2025 Royal Ascot Betting Picks – Best Bets for the Top 3 Races
Royal Ascot isn’t merely a pageant of fascinator hats and crystal champagne flutes; it’s one of the most competitive betting stages in all of global racing. Beneath the pomp and ceremony is a slate of high-stakes races that bring in serious punters, syndicates, and anyone who knows the difference between a sprinter and a stayer.
This year’s card features three races with real implications for status, for profit, and for those with the nerve to bet on form over fanfare. We’ve narrowed in on the races that matter and the bets that hold up under scrutiny.
Choose your horses carefully; the tailoring may be immaculate, but the racing is grimy and ruthless.
Keep scrolling for our expert picks for the top three races, our best bets for each one, and what sportsbooks offer the best betting value!
Race Details
- Dates: June 17–21
- Location: Ascot Racecourse, Berkshire, England
- Top Races Covered: Queen Anne Stakes (Tuesday); Prince of Wales’s Stakes (Wednesday); Gold Cup (Thursday)
- How to Watch in the U.S.: FanDuel TV / NBC Sports
About Royal Ascot 2025
Dating back to 1711, Royal Ascot is still one of the most anticipated fixtures in flat racing! It combines historic prestige with top-tier competition. Every day features seven races with world-class runners, huge betting pools, and viewership that stretches far beyond Berkshire.
Wagering exceeds £200 million during the week, and a lot of it comes from online punters. If you’re betting on a sportsbook, treat it like a proper meet! Set your stakes before the first post, track line movement across markets, and don’t adjust midstream just because the first race didn’t go your way. Structured and disciplined bets always fare better than impulsive ones!
Race #1: Queen Anne Stakes – Tuesday, June 17
The Queen Anne kicks off Royal Ascot with a mile-long Group 1 that’s anything but a warm-up. Open to horses aged four and up, the race regularly draws serious talent, usually returning champions or top milers coming off big runs in the Breeders’ Cup.
- Race Type: Group 1 flat
- Distance: 1 mile (1,600 meters)
- Eligibility: Horses aged 4 years and up
- Post Time: Tuesday, June 17 at 2:30 p.m. BST / 9:30 a.m. ET (U.S.)
Top Contenders
These are the projected top contenders;
- Charyn: solid prep season, sharp miler form
- Big Rock: front-runner with serious pace from France
- Facteur Cheval: Breeders’ Cup Mile runner-up, handles firm turf
- Maljoom: lightly raced, big upside if fit and firing
Note: Inspiral has not yet been confirmed in the final field, but if she lines up? She’ll likely go off as the favorite. Her 2024 return was solid, and she’s already a multiple Group 1 winner over this distance.
Our Pick
If Inspiral bypasses the Queen Anne, this is our top pick:
- Facteur Cheval: The only confirmed blue-chip contender among the initial trio. Finished 2nd in the 2023 Breeders’ Cup Mile and excels at finishing strongly on firm ground
Best Bet
- Exacta Box: Facteur Cheval / Maljoom
- Prop: Winning Time Over 1:37 (+120)
Race #2: Prince of Wales’s Stakes – Wednesday, June 18
A middle-distance Group 1 showdown over 1 mile 2 furlongs that showcases elite four-year-olds and up.
- Group: 1
- Distance: 1 m 2 f (≈2,004 m)
- Eligibility: 4-year-olds and up
- Post Time: Wednesday, June 18 at 4:20 p.m. BST / 11:20 a.m. ET (U.S.)
Top Contenders
- Auguste Rodin: The defending champion (2024 winner) with Ascot experience and top-tier form.
- King of Steel: Big-framed runner with proven stamina; won the G2 King Edward VII and handles Ascot’s demands.
- Al Riffa: Emerging talent; was recently successful over 12f and could spring a surprise if conditions suit!
Our Pick
Auguste Rodin to Win: Holds the class advantage, experience on this course, and proven ability at this distance.
Best Bet
- Win/Place: Auguste Rodin: strong form and Ascot proven.
- Trifecta Box: Auguste Rodin > King of Steel > Al Riffa: A solid combo of class, stamina, and upside value.
Race #3: Ascot Gold Cup – Thursday, June 19
The Gold Cup is Royal Ascot’s longest and most grueling test: 2 miles and 4 furlongs of sustained pace, endurance, and tactical patience. It’s the crown jewel for stayers and takes more than raw speed; it calls for stamina, positioning, and timing over a brutal distance!
- Group: 1
- Distance: 2 m 4 f (4,014 meters)
- Eligibility: 4-year-olds and up
- Post Time: Thursday, June 19 at 4:20 p.m. BST / 11:20 a.m. ET (U.S.)
Top Contenders
- Illinois: Aidan O’Brien’s rising stayer, coming off a strong win in the Ormonde Stakes. Lightly raced at this trip, but looks bred for it.
- Coltrane: Veteran stayer who finished 2nd in last year’s Gold Cup. Reliable over this distance and has run well at Ascot in every major staying race.
- Gregory: Unexposed but bred for this kind of distance. Showed staying potential as a 3-year-old and could improve with a more patient ride.
Our Pick
- Illinois to Win: Has the right pedigree, recent form, and is trained by one of the best minds in staying races. If he settles early? He’s the one with the advantage.
Best Bet
- Straight Forecast: Illinois > Coltrane
- Prop: Winning Margin Over 2 Lengths (+150)
Best Overall Bets for Royal Ascot 2025
The Royal Ascot card is deep, but not all plays are deserving of your bankroll! We’ve narrowed it down to the bets that hold value, and here are the ones that we trust the most.
- Top Value Bet – Maljoom (Queen Anne Stakes, each-way) | Recently highlighted at ~10/1 as a solid each-way selection: well supported in ante-post markets and worth backing for value.
- Most Confident Pick – Illinois (Gold Cup, Win) | With Kyprios retired, Illinois has trotted into the favorite’s role at ~11/8 for the Gold Cup, picked up by multiple sportsbooks after strong staying form and an Ormonde Stakes win.
- Best Exotic Play – Prince of Wales’s Stakes Trifecta | Forecasting Auguste Rodin – King of Steel – Al Riffa reflects top-tier class, stamina, and potential upside. Routes like this usually favor that precise order in a middle-distance Group‑1 race.
- Dark Horse of the Week – Gregory (Gold Cup, Place) | Listed at ~50/1 in pre-race Gold Cup betting, Gregory is bred for the staying trip and profiling as a sleeper, so this is an ideal value on the tote!
Where to Bet on Royal Ascot in the U.S.
You don’t have to be trackside to bet on the races! Below is where U.S. players can wager on Royal Ascot; all have full markets and live coverage.
- FanDuel: Solid odds and a user-friendly setup make it a really easy go-to for bettors.
- TwinSpires: Best option for live streaming and building out exotic bets.
- TVG / Bet365: Reliable platforms with regular promos during big races.
Royal Ascot Betting Tips for 2025
Betting on Royal Ascot isn’t like betting at the local track. Field depth, turf variability, and international form all matter. Below is what you need to factor in before you bet!
- Monitor the going daily: A race run on good-to-firm ground Tuesday can look totally different by Thursday if it rains. Horses like Coltrane and Big Rock handle softer turf really well, and speed types can struggle when it cuts up.
- Understand the market split: U.S. bettors who are using FanDuel or TwinSpires are getting fixed odds at the time of the bet. UK and Irish punters are in the pari-mutuel (tote) pool, where odds can change drastically in the final minutes. If you’re following European market trends, don’t assume the U.S. price will mirror them.

- Dig into pace bias by race type: Races like the Commonwealth Cup and Diamond Jubilee tend to favor early speed due to track layout and race flow. In longer distances like the Gold Cup, late closers with stamina usually clean up. Study previous runnings at the same distance and conditions for valuable clues.
Final Thoughts & Predictions Recap
We have pinpointed the races that have structure behind them; all are backed up by form, pace, and pricing that hold up!
- Queen Anne: If Inspiral doesn’t run, Facteur Cheval is the clear play. Maljoom holds each-way value.
- Prince of Wales’s: Auguste Rodin has the tools to control this race. King of Steel and Al Riffa fill out the trifecta.
- Gold Cup: With Kyprios out, Illinois has moved to the top of the conversation. Coltrane holds as a reliable second, and Gregory is a place-play sleeper.
Oregon State vs. Louisville Prediction (June 17, 2025) – CWS Elimination Game
It’s win or go home in Omaha. Oregon State and Louisville meet again on the ball field after a 4–3 game earlier in the tourney; the Beavers scored late and broke the tie to win. But this is an elimination game, so whoever loses this one packs their bags and goes home. A coveted spot in Omaha is on the line, so the margin for error in this rematch is basically nonexistent.
Louisville didn’t play their best in the last game against Oregon; they left too many runners on, missed a key relay, and couldn’t close the ninth. Oregon State didn’t overpower them by any means, but they came through when it counted. That’s been their style of play during the tournament: take what’s given to them, and not give anything back. The Cardinals have better hitters, but control issues and some defensive lapses have made things a lot harder than they should be.
Who’s pitching? What’s the bullpen setup like? Who should you bet on, and what are our best bets that have the most value for the CWS elimination game? We’ll answer all of that and more below!
Game Details
- Matchup: Oregon State vs. Louisville
- Date & Time: Tuesday, June 17, at 2 p.m. ET
- Location: Charles Schwab Field, Omaha
- Broadcast: Live on ESPN
- Stakes: Win-and-you’re-in elimination at the Men’s College World Series
Form & Momentum
With elimination hanging over their ball caps, neither team can afford to have another flat outing. Oregon State and Louisville have both shown moments of greatness, but inconsistency on the mound and missed chances at the plate have put them here. The game will hinge on bullpen execution and which lineup handles high-pressure situations better.

