Zverev vs. Djokovic Prediction June 4, 2025 – Roland Garros Quarterfinal
Love him or hate him, Novak Djokovic is one of the best tennis players in the world, and this man can take the heat on and off the court. The more pressure he’s under? The better he plays.
On the other side of the Roland Garros clay will be Alexander Zverev, who has spent the last two seasons supplying Djokovic with a ton of pressure. They face off again in Paris and are basically dead even in terms of a matchup. Djokovic wants to extend his legacy, and Zverev wants to get one Grand Slam under his Adidas tennis whites. Both are playing well, and sportsbooks show how close the margins are.
Keep scrolling to see all of the details about the match, who we think will win, and the best bets if you’re wagering on it!
Match Details
- Date: Wednesday, June 4
- Time: Not before 1:00 pm ET
- Venue: Court Philippe-Chatrier, Roland Garros
- Surface: Clay
- Broadcast: TNT Sports, TruTV, HBO Max (USA); Eurosport (UK); TSN, RDS (Canada)
Betting Odds
The markets are split, but here are the latest odds via FanDuel:
Moneyline
- Novak Djokovic -116
- Alexander Zverev -105
- Total Games Over/Under: 40.5
This probably will change, so check with the books to see if there’s any movement leading up to first serve!
Head-to-Head Snapshot
Djokovic and Zverev’s stats on the court? Djokovic is ahead, but Zverev has beaten him three times, so you have to factor that in—it’s not nothing.
- Overall: Djokovic leads 8–5
- On Clay: Even at 1–1
- At Majors: Djokovic up 3–1
- Recent Trend: Zverev has taken 3 of the last 4, including a Melbourne win this year (via retirement)
Player Form & Stats
Where are these two tennis players in terms of physicality and headspace? Look below!
Novak Djokovic
- Age: 38
- This Tournament: Into his 19th French Open quarterfinal, and has 100 match wins at Roland Garros
- Last Match: Beat Norrie handily, 6-2, 6-3, 6-2
- Service Hold Rate: 91%
- Break Points Faced: 12 total, saved 10
- Fitness Notes: No lingering wrist issues. Movement has looked good through four rounds. Energy conservation has been his priority.
Alexander Zverev
- Age: 28
- French Open 2025: Advanced past Griekspoor (retired in Round 4)
- Spring Form: Runner-up in Munich, quarterfinals in Rome
- Service Hold Rate: 91% (tied with Djokovic)
- Baseline Exchange Wins: 53% in rallies over 9 shots
- Physical Notes: Zverev hasn’t had any injury timeouts, no medicals, and no drop-off in later sets. Looks like a clean slate.
Tactical Breakdown
Tennis is a tactical game, so let’s see where the two players could either overpower or fall short.
- Djokovic: He’s hands down one of the best returners in the game, and he knows how to push Zverev wide early in rallies. His depth control on clay makes him tough to open up. The longer he stays in neutral, the more he relies on shot tolerance and angles to force errors from opponents. His mental edge is excellent and always has been.
- Zverev: This man has a gorgeous serve and backs it up with really good play from the baseline. His backhand can go cross or down-the-line with no setup needed, which keeps Djokovic from dictating the direction. And recently, he’s stopped playing it safe in later sets. He’s proven he can beat Novak three times out of four, and that’s not nothing.
Best Bets
Could this be a long one? You bet. Speaking of bets, here’s where we think the smart money is!
- Over 40.5 Total Games (-110) | Both are holding serve at 91%. There won’t be a lot of breaks there, and tiebreaks or 7-5 sets feel really likely.
- Match to Go Over 3.5 Sets (-160) | They’ve only played a straight-sets match once since 2018, and that alone suggests a minimum of four sets.
- Alexander Zverev to Win (-105) | Like we said, Zverev’s won three of the last four. He’s got a monster serve, and his movement on clay (which is the slowest surface in tennis) has been the best it’s looked in years. At near even odds? There’s an upside to backing the younger player.
Zverev vs. Djokovic: Who Has the Advantage?
Djokovic has been here so many times he could probably play Roland Garros in his sleep, so that’s one advantage for him. But Zverev’s not been playing like he is on a mission to win. Serve for serve, rally for rally, they’re pretty much dead even. If it goes longer than four sets, Zverev’s youth and the fact that he’s bested Djokovic before give him the upper hand, even if it’s only a slight one.
Final Prediction
- Winner: Alexander Zverev
- Sets: Zverev in 4
- Confidence Level: Medium-High
- Betting Combo: Over 3.5 Sets + Zverev ML (small parlay or split units)
Don’t forget to check the latest odds and lines, and as always, please gamble responsibly!
