Golden State Warriors vs. San Antonio Spurs Prediction (November 14, 2025)
The Golden State Warriors will aim to build a winning streak on Friday night, where they will be +120 road underdogs against the San Antonio Spurs.
Fans witnessed an epic battle filled with triple-doubles and hot shooting just two days ago between these two teams, and Golden State will face off with San Antonio yet again in an encore.
The Dubs have battled back against a brutal schedule to begin the year, while the Spurs will hope to hold down the fort at home. Logic does back the Spurs in front of their home crowd, while the aging Warriors will need everything they’ve got to steal this game.
Need some help deciding which bet to target in this game? Join me as I take a look at the latest odds and comb through key matchups en route to a Warriors vs. Spurs prediction, along with my preferred picks.
Game Details
- Matchup: Golden State Warriors (7-6) vs. San Antonio Spurs (8-3)
- Date & Time: Friday, November 14th, at 9:30 pm CT
- Venue: Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, TX
- How to Watch: Amazon Prime Video
Early Season Performance & Trends
Golden State Warriors
Everyone knew going into the 2025-25 NBA season that Golden State was up against it, as their schedule had them hitting the road eight times in their first 14 games. That onslaught is only getting worse, as Friday’s tilt is game three in a brutal six-game stretch away from home.
Despite the rough sledding, the Warriors have kept their heads above water at 7-6. Stephen Curry has battled a recent illness, but the team has largely avoided major injury and has weathered the storm while playing borderline top-10 defense.
Golden State’s offense hasn’t been very consistent, but they have the framework to produce at a higher level in that regard going forward.
San Antonio Spurs
The Spurs have made a sizable jump compared to last year, as they are off to a nice 8-3 start through their first 11 games. The team was 8-2 before falling to the Dubs in their last outing, with the team wasting a 31-point triple-double from superstar big man, Victor Wembanyama.
San Antonio is getting healthy, however, as they just got starting point guard De’Aaron Fox back in the lineup for the first time this year. Now at full strength, an already stellar Spurs team should continue pushing themselves to new heights, with the best record in the conference within striking distance.
Head‑to‑Head / Historical Context
The Warriors and Spurs have faced off 190 times during the regular season, with San Antonio holding a commanding 117-73 edge in the series.
Golden State just won the first meeting of the year 125-120 on Wednesday night, and will aim to take a 2-0 series lead. The Spurs had the upper hand (2-1) last year, while the Dubs claimed the series (3-1) the year prior.
Key Matchup Breakdown
Golden State’s offense is typically spread out and balanced, but rather perimeter-based. It lacks any reliable interior scoring and relies on Stephen Curry to work his magic from long range.
Curry has obliged, pouring in a commendable 27 points per game despite not being at 100% in recent games. He’s fresh off a huge 46-point outburst that downed these very Spurs, and his hot shooting spearheads a more than capable attack that connects from outside at the fourth-best rate in the league.
Jimmy Butler chips in with a strong intermediate game (19 ppg), while the team has gotten a lift from forward Jonathan Kuminga as well. Their team-first playing style has led to the third most assists per game, while the team is converting (7th) when they get to the charity stripe.
Improved interior scoring and better overall efficiency are areas the Dubs can address as the season wears on, but as things stand they are an inconsistent but respectable offensive team.
Wemby is the driving force behind the Spurs, who dropped their first home game of the year on Wednesday to this same Warriors team.
San Antonio has been on top of it on their home floor, while just one of their three losses has gotten away from them. They’ve been quite reliant on a stellar defense, but the offense (10th in scoring) is still about as good as anyone.
The Spurs are inside the top-10 when it comes to scoring inside, while they are looking for easy buckets and scoring effectively in transition (7th in fastbreak points scored per game).
San Antonio’s assists numbers aren’t great, but the return of Fox should give their overall offensive numbers a boost. Fox himself can set up the offense, but he and Stephon Castle working together allows for more isolation scoring and mid-range shooting.
One point of weakness continues to be the team’s outside shooting. If the team can boost their perimeter game, they could be an extremely tough team to defend.
Both of these teams play top-shelf defense. Golden State traded for Jimmy Butler last year with a boost in defensive impact in mind, and it’s gone according to plan with the Dubs ranking 10th in defensive efficiency.
