Rockets vs Warriors Game 6 Betting Predictions (May 2, 2025)
- Matchup: Houston Rockets (52-30) vs. Golden State Warriors (48-34)
- Series: Warriors lead 3-2
- Tip-off: 9:00 pm ET
- Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
- Broadcast: TNT
Game 6 is up, and the Rockets are backed into a corner. The Chase Center’s gonna get loud.
Golden State took care of business in Game 5, swiping a one-game lead and setting up a closeout shot at home. Houston? They’re going into enemy territory with nothing to lose, but are dangerous all the same.
It’s getting down to the wire. Can the Rockets extend their season, or is the Warriors’ dynasty-era DNA about to kick in and shut that down? We’re looking at the matchups, betting odds, and the picks that are worth a circle before tip-off.
Storylines to Watch
Every single possession will feel like it carries a lot of weight. Here’s what we are watching before the game!
Rockets Pushing the Limit
They didn’t flinch in Game 5. Jalen Green stayed aggressive, VanVleet played steady, and Şengün’s paint presence gave the Warriors some problems. The Rockets might be a younger team, but they don’t look like it at this point.
Golden State’s Deja Vu
This is really familiar territory for the Warriors. They’ve made a habit of closing out series on their home floor, and when Steph is locked in? No shortage of confidence in the Bay.
Key Injuries
Both teams are dealing with a few absences, but the core rotation pieces are ready to go. Here’s who’s out:
- Rockets: Jae’Sean Tate (ankle) – Out
- Warriors: Jonathan Kuminga (knee) – Out
The Stats
How do the two squads measure up heading into Game 6? Look below for the specifics:
| Statistic | Rockets | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 114.3 | 113.8 |
Field Goal % | 45.5% | 45.1% |
Rebounds Per Game | 48.5 | 45.4 |
Assists Per Game | 23.3 | 29.1 |
Turnovers Per Game | 13.2 | 12.5 |
Houston’s been a little bit better on the glass, but Golden State’s ball movement gives them the advantage when it comes to playmaking.
Key Matchups
The game will have some micro-battles that could influence the score, two of them in particular:
Alperen Şengün vs. Draymond Green
Şengün’s footwork and touch have made him a problem all series long. But Draymond knows how to mess with the pace and get under the skin of young bigs. If Şengün gets going early, that’ll open up everything else for Houston.
Stephen Curry vs. Fred VanVleet
You know the drill—Curry can flip a game in two possessions. VanVleet’s job is to limit the damage, fight through screens, and keep Curry from pulling up from Alameda. It’s a huge undertaking, but if anyone can pester Steph into a tougher night? It’s VanVleet.
Betting Odds & Predictions
And here’s where the numbers currently sit on ESPN Bet:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Rockets | +5.5 (-110) | +190 | Over 203.5 (-112) |
Warriors | -5.5 (-104) | -225 | Under 203.5 (-102) |
Yesterday Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors -4.5
- Over/Under: 204.5
- Moneyline: Rockets +175 | Warriors -210
Score Prediction: Warriors 112, Rockets 108
You can expect to see a back-and-forth that doesn’t settle down until the final minutes. Houston isn’t laying down for anyone, but Golden State has a knack for surviving close games.
Best Bets
Want the best betting angles? The picks below are your best bets! They’re all based on the most recent trends and how the matchup’s been playing out so far:
1. Over 204.5 Points
Even with some defensive stretches, both teams have been able to put up points in bunches. The total’s low enough to clear if the fourth quarter turns into a shot-for-shot showdown.
2. Stephen Curry Over 3.5 Made Threes
It’s a closeout game. Curry’s not holding back. Expect volume, and if he gets hot early, this number goes over quick.
3. Alperen Şengün Over 10.5 Rebounds
He’s been a magnet on the glass all series long. With Kuminga out and Looney seeing limited minutes, Şengün should easily clean up again.
Game 6 Forecast: What to Expect and Where to Bet
We think that this one will all come down to who is more composed. The Rockets are talented and super feisty, but Chase Center is a tough place to get a win, especially with Curry looking to end it on his terms.
This is where we’re leaning in terms of bets:
- Take the Over 204.5 if you’re expecting another high-energy finish.
- Curry’s 3-point line has value in a win-or-go-home spot.
- Şengün’s rebounding line has hit consistently, so don’t overlook it.
- Final Score Prediction: Warriors 112, Rockets 108
All set to lock in your picks? You can do it on one of the best sports betting sites before the game starts!
