How Streamers Make Money Off Casinos (And How You Can Too)

Business is booming for casino streamers. Is it weird that people watch other people gambling for fun? Like, instead of a movie or a TV show? Maybe, but it has gone viral, and we mean that literally.

We aren’t talking about a few viewers. No, we are talking about hundreds of thousands of viewers who tune in on Twitch, YouTube, and Kick to watch other people spin slot machines and flip cards. And the streamers that pull in huge audiences, which for some is in the millions? It’s not only for fun—they’re making bank with sponsorships, affiliate deals, and a whole lot more. It’s a whole career for them.

How do casino streamers do it? And how can you do it? We’ll tell you all about it, like the main revenue streams, which are brand sponsorships to affiliate links, and the caveats of going into the casino streaming biz. We’ll also give you a step-by-step guide on how to launch your very own casino stream, plus a few tips on growing your channel organically.

The Business of Casino Streaming

Casino streaming is so much more than watching a person gamble. It’s a whole business model that’s built on audience engagement, trust, and multiple income channels. First up, we have to unpack what casino streaming is, why people watch it, and how platforms like Twitch and Kick have fueled its rise.

What Is Casino Streaming? Entertainment, Community, Big Wins

Casino streaming is just playing games live for an audience. It’s just like watching someone play a video game, but they’re gambling instead. It’s broadcast online live, and the streamers fire up a slot machine, live dealer table, or any gambling game, and they share every spin, card flip, win, and loss via a webcam and game screen.

What makes this fun to watch? The streamer interacts with the chat, narrates their strategy, and reacts to the outcomes. It’s like a live podcast meets game show, with real money on the line. The top Twitch streamers for casino games draw millions of viewers who love to tune in and watch streamers try their luck.

The streamer provides the entertainment: by talking through the game, cracking jokes, or just keeping it interesting during repetitive gameplay; it’s a show, and the streamer is the host. Some streamers have giveaways or community challenges so that their viewers feel involved.

Why Viewers Love Gambling Content: Drama, Community, Thrill

Why are viewers glued to casino streams?

• For one, it’s live drama. Every slot spin and card flip is unpredictable. One second, the streamer could hit a jackpot; the next? They lose it all. Viewers get a front-row seat to that. The unpredictability of casino games keeps viewers so engaged because it’s suspenseful.
• Second, the community it builds. Casino streams turn viewers into active participants. There’s a live chat where people hype each other up or share grief after a loss, kinda like fans in a stadium, and this sense of belonging is powerful. It feels like they’re hanging out with friends at a casino table, but it’s online.
• Third? Education and strategy. Believe it or not, a lot of people tune in to learn about gambling. A lot of the streamers double as informal teachers, and they explain game mechanics or betting strategies as they play. And insider knowledge is great for curious fans. The top 5 casino streamers all break down odds and strategies live, and that makes their channel a crash course in casino games. Viewers are entertained and get tips on how to play.

And then there’s the aspirational dreaming aspect. Watching someone else win is vicarious fun, and seeing real money change hands live is captivating. It’s the combo of educational, communal, and edge-of-your-seat excitement that keeps audiences coming back.

Twitch, Kick, & YouTube: Platforms, Policies, Payouts

As for streaming platforms, Twitch is the undisputed king of live casino content. Originally, it was all video games, but Twitch has expanded into every niche, which includes gambling.

But Kick still enforces certain legal safety checks—the platform requires that any gambling streams originate from regions where online gambling is legal, and it forbids using viewers’ money for bets (no sweepstakes buy-ins). But by and large, Kick has become a hub for casino streams because it welcomes them.

Main Revenue Streams for Casino Streamers

Casino streamers pull in cash from multiple angles. Below, we break down the big four: casino sponsorships, affiliate links/rev-share, bonuses/free funds, and fan-driven income (merch, tips, subs). Together, they all make streaming a profitable endeavor.

🎰 Sponsorship Deals From Casinos

One of the biggest payday options is direct sponsorship. In these types of deals, a casino (or gaming brand) pays a streamer to feature their site. It could be a flat fee or an entire “takeover” stream. The casino is buying exposure, and the streamer includes logos, talks up bonus codes, or hosts giveaway sessions that are funded by the casino. 

Casinos might pay for in-stream ad placements, dedicated episodes, or branded promotions. A casino could offer a streamer $5,000 or more per month just to play on their platform and mention it regularly, and some of the top streamers command six-figure sponsorships for big events.

The streamer thus becomes an influencer in the casino’s marketing plan, and the sponsored sessions not only cover streaming costs but also come with additional perks like covering bet losses or exclusive bonus codes for viewers.  

Sponsorships are the “paid commercials” of streaming, as casinos are literally sponsoring a game show-style gambling session, a streamer plugs the brand.

💸 Affiliate Links & RevShares

If sponsorships are the upfront deals, affiliate marketing is the ongoing money machine. Nearly all serious casino streamers carry affiliate links or codes from casinos. When viewers click on those links and play, the streamer earns commission. 

Typically, there are two main commission styles: Revenue Share (RevShare) and CPA (Cost Per Acquisition).

• RevShare means the streamer gets a cut (usually 20–50%) of the net revenue the casino makes from the referred players. If your viewers bet $10,000 in a month and lose $5,000, and you have a 30% RevShare deal, you’d earn $1,500 that month.
• CPA pays a flat fee for each new depositing player (say $50 per new customer, no matter how much they wager after). Most deals combine both—a smaller CPA plus some percentage of RevShare.

Affiliate programs are the scoreboard: streamers share their link/code, viewers sign up, and the casino reports back the activity. The affiliate model allows affiliates to earn by directing their audience to specific sites, with the streamer getting a portion of the money the casino makes from those new users—it’s all performance-based. The more your viewers gamble on that site, the more you will earn. This rev-share structure means that the smartest streamers will create plenty of wagering, and the casinos get more traffic.

🎁 Bonuses & Free Balances

Another income multiplier comes from casino bonuses and “house money.” Casinos will offer streamers free bet balances or huge signup bonuses as part of sponsorship/affiliate deals. 

The balances look real, but they can’t be withdrawn—they exist solely to make the action look authentic. The streamer is investing the casino’s money to pump up the show. For the streamer, it also lowers risk: if they lose that bonus, it’s not their real money on the line. In content terms, it creates a thrilling illusion of risk.

A warning: some viewers note that this creates a “house money” mindset, meaning that the streamer is less worried, and the audience can be misled about how safe the game is.

🎉 Merch, Donations & Subscriptions

In addition to casinos, streamers monetize directly from fans and their personal brand. Fans will send superchats/“bits” and donations while in the stream, which are small or large tips to say thanks or to influence the game!. 

Together, the fan-driven channels (tips, subs, merch) will be smaller than any big casino deals, but they can add up and be a source of steady income. Popular streamers will tease it as “taking fan bets” or special shoutouts for donations. They form a reliable baseline income even in slow gambling months.

Behind the Scenes: Is It All Real?

Okay, so are these casino streams genuine? Do streamers play with their own money? The truth here is it’s a bit of both, and transparency will differ by streamer.

Do Streamers Foot the Bill?

Some do use their own money, at least when they first launch their channel and can’t land deals before they get more viewers. 

They fund their own bankroll (within limits) and literally gamble live for the wins and losses. In that case, what you are seeing on screen is exactly what they are risking in real life. 

But the most popular streamers usually don’t have to use their personal funds for big bets. As we said, they can rely on casino-provided bonus balances or sponsored bankrolls. Practically speaking, if a streamer is paid by a casino, the casino can just credit the account, so every game they play is with the house’s money.

Are the Wins Fake?

Does that mean that all wins are fake? Nope, but sometimes that line can get blurry. There are critics who argue that because streamers aren’t risking their personal cash, it creates a misleading “safe gambling” vibe. 

The Game Win Board video, which was an exposé on casino streamers, claims that most of the high-stakes streams are done with non-cash balances. They highlight that big wins get the view count up, and the streamer doesn’t lose anything since the balance isn’t cash out-able.

But that’s only one part of the story. The casinos require that streamers still have to play (no fake spins), and the streamers can’t just siphon off funds. The balance is real for playing purposes, but the streamer can’t withdraw it—it’s like playing with a voucher. It is indeed a promotional balance, designed solely to make the gameplay look authentic to viewers. If the streamer goes on a losing streak, that’s on the casino’s tab, not on some rigged game outcome.

