Yankees vs Royals Preview and Prediction (June 10, 2025)
The Yankees are headed to Kansas City with a 3-0 season record against the Royals and a strong performance at Kauffman Stadium dating back to 2023.
Aaron Judge is coming off yet another multi-hit performance (shocker) and is still the best slugger in both lineups, and on the other side. Bobby Witt Jr. is the offensive threat to watch out for. Kansas City’s trying to stop a five-game home skid against New York and shake off another underwhelming offensive stretch.
Below, we’ll go over the odds, main matchups, and the best bets for the game. Will it be another win for the Yanks or can KC turn things around?
Game Details
- Matchup: New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals
- Date & Time: June 10 at 7:40 pm ET
- Venue: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
- Broadcast: TBS / YES / FanDuel Sports Network
- Weather Forecast: 85°F, clear skies
Prediction Breakdown
65.8%
34.2%
According to GamblingSite.com
Team Comparison: Yankees vs. Royals
The Yankees have out-hit and outscored Kansas City in every meeting this season. Their power numbers and bullpen depth give them an edge. The Royals have pitched well, but the offense hasn’t kept up. Here’s how the two teams line up going into this series.
| Category | Yankees | Royals |
|---|---|---|
Season Record | 39‑25, +95 run differential | 19‑20, competitive but slightly under .500 |
Team Batting | .259 AVG, .344 OBP, .466 SLG, 105 HR | .253 AVG, .305 OBP, .372 SLG, 44 HR |
Team Pitching | 3.78 ERA, 1.20 WHIP | 3.31 ERA, 1.20 WHIP |
Bullpen Strength | Deep but with some injuries | Inconsistent early (ERA ~4.21), now closer to 2.77 |
Head-to-Head 2025 | 3–0 vs. Royals this year | Trying to snap out of a 4-game losing streak vs. NY |
Starting Pitchers
We’ve got two lefties pitching, but that’s where the similarities end. Fried comes with a long track record, and Cameron is only a few starts into his MLB career, but he’s had a promising beginning!
Max Fried (Yankees)
- 2025: 8–1, 1.78 ERA, 77 K, 0.94 WHIP in 81 IP
- Six shutout innings vs. Cleveland in his last start
- Mixes seven pitches with excellent command; he forces hitters to swing outside the zone
- Four-seam fastball ranks near the top of the league in placement and spin
Noah Cameron (Royals)
- 2025: 2–1, 0.85 ERA, 19 K, 0.79 WHIP in 31.2 IP
- Nearly no-hit Tampa Bay in his debut; hasn’t allowed more than two runs in a start
- Low-80s changeup is his go-to. It creates separation from the fastball and gets weak contact
- Has kept walk totals down and worked ahead consistently in early counts
Key Players to Watch
Judge is putting up historic numbers, and Witt is Kansas City’s most dependable hitter.
Aaron Judge (Yankees)
Judge enters hitting .396 with 59 runs scored and a 1.264 OPS. He leads the league in average and ranks near the top in homers and hits. Pitchers have not been able to keep him off base or limit extra-base contact.
Bobby Witt Jr. (Royals)
Witt is batting .288 with 21 steals and is the most consistent presence in the Royals’ order. He’s delivered at the top of the lineup with hits, pressure on the bases, and steady production over the last few weeks.
Betting Odds and Trends
Betting on this one? Here are the latest odds courtesy of Caesars:
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total Runs |
|---|---|---|---|
Yankees | -1.5 (-120) | -195 | Over 8.5 (+100) |
Royals | +1.5 (+100) | +162 | Under 8.5 (-115) |
Betting Trends
The totals and spread records show some contrast between the two teams based on the venue and pitching patterns.
- Total Trends: Yankees games have stayed under more often because of strong starting performances and limited scoring on both sides. Royals home games have pushed above the total more frequently due to late-inning scoring.
- Against the Spread (ATS): Kansas City is 19–13 ATS on the road and regularly outperforms expectations in closer games. The Yankees are 18–15 ATS away, covering slightly above break-even but without big margins.
Our Best Bets
We’ve looked at all of the stats and here are what we feel are the three best bets for this game:
- Yankees Moneyline (–136): New York has taken five of its last six at Kauffman and has been really reliable on the road. Fried is starting, and the Royals are producing limited offense, which puts the Yankees in a favorable position.
- Under 8.5 Runs: Both clubs have hit the under on the reg in the past few weeks. Fried doesn’t give up much, and Cameron has kept hitters in check during his first few starts.
- Player Prop: Aaron Judge Total Bases Over 2.5: Judge always hits with insane power and efficiency. He’s seeing pitches early and pouncing on mistakes, which makes this number realistic if he gets a couple of good looks!
Last Pitch: Where to Put Your Money
Max Fried has the upper hand against Noah Cameron based on workload, command, and experience. New York has beaten Kansas City five times at Kauffman Stadium and is 3–0 in the season series. That combo points toward value on the Yankees side tonight!
Final Score Prediction: Yankees 5 – Royals 2
This projects as a lower-scoring game, and Fried is expected to go at least six innings and limit Kansas City’s lineup. Cameron has pitched into the sixth in each of his first three starts and hasn’t allowed more than two runs in any of them.
Both bullpens have been solid over the past two weeks, and that reinforces the under. Offensively, the Yankees have the advantage, and Judge is a solid prop option; he’s gotten to multiple bases in 7 of his last 10 games!
