so it remains to be seen if it was a temporary spark or a lasting change they can parlay into sustained success.
Either way, here’s where they’ve thrived in 2025:
- Big Plays: It shouldn’t shock anyone that Dallas can move the ball effectively. They rank 5th in yards per play and they also know how to finish the job (2nd in points per game). They’re not an easy offense to stop.
- Max Protect: Give credit where it’s due. Despite having the league’s 8th highest pass rate, the Cowboys have done a fantastic job protecting their quarterback and rank 5th in sack rate allowed.
- Leg of Death: As great as they are offensively, the Cowboys don’t stop killing you if they can’t cross the 40. Kicker Brandon Aubrey is insanely accurate (2nd in FG conversion rate) and may have the biggest leg in the league.
Key Matchups & Angles
Check out the key Eagles vs. Cowboys matchups:
- Cowboys pass protection vs. Eagles pass rush: Dallas has protected Dak Prescott well for much of the year, but Philly has been abusing opposing QBs lately. If Dallas can’t keep him off his back, they’ll be in serious trouble.
- Philly’s rush offense vs. Cowboys run defense: How effective the Eagles can be on the ground will likely be the key to the game. Is Dallas actually that much improved? If not, Saquon Barkley could run wild against the NFL’s 24th-ranked run defense.
- Eagles RZ offense vs. Cowboys RZ defense: Even if the Cowboys are better on defense and limit overall production, can they stop Philly’s top-ranked red-zone offense? Considering they allow scores at a near-67% clip (29th), my guess is no.
Betting Trends & Odds Context
Take a look at the latest Eagles vs. Cowboys odds, per DraftKings:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Eagles | -3 (-112) | -162 | Over 47.5 (-115) |
Cowboys | +3 (-108) | +136 | Under 47.5 (-105) |
Take a look at some key betting trends for this showdown:
- Public Betting: Everyone is backing Philly. The Eagles have gotten 89% of the bets and 84% of the money so far.
- Record History: These teams have a rich history. They’ve faced each other 133 times, with Dallas leading, 74-59. Philly has dominated lately, though, winning the most recent game and each of the last three.
- ATS Tidbits: The Eagles have been strong (7-3) against the spread, with a 3-1 mark as road favorites. Dallas has gone just 5-5 against the spread, but are 3-1 ATS as the underdog.
Best Bets for Eagles vs. Cowboys
Pick 1: Cowboys ATS +3 (-108) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
Dallas is at home, desperate, and they played Philly very well the first time around. They also may have an improved defense, plus Eagles games have gone down to the wire the last two weeks.
Risks/What to Watch
Divisional games can be unpredictable. Philly is still the better team, and they have the #1 seed in the NFC to worry about. They should still be motivated to win.
Pick 2: Under 47.5 (-105) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
Normally, I’d be smashing the Over in a Cowboys game. However, Philly plays a slow, boring brand of football, and their last two games both totaled under 26 points. Throw in a potentially improved Dallas defense, and this bet could get weird.
Risks/What to Watch
If the Dallas defense is still bad, this bet will look silly. Despite the way they play, the Eagles are still plenty explosive, as they’ve scored 30+ points three different times this year.
Pick 3: Prop Play – Jalen Hurts Anytime TD (-115) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
Philly loves to run the Tush Push play when they get to the goal-line, and they own the league’s best RZ scoring offense. They turn to Hurts often, as he scored on the ground just last week and has six rushing touchdowns on the year.
Risks/What to Watch
Dallas might be a little better up front now, and touchdowns can be tough to predict. It’s always possible Hurts throws some touchdowns or Philly uses Saquon Barkley near the goal-line instead.
Odds lines for Eagles vs. Cowboys continue to shift as bettors react to late-week movement—track those changes closely and compare them at our top football betting sites.
Final Verdict: Cowboys Stay Close, Eagles Stay Hot
Dallas played Philadelphia close in week one, and given what’s at stake, I think they’ll do it again. However, that doesn’t guarantee a victory. Philly has won two close games in a row against better teams, after all.
Even if Dallas does get the upset, we can hedge our bets if we bet on the Eagles, both with Dallas ATS and with the Under. I also think with the Eagles likely finding enough success in this matchup to win again, a Hurts rushing score is as good a bet as anything in this game.
Final Score Prediction: Eagles 20, Cowboys 17