The industry’s consensus is this: major streamers don’t collude on rigged outcomes because their reps are on the line, and viewers want transparency. Most of the high-profile streamers strive to be legit, as they hype up wins but also show their losses. If a streamer only ever shows massive hits and no tough breaks, fans would def smell something fishy.

Ethical Streaming

Yes, a lot of streamers are playing with promo money, but some of them won’t advertise that. Ethical streamers will say if a big spin is courtesy of a sponsor’s bonus. And the most responsible ones will stop to remind viewers that “this isn’t my own money” or that “all wins are hypothetical until you actually cash out.” Others are less clear, which is why some community watchdogs are watching them. 

A telltale sign of honesty is this: live play and on-stream funding. Streamers who withdraw small amounts mid-stream to prove that a bankroll is real (and then keep playing with the rest) have nothing to hide. If you never see a withdrawal or constantly see the “balance” reset to a nice round number, that could be house money.

How You Can Start Casino Streaming: Step-by-Step

Want to try your hand at casino streaming? Here’s a roadmap to get you from zero to live. Follow the five steps below to pick a platform, find partners, and build up an audience:

Starting out, your income will be small—maybe just a few affiliate sign-ups, ads, or donations. But after several months of streaming 2–3 times a week, you could start seeing steady affiliate commissions rolling in (especially if you bring in paying players). Keep refining your streaming style, and as your numbers grow, so will brand interest. It takes patience, but the streaming life is open to anyone with the passion and consistency to keep playing!

6 Tips to Grow and Monetize Your Casino Streaming Channel

Launching your stream is only the beginning—now you have to grow and monetize it. Below are some quick-hit tips for building a solid channel:

Legal and Ethical Considerations

Streaming casino games isn’t all fun and games! There are a lot of rules and responsibilities. The following is what you need to know so that you stay on the right side of the law and ethics:

Real Earnings Examples: How Much Can You Make?

Okay, so what can you realistically earn if you are a casino streamer? And how long till you see a profit?

The Big Dogs

For mega-stars, the sky’s the limit. The most popular casino streamers can pull in six or seven figures annually from combined revenue streams. Trainwreckstv claimed to have earned over $360 million from his gambling streams, though even he admitted the figure was staggering and was met with some skepticism. Whether it’s true or embellished, it signals how lucrative things can get at the top. Others like Roshtein (1.1M Twitch followers ) and xQc (12M YouTube subs and a massive viewership) earn huge from a combo of sponsorships, ads, and affiliate rev-share.

Conclusion: Wanna Be the Next Big Casino Streamer? Start Here

Turning gambling into an income (other than winning) is absolutely possible, but it takes work, honesty, and a fair amount of luck. Casino streaming is profitable, but it’s also super competitive. 

Any tangible earnings will come from affiliates and sponsors, unless you happen to hit it big. Everyone starts with almost no audience, so you have to be diligent and consistent to build it. How? By showing up, making fun and relatable content, and engaging with your viewers. Being transparent, which means no shadiness and responsibility, while also promoting responsible gambling, will help you build up a loyal community. 

And last but not least, pick your streaming platform and the casino you partner up with wisely—it’ll help you maximize your earnings and keep you on the right side of the rules!

Here’s a quick roundup on how casino streamers make money, and how you can get into the biz:

• Casino streaming is really profitable for some, but it’s a super competitive niche.
• Almost all earnings come from affiliate deals and sponsorships, not from winning casino games.
• You can start out small with a couple of viewers, but building trust and consistency is the most important thing for growing your viewership.
• Don’t ever mislead your viewers. Transparency about money, risks, and promos will always win out.
• Be smart about platform rules and your audience’s location, and choose legit and reputable casinos.

You’ve got the inside scoop, so if you want to hit “Start” on a casino streaming venture, you can do it!

Oilers vs. Stars Game 1 Betting Prediction (May 21, 2025)

And here we go again, hockey fans! The Stanley Cup is calling, and the Oilers and Stars meet in the Western Conference Final for the second year in a row. If you think that Dallas has forgotten how that one ended? Nah, not a chance. Edmonton sent them home in six last time. But the Stars are back and looking like a stable team; they have home-ice advantage, and a goaltender who’s been unstoppable all season.

But the Oilers aren’t rookies. This is their third time in the Conference Final in four seasons, and they’re coming in with the kind of scoring talent that doesn’t need a lot of space to turn the tide of a game. Game 1 should tell us plenty, especially about which squad is better equipped to deal with the pressure right out of the gate!

Game Details

• Matchup: Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars
• Series Status: Game 1 of the Western Conference Final
• Date & Time: Wednesday, May 21, at 8:00 pm ET
• Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
• Broadcast: ESPN, ESPN+

Storylines to Watch

There’s history between Edmonton and Dallas, so they know who they’re playing against and how they play.

• 2024 Payback Opportunity: The Oilers ended Dallas’s run in six games in last year’s Western Conference Final. That series hangs over their heads, especially for a Stars team that thinks it could have ended differently.
• Dallas’s Consistency in the West: This is their third straight trip to the conference final. They’ve built the team around structure and patience, and they’re hoping that their hard-earned experience will finally turn into something substantial.
• Edmonton’s Long Window: The Oilers are back again (third trip in four years), and the core that was once labeled as one of the most promising is expected to come through. Their offensive ceiling remains as high as anyone’s.

Team Matchup

Dallas outplayed Colorado with smart positioning, timely scoring, and steady goaltending. Edmonton made it through Vancouver by adapting on the fly, eking it out in close games, and capitalizing when the space opened up.

Edmonton Oilers

Draisaitl is one of the most reliable scorers on a team that’s loaded with weapons. McDavid draws the coverage, but Draisaitl’s finishing and decision-making have been clutch in close games. The Oilers still have question marks in the net, which puts even more pressure on their offense to deliver early and on the reg.

Dallas Stars

Dallas has a ton of discipline and structure when they skate. They don’t have to have the puck all of the game; they just make less mistakes with it. Oettinger’s performance has been a huge stabilizer, and their scoring has come from a variety of lines, so one player doesn’t have to carry the entire load.

Key Matchups

Game 1 will come down to the execution of the details. The following is where the spotlight should land going into the opener:

• Connor McDavid vs. Dallas Defensive Core: McDavid’s uncanny ability to create space and speed past coverage puts pressure on any system. Dallas plays a composed, position-first style, but containing McDavid takes near-perfect shifts. Heiskanen and Lindell will likely see extended minutes during the game.
• Goaltending: Oettinger vs. Skinner/Pickard: Dallas knows what it’s getting with Oettinger, and that’s controlled, precise movement, squeaky clean rebound control, and confidence under pressure. Edmonton’s net is still a little unsure. Skinner and Pickard have had decent moments, but neither has put together a stretch that has gained full trust. If it turns into a low-scoring game, goaltending could be the separator.
• Special Teams: Each club has a strong power play, but the penalty kill might end up being the bigger story. Dallas has been more dependable when they’re shorthanded, and any lapses here could change things in an instant.

Best Bets

Let’s see what the best bets for Game 1 are! Here are the latest odds and lines via FanDuel Sportsbook:

Betting Lines (as of May 20)

Moneyline

• Dallas Stars -125: They’ve been way cleaner defensively, and their goalie situation is just better. At home, that kind of stability is super important.
• Edmonton Oilers +105: Backing Edmonton here means that you’re betting on pure talent to overcome shaky goaltending and a deeper Dallas lineup.

Total Goals Over/Under

• Over 5.5 Goals -135: This has the potential to open up quickly. There is solid finishing talent on both teams, and questions in Edmonton’s crease, so the over has some legs under it.
• Under 5.5 Goals +120: If Oettinger keeps things chill and Dallas plays its usual disciplined game? This number might very well hold.

Puck Line

• Oilers +1.5 (-250): If you’re liking Edmonton but don’t love the moneyline, this keeps the window wider. Their top-end scoring usually keeps it within reach.
• Stars -1.5 (+185): It’s definitely a riskier number, but if Dallas controls the pace and limits their rush chances, a two-goal win isn’t totally out of the question.

