St. Louis CITY FC vs. LA Galaxy Prediction & Best Bets (June 14, 2025)

The Galaxy haven’t picked up a single win on the road all year, and CITYPARK isn’t the place where teams can remedy that hole.

St. Louis hammered LA 3–0 back in March and has had their number since they joined the league. The crowd will be loud, the afternoon will be muggy, and LA’s defensive issues aren’t going anywhere, so we don’t think they’ll snap out of their slump here.

This game does have goal potential, but St. Louis knows how to take advantage of a wobbly back line, and the Galaxy’s is among the worst in the West. That sounds way harsh, but it’s the truth.

Look below for everything you need to know about this one, including betting odds, team stats and history, and what we feel are the best bets!

Match Overview

  • Fixture: St. Louis CITY FC vs. LA Galaxy
  • Date & Time: Saturday, June 14, 3:30 p.m. local (4:30 p.m. ET)
  • Location: CITYPARK, St. Louis, MO
  • Competition: MLS regular season
  • Weather: Warm and muggy; around 82 °F (28 °C), with scattered showers or thunderstorms possible in the late afternoon
  • Atmosphere & Broadcast: CITYPARK will be loud and packed with fans. The match is streaming on MLS Season Pass (Apple TV), FOX, and FOX Deportes. English radio commentary airs on KYKY Y98.1 FM; Spanish on KXOK 102.9 FM 

Head‑to‑Head & Historical Context

St. Louis hasn’t lost to LA in any of their five meetings (two wins, three draws) and they’ve outscored the Galaxy 11–7 during the stretch. That includes a 3–0 result in March where LA couldn’t keep up with CITY’s high press or finish the few looks that they managed to create.

Here’s a recent pattern breakdown:

  • Over 1.5 goals in every matchup
  • 4 of the last 5 cleared 2.5
  • Both sides found the net in 4 of 5

LA regularly gives up chances, and St. Louis has shown that they can turn those into goals when they’re the ones setting the pace. And even when LA hasn’t played well, they’ve still managed to get on the board.

Current Form

ST Louis City Logo

St. Louis CITY FC: Home results have been really hit-or-miss. They handled San Jose but dropped matches to Portland and Colorado. Defensive shape has faltered late in matches, and lapses in midfield pressure have been super costly.

LA Galaxy Logo

LA Galaxy: Still winless away from home. Sitting last in the Western Conference, they’ve conceded 36 goals and continue to lack end product in final-third build-ups on the road.

Betting Odds & Stats

If you are putting some money on this matchup, here are the latest odds and lines from ESPN BET:

  • Moneyline: St. Louis +100, Draw +260, LA Galaxy +240 
  • Over 2.5 goals: Hit in 80% of head-to-heads, with betting odds around 1.70 (~58.8% implied probability)
  • Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Same 80% success rate in past meetings

Clean Sheet Chances

  • St. Louis kept a home clean sheet in ~38% of matches this season 
  • LA has failed to keep a single away clean sheet in nine road games

Best Bets & Confidence

What do we think are the best bets for this game? Look below for the three that we are most confident about!

  • St. Louis Moneyline (+100) | This is the spot where the matchup and venue align. CITY has never lost to LA, and the Galaxy’s winless road record speaks for itself. The odds are playable at plus money, and St. Louis is long overdue for a bounce-back result at home.
  • Over 2.5 Total Goals (–175) | These two usually combine for high-scoring games. Four of their last five matchups have hit the Over, and LA’s defensive setup continues to give away too many clear looks. Even if St. Louis dictates most of the play, LA has enough up front to push the total past the mark.
  • Both Teams to Score (–190) | This has hit in 80% of their recent meetings, and the numbers support another shootout. St. Louis should score early, but LA’s attack has signs of life even when they’re behind, and their defense won’t keep a clean sheet unless something goes sideways.

Prediction Recap: Where the Value Sits

Final Score Prediction: St. Louis City FC 3 – 1 LA Galaxy

St. Louis has the advantage at home, and with LA’s midfield stretched and their back line being so unreliable? The matchup lines up well for the hosts to dictate the tempo and find the net first!

St. Louis has handled LA Galaxy really well in every meeting so far, and their home track record makes the moneyline worth backing again. The Galaxy haven’t solved their road issues, and being without a key playmaker like Riqui Puig limits their ability to control possession or generate quality chances.

Head-to-head history points to a match with goals; Over 2.5 and BTTS both make sense based on how the teams compare. And with high humidity in the forecast and possible showers? Set pieces or second-ball finishes could decide this one!

Panthers vs. Oilers Game 5 Preview & Prediction (June 14, 2025)

Game 4 in the Stanley Cup Finals was incredible and had us on the edge of our collective couches. Just when we thought the Oilers had it? Sam Reinhart scored for the Panthers with 19.5 seconds left, tying it up at 4-4. The goal forced the game into OT.

We weren’t the only ones biting our fingernails; Taylor Swift and her BF Travis Kelce were in the house watching this anxiety-inducing ice battle, although we don’t know who they were rooting for.

Ok, back to the important stuff! With 8:42 left in OT, Leon Draisaitl clapped in the game-winner. The final score? 5-4, and the Oilers are headed home with the series tied up at 2-2 for Game 5.

It was truly an epic win for the Oilers after the way they played in Game 3. We won’t have any cuticles left if this is how the next game plays out, so buckle up! Who do we think will pull ahead? What are the odds and lines? And what do we think are the best bets? We’ve got all that and more below!

Game Details & Where to Watch

  • Matchup: Florida Panthers vs. Edmonton Oilers
  • Series Status: – Tied 2–2 after Edmonton’s 5–4 OT win in Game 4
  • Date & Time: Saturday, June 14, at 8:00 p.m. ET 
  • Location: Rogers Place, Edmonton (Oilers’ home ice)
  • Broadcast: TNT, truTV, Max (also SN, CBC, TVAS in Canada)

Prediction Breakdown

Florida Panthers 47.4%
Edmonton Oilers 52.6%

According to GamblingSite.com

Main Storylines

Game 4 changed everything. The series is now tied, so any momentum has been reset. Here’s what’s driving the matchup as the series goes back to Edmonton!

Oilers Made History and They Know It

Game 4 wasn’t only an amazing comeback; it put Edmonton in the record books. They’re the first team in 106 years to erase a 3-goal deficit on the road in the Final and win. That kind of result changes the balance in a series. Calvin Pickard came in cold, and he’s now 7–0 in relief this postseason. That gives Edmonton flexibility in net, which is something that they didn’t have a month ago.

Florida’s Built for This

The Panthers aren’t fazed. They’ve won playoff series after falling behind, and they’ve done it in far worse spots. This is their third consecutive Final appearance. Bobrovsky has a .912 save rate and steady rebound control; he’s kept them from falling apart when coverage breaks down.

Oilers Favored at Home, and the Books Are Backing It

Edmonton opened around –120 on the moneyline, total at 6.5. They’re getting the heavier side of the handle; over 75% of the money is coming in on them for the series. Playing at Rogers Place is important here! The Oilers are scoring over four goals per game at home in the playoffs, and their top skaters see more open ice in games.

Matchup to Watch: Florida’s Pressure vs. Edmonton’s Speed

The Panthers push really hard below the goal line and exploit slow breakouts. Their cycle game forces longer shifts and makes it really hard to cleanly change lines. The Oilers rely on speed through the neutral zone; McDavid, Draisaitl, and Bouchard all do their best when the puck’s moving quickly. If Edmonton’s defense can get it up ice with control, they’ll get chances. If not, Florida will bury them with zone time and volume.

Player Watch & X‑Factors

Here is who we’ll have our eyes on in Game 5:

  • Leon Draisaitl: He’s scored four overtime goals this postseason, including the Game 4 winner at 11:18 of the extra frame. In close games that go past regulation, no one’s been more lethal.
  • Connor McDavid: He has only one goal in four games in the Final and was held without a shot in the first two periods of Game 4. If Edmonton wants to pull away? McDavid needs to generate more looks through the neutral zone.
  • Sergei Bobrovsky: He gave up five goals on 32 shots in Game 4 and looked beatable high glove side. If Florida wants to control Game 5, Bobrovsky has to control the crease; Edmonton averages over 15 shot attempts in first periods at home this postseason.