Oregon State
The Beavers squeaked out a win over Louisville to start the tournament, but they weren’t able to build on it. Against Coastal Carolina, they struggled to make hard contact and didn’t cash in when they had runners on. Their strength lies in discipline and defensive positioning, but they’ll need more impact hits early in counts so they won’t get buried in the later innings.

Louisville
Louisville’s offense has power and speed, but it’s wasted a lot of opportunities by forcing plays and chasing pitches outside the zone. On the mound, Patrick Forbes has the tools but hasn’t strung together a lot of clean outings. If he struggles to locate again, they’ll have to reach into their bullpen earlier than they planned to, and that’s been a big issue in their recent losses.
Main Matchups to Watch
The game will turn on which starter can hold it together once the lineups turn over, and which middle-of-the-order hitters come through when the bases aren’t empty.
Pitching Duel
- Oregon State – Dax Whitney: Freshman right-hander with a 3.66 ERA, 111 strikeouts to 36 walks; attacks the zone and limits hard contact
- Louisville – Patrick Forbes: First-round talent with a power fastball; has tightened up his command and gone deeper into games in recent starts
Offensive X-Factors
- Oregon State: Aiva Arquette (.354, 18 HR) and Gavin Turley (.346, 19 HR) are two reliable power threats with really strong at-bat discipline
- Louisville: Eddie King Jr. (.362, 17 HR), backed by a lineup that can pressure defenses with speed and early-count swings
Betting Angles & Latest Odds
If you’re betting on this one, here are the betting angles and latest odds and lines via DraftKings:
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total Runs |
|---|---|---|---|
Oregon State | -1.5 (-130) | -195 | Over 10.5 (-115) |
Louisville | +1.5 (+100) | +150 | Under 10.5 (-115) |
Moneyline Edge
- Oregon State ~66% implied chance (–200 on DK; +145 Louisville underdog)
- Best bet: Oregon State ML (–200) — backed by better pitching, stronger late-game options, and the benefit of having already beaten Louisville once in this bracket.
Player Props
- Dax Whitney strikeouts: Facing Louisville’s aggressive hitters, his K projection is really strong.
- Eddie King Jr. prop: With a .362 average and 17 HRs, he’s a candidate for a long ball or multi-hit game.
Best Bets for Oregon State vs. Louisville
Hmmm, what are we looking at in terms of value? We landed on the following four best bets for this game!
Oregon State Moneyline (–195)
- Took the first matchup 4–3
- Whitney recorded 9 strikeouts and kept traffic off the bases
- Oregon State has more reliable late-inning options
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Under 10.5 Total Runs (–115)
- The first game stayed at 7 total runs
- Both starters kept the ball in the yard and worked into the sixth
- Run scoring tends to dip in elimination games due to tighter pitch selection and slower baserunning decisions
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Dax Whitney Over Strikeouts (Est. 6.5 Ks)
- Already struck out 9 in this matchup
- Louisville chases fastballs up and doesn’t walk much
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
Louisville Team Total Under 4.5
- Only got 3 runs in their first meeting with Oregon
- Oregon State’s pitching staff has handled the later innings really well
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Prediction Recap: Who Moves On in Omaha?
We think this’ll be an almost identical game as their first meeting, aka low scoring, long at-bats, and not much room for mistakes. Dax Whitney held it together longer than Forbes in their last matchup, and Oregon State has been stronger on the mound throughout the tournament.
Final Score Prediction: Oregon State 5 – Louisville 3
Their bullpen has done a better job handling traffic; there were no free passes in the late innings, and they’ve been able to finish them without letting rallies build up. Louisville hasn’t managed that same control under pressure.
If Oregon State gets a good hit from Arquette or Turley with runners on, that could be the turning point. They have better pitching and arms behind Whitney, so they’re in a really good position to advance.
Oilers vs. Panthers Game 6 Prediction & Top Bets (June 17, 2025)
We’ve got NHL Finals whiplash. After the stunner that was Game 4, where the Oilers came back to even up the series to 2-2, we were pretty sure that the Oilers would win Game 5. So was everyone else.
Wrong! The Panthers whooped Edmonton 5-2, they’re up 3-2, and are now only one game away from winning the Stanley Cup back-to-back. Game 6 is do-or-die for the Oilers, or it’s all over for them.
The next one goes back to Sunrise, Florida. Will the Cats take Game 6 for a Cup repeat? Or will the Oilers force a Game 7 back in Edmonton? They resurrected in Game 4, so it’s not out of the question by any means. Either way, our necks hurt from all the back-and-forth. But we are here for it; this is some great playoff hockey!
Game Details
- Matchup Stanley Cup Final — Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers, Game 6
- When: Tuesday, June 17 at 8:00 p.m. ET
- Where: Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise, Florida
- How to Watch (US): Nationally televised on TNT, and simulcast on truTV and Max
- Series Status: – FLA leads 3 – 2
Series So Far: Stick Styles
Florida is now ahead in the series 3–2 and is back in control after a convincing 5–2 win in Game 5. The Panthers showed off a potent combo of tight structure, physical play, and aggressive offensive bursts and followed up with disciplined shutdown minutes.
Brad Marchand tallied a two-goal night (making his series goal total six), and Sam Bennett added his playoff-leading 15th goal. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 19 shots, handling everything that came at him before the Panthers built their cushion.
Edmonton did manage a goal from Connor McDavid, which was his first of the series, but the Oilers never got enough momentum. Their power play was cold (0-for-3), and a few sloppy neutral-zone turnovers turned into goals for the Panthers. Coach Knoblauch and the Oilers said it was a good first shift, but said they missed chances and just couldn’t recover.
Scoreline Summary
- Game 3: Panthers win 6–1
- Game 4: Oilers squeak out a win 5–4 in OT
- Game 5: Panthers take it 5–2
Main Matchups to Watch
There is a lot to watch on the ice, but this is who and what we are laser-focused on in Game 6:
Draisaitl has 4 goals and 3 assists in the series. McDavid got on the board in Game 5 but hasn’t had a lot of room to work through the middle; Barkov’s defensive tracking has kept him stuck to the outside in most entries. Reinhart has disrupted passing lanes and taken away Edmonton’s cross-ice setups, limiting clean looks in high-value areas.
Bobrovsky goes into Game 6 with a .912 save percentage and has handled screens and second attempts really well, particularly in Games 1 and 5. Skinner has been up and down; he looked good in Game 4, but gave up five goals in Game 5, including two off rebounds. His reads on east-west puck movement have been slow, and Florida’s finishers have taken full advantage of it.
Florida’s scoring is coming from every forward unit: Marchand, Bennett, Verhaeghe, Reinhart, and Rodrigues. Edmonton’s offense still leans way too much on its top line. No goals from their bottom six since Game 3, and Florida’s third unit has forced extended shifts in the defensive zone, drawn penalties, and created steady zone time.
Tactical Talk
We don’t think that this will be a run-and-gun finish. Game 6 is going to get real messy in the corners, tight around the crease, and tense when the refs blow their little whistles.
Florida’s Five-Man Wall
In Game 5, Bobrovsky only had to make 19 saves. The Panthers were closing off lanes, eating pucks, and clearing rebounds before Edmonton could reload. They didn’t give up the slot and didn’t let plays happen.
Power Plays
Five-on-five play has been close all series long, and most of the separation has come when one side goes to the box. Florida’s capitalized on it, and Edmonton hasn’t. If Game 6 has more penalties, and it probably will, this part of the game takes on a lot more weight.
Physical Edge
It’s gotten nastier every game; the numbers back this, and so do our eyes. Game 5 saw over 60 combined penalty minutes. And it’s not just about the physicality! If someone gets baited into the extra call? One bad retaliation could change the outcome.
Latest Betting Odds & Lines
We are gonna bet on this one even if we flubbed it last game. We aren’t quitters! If you are, too, here are the latest odds and lines via BetMGM:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Oilers | +1.5 (-210) | +118 | Over 6.5 (-102) |
Panthers | -1.5 (+170) | -140 | Under 6.5 (-117) |
Our Best Bets for Game 6
We have looked at all of the angles for Game 6, and below are the three best bets and a bonus lean that we think have the most value!
1. Panthers Moneyline: Florida to Win Game 6
- Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐½
Florida is 8–2 at home this postseason and has already taken both games in Sunrise during the series. Bobrovsky’s posted a .923 SV% on home ice, and this team has handled pressure really well; they’ve closed out multiple series in six or fewer over the last two years. They are the better defensive team on home ice, and have the better goalie who has proven closeout experience.
2. Under 5.5 Total Goals (–105)
- Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐
Closeout games trend tight, and both teams relied on defensive structure in Game 5. Bobrovsky and Skinner faced less clean looks, and recent Florida elimination games have all stayed under. There’ll be limited rush chances, fewer penalties, and more blocked shots.
3. Leon Draisaitl 1+ Point (–130)
- Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐
Draisaitl has 7 points in the last 4 games and is playing over 22 minutes a night. In elimination spots, Edmonton relies on him more than anyone that’s not named McDavid. If the Oilers score? You can bet he’s gonna be involved.
Bonus Lean: First Period Under 1.5 Goals (+105)
- Confidence: ⭐⭐½ (Low-Medium)
Game 5 had one goal in the opening 20 minutes, and both teams managed less than six shots each in that period. Puck control and line matching took priority over stretch passes or odd-man rushes.
Looking for where to place your bets on Game 6? Check out our top-rated sportsbooks for the best odds and bonuses.
Game 6 Gut Check: Here’s How We See It Playing Out
Florida plays cleaner and more structured hockey. They manage the puck, make less mistakes, and rely on Bobrovsky to cover what little does manage to break through. On home ice, they’ve looked way more composed and in sync than Edmonton.
The Oilers do have a lot of talent, but the same issues keep coming up: thin scoring beyond the top line, wobbly defensive coverage, and a goalie who hasn’t met the moment.
Game 6 will probably lean tight, with less chances and more post-whistle standoffs than odd-man rushes. We’re backing Florida to shut it down and end it without needing to schlep back to Alberta. And we won’t need neck braces for our whiplash!
Final Score Prediction: Florida Panthers 3, Edmonton Oilers 2
Florida finishes it off with an empty-netter late in the third period and wins it 3–2!
Remember: If you are going to bet on this game, be sure to gamble responsibly and bet within your means.
How to Tell If You’re Betting Emotionally—And Fix It Fast
You think you’re betting with logic—checking stats, picking your spots, staying disciplined. Then you have a loss or two or three, and all of a sudden, you’re chasing the next win like it’s a bus you’ve missed and you need to get on that bus! It’s not uncommon, and if you aren’t careful? It can spin out of control before you even know that it’s happening.
It’s not like emotional betting will tap you on the shoulder or announce itself. One minute you’re on your game and sticking to your plan, and the next? You’re reacting instead. And it’s normal to want to win back what you lost. It’s not something that only happens to inexperienced bettors, either. There are people with decades of betting experience under their belts who can slip into emotional betting.
We want to help you be aware of what betting emotionally entails, how you can catch yourself doing it, and how to nip it in the bud. Then you’ll know what emotional betting looks like, why your brain tends to go down that path, and what you can do to stop it. The end game is less knee-jerk bets, fewer blown bankrolls, and a lot more control!
What Is Emotional Betting?
Emotional betting is what happens when your decisions at the sportsbook aren’t based on any kind of logic, research, or a plan; they’re based on your feelings. Anger after a loss. Excitement after a win. Impatience. Hope. Desperation. Basically, anything that would make you say “Eff it” and hit confirm before you’ve thought it through.
It’s not a momentary mood swing, either. It’s a change in how you’re making bets. Rather than doing your due diligence by looking at stats or running through your usual filters, you start reacting. You see your balance drop, and you immediately go searching for the next pick in the hopes of winning it back. You see your favorite team in a must-win game, and you bet on them because you want them to win, not because they’re the best team to pick.
And the problem isn’t only that it throws off your strategy, it’s worse than that. You will make bets that you wouldn’t normally make, and it’s with money that you didn’t plan to bet with. That can delete your bankroll, your ego, and your ability to be and stay consistent.
The following are a few of the most common reasons that emotional betting occurs:
- You’re coming off a loss: You missed a parlay by one leg. You lost in overtime on a bad call. And now you’re tilted. Instead of taking a break, you chase it, thinking that you’re due for a rebound, even though nothing in the matchup shows that.
- You’re attached to certain teams or players: Maybe you’re a die-hard Knicks fan, or you always bet SGA props no matter the number. But betting based on loyalty alone isn’t the same as betting with an advantage; it’s personal bias on a betting slip.
- You’re chasing the “rush”: Sometimes it’s not even about the money. You want the action. You want to feel something, anything, when you watch a game. But betting for an adrenaline rush is the fastest way to lose both discipline and your money.
The biggest issue with emotional betting is that it turns your bankroll into a yo-yo. You’re constantly reacting instead of planning, and the more it happens? The harder it gets to break the pattern.
7 Signs You’re Betting Emotionally
You won’t always know you’re doing it in the moment. Emotional betting doesn’t come with a “DANGER” sign; it sneaks in with little things. If you recognize any of the patterns below, your decisions are probably being influenced more by emotion than logic.