Player Prop

• Leon Draisaitl to Score Anytime +130: No two ways about it, Draisaitl is a matchup problem, plain and simple. If Edmonton finds the net, there’s a strong chance it comes off his stick.

Watch the Series Preview

Want a comprehensive breakdown of the series? You can watch this video preview from The Hockey Guy (yes, that’s his name on YouTube):

Final Whistle: Who Sets the Tone?

Final Prediction for Game 1

– Score Prediction: Dallas Stars 4, Edmonton Oilers 3
– Best Bet: Over 5.5 goals

Why: Dallas gets the benefit of playing at home and has the stronger goalie. Edmonton’s top line has the skill to change the pace, so it could turn into a game where even the smallest mistakes matter. We expect to see a close score and goals from both teams.

Dallas sure remembers how last year ended, and Edmonton knows what’s coming. Everything else? It starts in Game 1!

Pacers vs. Knicks Game 1 Preview & Prediction (May 21, 2025)

And then there were four. In the NBA Conference Finals, two sets remain, and in the Eastern Conference, it’s the Pacers against the Knicks. Both teams want that Larry O’Brien Championship Trophy, but they’ll have to battle it out in a best-of-seven.

The Pacers have been bolting past teams all postseason, turning transition chances into points before their opponents have a chance to react. The Knicks have taken another tack by slowing games down, throwing bodies around, and relying on defense to drag opponents into uncomfortable positions.

Game 1 will put their styles on a collision course. New York wants to control the clock and force Indiana to earn every shot. Indiana wants to push the Knicks into places where their usual defensive advantages will not apply. Which team can knock the other out of sorts? And who’s prepared to adapt when things aren’t going their way? Let’s get into it!

Quick Take

• The Knicks are back in the Eastern Conference Finals for the first time in 24 years, with defense, rebounding, and late-game composure getting them to this point.
• Indiana hasn’t had to sweat as much in the postseason with 8 wins in 10 games, and all were built around speed, movement, and shot-making.
• New York has the Garden, the muscle, and a backcourt that doesn’t fold under pressure.
• The Pacers have gotten extra rest, they have plenty of movement, and a plan to knock the Knicks off kilter.
• Expect to see a game with hard fouls, big minutes from the star players, and absolutely no interest in easing into it.

Game Details

• Matchup: Indiana Pacers @ New York Knicks
• Series Status: Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Final
• Date & Time: Wednesday, May 21, at 8:00 pm ET
• Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
• Broadcast: TNT/Max

Betting Odds

How do the numbers look going into Game 1? Here are the latest odds and lines according to DraftKings Sportsbook:

Betting Lines (as of May 20)

• Spread: Knicks -4
• Moneyline: Knicks -167 | Pacers +155
• Over/Under: 223.5 points

Team Overviews

The Pacers always want to speed things up and get open looks, and will try the same so that the Knicks won’t be able to settle in defensively. And New York slows things down and forces teams to work for every single possession. These two teams are built differently, so let’s see how that will affect Game 1.

Indiana Pacers – Playoff Record: 8–2

Strengths

• A relentless offense that averages 117.4 points per game.
• Shooting nearly 49% from the field, and that’s amazing in the postseason.
• Defensive effort has picked up since the break, giving their scoring more room to count.

New York Knicks – Playoff Record: 8–3

Strengths

• Giving up just 111.7 points per game, which is among the best defensive showings this postseason.
• Strong at home, with a 27–14 record at Madison Square Garden.
• Comfortable in close games, and that’s all due to Brunson’s late-game control and decision-making.

Head-to-Head

• Regular Season Series: Knicks 2-1
• 2024 Playoffs: The Pacers beat the Knicks in 7 games
• Historical Playoff Matchups: Pacers are ahead 4-3

Best Bets

If you’re putting some money on this game, here are your best bets:

Series Outlook

The betting market is viewing this one as being super close, and that tracks! New York has the advantage in physicality and late-game execution. Indiana has speed, movement, and enough unpredictability to throw a wrench into even the best-laid game plan. It isn’t going to be a short series, and neither team’s gonna run away with it.

Series Odds

• Knicks: -140
• Pacers: +120
• Predicted Result: Knicks in 7 games (+400)

New York’s defense and experience in close games give them the upper hand in a long series, but Indiana’s pace and offensive flow make them gnarly opponents in any matchup, more so if they win a game early.

Our Game 1 Verdict: Pacers vs. Knicks

Final Prediction for Game 1

– Knicks 112, Pacers 108

New York has the defense, the home atmosphere, and a late-game shot creator who’s been super reliable all postseason. Brunson will control the offense when it matters, and the Knicks should be able to keep Indiana from finding their usual cadence. The Pacers won’t fall off—they’ll keep the margin tight and cover—but the Knicks take the opener in front of their Garden fans.

New York wants to keep this game under control. They’re at their best when they can slow things down, force tough shots, and make every possession count. Indiana moves differently with quicker passes, faster decisions, and a constant push to catch defenses out of position.

The opener could come down to which team dictates the tempo first. If the Pacers get clean looks before the Knicks can set their defense, they’re going to stay competitive. But if New York is walking the ball up and running their sets through Brunson, they’ll be in a solid position to take Game 1 at home.

• Key Matchup: Brunson vs. Haliburton – The floor generals will have a major say in how the game plays out.
• Stat to Watch: Turnovers. Indiana doesn’t function well in the half court when they’re not taking care of the ball.

Looking to place a wager on Game 1? Check out these trusted betting sites for the best odds.

Florida Panthers vs. Carolina Hurricanes Game 1 Prediction (May 20, 2025)

The last time Florida and Carolina met in the Eastern Conference Final? It was over in four. The Panthers ran through the Hurricanes and didn’t get much resistance, and Carolina’s had to live with that. But they get a second chance here.

This year’s version will have more bite. Florida is coming off a long, hard series with Toronto, and Carolina looked good closing out both the Devils and Capitals in five. Game 1 gives the Hurricanes a chance to change the narrative, and the reigning Stanley Cup winners a chance to prove that last year wasn’t luck.

Game Details

• Series Status: Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Final
• Date & Time: Tuesday, May 20, at 8:00 pm ET
• Location: Lenovo Center, Raleigh, NC
• Broadcast: TNT, truTV, Max, SN, CBC, TVAS

Team Overviews

Forget the regular-season records, because none of that matters now. What does? Who can take a hit, manage the puck, and close out one-goal games when it gets ugly? Florida and Carolina have proven that they’re up for it, but they’ve gotten to this place in different ways.

Florida Panthers

• Regular Season Record: 55-35-4
• Playoff Path: Knocked off the Lightning in five games, then fought through a close seven-game series against Toronto.

Carolina Hurricanes

• Regular Season Record: 55-31-6
• Playoff Path: Took care of business early on, knocking the Devils and Capitals out in five games each.

Head-to-Head Comparison

Florida’s got the most experience in pressure moments, and it’s obvious in how they manage shifts and slow things down when they need to. Carolina plays a more organized game with clean exits, excellent puck movement, and hardly any mistakes in their own zone.

• Offense: Florida spreads the scoring around and gets contributions from all lines. Carolina’s attack is a little bit more methodical but no less dangerous—they make chances via quick decisions.
• Defense: The Hurricanes are one of the toughest teams to break down. Their defensive zone coverage has been airtight through two rounds. Florida’s defense is way more physical and built to wear teams down during games.
• Special Teams: Both power plays are producing at a solid clip, but the penalty kill may end up deciding close games. Carolina’s kill has been better lately.
• Goaltending: Andersen has been on another level, and right now, he’s giving Carolina the advantage. Bobrovsky’s capable of stealing a game, but his form has fluctuated.

Betting Odds & Trends

Game 1 will most likely be a close call on the board, which is fitting for two teams with postseason track records and balanced rosters. Here’s where the odds sit courtesy of BetMGM:

Trends

• Florida has won 4 of its last 5 and keeps finishing up strong in close games.
• Carolina went 31-9-1 at home during the regular season and has protected home ice immaculately throughout the playoffs.
• The under has hit in 5 of Carolina’s last 7 games; low-scoring, structured hockey has been the pattern.

Best Bets

Below is are the bets that we think are worth  it going into Game 1:

Who’s Got the Edge in Game 1?