Game 5 Betting Odds

Betting on this one? Here are the latest odds via FanDuel:

TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal

Panthers

+1.5 (-245)

+102

Over 6.5 (+102)

Oilers

-1.5 (+198)

-122

Under 6.5 (-122)

  • Moneyline: The Oilers are slight favorites at home (~55% implied win rate) 
  • Spread: Market prices Panthers to cover the spread
  • Total: Slight lean toward the Under  

Quick Analysis

  • Oilers at –122 gives them about a 54.5% implied chance to win on home ice; it’s a modest edge, not a massacre.
  • Panthers +1.5 at –245 shows oddsmakers are expecting a close finish, likely another one-goal margin.
  • Under 6.5 at –122 signals low-scoring expectations; books are factoring in tightened systems, fewer clean looks, and strong goaltending for both.

Best Bets

Game 5 lines are really tight, but there are still a few angles that we think look decent! Here are our best bets:

  • Moneyline: Oilers to Win (–122) | Edmonton’s home numbers hold up, and after that insane Game 4 comeback? Most expert picks are backing them to carry that momentum right into Game 5.
  • Total: Under 6.5 Goals (–122) | Both teams are gonna clamp down early. Florida wants to control the pace, and Edmonton’s defense has gotten better since Game 1. This sets up for fewer clean looks and a goaltending-heavy result.
  • Player Prop: Leon Draisaitl 3+ Shots or OT Goal | He’s been the most consistent shooting threat in this series and already has four OT goals in this postseason. This has really good standalone value, and even better if tied into a same-game parlay with the under.

Feeling confident about placing a bet on game 5? Make sure you do it at one of our trusted betting sites to ensure you’re getting the best odds and bonuses.

Why Game 5 Could Decide the Cup

Final Score Prediction: Edmonton Oilers 3 – Florida Panthers 2 (Final/Regulation)

Florida will press hard below the goal line and test Edmonton’s breakouts. But if McDavid and Draisaitl get even a couple of clean rushes? That’s all it takes in a building where they’ve averaged 4.2 goals per game this postseason!

Game 4 changed it all. And not just the scoreline, but the entire dynamic. Edmonton pulled off something that no team had done in 106 years, and now they go home with the series tied and the momentum in their favor.

But Florida will not lie down or roll over. They’ve been in much deeper waters in past postseasons and still have the better bench and the better goalie in Bobrovsky. The difference this time? Home ice, and the way Edmonton’s top line performs in that building.

We’re betting on a close game with less high-danger chances, and a finish that is more structured and not as chaotic as Game 4. If it plays out that way, the advantage goes to the Oilers if Draisaitl keeps playing the way he has been.

There’ll be a goaltending battle between Pickard and Bobrovsky. The winner of this one will not only take the lead, but they might also take the Cup!

Giants vs. Dodgers Prediction & Betting Preview (June 13, 2025)

The Dodgers are 24–9 at home going into today’s game, and Yamamoto will be on the mound! He’s posted a 1.73 ERA over his last five starts with 34 strikeouts and only four walks. He’s been pretty much untouchable at Dodger Stadium.

The Giants have lost 6 of their last 9, and their offense has cratered; they’re averaging under 3.5 runs per game. Oof.

They’ll counter with Keaton Winn, who’s pitched in back-to-back outings and has barely been able to get past the fifth inning. Against the Dodgers hitters? That might be a mistake.

There’s nothing remotely even about this matchup, and we aren’t the only ones who see it. But there are still some good betting angles! And we’ll tell you what our best bets are, along with a couple of decent props!

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers
  • Date & Time: Friday, June 13, 10:10 pm ET
  • Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
  • How to Watch: MLB Network / Streaming
  • Weather Forecast: 73°F, clear skies

Prediction Breakdown

San Francisco Giants 36.3%
Los Angeles Dodgers 63.7%

According to GamblingSite.com

Latest Betting Odds

Look below for the latest odds and lines courtesy of BetMGM:

TeamRun LineMoneylineTotal Runs

Giants

+1.5 (at around –150 to –160)

+155

Over 7.5 (between –102 and –125)

Dodgers

-1.5 (at roughly +125 to +135 )

-190

Under 7.5 (between +100 and +105 )

Best Bets & Props

What are we looking at for best bets and props? Here are our four picks!

Bet/OddsConfidenceWhy We Like It

Dodgers -190

⭐⭐⭐⭐

LA’s 24–9 at home, and Yamamoto’s been dealing; 2.20 ERA, especially good under the lights.

Under 7.5 Runs (+105)

⭐⭐⭐

Two solid arms on the mound, and the Giants aren’t doing much damage on the road. The market is leaning over—this plays the other side.

Yamamoto Over 6.5 Strikeouts

⭐⭐⭐⭐

San Francisco is near the bottom of the league in strikeout rate vs righties. Yamamoto’s splitter should eat.

First 5 Innings: Dodgers -0.5

⭐⭐⭐

LA’s been quick to get on the board. The Giants tend to fall behind early, especially on the road.

Our AI’s Prediction

  • “Dodgers 4 – Giants 2. Yamamoto pitches 7 strong with 8 strikeouts. Game trends under. Dodgers cover early, but late runs stay tight.”
  • AI Top Pick: Yamamoto Over 6.5 Ks

Final Thoughts & Prediction

Our Score Prediction: Dodgers 4, Giants 2

You don’t have to overthink this one; it leans hard one way, and the price still leaves room to play it!

The Dodgers have the advantage across the board: home form, starting pitching, and lineup stability. Yamamoto’s been lights out, and San Fran hasn’t shown anything near enough at the plate to trust them in this spot. The total does feel low, but since both starters are capable of logging six-plus and limiting hits? The Under has some value.

The best angle? Dodgers on the moneyline, with Yamamoto strikeout props that are well worth targeting for a higher payout!

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction & Top Bets (June 13, 2025)

Yankees vs. Red Sox. Fenway Park. Friday night. If that sentence alone doesn’t make you hear angry Bahhstan and hard New York Brooklyn accents and the sound of a ball clanging off the Green Monster wall in left field (hit by Aaron Judge, obvi), you either don’t watch baseball or you’re dead inside.

New York is sitting pretty on top of the AL East, Judge is hitting the crap out of pretty much every ball he’s pitched, and they’ve been whooping teams in the last month. Boston hasn’t been having the season that the Yanks are having; BUT they’ve taken a few from the Yankees, so this one won’t be a formality.

We’ve got two southpaws on the mound: Garrett Crochet for the Sox and Ryan Yarbrough for the Yankees. It could be a pitch-to-standoff contest or batting practice. It all depends on which version of the pitchers show up.

It’s a long-standing rivalry, and it’ll be a good game. But who’s gonna win? What are the betting lines? And which bets make the most sense? We gotchu covered, so keep reading!

Game Details: Yankees vs. Red Sox

  • Matchup: Yankees (42–25) vs. Red Sox (34–36)
  • Date & Time: Friday, June 13; at 7:10 pm ET
  • Location: Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts
  • How to Watch: ESPN, MLB.tv, YES Network (local), NESN (local)
  • Weather Forecast: Clear skies, 74°F at first pitch, light winds. It’s the best baseball weather!

Prediction Breakdown

New York Yankees 40.3%
Boston Red Sox 59.7%

According to GamblingSite.com

Series & Season Context

Boston took two of three when the teams met earlier this month, putting up 10 and 11 runs in back-to-back wins. The Yankees’ pitching staff didn’t look great, and the bullpen didn’t help much.

That being said, it didn’t really change the standings. New York is still on top of the AL East at 41–25. Boston’s nine games back at 34–36 in fourth place and looking like a .500 team that doesn’t know what it wants to be when it grows up.

Boston hit New York hard once, and now they get them at Fenway. We’ll see if that holds up, or if the Yankees play like they’re just there to rub in what the standings are.

Betting Odds

According to FanDuel, here are the odds and lines (as of June 13) for the game.

TeamRun LineMoneylineTotal Runs

Yankees

+1.5 (-184)

+140

Over 8.5 (-110)

Red Sox

-1.5 (+152)

-142

Under 8.5 (-110)

Probable Pitchers & Matchup Analytics

  • Yankees: Ryan Yarbrough (LHP): 3–1, 4.17 ERA, 1.15 WHIP in 45.1 IP
  • Red Sox: Garrett Crochet (LHP): 6–4, 2.35 ERA, 110 K across 88 IP
  • ESPN model: Boston win probability at 63%

Crochet’s strikeout rate gives Boston the pitching advantage; Yarbrough pitches to contact, and Fenway doesn’t reward that.

