Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano 3 Prediction & Betting Breakdown (July 11, 2025)

Katie Taylor and Amanda Serrano don’t like each other. Ok, that’s an understatement. It might be for show, but to us? It looks like they hate each other with a passion that’s usually reserved for exes.

Their rivalry isn’t only the most well-known in women’s boxing; it’s also super hostile. Which makes sense, because they get in a ring to beat each other up. They’ve already had two brutal fights, and now they’re going for round three. Taylor is putting all four of her junior welterweight titles on the line at Madison Square Garden this Friday night.

Their first fight back in April 2022 ended in a split decision for Taylor, and it was a verdict that kicked off a lot of backlash. Serrano landed the heavier shots, and she looked like the one who was doing the work. The judges disagreed, and that’s where the bad blood started and lit the fuse on the feud.

Their November rematch? Well, that only poured more gasoline on the fire. Taylor won again, this time on the cards unanimously, but Serrano looked like the one who brought the fight to Taylor.

She walked out of the ring covered in blood after taking multiple headbutts, one of which cost Taylor a point and messed up Serrano’s face. That’s the backstory going into the fight on July 11 at MSG.

As before, they’ll go just 10 rounds at two minutes each, which is the standard for women’s title fights.

Serrano is finally the favorite, and it’s long overdue. After getting edged out twice on the cards, oddsmakers are done pretending that this is an even fight.

But the moneyline isn’t where the edge is! The best betting angles are buried inside props, as pricing hasn’t caught up to reality.

We are gonna break down every single angle that matters, like where to bet, what to ignore, and which lines offer the real value! Let’s get ready to rumble (we know that’s wrestling, but it kinda works)!

Recap of the Rivalry

Taylor has the 2–0 record with one split, one unanimous, but the scorecards did not tell the whole story. Serrano fought forward, dictated the tempo, and still got edged out twice.

This time? The oddsmakers aren’t buying it. Serrano is the favorite, and it’s not because anything changed; it’s because the numbers finally caught up to the fight.

The Betting Landscape and Odds

If you’re betting on this fight, here are the current odds and lines courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook:

Our Best Bets for Real Value

Where is the value? Here it is! Look below for our two best bets and a longshot if you’re feeling punchy like these ladies:

Main Angles for Bettors

Below, we break down the main angles for bettors by style, price, and the prop insights:

• Serrano’s Edge: She’s the one applying pressure, cutting space, and landing shots with force. At 140, her punches carry more impact, and she doesn’t give opponents the room to reset. Judges haven’t always rewarded her volume, but the physical control is hard to miss, and now the odds finally show it.
• Taylor’s Edge: She’s cleaner in close rounds, better at landing single shots that score, and resetting before things spiral. Her footwork and timing neutralized a lot of Serrano’s momentum in both fights. With her father back in her corner, expect a disciplined plan to slow the tempo and make the rounds narrow enough to steal.

Prop Insights

• Method of Victory: Serrano by decision is around +100. Her KO sits near +600. Taylor by KO is a long shot at +1800.
• Rounds Betting: Early-round knockouts pay really well, but this fight is more likely to go long. If there’s a stoppage, you can expect it late, like during rounds 7–10.

Quick Bet Card

Here’s a quick bet card to refer to before you lock in your wagers at any of the best boxing betting apps.

Our Official Prediction for the Trilogy Finale

Our Final Prediction:

• Amanda Serrano wins by Decision
• Our Confidence Level: 8/10

Serrano has outworked Taylor in two straight fights and got absolutely nothing to show for it. This time? She’s got the advantage before the first ding ding, and she should leave with the result.

Taylor’s still good, still disciplined, and we can’t take that away from her, but she’s not matching Serrano’s pace at 140. Unless something drastic changes? This will be another fight where Taylor stays on her feet but doesn’t land enough.

Expect to see a high-output fight with no finish; 10 rounds, constant movement, and the judges will decide it again.

The best value isn’t in the winner, it’s in the method! Decision props and knockdown markets are priced better than the moneyline.

Don’t bet on which fighter you like better; the models all favor Serrano. She’s done the work in both fights, and this time? The price matches up with the performance.

Stick to the outcome-based bets. The straight line just isn’t worth the risk!

The Psychology of Betting Bonuses: How They Hook You

Have you noticed how a “free bet” or deposit match from a sportsbook feels almost too good to pass up? Like all things that feel that way, it’s usually true, and it’s designed to make you feel that way!

Betting sites and platforms use carefully crafted incentives and psychological tricks to make these offers a little too irresistible. And we want to find out how they do it by looking into the psychology of betting bonuses and how sportsbooks use science-backed tactics to keep you playing.