Game 1 won’t decide everything, but it’ll show who’s better prepared to handle the pressure. Who’s got the better chances? Look below:

• Carolina gets the early advantage with home ice and goaltending. Andersen has been airtight and looks like a more reliable option going into the series.
• Florida has lots of playoff experience and knows how to handle close games. They’ve been tested more through two rounds, and that advantage does matter.
• If Bobrovsky finds his footing early, Florida can absolutely take this one on the road.
• Expect a really physical, defensive game with limited chances and heavy special teams impact.
• Who wins the goaltending battle and stays disciplined will likely skate off with Game 1.

Our Final Prediction for Game 1

Pick: Carolina Hurricanes win 3-2 in a defensive battle

• Andersen gives Carolina the advantage in the net and will be the difference-maker again.
• Florida keeps it within reach, but their margin for error is razor thin with Bobrovsky still searching for stability.
• Expect a low-scoring, hard-checked opener that relies on special teams and solid goaltending.
• The under holds, and Carolina protects home ice to open the series.

FYI: All odds are subject to change as the game gets closer, so remember to check the latest lines at one of our recommended online sportsbooks!

Timberwolves vs Thunder Game 1 Preview and Prediction (May 20, 2025)

The Western Conference Finals have arrived! Did we expect to see this matchup back in October? Nope, but here we are.

The top-seeded Thunder took the long way around with a nasty seven-gamer against Denver, and Minnesota beat two heavyweights in five games apiece. In Game 1, one of the NBA’s most efficient defenses is going up against the most fearless scorers in the postseason.

The underdogs have crashed the NBA Finals for the first time in franchise history. And the first game will give us a pretty good read on who’s up for it!

Game Details

• Matchup: Minnesota Timberwolves (#6) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (#1)
• Series Status: –
• Date & Time: Tuesday, May 20, at 8:30 pm ET
• Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
• Broadcast: ESPN and ESPN2

Why This Game Matters

Minnesota and OKC are playing for a Finals berth, but they’re also building their legacies, and the series may signal the league’s next powerhouse. The Thunder had a team rebuild that worked. And the Timberwolves want their validation after being everyone’s preseason “sleeper” for so long.

• Western Conference Finals Game 1 sets the stage for everything that comes after.
• Neither franchise has ever made the NBA Finals, and one of them’s about to get closer than they ever have before.
• Paths couldn’t be more different: OKC is the No. 1 seed, and Minnesota is sixth.
• SGA vs. Edwards is the marquee, but this thing goes way deeper than star player vs. star player
• Historically, the winner of Game 1 has taken the series in 71% of conference final matchups.
• How this one starts might matter more than usual, especially with two of the youngest cores at the center.

Team Comparisons

Here is what each team is bringing to the court before the ball goes up!

Oklahoma City Thunder

The Thunder were methodical all season long. They built on ball movement, defensive switchability, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander being an absolute savage. After beating Memphis, they were tested by Denver but made it out in the end.

• Regular Season Record: 68-14
• Playoff Path: Swept the Grizzlies (4-0), survived the Nuggets (4-3)

Strengths

• Rotates defenders like hockey lines.
• Doesn’t panic in close games.
• One of the best home-court advantages that’s left in the playoffs.

Minnesota Timberwolves

The Wolves have been decimating game plans with defense and physicality. Their frontcourt is mean, their bench steps up, and Anthony Edwards is quickly making the “he’s next” conversation a thing of the past.

• Regular Season Record: 49-33
• Playoff Path: Took out the Lakers (4-1), then made the Warriors look like they weren’t the Warriors (4-1)

Strengths

• Wins the physical battle night after night
• Controls the glass
• Bench doesn’t lose momentum

Key Matchups

• SGA vs. Anthony Edwards: The NBA’s smoothest iso scorer vs. one of the league’s most explosive two-way guards. Whoever controls the pace between them will probably control the series.
• Frontcourt Clash: Gobert and Randle bring the muscle. Holmgren brings a combo of size and finesse. It’ll be tough and physically grueling.
• Bench Minutes That Matter: Donte DiVincenzo and Naz Reid have been massive gets for the Wolves. Hartenstein and Caruso have grit and glue that the OKC needs. A big second-quarter swing from a bench unit could be the deciding factor in a game or two.

Betting Odds & Insights

Where do the odds sit before the ball goes up? Here’s what the oddsmakers at Caesars Sportsbook say:

• Spread: Thunder -7.5
• Total Points (O/U): 215.5
• Moneyline: Thunder -300 | Timberwolves +245

Trends

• The Thunder have gone 4-1 in their last five and are unbeaten at home in the playoffs.
• Minnesota has covered in seven of their last 10, and every road game has been close.
• The total has gone over in three of OKC’s last five, and that means the scores could go up.

Best Bets

There are three angles that we are watching in Game 1:

Game 1 Takeaways & Our Prediction

Who wants it more? The Thunder have been one of the most composed teams in the NBA all season, and that was obvious in how they handled Denver. They know who they are. The Wolves have been tougher than anyone expected and are on a serious high after getting back-to-back gentleman’s sweeps.

But OKC has the home advantage, more lineup flexibility, and arguably the best player in the series.

• Momentum: Thunder are on a run after outlasting the reigning champs.
• Experience (and rest): OKC had to fight hard, but they didn’t burn out.
• Wildcard: Edwards is the guy who could blow the whole thing up
• Best bet: Thunder cover, and this one will be fast-paced: the first to 110 might take it.

Final Prediction

Oklahoma City Thunder 112 – Minnesota Timberwolves 103

Minnesota won’t be easy to beat by any means, but we think that OKC’s balance, defensive consistency, and the home crowd will be enough to position them to pull away in the fourth!

FYI: The stats and betting odds are current but could change closer to tip-off. As always, gamble responsibly!

How to Use Player Prop Trends to Outperform the Sportsbook

What if you could beat a sportsbook by seeing something they missed about a player’s performance? It’s doable! If you notice a relatively unknown wide receiver who is gaining more yards every week, but the betting line is staying low. You get in on the over, cash in, and watch the sportsbook struggle to catch up. Like we said, it’s doable. And it’s a regular reality for the bettors who know how to exploit player prop trends.

Player prop bets, which are wagers on individual player stats, have gotten a lot of traction in the last few years. And with popularity comes opportunity. Instead of the traditional bets on teams, player props present a “beatable game” for smart bettors. Sportsbooks have hundreds of prop lines but can’t perfectly price each one, especially as player roles and conditions are constantly changing.

This is where you come in. If you understand and track the trends in players’ performances, you can absolutely find value bets that beat the bookies.

Want to know how? Ask and ye shall receive! We’ll tell you how you can use prop trends to your advantage. You’ll have a clear, actionable game plan to get in on the prop betting gold rush while the getting’s good!

What Are Player Prop Bets, Exactly?

Before we get into trends and strategy, we need to make sure that we’re on the same page about what a player prop bet is. A player proposition bet is just a wager on an individual player’s performance in a game, rather than on the game’s outcome. Instead of betting on who will win or the total points scored, you’re betting on specific stats or achievements by a player. You could bet on a quarterback’s passing yards, a basketball player’s points scored, or a baseball pitcher’s strikeouts in a game. The bets come in the form of an over/under line set by the sportsbook.

Player props can cover almost any measurable statistic or event, such as the following:

• Accumulation stats: yards, points, rebounds, assists, goals, etc. (e.g., Jonathan Taylor over 85.5 rushing yards).
• Counts of specific plays: catches, three-pointers made, strikeouts, touchdowns (e.g., LeBron James over 2.5 three-pointers).
• Yes/No milestones: Will a player score a touchdown? Will a player hit a home run? (These are phrased as yes/no or listed with odds).
• Miscellaneous props: more niche things like longest reception by a player, or time of first goal by a hockey player, etc.

If it’s an aspect of an individual’s performance, it can be a prop bet. The appeal is obvious: props let you zero in on the players and storylines you know best. Maybe you’re a huge fan of a rising NBA star and have a good read on his nightly output. Prop betting lets you monetize that insight. It’s also a fun way to stay engaged with games! Even a blowout is exciting if your player is still hustling for that last rebound that you need to win.