Main Storylines to Watch

There’s some drama in this plot: great batting, a rematch on the mound, and a lineup that’s missing one of its usual anchors. This is what we’re watching:

  • Crochet vs. Judge, The Sequel: Garrett Crochet got Judge out three times in Boston’s 10–7 win earlier this month. That’s rare indeed. Judge is hitting .392 with 25 home runs and leads the league in slugging. If Crochet can hold him again? That changes the game.
  • Yarbrough’s control in a hitter’s park: He allowed seven hits in his last start against Boston, and Fenway doesn’t leave a lot of room for soft contact to survive. Yarbrough has to keep the ball down and avoid long innings, which is something he hasn’t always managed to do against this lineup.
  • Middle-of-the-order damage potential: Judge and Devers are both driving in runs at a high rate. Judge sits at 59 RBI, and Devers is nipping at his heels at 57. If either gets pitches to hit with men on, the game can change in a single inning.
  • No Bregman for Boston: Boston’s lineup loses a right-handed bat with Bregman still out (quad), which means there’ll be less balance against Yarbrough and more pressure on Devers to produce against a lefty.

Our Best Bets

If you’re betting this one, it lines up better for Boston than the books are giving it credit for. Here’s what we think are the five best bets!

Bet/OddsPickConfidenceWhy We Like It

Red Sox +110

✅ Boston to win

⭐⭐⭐⭐

Crochet is dealing, Yankees strike out a ton, and Fenway plays to Boston’s side.

Under 8.5 (-110)

✅ Under

⭐⭐⭐⭐

Two strong lefties, one key bat missing, and fewer chances for big innings.

Garrett Crochet Over 6.5 Ks (-120)

✅ Over

⭐⭐⭐⭐

He struck out 10 Yankees last week. They haven’t adjusted.

Aaron Judge HR Prop (+275)

⚠️ Longshot

⭐⭐

Judge leads the league in HRs; he has a high ceiling, even if Crochet got him last time.

Same-Game Parlay (Varies)

✅ BOS ML + Crochet 7+ Ks + Under 9.5

⭐⭐⭐

If Boston controls the tempo, this hits—a strong setup for a low-scoring win.

This is the spot to fade the public’s love for the Yankees and ride with Boston. Crochet’s pitching with command, and this matchup leans toward a lower-scoring game with fewer big innings. Judge and Devers will probably trade blows, but the arms should keep things in check.

You can get any of the above picks now at one of the best online sportsbooks!

Yankees vs. Red Sox: Our Final Call

Final Score Prediction: Red Sox 4, Yankees 2

Crochet has the advantage against a Yankees lineup that’s been striking out at a high rate. Judge is always the biggest concern, but Boston handled him pretty well in their last meeting. 

If Crochet can get through five or six without giving up much? Boston’s bullpen is solid enough to hold the line. New York has been putting up runs, but this matchup could slow that down. Boston’s in a pretty good position to take this one at home!

Thunder vs. Pacers Game 4 Prediction & Preview (June 13, 2025)

The Pacers are up 2-1 in the NBA Finals after beating OKC in Game 3 at home. The final score? 116-107. Not a blowout, but a win is a win, and now they’re in the lead.

The Thunder had a 5 point lead going into the fourth period, but Indiana pulled away when their offense kicked into high gear. Haliburton made a 3-pointer, which put the Pacers up 101-98. Turner got a layup, Toppin made a sick putback dunk over OKC’s Dort, and the Thunder never recovered.

Next up? Game 4 on the Pacers’ home court in Indy. Will they even it up to 2-2? Or will the Pacers take it at home and make it 3-1? Sure hope neither team is superstitious—the matchup is on Friday the 13th.

Keep reading to find out what we think, stats, betting odds, and, of course, our best bets for the game!

Game Details

  • Matchup: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers
  • Series Status: Indiana Leads 2-1
  • Date & Time: Friday, June 13, at 8:30 pm ET
  • Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
  • Broadcast: ABC and streaming on ESPN App, YouTube TV, Hulu + Live TV, Sling TV

Prediction Breakdown

Thunder 55.1%
Pacers 44.9%

According to GamblingSite.com

Series Snapshot

Here’s how it’s gone down so far:

  • The Pacers lead the series 2–1 after a 116–107 win in Game 3 at home.
  • The Thunder were up by 5 going into the fourth, but Indiana came back with an insane run led by Haliburton and Mathurin.
  • Bennedict Mathurin dropped 27 off the bench and gave Indiana a huge boost when the game shifted.
  • OKC turned it over 17 times and shot 35% in the fourth; they couldn’t keep up once Indiana pulled ahead.
  • Game 4 stays in Indy, and the pressure’s on the Thunder to avoid going down 3–1.

Main Matchups to Watch

Indiana got the lead in Game 3 by throwing SGA totally off track and Haliburton being on point. The following are the two spots that everyone will be watching:

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander vs. Indiana’s pressure: SGA is putting up close to 36 points per game in the Finals, but the Pacers started flashing backcourt traps late in Game 3, and it worked. Shawn Marion even called for Indiana to double him earlier and more often. Expect more bodies thrown at him and quicker help rotations to force the ball out of his hands.
  • Tyrese Haliburton’s control vs. OKC’s perimeter defense: Haliburton hit the game-winner in Game 1, turned the ball over five times in Game 2, and came back looking good in Game 3. If Dort and Wallace speed him up again? Indiana’s offense could get stuck.

Supporting Cast

  • Chet Holmgren (Thunder): His scoring hasn’t dropped off, but the rebounding numbers sure have. He’s hit the under on his boards prop in all three Finals games so far. If OKC’s bigs don’t control the glass, Indiana’s second-chance looks will be a problem.
  • Jalen Williams (Thunder): Williams has been steady; 26 points in Game 3 and is averaging over 20 in the series. He’s looked more comfortable attacking early in the clock and could be the difference if Indiana keeps blitzing SGA.
  • Bennedict Mathurin (Pacers): Came off the bench and dropped 27 in Game 3. He’s been Indiana’s best scoring option outside the starters and gives them a serious advantage if OKC’s second unit can’t match his pace.

Betting Odds & Trends

If you’re gonna bet on Game 4, then you should know what’s what! Here are the latest odds and lines via DraftKings:

TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal

OKC Thunder

-6 (-110)

-218

Over 225.5 (-111)

IND Pacers

+6 (-110)

+180

Under 225.5 (-108)

ATS Records

  • Thunder: 54–26–2 straight up and against the spread (ATS)
  • Pacers: 37–43–2 SU/ATS

Scoring Momentum

  • OKC Over the total ~59% of home games
  • League average sits ~53% on totals; OKC’s higher number signals trust in their offense

Best Bets for Game 4

And here are the two best that we think look good for Game 4:

  • Thunder -6 Spread: OKC is 3–1 ATS following a playoff loss and has covered 7 of its last 10 when favored by 5 or more. If they cut down on turnovers and stay aggressive early, they’re built to cover this number.
  • Over 225.5 Total Points: All three games have pushed near this line or gone over. Both teams score in volume, and unless the pace slows way down late?! This should hit again!

Trends

  • The Over has hit in 11 of Indiana’s last 14 games: They shoot early, push the pace, and rarely make use of the full shot clock.
  • Pacers play at the league’s fastest pace: OKC ranks top 10 in points off fast breaks, so there’s constant movement and short possessions on both ends.
  • Heavy three-point volume on both sides: Indiana’s bench has been launching from outside, and the Thunder rely on spacing to create quick scoring runs. This keeps totals volatile if shooters get hot.

Prop Bets

Want some side action? We like these two props:

Isaiah Hartenstein – Under 7.5 Rebounds

  • Logged only 19 minutes in Game 3 and pulled down 4 boards.
  • OKC’s smaller lineups have limited his impact around the rim.
  • Indiana’s spacing forces the bigs to defend away from the glass.

Tyrese Haliburton – Over 2.5 Turnovers

  • Gave it away 5 times in Game 2 and 4 more in Game 3.
  • With Dort and Caruso on him and Indiana leaning heavily on his playmaking, there’s volume risk on every possession.
  • Averaging 3.4 turnovers per game during the postseason.

