Chicago Bears vs. Philadelphia Eagles Prediction & Betting Picks (November 28th, 2025)
The Chicago Bears are not yet being viewed as a true threat to the top spot in the NFC. Despite their 8-3 record and four-game winning streak, they will enter their Black Friday tilt as 7-point road underdogs against the Philadelphia Eagles.
Philly has earned that respect, as they are still the defending champions and will be at home, where they’ve gone a solid 4-1 on the year. For anyone who believes in the Bears, however, their spread looks mighty enticing and a +290 moneyline also looks tough to bypass.
This is a tough one to call on paper, as so much is riding on this game. The winner will be within striking distance of the NFC’s #1 seed, while the loser could be at risk of spiraling out of control.
Not sure who to back? I’ll look at the latest odds and highlight my top bets en route to my Bears vs. Eagles prediction.
Game Info Snapshot
- Date & Location: Friday, November 28th, 2025 | Kickoff at 3:00 pm ET (Amazon Prime) at Lincoln Financial Field in Pennsylvania, PA
- Team records entering the game:
- Bears: 8-3
- Eagles: 8-3
- Odds (from FanDuel)
- Spread: Bears +7 (-110) | Eagles -7 (-110)
- Moneyline: Bears (+285) | Eagles (-355)
- Total: Over 44.5 (-102) | Under 44.5 (-120)
The point spread suggests oddsmakers (and the betting public) respect the Eagles at home. There’s also a distinct possibility nobody has fully bought into Chicago being as good as their record might indicate.
The game total is modest, taking into account Philly’s defensive aptitude. Each of the Eagles’ last three games have hit the Under, after all.
Storylines to Watch
There are multiple storylines to monitor for this game, but the big one is the battle for position behind the Los Angeles Rams. Both teams come in with nice 8-3 records, but only one can be 9-3 following this Black Friday showdown.
Chicago comes in hotter, having won their last four games. However, they have to go steal a win on the road against a hungry Eagles team that will be eager to forget last week’s 21-0 collapse.
Here are a few more Eagles vs. Bears storylines bettors will want to keep in mind:
- Late Game King: Caleb Williams has not always been perfect for the Bears, but he has been truly sensational when it’s counted. The second-year passer has led five come-from-behind wins, which means the Bears aren’t out of this game until the final second ticks off the clock.
- Turnover Crew: Chicago has not been very stingy on defense, but they have definitely been opportunistic, recording an insane 2.2 takeaways per contest – tops in football. If they can force a couple of turnovers again on Friday, it’s hard to imagine them not keeping this thing close.
- Totally Offensive: One of the biggest Bears vs. Eagles storylines has to be Philly’s inconsistent offense. The Eagles got completely shut down in the second half last week, so piecing together a complete game in a tense setting with so much on the line will be key.
Team Profiles
Chicago Bears
The Chicago Bears were expected to make a leap with the arrival of new head coach Ben Johnson, but an 8-3 record and first place in the NFC North are still shocking achievements.
Chicago got off to a so-so start, but their current four-game run has them closing out games strong and putting up stellar numbers. It’s anyone’s guess if they can keep it going – especially since so many of their wins have gone down to the wire – but for the moment they look like a real problem atop the NFC.
Here’s a quick look at what’s made them so great this year:
- Opportunistic Defense: The Bears give up a lot of yardage and points, but they can still stop offenses in their tracks. Chicago is extremely aggressive and opportunistic, forcing 2.2 turnovers per game (most in the NFL).
- Ground Control: The Bears can hurt you from all over the field, but their bread and butter is on the ground. D’Andre Swift heads a rush offense that ranks 10th in rush rate, 7th in yards per rush, and 2nd in rushing yards per game.
- Max Protect: Chicago’s passing offense has its warts, but the offensive line – and the mobility Caleb Williams provides on the fly – work together to limit opposing sacks (6th lowest sack rate allowed).
Philadelphia Eagles
The defending champs have not always put a pretty product on the field, but that was arguably true even during their title run last year.
Despite some hiccups, the Eagles are the class of the NFC East and at 8-3, are still in contention for the top seed in the conference. Philly continues to be committed to running the football, while their situational execution and defense give them a winning foundation.