Why Sportsbooks Struggle to Set Perfect Prop Lines

Sportsbooks are really good at setting lines for the big markets like game spreads and totals. Those lines are shaped by tons of money and data, but props are a whole different ball game. There are so many players and stats to account for that even the most sophisticated sportsbook models have some gaps. Below is why prop lines usually have soft spots that you can exploit!

Sheer Volume of Props

Limited Data & Unpredictable Roles

A team’s star players have a deep history of stats, so setting their prop lines is straightforward (though still not foolproof). But what about a backup running back who rarely plays, suddenly put into a starting role due to another player’s injury? Sportsbooks have way less data on how he’ll perform. Will he handle 20 carries well or fizzle out? There’s a lot more guesswork involved, and because the books have fewer data points on that scenario, the lines are “not as concrete” as usual. The uncertainty can lead to lines that don’t fully account for a player’s true potential in an expanded role.

Timing and Information Gaps

Player news in sports is fast-moving. An important detail, like a star player being on a minutes restriction, a last-minute injury, or a change in the weather, can greatly affect a player’s expected stats. Sportsbooks do adjust lines for known news, but they can’t always do it instantly or perfectly. There’s usually a window of time where a prop line is stale (reflecting old assumptions) before it updates.

If a basketball coach hints in a morning interview that he’ll give a rookie more playing time, sportsbooks might not catch on immediately. Early bettors could exploit the rebounding or points prop for that rookie if it’s still set based on his old bench role.

Public Bias and Oddsmaker Priorities

Rapid Line Movement & Low Limits

Even when a sportsbook realizes that a prop line is off, they might adjust it by moving the odds or the line quickly and limit how much you can bet. If you’re quick, you might get the good number before it moves. Because limits on props are usually lower than, say, an NFL spread, a few smart bets from sharps can force a big adjustment. The end result is that prop lines can be more volatile. For a prepared bettor, that volatility is a chance to strike at the right moment.

All of these factors mean one thing: the sportsbook is not infallible on player props. They have more ground to cover and less certainty, which tilts some power back to the bettor who does their homework. This doesn’t mean beating props is easy money, but it does mean if you put in the effort to identify real trends and stay informed, you stand a much better chance of outsmarting the lines here than in the more efficient markets.

How to Identify Winning Prop Trends

Okay, so we know that props can be softer lines, but that alone won’t pay the bills. You need a method to consistently spot and act on player trends that the lines haven’t caught up to. Below is a step-by-step game plan to do just that!

Tip Box: Look for Patterns, Not One-Hit Wonders

A single monster game doesn’t mean a trend. Look for players showing consistent performance over multiple games. That’s where the real edge is—not in chasing random outliers.

8 Best Sources to Track Player Prop Trends

Identifying trends sounds good in theory, but it also sounds like a lot of data to wrangle. But there are so many resources and tools to help you research player props and spot trends. In the old days, you might have had to gather box scores from multiple sites manually. Now, there are platforms that aggregate this info and even visualize it for you. Below are some of the best sources to take advantage of:

Below is a quick breakdown of the best free and paid tools to make the research easier—and way faster!

The fastest way to catch injury updates, lineup news, and player role changes before the sportsbook adjusts is to set up some Google Alerts! Here’s how to get it done:

1. Go to Google Alerts
2. Type in key search terms like “LeBron James injury”, “NFL RB depth chart”, or “starting lineup Lakers”
3. Under “Sources,” choose News only (filters out junk)
4. Set frequency to As-it-happens or At most once a day, depending on urgency
5. Select your preferred email address
6. Click Create Alert and start monitoring

Smart Betting Strategy: When to Strike

Knowing what to bet is only half the battle. The other half? Knowing when to bet. In player props, timing can greatly impact your success. Because lines move and information unfolds, the value of a bet can wax and wane rapidly. Next, we break down some timing strategies for prop betting and how to maximize your edge!

Betting Early: Beating the Line Before It Moves

The earliest lines (when a sportsbook first posts a prop) are when they’re the most vulnerable. At this stage, the book might still be using rough estimates or hasn’t yet adjusted for a subtle trend you’ve identified. If you’ve done your homework and foresee that a line is too low/high, grabbing it early can lock in tremendous value. Why? Because once sharper bettors or high volume bets hit that line, the sportsbook will adjust it.

That being said, betting early comes with a caveat: you have less information at that point. In the NFL, a lot can change from Monday to Sunday (injuries in practice, weather forecasts, etc.). In the NBA, if you bet props in the morning, you could be blindsided by an afternoon report that a player is out for a game. So, bet early when you’re confident in your info or when the potential reward outweighs the risk of unknowns. Early betting is especially useful for:

• Obvious mispriced lines (where you’d bet it regardless of minor news).
• Situations where you actually expect news to break in your favor, like you strongly suspect that a “questionable” player will sit out, even though it’s not been confirmed. You might bet his backup’s props early before that news becomes official. If you’re right, you’ve essentially “beat the book” to the news, and the line will jump or be taken down once the sit is confirmed.

Betting Late: Capitalizing on Confirmed Info or Last-Minute Adjustments

But sometimes patience is a virtue. If you wait until closer to game time, you eliminate a lot of uncertainties. You know exactly who is in or out, you have the latest weather, and you can see how the market (other bettors) have moved the line. Betting late is usually the way to go when:

• You need to confirm something critical. If you want to bet an over on an NBA player, but only if you’re sure he’s actually playing (or playing full minutes). If he’s a game-time decision, you should wait until starting lineups are announced 30 minutes pre-tip.
• You’re looking to play an under and hoping public money (which tends to be on overs) has inflated the line. A lot of casual bettors put in their prop bets the day of the game, often on overs. If you’re leaning under, you might get an extra point or two by waiting until after the bulk of over money pushes it up. In the NFL, an RB’s rushing line might climb a few yards by Sunday morning due to optimistic bets, giving you a better number to go under.
• Last-minute news creates a short window of opportunity. Sometimes news breaks so close to game time that sportsbooks can’t adjust fast enough, or they briefly leave a stale line up. If 15 minutes before kickoff, you hear the weather is turning bad or a surprise scratch of a key player, the books will be in scramble mode, but there could be a few-minute window where an alert bettor can still grab a mispriced prop. One pro tip: in the NBA, when starting lineups are tweeted (usually ~30 minutes pre-game), pay attention to any unexpected names. If a bench guy is starting out of nowhere, check his props. There’s a chance the book hasn’t updated his line from bench-role expectations. Those minutes right after lineup news are when a lot of sharp NBA prop bettors strike.

Know the Betting Windows for Each Sport

Every sport has a different pace for when props are released and moved!

Adapting When You Miss the Best Line

Okay, so despite all of your best efforts, you’ll identify the right trend but miss the ideal entry. Maybe you were busy, and by the time you check, that RB’s line moved from 55.5 to 65.5 already. What now? You still have a few choices:

• Pass the bet if the value is gone. It’s painful to watch an idea win without you, but it’s better than forcing a bet at a bad number.
• Look for an alternative angle. If the rushing yards line moved, maybe the receiving yards or attempts prop hasn’t moved yet for the same player. Or if the star’s points line got too high to take the over, perhaps the under now has value at the inflated number (only do this if you genuinely believe the line swung too far, not just out of FOMO).
• Monitor live betting: In-game, if a player has a slow start, you might get a chance to bet an over at closer to your originally hoped number. That RB might only have 10 yards in the first quarter, and live lines might adjust down. If you still believe in the trend (maybe a slow start, but game script will feed him later), you can grab a better number live.

Discipline with Timing

One thing to guard against is the impulse to bet just because the game is about to start. Last-second bets on props you haven’t fully vetted are a losing proposition. Stick to your analysis. If nothing appealing emerged for a given game, it’s perfectly fine (smart, even) to skip it. There will always be more games and more props.

Another timing-related discipline: if you bet early and got a great number, resist the urge to middle or hedge unless there’s a strong reason. Hedging out can sometimes undermine your long-term profitability. Of course, if the situation changes drastically, then you can reassess.

Real-Life Examples of Using Trends to Beat the Book

Theory is great, sure, but nothing drives the point home like some real examples. Below are a few scenarios where player prop trends provided a clear edge over the sportsbook and show how the strategies we discussed play out in actual betting situations.

