Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Prediction (June 8, 2025)
Sunday Night Baseball will be yet another chapter of the storied Red Sox–Yankees rivalry, but this one? It has real implications for the AL East standings. The Yankees are currently at the top of the division. Boston is sitting in fourth and is trying to stay within striking distance.
Will the Red Sox move up? Or will the Yankees keep them where they are? The first pitch will be thrown at 7:10 PM ET on ESPN.
In the meantime, here’s what you need to know about the game and what we think are the best bets!
Game Details
- Matchup: Boston Red Sox (31–35) vs. New York Yankees (39–24)
- Date & Time: Sunday, June 8, at 7:10 pm ET
- Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: ESPN (Sunday Night Baseball)
- Streaming: ESPN Watch
- Weather Forecast: 71°F, clear skies
Prediction Breakdown
37.3%
62.7%
According to GamblingSite.com
Team Overviews
Boston and NY go into the rubber game of this series in very different spots. As we said, New York is near the top of the American League, and Boston still hasn’t found a decent stretch of steady form.
Boston Red Sox
- Record: 31-35, 4th in AL East
The Red Sox are below .500 and haven’t won a series since mid-May. Injuries to the middle of the lineup and rotation have stalled any sort of momentum. They’ve scored three runs or less in five of their last seven games.
Key Players
- Garrett Crochet: Has become an ace pitcher with a 1.98 ERA and 101 strikeouts in 77.1 innings.
- Alex Bregman: Out with a forearm strain but had 11 home runs and a .299 average through 53 games.
- Rafael Devers: Driving in runs regularly, and has 56 RBIs despite missing time in April.
New York Yankees
- Record: 39-24, 1st in AL East
The Yankees have won seven of their last 10 and lead the AL East by two games. Their offense has produced five or more runs in 10 of their last 12. The rotation has stabilized, and the bullpen ranks in the top three in opponent batting average.
Key Players
- Aaron Judge: Entering Sunday, hitting .390 with 21 home runs and 51 RBIs.
- Carlos Rodón: Has thrown at least six innings in seven of his last eight starts; 2.49 ERA overall.
- Cody Bellinger: Playing solid defense in center and posting a .367 OBP in his last 20 games.
Pitching Matchup
Boston turns to Hunter Dobbins, who’s making his seventh career start. The Yankees are countering with veteran southpaw Carlos Rodón.
- Dobbins (2–1, 4.06 ERA): Has a decent fastball command but gives up hard contact when he misses arm-side. Lefties are slugging .522 against him.
- Rodón (8–3, 2.49 ERA): Rodón is mixing in his slider more frequently this season and generating a 32% whiff rate on pitches outside of the zone. Boston has had a hard time against left-handed starters; they’ve batted only .226 as a team.
Main Matchups to Watch
There are two main areas where the Yankees can bust this game wide open, and if Boston can’t contain them? It’ll be over for the Red Sox.
- Aaron Judge vs. Red Sox Pitching: Judge has four home runs and nine RBIs in his last six games against Boston. Dobbins works up in the zone, which matches really badly with Judge’s ability to drive four-seamers out to center and right.
- Red Sox Offense vs. Carlos Rodón: Boston only has two right-handed bats with an OPS over .750 this year. Rodón has held righties to a .204 average due to vertical movement on his four-seamer that keeps hitters from lifting the ball.
Betting Odds & Lines
As of now, here’s where the odds and lines sit according to DraftKings:
- Moneyline: Yankees -175, Red Sox +148
- Over/Under: 9 runs
- Run Line: Yankees -1.5
The Yankees being favored by this big of a margin shows the huge difference in starting pitching and recent offensive trends. The run total is sitting right where these two teams’ average combined per game, but Rodón’s presence could push that number lower depending on any in-game adjustments.
Best Bets
Where do we think the smart money is leaning? Look below for what we feel are the two best bets!
- Aaron Judge Over 0.5 RBI | Judge has driven in at least one run in seven of his last nine starts. He’s facing a right-hander who can’t seem to get a grip on his fastball location, so this is a spot where Judge can come through again.
- Yankees -1.5 Run Line | New York has covered this line in five of their last six wins. Boston’s bullpen has a 5.12 ERA since May 15, and they’ve been outscored 18–5 from the seventh inning on over their last five games.
Yankees or Red Sox? Our Final Hot Take
This one favors the Yankees in one too many areas to ignore. They have the better starter, the more reliable lineup, and the bullpen to hang onto the lead. Boston could hang around through five, but the later innings could turn one-sided if the Sox can’t get to Rodón early enough.
Betting Value Recap
- Moneyline (-175 Yankees): It’s slightly overpriced, but justified based on the starting pitching deficit and recent offensive trends. Use it in parlays if you’re looking to decrease your risk!
- Run Line (-1.5 Yankees): Better value here. New York has won by two or more in 10 of their last 13 wins, and Boston’s bullpen has underperformed in the seventh inning on and make late-game separation a real probability.
Prop Bets:
- Aaron Judge RBI: He’s driven in at least one run in 8 of his last 11 starts.
- Total Bases (Over 1.5): Also in play; Judge has 5 multi-hit games in his last 10.
Weather shouldn’t be a factor, but any lineup scratches (especially Bregman or Devers) could change the run total and prop markets! And monitor Boston’s infield status and any late bullpen changes before locking in your bets.
Don’t forget always to compare odds across books, and you can check our sportsbook recs for the best available prices!
Our Final Score Prediction: Yankees 6, Red Sox 3
Why? Rodón will limit Boston’s offense over six innings. Judge drives in two, including at least one off a fastball up. The Red Sox make contact but don’t string together hits when it counts.
