Philadelphia Phillies vs. Houston Astros Prediction & Betting Picks (June 24, 2025)
The Phillies open a three-game set in Houston after whooping the Mets 7–1 on Sunday (if you can’t tell, I’m a Phillies fan). They have had a pretty bad time this month, and they have to cobble together a few wins to stay in the mix in the NL East. The Astros took two of three from Seattle and have been solid at home in their last few series.
Tuesday’s matchup has two southpaws who can work late into games. Ranger Suárez has been one of the most reliable starters in the National League, while Framber Valdez is coming off good back-to-back outings after a little early season inconsistency. There are power hitters in both lineups, and this one could go in either direction; it all depends on which starter gets through the middle innings without giving up innings.
Keep scrolling for a complete breakdown of this one! We’ve got pitching and matchup stats, betting odds, and our picks for the best bets!
Game Overview
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies (47-31) vs. Houston Astros (45-33)
- Date & Time: Tuesday, June 24 at 8:10 pm ET
- Location: Daikin Park, Houston (formerly Minute Maid Park)
- How To Watch: SCHN, NBCS-PH
- Weather Forecast: High around 85 °F at first pitch
Starting Pitchers
We’ve got two lefties starting for the Phillies and the Astros. Fun fact: Framber Valdez does most other things with his right hand, including batting. But he pitches with his left! Look below for the starter stats:

Ranger Suárez (PHI)
- Season: 6–1, 2.20 ERA, 1.06 WHIP
- 52 strikeouts, 14 walks in 9 starts
- Last start: 7 IP, 1 ER, 8 K vs. Marlins (June 18)
- Opponents are hitting just .221 against him
- Has held teams to 2 earned runs or fewer in 8 of 9 outings
- Limits baserunners early and keeps hitters from driving the ball

Framber Valdez (HOU)
- Season: 8–4, 3.09 ERA, 1.13 WHIP
- 99 strikeouts, 33 walks in 15 starts
- Last start: 7 IP, 1 R vs. Orioles on June 23
- The Astros have won during his last 8 starts
- Valdez went 7–0 with a 2.13 ERA during that stretch
- Has thrown at least 7 innings in 4 of his last 5 without giving up a home run
Recent Form & Trends
How have these two teams been playing as of late? We’ve got that info for you!
Framber Valdez
- Valdez is on an 8‑start win streak; the Astros have won every game he’s started during that run
- Last outing (June 18 vs. Athletics): 6 IP, 2 R, big performance in an 11‑4 win
Astros Offense
- Scored 8 runs on June 22 vs. the Angels
- Houston is 9‑3 SU in its last 12 games total
Head-to-head & Public Backing
- The Phillies and Astros have split their last 20 matchups; both are 10–10
- Public betting looks pretty even; it’s about 50/50 as of now
- Algorithmic models are favoring the Astros with a ~53% win probability
Current Betting Odds
DraftKings has posted the following odds and lines if you are betting on this one:
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total Runs |
|---|---|---|---|
Phillies | +1.5 (-187) | +118 | Over 7.5 (+103) |
Astros | -1.5 (+152) | -144 | Under 7.5 (-125) |
Our Best Bets & Confidence Levels
Time for our three best bets, why we like them, and how confident we are feeling about the picks! We also have two decent props that are worth taking a look at.
Best Bet #1: Moneyline – Astros (HOU ML)
Our Confidence Level: ★★★★☆ (4/5)
Why Do We Like It?
Valdez has won eight straight starts, and Houston has backed him with good offense during that stretch. Philadelphia has had a few issues generating runs against top-tier left-handed pitching, and Suárez hasn’t gotten a lot of cushion in his recent outings. With how well the Astros have played at home? They have the edge here.
Best Bet #2: Under 8.5 Runs
Confidence Level: ★★★☆☆ (3/5)
Why Do We Like It?
Suárez and Valdez have both been working through six innings or more, and have limited scoring allowed in their recent starts. Valdez hasn’t given up a home run in over a month, and Suárez has kept opposing hitters below a .225 average. The lineups have power, but the starting pitcher matchup points to a lower-scoring game.
Best Bet #3: Anytime Home Run – Kyle Schwarber
Confidence Level: ★★★☆☆ (3/5)
Why Do We Like It?
Schwarber’s history against Houston is weirdly specific; every hit has left the yard. He just logged a two-hit game and has the swing to lift Valdez’s sinker into the short porch in right. If he sees a fastball over the plate? He’ll knock it out of the park.
Props to Think About
- Valdez Over 6.5 IP: Valdez has finished seven full innings in four of his last five. He’s not piling up walks, he’s keeping pitch counts reasonable, and the Astros haven’t been quick to yank him when he’s dealing. If he keeps Phillies hitters from dragging out at-bats? He should go long enough to cover this.
- Total Ks Over 12.5: Valdez and Suárez both average more than a strikeout per inning, and neither one relies on overpowering pitches to get outs. If they’re in control through the sixth or seventh, this number has a real shot, especially because both are good at forcing hitters to swing with two strikes!
Bottom of the 9th & Final Score Call
Framber Valdez has allowed one run or fewer in three of his last four starts and hasn’t given up a home run since May. He’s gone at least seven innings in four of his last five and hasn’t had a walk-heavy outing in weeks. That kind of stability has kept Houston in control at home and on the road.
The Phillies scored seven on Sunday, but they were held to three runs or fewer in five of their last eight games. Schwarber’s power gives them a chance, but the lineup hasn’t done a lot against left-handed starters in June. Suárez can keep this close, but it’s really hard to trust the offense in a low-scoring matchup like this!
Best Bets Recap
- Astros ML (★★★★☆)
- Under 8.5 Runs (★★★☆☆)
- Schwarber HR Prop (★★★☆☆)
Final Score Prediction: Astros 4, Phillies 2
Valdez goes seven innings, Houston gets a couple of hits off Suárez in the middle innings, and adds one late off the bullpen. The Phillies threaten once, maybe twice, but they don’t push enough runs across to win it!
Inter Miami CF vs. Palmeiras Prediction & Betting Preview (June 23, 2025)
Inter Miami and Palmeiras have both secured their knockout spots, but Monday’s result? It will decide who finishes at the tippy top of Group A. Palmeiras leads the group with six points from two game wins. Inter Miami is number four after a 2–1 win over Porto, where Lionel Messi got the win from a free kick, but defensive lapses almost gave the game away.
Placement isn’t the only thing on the line with this game; Messi goes into the match with nine goals in Club World Cup history, which is only one behind Cristiano Ronaldo’s all-time mark!
Miami will be sans Ian Fray at the back, and they’ve let 11 into the net in their last 12 matches. Palmeiras haven’t been beaten yet in this tournament and haven’t been behind in either of their two games.
Who will be victorious? And will Messi tie up the goat’s Club World Cup goal record? Keep scrolling to see all of the details; we’ve got stats, betting odds and lines, and our choices for the best bets!
Match Details
- Matchup: Inter Miami CF vs. Palmeiras
- Date & Time: Monday, June 23, at 9:00 pm ET
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami
- How to Watch: In the U.S., you can catch it on DAZN and TBS. Fans in the U.K. can stream it on Channel 5; Canadians, viewers in Australia, and Japan can also watch for free on DAZN
Betting Odds & Lines
Investing some scratch in this match? Here are the latest betting odds and line via DraftKings:
Moneyline (3-way)
- Inter Miami: +400
- Draw: +140
- Palmeiras: +115
Spread
- Inter Miami –0.5 (-145)
- Palmeiras +0.5 (+105)
Over/Under
- Over 2.5 (+130)
- Under 2.5 (-165)
What’s at Stake
What are they playing for? A lot, actually!
Palmeiras have won both of their matches and sit at the top of the group with six points. Inter Miami has four after a win and a draw. If Miami wins this match? They’ll be in first place. If it ends in a draw or a loss, Palmeiras will take the group.
First place comes with a way bigger payout and a different quarterfinal matchup. It’s not really make-or-break for either team, but it absolutely affects the bracket and how much money they take home from the tournament.
And then there’s the Messi factor. The beloved footballer has nine career goals in the Club World Cup. If he scores once? He’s dead even with Ronaldo’s record. And if he scores twice, he passes him. That possibility will definitely affect how Miami manages the final third if they’re down a goal or pushing late.
It’s also the only group match between a South American champion and a roster that’s been built around Messi. The result won’t change how the leagues are seen, but both clubs will want to show that they belong in this bracket!
Team Form & Matchup Analysis
Inter Miami haven’t been up against a team in this group who defends with the kind of discipline that Palmeiras has. If they get stuck in their own half for long periods? They’ll be exposed.

Inter Miami CF
They beat Porto 2–1 with a Messi free kick, but gave up way too much ground in the second half and almost dropped points. Ian Fray’s injury has forced changes in the back line, and it’s been unstable ever since; only one shutout in their last 12 matches. The attack has bailed them out, but they haven’t looked really reliable when they don’t have the ball.

Palmeiras
Palmeiras haven’t let anyone score a goal in the group. They’ve controlled both of their matches without overextending and haven’t let opponents play through the middle. The win over Al Ahly wasn’t amazing in terms of the score, but they never looked like they were in over their heads. This is their third Club World Cup in four years, and it shows in how they manage each phase. They don’t waste movement, and they don’t take unnecessary risks.