You Bet More After a Loss
Losses will happen, but it’s how you react to them that’s important. If your immediate instinct after losing a bet is to open up the next game and throw more money down, that’s not a strategy—you are reacting.
Maybe it’s a “revenge bet.” Or maybe you’re frustrated that a ref blew a call or a favorite collapsed in the fourth. You’re not betting because the numbers line up; no, you’re betting because you’re mad. That’s how bankrolls get chopped in half or blown in one night.

You Double Down to ‘Get Even’
This one’s brutal. You lose $100, so you bet $200 on the next one. That goes left too, so now you’re in for $400 trying to “make it back.”
The logic here? “If this one hits, I’m good.” But that’s not how risk works at all. Doubling down isn’t a smart fix; you’re changing losses, and that causes more losses and regret. The worst part is that you’re not even thinking about the bet itself anymore. All you want to do is undo the damage.

You Abandon Your Strategy Mid-Game
You started the day with a plan that looked something like only betting totals, or only first-half spreads, or only on the games where you saw real value. But now it’s halftime, you’re down two bets, and you’re live-betting the third quarter of a game you barely capped. Why?
Because your emotions are now in the driver’s seat. Once you go off plan, you’re no longer betting with discipline; you’re chasing something that will hopefully turn the day around, and it snowballs from there.

You Bet on Your Favorite Team—No Matter What
You know they’re on a losing streak. You know the line’s too high. You know the matchup is bad. But you still take them because you want them to win.
You think you’re being loyal, but it’s biased. You’re rooting with your wallet, not betting with your noggin. And when it goes wrong, it’ll hurt twice as much. Now you’re angry and broke!

You Increase Bet Sizes Based on Gut Feelings
You usually bet $50 a game. But for some reason, today you put $150 on one pick “because it feels right.”
There’s no math here. No advantage. No research that backs it up. Just a hunch or a vibe or some imaginary lock that “can’t miss.” Gut feelings are good in certain circumstances, but sports betting is not one of them. They’re how a losing streak starts.

You’re Checking Scores Obsessively
You should be tracking the games that you bet on, but there’s a world of difference between checking and obsessing. If you’re refreshing your score app every 30 seconds, checking live spreads, and sweating every possession like it’s life or death, you’re way too attached.
This is the type of behavior that usually points to bets that were made impulsively. It’s a sign that your emotions are wrapped up in the outcome, and that you weren’t all that confident in the pick to begin with.

You Feel Regret or Panic After Placing a Bet
You hit submit on a bet and immediately get an uneasy feeling. Did you rush it? Did you really think it through? It’s too late now to second-guess it, and you’re praying it works out instead of knowing that it at least has a decent chance.
That sinking feeling? It’s your brain playing catch-up to your emotions. This usually happens when you bet out of impulse or FOMO, like when you take a pick you saw on a Reddit betting thread two minutes before tip-off.
Why It Happens—The Psychology Behind It
You’re not weak. You’re not undisciplined. Your gray matter is hard-wired to make bad decisions under pressure, and sportsbooks know it. There’s science to back up emotional betting, and once you understand it, the patterns will make a lot more sense.
Let’s break down what’s going on under the hood!

Dopamine and the ‘Near Miss’ Effect
Dopamine is your brain’s reward chemical. It gets released when you experience pleasure, and also when you almost win. That “so close” parlay miss? That last-second shot that wrecked your under by half a point? Those moments give your brain a little surge of excitement, even though you lost.
Casinos figured this out a long time ago. Slot machines are designed to trigger dopamine with near wins, and sportsbooks benefit from the same thing. The closer you are to hitting a bet, the more your brain wants to go again, because it feels like the next one just has to hit.

The Gambler’s Fallacy
This is the idea that if something didn’t happen recently, it’s more likely to happen now. You’ve lost five straight NBA props, so the sixth must go your way, right?
Wrong. Every bet is independent of the one before. The universe doesn’t balance outcomes based on your recent record. But your brain wants to believe that it does. That’s why people chase losses or believe they’re “due!” The fallacy tricks them into thinking probability has some kind of a memory. It doesn’t.

Loss Aversion: Why Losing Hurts More Than Winning Feels Good
Studies show that people feel the pain of a loss twice as intensely as the pleasure of a win. That’s why it’s so easy to spiral out after a bad day of betting, even if you were killing it the week before.
It’s also why bettors chase; because the discomfort of losing is so strong, they’ll do just about anything to escape it. Not to win. Just to stop the pain. And that’s a really dangerous place to bet from.

How Sportsbooks Use This Against You
Sportsbooks know exactly how emotional betting works, and they take full advantage of it. That’s why you’ll see the following on gambling sites:
- Boosted odds on public teams (because they know fans will take them anyway).
- Cash-out options during swings (tapping into your anxiety mid-game).
- Live lines that are designed to lure desperate bettors into reacting instead of thinking.
It’s not a wacky conspiracy; it’s a business model. And it thrives on bettors making fast, emotional decisions instead of slow, calculated ones.
5 Fast Fixes to Stop Emotional Betting
Acknowledging that you are emotionally betting is one thing, but stopping it? That’s another kettle of fish. It takes structure, but some fixes and habits can pull you out of reactive mode and back into making informed bets!

Pause After Every Loss (5-Minute Rule)
Take five minutes before you make another bet. Literally set a timer, and use this time to breathe, close the app, and ask yourself this: “Would I still want to make this bet if I’d won the last one?” If the answer’s no, it’s probably the tilt talking.

Set Strict Bankroll and Bet Size Limits
Decide on your daily and weekly limits when you’re clear-headed, and don’t change them mid-game. Use fixed unit sizes, and never increase your stake because of a “feeling.” Consistency will win out against hot streaks every single time.

Use a Pre-Bet Checklist
Build a basic mental checklist before every bet with the following questions:
- Did I research this game?
- Do I understand why I like the number?
- Am I betting with a plan, or am I just reacting?
If you can’t answer those questions with clarity, don’t make the bet.