Thunder vs. Pacers Game 4 Prediction: Where the Value Lies

Look, we were off on Game 3, we know that and own it. We are only human! We thought OKC would carry over what worked in Game 2, but Indiana’s bench lit up out of nowhere. Mathurin dropped 27, the Pacers hit almost half of their shots from deep, and they dictated the pace from the minute the game started.

But Game 4? It isn’t the same setup.

The Thunder have bounced back from losses all year without slipping into back-to-back trouble. We think we’ll see shorter rotations, traps on Haliburton before he can get into motion, and way more discipline to stop Indiana’s early offense.

OKC still has the stronger shot creators and more perimeter coverage; they just didn’t finish it last time.

Final Score Prediction: Thunder 117, Pacers 108

Thunder cover the –6, and the Over stays in play! They tie it up 2-2 before going back to OKC.

Behind the Scenes: How Sportsbooks Use AI to Set Odds

Betting lines are not static—they never have been and never will be. They change throughout the day—sometimes within seconds of a lineup change, and others after a rush of action hits the board.

What’s behind the changes isn’t only a team of human beings anymore. The humans are still there, but they’re getting help from AI in the decision-making process.

Almost all major sportsbooks are now relying on AI to process the massive amounts of data, track market activity, and fine-tune odds in real time. The systems get historical stats, scan for news on injuries, weather updates, and clock social media sentiment to update pricing, and it does it faster than the humans.

How does it work? How are sportsbooks using AI to set and adjust odds, what tools are they using, and why are lines more methodical? And are they getting harder to beat? Where does human judgment fit into the picture, and what does the future of AI-powered betting look like? Let’s tackle the robots and pray they don’t become sentient.

Traditional Oddsmaking vs. AI-Powered Models

Before sportsbooks began to integrate AI, odds were set by teams of traders and analysts, aka oddsmakers. They looked at stats, historical matchups, injuries, weather, and betting trends. A lot of it came down to experience, and people who knew the sport and the market were setting a number that they thought was fair, and then adjusting it based on how bettors reacted.

And while this approach still works, it does have its limits. It’s slower. It depends solely on a small group of people spotting patterns and reacting in real time. And when hundreds of games are happening across different sports? It’s almost impossible to keep up.

AI changed this. With modern machine learning models, sportsbooks are now able to process data from thousands of games, players, and betting markets at the same time. The system can update odds automatically based on real-time inputs, like injury news, sharp action, or an influx of betting volume.

Most sportsbooks use a mix of people and artificial intelligence. AI is in charge of the fast updates and constant number crunching, and the human oddsmakers still are in charge of judgment calls, especially on big sports events or unusual markets. One isn’t replacing the other; it’s a combined effort of both to cover more ground, faster and more accurately.

The Core AI Tools Sportsbooks Use

The main AI tools handle three big jobs: collecting data, running simulations, and reacting to betting activity. 

Data Pipelines Icon

Data Ingestion Pipelines

This is the system that pulls in raw data from dozens of sources—score feeds, injury reports, betting activity, news outlets, weather APIs, and more. It’s how sportsbooks keep their models updated in real time. Without this setup? The AI would have nothing current to work with.

It’s akin to a giant funnel that collects everything happening in the sports world and sends it right into the algorithms.


Algorithmic Simulation Icon

Algorithmic Simulations

Once all of that data is in, AI runs thousands—or millions—of simulations to figure out how a game could play out. It’s not guessing, either: it’s based on inputs like team strength, player performance, injuries, and historical outcomes.

The results help to set point spreads, totals, prop lines, and alternate markets. It’s how the book gets a feel for the full range of possible outcomes, and what the most likely results will be.


Market Reaction Analysis Icon

Market Reaction Analysis

This tracks how bettors are reacting to the lines. If too much money is coming in on one side, the AI flags it. It could be casual money, or it might be sharp action; either way, the system adjusts odds to protect the book.

It’s also used to watch competitor books. If DraftKings moves a line and FanDuel doesn’t, market analysis tools will suggest syncing up quickly in order to avoid exposure.


How The AI Tools Work

  • Data Ingestion Pipelines: Pull in live data from games, news, injuries, weather, and bets to feed the AI models.
  • Algorithmic Simulations: Run thousands of simulated game outcomes based on real-time inputs to help price bets.
  • Market Reaction Analysis: Monitor how bettors and other sportsbooks move, and then adjust lines to limit their risk.

Real-Time Line Adjustments: How AI Reacts to Market Behavior

The moment that betting money starts leaning too far one way, sportsbooks aren’t sitting on their hands (the humans have hands, AI does not). The handless AI gets to work. It’s constantly scanning the flow of wagers and looking for patterns, like who’s betting, how much, and how fast lines are moving elsewhere.

If an influx of bets hits the spread for one team, odds can tighten or change in seconds, and it’s not because someone panicked, but because the system is programmed to limit all risk. The goal? Balance the action on both sides so the house doesn’t get caught paying out too much, no matter who wins.

You can see this play out on NFL Sundays during football season. If social media gets wind of a leak that a starting QB tweaked something in warmups? Sportsbooks that use AI aren’t waiting around for an official report. They’ll have already adjusted the odds based on bettor behavior and early movement, sometimes before fans have a chance to refresh their app.

Public vs. Sharp Money Detection

Sportsbooks don’t only care who’s betting—they care how they’re betting. And AI is the tool that they use to figure that out.

  • If someone makes a large bet right when the line opens, or keeps hitting numbers that move in their favor, AI clocks it. It then starts to build a profile: this bettor knows what they’re doing. Once a few of those bets land, the odds usually don’t stay put for long.
  • Compare that to a flood of casual bets; smaller ones that are made right before kickoff, and usually on the favorite. AI sees those too, but treats them way differently. The system doesn’t freak out, it just tweaks the line enough to stay ahead without overcorrecting.

This is how closing lines get sharper! They react more to informed bets than emotional ones. The goal is to protect the book from getting hit by people who know what they’re doing. And now, AI has the ability to make that separation faster than any human team ever could.

AI and Risk Management

Sportsbooks use AI to keep risk in check from the time a line goes live. How? By crunching incoming bets, comparing them to existing exposure, and adjusting the odds if things start veering too far in one direction.

They also run simulations in the background with thousands of possible outcomes based on current betting activity. That gives the book a heads-up on where things could go wrong and how much liability they have.

AI also flags behavior that might signal abuse. If someone is consistently sniping mispriced lines or pounces on promotions with amazing timing, the system can tag the account for review. Same goes for coordinated betting patterns across multiple accounts.

AI and Risk Management 3D Icon

It’s an around-the-clock team that’s scanning for anything that threatens a sportsbook’s bottom line.

Case Studies: AI in Action

AI is already a main component of how sportsbooks operate, even if most bettors don’t know it! Below are two examples of how it’s used.

FanDuel and DraftKings Use AI for Player Props

At FanDuel and DraftKings, AI is being utilized to adjust prop bets as any and all new info comes in. If a player is dealing with a minor injury or a defensive matchup changes, the systems don’t wait for someone to manually update the lines. They recalculate expected stats, check for betting patterns, and tweak numbers based on how the market’s moving. You’ll see a points total shift or a price change within minutes of a team update, and that’s not a human doing it; it’s the algorithm keeping the books tight.

Live Adjustments On NFL Sundays

NFL Sundays are when the real-time systems get put to work. During pregame warmups, if a player is limping, AI tools scan everything from team sheets to social posts to beat writer blurbs. That triggers line movement instantaneously. It doesn’t wait for a formal report, as it wants to stay ahead of the action before it turns into a liability. Odds shift quickly because the model’s designed to act before large bets come pouring in—it doesn’t want to be caught off balance.

Controversies & Limitations

As scarily powerful as AI is, of course, it has controversies, and there are limitations to what it can do!

  • Tougher to Beat the Book: Because algorithms are adjusting odds in real time, finding soft lines has become a lot harder. There’s less margin for human error when the pricing is handled by machines.
  • Built-In Bias: AI models rely on historical data. If that data is flawed, outdated, or skewed? The predictions can follow the same pattern. That means AI can miss unexpected outcomes or overvalue trends that don’t hold up to scrutiny.
  • Ethical Concerns: There are concerns that AI reacts faster than teams or players can communicate injury news, and that gives sportsbooks an advantage before the public knows what’s happened.