Our Best Bets
Ok, now that we’ve gotten all of the technical soccer (or footie, for the Brits) out of the way, it’s time for our best bets! Here are the three that we think are worth your while:
| Bet | Rationale | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
Under 2.5 Goals | Structured match; Palmeiras rarely open up games, and Inter Miami will likely sit deeper without Fray. | High |
Both Teams to Score – YES | Messi can always produce a big moment, and Palmeiras aren’t immune to mistakes when they’re pressed. | Medium |
Palmeiras ML (+110) | They’ve looked more balanced through two matches and haven’t allowed a lot of space in the final third. | Medium |
X‑Factors to Watch
Messi is one goal shy of matching Ronaldo’s all-time Club World Cup total! If Inter Miami gets a set piece just outside the box, or even a soft foul near the corner of the area, everything will stand still. It’ll be a historic moment for Messi and everyone rooting for him.
This tournament now uses head-to-head results before goal difference, so whoever wins this game takes the group. If it’s a draw, Palmeiras still finishes top on goal differential unless something crazy happens in the Porto–Al Ahly match.
Hard Rock Stadium will be packed with Miami fans, and the noise will be on another level if Messi picks up the ball in midfield and starts driving at defenders. Palmeiras have played in the Copa Libertadores finals, but the tempo changes really fast when the crowd is reacting to every single Messi step-over and pass!
Final Prediction: Messi Magic or Brazilian Brilliance?
Palmeiras have looked like the more stable team on both sides of the ball. Why? Because they shut down passing lanes early and don’t give up any space around the penalty area. Inter Miami still has Messi, but without Fray? Their back line looks easier to pull apart, and they have trouble generating anything through the middle; most of their chances come from set pieces or Messi isolating a defender near the edge of the box.
Palmeiras don’t rush chances; they hold onto the ball, press in short bursts, and wait for their opponents to make mistakes. If they score, it’s likely to be in the second half, once Inter Miami’s midfield starts dragging and the back line gets pulled out of position.
Top Betting Picks
- Under 2.5 Total Goals (High Confidence)
- Palmeiras Moneyline or Draw No Bet (Medium Confidence)
- Both Teams to Score: Yes (Medium Confidence)
Final Score Prediction: Palmeiras 1 – 0 Inter Miami
Palmeiras plays on its own terms. They don’t rush forward, but when an opening comes? They are deliberate and composed. Inter Miami will need a big moment from Messi, whether that’s a free kick or a quick slip pass that catches the back line out. 1–0 feels like the most realistic outcome!
All picks are for entertainment purposes only. Please bet responsibly and within your means.
New York Yankees vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction (June 23, 2025)
The Yankees are on their way to Cincinnati after losing two of three to Baltimore and dropping seven of their last 10 games.
On the pitching front, NY’s Allan Winans is making his MLB debut against Cincy’s Nick Lodolo, who’s held opponents to two earned runs or fewer in five of his last six starts, and that’s mainly on the back of a high-spin slider and better fastball control.
Cincinnati’s offense has cooled off; they’ve had zero games with more than four runs since June 16, their on-base rate has dropped almost 20% from the beginning of this month, and they’ve grounded into 10 double plays in their last five games.
The Yankees are still counting on Aaron Judge and Juan Soto, both of whom have picked up extra-base hits in three of the last five, but there isn’t much coming from the bottom third of the lineup.
At Great American Ball Park, homers happen, and they happen a lot. And under hot and humid skies? It could pull the rug right out from under a rookie. If Winans or Lodolo lose the strike zone or give up a crooked inning, don’t be shocked if they’re yanked before the fifth inning.
Keep scrolling to see a preview of this matchup, the latest betting odds, and our three handpicked best bets!
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: New York Yankees vs. Cincinnati Reds
- Date & Time: Monday, June 23, at 7:10 pm ET
- Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast TV & Streaming: FDSN Ohio (FanDuel Sports Network), YES Network, Fubo
- Weather Forecast: Clear skies, with temps around 92°F
Starting Pitchers
We’ve got an MLB newbie on the mound for NY, and it’s more business as usual for the Reds. Here are the starting pitchers for the game:

Yankees: Allan Winans makes his MLB debut, so we’ll all be watching to see how he does at this level!

Reds: Southpaw Nick Lodolo will be throwing for Cincinnati; he’s 5–5 with a 3.71 ERA, and is certified consistent.
- Advantage: Experience obviously wins here; the edge goes to the Reds’ Lodolo over a rookie arm for the Yankees.
Team Form & Trends
How have NY and Cincinnati been playing lately? We have the stats and more below!
- The Yankees are 44–32 and have covered the spread in roughly 62% of games as the favorite. They’ve held up really well against teams that they’re expected to beat.
- The Reds sit at 39–38 with a 20–20 road ATS record. At home, about 42% of their games have gone over the total, and that’s lower than you’d expect for such a hitter-friendly park.
- Public betting is really lopsided; all of the tracked volume is backing the Yankees on the spread, and that kind of one-sided action doesn’t happen every day!
Betting Odds & Lines
Curious about how the odds and lines look? According to FanDuel, here are the latest:
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total Runs |
|---|---|---|---|
Yankees | -1.5 (+126) | -124 | Over 10 (-110) |
Reds | +1.5 (-152) | +106 | Under 10 (-110) |
Our Best Bets
There are three angles that we think are the smartest plays for this interleague matchup; keep reading for our best bets and how confident we are in them.
1. Yankees –1.5 Run Line (+125)
Our Confidence Level: Medium–High
Why Do We Like It?
New York’s right-handed hitters (Judge, Stanton, and Torres) have all posted really strong numbers against lefty pitchers; each one is hitting above .500 in those spots. Reds’ starter Lodolo has allowed at least four earned runs in half of his last six appearances and hasn’t been able to pitch into late innings. Once he exits, Cincinnati turns to a bullpen that ranks near the bottom of the league in walks allowed and WHIP.
How It Plays Out: If the Yankees capitalize on early scoring chances and Lodolo doesn’t last long on the hill, they’ll have multiple innings against a vulnerable bullpen to build separation. They’ve won 25 games this season by two runs or more, which makes the run line a reasonable play when the matchup favors their splits.
Why it Might Be Risky: Rookie pitcher Allan Winans is making his debut. If he falters in the opening frames? New York could end up in a scoring race instead of with a lead, and that complicates the margin.
2. Over 9.5 Total Runs (–110)
Our Confidence Level: Medium
Why Do We Like It?
Great American Ball Park has one of the highest home run rates in the league, especially when temperatures rise (it’s physics—hotter air = lower air density; lower density = less drag on the ball; less drag = balls go farther). And since Winans is a first-timer, that adds an unknown for NY, and Lodolo has been tagged for five or more earned runs in three of his last six starts. The Yankees have right-handed power bats that are made to take advantage of this park, and Cincinnati’s top of the order has shown more life lately, even when they’ve lost.
What to Watch: Check the lineups before betting! If Aaron Judge or Elly De La Cruz sit, the scoring potential takes a huge hit.
3. Yankees Moneyline (–124)
Our Confidence Level: Medium
Why Do We Like It?
New York has been really reliable when they’re hitting against left-handed pitchers and currently sit top-five in OPS in those matchups. They’ve won 27 of the 40 games this season when favored by oddsmakers and control the game better when they have the lead. Lodolo’s inconsistencies make this a good spot to back the Yankees at a fair number.
What to Watch: Winans is a variable. If he can get through the early innings without being forced into long at-bats or putting runners on? This tips it in the Yankees’ direction!
Ready to get your bets in? Visit one of the top-rated betting sites to get competitive lines and bonuses to help get you started.
Yankees vs. Reds: What to Expect
Final Score Prediction: Yankees 6 – Reds 4
Nick Lodolo has the stronger track record heading in, but he’ll be pitching to a Yankees lineup that’s built to do work against lefties. Judge, Stanton, and Torres all hit for power from the right side, and they’ll have lots of decent chances at Great American Ball Park.
NY rookie Allan Winans gets his start in a really hitter-friendly environment, and that adds some risk to backing the Yankees outright. If he keeps the ball down and avoids long counts? He will give his team a chance, but it’s a tough place to pitch for anyone, let alone someone who has no big-league experience.
Both teams will press for early runs; it’s gonna be a scorcher, and the relievers could be called in to do some work. Lodolo’s ability to pitch into late innings will matter more than it usually does, and if the Yankees get traffic early, Cincinnati could be playing catch-up before the middle innings.
The Yankees have more lineup depth and stronger splits against left-handed pitching, and that could give them an advantage as soon as Lodolo starts facing the middle of the order. Cincinnati’s bullpen has been giving up runs in the sixth and seventh innings on the reg, and if that trend holds? It’s hard to imagine them matching New York’s scoring output over nine innings.
Betting Recap
- Yankees –1.5 (Medium–High confidence)
- Over 9.5 runs (Medium)
- Yankees ML (Medium)
If you’re putting some money on this one, think about betting on the Yankees to cover and the Over, but before you do, make sure the lineups confirm Judge and Soto are playing!