Track Your Bets (and Mood)
Use a spreadsheet or a tracking app, and not just for the results, but for how you felt when you made the bet. Were you tilted? Chasing? Confident? After a week or two, you’ll see where your head was at. And that’s where you can make changes to fix any leaks.

Sleep on Major Bets—No Late-Night Tilt
High-stakes bets? Sleep on them. Don’t bet big when you’re tired, irritated, or chasing from earlier games. Most emotional bets take place after 10 p.m., when you’re trying to turn the day around. Set a cutoff and stick to it.
Build a Rational Betting Routine
Quick fixes do help, but if you want long-term success, you need to have a system in place. A routine that’s built on logic, not on impulse, makes it so much easier to be and remain disciplined, even when the pressure mounts.

Bet with Data, Not Emotion
Start with the facts. Use trends, line movement, injury reports, and matchup stats, not your gut feelings. If you can’t explain why a bet makes sense without using the word “vibe?” That should be a hard pass.

Use Pre-Defined Strategies
Pick a lane and stay in it. That might mean only betting first-half totals, sticking to plus-money props, or fading public favorites. Whatever your angle is, keep it consistent. Don’t add bets last-minute because you’re bored or feeling blue.

Take Regular Breaks and Set Time Limits
Give yourself betting windows. Maybe you cap games in the morning, place bets in the afternoon, and stop when night falls. Or maybe you take Sundays off completely. The point is to avoid betting out of habit or fatigue.

Use Tools That Help You Stay Disciplined
Apps like Betstamp, or any basic bet tracker sheet will keep your results organized. Most of the tools let you lock in max bet sizes or limit certain types of bets. Use them! The more you automate your discipline? The fewer emotional decisions that you’ll make!
Conclusion: Don’t Let Your Feelings Bust Your Bankroll
Most people don’t realize they’re betting emotionally until the damage is already done. The account is drained, the bets are bigger, and the decisions don’t even make sense in hindsight. By then, you’re not just losing money—you’re losing control.
But you don’t have to keep going down that dangerous road! If you are able to recognize the signs early on and start building a routine that relies on structure instead of spur-of-the-moment decisions, you’ll avoid the worst of it.
You’re not trying to win every bet, because you won’t. You’re trying to last. You’re trying to bet without regret, and that takes real discipline.
Here’s a brief recap about emotional betting:
- Emotional betting is way more common than most people admit.
- It usually rears its head after losses, in impulsive bets, or through chasing.
- Recognizing it is the first step, and a routine and structured betting stops it from getting out of hand.
- Long-term success in betting comes from logic, not emotion.
Want to eliminate guessing from your bets? You can! Check out our collection of Sports Betting Tools that will help you stay disciplined and make better picks.
Sports Betting ToolsSan Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction (June 16, 2025)
The NL West spotlight is headed to Chavez Ravine on Monday night as the Padres and Dodgers meet on the field in a high-leverage showdown. There are standings on the line, people! Only one game separates the two long-time rivals, and the outcome of this series? It could shift the summer.
All eyes will be on the mound; Dylan Cease is expected to start for San Diego, but there was big news announced last night—Dodgers two-way star Shohei Ohtani is set to make his return to the hill!
This marks Ohtani’s first pitching appearance in 22 months following his elbow surgery, and it’s his first start as a pitcher in a Dodgers uniform. Sorry, Ben Casparius! You’ve been benched for this one.
We’re excited to see what Ohtani brings to LA, and it should be a pretty good show! Keep scrolling to read all about this matchup, the latest betting odds, and, of course, our picks for the best bets for the opener!
Game Overview
- Matchup: San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers
- Date & Time: Monday, June 16, 10:10 pm ET (7:10 pm local PT)
- Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles. The Dodgers are 24–12 at home this season, and the Padres are 18–19 on the road
- Broadcast: MLBN (MLB Network)
- Weather Forecast: Around 77°F and clear evening skies in Los Angeles
Starting Pitchers Breakdown
There are two really high-profile arms throwing, but only one has logged innings this season. Cease is coming off his best start of the year. Ohtani hasn’t thrown a pitch in a game since 2023.

Padres – Dylan Cease
- 2–5, 4.28 ERA, 1.30 WHIP over 75.2 IP
Cease hasn’t been reliable in most starts this season, but he ran through the Dodgers in their last game. He went seven whole innings without allowing a run and struck out 11 hitters. His fastball was on point, the slider was working off the plate, and LA couldn’t adapt. If he finds that same command again? The Padres are in a good spot to win the opener.

Dodgers – Shohei Ohtani
- First pitching appearance since August 2023
Ohtani makes his Dodgers pitching debut after almost 2 years of being off the mound. He’s stayed active as a hitter, but this is his first time against live batters since his elbow reconstruction. He’ll probably be capped around 60 pitches, and the bullpen will be ready to go. He’s expected to rely on his usual combo: a high-90s fastball, splitter with late drop, and a sweeping slider. What’s unknown is how accurate his location will be and if he can handle multiple innings at full speed.
Recent Form & Key Trends
The Padres broke out of a slump with a win in Arizona, and the Dodgers keep masking rotation holes with big hitters and bullpen coverage. Both teams have their flaws, but they’re coming in off wins.
San Diego stopped a four-game slide with an 8–2 win over the Diamondbacks, getting RBIs from six players. No one carried the lineup; it was spread out, which is what they’ve needed. The real signal came from the mound: Dylan Cease blanked the Dodgers a few days ago, going 7 innings with 11 strikeouts. That 11–1 win wasn’t a one-off, either; he kept hitters off balance and attacked early in counts. He’s back on regular rest and will get the same lineup again.
Los Angeles beat the uniform pants off the Giants 11–5 on Saturday behind a two-homer day from Teoscar Hernández and a three-hit night from Ohtani. The offense is moving, but the rotation isn’t built to maintain long leads as of now. Gonsolin, May, and Kershaw are still out. Casparius filled in last week and did well—four innings, one run—but he’s out as of last night’s announcement that Ohtani will be starting. We will see a strict pitch count and bullpen involvement in the early innings. That puts a lot more pressure on LA’s middle relief, and they’ve been stretched out pretty thinly since mid-May.
Head-to-Head Series
- The Dodgers won the opener 8–7 in 10 innings
- Padres followed with an 11–1 rout behind Cease
- The Dodgers took the third game 5–2 to claim the series
- LA has a 2–1 advantage in the season matchup
- Tensions are still there from the 2024 NLDS; San Diego eliminated Los Angeles
Latest Betting Odds
Here are the most recent betting odds and lines via ESPN BET:
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total Runs |
|---|---|---|---|
Padres | +1.5 (-155) | +130 | Over 8.5 (-120) |
Dodgers | -1.5 (+130) | -155 | Under 8.5 (EVEN) |
The Dodgers are favored due to Ohtani returning to pitch. The total is sitting at 8.5, with slight juice on the over. San Diego gets the run-line cushion at a steep price, and LA backers get plus money on a multi-run win!
Betting Angle & Best Bets
And now for our picks! Look below for what we think are the two best bets for this opener.
Bet #1 – Padres Moneyline (+130)
- Cease handled the Dodgers no sweat in their last meetup: 7 innings, 11 strikeouts, and not one run allowed.
- He’s back on schedule and facing basically the same lineup.
- Ohtani will likely be limited to 3–4 innings, and that’ll force LA to rely on a bullpen that’s already been working heavy innings.
- At +130, San Diego is undervalued against a pitcher making his first start since 2023.
Bet #2 – Under 8.5 Total Runs (–120)
- With Ohtani on a pitch limit and Cease in form, this projects as a slower-scoring game.
- The Dodgers can score, but Cease shut them down, and San Diego’s bullpen is well-rested.
- If Ohtani exits early, the Dodgers will have to rely on a bullpen that hasn’t been reliable in high-leverage spots.
- A total of 8.5 feels inflated considering how both pitchers are expected to be used.
Ohtani’s return changed the odds a little, but not enough to make the Padres unplayable! There is uncertainty about how long Ohtani will pitch, so there’s some real value here.
Props to Watch
- Manny Machado Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105): Machado has six hits in his last three games, including three for extra bases. He’s seeing the ball really well and should get at least one plate appearance against the bullpen. At plus money, this number has value given his recent contact quality.
- Dylan Cease Over 5.5 Strikeouts: Cease has gone over this number in three of his last five starts and has already proved that he can put away this lineup. If he keeps his pitch count manageable and gets through six innings? This clears without needing a spike game.
Padres vs. Dodgers – Our Prediction
Final Score Prediction: Padres 4 – Dodgers 2
San Diego finally got production from their entire lineup in the win over Arizona, and they’ll have their best available starter pitching. Cease easily handled the Dodgers last week and comes into the game on full rest.
Ohtani’s return comes with a lot of “what if’s.” He hasn’t pitched since 2023, so the Dodgers are expected to limit his workload. And that puts extra pressure on a bullpen that’s already been logging heavy innings.
The Padres have the better starting option, the more stable pitching setup, and the hitters that can take advantage once LA goes to relief. This is a game that they can take on the road!
UCLA vs. LSU Prediction & Top Bets (June 16, 2025) – Men’s College World Series
UCLA and LSU will meet tomorrow night in Game 7 of bracket play at the Men’s College World Series. The first pitch is set to be thrown at 7:00 pm ET at Charles Schwab Field in Omaha, and you can watch it on ESPN and ESPN+.
The winner advances in the winner’s bracket, and the loser goes into a must-win Game 11. LSU has more postseason experience, but UCLA’s been on point during the tournament and hasn’t buckled. This one will be a close game between two teams that are capable of making a run for the title!
Keep scrolling to see all you need to know about the game, including the latest betting odds, and our picks for the best bets.
Game Details
- Matchup: UCLA Bruins vs. LSU Tigers
- Date & Time: Monday, June 16, at 7 p.m. ET
- Location: Charles Schwab Field, Omaha
- Broadcast: ESPN national broadcast
- Format: Game 8 – Winner’s Bracket matchup in Bracket 2 of the Men’s College World Series
Why This Match Matters
This is the first game of the tournament that has elimination stakes! The winner will stay in control of the bracket, and the loser goes into a do-or-die Game 11.
LSU comes with a solid postseason resume and seven national titles, which is more than any other team that’s left. UCLA is making its first Omaha appearance since 2013; they won the Big Ten and have started the College World Series with six straight wins.
Team-by-Team Breakdown
UCLA has built its game around pitching and control. LSU’s been more aggressive with power and tempo. What does each one bring into Game 7? Look below for a team comparison!
UCLA Bruins