And most importantly? We will tell you how you can spot the tactics, stay in control of your betting, and provide some tips on how all bettors can stay smart and not fall prey to manipulative tactics!

What Are Betting Bonuses?

Betting bonuses are those promotional rewards that sportsbooks and casinos offer to attract and retain players. They come in a lot of forms, but the main premise is always the same: give the player extra money, credits, or perks to encourage more betting. Below are the most common types of betting bonuses you’ll come across!

Why They’re Offered

Bonuses are marketing tools. They help bookmakers attract new users, encourage bigger deposits, and increase the lifetime value of each player. The online betting space is super competitive, and a nice bonus can entice someone to choose one app over another. For the operator, it’s an investment: they’re willing to give you a bonus now because they expect you’ll gamble more (and eventually lose more) in the long run.

Bonuses also boost engagement and loyalty. A well-structured loyalty program “encourages repeat play, enhances player engagement, and maximises LTV (lifetime value)” of players. The more you play, the more rewards you earn, which in turn motivates you to keep playing, creating a cycle beneficial to the house.

Make no mistake about it: The offers are super effective. In a UK survey, 76% of bettors who received a promo offer ended up taking it, with free bets having one of the highest uptake rates (nearly 6 in 10 people offered a free bet used it). That conversion rate highlights why companies spend millions on promotions.

Of course, bonuses aren’t free money; there are always terms and conditions. Wagering requirements (rollover), odds restrictions, time limits, and withdrawal rules are the fine print that guarantees the house always wins.

The Psychological Principles Behind Betting Bonuses

Betting bonuses work so well because they tap into fundamental psychological principles and biases. Sportsbooks have essentially weaponized behavioral economics and psychology to push you into betting more. Below are the five main concepts at play and how they’re used in bonus offers!

1. Loss Aversion

Humans hate losing. In psychology, loss aversion refers to the idea that losing something feels worse than gaining the equivalent amount feels good. In other words, the pain of losing $50 is worse than the joy of winning $50. This principle, famously demonstrated by psychologists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, shows up in all kinds of decisions.

How do sportsbooks use loss aversion? By reducing the fear of loss through “risk-free” offers. A risk-free bet (or a “second chance” or “no-sweat” bet) is explicitly designed to remove or soften the sting of losing.

• A promo might say: “Bet $50 on your first wager, and if you lose, we’ll refund you $50 in site credit.” From a bettor’s perspective, this lowers the psychological barrier to placing that bet.
• You’re thinking: Worst case, I don’t really lose my money. The fear that usually comes with risking money is eased, so you’re more likely to take the plunge.

Economists note that people are much more willing to gamble when they feel insulated from losses, which is exactly what these refunds do. In effect, the sportsbook is leveraging your loss aversion to get you to place a bet you otherwise might skip.

Want an example? A new bettor might normally wager $20 on a game, but with a $1,000 “risk-free” promo on the table, some will bet the full $1,000, figuring there’s nothing to lose. This is exactly what the sportsbook wants; you’ve now deposited and wagered far more than you otherwise would, all under the comforting blanket of “it’s risk-free.” 

2. Operant Conditioning/Reward Systems

If you’ve ever taken Psychology 101, you no doubt remember B.F. Skinner’s operant conditioning experiments. Skinner showed that you can train animals (and by extension, people) to repeat behaviors by rewarding those behaviors on certain schedules. Give a pigeon a food pellet every time it pecks a button, and it will keep pecking. What’s especially powerful is intermittent reinforcement, when rewards are unpredictable. In Skinner’s research, unpredictable rewards actually created stronger, more persistent behavior patterns than consistent rewards.

Sound familiar? It’s the same mechanism that makes slot machines addictive, and sportsbooks use it in their bonus systems too. Operant conditioning in betting bonuses works like this: You place bets, and occasionally you get a “reward” past your winnings; maybe a bonus drop, a profit boost token, a free bet for this weekend’s game, loyalty points, etc. The little rewards keep you engaged and coming back.

Sportsbooks tie these rewards to specific behaviors they want to encourage. Bet more, stay longer, play certain games, and you’ll be rewarded.

There’s also a neurochemical angle: dopamine, the brain’s reward neurotransmitter. When you receive a reward, like an unexpected bonus or a winning bet, your brain releases dopamine, which feels good and reinforces whatever behavior preceded it. Gambling sites are engineered to deliver these “dopamine hits” frequently, through animations for wins and regular little incentives. This trains your brain to associate the app with excitement and pleasure, much like social media apps train us with likes and notifications. The dopamine rush from a bonus or an animated win celebration can unconsciously prompt you to place more bets in search of that next hit.