FYI: Always check for any late-breaking bullpen news/updates or lineup changes before you lock in your bets.
The Science of Slot Volatility: Choosing Games That Match Your Style
Slot players don’t usually think about volatility until they’ve burned through their bankroll and start wondering what the heck went wrong. They pick the games that look exciting and fun, chase bonuses that promise big payouts, and assume that every slot plays more or less the same. But volatility, which is how a game handles all wins and losses, is one of the biggest reasons your money lasts one or two hours in a session and five minutes the next time you play!
Volatility isn’t super complicated. It’s just the pattern that is built into every slot, and it decides how risky the game feels and how those risks pay off (or don’t). Some slots trickle out small wins on a regular basis. Others hold out for longer stretches and then drop a huge payout. The mistake players make? Most of them never figure out what type of game they’re spinning on until it’s too late.
Our guide is gonna tell you all you need to know about the science of volatility; what it means, how to tell what level you’re playing at, what it does to your bankroll, and why it’s the first thing you should check before you hit spin! If you’re a casual player or someone who actually is into tracking your outcomes, understanding volatility will alter your approach to reels and how long you can stay in the game.
Understanding Slot Volatility
All slot games run on a set of numbers that decide how regularly they pay out, and, of course, how big the payouts are. That’s volatility! It’s the math part of how the game handles risk.
Low-volatility slots give you a lot of small wins. High-volatility slots hold out longer, but when they finally hit, woo boy, so they hit. The difference changes everything, like how long your bankroll survives, how many dead spins you’ll have to sit through, and how much wiggle room you have to take risks.
You don’t have to memorize payout tables to get the point. If you’re playing a game that always drains your balance and there is no payoff in sight, there’s a good chance you picked a slot with high volatility without realizing it. Let’s find out what each volatility level means for your slot play!
Types of Volatility
Some slots want you in and out. Others are made for long-haul sessions. And a few are just brutal unless you’ve got the patience and the bankroll to weather the dry spells.
What separates the three major categories of slot volatility? Look below to find out!
Low Volatility
These games don’t keep you waiting. You’ll see payouts early and often, and it’s enough to keep your session going and your balance alive and well. The trade-off is that those wins rarely amount to anything major. You’ll collect small hits, but you won’t walk away with a thousand times your stake.
Low-volatility slots are good for players who want more time on the reels, not high-stakes drama. You’re here to play, not win huge or have a panic attack.
Medium Volatility
Medium-volatility games live in the middle ground. They don’t pay out as frequently as low-volatility slots, but they still give you enough activity to feel engaged. Every so often, they’ll throw in a decent payout, maybe 30×, 50×, or even 100× your stake, to keep you interested and playing.
This category fits players who can handle a little risk but don’t want to feel like they’re constantly waiting for the game to come alive. You’ll hit dry patches, but they’re not as brutal. You’ll see bigger rewards, but not so few and far between that they feel totally out of reach.
High Volatility
High-volatility slots are built for the players who can handle long stretches of absolutely nothing in exchange for the chance at a massive return. You can spin 50 times and walk away with nothing, or hit once and walk away with 1,000× or more.
These are the games that are built around risk. If you’re betting above your limits or expecting a steady payout rhythm, they’ll chew through your bankroll. But if you’re in it for the adrenaline, or you’re chasing one big win with money you can afford to lose? They give you something the others don’t: Knockout potential.
Once you grasp the concept of volatility, the next thing is how it shows up in slots. You don’t have to memorize payout tables or trust vague descriptions from game providers. If you know what to look for, volatility is easy to spot! Here’s how different volatility levels look in real slot games:
Starburst – Low Volatility

- RTP: ~96.1%
- Max Win: Around 500× your stake
What to Expect: Starburst isn’t going to change your life, and it’s not trying to. It’s designed to keep your session active with a steady stream of wins, most of them in the 1× to 10× range. You’ll won’t see a dry stretch longer than five or six spins, and the hit rate is high enough to keep casual players interested.
Blood Suckers – Low Volatility (but higher potential than it looks)

- RTP: ~98%
- Max Win: ~1,000×
What to Expect: Blood Suckers has one of the highest RTPs of any slot that gets regular play, and it’s known for paying out consistently. On paper, it’s low-volatility, but it runs a little hotter than others in the same tier. Bonus rounds are triggered reliably, and while most of the hits are still small, there’s enough variety to make it feel less repetitive than most low-risk titles.
Gonzo’s Quest – Medium Volatility

- RTP: ~95.97%
- Max Win: Up to 2,500×
What to Expect: This is the definition of a middle-ground slot. You’ll go stretches without a hit, then suddenly land a chain reaction of payouts in the avalanche feature. It doesn’t lean too far in either direction; wins aren’t constant, but you won’t wait all day for one either.
Book of Dead – High Volatility

- RTP: ~96.21%
- Max Win: Up to 5,000×
What to Expect: You’ll lose a lot of spins in this game, but that’s part of the deal. Book of Dead is built around the idea that most sessions won’t go anywhere, but the ones that do can go off.
Money Train 2 – High Volatility (Extremely)

- RTP: ~96.4% (up to 98% with feature buy)
- Max Win: Up to 50,000×
What to Expect: This one doesn’t even pretend to be balanced. Base game wins are super rare, and most of the action sits inside the bonus feature. If you’re not buying into the bonus round or willing to sit through hours of nothing to trigger it naturally, this game will eat through your bankroll in no time.
How Volatility Affects Your Gameplay
Volatility doesn’t only influence how a slot pays. It changes how you approach the game, how long your balance survives, and how much frustration or satisfaction you walk away with. Two players could bet the exact same amount on two different slots, and one might get 40 minutes of gameplay while the other burns through their balance in 10 minutes.
Next up is how volatility hits different areas of your playing experience: Bankroll, mindset, and how much time you get on the reels.
The way your balance moves during a session is tied directly to volatility.
With low-volatility games, you’ll get a steady return on your stake. The individual wins won’t be huge, but you’ll see them regularly enough to remain active. That means your bankroll holds up longer, even if the wins don’t amount to much.
High-volatility slots are the opposite. They look drool-worthy with massive multipliers or jackpot features, but they do come at a cost. You’ll see long periods with little to no return, which can wipe out a session unless your bankroll is big enough to absorb the no-hit stretches.
This is where most players miscalculate. They pick a high-volatility game with a $20 balance and expect something to hit. But these games aren’t designed for short sessions or small stakes. If your budget can’t survive a hundred empty spins, you’re putting yourself in a bad spot before the game even starts.
Volatility doesn’t just affect your bankroll; it also affects how you feel while you play. Low-volatility games create a sense of getting somewhere. You’re constantly getting some kind of feedback. Even if the wins are small, you don’t feel ignored by the machine. That keeps the session moving and makes it easier to stay level-headed.
High-volatility slots create a different kind of tension. There’s more downtime, more disappointment, and more emotional spikes when something finally lands. For some players, that’s the whole appeal; it makes the rare wins feel like they earned it. And for others? It’s exhausting. The constant waiting, the extended losing streaks, the bonus rounds that don’t deliver? Those add up.
If you’re the type who tilts after a few empty runs, you’re going to have a much harder time with high-volatility slots. They’re built to test your patience. And if your reactions are driving your next bet instead of your plan, you’re going to get chewed up and spit out.
How long you want to play and what kind of session you’re aiming for should absolutely influence your volatility choice!
If you’ve got a half-hour to kill and a fixed budget, a low-volatility game makes the most sense. You’ll get more spins, more consistent feedback, and a better shot at keeping your balance going for a full session.
If you’re in for the long haul, or you’re playing with a larger bankroll and have time to let things develop, medium or high-volatility slots are worth exploring. These games reward players who can hang around, wait for the bonus rounds, and understand that the big payouts don’t come for a long time.
High-volatility slots aren’t made for short bursts, and low-volatility games aren’t made for big wins. If you expect the wrong thing from the wrong game, you’re going to be disappointed no matter how lucky you are.
Volatility vs RTP: What’s the Difference?
A lot of players treat volatility and RTP as if they mean the same thing. They don’t. Both numbers help describe how a slot performs, but they’re answering different questions.
RTP (Return to Player) is the long-term average a slot returns to players, expressed as a percentage of total wagers. Volatility describes how unpredictable the short-term results are, like how frequently a game hits and how much it pays when it does.
You need both pieces to understand how a slot will behave over time. And more importantly, how it treats your bankroll from one session to the next.
RTP Explained
Every slot has a theoretical return rate. It’s usually somewhere between 94% and 98%. That number is based on millions of spins and represents the percentage of money returned to players across all gameplay, not any individual session.
If a slot advertises a 96% RTP, it means that for every $100 wagered across all users, the game returns an average of $96. But—and this is where people get confused—that doesn’t mean you will get $96 back. You could walk away with $2, or $200, or nothing at all. RTP takes the long view. It shows the design, not the outcomes.
It’s a useful number for comparing games, but it doesn’t tell you how rough the ride might be.
How RTP and Volatility Work Together
RTP is the total you’re playing toward, and volatility is the route the game takes to get there. Two games could have identical RTPs, but one could be full of steady, repetitive wins while the other stays cold for a hundred spins and then drops a bonus worth 500× your stake.