Golden State is middle of the pack in the NBA in terms of pace, and fewer possessions tend to help their defensive numbers. The team is limiting the opposition to just 115 points per game, while they are especially effective on the break and limiting free trips to the charity stripe.
San Antonio has been the better defensive team by the numbers, as they enter this showdown ranked 6th in defensive efficiency and 4th in points allowed per game.
The Spurs are an even slower-paced team than the Dubs (20th), while they rank inside the top-5 in fastbreak points allowed, points in the paint, and rebounding.
- Steph Curry vs. Spurs Perimeter D: Chef Curry just showed us two days ago what he can do in this exact matchup, while the Spurs aren’t exactly stifling outside shooters (27th). Curry could very well go off again.
- Wemby vs. Golden State’s Interior Offense: The Warriors would be wise to simply avoid the shot-blocking ace. They aren’t really equipped to bang down low, anyway, but the inability to go get a slew of easy layups is a bit restricting to their overall offensive upside.
- Spurs’ Mid-Range Game vs. Warriors’ D: Golden State plays tight defense on the outside and is tough down low, so the Spurs need to hit their mid-range shots. They do have two isolation scorers who thrive there, and Wemby is matchup proof, so it’s a spot the Spurs could have an edge in.
As noted, the Dubs have played on the road a ton this year, and only more games away from home are coming. They stole a wild game two nights ago, but doing the same thing again in the same building could prove difficult.
Golden State may not be at 100% for this game, either. Forward Jonathan Kuminga is banged up and is questionable to play. Even Steph Curry, who has been battling an illness, is technically questionable, although he has stated he will try to play.
Betting Odds & Market Interpretation
Check out the latest Warriors vs. Spurs betting odds at FanDuel:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | +2.5 (-110) | +118 | Over 234.5 (-110) |
Spurs | -2.5 (-110) | -138 | Under 234.5 (-110) |
What the Market Suggests
The market indicates the Spurs are the slightly better team, and they get a boost due to this game being played on their home floor. That said, the Spurs vs. Warriors odds are tight, which shows a clear respect for Golden State – not just for them as a team, but probably because they won in this same matchup on Wednesday.
The game total likely stems from the last meeting, which was a wild 125-120 shootout, while it basically mirrors a combination of both teams’ scoring averages on the year.
From a Bettor’s Lens
Golden State feels like a trap here. They have been bogged down by a brutal schedule, and Wednesday’s loss was San Antonio’s first at home. The Spurs are the better defensive team and a bit more cohesive on offense at the moment.
The game total also feels misleading. It’s not really factoring in the slow paces and defensive aptitude for both sides.
Situational Considerations
These teams faced off on Wednesday. The familiarity and a second game at home favor the Spurs.
Golden State has also had a much more difficult schedule to this point, while the statuses of both Kuminga and Curry will be worth monitoring before finalizing your bets.
Best Bets & Confidence Levels
| Bet | Recommendation | Confidence Level |
|---|---|---|
Under 234.5 (-110) | The last meeting topped this mark easily, but when you factor in pace and defensive ability from both sides, a slower, lower-scoring game stands out. We’re probably getting value on a total that feels a tad too high. | 7/10 |
Spurs -138 | The Dubs stole game one, but the Spurs have done well in this series over the past two years, and they’ve been very tough at home. It feels unlikely they’re going to drop two in a row in front of their home fans. | 7/10 |
Golden State Warriors vs. San Antonio Spurs odds can shift fast — track line movement, compare spreads, and secure the best number before tip-off at the best sports betting sites.
Final Score Prediction & Closing Thoughts
Final Score Prediction: Spurs 112, Warriors 110
NBA fans should still brace for a pretty tense game on Friday, as the Warriors can still shoot the lights out from long range and won’t want to drop back down to .500.
Still, the Spurs feel like the more complete team right now, and they’ve been tough to beat on their home floor. Look for them to respond in this one, evening the regular season series, and pushing them back into the #1 seed conversation.
Golden State should keep it close and is an OK bet against the spread. Messing with 2.5-point spreads is just dicey and not something I’d suggest. Instead, hammer the Under, as the defense and pace in this one don’t really suggest a second straight high-scoring affair.
