Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction (June 29, 2025)
Detroit right-hander Casey Mize didn’t finish the seventh inning, but as he handed the ball to manager A.J. Hinch and walked off the hill at Comerica Park, he got a standing ovation from the crowd. Mize tipped his cap in response, acknowledging the fans.
His outing helped lead the Tigers to a 10–5 win over the Twins on Saturday, and the win snapped an eight-game Saturday losing streak. It marked Detroit’s first Saturday win since April 26, when they swept a doubleheader against the Orioles.
Mize had some help; The Tigers (52–32) had four home runs across four straight innings: Carpenter in the third, Torres in the fourth, Greene in the fifth, and McKinstry in the sixth. Without that stretch? They wouldn’t have won.
The win also sets up a tiebreaker in the three-game series, and Tarik Skubal is set to start for the Tigers in Sunday night’s finale. Chris Paddack will be on the mound for the Twins.
Can Minnesota clap back on Sunday? Or will Detroit smack them around again? Look below for the game details, stats, betting odds, and our picks for the best bets!
Game Details
- Matchup: Minnesota Twins (40-43) vs. Detroit Tigers (52-32)
- Date & Time: Sunday, June 29 at 7:10 pm ET
- Venue: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
- How To Watch: ESPN (Sunday Night Baseball national broadcast)
- Weather: Game night temps will be in the low‑80s, and then drop into the upper‑60s; clear skies, no rain is forecasted
Prediction Breakdown
33.3%
66.7%
According to GamblingSite.com
Series Context & Recap
What’s happened so far in this series? Look below!
The series is tied up at 1–1. Minnesota took the opener 4–1 on Friday, and Detroit took it 10–5 on Saturday. The series wraps Sunday night!
The Tigers got four homers in game 2 (McKinstry, Greene, Carpenter, and Torres); Casey Mize had one of his best outings; the Twins’ Bailey Ober gave up six earned runs and was yanked before the fourth inning was over.
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
Sunday night’s finale features left-hander Tarik Skubal taking the hill for Detroit against right-hander Chris Paddack for Minnesota.
- Tigers’ Starter – Tarik Skubal (LHP): Skubal is 9–2 with a 2.29 ERA and 125 strikeouts in 102 innings. At Comerica Park, opponents are hitting just .185 against him. In his last start, he gave up two runs over six innings in a win against the Phillies.
- Twins’ Starter – Chris Paddack (RHP): Paddack enters at 3–6 with a 4.64 ERA. He’s been hit hard lately, allowing 17 earned runs over his last 14.2 innings. This will be his first career start at Comerica Park!
Team Form & Trends
Detroit wants to keep its standing in the AL Central, and Minnesota is trying to get outta town with a series win. Here’s how they’ve been playing:
Detroit Tigers
The Tigers are 28–14 at Comerica and sit as the heavy favorites (-280 ML). Their rotation continues to be an asset, with Skubal posting one of the lowest ERAs in the league and Mize pitching like an ace in his last two outings.
Minnesota Twins
After a win on Friday, Minnesota couldn’t keep up on Saturday and gave up 10 runs. Their starters have had issues containing lineups with extra-base power, and Paddack’s recent outings certainly haven’t helped. Offensively, they’re averaging 4.3 runs per game and rank in the middle third of the league in isolated power.
Latest Betting Odds
Before you bet, you need to know what the latest odds and lines are! Here they are according to DraftKings:
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total Runs |
|---|---|---|---|
Twins | +1.5 (+101) | +227 | Over 7 (-110) |
Tigers | -1.5 (-123) | -288 | Under 7 (-110) |
Our Best Bets
This matchup is leaning hard toward pitching value, but there is room for a power prop and strikeout angle; it all depends on how long the starters stay in! Here are our four picks for your best bets:
1. Tigers ML (–280) – Confidence: 4/5
Skubal enters with one of the lowest ERAs in baseball, and Detroit wins nearly 70% of the time when they’re favored at this level. Paddack has allowed 17 earned runs over his last three starts.
2. Under 7.5 Total Runs – Confidence: 3.5/5
The total opened low and still holds value. Skubal has allowed two runs or fewer in five straight outings. If Paddack keeps the ball in the park? This stays under. Betting models give the under a 58% hit rate.
3. Riley Greene – Anytime HR – Confidence: 3/5
Greene homered on Saturday and has hit .545 at Comerica this month. He faces a right-hander with a rising HR rate and not a lot of success against southpaw batters.
4. Tarik Skubal – Over 6.0 K – Confidence: 3/5
Skubal has struck out 7+ in three of his last four starts and averages over a strikeout per inning. If he pitches into the sixth? This prop has a strong shot!
Our Final Take & Score Forecast
The main advantage on Sunday night? Detroit’s starting pitching. Tarik Skubal has allowed two runs or less in five straight starts, and Minnesota has given up 23 combined runs over its last two games.
And after scoring 10 runs on 13 hits Saturday, which included four home runs, the Tigers head into the finale with way more stability on both sides of the ball!
Final Score Prediction: Detroit Tigers 5, Minnesota Twins 3
Skubal handles six innings, Detroit builds a lead by the middle frames, and the bullpen holds it to close out the series!