Take two games with 96% RTP. In one, you might hit 10 small wins across 20 spins. In the other, you get nothing for 40 spins, then one big payout that covers everything. Both are delivering the same theoretical return, but the way they do it is different.
This is why players who pick games based solely on RTP end up being confused. They think they’re getting something stable, when in reality, volatility is doing most of the work that affects their experience.
Real-Life Examples With Similar RTP, Different Volatility
Say you’re looking at two games that both advertise a 96% RTP:
- Blood Suckers (Low Volatility): This slot hands out regular low-to-mid payouts, triggering bonus rounds more easily than most titles. You stay active, and your balance tends to last longer, even if the top payouts are modest.
- Bonanza (High Volatility): This Megaways slot can go cold for long time periods. Bonus features don’t trigger quickly, and base game payouts are thin. But when things line up?! It can hit for thousands of times your stake.
Both offer the same theoretical return. But one gives you some flexibility. The other tests your limits before it offers you a shot at something huge.
Understanding that difference means you won’t be surprised when a game with a “high RTP” still empties your balance in 12 minutes.
Matching Your Slot Style to Volatility
You don’t have to give yourself a slot label, but it is helpful to recognize your usual gaming habits and preferences. There are three profiles that cover most players, and each one lines up with a specific volatility range!

The Low-Risk Grinder
You play for longevity. You’d rather get a series of small wins and keep spinning than go all-in for one giant score. Maybe you’re running a smaller bankroll. Maybe you just prefer stability over swings. Either way, your best bet is low-volatility slots that reward frequent play without punishing your balance too hard.
Grinders want the game to give something back every few spins, even if the amounts aren’t big.
The Balanced Player
You can handle a few cold spells if the game gives you a reason to keep going. You’re okay with a little risk, especially if the slot still offers decent activity between bonus features. You’re not trying to win big or lose slow; you just want something that doesn’t feel boring or punishing.
Medium-volatility games are built for you! They won’t always pay well, but they’ll keep you engaged, and the wins, when they land, feel worth it.
The High-Roller Dreamer
You’re not afraid of long dead patches if there’s real potential on the other side. If you’ve got the bankroll to back it up or you just like swinging for the fences, you’re here to hit something big, even if it takes a long time.
You don’t mind watching your balance drop. You’re focused on the one spin that changes the session. That mindset puts you squarely in high-volatility territory.
Just be honest about what you can handle! Dreaming big is one thing. Watching your session collapse in 20 minutes because you picked a game that doesn’t match your limits is something else entirely.
Slot Suggestions Based on Style
Finding the right game means more than just checking the volatility tags! You have to seek out titles that were designed to support your approach.
For Low-Risk Grinders
- Starburst: High hit rate, fast pace, small, consistent wins.
- Blood Suckers: One of the most forgiving slots out there, with a nearly 98% RTP and frequent bonus triggers.
- Dragon’s Luck: Clean interface, solid payout frequency, reliable low-end returns.
For Balanced Players
- Gonzo’s Quest: Avalanche feature adds depth without making you wait too long for some action.
- Immortal Romance: Rich in features, with enough variance to keep things interesting without wiping you out.
- Thunderstruck II: A classic mid-range slot that rewards players who put in some time.
For High-Roller Dreamers
- Book of Dead: Can feel brutal, but the bonus feature has huge potential, if it ever lands.
- Money Train 2: Base game is a grind, but bonus mode is loaded with a massive upside.
- Bonanza: High-variance Megaways slot with real knockout power, just don’t expect quick rewards.
How to Check a Slot’s Volatility Before You Play
Volatility isn’t always listed front and center, but there are still ways to figure out what kind of payout behavior a slot uses. You don’t have to spin for an hour to figure it out if you know where to look!
Start with the slot’s help menu or game info tab. Most developers include volatility in the specs alongside RTP, paylines, and bonus rules. It might be labeled as “low,” “medium,” or “high,” or described in more detail, depending on the platform.
If the game itself doesn’t provide the rating, check slot review sites. Most of them track volatility for popular titles and explain how it plays out across real sessions. Some gambling apps also include volatility tags in their filter tools, especially for games with progressive jackpots or branded releases.
If volatility isn’t listed anywhere, demo play can give you clues. Load the game in free mode and track a few dozen spins.
In low-volatility games, you’ll usually see frequent payouts. Medium-volatility games give you a wider range, with some spins paying nothing, followed by moderate wins or bonus features. High-volatility games tend to deliver long stretches of cold spins, followed by the occasional bonus or feature that hits big.
It isn’t how much you win in demo mode, it’s how those wins are spread out. Pay attention to how long it takes for features to trigger and how often payouts break even or better. That pattern is usually more useful than the game’s promotional taglines.
There are entire sites dedicated to slot data! Below are reliable resources where you can check slot volatility before you spin.
- SlotCatalog: A comprehensive database that lists slot metrics like volatility, RTP, features, and performance history.
- AskGamblers: A well-known casino review site that includes volatility ratings and explains how they impact gameplay.
- BigWinBoard: Tracks slot performance, volatility levels, hit frequency, and max-win reports across many popular titles.
Best Practices for Managing Your Bankroll Based on Volatility
The way a slot pays should influence how you manage your money. If you’re betting the same way on every game regardless of volatility, you’re increasing your risk without realizing it.
Budgeting Tips for Each Volatility Level
- Low Volatility: Small budgets go further here. Use modest bets for longer sessions.
- Medium Volatility: Use a balanced approach. You’ll need enough in reserve to handle short cold runs.
- High Volatility: Bring a larger bankroll or walk away early. These games don’t pay on schedule, and short sessions rarely pan out.
Betting Strategy Suggestions
- Flat Betting: Same stake every spin. Simple and effective, and it helps avoid overreacting to streaks.
- Progressive Bets: Increase only after wins, and only if you’ve built up an extra cushion. Never use this to recover losses.
Avoiding Emotional Tilt
- Decide your stop points before you even open the game.
- Don’t double your stake just because you’re frustrated.
- If the session starts to feel like a fight, stop playing!
Our Top Slot Recommendations by Volatility
Below you’ll find slots grouped by volatility tier, their RTP, potential payout, and why they match each player profile!
| Slot Game | RTP | Max Win | Why It Fits That Play Style |
|---|---|---|---|
Starburst (Low) | ~96.1% | ~500× | Regular small wins, extended play time |
Blood Suckers (Low) | ~98% | ~1,000× | High hit frequency, bonus triggers |
Aloha! Cluster Pays (Low) | ~96.4% | ~1,000× | Frequent payouts, low-to-medium risk |
Thunderstruck II (Medium) | ~96.5% | Medium | Mixes steady wins with bonus excitement |
Immortal Romance (Medium) | ~96% | Moderate | Rich in features, balanced payout patterns |
Book of Dead (Medium) | ~96.2% | Up to 5,000× | Big wins show up occasionally |
Dead or Alive II (High) | ~96.8% | Up to 111,111× | Rare features, massive payout potential |
Money Train 2 (High) | ~96.4–98% | Up to 50,000× | Sparse base game wins, big bonus round |
San Quentin xWays (High) | ~96.03% | Up to 150,000× | Extreme volatility and a huge jackpot |
Final Thoughts: Make Your Playtime Count
You don’t have to overanalyze every slot before you spin, but if you ignore volatility altogether? There’ll be quicker losses and not the fun kind of surprises. Once you know how win frequency and payout size work together, it’s so much easier to pick the games that actually fit with the way you play!
Volatility gives you a way to better predict the ride. Are you here to stay in the game longer? Or are you going for a top-heavy payout, knowing you might get nothing back? There’s no wrong answer, but different approaches call for different kinds of slots.
Use demo play when you’re not sure! See how long it takes to hit a bonus, how quickly the balance moves, and if the payouts are happening regularly (or at all) for what you’re trying to accomplish. You’ll know pretty quickly if a game works for you or not.
Here’s a quick recap of how volatility affects your slot experience:
- Volatility controls how wins are spread out, not just how much you can win.
- Low-volatility slots are much better for longer sessions and smaller bankrolls.
- High-volatility games take more patience and a higher budget to ride out the dry spells.
- RTP shows long-term average return; volatility explains how those returns arrive.
- Always check the volatility through info screens, demo mode, or slot review sites.
- Match your session goals to the game’s structure so that you’re not setting yourself up for disappointment.
There’s no universal “best” volatility level. The right choice isn’t based on what pays out the most; it’s based on how you like to play, how much risk you’re willing to take, and how long you want your balance to last!
Remember to try out the demo versions before you play with real money! And you can check out the top online casinos to play the most popular games before heading to Vegas.
USA vs. Haiti Prediction — Gold Cup Showdown (June 22, 2025)
The USA is up against Haiti in the final Group D match in the Gold Cup on Sunday. The Americans are 2–0 and can nab the top spot outright with a win. As for Haiti? They only have one point, are in third place, and need a win, plus Saudi Arabia has to lose to Panama in order for them to move on.
During the two matches, the U.S. has outshot opponents 26–7 and allowed only one goal. They’ve been direct and controlled possession without overextending themselves. Haiti’s had only four shots on target in the group and hasn’t scored since their opening game. They’ve also committed the second-most fouls in the tournament so far, which has killed any kind of rhythm in the midfield.
