Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces Picks & Prediction (May 30, 2025)
The WNBA is finally getting the attention it deserves! Ok, so this game doesn’t have Caitlin Clark or Angel Reese, but they aren’t the only two stars in the league. The Sparks vs. Aces a big draw for fans, and Las Vegas is back at home after a surprising loss, and they’ll try to reset without some of their important names in the lineup. The Sparks are also coming a rough one and haven’t really found their feet when they’re on the road.
Injuries are a big factor on both teams, and that makes this matchup harder to call than it would be under normal circumstances. Las Vegas is still favored, but they have some missing pieces, and the gap isn’t as wide as it looks on paper. Can the Aces cover the spread with a short bench, or is this a chance for L.A. to win one?
Game Details
- Matchup: Los Angeles Sparks (2–4) vs. Las Vegas Aces (2–2)
- Date & Time: Friday, May 30, at 10:00 ET
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV
- Broadcast: ION
Team Comparison
The Sparks and Aces both are coming off losses and missing important players, but their situations aren’t the same. Below is how they compare going into the game.
Los Angeles Sparks
- Record: 2–4 (1–1 away)
- Last Game: Lost to Atlanta Dream 88–82
- Key Player: Kelsey Plum – 25.2 PPG, 5.5 APG
Plum has been their most reliable option, handling scoring and distribution through the early part of the season.
Injuries
- Rae Burrell (G) – Out
- Cameron Brink (F) – Out
Las Vegas Aces
- Record: 2–2 (1–0 home)
- Last Game: Lost to Seattle Storm 102–82
- Key Player: A’ja Wilson – 20.8 PPG, 10.8 RPG
Wilson leads by example; she puts up points, cleans the glass, and holds it down with the defense.
Injuries
- Megan Gustafson (C) – Out
- Cheyenne Parker-Tyus (F) – Out
Betting Odds
Here’s what the latest odds and lines are according to DraftKings:
- Spread: Aces -9.5
- Total Points (O/U): 164.5
- Moneyline: Aces -500, Sparks +360
Analysis & Insights
Las Vegas is still up as the favorite, and predictive models are giving them a 77% chance to win. But with players out on both sides, there’s more uncertainty than the number suggests.
The Sparks are putting up 81.8 points per game, slightly ahead of the Aces, who are averaging 80.5. Both teams can score, but defense and depth could be tested because of the injured main players.
How well each team adjusts, like with shorter rotations, will decide how close this one is. The Aces have the advantage from a numbers standpoint, but that margin gets smaller without a full lineup.
Best Bets
Plenty of unknowns with the injuries, but there are still a few angles worth targeting if you’re betting this one. Here’s what we like in terms of best bets!
- Aces -9.5 Spread – Las Vegas has played really well at home and still has enough depth to create separation. The Sparks are thin up front, and if the Aces get out in front early, a double-digit win is not out of reach.
- Under 164.5 Total Points There are scorers on both teams, but with rotations shortened and less reliable options off the bench, it could be a lower-tempo game. The number’s pretty high for a matchup that’s missing key players.
- First Half: Aces -5 – Vegas busts out of the gate when they’re on home court after a loss. Backing them to cover the early line makes a lot of sense with how the Sparks have looked in the opening quarters on the road.
Bottom Line: Sparks vs. Aces Best Bet Recap
Our Final Score Prediction: Las Vegas Aces 86, Los Angeles Sparks 74
The Aces are back at home and want to get back on track after a hard loss. They’ve been solid on their own floor and still have the parts to handle a short-handed Sparks squad. L.A. hasn’t shown a lot of stability yet when they’re away from home, and they’re missing important contributors again heading into this game.
Injuries are affecting both sides, which makes betting angles a little less clear-cut. But based on how each roster has handled their recent setbacks, we think that Vegas is in a better spot to come out on top.
