Philadelphia 76ers vs. Toronto Raptors Prediction & Best Bets (Monday, January 12th, 2026)
The Philadelphia 76ers head north to Canada to battle the Toronto Raptors, where they will be 3.5-point favorites, per DraftKings.
Philly is a mildly surprising road favorite at first glance, but Toronto saw starters Brandon Ingram, Scottie Barnes, and Jakob Poeltl all miss their last game. That contest, of course, was a tight overtime victory against this very Sixers team – but one that was operating without both Joel Embiid and swingman Paul George.
George’s status is unknown for this game after being a late scratch on Sunday, but Embiid is due back after resting on the first leg of a back-to-back set.
Bettors will want to monitor the latest injury news ahead of this one, but with Embiid likely back and Toronto’s lineup possibly missing some key bodies, the 76ers stand out as the clear value.
Not sure which side to back? Let’s break down the latest odds before I hand out my best bets and get to a final 76ers vs. Raptors prediction.
Game Details
- Matchup: Philadelphia 76ers (21-16) vs. Toronto Raptors (24-16)
- Date & Time: Monday, January 12th at 6:30 pm (7:30 pm ET)
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, CA
- How to Watch: NBA League Pass, NBC Sports Philadelphia Plus and Sportsnet
Early Season Performance & Trends
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia has gone a solid 21-16 to start the year, and they are in position to make the playoffs in the Eastern Conference. They have dealt with several key injuries throughout the year, but got off to a nice 4-0 start to begin the season and have gotten elite scoring production out of Tyrese Maxey.
The 76ers have been an above-average offensive team, and when at full strength, they’ve exhibited the ability to play solid overall defense. They have displayed an ability to hang with anyone they go up against, as they own wins over the New York Knicks, Toronto Raptors, Boston Celtics, and Golden State Warriors on the year.
Philly is in solid form, winning five of their last seven games. They have scored 120+ points in five of their last seven games, and they are 4-1 in those situations.
Toronto Raptors
The Raptors have been a nice surprise in the Eastern Conference, as they are off to a stout 24-16 record. That wasn’t always guaranteed, as they have much of the same pieces they had when they struggled last year, and they got off to a slow 1-4 start.
Toronto has been lights out ever since, as they’ve gone 23-12 since that sluggish opening, leaning on balanced offense and a fairly stingy defense.
Toronto has had some health issues, but the foursome of Immanuel Quickley, RJ Barrett, Scottie Barnes, and Brandon Ingram gives them one of the more star-studded starting lineups in the NBA. Center Jakob Poeltl rounds out an elite starting five when he’s healthy.
The Raptors are in solid form, going 7-3 over their last 10 games. They have been playing solid defense, keeping opponents below 110 points in four games during that stretch.
Head‑to‑Head / Historical Context
Philadelphia and Toronto play in the Atlantic Division together, so it’s surprising to see they’ve only faced each other 118 times. Toronto has held the upper hand in those games, going 68-50.
The Raptors have also had an edge so far this year, taking two of three games. They won on Sunday and won the previous game as well. Each game has seen both teams score at least 112 points and have all been decided by 10 points or fewer.
Key Matchup Breakdown
The 76ers have turned their offense over to Tyrese Maxey, who averages an absurd 30.8 points per game. He is not just a scorer, as he’s also dishing out 6.8 assists per game.
Maxey has a 28% usage rate, though, so he is quarterbacking this offense and doing a solid job, as Philly ranks 13th in points per game, they get the job done in transition (9th), they get to the free throw line and convert, and they can fill it up from long range.
Joel Embiid (23.5 ppg) chips in as the team’s second-best scorer when he’s not taking rest days, while Philly has a really nice supporting cast behind these guys. Rookie swingman VJ Edgecombe has been very reliable (16 ppg), while Paul George (15.9 ppg), Kelly Oubre Jr. (14.4), and Quentin Grimes (14.4 ppg) round out a deep rotation.
Philly is deep, but Toronto may have a more well-rounded starting five. It’s certainly one that has been strong defensively, but the beauty with the Raptors is defenses never know who to focus on.
Toronto is super balanced, with Brandon Ingram leading the charge with 21.7 points per game, but Scottie Barnes (19.3 ppg), RJ Barrett (19.6), and Immanuel Quickley (16.4) are not that far behind.
Versatile and balanced, Toronto can excel in isolation, but also is simply not afraid to spread the wealth and play team basketball. That leads to them ranking 4th in assists per game, while they always find the open man in transition, allowing them to rank #1 in transition scoring.
Both of these teams are on the slower side compared to the rest of the NBA. Philly is slightly faster (20th) in terms of pace, while the Raptors rank 23rd.
