Panthers vs. Oilers Game 5 Preview & Prediction (June 14, 2025)

Game 4 in the Stanley Cup Finals was incredible and had us on the edge of our collective couches. Just when we thought the Oilers had it? Sam Reinhart scored for the Panthers with 19.5 seconds left, tying it up at 4-4. The goal forced the game into OT.

We weren’t the only ones biting our fingernails; Taylor Swift and her BF Travis Kelce were in the house watching this anxiety-inducing ice battle, although we don’t know who they were rooting for.

Ok, back to the important stuff! With 8:42 left in OT, Leon Draisaitl clapped in the game-winner. The final score? 5-4, and the Oilers are headed home with the series tied up at 2-2 for Game 5.

It was truly an epic win for the Oilers after the way they played in Game 3. We won’t have any cuticles left if this is how the next game plays out, so buckle up! Who do we think will pull ahead? What are the odds and lines? And what do we think are the best bets? We’ve got all that and more below!

Game Details & Where to Watch

• Matchup: Florida Panthers vs. Edmonton Oilers
• Series Status: – Tied 2–2 after Edmonton’s 5–4 OT win in Game 4
• Date & Time: Saturday, June 14, at 8:00 p.m. ET 
• Location: Rogers Place, Edmonton (Oilers’ home ice)
• Broadcast: TNT, truTV, Max (also SN, CBC, TVAS in Canada)

Main Storylines

Game 4 changed everything. The series is now tied, so any momentum has been reset. Here’s what’s driving the matchup as the series goes back to Edmonton!

Oilers Made History and They Know It

Game 4 wasn’t only an amazing comeback; it put Edmonton in the record books. They’re the first team in 106 years to erase a 3-goal deficit on the road in the Final and win. That kind of result changes the balance in a series. Calvin Pickard came in cold, and he’s now 7–0 in relief this postseason. That gives Edmonton flexibility in net, which is something that they didn’t have a month ago.

Florida’s Built for This

The Panthers aren’t fazed. They’ve won playoff series after falling behind, and they’ve done it in far worse spots. This is their third consecutive Final appearance. Bobrovsky has a .912 save rate and steady rebound control; he’s kept them from falling apart when coverage breaks down.

Oilers Favored at Home, and the Books Are Backing It

Edmonton opened around –120 on the moneyline, total at 6.5. They’re getting the heavier side of the handle; over 75% of the money is coming in on them for the series. Playing at Rogers Place is important here! The Oilers are scoring over four goals per game at home in the playoffs, and their top skaters see more open ice in games.

Matchup to Watch: Florida’s Pressure vs. Edmonton’s Speed

The Panthers push really hard below the goal line and exploit slow breakouts. Their cycle game forces longer shifts and makes it really hard to cleanly change lines. The Oilers rely on speed through the neutral zone; McDavid, Draisaitl, and Bouchard all do their best when the puck’s moving quickly. If Edmonton’s defense can get it up ice with control, they’ll get chances. If not, Florida will bury them with zone time and volume.

Player Watch & X‑Factors

Here is who we’ll have our eyes on in Game 5:

• Leon Draisaitl: He’s scored four overtime goals this postseason, including the Game 4 winner at 11:18 of the extra frame. In close games that go past regulation, no one’s been more lethal.
• Connor McDavid: He has only one goal in four games in the Final and was held without a shot in the first two periods of Game 4. If Edmonton wants to pull away? McDavid needs to generate more looks through the neutral zone.
• Sergei Bobrovsky: He gave up five goals on 32 shots in Game 4 and looked beatable high glove side. If Florida wants to control Game 5, Bobrovsky has to control the crease; Edmonton averages over 15 shot attempts in first periods at home this postseason.

Game 5 Betting Odds

Betting on this one? Here are the latest odds via FanDuel:

• Moneyline: The Oilers are slight favorites at home (~55% implied win rate) 
• Spread: Market prices Panthers to cover the spread
• Total: Slight lean toward the Under  

Quick Analysis

• Oilers at –122 gives them about a 54.5% implied chance to win on home ice; it’s a modest edge, not a massacre.
• Panthers +1.5 at –245 shows oddsmakers are expecting a close finish, likely another one-goal margin.
• Under 6.5 at –122 signals low-scoring expectations; books are factoring in tightened systems, fewer clean looks, and strong goaltending for both.

Best Bets

Game 5 lines are really tight, but there are still a few angles that we think look decent! Here are our best bets:

Why Game 5 Could Decide the Cup

Final Score Prediction: Edmonton Oilers 3 – Florida Panthers 2 (Final/Regulation)

Florida will press hard below the goal line and test Edmonton’s breakouts. But if McDavid and Draisaitl get even a couple of clean rushes? That’s all it takes in a building where they’ve averaged 4.2 goals per game this postseason!

Game 4 changed it all. And not just the scoreline, but the entire dynamic. Edmonton pulled off something that no team had done in 106 years, and now they go home with the series tied and the momentum in their favor.

But Florida will not lie down or roll over. They’ve been in much deeper waters in past postseasons and still have the better bench and the better goalie in Bobrovsky. The difference this time? Home ice, and the way Edmonton’s top line performs in that building.

We’re betting on a close game with less high-danger chances, and a finish that is more structured and not as chaotic as Game 4. If it plays out that way, the advantage goes to the Oilers if Draisaitl keeps playing the way he has been.

There’ll be a goaltending battle between Pickard and Bobrovsky. The winner of this one will not only take the lead, but they might also take the Cup!