If the U.S. converts in the first half and keeps control through midfield? Haiti won’t have a way back into the match. They haven’t shown they can sustain attacks or pressure the back line without space to run. This is setting up as another low-scoring but one-sided result.
Look below for a preview of the game, betting odds, our best bets, and how confident we feel about our picks!
Match Details
- Matchup: USA vs. Haiti
- Date & Time: Sunday, June 22 at 7:00 pm ET (6:00 pm CT; 4:00 pm PT)
- Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
- Broadcast: FS1 (ENG), TUDN/ViX (ESP)
- Tournament Stage: Final Group D match in the 2025 Concacaf Gold Cup
What’s on the Line
The U.S. is looking to close out group play with three wins from three, and they haven’t conceded yet. A win locks them into first place, and they’ll get a more favorable draw going into the quarterfinals.
Haiti still has a chance to advance, but it’s a really slim chance. They need three points against the U.S. and a Panama win over Saudi Arabia to move up. Anything less? And they’re dunzo.
Stats & Recent Form
The U.S. has taken care of business with two wins, no goals conceded, and a comfy spot at the top of Group D. Haiti is still after its first win and hasn’t done enough in the final third to pressure their stronger opponents.
USA
- Beat Trinidad & Tobago 5–0, then followed with a 1–0 result over Saudi Arabia
- 13-match unbeaten streak in Gold Cup play
- Yet to allow a single goal in this tourney
- Cardoso and Tessmann have controlled midfield possession and limited opposing build-ups
Haiti
- Drew 1–1 with T&T after being behind in the first half
- Only two goals scored across group play so far
- Nazon and Guerrier have combined for most of the team’s shot volume
- Migné’s 4-4-2 has been compact in their own half, but they’ve struggled to move the ball forward once they get it back
Betting Odds & Lines
What are the betting odds and lines for this soccer game? Here’s what Caesar’s Sportsbook has:
- Moneyline: USA (-200), Haiti (+475), Draw (+320)
- Spread: USA -1.5 (+135), Haiti +1.5 (-180)
- Total Goals: O 2.5 (-160), U 2.5 (+125)
Our Best Bets
Look, there’s not a ton of value on the board, but we think the following are the three best bets that will hold up!
1. USA Moneyline (–210)
The U.S. hasn’t allowed a goal in group play and hasn’t looked stretched in either match. They’ve been really steady in midfield, stayed in control throughout, and haven’t let opponents get into risky spots. Haiti hasn’t created much of anything, so this should be another routine result.
- Our Confidence Level: ★★★★☆
2. Under 3 Total Goals
The stats back up that this won’t be a high-scoring game. The U.S. is disciplined in its buildup and rarely rushes numbers forward. Haiti hasn’t found space or decent chances in their two matches. Unless the U.S. scores twice by halftime? This stays under.
- Our Confidence Level: ★★★★☆
3. Malik Tillman to Score
Tillman has been super active in the final third and is getting plenty of on-ball activity near the goal. And with defenders leaning toward Wright and Cowell? Tillman’s been able to find space right behind them. He’s a solid option if you’re looking for a player prop!
- Our Confidence Level: ★★★☆☆
USA vs. Haiti Verdict: What to Expect on the Pitch
The U.S. has been in complete control in both of its previous games. They’ve kneecapped opponents to seven shots total and kept the ball in their attacking half for most of the games. They aren’t completing passes at an insane rate, but they’re not just moving it sideways, either. Busio and Tillman have been really aggressive once possession turns, and Cowell’s been involved early on in every buildup. When they lose the ball, they’ve been getting it back quickly; most of the threats they’ve faced haven’t made it past midfield.
Haiti conceded 17 shots to Trinidad & Tobago and spent most of the second half pinned deep. Their back line absorbed pressure but couldn’t clear consistently, and the midfield offered little support tracking runners. They’ve managed just four shots on target through two games, and once they’re forced to defend for extended stretches, gaps open between the lines. If that happens again, the U.S. will get numbers inside the box and start pulling Haiti’s back line out of position.
The best play here is the U.S. to win combined with under 3.5 goals. Haiti has managed a meager four shots on target during two games and hasn’t shown they can break down a structured back line.
The U.S. doesn’t need to run up the score; they just need three points. A 2–0 or 2–1 result matches up with the way both sides have played!
Our Final Score Prediction: USA 2 – 0 Haiti
The U.S. scores in the first half off a midfield turnover and adds a second in the final 20 minutes. Haiti hasn’t been able to hold possession near the goal or connect passes once they’re pushed back. USA wins this and moves on!
LSU vs. Coastal Carolina Prediction & Best Bets – Game 2 (June 22, 2025)
LSU HAS DONE IT! They beat Coastal Carolina and are a win away from another national title. Their eight, to be exact.
The southpaw phenom Kade Anderson pitched a shutout and led his team to a 1-0 win over the Chanticleers in Game 1 of the College World Series Championship. He threw 130 pitches in 8 innings, struck out 10, walked five, and gave away zero runs. That’s quite a line. If the sophomore is the number one pick of the MLB Draft, this game could be a big reason for it.
Not only that, this win took away a 26-win game streak (best in the nation) for Coastal Carolina. Oof
LSU got their only run in the bottom of the first. Derek Curiel opened the inning with a walk, and Steven Milam brought him home with an RBI single. That was the end of scoring for the remainder of the game. Coastal’s Cameron Flukey and Dominick Carbone shut it down after the run and held the Tigers to six hits until the end.
Game 2 is on in Omaha for tomorrow afternoon. If Carolina wants to stay in it, they need to win if they want to push it to a third game and a shot at the championship.
Not gonna lie, this game was better than some recent MLB snoozers, so the second game is a must-watch!
Keep scrolling for a Game 1 recap, our Game 2 preview, betting odds, and our picks for the best bets!
Game 2 Details
- Matchup: LSU vs. Coastal Carolina
- Date & Time: Sunday, June 22, at 2:30 PM CT (3:30 PM ET)
- Location: Charles Schwab Field, Omaha
- Broadcast: ABC/ESPN+
Game 1 Breakdown: LSU 1, Coastal Carolina 0
Here’s what went down in Game 1:
- Final Score: LSU 1, Coastal Carolina 0
- Date: Saturday, June 21
- Location: Charles Schwab Field, Omaha
- Winning Pitcher: Kade Anderson (LSU): 9 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 10 K, 0 BB
- Losing Pitcher: Cam Flukey (Coastal Carolina): 6 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 9 K, 2 BB
- Key Play: Steven Milam brought in Drew Curiel with a first inning RBI single, and it was LSU’s only run of the game.
- Player of the Game: Kade Anderson pitched a total game shutout in Omaha in college baseball’s most elite competition.
Game Summary
- LSU got the lead in the first inning, and Carolina couldn’t get anything going against Anderson’s pitching.
- Anderson obliterated Carolina from beginning to end, full stop.
- Coastal’s offense might as well have been in a straitjacket; they got just three singles.
- LSU’s defense was squeaky clean and got the job done, reinforcing Anderson with flawless play.
- Implication: LSU is ahead 1-0 in the series and preserved their bullpen going into Game 2.
Storylines to Watch in Game 2
Keep your eyes peeled for the following in Game 2!
- Can Coastal Come Back? They finished Game 1 with four singles and never got a runner past second base. Derek Bender and Blake Barthol, who are two of their best, combined to go 0-for-7 with soft contact all night. If they’re going to push this series to a Game 3? Then they need to drive balls into the gaps and make LSU pitch under some pressure. There can’t be any more weak flyouts and stranded singles.
- LSU Bullpen Readiness: After Kade Anderson covered eight innings, the Tigers didn’t have to use a single reliever until the ninth. That means everyone is available; they’ve got Griffin Herring, Gavin Guidry, and Riley Cooper at the ready. It gives LSU a lot of flexibility; they don’t need length from their starter, just five or six good frames.
- Pitching Matchups Update: Anthony Eyanson is expected to start for LSU, and he’s been really reliable in this position before. Coastal could counter with Jake Books, who last went five strong against Florida and hasn’t allowed a homer in three straight appearances. Neither team has confirmed their starters, but that’s the likely pairing.
- Defensive Adjustments: Neither team was perfect in the field (Anderson, you were perfect). LSU botched a basic grounder in the fourth, and Coastal fumbled a chance to turn two in the sixth. In a close series, that kind of oops can change the game. There will be tighter infield alignments and quicker throws; no dugout wants to be the reason that they lose a championship because of a misplay.
