Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever Preview & Prediction (August 26, 2025)
Thoughts are flying on whether the Indiana Fever will be able to handle the storm in Indianapolis without star Caitlin Clark and veteran Chloe Bibby. The Seattle Storm, on the other hand, has proven very capable with their balanced attack. It has seen three victories in its last three games compared to the Indiana Fever’s single victory in its last three games.
Wins at this stage are crucial for both teams because of the playoff line. It gets even more crucial for the Indiana Fever, as the team enters the game tied for the final two playoff spots. And a win in this game will help the team stay above .500.
The Indiana Fever will not have it easy, as the Seattle Storm will hope to solidify its lead in the game. The best betting approach would be to consider close spreads and a high total. We can also look forward to some intriguing prop opportunities.
Game Overview and Context
- Matchup: Seattle Storm (20–18) vs. Indiana Fever (19–18)
- Date & Time: Tuesday, August 26 at 7:00 pm ET
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
- How to Watch: CBSSN, FanDuel Sports Network, Indiana KOMO-TV, WNBA League Pass
Season Context
The Seattle Storm has the better momentum as it comes into the game with back-to-back road wins. However, we don’t expect an easy win for the team. The Indiana Fever will fight hard to protect its home court, even with the roster disruptions.
Narrative Angle
The Indiana Fever roster has the hunger, even with the disruptions. But whether that hunger will be enough to stop the Seattle Storm in its tracks is where we have doubts. That’s because the Storm’s veteran leadership from Ogwumike and Loye still has the upper hand.
You can expect an intense game with that faceoff. And let’s not forget that both teams are still hunting for seeding.
Line & Odds Snapshot (via DraftKings)
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Storm | -3.5 (-115) | -185 | Over 168.5 (-110) |
Fever | +3.5 (-105) | +154 | Under 168.5 (-110) |
Market Movement Notes
- Early bettors leaned more towards Storm. As such, the spread moved from a pick’em to -1.5 on August 25.
- The total opened at 162. However, it was bet up to 163.5/164 across books in August 2025. On August 26, it moved up further to 168.5, signaling expectations of offense.
Takeaway from the market movement: The market movement means that the bookmakers expect a tight game in Indianapolis. However, the Seattle Storm has the slight edge. As for a shootout, there is moderate confidence in that happening.
Analytics & Insights
Win Probability: ESPN predictor → Storm 55.9%, Fever 44.1%.
- Head-to-head trends: Storm leads in this category, having won 6 of their last 10 encounters. The team has also covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 matches against Fever, signaling a high probability of covering the spread again.
- Scoring trends: The Seattle Storm has averaged 83.7 PPG in their last five games. Fever, on the other hand, has allowed 88.4 PPG in their last four losses.
- Pace Factor: We can expect inflated totals in both regards, as both teams have proven to play faster than the league average.
- Betting systems/trends:
- The Fever are 7–1 ATS in their last 8 home games as underdogs of 4 points or fewer.
- Storm are 5–2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Player & Team Form
Indiana Fever
The key players for the Fever are Kelsey Mitchell and Aliyah Boston. Kelsey has averaged 21.5 PPG in her last five games. She has also shot 38% from three.
Aliyah, on the other hand, remains capable with her reliable interior presence. However, she will likely be vulnerable when dealing with the Storm’s spacing approach.
When it comes to strengths, the Indiana Fever have remarkable offensive power at home. The team will also benefit from Mitchchell’s consistency in their past games. However, their defensive breakdowns and leaky perimeter defense remain a grave concern for the team.
Caitlin Clark remains out, and the guard depth is still thin. The Seattle Storm might capitalize on these weak points.
Seattle Storm
We expect intense action from Nneka Ogwumike and Jewell Loyd, both of whom remain the star players to watch out for in this clash. Nneka joins the game fresh off a 30-point outing and has averaged 18.9 PPG this season.
Loyd is a veteran scorer. Her experience and steady hand late in games will be crucial to exploiting the Fever’s weaknesses.
Overall, the Seattle Storm has balanced scoring across starters. Their defense is also steady and formidable enough to hold back the Indiana fever. However, the team has shown its weakness in going cold from deep. It also has turnover issues in fast-paced games.
Best Bets and Confidence Levels
| Bet | Confidence Level | Why Do We Like It? |
|---|---|---|
Storm –185 | ⭐⭐⭐ (Medium-High) | Storm has more depth, a healthier roster, a momentum edge, and veteran leadership. |
Storm –3.5 (–115) | ⭐⭐½ (Medium) | Line movement favors Seattle, while Indiana struggles vs. elite frontcourts. |
Over 168.5 (-110) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (High) | Both teams are trending high-scoring. But Fever’s defense is vulnerable, and with the Storm averaging 85+ on the road, we can expect high totals. |
Kelsey Mitchell Over 20.5 points | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (High) | She is the primary scorer and volume shooter. We will also see heavy usage with Clark out. |
Alt Spread/Value Bet | Storm –3.5 (+120) | ⭐⭐ (Lower, value play) | If Seattle maintains recent form, they can win by multiple possessions. |
Before placing your bets on the Storm vs. Fever game, review the latest odds and betting lines—things can change quickly. For the best value, use one of our top-rated sports betting sites.
Additional Talking Points
The game has playoff implications for both teams. Any team that loses risks slipping in the standings.
While the Seattle Storm has the advantage due to its veteran composure, the Fever’s home-court crowd energy is something the team will have to deal with.
On the coaching end, the Seattle Storm has been stable compared to the Indiana Fever. Coach Stephanie White is known to adjust rotations, an approach that may leave the Indiana Fever wanting.
The Indiana Fever has a depleted second unit. However, we still have to consider the Storm’s bench production and its capacity to outscore the Fever.
Storm Surge or Fever Fire?
Final Score Prediction: Seattle Storm 87 – Indiana Fever 81
We will see more stability, depth, and momentum from the Seattle Storm. These will be crucial in exploiting the Indiana Fever’s vulnerable defense and reliance on Mitchell, whose points may not be enough.
Based on the Storm’s recent performance, the total points lean strongly over. Our best bets are Storm ML and Over 168.5.