Example 1: The Emerging NFL Wide Receiver

Example 2: The NBA Injury Replacement (Next Man Up)

Example 3: Timing the Betting Window (Info Arbitrage)

Conclusion: The Player Prop Gold Rush Isn’t Over — You Just Have to Dig Smarter

Player prop betting has been dubbed a “gold rush” in modern sports wagering, and for very good reason. Point spreads and totals have decades of sharp action shaping them, but player props are still relatively new terrain, and they are chock-full of opportunity for those who are willing to put in the work. As we covered, sportsbooks struggle to keep up with every twist and turn of player performance, and that’s where the diligent bettor can strike it rich (or at least grind out a nice profit).

To recap, knowledge is profit regarding player props for the following reasons:

• You now know how to break down what a prop is and why it can offer value. Instead of betting teams, you’re betting individuals, which is a fundamentally different approach that you can specialize in.
• You understand the inherent weaknesses in how prop lines are set. Books have to account for limited data, unpredictable changes, and public biases, which means imperfect lines and exploitable inefficiencies. Sportsbooks simply cannot nail every number when a league’s worth of players is on the board.
• There’s a step-by-step method to identify when a player’s trend makes a strong case for a bet. From sifting through game logs to analyzing context (injuries, role changes, etc.) to comparing with the betting line, you have an “X marks the spot” treasure map for finding your spots.
• You have a toolkit of sources that include websites, apps, and communities to stay on top of prop trends and data—you know where to look for that extra edge.
• The early bird gets the worm (locking in that great number before it moves) in some cases, and other times, patience pays (waiting for clarity or a better line on an under). Managing this is all part of being a successful prop bettor!
• And via real examples, you’ve seen that this isn’t just theory—bettors out there are using these methods to beat the books on player props every day.

And now for your friendly reality check: The gold rush doesn’t mean guaranteed gold. The sportsbooks will adapt as prop betting grows; lines may get sharper, and limits might tighten on those who regularly win. But in a way, that’s kind of encouraging: it means until every line is razor-sharp, there’s money to be made. And we’re not at the end of that road yet. The player prop market is huge and constantly evolving with each season, new players, coaching styles, and yes, new bettors bringing info to the pool. Be smart about your bets and always gamble responsibly!

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers MLB Prediction & Best Bets (May 19, 2025)

It’ll be a relatively cool Monday night in Los Angeles, and that means the ball will carry and the fans will show up sometime around the third or fourth inning. The Dodgers are trying to stay on top of the division without totally burning out their pitching staff. Arizona’s trying to rain on their parade, and they’ve got the dude on the mound who did that already.

There are two starters with very different résumés, two lineups that don’t need much help putting up crooked numbers, and just enough tension to make the dugouts twitchy. It could be a pitcher’s duel. It could also be four hours long with eleven pitching changes.

That’s baseball. It’ll be a good game or a fun mess. Either way, let’s see what’s happening with the Diamondbacks vs. the Dodgers.

Quick Hit: Why This Game Matters

What’s riding on this game? Um, just a little bit of everything.

• Division Pressure: The Dodgers are trying not to give Arizona any daylight in the standings.
• Arizona’s Window: The Diamondbacks are hovering close enough to matter and need series wins like this to stay in the playoff picture conversation.
• Power vs. Power: Both teams bring the bats, and we’ve seen recent matchups between them turn into track meets on the scoreboard.
• Momentum Swing: A win here is a tone-setter for the rest of the series, and quite possibly the next few weeks.
• Night Game Spotlight: Prime time, big market, and a national broadcast mean there’ll be a lot more eyes on every pitch.

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Arizona Diamondbacks (25-22) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (29-18)
• Date & Time: Monday, May 19, 2025, at 10:10 pm ET
• Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
• Broadcast: MLB Network, SportsNet LA
• Weather: 74°F, clear skies, light wind

Who’s Pitching?

There are two righties on the mound. Pfaadt knows how to handle the lineup, and he’s got receipts. Knack looks like he’s still in the trying-to-figure-it-out phase.

Arizona Diamondbacks: Brandon Pfaadt (RHP)

Pfaadt’s been Arizona’s most reliable starter throughout the early season. His control’s been a little spotty at times, but when he’s dialed in? Hoo boy, he mixes speeds and knows how to work both sides of the plate. His last start wasn’t pretty, but he’s already butchered the Dodgers once this year, and that counts.

Los Angeles Dodgers: Landon Knack (RHP)

Knack’s still trying to prove himself, and he’s shown flashes of brilliant pitching. But he’s inconsistent, which makes his starts something of a “What’s gonna happen here?” Arizona’s already touched him up once, and his numbers look like he could be vulnerable here.

Key Players to Watch

Who could make a difference in this game? There are a few to watch. One big whiff or a big connect could swing the game, but so could a defensive misstep.

Arizona Diamondbacks

Los Angeles Dodgers

Betting Odds & Insights

According to FanDuel Sportsbook, here’s is where the odds sit before the first pitch:

Betting Trends

– The Dodgers have won 26 of their 40 games (65%), making them the favorite.
– Arizona is hitting around 47% as an underdog, which is enough to pay attention to if you like that underdog value.
– The total has gone over in 7 of the Dodgers’ last 10 games at home.
– Arizona has covered the run line in 6 of their last 8 road games.

Our Expert Analysis

We think that this game is a runs-fest waiting to happen, and here’s how we feel like it’ll go:

• The Dodgers’ lineup is absolutely stacked and averages around 6 runs per game.
• Arizona’s been streaky at the plate but can hang if they get a few barrels early.
• Pfaadt’s earlier success against the Dodgers could slow things down early on, but Knack’s volatility means Arizona will get their chances.
• Bullpens could decide this one, and L.A. probably has the better late-game arms, but only if Knack doesn’t dig himself into a hole first.
• The line total sits at 9.5, and there’s a solid argument for taking the over based on recent scoring trends and both starters’ recent form.

Best Bets

We’ve circled the two best value spots on the board, and here they are:

Want to throw some skin on this one? You can check out our list of the best sports betting apps to lock in your picks for the Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers!

Wrapping It Up: What to Expect Tonight

Here’s what we’ll be watching for as the lights come up at Dodger Stadium!

• L.A. has the power and the home field, but Knack’s spot in the rotation still feels really wobbly.
• Arizona has a real shot with Pfaadt being back on the mound. He’s already proven that he can keep this Dodgers lineup off-kilter.
• We know that the batters will show up. The question is this: Will the late-inning arms show up?
• Arizona’s definitely worth a look, especially with the more dependable arm and some room to work with.

Nuggets vs. Thunder Game 7 Preview and Prediction (May 18, 2025)

We’re six games in, and this series has been all over the place. Oklahoma City has shown they have more depth. Denver has the best player. That’s the tradeoff heading into Game 7. The Thunder are at home, where they’ve been almost impossible to beat. The Nuggets have been through this before, but they’ve got Jokić, and that gives them a chance no matter what the scoreboard says.

Game 7 will be decided by execution. Who protects the ball, who gets stops without fouling, and who makes the right decisions when the legs start to give out? It won’t be pretty, but it will be good basketball. One team will move on, and one is headed home.

Game Details

• Matchup: Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Series Status: Tied 3-3
• Date & Time: Sunday, May 18, 2025, at 3:30 pm EST
• Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
• Broadcast: ABC / ESPN

Series Recap

Like we said, there hasn’t been a reliable pattern in this series—it’s basically been adjustments and counterpunches! Look below for a recap of the first six games:

• Game 1: Denver opened strong, stealing one on the road 121–119 behind a monster 42-point, 22-rebound effort from Jokić.
• Game 2: Oklahoma City responded with a 149–106 blowout. SGA led the way with 34, and the Thunder bench completely overwhelmed Denver.
• Game 3: The Nuggets got a 112–110 OT win on their home floor, with Murray putting up 27 and Jokić ending it late.
• Game 4: Thunder took a low-scoring scrap 92–87 to tie the series, relying on defense and SGA’s 25 points.
• Game 5: Thunder pulled ahead 3–2, getting a 112–105 win. SGA had 31, but Jokić almost matched it with 44 and 15.
• Game 6: Denver evened it back up with a 119–107 win. Jokić posted 29, 14, and 8, and the rest of the roster finally showed some signs of life.