Latest Betting Odds & Lines
If you’re putting some cash on Game 2, here are the latest betting odds and lines courtesy of BetMGM:
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total Runs |
|---|---|---|---|
LSU | -1.5 (+130) | -120 | Over 8.5 (-105) |
Coastal Carolina | +1.5 (-165) | -110 | Under 8.5 (-125) |
- Moneyline: LSU (-120), Coastal Carolina (-110)
- Run Line: LSU -1.5 (+130), Coastal +1.5 (-165)
- Total: O 8.5 (-105), U 8.5 (-125)
Best Bets for Game 2
We’ve honed in on three angles that make the most sense for Game 2. Look below for our four best bets!
| Bet | Pick | Why We Like It | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | LSU to Win (–120) | They’ve got the better pitching setup going into Game 2 and just handed Coastal their first loss in 27 games. | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (8/10) |
Run Line | LSU –1.5 (+130) | If the Tigers get to the bullpen first, they’ve got the hitters to create some separation by the late innings. | ⭐⭐⭐ (7/10) |
Total Runs (O/U) | Under 8.5 | Game 1 finished 1–0, and both teams are sticking with their strong starting options and reliable defense. | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (8/10) |
First 5 Innings | Under 1.5 Runs | With Eyanson likely facing Liam Doyle, scoring will probably stay close through the first half of the game. | ⭐⭐⭐ (7/10) |
Can Coastal Force a Game 3?
LSU goes into Game 2 with the upper gloved hand (get it???). They’re up 1–0 in the series and coming off an absolute clinic from Kade Anderson that shut down the country’s longest win streak. They only needed one run to take Game 1, and now they’ve got a well-rested bullpen and a chance to finish it off.
But hold your horses: Coastal Carolina didn’t win 26 in a row by folding after one loss. If their top hitters can reset and make some adjustments at the plate, they’re still very much in this. The question is if their rotation can hold long enough for the hitters to make something of it.
Our Final Score Prediction: LSU 4, Coastal Carolina 2
How this one plays out could depend on who scores first and who handles the middle innings better once the starters give way.
If Coastal does manage to extend the series, you should stay ready for Monday’s game! It’s baseball, and stranger things have happened; Game 2 could go either way.
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Prediction & Betting Picks (June 22, 2025)
On Friday night, the Orioles looked like they were gonna be a big problem for the NY Yankees. But on Saturday? It did not look anything like the Baltimore that we saw play last night!
Whatever advantage that the Orioles had under the lights definitely didn’t follow them into the daylight. The second game of the series at Yankee Stadium was pretty lifeless, and Baltimore looked like they phoned in while they were also asleep.
The Orioles somehow avoided a no-hitter, but that was mostly luck. Clarke Schmidt sliced through them for seven innings, throwing a career-high of 103 pitches and giving up only two walks and a hit batter. That was it. The Yankees handed it off to the bullpen from there, and that was that.
Gary Sánchez was the one to finally hit one into center off JT Brubaker in the eighth, but by then it was 9–0. Zach Eflin had already been knocked around, and the Orioles were out of it.
Friday wasn’t a runaway win by any means (5-3), but the Orioles earned that opener win. Baltimore managed three off Max Fried, which is a tough assignment for any team, and they don’t usually hit well against Southpaws. The bullpen handled its spots, the offense came through in the eighth, and for a second? It looked like they had something.
They meet again tomorrow at Yankee Stadium in da Bronx for game 3, and the starting pitchers are listed as Dean Kremer (BAL) vs. Will Warren (NYY). Will the Yanks lineup get the best of Kremer or can the Orioles play like they did on Friday night and surprise us?
Keep scrolling to see pitching and matchup stats, betting odds, our best bets, and who we think will win!
Game Details
- Matchup: Baltimore Orioles (33–43) vs. New York Yankees (44–32)
- Date & Time: Sunday, June 22 at 11:35 am ET
- Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: Roku; Radio: WFAN 660/101.9 & Orioles on MASN
- Weather Forecast: It’s gonna be a hot one! It’ll be about 87°F in the Bronx
Storylines & Matchups
It’s tied and a game per team, so now it’s Kremer vs. Warren. Neither pitcher has been super dependable, but with how Saturday went? NY has the advantage in pitching. And they’ve got better hitters, so Warren doesn’t have to be flawless; he just has to out-pitch Kremer.
Starting Pitchers
- Will Warren (NYY): Warren has a 4.83 ERA and hasn’t made it through the sixth inning since May 24. In his last three starts, he averaged over 80 pitches and had failed to finish out five innings. The issue isn’t velocity; it’s a control thing. Once hitters stop chasing off the plate, he has to come back over the zone, and that’s when they start squaring him up.
- Dean Kremer (BAL): Kremer’s sitting at 6–7 with a 4.80 ERA and gave up seven hits and four runs over five innings in his last outing. He’s had a lot of trouble with left-handed hitters this year (.278 opponent average), and his cutter hasn’t been getting swings. If he can’t spot his fastball early? The Yankees’ top of the order could put Baltimore in a hole before the bullpen gets going.
Offensive Trends
- Yankees: Franco’s still stuck around .210 with no extra-base hits in his last 10 games, but the rest of the lineup has covered for him. Judge has 8 home runs in June and leads the AL in hitting. Saturday’s 9-run game came on 12 singles, 2 walks, and a hit-by-pitch; no home runs, but good contact.
- Orioles: They’ve won 7 of their last 10 and are averaging 5.1 runs per game during that stretch. Gunnar Henderson’s hitting .306 over his last 10, with 4 doubles and 3 home runs. Adley Rutschman has reached base in 9 straight games, and Ramón Urías is hitting over .400 in limited at-bats since returning from an injury. Under Mansolino, the team has swung earlier in counts and has cut their strikeout rate by nearly 15% compared to earlier in the month.
Latest Betting Odds & Lines
Here are the current betting odds and lines according to ESPN BET:
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Orioles | +1.5 (-125) | +155 | Over 9.5 (-120) |
Yankees | -1.5 (+105) | -185 | Under 9.5 (-EVEN) |
Main Angles and Insights
Who’s got the advantage in Game 3 of this series? It’ll depend on late-inning pitching and if the scoring slows down after Saturday’s massacre.
Run Total Trends
The total opened around 10.5 at Fox Sports and most retail sportsbooks, with the action leaning under. A few have it closer to 9.5, which shows the cooler (but not much cooler) morning temps in the Bronx and both starters’ track records with right-handed lineups. Sunday is a late morning game, so slower scoring makes sense.
Head-to-Head Stats
Aaron Judge had homered in five games in a row versus Baltimore at Yankee Stadium before Saturday’s game. He’s hitting .367 with four extra-base hits in those matchups.
As for the pitchers: Zach Eflin isn’t on the mound Sunday; his next start will be back in Baltimore. His recent road ERA (3.86 over 28 innings) shows some improvement, but since he’ll be resting after six innings on Saturday, that road split won’t come into play this series.
Our Best Bets for Orioles vs. Yankees
Where’s the value going into Game 3? Look below for what we think are the best bets!
1. Yankees Moneyline (–185)
- Our Confidence Level: ★★★★☆: The number’s short enough to back the better lineup at home.
The market’s really tight: most books have New York between –172 and –189, and that gives them around a 63–65% implied chance to win. That matches up with most sportsbook models, which also give the Yankees a 63% win probability.
With Warren on the mound against an inconsistent Kremer and the Yankees being 21–10 at home, the advantage is pretty obvious!
2. Yankees Run Line -1.5 (+105)
- Our Confidence Level ★★★☆☆: There’s good value here, especially if you think the O’s bats have a repeat of Game 2.
You can still find this at plus money, and it’s ranging from +100 to +142 depending on the sportsbook. The Yankees have covered the run line at home more than 60% of the time this season, and they’ve already beaten Baltimore by nine in this series.
If Warren gives them five? The bullpen can take care of the rest, and Baltimore’s offense really isn’t built to play catch-up.
3. Under Total Runs (O/U 9.5)
- Our Confidence Level ★★☆☆☆: There’s room for this to stay under as long as the first three innings don’t get messy.
The total is holding steady between 9 and 9.5, with the under showing value. Baltimore’s scored 3 runs or fewer in four of its last five games, and outside of Saturday, the Yankees haven’t been putting up big numbers either.
Both starters pitch to contact, but neither lineup has been barreling anything consistently over the last few games. If Warren doesn’t give up hard contact in the first two frames and Kremer doesn’t fall apart the second time through, this leans toward a lower-scoring result.
What to Expect in Sunday’s Showdown
The Yankees are the better side going into the series finale. They’re at home, they’ve hit Kremer before, and their bullpen is in better shape. Warren’s not reliable, but he doesn’t need to be if the offense shows up early. Baltimore hasn’t hit much outside of Friday and hasn’t faced a bullpen like this since last week.
Our Final Score Prediction: Yankees 5 – Orioles 3
We think it’ll be a close game in the early innings, but the Yanks will have the lead and keep it with help from the bullpen and a hit from Stanton or Judge!
Best Bets Recap
- Yankees ML (–185): The matchup favors them, and the number isn’t out of range.
- Yankees –1.5 (+105): Play this if you expect Kremer to fold before the fifth inning.
- Under 9.5 (EVEN): This is only worth it if you trust that both pitchers don’t fall behind right out of the gate
Risk Factor: If the Yankees keep leaving runners on base like they did Friday? Baltimore has enough at the top of the order to steal a lead by the middle innings.
Final advice: the Yankees ML is the safest move; the run line has upside. The under’s in play, but definitely don’t force it if the number drops!
Indiana Pacers vs. OKC Thunder Game 7 Prediction (June 22, 2025)
The Pacers came ready for Game 6. But one player was really ready, and that was Tyrese Haliburton.