- Record: 48–16 overall, Big Ten champions
- Tournament Run: Six consecutive wins, including a 6–2 win over Murray State in bracket play
- Starting Pitching: Ian May (8–3) picked up the opener and has kept hitters off balance with good command and pitch mix
- Bullpen: Easton Hawk has closed games well, staying in the zone and limiting hard contact
- Lineup: Production spread across the order; no single bat is carrying the load
- Strengths: Good plate discipline, steady bullpen work, and consistent situational hitting
- Vulnerabilities: Limited exposure to high-velocity SEC pitching; pressure situations at this level are new for most of the roster
LSU Tigers

- Record: 49–15; last year’s national champs
- Tournament History: Seven-time College World Series winners, including 2023
- Rotation Depth: Kade Anderson (11–1) anchors the staff; the rest of the rotation is set and rested
- Offense: Jared Jones has been the go-to bat with 20 homers and 70 RBIs; plenty of power throughout the order
- Strengths: Pitching staff has front-line stuff and experience in high-leverage games; the offense can change a game with one swing
- Concerns: ERA sits at 3.80, which is a respectable number, but they’ve shown some command lapses in certain spots; bullpen usage could get tested if starters don’t make it to later innings
Game Flow & Key Matchups
This projects as a tight game with limited scoring chances. Execution on the mound and in the box will decide it!
Starting Pitching
UCLA is expected to go with Ian May, who handled his last start with composure and has kept hitters off balance and off base. LSU lines up with ace Kade Anderson (11–1), who’s been good all season and hasn’t walked a lot of players. Early pitch efficiency will matter; neither team wants to go to its bullpen too soon.
Bullpen Usage
UCLA has gotten steady work from Easton Hawk and hasn’t needed long relief. LSU’s middle relievers haven’t logged that many innings in Omaha, but this could change if Anderson gets into trouble. The team that gets cleaner outs in the sixth and seventh will probably take control.
Offensive Contrast
LSU has more home run power, and it’s led by Jared Jones and Tommy White. UCLA spreads its offense around with singles, walks, hit-and-run looks, and aggressive baserunning. If the long ball isn’t there? LSU might have to manufacture more than usual.
Experience vs. Urgency
LSU has a lot of postseason familiarity, so they know what it feels like. UCLA hasn’t played in Omaha since 2013, but its energy and execution haven’t slipped. They’ve played good baseball and handled scoreboard pressure really well.
Betting Outlook & Odds
If you’re betting on this NCAA matchup, here are the latest odds that are up on FanDuel:
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total Runs |
|---|---|---|---|
UCLA | +2.5 (-144) | +200 | Over 9.5 (-112) |
LSU | -2.5 (+110) | -265 | Under 9.5 (-112) |
CWS Futures
- LSU: +225 to WIN it all (30.8% implied probability)
- UCLA: +900 (10.0%)
Props to Consider
- Total College World Series runs: Forecasts are leaning under in games with top-end starters and strong bullpen scenarios, which is based on how the bracket has played out so far.
- Jared Jones Anytime Home Run: A strong bet, as he leads the team with 20 homers and 70 RBIs!
Best Bets for UCLA vs. LSU
This game has two really strong starters, experienced bullpens, and postseason-tested lineups. Our best bets include three picks and a prop!
| Bet | Pick | Rationale | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | LSU to Win (–120) | LSU’s rotation is deeper, and Anderson (11–1, sub-3.00 ERA) gives them a clear edge. They just handled Arkansas and brought real postseason polish. | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (8/10) |
Total Runs | Under 9.5 Runs (–105) | Two capable starters and rested bullpens point toward a lower-scoring game. Run-scoring should be limited unless mistakes compound in the early innings. | ⭐⭐⭐ (7/10) |
Player Prop | Jared Jones to Record an RBI | Jones leads LSU in RBIs and continues to produce with runners on. If LSU strings together baserunners, he’s a strong bet to drive someone in. | ⭐⭐⭐ (6.5/10) |
Team Total | UCLA Under 4.5 Runs | LSU has held opponents under 4 runs in 5 of their last 6. With Anderson starting and bullpen arms available, UCLA may not have many clean chances. | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (8/10) |
Prediction & Closing Thoughts: UCLA vs. LSU
This is a critical spot in the bracket. Why? Because the winner will be one step closer to the finals. And the loser drops into an elimination game without a chance to rest and not a lot of room to manage arms.
The matchup tracks as a pitcher’s game. Ian May and Kade Anderson are both capable of going six-plus innings, and neither team has been giving up easy runs. Offense will probably come down to which lineup manages to get an extra-base hit or capitalizes on a defensive mistake.
LSU has the advantage in tournament experience and rotation depth, and the total looks like it stays under, so there’s solid value in targeted props like a Jared Jones RBI or UCLA team total under 4.5!
Don’t forget to check sportsbooks for updates as the elimination bracket changes and to confirm starting pitchers!
Final Score Prediction: LSU 4, UCLA 2
May and Anderson should keep it close during the early frames. LSU has the advantage if they get into UCLA’s bullpen; Jones or White are the most likely to bring in runs.
If the outcome shifts? It’ll happen in the seventh or eighth inning, when LSU matches up against arms that don’t have the same control or pitch repertoire.
Looking to place a bet on this pivotal MCWS game but not sure where to get started? Check out our recommendations for the most trusted online betting sites to find competitive odds and quick payouts.
Indiana Pacers vs. OKC Thunder Game 5 Prediction & Top Bets (June 16, 2025)
Our heads are spinning from all of the back-and-forth in the NBA Finals. Game 5 is going back to Oklahoma City for Monday’s game, and the series is now tied 2-2 after four alternating battles.
The Thunder pulled out a 111-104 win on Friday to tie it up, which only reinforced the seesaw pattern of victories. Oklahoma City has gone 9-2 at home during the playoff run, and Indiana has posted a solid 7-3 mark on the road.
OKC is now the favorite to win the whole thing by a healthy margin of 9.5. Can they do it? Will the Pacers prove everyone wrong and take the lead? We have a lot of thoughts, and you can find them below, along with a series recap, betting odds, trends, our best bets, and final score prediction!
Game Details
- Matchup: Indiana Pacers vs. OKC Thunder
- Series Status: Tied 2-2
- Date & Time: Monday, June 16, at 8:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
- Broadcast: ABC
- Streaming: Sling, DirecTV Stream, Hulu + Live TV, YouTube TV, and Fubo
Series So Far – What’s Changed
The Finals are tied 2–2, and each team has won every other game so far. Every matchup has come down to certain adjustments: late-game decisions, defensive pressure, or bench scoring. Here’s a recap of the first four:
- Game 1 went to Indiana after Haliburton buried a step-back over Lu Dort in the final seconds.
- Game 2 shifted toward Oklahoma City, which forced 17 turnovers, controlled the boards, and pulled away for a 16-point win.
- Game 3 was really close until the closing stretch. The Pacers outscored OKC 13–6 in the final five minutes, with McConnell and Jackson making key plays off the bench.
- Game 4 went back to the Thunder, who used a 12–2 third-quarter run to create separation. Shai led with 26 points, and OKC held the lead the rest of the way in a 111–104 win.
Game Flow & Prediction