The Future of AI in Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks are starting to use AI for more than pricing odds. They’re exploring models that anticipate how bettors are likely to act, like if they are chasing losses, switching markets, or leaning toward certain types of bets. Odds could become more tailored, adjusting to individual preferences and past betting patterns.

Microbetting is another area that’s getting a tech upgrade. AI is able to process in-game stats and player data fast enough to support wagers on things like the next pitch or free throw. That kind of instant betting relies on fast, reliable machine analysis.

And then there’s the rise of generative AI. Some platforms are experimenting with tools that write automated odds breakdowns, explain bets in basic language, or recommend bets in real time based on trends. It’s not only on the backend; AI could soon be helping you choose what you bet on next.

Conclusion: Betting in an AI World: What You Need to Know

Toto? We aren’t in Kansas anymore, and you’re not betting in 2005. Algorithms are reading headlines, scanning social feeds, and reacting to bet slips faster than any human is capable of. It doesn’t mean that you’re outmatched, but it does mean you have to know what you’re up against.

Look below for a quick recap of what we covered:

  • AI is constantly adjusting odds that are based on data that you might not see or be aware of.
  • News breaks, lines move, and the window for real value doesn’t stay open for long.
  • The best bettors use tools that help them move faster and think more critically.

If you want to keep up with AI, you should use AI-powered tools like the one we have here!

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction & Preview (June 12, 2025)

The Cubs are back at Wrigley Field on Thursday night to face off against a Pirates team that hasn’t quite figured out how to win a game when they aren’t at home. Chicago sits at 41–27 with a 20–11 home record and has handled business across their last 10 games, winning seven of them. They’ve been getting good starting pitching, good bullpen work, and a top-half offense that’s been producing in the middle of the order.

Pittsburgh comes in at 28–41 and is 9–22 on the road. Andrew McCutchen tied with Roberto Clemente on the franchise home run list, and Oneil Cruz continues to put pressure on teams with his speed, but the Pirates still rank near the bottom of the National League in road scoring.

This game’s pitching matchup puts Jameson Taillon on the mound for the Cubs, and he’s only given up five runs during his last four starts. Opposite him is Andrew Heaney, who’s held his own through most of the season but doesn’t get a lot of support from his teammates.

Chicago has the better record, better bullpen numbers, and more reliable hitters in important areas, but that doesn’t mean there isn’t betting value on both sides!

Keep reading for a breakdown of the matchup, team stats, the latest betting odds (there’s a promising player prop), and what we think are the best bets for the game.

Game Overview

  • Matchup: Pirates (28–41, 9–22 on the road) vs. Cubs (41–27, 20–11 at home)
  • Date & Time: Thursday, June 12, first pitch at 8:05 pm ET
  • Location: Iconic Wrigley Field, Chicago
  • TV / Streaming: Marquee Sports Network in Chicago (Cubs feed); SportsNet Pittsburgh and SNP 360
  • Weather: Mild temps with partly cloudy skies, low dew point, and a light breeze

Prediction Breakdown

Pittsburgh Pirates 39.6%
Chicago Cubs 60.4%

According to GamblingSite.com

Pitching Matchup

Andrew Heaney’s surface stats look solid, but the Pirates rarely turn his outings into wins. He’s made a habit of going five or six innings with minimal damage, only to watch games turn once he’s out. That’s not entirely on him, but it’s the reality he’s been pitching through.

Jameson Taillon has looked sharper in recent weeks—not because he’s racking up strikeouts, but because he’s been efficient. He’s limiting walks, working faster counts, and avoiding the big inning. Over his last four starts, he’s allowed just five earned runs and hasn’t been pulled early in any of them.

Then there’s the bullpen story. Chicago has given up four earned runs in its last 22 appearances. That kind of reliability isn’t just nice to have—it changes how aggressively Taillon can pitch, knowing the late innings are covered.

StarterRecordERA (Season)Recent Form

Andrew Heaney (Pirates)

3-4

3.24

Keeps runs down, but stuck in no-margin games

Jameson Taillon (Cubs)

6-3

3.54

1.69 ERA over last 4 starts; bullpen has allowed 4 ER in last 22 games

Heaney isn’t giving games away, but the Pirates haven’t made his outings count. Taillon is getting length, efficiency, and the kind of bullpen backing that shortens the game after six innings, and that’s the main advantage!

Main Trends & Stats

  • Cubs bullpen: Over the last 22 games, Chicago’s relievers have allowed only 4 earned runs (0.80 ERA). On their last road trip, they posted a 0.47 ERA. Mark Leiter Jr. and Julian Merryweather have combined for 19 scoreless appearances during that stretch.
  • Cubs offense: Chicago hit 8 home runs during a 6-game road trip, which is up from 2 in their previous 7 home games. Ian Happ and Christopher Morel each homered twice, and Cody Bellinger posted three multi-hit games and helped boost the team’s road slugging percentage above .480.
  • Pirates offense: Andrew McCutchen tied Roberto Clemente’s franchise mark with his 240th home run in a Pirates uniform. Oneil Cruz has 4 stolen bases in his last 9 games. Impressive, but Pittsburgh ranks bottom six in extra-base hits on the road this season and has scored 3 runs or less in 5 of their last 7 games.

Betting Lines Snapshot

Here are the latest odds and lines for the Pirates vs. the Cubs via ESPN BET:

TeamRun LineMoneylineTotal Runs

Pirates

+1.5 (-125)

+165

Over 7.5 (-110)

Cubs

-1.5 (+105)

-200

Under 7.5 (-110)

  • Home favorites: Cubs –1.5, moneyline –182.
  • Opening line: Pirates +1.5, +153 moneyline. O/U 7.5

Model & Consensus

  • Stats Insider projects the Pirates to cover +1.5 in roughly 57% of its simulations. That’s tied to Heaney’s ability to work through five innings while giving up no more than two runs, which is something he’s done in three of his last four starts.
  • Oddsmakers are split; some sportsbooks have nudged Pittsburgh closer to even on the moneyline, factoring in Heaney’s left-handed matchup against a Cubs team that’s hit for less power at home. Others still have Chicago as the clear favorite, pricing in bullpen strength and stronger late-game metrics.
  • The line movement shows uncertainty after the fifth inning. Projections stay close when Heaney is still in, but once the bullpens get involved? The numbers start leaning toward Chicago. The Cubs have posted a sub-1.00 ERA from relievers in the last three weeks, and Pittsburgh hasn’t come close to matching that in high-leverage spots.

Our Best Bets

The Cubs have advantages in every phase of the game: starting pitching, bullpen reliability, and late-game scoring. Pittsburgh’s been one of the worst road teams in the National League, and there’s no advantage in the bullpen or lineup that gives them an upper hand. 

Below are our picks for the best bets that have the most value for this one!

Cubs -1.5 Runline (+Odds)

Why we like it:

  • Taillon has gone at least six innings in three of his last four starts and hasn’t allowed more than two earned runs in any of them.
  • The Cubs’ bullpen has given up four earned runs across their last 22 games. Once Taillon hands it off, scoring against this group has been scarce.
  • Pittsburgh is 9–22 on the road and ranks in the bottom third of the league in road batting average, hitting, and runs scored.
  • The run line has better value than the moneyline here; Chicago has won four of its last six by two runs or more.

Under 7.5 Total Runs

Why we like it:

  • Heaney and Taillon both have ERAs under 3.60 and usually pitch into the sixth inning or later.
  • The Cubs’ bullpen has been the best in baseball in the last few weeks. Pittsburgh’s hasn’t been anything to write home about, but they have kept games within reach.
  • Wind is projected to come in from left field, and temps are expected to be in the mid-70s, which means conditions that usually suppress scoring at Wrigley.
  • Wrigley has played smaller this season than the league average: only three home games have hit 8+ runs in the last 10.
  • Trend to note: the under is 6–2 in the Cubs’ last eight home games with a total under 8.

Player Prop: Jameson Taillon Over 5.5 Strikeouts

Why we like it:

  • Taillon has 98 strikeouts and only five walks this season. He’s been working through lineups well and pitching late into games.
  • The Pirates rank eighth in strikeout rate vs right-handed pitching and have had a really hard time with command-driven starters.
  • Taillon has gone over this number in four of his last five starts and has hit six or more strikeouts in each of his last two at Wrigley.
  • Projection models put him in the 6–7 strikeout range, depending on pitch count and game flow. With how he’s been locating? This should be in play again.