Key Players to Watch

If you’ve been watching, then you know who’s carrying the load. And this game is going to hinge on how much these two can handle—and what everyone around them contributes to the effort.

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): He’s been the calm in the middle of the storm. SGA’s averaging 28.4 points, 6.7 assists, and 6.6 boards through the playoffs. He’s dictated the tempo and picked his spots. Game 7 needs more of that, and he’ll likely have to hit a couple of tough ones late.
• Nikola Jokić (DEN): The numbers say it all—29.6 points, 12.7 rebounds, and 10.2 assists per game in this series. He’s literally carried Denver through stretches where everything else has fallen apart. The ball is going through him, as it should. The question is whether OKC can make him work for every touch.

Game 7s are sometimes decided by the players who aren’t on the marquee. Watch for the following players:

Oklahoma City Thunder

Denver Nuggets

Betting Odds

As for betting odds, here is where the numbers are leading up to Game 7, courtesy of BetMGM Sports:

The sportsbooks are backing the Thunder’s home record and Denver’s reliance on one man to do a whole lot, and that chasm in depth is baked into the number. Remember to check the latest odds, as they are subject to change!

Best Bets for Game 7

Oddsmakers tend to keep Game 7 lines conservative, and this matchup shows that—but there are still some smart bets that are up for grabs!

• Thunder -7.5: OKC’s been dependable at home all season long. They’ve covered big numbers against good teams, and when their defense forces turnovers, the game gets away quickly. If they start out fast, Denver’s going to have to fight hard just to keep it close.
• Over 213 Total Points: The last two games both went over this number. If Jokić is going to touch the ball every trip, and SGA keeps getting to his spots, it doesn’t need to be a shootout to clear 213.
• Jokić Over 29.5 Points: He’s cleared this number in four of six games. Volume isn’t the issue—it’s if he gets the help he needs. Expect 20+ field goal attempts and a long night on the floor. Unless OKC runs away with it early? Jokić will get there.

Thunder or Nuggets? Our Final Call for Game 7

Everything up until this point has been pretty even—three wins apiece, two stars doing most of the work, and both teams showing they can respond under pressure. But someone’s moving on, and someone’s packing it up.

Below are the deciding factors heading into Game 7:

• Oklahoma City’s Home Floor Has Been a Factor All Year: The Thunder went 35–6 at home in the regular season. That’s not nothing! It is structure, focus, and crowd energy that feeds into how they defend. They play faster, cleaner, and more decisively at Paycom Center.
• Jokić Keeps Denver in Range: There’s no one else in the league that’s quite like him. He’s always efficient, patient, and borderline unguardable. If the game slows down or gets physical, Denver will keep passing to him until OKC forces the ball out of his hands.
• SGA’s Job Is to Finish: He’s run the show and gotten his team through every round of pressure, and Game 7 will be a test for him once again. He can always put up 35, but can he manage the game when it’s close, and make the right read in the last four minutes? That’ll decide if his team moves on.

Our Final Prediction: Thunder 114, Nuggets 106

Jokić is going to put up numbers. That’s just a given. But he’s not getting consistent help, and Denver hasn’t found a way to take OKC out of what they do best. Oklahoma City has more players contributing on both ends, and their defensive pressure has forced Denver’s role players into rushed decisions all series long.

SGA doesn’t have to totally take over; he just has to manage the last six minutes. If he does, and OKC avoids the usual Game 7 jitters? They should finish this up at home.

Ready to get in on the action? Place your Game 7 bets now with one of our recommended betting sites!

Why Most Bettors Misuse Parlays (And How to Make Them Smarter)

Parlays are super seductive among bettors. It’s a fantasy of turning a measly $10 bet into $1,000 without having to play traditional casino games, like slots or blackjack. That is what makes them so sexy, and it’s also why sportsbooks love them.

But not everyone knows how to play parlays—a lot of bettors are doing it wrong. And not just wrong in the “they lose occasionally” kinda way. It’s worse than that. They’re doing it wrong in a “always giving away their money without even realizing it” way!

A parlay is a bet that is a combo of multiple individual wagers, and every leg has to win for the ticket to cash. Yes, the payout multiplies, but that means the learning curve goes up because it’s difficult. What starts out as “fun and cheap” can turn into a bankroll annihilator if you’re not really careful.

We aren’t saying that parlays are worthless, we’re saying the opposite! You just need to know how to use them. When you do them the right way, they are a nice boost to your controlled betting plan. Want to learn how? Great! Our guide breaks down where some bettors go off the rails, and how you can parlay like someone who knows how to parlay!

What Is a Parlay?

As we said above, a parlay is a single wager that links two or more individual bets, which are also known as “legs.” For your bet to win, every leg has to hit. Miss just one? You lose.

Why Most Bettors Love Parlays (Even When They Shouldn’t)

Parlays are comparable to the Powerball lotto of sports betting: everyone dreams about winning the big one, but no one really talks about the 99.9% who don’t cash.

But casual bettors still love them because they’re fun, can be rewarding, and that ol’ cognitive bias.

Big Wins, Small Bets

A $5 parlay with 5+ legs can return $200 or more. And that low-entry, high-reward combo is super addictive. Especially for people who don’t want to bet big amounts, so they get to dream big with very little risk.

The problem is that even small bets can pile up and be a financial drain when they keep on losing.

Entertainment Value

When you bet parlays, you’re usually watching multiple games at the same time. Your ticket could have a 1 pm kickoff, a 4 pm underdog, and a late-night NBA game. That turns one bet into a full-day thing, which is fun, even if it’s not so smart.

The ‘So Close!’ Bias

Parlays mess with your memory. You’ll forget the ones where you went 0-for-4, but that 5-leg parlay where 4 legs hit? That one will haunt you forever.

“I was one leg away” can turn into some kind of a rallying cry instead of what it should be—a warning. It keeps people chasing, thinking they’re on the verge of greatness, but in reality? It’s just a vicious cycle of beating themselves.

The Common Ways Bettors Misuse Parlays

Misusing parlays is pretty common among bettors. We have the over loaders, the bad bet mixers, the loss chasers, and the EV ignorers. Don’t be one of these bettors and make the same mistakes.

Overloading Parlays

It starts out small. A 2-leg parlay. Then a 3-leg. Then someone builds a 12-leg monster parlay hoping to hit for five grand on a $10 ticket. Sounds like fun—and don’t get us wrong, it is—but also? It’s totally reckless.

The more legs you add, the lower your true odds of winning become.

Below is what your win probability looks like with a 50% win rate per leg:

That’s not our opinion, that’s math, baby! And if you’re betting with odds like that on the reg? You’re torching your money.

Mixing Bad Bets

Too many parlays are literally filled with junk.

Bettors will add legs that they don’t believe in just to pump the payout. A 4-leg parlay with three strong picks and one random longshot doesn’t make it “bigger.” All it does is make it more likely to lose.

Chasing Losses

If you hit a rough patch, it’s pretty common to throw together a parlay in hopes that you’ll  “win it all back.” This rarely, if ever, ends well. You’re emotional, unfocused, and grasping at bets that you would never make—all to chase a longshot that will only look good in hindsight.

Ignoring Expected Value (EV)

Expected Value is the math behind whether your bet is a good one or a dud. And most bettors disregard or ignore it entirely when they build parlays.

A parlay could feel like it’s a smart combo, but if each leg has negative EV, the parlay only compounds that loss. It’s like piling up bad decisions and hoping that somehow, some way, the sum will suddenly be good.

Guess what? It doesn’t.

The Math Behind Why Parlays Are a Bad Bet (For Most People)

Ok, so let’s say that you’re betting on games where you have a 50/50 chance of hitting each leg, which is really generous when you factor in the house edge.

Now look at how your chance of winning drops with every added leg:

• A 2-leg parlay? You win 25% of the time.
• A 3-leg? Down to 12.5%.
• A 5-leg? Just 3.1%.

You get the idea.

Even if each individual leg feels like it’s “safe,” the combined probability drops, and it drops fast. Sportsbooks don’t care—in fact, they love it. Parlays only account for a tiny portion of bets but a huge portion of the overall profit for sportsbooks.