His calf injury didn’t seem to be bothering him like it was in Game 5, and if it did hurt? We’d never know it from the way he played. Backed up by his teammates, the Pacers beat the Thunder 108-91, forcing a Game 7. The series is now tied at 3-3. Plot twist!
We all thought that OKC was gonna end it in Game 6. Nope! Can we talk about Siakam’s slam over the Thunder’s Williams? We gasped.
The NBA Finals haven’t gone to a Game 7 since 2016, and the winner of this one will be the champs. The Pacers are after their first trophy, and the Thunder want to bring the glory back to Oklahoma City for the first time since the franchise was relocated.
Ball drop is Sunday at 8 pm ET, and you better be there; it’s a can’t miss game. OKC has home court advantage (35-6 at the Paycom Center), but the Pacers keep defying the odds, so who knows?
Look below for all the details! We’ll do a series recap, player matchups, the latest betting odds, and our picks for the best bets.
Game Details – Pacers vs. Thunder (Game 7)
- Matchup: Indiana Pacers vs. OKC Thunder
- Series Status: Tied 3-3
- Date & Time: Sunday, June 22, at 8:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
- Broadcast: ABC
- Streaming: ESPN App, YouTube TV, Hulu + Live TV
Series So Far
We are 6 games in, and this Finals matchup has given us pretty much everything: blowouts, comebacks, injuries, and an unexpected Game 7. Below is where things are going into the grand finale:
- The Pacers’ Game 6 stunner: 108–91 win with Haliburton back in form, Siakam attacking, and good contributions from the second unit
- Thunder’s biggest advantage: Home court; OKC went 35–6 at the Paycom Center during the regular season and hasn’t dropped a game there in this series
- SGA’s impact: He’s been the most reliable scorer during all six games; Shai keeps OKC in it even when they lose
- Haliburton’s resurrection: After looking like he was hobbled in Game 5, he came roaring with 21 points and with a solid command of the offense in Game 6
- Bench battle: Indiana’s second unit finally changed a game; they outplayed OKC’s reserves in Game 6, and that’s a factor that could help them again if foul trouble hits either side in Game 7
Biggest Player Matchups
There is nothing new to figure out here. We are in Game 7, and everybody on the court knows who’s getting the ball and who has to stop who. Below are the players and matches that’ll settle it, one way or the other!
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander vs. Tyrese Haliburton: SGA’s been in control, getting to his spots, hitting tough looks, and managing tempo when OKC needs it. Haliburton looked uninjured in Game 6; he pushed the pace and created lots of good looks for Indiana’s shooters.
- Jalen Williams vs. Indiana’s wings: Williams absolutely cooked them in Game 5 and hasn’t slowed down. He’s beating closeouts, finishing through contact, and forcing constant help rotations. The Pacers still haven’t figured out a way to keep him out of the lane.
- Indiana’s bench vs. OKC’s rotation: The Pacers got really good contributions from their second unit in Game 6; McConnell controlled the pace, Sheppard knocked down threes, and Jackson battled on the glass. OKC’s bench just couldn’t keep up during the second and early fourth quarters, which is when Indiana stretched the lead and took pressure off of their starters.
- Pascal Siakam vs. Chet Holmgren: Siakam has tested Holmgren’s positioning every game with face-ups, drives, and quick cuts off the elbow. And when Chet’s pulled away from the rim? Indiana’s offense can go to work on the inside.
Tactical X‑Factors
- OKC at home: The Thunder are 35–6 at the Paycom Center this season. The crowd feeds into their defense; they rotate fast, close out hard, and make teams work for every decent look.
- Indiana’s turnover game and outside shooting: The Pacers forced 21 turnovers in Game 6 and turned a slew of them into points. When they’re active in the passing lanes and knocking down open threes, they’re really hard to contain.
- Haliburton’s calf is still a concern: He passed the strength test before Game 6 and looked way more mobile than we expected, but it’s still a lingering issue. He played only 23 minutes. If he’s not out there, Indiana isn’t able to; they don’t generate the same shots.
Current Betting Odds
For those of you who are gonna bet on this one, here are the latest odds and lines courtesy of FanDuel:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Pacers | +7.5 (-114) | +240 | Over 215 (-108) |
Thunder | -7.5 (-106) | -295 | Under 215 (-112) |
Our Best Bets
Last call for this year’s NBA Finals! We’ve got one last round of our best bets for Game 7:
1. Pacers +8.5 Spread
Our Confidence Level: ★★★★☆ (Medium–High)
Why Do We Like It?
- Indiana’s covered in 4 of 6 games this series.
- Game 6 wasn’t close; they won by 17 and looked in control the whole time.
- They’ve kept up offensively and made just enough stops when it counts.
- Even if they don’t win? This doesn’t feel like a game they lose by 9+.
- Haliburton’s status is still in limbo, but their bench hasn’t folded when he’s been limited.
2. Over 215.5 Total Points
Our Confidence Level: ★★★☆☆ (Medium)
Why Do We Like It?
- Game 6 ended at 199, but that came with OKC shooting 38% and a slog of a fourth quarter.
- Game 7s usually start out close but can break open late with free throws, fouls (intentional or accidental), and quick shots.
- Both teams are averaging over 110 this postseason. Doesn’t take much to get this number over if scoring picks up in the second half.
3. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 34.5 Points (or 35+ alt line)
Our Confidence Level: ★★★☆☆ (Medium)
Why Do We Like It?
- SGA is averaging 31.5 PPG in the Finals and has been the centerpiece of OKC’s offense all playoffs.
- He finished with 22 in Game 6, so expect a heavier workload and more isolation looks at home in Game 7.
- He’s cleared 35+ several times already this postseason and tends to go bigger in elimination spots.
Game 7 Verdict: Pacers or Thunder?
This is it! One game for the title. Indiana’s never done it. OKC hasn’t since its Seattle days. Just 48 minutes to finish it for all the marbles.
Indiana looked more composed in Game 6 with better spacing, possessions, and solid contributions from the bench.
Gilgeous-Alexander only put up 22 in the last game. And that usually spells trouble for whoever’s in front of him in the next game.
Haliburton’s calf is still an issue, and if he can’t stay on the floor or run the offense? Indiana’s movement stalls out, and their shot quality plummets.
Who you got for this one? Whichever team you’re backing, make sure you lock in your picks before you settle in and watch history be made for either the Pacers or the Thunder!
Our Final Score Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder 109 – Indiana Pacers 104
We think that the Thunder will pull ahead in the fourth, but the Pacers will cover the spread and the Total will land slightly over.
Ready to place your bets on Game 7 of the 2025 NBA Finals? Head over to one of the most trusted online betting sites to find exclusive bonuses and competitive odds.
River Plate vs. Monterrey Prediction – FIFA Club World Cup (June 21, 2025)
Ole ole ole! Soccer (or football, sorry to the UK) fans rejoice; another exciting game is happening tomorrow when River Plate and Monterrey meet at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, CA. Kickoff is at 9 p.m. ET, so get ready for a footie battle.
River is in a good groove after winning 3–1 against Urawa, and Monterrey scored a stunner of a goal to draw 1–1 with Inter Milan.
Both teams are on track to advance to the next round, but this matchup will decide who finishes top of the group, and who gets a higher-ranked opponent in the Round of 16.
Keep scrolling to see all of the important factors, what the betting odds have to say about it, and what we think are the best bets!
Match Details
- Matchup: River Plate vs. Monterrey
- Date & Time: Saturday, June 21, at 9:00 pm ET (6:00 pm PT)
- Venue: Rose Bowl Stadium, Pasadena, California
- Broadcast/Streaming (US): TBS/truTV & DAZN; International: DAZN globally (FIFA sublicenses in various regions)
- Tournament Context: Group E of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup (32-team format)
Current Betting Odds
Thinking about putting some bucks on this one? Here are the latest odds and lines according to ESPN BET:
Moneyline (3-way)
- River Plate: +105
- Draw: +240
- Monterrey: +240
Spread
- River Plate –0.5 (EVEN)
- Monterrey +0.5 (–135)
Over/Under
- Over 2.5 (-105)
- Under 2.5 (-125)
Team Form & Recent Results
How have River Plate and Monterrey been playing recently? Look below for the stats!

River Plate
- Opened with a 3–1 win over Urawa; Colidio, Driussi, and Meza each scored
- Controlled the tempo with quick ball recovery and direct play in the final third
- They’re old hats in high-level knockout matches and are seldom exposed in transition against weaker opposition
- 16-year-old Mastantuono is not only attracting scouts but dictates the pace and space in midfield; he created multiple entry passes into the box

Monterrey
- Drew 1–1 with Inter Milan; Ramos scored off a sick set piece
- Cut off passing lanes and forced Inter to play through crowded midfield zones
- Coach Torrent’s setup stayed compact between the lines and absorbed pressure without having to chase the ball
- Limited forward progression and disrupted Inter’s timing around the box
Head‑to‑Head Dynamics
- The teams have played each other twice in the last two years; River won 1–0 in 2023, and they played to a 1–1 draw in 2024.
- Neither match opened up very much. Both were slow-paced, and most of the play was stuck in the midfield.