Strategy Tip

If your sportsbook offers same-game parlays, there’s a three-leg combo that’s worth a look! The Cubs ML + Taillon Over 5.5 strikeouts + Under 8.5 (alt total). Here’s why:

  • If Taillon clears 5.5 strikeouts, he’s probably gone six or more innings, and that lines up with a Cubs win and a lower run total.
  • The under ties in with how both starters have pitched and how few runs the Cubs’ bullpen has allowed as of late.
  • Taking the alternate total gives you more wiggle room than the standard 7.5 line without gutting the payout.

It’s not a wild long shot; it’s built around how the game is expected to play out if Taillon stays in his groove and the Pirates continue to come up empty with runners on!

Final Thoughts & Betting Recap

Our Final Score Prediction: Cubs 5, Pirates 3

The Cubs pull ahead once the order turns over, and Taillon gives them six clean innings before handing it off. Chicago adds on late, and the total stays just below the number. The under is still very much in play!

Chicago has the pitching advantage from the first inning up to the last. Taillon is coming off four strong starts with no signs of slowing down, and once he exits, the Cubs have relievers who’ve been minimizing contact and avoiding walks. There’s no drop-off after the starter, and that’s made it pretty hard for teams to make a comeback in later innings.

Pittsburgh hasn’t been building innings, full stop. Heaney’s been fine in short stretches, but the offense has stalled in important spots. They’re not getting doubles. They’re not moving runners. And once they get into their bullpen? The margin totally disappears.

Don’t forget to check the latest odds on your sportsbook—they can change closer to game time!

Yankees vs. Royals Prediction & Best Bets (June 11, 2025)

We aren’t saying that we are going to pick the Yankees to win every time because they have Aaron Judge, but we’re not not saying that. Judge hit a ball literally out of the KC park in the first game of this three game series. It went a projected 469 feet; the longest homer at Kauffman Stadium maybe ever, but def this season. Judge feeds on lefty pitchers, and who’s the starting pitcher for the Royals tonight? Bubic, a leftie. That’s a bad omen for KC, in our opinion.

Game 2 is tonight at the aforementioned Kauffman Stadium, where NY beat them 10-2 in Game 1. The Royals are sending Kris Bubic (1.43 ERA) to the mound, and the Yankees are starting with Clarke Schmidt.

The Royals definitely don’t want a repeat of Game 1; they want to tie up the series before heading to Yankee Stadium. Will Bubic get a ball past Judge? Keep scrolling to see what we think will happen in Game 2, the stats, betting odds, and our best bets!

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: New York Yankees @ Kansas City Royals
  • Date & Time: Wednesday, June 11; First pitch at 7:40 p.m. ET (6:40 p.m. CT)
  • Venue: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO
  • How to Watch: MLB Network, FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City (FDSKC), Amazon Prime Video
  • Weather Forecast: Warm and mostly sunny with a high around 92 °F, low 69–70 °F; light SSW winds (~5‑10 mph); a minimal rain chance

Pitching Matchup

If you just looked at Kris Bubic’s ERA (1.43) and nothing else? He looks pretty untouchable. But that isn’t how baseball works, and the Yankees don’t swing like they care about your ERA anyway. Aaron Judge is prob still smiling after sending that ball into orbit in Game 1.

StarterStats

Clarke Schmidt (Yankees)

2–3, 4.04 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 50 K over 49 IP

Kris Bubic (Royals)

5–3, AL‑best 1.43 ERA, 79 K, strong changeup

Clarke Schmidt is serviceable, but he’s not unhittable. He keeps righties in check (.561 OPS), but lefties give him trouble, so watch Vinnie Pasquantino and Michael Massey try to take advantage of that. Schmidt has also had shorter outings as of late, and that could put pressure on the Yankees’ bullpen if he can’t get through five innings.

Kris Bubic is having a borderline dream season; he has a sick changeup, high strikeouts, and barely gives up runs. But before we carve his Cy Young plaque, his great numbers suggest a comedown might be heading his way. His expected ERA is in the mid-3s, and the Yankees aren’t the kind of team you want to test regression against. His pitches work the best against lineups that chase. New York is not that team.

The Yanks have faced lefties in 22 games this season, and they’re 17–5 in those games. Good luck, Kansas City.

Main Storylines

Here’s who and what we’re watching in game two of this 3-game series:

  • Aaron Judge: This man is ridiculous right now, and we mean that as a compliment. He’s hitting .396 and leads the AL with 24 homers. That’s not a typo. And now he gets a lefty who lives off changeups? It could be another “Drop what you’re doing and watch” kind of night. Bubic has to be on from pitch one, or that ERA is going to balloon in real time.
  • Paul Goldschmidt: He’s leading off, which feels kinda weird until you remember he crushes it at southpaw pitching. It isn’t a panic move; it’s matchup-based, and it gives the Yankees two absolute lefty killers at the top of the order. If you’re betting props, Goldschmidt total bases is definitely worth a look.
  • Jac Caglianone: The rookie has been a rare bright spot for KC. Caglianone came out swinging earlier this month and is starting to feel at home. He’s got real power and doesn’t seem to be intimidated by big-league arms. If anyone’s going to make Schmidt pay? Could be Jac.
  • KC Offense: The Royals’ offense can get on base, but they don’t hit. Their .253 team batting average looks OK until you realize the team ISO is .120. That means singles. Lots of them. Against a team like New York, that’s not going to cut it unless Bubic throws a perfect game and the bullpen holds.

Betting Odds & Analytics

Betting on this matchup? These are the latest odds and lines via BetMGM:

TeamRun LineMoneylineTotal Runs

Yankees

-1.5 (+135)

-125

Over 9 (+100)

Royals

+1.5 (-160)

+105

Under 9 (-120)

  • Historical Edge: Yankees lead season series 4–0

Best Bets

What are we banking on? Look below for the two best bets and two props that we think look good!

  • Yankees Moneyline (-125) | Schmidt pitches better at home, and the Yankees’ lineup gives him way better support than Bubic is likely to get. New York’s offense should carry this one again.
  • Over 9 Total Runs (+100) | Game 1 hit 12 runs, and with both teams swinging like crazy, this number isn’t high enough to stay away. The Yankees don’t need much help getting there on their own.
  • Player Props
    • Aaron Judge to Record an RBI: He’s hitting .396 with 24 homers and a .776 slugging percentage. Against a lefty? This is exactly the sort of matchup where he drives in at least one.
    • Kris Bubic Under 5.5 Innings Pitched: This is his first real test on the road vs a top-tier lineup. If Judge or Goldschmidt connect early, Bubic might get yanked before the sixth inning.

In‑Game Watchpoints

There are a few things to keep your eye on once the game’s underway:

  • First 3 innings: Does Kansas City scratch out early runs, or does Schmidt take control and keep traffic off the bases?
  • Judge vs. Bubic: This is the marquee matchup right out of the gate. A first-inning RBI wouldn’t shock anyone.
  • KC bullpen timing: If Bubic starts to slip, does the bullpen get called early again?
  • Heat factor: With temps in the 90s, balls hit in the air late might carry farther than usual; it’s worth watching as the pitchers tucker out in the late innings.

Yankees vs. Royals: What to Expect Tonight

Final Score Prediction: Yankees 6 – Royals 4

Unless Kris Bubic morphs into peak Randy Johnson tonight? Aaron Judge is going to keep hitting the stitches off balls. Judge is on an absolute tear and is sending baseballs into parking lots like it’s no biggie. The Royals just don’t have enough at the plate or on the mound to trade shots with a Yankees team who are swinging like this.

Our Best Bets Recap

  • Yankees Moneyline (-125): Better lineup, and Judge vs. a lefty is exactly what you want to bet into.
  • Over 9 Runs (+100): Yankees can carry this total themselves, and KC should chip in enough.
  • Aaron Judge to Record an RBI: He’s tearing up left-handed pitching and already has 60+ RBIs this season.
  • Kris Bubic Under 5.5 IP: Tough matchup on the road, and he’s on a short leash. If he can’t keep the ball down, he’ll get the hooo before the sixth.

Feeling good about one our best bets? Take a look at these betting sites to find competitive odds and fast payouts for your winnings.

U.S. Open 2025 Preview: Odds, X-Factors & Best Bets at Oakmont

The U.S. Open returns to Oakmont Country Club from June 12–15, bringing elite fields back to one of the hardest courses in golf.