Oklahoma City will likely push the pace from the ball drop by getting downhill in transition, attacking off misses, and trying to disrupt Indiana’s defensive shape before it’s in place. That’s been their go-to at home all postseason. The Pacers usually slow things down as the game goes on, favoring controlled possessions and letting Haliburton or McConnell dictate tempo in the halfcourt.
The first half should stay close; both teams will trade short runs. OKC has consistently pulled ahead in the third quarter throughout the series, using that window to shift the momentum. But if Indiana keeps it close heading into the fourth? They’ve been way more composed in those final minutes with quality looks, managing the clock, and forcing defensive stops when it counts.
Betting Odds & Prop Trends
Want to throw down some cash on Game 5? Look below for the latest odds, lines, and prop bets via DraftKings:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Pacers | +9.5 (-112) | +310 | Over 223.5 (-110) |
Thunder | -9.5 (-108) | -395 | Under 223.5 (-110) |
Prop Bets
- Shai Gilgeous‑Alexander Over 24.5 Points: SGA’s averaged over 32 at home this series and tied Wilt Chamberlain’s home playoff streak with 30+ in nine straight games. This line is really well-supported!
- Chet Holmgren Under 8.5 Rebounds: Holmgren is looking at fatigue risk, and while he’s grabbing ~7–9 per game, he’s more likely to hover just under 8.5 in this bounce-back spot.
- Isaiah Hartenstein Under 7.5 Points: He’s been limited offensively in rotation, concentrating instead on screens, rebounds, and spacing, and that keeps his scoring on the low end.
Our Best Bets for Game 5 – Pacers vs. Thunder
What are we looking at wager-wise? Below are our picks for the four best bets!
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 28.5 Points: SGA has cleared 30 points in three of the four Finals games and continues to take over in the fourth, especially at Paycom Center, where his usage ticks up. Indiana hasn’t found a good answer defensively; Aaron Nesmith and Andrew Nembhard have rotated on him, but neither has slowed him down in isolation.
- Trend: Averaging 31.2 PPG in the Finals
- Confidence Rating: 9/10
- Tyrese Haliburton Over 9.5 Assists: The Pacers’ offense runs right through him, period. When the game is close, Haliburton gets into his groove as a facilitator. He’s hit double-digit assists in three of the four games so far.
- Trend: 10.3 APG across the Finals
- Confidence Rating: 8/10
- Chet Holmgren Under 8.5 Rebounds: Holmgren’s rebounding has dropped when Indiana pulls him away from the paint with stretch bigs and cuts from the weak side. Foul trouble has also kept his minutes in check, which makes it harder to clear this number unless he plays a flawless game.
- Trend: Rebound totals: 7, 6, 9, and 5 (Games 1–4)
- Confidence Rating: 7/10
- Pacers +9.5 (Spread): Indiana has covered this number in three of four games and continues to hang around, even when the offense is stagnant. OKC has had a lot of trouble covering big spreads at home, and Indiana’s late-game scoring keeps things close more often than not.
- Trend: Thunder are 2–6 ATS at home in the 2025 playoffs
- Confidence Rating: 8.5/10
Can the Thunder Defend Home Court? Here’s Our Call
The Finals are back at the Paycom Center and tied at 2–2. Every game has come down to late possessions, and neither team holds momentum for long. Game 5 gives OKC a chance to change the series, but Indiana has shown us that they can hold up when they’re on the road.
We’re backing SGA Over 28.5 points. Why? Because he’s been the best scorer in the series and continues to get high-percentage looks when it counts. Haliburton Over 9.5 assists also stays on the board. His usage hasn’t dropped, and the ball goes through him every time Indiana settles into a halfcourt set.
The number we (and everyone else) like the most is Pacers +9.5. They’ve covered this line in three of four games and have kept things close even when the offense stalls. Oklahoma City might take the win, but the margin projects to stay inside double digits unless one side completely falls apart.
If you’re targeting any of the bets above, move early in the day! Props and spreads have changed closer to tip-off in every game this series, and if you wait, it usually means worse numbers!
Our Final Score Prediction: Thunder 112 – Pacers 107
Oklahoma City comes out on top in a close finish at home, but Indiana covers the spread. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Tyrese Haliburton will both put up strong numbers, and the game will probably be decided in the final minutes of the fourth quarter!
What Are ‘Loss Rebates’ and How to Use Them Without Getting Burned
Loss rebates on a gambling site? If you lose your money you get it back? Say more! Sounds good, doesn’t it? A safety harness that secures you if your luck runs thin while you’re betting.
The loss rebate is pitched to players like this: “If you lose, we’ll give you money back!” Say less! But we can’t say less, because the reality is that the promotions are way more nuanced and complicated. They do sound like you’re getting free insurance, but the fine print strikes again. And if you don’t know the terms, it’s a trap.
The concept is simple enough: casinos advertise cashback or “loss-back” offers so you’ll bet knowing that some of your losses might be refunded.
With a typical 10% cashback deal, it means if you lose $100, you’d get $10 back. But it’s not simple. Unlike cash insurance, almost all loss rebates are given as bonus credits or under super strict conditions. That means the refunded amount isn’t cash that you can withdraw.
So why do gambling sites offer them? And if they aren’t what they claim to be, what even are they? We’ll unpack the catches, like wagering requirements, time limits, and psychological downsides that turn what looks like a friendly offer into a player trap. This is your definitive guide and decoder for rebate-speak so that you can learn the rules and use the rebates, not regret them.
What Is a Loss Rebate?
A loss rebate, which is also called a cashback or loss-back bonus, is a promo where a casino or sportsbook agrees to refund a portion of your losses over a specified period. It’s a way to “lose back” money you just lost. Rebates take many forms, from a percentage of weekly losses to a 100% refund on your first day. The main feature is that the bonus only kicks in if you lose money.
Some casinos promise players, “If you’re down after 24 hours, we’ll give you back 100% of your net losses up to $1,000 in site credit.” FanDuel Casino has exactly this: any net loss on your first day is refunded as a casino bonus up to $1,000. Another common form is risk-free bets in sportsbooks: This gives new users a “First Bet” insurance, so if your first wager loses, you get the stake back as bonus credits (up to $1,500).
A loss rebate is like partial insurance on your play. You never get money back on a winning bet (that would just be a normal win!), but when the odds go against you, the site gives you back a portion. It could be 100% of one day’s losses, or a smaller percentage (say 5-20%) of losses over a week. The refunded amount is not cash given to you; it comes as site credit or “bonus bets” that have to be wagered before you can withdraw. It sounds like free money, but in practice, it’s a conditional bonus.
Loss rebate = “insurance” on your play. You lose, you get some back. But don’t confuse it with a gift! The platforms hope that the rebate keeps you betting for longer. It pushes you to keep playing or locks you into more wagering, ergo playing right into their hands.
Types of Loss Rebates
Online casinos and sportsbooks all use loss rebates in different ways. They come in several basic flavors, and each with its own rules. The following are the most common types of rebate promotions you’ll encounter:

1. Daily/Weekly Loss Rebates
These rebates are calculated based on your net losses over a specific period, typically daily or weekly. They’re designed to encourage continued play by offering a percentage of your losses back.
How Do They Work?• Calculation: Based on net losses during the specified period.
• Crediting: Typically awarded as bonus funds with wagering requirements.
• Eligibility: May require a minimum loss amount to qualify.

2. VIP or Loyalty-Based Rebates
These rebates are part of loyalty programs, and they have better rates for higher-tier users. They’re designed to reward high rollers and retain valuable players. Below are some examples:
- Caesars Rewards: Offers tier and reward credits across 60+ properties and online platforms, and are redeemable for free play, hotel stays, and dining.
- Unibet’s Rakeback System: Valid for both sports betting and casino, allowing players to ‘rake’ back between 10% and 51% of wagered stakes. This VIP program is invite-only, and it’s based on activity levels.
How It Works:• Tiered Structure: Higher tiers offer better cashback percentages and additional perks.
• Eligibility: Typically based on wagering activity and may be by invitation.
• Additional Benefits: May include personal account managers, faster withdrawals, and exclusive event invitations.

3. One-Time Welcome Loss Rebates
These are the introductory offers for new players, which give a safety net by refunding a percentage of losses during the first play period.
- FanDuel Casino: Offers up to $1,000 back in casino bonus on any first-day net loss. The bonus funds are subject to a 1x wagering requirement.
- Golden Nugget Online Casino: Provides a lossback offer where players get a percentage of their net losses back, and it’s credited in casino credits or bonus funds at the end of the promotional period.
How One-Time Welcome Loss Rebates Work:• Duration: Typically valid for the first 24 hours or initial play session.
• Crediting: Refunds are usually in the form of bonus funds with specific wagering requirements.
• Purpose: Designed to attract new players by decreasing the risk of initial losses.
Why Casinos Offer Loss Rebates
From the casino’s perspective, rebates are a really clever marketing tool and retention strategy, and serve both business and psychological purposes.
Big rebates get attention and bring in new players. Phrases like “lose $1,000, get it back” look just as appealing as a “deposit match,” and sometimes more so. A first-bet or first-day rebate is advertised big and bold to compete for sign-ups. It’s an easy promise to make for the house, since not everyone will hit the max loss. Even if a lot of players do, it’s a capped liability (e.g., only up to $1,000 on that first bet).
Knowing that there’s a refund waiting if they lose? That makes players bolder. If you know FanDuel will refund first-day losses up to $1,000, you might place bigger bets than you normally would. This increases the casino’s handle (the total amount wagered) even if some of it comes back as bonus credit.
Casinos don’t want players to abandon the site after a loss. A small refund can make a disappointed bettor give the platform another chance. From the casino’s view, the cost of a rebate (a fraction of a player’s losses) is offset by the extra wagering that player does.
Loss rebates have become industry-standard in most U.S. jurisdictions, so casinos offer them just to keep up. If FanDuel, BetRivers, and Golden Nugget are all offering large initial loss refunds, a holdout casino will feel left out. It’s a way for a brand to signal its generosity.
From psychology, we know people hate losing money much more than they enjoy an equivalent win, aka loss aversion. By promising to return some losses, casinos tap into that craving for loss mitigation. The gambler who just lost $500 feels it, but if they know even $50 will come back, their mood and behavior can change. A loss rebate reframes losing: it’s not a total loss, it’s just mostly lost. Casinos capitalize on this by setting conditions (like wagering requirements) so that the “returned” losses still carry some risk and encourage, you guessed it, more bets.
8 Hidden Risks: How Players Get Burned
Rebates look friendly and harmless, but they come with a lot of strings that can leave you worse off if you’re not careful. Now it’s time to see all of the “gotchas” that can get an unwary player!
Bonus vs. Cash
The rebate is never handed back to you as cash—if it is? We’ve not heard of that gambling site. It comes as site credit or bonus bets, which have tons of conditions. If you don’t use that credit? It goes bye-bye. And even if you do, you have to wager it before you can withdraw.
FanDuel’s casino rebate requires a 1x playthrough of the bonus; a $500 rebate gives $500 in bonus credit, and you have to wager $500 (once) to convert it to real money. If your winnings after wagering fail the terms (or if you lose it all), you get nothing. Some promotions have even stricter playthroughs (5x or more).
Wagering Requirements
This ties into the one above, as most rebates demand multiple playthroughs of the bonus. If not stated clearly, a rebate could be a “matched bet” that forces action.
Bally’s $100 weekly cashback in Pennsylvania comes with a 1x wagering requirement. That means the $100 bonus has to be bet once (only slots or specific games count) before you can withdraw any winnings. And if you use your bonus on a high-variance bet and lose, you can end up with nothing. Always check how many times you have to wager the refund and on which games!
Time Limits
Cashbacks all have deadlines. FanDuel’s first-day loss refund expires in 24 hours, and if you don’t lose and “net out” by then, you get nothing.
Some weekly rebates reset every Monday, and there are others that might only be once per month. If you don’t know the window, you will miss out. Worse, there are casinos that will only credit the rebate after the period ends. Bally promised losses back in the “first 7 days,” but if you stop playing on day 7? You have to wait 72 hours for the cash back. If the casino site glitches or you forget, the refund could get lost in digital limbo.
Game Restrictions
Rebate credits only count on certain games. Providers exclude games with better odds (like blackjack or video poker) or high RTP games. If the terms say the rebate only applies to slot machine losses, then playing roulette or betting on sports will earn you no cashback. It skews you toward riskier games and makes it harder to “win back” the refund, because slots carry a much bigger house edge. You have to read the small print, because it’s never obvious which wagers trigger the rebate.
Maximum Refund Caps
Every promotion out there has a cap. If your losses exceed the cap? You only get up to the limit. Losing $5,000 in a day doesn’t get you $5,000 back if the cap is $1,000. The casino won’t highlight that small but important detail, but they should. Think of it in business terms: If they advertise “get up to $X back,” the phrase “up to” is the operative word. If you bet in hopes of getting a huge refund, you will overshoot the maximum.
Betting Behavior Traps
And then there are the mind games. Knowing that you have a rebate promise can make you more reckless. Casinos are counting on this: a fixed rebate like $100 can make people stick around long enough to lose $500 or more just trying to get that $100 back.
Bonus Abuse Clauses
Casinos hate being gamed. If you deposit, bet a little to unlock a rebate, and then immediately withdraw without playing? The site will claw back the bonus. Almost all promo terms include clauses that if you don’t use the bonus in a “bona fide gaming manner” (i.e., gamble it), they void it. So you can’t just tank and quit; they require some actual play.
State-Specific Differences
Promotions vary by state due to regulations. Bally’s offered rebates are different in NJ vs PA; in New Jersey, it’s straight cash with no wagering, but in Pennsylvania, it’s a bonus credit with a 1x playthrough. A player moving between states might see a “better” offer that is much harder to turn into real money.
How to Use Loss Rebates the Smart Way
Loss rebates can take the yikes out of a bad session, but only if you use them with discipline. Below are ten actionable ways to take advantage of the offers without falling victim to the traps that usually come with them!
1. Read Everything
Before you claim any rebate, read the fine print like it’s your job. Is the rebate given as real cash or bonus credit? Do you have to wager it once, or 10 times, before it’s withdrawable?
FanDuel’s casino rebate is pretty forgiving with a 1x playthrough requirement. That’s manageable! But there are offers that come with 5x or 10x wagering, which means that your rebate has to be wagered multiple times before you can touch the winnings. WynnBET has occasionally offered $200 rebates with zero wagering, and that’s about as good as it gets.
2. It’s a Bonus, Not a Refund
You’re not really getting your money back. It’s a bonus, not a cash reversal. That means you’re still playing and there’s risk. Don’t bet more than usual just because there’s a rebate sitting there. If your typical bet is $25, stay there! Don’t inflate it to $100 thinking you’ve got a cushion. Reframe the rebate as a bonus that will ease a bad run, not as a green light to go nuts with oversized bets.
3. Set Hard Stop-loss Limits
One of the most common traps is assuming that a rebate will cover your losses, so you push it further, but all rebates have limits. If the promo says, “up to $1,000 back,” and you lose $2,000 trying to hit that max, the casino wins.
Always decide in advance how much you’re willing to lose that day, with or without the rebate factored in. Don’t move from that number, stop when you hit it, and treat anything refunded as a bonus for next time—it’s not a reset button.
4. Play Lower-risk Games
If your rebate comes as bonus funds, pick the games that give you a shot at converting it into cash! Blackjack and low-volatility slots are good picks because they’re much more consistent.
If the wagering requirement is low (1x or 2x), this approach ups your odds of walking away with something. Just make sure those games qualify, because once again, some promos exclude table games entirely or only apply to specific slots.
5. Limit Your Deposit
Don’t deposit more than you need to trigger the offer. FanDuel only requires $10 to activate its first-day rebate, so don’t drop in $100 “just in case.” Start out small. If things go south and you hit the loss threshold, the rebate will cover a bigger percentage of your initial bankroll. This is really helpful for new users who are trying out a platform for the first time. Smaller deposits keep the damage to a minimum, and it makes the rebates more useful.
6. Withdraw Winnings Quickly
If you manage to turn your rebate into real cash, pull it out. Most platforms separate your balance into “bonus” and “cash.” If the cash portion meets the withdrawal rules? Grab it before you risk it again. Some casinos automatically convert leftover bonus funds after a set amount of play, but others don’t, and that credit can disappear if left unused. Don’t let your winnings get eaten by expired bonuses or re-wager traps!
8. Leverage No-Wager Offers
No-wagering offers are the holy grail of rebates. WynnBET has offered loss rebates that come back as withdrawable cash. It’s super rare, but when it pops up, use it. You’re getting a second chance with zero strings attached. And there are some New Jersey promos that return real cash and not just bonus credits, so check the terms based on your location. If you’re choosing between two offers and one has no wagering requirements? Take that one every time.
9. Watch for Expirations
No rebates will last forever. Some expire in 24 hours, and some reset weekly or monthly. If you qualify for a rebate and don’t use it in time, it’s gone. Mark the date, set a phone reminder, and plan your next session accordingly. Nothing’s worse than losing money, getting a rebate, and then forgetting to play it before it disappears.
10. Don’t Play for a Rebate
Don’t let the rebate be the sole reason that you log in. The promotions are built to pull you back in, especially after a loss or a long break. If you weren’t already planning to play, claiming a rebate will make you play when you weren’t planning to, all because you don’t want to waste it. Rebates should support your regular play, not drive it. If you were already set on playing? Great! Use that rebate. If not, skip it.
Conclusion: Don’t Let a Rebate Become a Regret
Loss rebates sound really good on paper, and don’t set us wrong, they can be useful! But they are in no way a get-out-of-jail-free card. They won’t erase bad bets or undo tilt. If you use them as a tool and not as a solution, they can help stretch your bankroll out and take some of the “ouch” out of a bad day.
Just keep your expectations in check! Read the terms. Don’t chase losses hoping to “make the most” of the offer. And most importantly? Always stay within your limits. Rebates are built to keep you playing, and that’s fine. But make sure that you are playing on your terms, not on theirs.
Look below for a quick refresher on loss rebates:
- Loss rebates can soften a bad run, but they’re not a safety net that you should depend on!
- Always read the fine print, as almost all of them come with a lot of strings attached.
- Only use rebates as part of a structured and intentional betting plan.
- If you remain disciplined, they can add value without pulling you off track.
LSU vs. Arkansas Prediction (June 14, 2025) – Men’s College World Series
LSU and Arkansas meet Saturday night in a game that looks more like it’s a semifinal than an opener! Arkansas comes in at 48–13 with the highest team batting average in the field and a roster that hasn’t dropped one postseason game.
LSU is 48–15 and brings one of the strongest starting staffs in Omaha. They’re led by Kade Anderson, who is a likely top-3 pick with 163 strikeouts in 103 innings.
There’s no easing into the bracket with this game; one program gets a chance to be in control. The other? They end up in the loser’s bracket after a single game. No pressure or anything!
Keep scrolling to see all you need to know about this matchup, including team stats, how the pitchers compare, betting odds, and our picks for the best bets!
Game Details
- Matchup: LSU Tigers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
- Date & Time: Saturday, June 14, at 7 p.m. ET
- Location: Charles Schwab Field, Omaha
- Broadcast: ESPN primetime coverage, SEC rivals headline opening night
- Format: Double-elimination bracket, winner gets strategic advantage
Team Snapshot
Arkansas hasn’t trailed in a postseason game and keeps producing at the plate without giving up much of anything defensively. LSU relies on high-strikeout arms and extra-base power to shift game outcomes. The teams have different styles but the same endgame, and here’s how they match up!
Arkansas Razorbacks (48–13)
The No. 3 seed has won five straight in the postseason, scoring early and avoiding high-leverage innings. They lead the field with a .313 team average and have limited defensive miscues across the bracket.