Why? Because the house edge compounds with each leg:

• You’re paying juice (the vig) multiple times.
• You’re betting on your own ability to be perfect across the board, which almost no one is.

Books keep the generous payouts up front, but the math says that they’re pocketing your losses, and they’re more than happy to do so.

How to Make Parlays Smarter (If You Still Want to Use Them)

You don’t want to give up your parlays. Fair enough! If you’re still heck bent on them, here’s how you can use them with at least a little discipline!

• Limit the Legs – Stick to 2–3 legs max. Anything more is basically a lottery ticket, and you are not gonna build smart bankroll strategies on lottery tickets.
• Only Combine Strong Picks – Don’t throw in “just one more” leg for funsies. If you wouldn’t bet it as a single, definitely don’t include it in a parlay!
• Use Correlated Parlays (If Allowed) – If you can parlay a team to win + their QB over passing yards, you’ve got a correlated outcome. Same goes for RB over rushing yards + opponent under team total. Just be aware that not all books allow these combos, especially in same-game parlays.
• Shop for the Best Odds – Not all sportsbook sites pay the same parlay odds—not even close. Some undercut the standard payout structure (line shopping) even more than with straight bets! Use a parlay calculator if you need to, and compare expected payout across different sportsbooks.
• Keep Your Stakes Small – Treat parlays like they are scratch-off lotto tix: cheap, fun, and easy to control. Don’t ever build your betting bankroll strategy around them.

Advanced Tip: When Parlays Can Make Sense

Parlays aren’t always a money trap. There are a few rare moments that they’ll actually work in your favor, but only if you’re sharp enough to see them.

Correlated Plays

Some same-game parlays mean that you are able to take advantage of in-game logic. If you believe a team will dominate on the ground, you could pair the following:

• Team to win
• RB over rushing yards
• Opponent under passing yards

If the game does flow your way, they all hit, and they’re mathematically connected!

High EV Spots

Rare, but they do exist. If you’ve done the work and uncovered value on multiple sides or totals, a parlay can build on that edge, but only if each leg already holds a standalone value.

If you wouldn’t bet each leg solo, it doesn’t belong in your “smart” parlay either.

Best Betting Sites for Smarter Parlays

Sportsbooks are all different when it comes to parlays. Some offer players better SGP (Same Game Parlay) builders. Others run daily boosts or promo insurance (like “Parlay hit 3 of 4? Get a refund.”).

If you want to get an extra edge, you can take a look at our list of the best online betting sites with strong parlay odds, bonuses, and features!

Use Parlays Wisely

Parlays are really fun and are like a shot of adrenaline. And they’re absolutely fine to make, but only in moderation!

Way too many bettors treat them like they’re some kind of a strategy when they’re really only for entertainment. If you build every parlay hoping it’ll hit and bail you out? That’s not betting, you’re dreaming, and you need to wake up!

Play them for fun. Keep them tight. And if you’re going to use them, use them like someone who actually understands what’s happening when you make them!

Final Takeaways

• Don’t overload your parlays! Only do 2–3 legs max.
• Stay far away from longshots or “just for fun” add-ons.
• Use correlated plays where they are allowed.
• Bet with conviction and not with your emotions.
• Treat parlays like the low-stakes fun that they are meant to be, not as any kind of a long-term strategy.
• Always know the math before you parlay away.

Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars Game 6 Betting Preview (May 17, 2025)

The Stars had a chance to wrap things up in Game 5, but the Jets weren’t done, no, sir! Winnipeg came out aggressive and won, and that drags out the series to a Game 6 in Dallas. They’ve got home ice, so the Stars will do their best to settle back in and finally finish it. It won’t be that cut and dried, though—the Jets want this, and if they have another strong push? They’ll stay in it. 

Keep reading for the latest odds and lines, who and what to watch for, and the best bets heading into what will be another hard-fought battle on the boards!

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars
• Series Status: Dallas leads 3-2
• Date & Time: Saturday, May 17, 8:00 pm ET
• Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
• Broadcast: ABC / ESPN+

Winnipeg got it done in Game 5, and the win kept the series going and sent things back to Dallas, where the Stars now have another shot to end it. They’ve been playing well at home, but letting this series stretch on further could jeopardize that. The Jets have another chance to prove Game 5 wasn’t a fluke. Both squads want to get to the Western Conference Finals, but there can be only one that advances.

Recent Performance

Game 5 was all Jets, baby! Connor Hellebuyck swatted away all 22 shots that came his way, and Winnipeg finally broke through in the third with a pair of goals from Nikolaj Ehlers. After getting bottled up in back-to-back losses, their offense looked way more connected, and they stayed out of the box. Dallas had a hard time generating any scoring chances and pretty much looked flat for most of the night. 

Series Overview

This series has not been consistent—it’s been a string of one-offs where neither team has managed to build off of their last win. Dallas has been good at home, Winnipeg has shown up sporadically, but neither side has put together anything convincing back-to-back. Below is how the series has shaken out:

• Game 1: Stars 3, Jets 2
• Game 2: Jets 4, Stars 0
• Game 3: Stars 5, Jets 2
• Game 4: Stars 3, Jets 1
• Game 5: Jets 4, Stars 0

Team Insights

Five games in, and both teams have shown where they’re strong and where things fall apart. The following is what each side is bringing onto the ice in Game 6!

Winnipeg Jets

• Strengths: Defensive zone coverage was good in Game 5, and Hellebuyck looked like his old self again. And when he’s dialed in, the rest of the team plays better.
• Challenges: Winning in Dallas hasn’t gone well for them, and they’ve had a hard time following up after wins. The offense finally showed signs of life. The question is whether it can carry over.

Dallas Stars

• Strengths: They’ve had the better scoring depth of the two teams throughout the series and have handled home ice really well. Their forecheck has been really effective when they aren’t chasing the game.
• Challenges: Game 5 exposed some cracks. The penalties were racked up, and they didn’t recover from it. They have to clean it up and reset before things go south in front of their home crowd.

Key Players to Watch

There are certain skaters and goalies who have already left their mark on this series, but Game 6 is gonna be the kind of night where one chance, one shot, or one mistake can alter the outcome.

Betting Odds & Trends

Below are the current betting odds, listed on DraftKings:

Trends

• The home team has come out on top in four out of the five games so far.
  
• Three of the five games have finished under the total, and that included two shutouts.
  
• Dallas is 2-0 at home this series and has outscored Winnipeg 8-3 in those games.

Best Bets

The lines are showing what we’ve seen so far, and that’s low-scoring games, tight margins, and a strong home record for the Stars. Your best bets for Game 6 are as follows:

Our Game 6 Forecast: It’s Clutch Time in Dallas

Our Final Prediction: Dallas Stars 3, Winnipeg Jets 1

Dallas goes back home holding a 3–2 lead and a chance to close it out in friendly fan territory. They’ve been the better team at American Airlines Center, but Game 5 proved that Winnipeg isn’t gonna roll over and play dead. The Jets found their footing in all three zones, and that confidence should carry into Game 6.

• Winnipeg’s Push: Game 5 was the Jets’ most complete performance of the series. They’ll need another effort like that, which was disciplined, physical, and opportunistic, to stay in it.
  
• Home-Ice Edge for Dallas: The Stars have played their best hockey at home, especially early in games. Getting a lead could take the immense pressure off of Oettinger and simplify their game plan.
  
• Goaltending Spotlight: Hellebuyck is coming off a shutout, and Oettinger has generally been strong in this rink. If either netminder steals a period, it could change everything.
  
• Top Plays: Stars ML and Under 5.5 still look good based on how the series has shaken out so far.
  
• X-Factor: Rantanen’s scoring instincts against Hellebuyck’s ability to stay composed under pressure? One break either way could decide it.

The Stars didn’t have it in Game 5, but they’ve handled business on home ice throughout the series. If they stay disciplined and get a bounce-back night from Oettinger? It should be enough to hold off Winnipeg. The Jets finally looked like themselves last game, but duplicating that effort in Dallas is a big ask.

Still, we predict that Dallas finishes the series in front of their fans; they are playing a more controlled and just all-around better hockey than the Jets.

Want to place your own bets on Game 6 between these two teams? Make sure to get them in at one of our top online betting sites and take advantage of bonus offers and quick payouts.