Located in a suburb outside of Pittsburgh along the Allegheny River, Oakmont is known for having an unforgiving layout; narrow fairways, thick rough, deep bunkers, and putting surfaces that play faster than any other major course. The fairways don’t hold many shots, and the players who can’t control trajectory and spin off the tee risk watching the ball run through into first cut or worse. Approach angles will be really limited, and the recovery options? Even more so.

Scottie Scheffler enters at +280 after winning three of his last four starts, including the PGA Championship. Bryson DeChambeau, last year’s champion, sits at +700 and is hoping to become the first back-to-back U.S. Open winner since Curtis Strange back in 1989.

The other contenders are no slouches! We’ve got Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, Xander Schauffele, and Collin Morikawa. LIV’s Joaquin Niemann has also played really well in the last few months and will attempt to convert his strong form into a major result.

There is $20 million on the line and zero room for error on this course—no pressure or anything! Keep scrolling to see the betting odds, the Oakmont’s course dynamics, our fav betting angles, and who we think has the best shot at winning this year’s U.S. Open title.

Event Details

  • What & When: The 125th U.S. Open, June 12–15, 2025, at Oakmont Country Club, PA.
  • Course Challenge: Par-70, 7,255 yards, famed for lightning-fast greens, punishing rough, 175 bunkers.
  • U.S. Coverage: NBC, USA Network, Peacock streams; tee times start at 6 am ET
  • International: Sky Sports (UK), TSN (Canada), Kayo/Fox Sports (Australia)
  • Format: 156 players, cut to top 60 after Friday, 72-hole stroke play. Playoff: two-hole aggregate if it’s tied

Top Betting Odds

Scottie Sheffler is at the tippy top, and it’s not even close. But with Oakmont’s layout? There’s room for value below him, particularly among the players with control off the tee and a reliable short game.

Here are the odds via DraftKings Sportsbook (as of June 11).

PlayerOddsNotes

Scottie Scheffler

+275

Has won three of his last four starts, including the PGA; he is currently the most reliable golfer in the field.

Bryson DeChambeau

+750

The defending champion has the power to attack long par-4s and stay in scoring range.

Rory McIlroy

+1200

Comes in with top finishes but still hasn’t fully cleaned up tee-to-green execution.

Jon Rahm

+1200

Two-time major winner and one of LIV’s top names, he can handle this course’s layout.

Next Tier

PlayerOddsNotes

Xander Schauffele

+2200

One of the most balanced ball-strikers in the field, Oakmont suits his game approach.

Collin Morikawa

+2500

Elite irons, as always; the question is whether the putter holds up.

Ludvig Åberg

+3000

Strong off the tee, new to Oakmont but doesn’t rattle easily.

Joaquin Niemann

+3000

LIV standout this golf season; needs a cleaner approach to numbers to stay in contention here.

Shane Lowry

+4500

Experienced in harder setups and is able to work through harsh conditions.

Players to Watch

You can’t be a passenger at Oakmont. The course is one of the hardest out there, and anyone in contention will need to control trajectory, manage rollout, and survive on the greens. Below is who’s most likely to hold up under that kind of pressure.

The Must-Watchers

  • Scottie Scheffler: He is playing the best and most complete golf of anyone in the field. Ball striking, scrambling, and scoring under par are all trending in his favor.
  • Bryson DeChambeau: He might overpower parts of Oakmont that weren’t designed for his length. He’s the defending cham, and he’s renewed his short game confidence.
  • Rory McIlroy: Rory is still after another major, but he’s looked better off the tee and could benefit if Oakmont favors high ball flights.
  • Jon Rahm: Limited PGA Tour reps this year, but his major pedigree and control in firm conditions have kept him in the conversation.
  • Xander Schauffele: He’s finished top 10 in six of the last seven U.S. Opens. Rarely plays himself out of contention.
  • Collin Morikawa: Iron play sets him up well here. If his putter holds steady? He can stay on the board all weekend.

Sleeper Picks

  • Joaquin Niemann: He’s been leading LIV in recent performances; he has strong tee-to-green form and less pressure than top-tier names.
  • Shane Lowry: Runner-up at Oakmont in 2016. Lowry is excellent with mid-irons and knows how to handle firm setups.
  • Justin Thomas: He’s having an inconsistent year, but his short game and experience in majors keep him relevant if he starts well.
  • Ludvig Åberg: Explosive off the tee. If he stays away from big numbers early, he has the tools to make a move.
  • Sepp Straka: Reliable with irons and steady under pressure. He’s made the weekend in six straight majors and tends to move up the board when scores stay above par.

Course Fit & Analytics

You have to be precise at Oakmont! Missed fairways bring in thick lies and blocked angles. Missed greens leave players with little to no margin to recover. The fairways are extremely narrow, the rough is thick, and the greens require precise pace and break reads. There’s no bailout zone; players who keep it in play, recover well around the green, and are steady with their putters usually separate from the field.

The following are the golfers who are built for this course’s layout:

  • Scottie Scheffler: Top-tier ball striking and one of the most reliable scrambling profiles in the field. Hardly ever gives strokes away on approach or around the green.
  • Bryson DeChambeau: Known for his striking power, but his placement off the tee has tightened up. He’s cut down on wasteful swings and handles mid-length par 4s better.
  • Shane Lowry: Ranks really high in approach play and doesn’t force shots under pressure. His control from 150–200 yards fits what Oakmont calls for.
  • Joaquin Niemann: Trending in the right direction with iron play. Keeps the ball in front of him and has gotten better at managing misses without compounding mistakes.

Our Best Bets

Time for our picks for best bets! The four are all based on recent performance and how each golfer’s game lines up with the Oakmont greens.

Top Outright Pick: Joaquin Niemann (+3300 to +3500)

His ball striking is in great shape, recent finishes have been good, and the number has value compared to the top tier.

Dark Horse Picks

  • Shane Lowry: He was the runner-up at Oakmont in 2016 and has been reliable with his irons. Lowry also plays well in harder scoring conditions.
  • Xander Schauffele: A fixture near the top of major leaderboards. His short game and control off the tee are a good match for what Oakmont requires.

Fade: Rory McIlroy

NBC Sports’ Rex & Lav pointed out how unsettled his driver looked last week, calling his round in Canada a “complete disaster.” If he’s still misfiring off the tee? Oakmont will only magnify it. Betting on him here looks like a reach.

Our Winner Prediction

Who do we think will triumph on the Oakmont fairway? Look below!

Primary Pick: Scottie Scheffler

Scheffler’s control from tee to green, paired with his recent wins under hard setups, puts him in the best position to close. He’s been rock steady in every phase and barely loses ground when others are falling off.

Alternate Pick: Bryson DeChambeau

If he keeps the ball in play, his distance advantage will be a big factor. His short game has gotten better, and he’s already shown he can handle this kind of setup under immense pressure.

Wild Card: Joaquin Niemann

He’s taking more chances than most of his competitors in this field, but his ball striking is trending up, and if the putter shows up? He’s capable of pushing late. It’s a high-risk bet, but the upside is real and valuable

Betting Strategy Tips

Oakmont has never had a “surprise” winner, but there’s still a lot of room to build a card with range! Shorter odds on elite players can be paired with position-based props and mid-range outright plays to manage risk across the four-day tourney.

  • Outright Picks | Scheffler is the obvious top-line option, but Niemann and Lowry offer better payouts without going too far outside realistic course fits.
  • Props to Consider
    • McIlroy vs. Field (H2H):  A solid fade spot if his off-the-tee control isn’t back.
    • First-Round Leader: Niemann’s aggressive style could show early if conditions are playable.
    • Top American Finisher: Schauffele and Thomas both profile really well here and come with better odds than Scheffler in this market.
  • Bankroll Tip | Don’t stack outrights! Anchor them with one or two chalk plays, and then build around mid-range names and props to limit variance and stay in play through the weekend.

Prize Purse & Payout

  • Estimated Total Purse: ~$21.5 million (same as 2024)
  • Winner’s Share: ~$4.3 million
  • Top 10 Payouts: They go down significantly with each position
  • Payout Structure: Most of the prize money is distributed among the top finishers, and there’s a steep drop outside of the top five
  • Notable: A finish inside the top 10 still takes home a nice paycheck, but there’s a huge separation between first and the rest

Final Thoughts: Who Will Conquer Oakmont?