Key Players
- SS Wehiwa Aloy: .348, 20 HR, leads team in RBI
- LHP Zach Root: 8–5, consistent lefty with solid command
- OF Charles Davalan: .317, a key player at the top of the order
LSU Tigers (48–15)

LSU played its way through the loser’s bracket with back-to-back wins over North Carolina, and it was fueled by power hitting and high strikeout totals on the mound. They’ve hit nine home runs in five postseason games and held opponents to three runs or less than four of those.
Highlight Player
- LHP Kade Anderson – 10–1, 3.51 ERA, 163 K in 103 IP; among the top draft arms in the country
Pitching Matchup
LSU has the more explosive starter; Kade Anderson struck out 12 over seven scoreless innings in the Super Regional and hasn’t allowed more than two earned runs in a start since mid-May. Arkansas is expected to counter with Zach Root, who gave up three runs across 5.1 innings in his last outing and hasn’t pitched into the seventh since April. If he falters in the first few innings, Arkansas will probably go to the bullpen by the fourth.
LSU Projected Starter: Kade Anderson (10–1, 3.51 ERA)
Anderson is on regular rest after throwing seven innings with 12 strikeouts and no walks in the Super Regional. He leads all remaining starters in strikeouts and has allowed only two earned runs over his last three outings. If LSU holds him, Anthony Eyanson (11–2, 2.74 ERA) is the likely Game 1 option; he’s more contact-heavy but tough to square up.
Arkansas Projected Starter: Zach Root (8–5, ~3.60 ERA)
Root doesn’t overpower hitters but locates well and changes speeds. He’s gone at least five innings in all of his last four starts. Arkansas may also use multiple relievers; seven different pitchers have logged postseason innings, and they’ve allowed only five total runs in those five games.
Key Storylines
These two have seen each other before, so they know what’s coming. The starters, depth, game management, and late-inning execution all play a part.
- Season Series: LSU took 2 of 3 from Arkansas in March, including a 9–2 win in Game 3. Anderson pitched five shutout innings in that series.
- Postseason Form: Arkansas is 5–0 this postseason and has allowed just six total runs. LSU has scored 38 over its last five games and hit nine home runs during that stretch.
- Bullpen Usage: Arkansas has used seven different relievers in the postseason, with none throwing more than 3.1 innings. LSU’s bullpen has covered 17.2 innings over five games with a 1.52 ERA, most of that behind Eyanson and two late-game arms.
Betting Odds
Pricing is tight! There is very little separation between sides, and the books aren’t leaning heavily one way or the other, and the totals suggest a moderate scoring range. Here are the latest odds and lines according to ESPN BET:
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total Runs |
|---|---|---|---|
Arkansas | +1.5 (-190) | -120 | Over 9.5 (-115) |
LSU | -1.5 (+135) | -115 | Under 9.5 (-115) |
Any late shift will likely come down to confirmed starters. As of now, it looks like it is one of the most evenly matched games on the Day 1 slate.
Best Bets
Ready for what we are looking at in terms of value? Look below for our two best bets and a prop!
- LSU Moneyline (–115) ⭐⭐⭐ | LSU took the regular-season series and is starting the more reliable arm. Anderson’s strikeout rate and command give LSU a real advantage during the first two turns through the order.
- Total: Over 10 Runs | LSU is averaging 7.6 runs per game this postseason. Arkansas hasn’t scored less than five since May 24. Both lineups have power and more than enough plate discipline to stretch pitch counts.
- Prop: Kade Anderson Over 7.5 Strikeouts | Anderson has recorded 9+ strikeouts in three of his last four starts. Arkansas hitters have struck out 23 times over their last two games, and this particular matchup favors Anderson’s approach.
Our Prediction & Final Thoughts
Final Score Prediction: LSU 5, Arkansas 4
LSU gets five solid innings from Anderson, scratches across a run in the seventh, and closes it out with two clean relief frames. Arkansas puts runners on late but can’t break through.
Arkansas has looked really good in the postseason, but they haven’t had to deal with an arm like Anderson. LSU has already beaten them twice this year and comes in with a better rotation setup for a game like this; they have clear roles, defined matchups, and more swing-and-miss potential.
Arkansas brings better contact numbers, but LSU can change a game with a single at-bat. If Anderson gives them a strong five or six, and Eyanson gets the ball after that? It’s a formula that’s worked across multiple elimination games.
This probably won’t be a runaway win. But if it turns into a bullpen game? LSU definitely has the arms to end it.
New England Revolution vs. FC Cincinnati Prediction (June 14, 2025)
Cincinnati heads to Gillette Stadium with the best road record in MLS: five wins in their last six away matches and only four goals allowed in that span. They’ve been really well-organized without the ball and clinical when chances open up.
Their opponents? New England is at the bottom of the Eastern Conference and hasn’t scored more than once in a match since the middle of May.
Carles Gil has been off rhythm, and the front line has been misfiring, so New England’s been relying on set pieces and low-percentage shots. And Cincinnati’s defensive structure doesn’t leave very much room for those tactics to amount to anything.
The Revolution has picked up points in four of their last five home matches against Cincinnati, so if they manage to slow down the flanks and keep Cincinnati from stretching the field, they at least have a shot at keeping it close!
Keep scrolling for all the info on this soccer match, betting odds, and what we think are the best bets for New England Revolution vs. FC Cincinnati.
Match Essentials
- Fixture: New England Revolution (Home) vs. FC Cincinnati (Away)
- Date & Time: Saturday, June 14, at 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
- Competition: MLS regular season
- Weather: Possible showers, high ~67°F, low ~52°F
- Broadcast: MLS Season Pass on Apple TV + radio details
Recent Form & Head‑to‑Head
Here’s a read on how both teams are trending going into Saturday’s game and what their recent matchups tell us!
- New England Revolution: 2 wins in last 6; scored 8, conceded 11 during that stretch
- FC Cincinnati: Unbeaten in last 5 overall; 2–0–1 record at home this season
- Head-to-Head: New England leads all-time series 6–3–3
- Recent Matchups: Cincinnati has earned points in 3 of their last 4 visits to Gillette Stadium
- Trend to Watch: Both teams have scored in 7 of the last 9 meetings
Team News & Tactics
One of these teams is still trying to patch up holes, and the other knows how it wants to play. Below is how New England and Cincinnati are lining up tactically.

New England Revolution
- Manager Caleb Porter is still trying to rebuild the team’s structure after last season’s slide
- Carles Gil remains the central playmaker, but the support around him has been really inconsistent
- Recent shifts to a 4-2-3-1 are trying to give Gil more space, but defensive gaps have opened up

FC Cincinnati
- Pat Noonan’s squad is disciplined in transition and compact off the ball
- Winger Kevin Kelsy and striker Denkey have carried the goal threat early this season
- Midfield link Evander is pushing the tempo; he has a great eye for through balls and second runs
Tactical Match‑up
- Midfield control: Gil and Yueill will try to slow things down and control the ball, but Cincinnati’s pairing of Evander and Orellano is super aggressive; they move the ball forward fast and aren’t afraid to take risks through the middle.
- Defensive impact: Ivačič has kept New England in games with smart positioning and good reads. On the other side, Miles Robinson has been stepping into passing lanes and cutting off wide service before it turns into problems.
Betting Outlook
Hey, soccer fans! If you’re betting on this one, here are the latest odds and lines courtesy of FanDuel:
- Moneyline: Revolution –122, Cincinnati +102
- Total Goals: Around 3 (Over/Under ~2.5–3.0)
Stat‑Driven Angles
- New England’s lack of finishing: Only 18.3 expected goals this season, which is the worst in MLS
- Defensive clean sheets: Six shutouts in 13 games, meaning that they’ve prevented goals 46.7% of the time
Our Best Bets
We are looking at three pretty good angles in terms of best bets:
| Bet/Odds | Pick | Confidence | Why We Like It |
|---|---|---|---|
FC Cincinnati +102 | ✅ Cincinnati to win | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Cincinnati’s road form is elite—they’ve claimed five wins from their last six away, while New England has managed just two victories across their last six. Stats (5W, 1D, 4 goals allowed) |
Under ~3 Goals (~2.5–3 O/U) | ✅ Under | ⭐⭐⭐ | New England is last in expected goals (18.3 xG) and typically defends in low-scoring setups, plus six shutouts in 13 games (46.7%). Cincinnati’s away play tends to be tight, too. |
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) -161 | ✅ Yes | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | 83% of their recent meetings have BTTS; when these sides meet, goals come from both ends |
X‑Factor Players
Watch this space; Gil drives the attack, and Robinson shuts it down. How they play will affect how the match goes!
Carles Gil (New England Revolution)
- Gil leads the team with 2.5 chances created per game, ranking first in MLS for this metric.
- His season stat line: 6 goals and 4 assists in 15 matches; good for 0.53 goal contributions per 90 and top‑25 % in npxG‑per‑90 league‑wide.
- In May’s second half, he hit a new personal best with 11 chances created, showing his ability to produce when the pressure’s on.
Miles Robinson (FC Cincinnati)
- Robinson has 33 MLS appearances for Cincinnati since joining last season, and he’s been pivotal in defensive and aerial battles.
- His USMNT record includes 15 (or 27 according to some reports) senior caps and scoring the winning goal in the 2021 Gold Cup final.
- He ranks second in MLS in duel success rate (≈67 %) with Atlanta before joining FC Cincinnati; Robinson is a rock in the back line who’s capable of turning defense into attack.
Revolution vs. FC Cincinnati: Our Prediction
Final Score Prediction: FC Cincinnati 2 – 1 New England Revolution
The Revolution can’t seem to find a groove even on their home pitch, and they’re not creating enough to stay competitive. Cincinnati doesn’t overextend; they pick their spots, move the ball well, and finish off with control. If this one slows down in the second half, Cincinnati’s midfield should take over.
Rain is expected, so the ball will move faster on the ground, and footing could be trickier. That favors the side with better spacing and fewer mistakes in transition, and that’s Cincinnati.
- Best value bet: FC Cincinnati ML
- Highest confidence pick: Both Teams to Score
If this is a game you’re looking to place a wager on, be sure to check out our recommended soccer betting apps for an easy and convenient way to get your bets in.