- The lost recent match is fresh in both camps minds, so we’re thinking it’ll be a more measured first 45 minutes that’s focused on midfield control and closing off openings in the back line.
Tactical Battles & Lineups
What’s happening in the tactical battles and lineups? Look below!
River Plate
- Hard to contain in transition with fullbacks pushing forward and several scoring options
- The midfield left too much space vs. Urawa; Gallardo may change up the personnel or drop one line deeper
- The big question: does he pull a forward back to help in buildup, or double down on pressure up top?
Monterrey
- Uses three center backs and a compact midfield to keep play up front
- Prevented Inter Milan from playing through central channels by closing off early passing options
- Could bring an extra midfielder into the starting XI to counter River’s width
Main Areas to Watch
- Midfield control: who recovers loose balls and forces resets
- River’s wide pressure vs. Monterrey’s ability to hold their defensive line
- Set pieces: both teams have converted recently, but Monterrey defends them much more aggressively
Our Recommended Best Bets
Ready for our best bets? Here are the three we think are worth considering along with a bonus lean!
1. Both Teams to Score (BTTS – Yes)
- Odds: Around -120
- Our Confidence Level: ★★★★☆
Why Do We Like It?
- River scored three goals against Urawa with chances coming from both flanks and central overloads.
- Monterrey broke through Inter Milan’s back line and created four shots inside the penalty area.
- River’s aggressive press leaves space between lines; Monterrey’s midfield has enough control to exploit that.
- This isn’t a throwaway match; Monterrey needs a result, and River doesn’t play passive even when they’re ahead.
2. Draw (Full-Time Result)
- Odds: +240 to +260
- Our Confidence Level: ★★★★☆
Why Do We Like It?
- Monterrey’s 1–1 draw vs. Inter wasn’t a one-off; they absorbed pressure, forced play wide, and limited shot quality.
- River could slow the tempo after the 60th minute if group advancement is already in sight.
- Recent history backs this bet: the two played to a 1–1 draw last year and a 1–0 River win the year before, and both were slow-starting matches.
- Neither team is likely to throw numbers forward late if the match is even.
3. Over 2.5 Total Goals
- Odds: +115
- Our Confidence Level: ★★★☆☆
Why Do We Like It?
- River scored three in their last match, with chances from open play, counters, and a set piece.
- Monterrey has aerial threats and midfielders who step into shooting lanes, so this won’t be a one-sided attack.
- The pace River plays with tends to stretch games out by the second half.
- If one side scores early, it could open up quickly if Monterrey has to chase.
Optional Lean: Facundo Colidio Anytime Goalscorer
- Odds: +230 to +280 (varies)
Why We Think It’s Worth a Look:
- Scored River’s opener against Urawa and has consistently found pockets behind the back line.
- Gets service from Driussi and Mastantuono in tight channels, and he’s not goal-dependent on counters.
- If River earns multiple set pieces or second-phase chances, he’ll be near the end of them.
Wrap-Up: Can Monterrey Hold the Giants Again?
Our Final Score Prediction: River Plate 2 – 2 Monterrey
River Plate looked absolutely ruthless against Urawa and won’t be holding back here. They can hit from multiple angles, and their front three isn’t built to slow down. But Monterrey has already taken out one heavyweight in this tournament, and they didn’t need the ball to do it. Inter Milan had more of everything and still couldn’t break them down.
We feel like this game could come down to execution in tight areas. River creates chances really fast after turnovers, and Monterrey doesn’t leave a lot of room between lines. If it’s still level after 60 minutes? You can bet your bippy that both sides will slow the pace and wait for a mistake. A draw works for River, and if Monterrey keeps it close into the final 20 minutes, they’ll back themselves to steal something on a set piece or second-ball chance.
Best value bets recap:
- Both Teams to Score (High Confidence)
- Draw ML (Value + Tactical Fit)
- Over 2.5 Goals (Riskier, but a solid upside if it pans out)
Remember to always bet responsibly and gamble within your means.
Coastal Carolina vs. LSU Prediction (June 21, 2025) – MCWS Game 1
Coastal Carolina hasn’t lost in 26 games. That’s a lotta games! And LSU just won on a ninth-inning rally that launched them right into the finals. Tomorrow, these two squads open the championship series, and it’s all on the line. Streaks are not safe, and neither are their legacies.
Game 1 kicks off the final round in Omaha. Coastal ratcheted up their wins with really aggressive baserunning, pitching that doesn’t give much of anything away, and hitters who smash at the plate when they can.
Carolina clamps opponents down with pressure and smart execution. LSU has raw power and a lineup that has proven they can bring runs in.
The sportsbooks have this closer than we expected! Will the Coastal underdogs surprise everyone? Or will LSU take it? Keep scrolling to see the matchup details, the pitchers in play, betting odds, and our three best bets for Saturday’s opener!
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. LSU Tigers
- Date & Time: Saturday, June 21, first pitch at 7:00 pm ET
- Format: Game 1 of best‑of‑3 finals
- Venue: Charles Schwab Field, Omaha
- Broadcast: ESPN/ESPN+
Betting Odds & Lines (Updated June 21)
If you’re wagering on this game, here are the latest odds and lines courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook:
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total Runs |
|---|---|---|---|
Coastal | +1.5 (-180) | +118 | Over 8.5 (-102) |
LSU | -1.5 (+140) | -150 | Under 8.5 (-125) |
- Series odds: LSU ~66% implied probability; Coastal ~39%
Storylines & Stakes
Two teams playing peak baseball but with really different styles will meet on the biggest field in Omaha; here’s what we’re watching and what’s at stake!
- LSU punched its ticket to the finals with back-to-back wins, and one was a super dramatic walk-off against Arkansas to survive the bracket.
- Coastal Carolina comes in with 26 consecutive wins and a pitching staff that’s held opponents under four runs in seven of its last nine games.
- LSU relies on its overpowering front-line starter, and Coastal spreads out the work across a deeper bullpen that’s been really hard to rattle.
- Game 1 matters a lot; winning the opener in a short series gives a team more control, rest, and a big psychological edge going into Game 2.
Players to Watch
- Kade Anderson, LSU: Logged over 100 innings with a 3.44 ERA and just blanked Arkansas. When Anderson is on, he forces weak contact and devours innings.
- Riley Eikhoff, Coastal Carolina: Eikhoff has a 3.00 ERA and doesn’t give up any big innings. He’s been the team’s stabilizer in this stretch.
- Bullpen Comparison: Coastal’s late-game pitchers have been way more reliable. LSU’s relievers have been more vulnerable; they have an xFIP near 5.50 in their last 10 appearances.
Our Best Bets
Coastal Carolina +1.5 Run Line (-180)
Why do we like it?
- Coastal hasn’t lost a game by multiple runs since April 21. That includes matchups against the top 25 baseball programs.
- Their relievers lead all CWS teams in WHIP over the past five weeks and haven’t allowed a late-inning run since the regionals.
- LSU’s lineup does damage in quick bursts, but Coastal controls the tempo better and has played more close games.
Our Confidence Level ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5): This is a really good spot for a team that knows how to hold a one-run deficit or better!
Under 8.5 Total Runs
Why do we like it?
- Riley Eikhoff has gone at least 6 full innings in his last 4 starts without allowing more than 2 earned runs.
- Anderson, after some midseason command issues, has gone 3 straight starts with zero walks and 18 combined strikeouts.
- Both teams are batting under .250 with runners in scoring position in Omaha and rank top 20 in opponent on-base percentage.
Our Confidence Level ⭐⭐⭐☆ (3.5/5): We think we’ll see long outings from the starters and bullpen matchups that limit run spikes.
Bonus: Coastal Carolina ML (+118)
If you think that Coastal can outlast LSU in a lower-scoring game? This moneyline has some real appeal. They’ve been methodical in high-pressure moments and have handled closing situations with way less mistakes than LSU. If Eikhoff limits LSU’s top of the order and they scratch together 4–5 runs,? That’s usually enough behind this bullpen. The value is there if you’re fading LSU’s bullpen reliability!
Feeling confident in one or more of these bets? Head over to one of our recommended online sportsbooks to place your wagers. You will find bonuses available and fast payouts on your winnings.
Who Wins Game 1? Our Take
This is looking like it’ll be one of the most competitive Game 1s we’ve seen in Omaha in years. LSU has name recognition, an amazing postseason track record, and a lineup that can change a game with only a few decent hits. Coastal hasn’t lost in over a month and keeps getting the important outs in close games.
From a betting angle, Coastal +1.5 is still the most dependable side. Why? Because of how reliable their relief staff has been. The Under 8.5 holds value, but that’s if we assume that both starters can stretch into the sixth inning. And if Anderson’s strikeout line opens at 5.5, there’s room for a play if he sees the top half of Coastal’s order twice (check the market; this bet isn’t available as of publication).
Neither side is gonna run away with this. We have two super-disciplined lineups and starters who know how to get out of jams.
We’re taking LSU by one run, but it could come down to a single late-game mistake or a bullpen slip!
Final Score Prediction: LSU 4, Coastal Carolina 3
LSU scratches across the go-ahead run in the eighth, capitalizing on a missed location and a sac fly. Coastal strands the tying run in the ninth, making it a 4–3 final that still hits the +1.5 run line.
