Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream Prediction & Best Bets (September 3, 2025)
We’ve hit the final stretch of the WNBA regular season, and Wednesday night’s Sparks–Dream game is important for both teams!
Los Angeles is 19–20, and sitting just outside the playoff cut line, so they need every win to keep up with Indiana and Washington. Atlanta is 26–14 and can still get as high as the No. 2 seed if they close out strong.
The Sparks just beat Seattle 91–85 behind an insane 27-point, 11-rebound performance from Dearica Hamby. That kind of output has kept LA in it, but their defense is still a liability; they’ve given up 85+ points in four of their last five games. Atlanta is coming in on a 7–3 stretch, and that’s been built on holding teams under 75 in four of their last six. Cheyenne Parker is absolutely owning the glass, and Allisha Gray has given steady scoring from the perimeter.
Who do we have for this one? Keep reading for the team forms, recent results, stats, current betting odds, analysis, and our picks for the three best bets!
Game Details
- Matchup: Los Angeles Sparks (19-20) vs. Atlanta Dream (26-14)
- Date & Time: Wednesday, September 3, at 7:30 pm ET
- Venue: Gateway Center Arena, College Park, GA
- How to Watch: ESPN+, WNBA League Pass, or locally on SPEC SN (Atlanta regional network) and WPCH
- Records: Sparks: 19–20 (11–8 on the road); Dream: 26–14 (13–6 at home)
Context & Stakes
Los Angeles is in survival mode. They’re under .500 and sitting right on the edge of the playoff cut line, so every single possession counts. Atlanta’s focus is different, as they’ve already built up a cushion and are gearing up for a deep run, and their defense is top-tier. Because this is the last regular-season meeting, it’s also a test of how these two match up if and when they cross paths again in the postseason!
Team Form & Recent Results
The Sparks are trying to take advantage of Hamby’s scoring, and the Dream are depending on defense to stay close to the top of the standings.
Los Angeles Sparks
- They knocked off Seattle 91–85, marking their third win in the last five games.
- Dearica Hamby was at the top of her game with 27 points and 11 rebounds.
- The offense has been clicking, but they’ve still allowed 85+ in four of their last five.
Atlanta Dream
- Atlanta is 7–3 across their last 10, and its defense is driving those results.
- Four of their last six opponents have been held below 75 points.
- Cheyenne Parker anchors the inside game, and Allisha Gray adds scoring on the wing.
Head-to-Head Performance
- Season Series: Atlanta leads 2–1.
- Last Meeting: The Dream won 83–74 on July 18.
- Last 5 Results: Atlanta is 4–1 straight up and against the spread; LA is 1–4 SU / 1–4 ATS.
- The Sparks have had some problems generating offense against Atlanta’s defensive looks.
Notable H2H Trends
- Total points have gone Under in 7 of the last 10 head-to-head games.
- The Dream have had the advantage on the boards; they are finishing ahead in rebounds in all of the past three matchups.
Statistical Matchup Breakdown
If you’re lining this game up against the spread, the stats highlight why Atlanta is laying points: they defend and rebound at a higher level, and LA tries to offset that by being efficient on offense.
| Category | Sparks | Dream |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 86.0 | 83.7 |
Points Allowed | 87.9 | 77.1 🔒 |
FG % | 46.2% | 43.9% |
Rebounds | 33.2 | 36.3 🔄 |
Assists | 20.7 | 21.0 |
Turnovers | 14.9 | 13.1 |
Analysis
Atlanta’s advantage comes from defense; they give up more than 10 points per game than LA. The Sparks do have a better shooting percentage, but tend to get hurt on the boards, which gives opponents more chances. Turnovers could be the deciding factor here, as the Dream averaged almost two fewer per game.
Betting Odds & Lines
Wanna put some scratch on this game? We’ve got the latest odds and lines courtesy of FanDuel:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Sparks | +7 (-110) | +240 | Over 168.5 (-110) |
Dream | -7 (-110) | -310 | Under 168.5 (-110) |
Betting Analysis
If you’re looking at this game from a betting perspective, the spread looks the clearest, the moneyline isn’t offering a lot, and the total looks like the hardest call to pin down of the three!
Point Spread: Dream –7
- Atlanta has covered 9 of their last 12 at home.
- LA has had a hard time cashing tickets against teams with great defenses.
- Angle: The Dream –7 has value, especially if they control Hamby inside.
Moneyline: Dream –310
- At this price? It’s only useful as a parlay piece.
- LA has its moments, but they haven’t shown us enough consistency to justify backing them as the road dog.
Total: Under 162.5 (Now is 168.5)
- Atlanta home games that have a slower tempo usually land Under.
- LA’s so-so defense has pushed some of their games Over, but the Dream are more likely to drag this into a half-court battle.
- Angle: Lean Under unless both sides unexpectedly speed up.
Our Best Bets
Time for our picks! We have narrowed this one down to the three bets that offer the best value on the board in this battle.
| Bet | Confidence Level | Why Do We Like It? |
|---|---|---|
Dream -7 (-110) | 7/10 | Atlanta has been really strong at home and matches up well defensively with LA. |
Under 168.5 (–110) | 6/10 | Hamby is taking plenty of shots, but Parker’s interior defense makes it harder to clear this line. |
Dearica Hamby Over 18.5 pts (-110) | 5/10 | If Seattle maintains recent form, they can win by multiple possessions. |
The Dream vs. The Sparks: Where Our Money’s Going Tonight
Final Score Prediction: Atlanta Dream 84 – Los Angeles Sparks 73
Best Bet: The Dream –7 sets up as the strongest wager, and the Under 162.5 is worth a look.
Atlanta has a lot more at stake with playoff seeding still in play, and they’ve shown they can control games with defense and rebounding. The Sparks can put up points, but their lapses on the defensive end when they’re on the road make it hard to trust them in this spot, so we are banking on Atlanta to pull this one out.
Cheyenne Parker and Allisha Gray both look primed to own this game, and Atlanta’s overall balance should carry them through to a win.
Best Bets Recap
- Dream –7: (Confidence 7/10)
- Under 168.5: (Confidence 6/10)
- Hamby Over 18.5 Points: (Confidence 5/10)
With the Sparks fighting for playoff survival and the Dream pushing for a top seed, odds can move fast before tip-off. Check the latest betting lines and secure the best value by using one of our top-rated sports betting sites.