The Oakmont course is super challenging in terms of l spacing, control, and decision-making. Every single hole puts a premium on precision, and hesitation causes dropped shots.

Scheffler is coming in with the most complete golf game in the field, but his odds don’t have much upside unless you’re confident he takes the win outright. DeChambeau has the distance and course management to stay near the top; his recent adjustments off the tee give him a real chance here.

Niemann and Lowry offer the stronger value. Both have been accurate off the tee, solid on approach, and have converted chances on similar green speeds. McIlroy, despite the name, hasn’t produced the kind of major results lately that justify his odds.

Our Final Prediction

Winner Pick: Scottie Scheffler

Scheffler has won three of his last four starts, and we haven’t seen him show one weakness this season. He’s in control off the tee, precise with his irons, and doesn’t make the mistakes on greens that trip up most of his fellow golfers.

If you can get him at +300 or better? Take the outright. And if the price drops, top-5 or head-to-head markets still offer value!

Oilers vs. Panthers Game 4 Prediction & Preview (June 12, 2025)

So. Many. Penalties. Game 3 of the Stanley Cup Finals was a hot mess for the Oilers, who got absolutely hammered by Florida. The final score? 6-1.

It was a dirty, physical game, and that’s how Florida likes it. They got under the Oilers’ skin; Stuart Skinner whipped a puck over the glass. Jake Walman hosed down the Panthers’ bench with his water bottle for some reason and threw some punches. And Evander Kane racked up a misconduct penalty for whacking Verhaeghe right in the face on the ice.

One of the refs was partly responsible for a big momentum shift in a pivotal moment of the game; Francis Charron caused a turnover to the Panthers.

What happened? Florida forward Aleksander Barkov slashed and then arm grabbed Edmonton’s defenseman Klingberg, who barreled into the ref because he didn’t clear the area. The puck went to Sam Reinhart, he scored, and then it was 3-1. 

It went downhill for the Oilers after that. Edmonton had 85 penalty minutes. 85! They scored another two, and Evan Rodriguez clapped in the sixth goal for Florida. The Cats are now up 2-1 in the series.

Game 4 is next. Will the Oilers tie it up or will the Panthers take another W? Keep scrolling to see what we think, the odds, and our best bets!

Game Details: Oilers vs. Panthers – Game 4

  • Matchup: Edmonton Oilers vs. Florida Panthers
  • Series Status: – FLA leads 2 – 1
  • Date & Time: Thursday, June 12, at 8:00 pm ET.
  • Location: Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise, Florida
  • TV Broadcast (US): TNT, truTV
  • Streaming (US): Max
  • TV Broadcast (Canada): CBC, TVA Sports

Prediction Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 47.9%
Florida Panthers 52.1%

According to GamblingSite.com

What’s at Stake in Game 4?

Florida can grab a 3–1 series lead and set itself up for a potential Cup win at home. Edmonton needs this game so that they aren’t in a 3–1 hole when they go back to Sunrise.

For the Edmonton Oilers

Edmonton Oilers Logo
  • Even the series. They need this win to make it 2–2 and stay within reach before the series returns to Florida.
  • Power play problems. They’ve gone 0-for-10 so far, which is unacceptable for a team that’s built around elite man-advantage talent.
  • Defensive breakdowns. Poor coverage and bad neutral zone decisions have cost them; Florida has too many clean looks.
  • The top players need to start producing. McDavid and Draisaitl haven’t scored in the Final, and that has to change if they want a win.
  • Goaltending hole. Skinner hasn’t come close to matching Bobrovsky. If that doesn’t change in Game 4? It’s not looking good for Edmonton.

For the Florida Panthers

  • Push it to 3–1. A win puts them one step closer to closing it out, and they’ll have two chances left and home ice waiting for them.
  • Keep the pressure on. Their forecheck has disrupted Edmonton’s zone exits and forced constant turnovers.
  • Bobrovsky advantage. He’s been a rock all series; he’s kept the Oilers off the board and their big guns can’t get much past him.
  • Stay disciplined. Edmonton’s power play hasn’t scored, but Florida shouldn’t take any chances for them to remedy this.
  • Stick with what’s working. Physical play, layered support, and tight neutral zone play have all moved the series toward Florida.

Key Factors for Game 4 Success

Florida has a chance to take full control of the series. Edmonton needs this game to pull even before it goes back to Sunrise. Below is what will matter!

The Goaltending Battle

Sergei Bobrovsky has been the better goalie in all three games. He stopped 32 shots in Game 3 and has controlled rebounds, angles, and pace that’s head and shoulders above Stuart Skinner, who was pulled after giving up five goals. Skinner doesn’t have to be perfect, but he can’t be the second-best goalie on the ice again.

Special Teams

Florida’s penalty kill gets the job done; they’ve shut down Edmonton’s power play all three games. The Oilers haven’t converted on any of their 10 opportunities, despite relying on a unit that was dominant earlier in the playoffs. If that advantage doesn’t tilt back toward Edmonton, they won’t be able to keep up at 5-on-5.

Star Power vs. Depth

McDavid and Draisaitl haven’t scored in this series, which is nuts. Florida’s top players haven’t lit it up either, but the Panthers don’t need them to. Their depth has done the hard work; Sam Bennett, Carter Verhaeghe, and others have clapped in goals and made Edmonton chase. If the Oilers’ stars skate scared, there’s no backup plan.

Discipline and Physicality

Edmonton played like they had no discipline; they took way too many penalties. The Panthers were aggressive, but they didn’t cross the line. Edmonton has to find the balance between hitting and staying out of the box, or they’ll keep feeding Florida momentum.

Home Ice Impact

Florida hasn’t lost at home in this Final, and their crowd has been a real factor. Chants for Bobrovsky and energy from the opening puck drop have fed the Panthers’ aggressive style. Edmonton needs to take the crowd out of the game early and find a way to control the pace. If not? They’ll continue to skate uphill.

Betting Odds & Trends

Look below for the betting odds and likes courtesy of ESPN BET (as of June 11).

TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal

Oilers

+1.5 (-200)

+125

Over 6.5 (+105)

Panthers

-1.5 (+165)

-145

Under 6.5 (-125)

Betting Trends

  • Game 3 winners in 1–1 Cup Final series go on to win the Cup about 66% of the time. That historical edge belongs to Florida now, but it’s far from a done deal.
  • Edmonton hasn’t covered the puck line as frequently as claimed. There’s no credible data backing the 15-of-16 stat, though they’ve kept most playoff games close and regularly covered +1.5 earlier in the postseason.
  • The Oilers’ power play has dried up. After leading the league earlier in the playoffs, Edmonton is 0-for-10 with the man advantage through three games in the Final.
  • Florida continues to dominate at home. The Panthers are 7-2 at home this postseason and have won both games in Sunrise during this series, keeping opponents under 3 goals in all but one of those home wins.

Our Best Bets for Stanley Cup Game 4

Who and what are we looking at for our best bets? Here are our four picks for Game 4!

  • Moneyline: Panthers -150 | Florida is really strong at home; 7‑2 in the playoffs, as evidenced by the 6–1 win in Game 3. Bobrovsky has been the better goalie through all three games.
  • Puck Line: Oilers +1.5 (-200) | Edmonton has stayed close in most playoff games and usually covers +1.5; they’ve done it 12 of 14 times. If they tighten up defensively and stop with the penalties, this is a safer bet than the moneyline.
  • Total Goals: Under 6.5 (-120) | Two of the first three games finished under this number, and Game 3 only went over because the Oilers had so many penalties.
  • Player Prop: Connor McDavid Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-102) | He’s averaging about 3.8 shots per game in the playoffs. Edmonton needs production from him, so volume should stay high even if the goals don’t.

Stanley Cup Showdown: Our Game 4 Verdict

Florida’s been better at finishing chances, better in their own end, and has the better goalie. It’s that simple.

The Oilers still don’t have a power play goal in this series. McDavid and Draisaitl haven’t scored. Skinner has been outplayed. If this keeps up? Florida walks out of Game 4 with a 3–1 lead and two chances to close.

Our Final Score Prediction: Florida Panthers 3, Edmonton Oilers 2

Three games in, this series has been fast, nasty, and unforgiving. Game 4 won’t be any different. We are backing the Panthers; we just can’t see the Oilers recovering after how Game 3 went down.

If you’re ready to put our prediction to the test or have one of your own, head over to one of the top-rated betting apps to place your wagers.

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