Toronto is very solid defensively. They rank 6th in scoring defense and are top-10 inside the paint and in transition. They also rank 8th in defensive efficiency.
Philly has the 10th most efficient defense. They are much stronger with big man Joel Embiid anchoring their defense. They own just the 15th-best scoring defense and are awful in transition (29th), but are elite at defending the long ball (3rd).
- Toronto’s fastbreak offense vs. Philadelphia’s fastbreak defense: This is a major mismatch. Embiid being on the floor should help, but you’re looking at the best transition offense against one of the worst.
- Philadelphia’s perimeter offense vs. Toronto’s perimeter defense: Philly doesn’t launch threes at a crazy rate, but they are about league average. They simply hit their shots (5th), however. Toronto is quite strong at defending the three (4th), though.
- Joel Embiid vs. Toronto’s interior defense: Toronto continues to be without star center Jakob Poeltl, so the Raptors really don’t have anyone to stop Embiid. His presence is big on the glass, inside, and in shot-blocking.
Philadelphia has been in solid form, winning five of their last seven games. One of those losses was by one point to the Raptors in OT, while both of their recent defeats have been by just one point.
The Sixers have also been rock solid against the spread (22-15), going 13-9 ATS as the favorite and 8-2 ATS as road favorites. The Over is also 20-17 for Philly on the year.
Toronto is coming off a win over the 76ers and have gone a solid 7-3 over their last 10 contests. Their last two losses came by a combined 11 points to Denver and Boston.
The Raptors have gone just 19-21 against the spread. They are 9-12 ATS at home on the year and just 3-3 ATS as a home underdog. The Over is just 16-24 in their games this season.
Betting Odds & Market Interpretation
Check out the latest 76ers vs. Raptors betting odds at FanDuel:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
76ers | -3.5 (-110) | -156 | Over 220.5 (-112) |
Raptors | +3.5 (-110) | +132 | Under 220.5 (-108) |
Philly is favored despite losing in this same matchup last night. The line feels a bit hefty since they’re on the second leg off a B2B and on the road.
The game total is very low. Neither offense is necessarily elite in scoring, and both defenses can be solid, however.
From a Bettor’s Lens
Philly looks like a screaming value when looking at their moneyline. They’re pretty cheap when you consider both teams are dealing with the same fatigue. This game means a bit more for Philly in regards to the standings and the season series, too.
The return of Embiid is a big boon for the Sixers, plus Toronto could still be without key players.
The game total is very low. Philly’s pace is slow compared to the top teams, but they’re not that far from being inside the top-10, and they are still inside the top-15 in points per game. Each game in this series has topped this particular Over, making the game total being a spot to exploit.
Situational Considerations
This is a pretty big game for the standings, as Philly sits behind Toronto by three games in the Atlantic Division. The Raptors also hold a 2-1 edge in the season series, and this is the last game.
Philly is weirdly better on the road (11-7) than at home, and they should be close to full strength for this contest. Toronto, meanwhile, is rock solid at home (13-8), but may not have all of their top players for this showdown.
Best Bets & Confidence Levels
| Bet | Rationale | Confidence Level |
|---|---|---|
Over 220.5 (-112) | All three games in this series have topped this Over. Toronto could be a bit shorthanded for this one, but the total still feels awfully low, and these teams have played each other relatively tightly on the year. | 8/10 |
76ers ML (-156) | Both teams played last night, but Philly gets reinforcements with Embiid back for this one. Philly badly needs this win since they’re down 2-1 in the season series, too. | 7/10 |
Tyrese Maxey Over 28+ Points (-111) | This is an absurdly low prop total for an electrifying scorer who averages over 30 points per game on the year. He’s topped this mark in seven of his last eight contests as well. | 8/10 |
76ers vs. Raptors odds continue to shift as spreads tighten and totals draw action — follow every line move, compare prices across books, and secure the best betting value at our trusted sportsbooks.
Final Score Prediction & Closing Thoughts
Final Score Prediction: Philadelphia 76ers 120, Toronto Raptors 118
The Sixers fell to this same Raptors team on Sunday in overtime, so you know they can play them well enough to get in position to win. With Joel Embiid expected back, I think he can be the difference to get them even in the season series.
Toronto has not been healthy lately, either. If they are once again missing multiple key players, the Sixers get a sizable boost. Both teams are fatigued, so the healthier team that is hungrier (Philly) looks more appealing.
Philadelphia would also drop to 3-1 in the season series with a loss here. With the teams having similar records, the Sixers should be aggressive and focused on tying things up.
In that same breath, this game has a very low total, and Maxey’s point prop total is way too low. Look for him to nuke like he often does and for this game to hit the Over.