Here’s a quick look at what makes them so good in 2025:
- Unstoppable Force: Philly doesn’t wow you on the ground or in the air, but they move the ball and finish the job in scoring position. Their 77% conversion rate inside the red zone is the best the NFL has to offer.
- Error Free: Jalen Hurts doesn’t throw a ton, but when he does, he takes care of the football. Hurts is a key reason Philly has the league’s lowest interception rate.
- Bend, Don’t Break: Philly is elite on offense inside the red zone, but they’re almost as good on the defensive side of the ball. They’re allowing just a 48% scoring conversion rate (3rd) when opponents enter the red zone.
Key Matchups & Angles
Check out the key Eagles vs Bears matchups:
- Red-Zone Battle: Philly is elite inside the RZ at both ends, while the Bears have been inconsistent at best. If the Eagles finish the job on offense and hold strong on defense, they’ll have a clear edge in this contest.
- Turnover War: Philly refuses to be reckless with the ball through the air, while they’re facing the most opportunistic defense in the league. Will Philly continue to protect the football, or implode against an aggressive Chicago unit?
- Saquon Barkley vs. Chicago’s run defense: The Eagles have admittedly not been efficient on the ground, but they are still trying (3rd-highest rush rate). There’s a pretty good chance they’ll find more success than usual against a leaky Bears run defense (30th in yards per rush allowed).
Betting Trends & Odds Context
Take a look at the latest Bears vs. Eagles odds, per FanDuel:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Bears | +7 (-110) | +285 | Over 44.5 (-102) |
Eagles | -7 (-110) | -355 | Under 44.5 (-120) |
Take a look at some key betting trends for this showdown:
- Public Betting: The early money is on the Bears, but just barely. Chicago is getting 52% of the bets and 53% of the money.
- Record History: These teams have faced off 47 times, with Chicago holding a 29-17-1 lifetime edge. It’s been all Philly of late, however, as the Eagles won the most recent meeting (25-20) in 2022, and have won six straight in the series.
- ATS Tidbits: Chicago (7-4) has been great against the spread, and they are 4-2 ATS as the underdog. The Eagles are just as good (7-4) against the spread, while they are 6-4 ATS when favored and 3-2 ATS at home.
Best Bets for Bears vs. Eagles
Pick 1: Bears ATS +7 (-110) – 8/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
This spread is a bit too thick considering how well Chicago keeps closing games. Philly has allowed teams to hang tight in recent weeks, too.
Risks/What to Watch
Chicago may not be that good, plus winning on the road in Philly is not a given. Playing on a Friday in the middle of the day makes this game extra wonky, too.
Pick 2: Prop Play – Saquon Barkley Anytime TD (-125) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
The Eagles run the ball at the NFL’s third-highest rate, and the Bears get destroyed on the ground. It stands to reason that volume and RZ efficiency work together to get Saquon a touchdown in a huge home game.
Risks/What to Watch
When the Eagles get close, they could just as easily turn to Jalen Hurts. That, or perhaps the Eagles torch the Bears and score through the air.
Pick 3: Prop Play – Caleb Williams Over 206.5 Passing Yards (-114) – 7/10 Confidence
Why We Like It
Caleb Williams has hit the Over on this yardage total in four of his last five games, while he may need to throw the ball with Chicago expected to be playing from behind. Add in the fact that the Eagles are beatable through the air (22nd), and this mark feels incredibly doable.
Risks/What to Watch
The Eagles can slow games down with their style of play, while a road date in a hostile environment could throw Chicago’s offense off kilter.
Bears vs. Eagles odds can shift fast — monitor every line move, compare spreads and totals, and lock in the best betting value before kickoff at our top football betting sites.
Final Verdict: Eagles Get Back on Track, but Bears Cover
The Bears aren’t frauds, but going into Philly and taking out the defending Super Bowl champs on a Friday is far from a lock.
Chicago might not be ready to win a game of this magnitude, but the matchup actually sets up decently for them. Their opportunistic defense and balanced offense will keep them in the game, allowing them to beat this 7-point spread and perhaps even give them a shot at the upset.
The total feels trappy, and Philly’s moneyline isn’t worth our time beyond being the last leg of parlays. Instead, I suggest targeting a Saquon touchdown and Williams to air it out as he plays from behind.
Final Score Prediction: Eagles 20, Bears 17
