Aryna Sabalenka vs. Coco Gauff Prediction (June 7, 2025) – Roland Garros Women’s Final
And then there were two. Facing off in the French Open finals are the No. 1 and 2 tennis players in the world, Aryna Sabalenka and Coco Gauff.
Neither player has claimed the La Coupe des Mousquetaires, and both want that trophy and the Grand Slam title. But who wants it more? And which one will be Queen of the Roland Garros clay? We are gonna break it all down for you and give you our best bets for the Women’s Final!
Match Details
- Event: 2025 French Open Women’s Singles Final
- Date: Saturday, June 7
- Start Time: 3:00 pm local time (9:00 am ET)
- Venue: Court Philippe-Chatrier, Roland Garros
- Broadcast: : TNT Sports, Discovery+
Match Overview
No matter who wins, this is going to be some good tennis. No. 1 vs. No. 2? One of these women is going to get her first French Open title!
- The first French Open final meeting between Aryna Sabalenka and Coco Gauff
- Sabalenka (No. 1) comes in hot after defeating three-time champ Iga Świątek in the semis
- Gauff (No. 2) is chasing her second career Grand Slam after winning the 2023 US Open
- Head-to-head is dead even: 5-5—no clear edge, no mental advantage
- Sabalenka has never won in Paris, but this is her third Slam final in two years
- Gauff returns to the Roland Garros final after falling short here in 2022
- Expect a ton of baseline exchanges, huge first serves, and long rallies
- Emotions play a big role in finals. Sabalenka and Gauff kill the ball, but the latter has been historically calmer in important points
Head-to-Head Snapshot
- Total Meetings: 10
- Record: Tied at 5-5
- Recent Encounter: Sabalenka beat Gauff in straight sets at the 2025 Madrid Open Final
- Grand Slam Finals: Gauff is ahead 1-0; she beat Sabalenka in the 2023 US Open Final
Player Insights
The final pits two very different clay-court approaches against each other. Sabalenka has a lot of raw power and first-strike aggression, and Gauff does too! But Coco also relies on court coverage, anticipates defensive hits, and has the ability to drag out points.
Aryna Sabalenka
- Current Ranking: World No. 1
- 2025 Grand Slam Results: Finalist at the Australian Open; now in her second Slam final of the year
- Last Match: Beat Iga Świątek in straight sets, breaking Świątek’s 26-match French Open win streak
- Clay Court Record (2025): Strong overall, including a Madrid title and multiple deep tournament runs
- Game Style: Heavy power from both wings, aggressive return game, big-serving
- Headspace Going In: Still after her first Roland Garros title, but her confidence looks solid after she won the semifinal
Coco Gauff
- Current Ranking: World No. 2
- 2025 Grand Slam Results: First Slam final this year; second career final in Paris
- Last Match: Took out Loïs Boisson in a little over an hour in straight sets, 6–1, 6–2
- Clay Court Record (2025): Reliable all spring with solid results and no major dips
- Game Style: Speed, defense, and consistency from the baseline; serve has gotten much better
- Headspace Going In: Already a Grand Slam champion, focused and composed in high-pressure moments
Betting Odds
If you’re putting some money down on the Women’s Final, here are the latest odds and lines courtesy of DraftKings:
| Team | Spread (Games) | Moneyline | Total Games |
|---|---|---|---|
Aryna Sabalenka | -3.5 (-105) | -200 | Over 22.5 (-105) |
Coco Gauff | +3.5 (-130) | +150 | Under 22.5 (-130) |
Best Bets
A lot could happen between these two powerhouses, but here is what we think are your best bets for the Women’s Final:
- Sabalenka to Win (-200) | Sabalenka beat Gauff in straight sets weeks ago in Madrid, 6–4, 6–3, and she used heavy kick serves and early ball-striking to take time away. She backed that up by dismantling Świątek, who until now owned the clay at Garros, by pinning her behind the baseline. Unless her error count suddenly spikes? Sabalenka should be able to control most of the rallies.
- Over 22.5 Total Games (-105) | Five of their last seven matches have gone over this number. Even in two-setters, they push into longer games with extended deuces, tough holds, and 7–5 or 7–6 scorelines. Gauff’s ability to neutralize pace and chase down wide angles forces Sabalenka to work for every single hold. A three-set match wouldn’t surprise us at all.
- Sabalenka to Win 2-1 (+260) | This will not be a blowout. Gauff’s return game has been great during the whole tournament; she’s broken serve in over 45% of her return games at Roland Garros this year. She’ll most likely get a set if Sabalenka’s first serve wobbles or her aggression causes her to overhit. But over the course of three sets, Sabalenka’s heavier game should wear Gauff down.
Betting Strategy
If you look at how Sabalenko and Gauff have been playing recently and they’re competitive history, a combo of bets could be a triple threat:
- Primary Bet: Sabalenka to Win (-200)
- Value Bet: Sabalenka to Win 2-1 (+260)
- Over/Under Bet: Over 22.5 Total Games (-105)
Sabalenka vs. Gauff: What to Expect
Sabalenka enters this final coming off the biggest win of her clay season. She won in straight sets over Świątek, held serve under pressure, and hit through one of the best defenders in the game. She’s been flattening out her forehand, sticking her backhand crosscourt so it lands deep, and putting herself in position to finish off points early.
Gauff hasn’t been up against the same level of play on her way through the draw, but she’s done her job and then some, winning in straight sets, moving really well, and avoiding the extended matches that have worn her out in the past. Her serve is holding up better than it did in previous Slams, and she’s been way more disciplined with her forehand, cutting back on errors from that side. Coco has always been a fighter!
Our Final Match Prediction
– Aryna Sabalenka def. Coco Gauff 2-1 in sets
Sabalenka’s power gives her the advantage, but Gauff’s defense and discipline will make her earn every point. This one’s not ending in two sets.
From a betting perspective, Sabalenka is priced at -200 for good reason; she has the heavier game and has been more battle-tested in big-match moments this season. But Gauff’s defense and fight might make this a long match.
We’d say that the best angle is probably the Over 22.5 games (-105), especially if Gauff stretches one set into a tiebreak or forces a third. Sabalenka 2–1 (+260) also has value if you think Gauff can stay in rallies long enough to take a set, but not the match.
It’s gonna be a physical, emotional final with long baseline exchanges and pressure on every hold. Sabalenka will try to hit on her terms. Gauff will make her hit one more ball. Their different playing styles is why this matchup has been dead even in their 10 career meetings, and it’s why this one could end up being a marathon of a match.
Make sure to watch the line movement before the first serve! If the price on Gauff goes up, the value only gets better for those who are expecting it to go to three sets.
Stay on top of the latest odds with one of the top online sportsbooks. You can also find generous bonuses to help your wagers go even further.