How do bonuses leverage sunk costs? Consider wagering requirements on a bonus. If you got a $100 bonus, it comes with a 10x rollover, meaning you must wager $1,000 to unlock any winnings. You play for a while and complete $700 worth of wagering. At that point, the rational decision, if you’re not enjoying it, might be to quit. But many people won’t, because “I’ve already come this far, I’d waste all that play if I stop now.” That’s the sunk cost fallacy talking. The bonus conditions create a psychological trap where your past investment (time, money wagered) pushes you to keep betting just to not lose the value of the bonus.

4. Variable Rewards: The Slot Machine Effect

This principle is closely related to operant conditioning, but it’s important enough to highlight on its own: variable rewards. In gambling, as in many addictive systems, you are not rewarded every time; instead, rewards (wins, bonuses, jackpots) come unpredictably. This unpredictability actually makes the behavior more compelling. Psychologists note that a variable schedule of reinforcement leads to the highest rates of response (think of how a slot machine, which pays out on a random schedule, keeps people pulling the lever or pressing the button relentlessly).

Betting bonuses can contribute to a variable reward system. Not every bet wins, and not every day comes with a bonus, but occasionally you get a surprise: maybe an email pops up saying you’ve been given a free bet, or you hit a big win, or you unlock a random prize. The timing feels random or out of your control, and that’s exactly what keeps players engaged. “Unpredictable rewards create stronger behavioral patterns than consistent ones,” as demonstrated in Skinner’s research.

Casinos also incorporate random bonus games or surprise rewards in their online slots and apps. You could randomly trigger a bonus round in a slot or get a pop-up challenge from the sportsbook (“Today only: random happy hour bonus, spin this wheel for a prize!”). The intermittent surprises mimic the uncertainty of a slot machine pull.

The effect of variable rewards is called the “slot machine effect” for a reason; it’s highly addictive. Our brains get hooked on the maybe of a reward. If every bet gave a guaranteed small win, it would actually be less exciting than the current scenario, where some bets give nothing and some give big payouts or bonuses. The possibility of a large reward at unpredictable intervals? That creates a lot of excitement and perseverance.

5. FOMO (Fear of Missing Out)

That knot in your stomach urging you to hurry up? That’s the infamous FOMO, or fear of missing out. Gambling operators are masters at inducing FOMO with limited-time and exclusive offers.

Fear of Missing Out is the anxiety that others are enjoying rewards or experiences that you’re not. Casinos and sportsbooks amplify this by crafting promotions that feel exclusive or urgent, like the following:

• Limited-Time Offers: A bonus that expires soon pushes you to act quickly. Those banners, “Claim your bonus before midnight!” and “This weekend only!” are engineered to create a sense of urgency. The psychological trigger is that you might miss a great deal if you don’t act right now, which can override your more rational decision-making.
• Scarcity and Exclusivity: If a promotion is framed as exclusive (“for VIPs only” or “limited to the first 100 callers”) or scarce in availability, it appears to be more valuable. We tend to assign more value to things that are rare. A countdown timer on a promo page vividly imparts both urgency and scarcity; you literally watch time running out. Seeing “Only available today!” or a ticking clock triggers a small panic that you’ll miss out if you hesitate.
• Social Proof – Everyone’s Doing It: Sportsbooks love to highlight recent big winners or how many people are joining a promo. Seeing that others are getting bonuses or hitting jackpots can stir up FOMO.
• One-time or VIP-Only Perks: VIP programs play on FOMO by offering experiences money can’t (usually) buy: exclusive event tickets, private tournaments, special gifts. Non-VIPs might fear they’re missing out on these special rewards. Meanwhile, those in the VIP club fear losing their status (which ties back to sunk costs and also FOMO of dropping out of the elite circle).

All of these tactics leverage a simple idea: we don’t like feeling left behind. When a sportsbook sends a push notification like, “Today only: Bet $50, get $50 free!”, it’s pressing the FOMO button. You get the sense that if you don’t act, you’ll regret it later, so it creates a false sense of urgency that can lead to impulsive bets without proper consideration of the terms or whether you even wanted to bet in the first place.

How Bonuses Influence Player Behavior

We’ve covered the theory, so now let’s talk about the real-world effects of these bonuses on how people bet. By design, bonuses and promotions shape player behavior in ways that benefit the house. Below are a few of the main behavioral changes that happen when bettors are under the influence of bonuses!

Case Study Examples

To ground all this theory, we are gonna walk through two real-world scenarios where betting bonuses dramatically influence behavior: one for a “risk-free” first bet, and one for a VIP loyalty program. The examples show how the psychological triggers that we discussed are put into action!

Tips for Bettors: How to Stay Smart Around Bonuses

Betting bonuses aren’t all bad; they can be fun and possibly profitable if they’re used wisely! The key is to approach them with your eyes wide open and a strategy in mind, instead of letting the psychology drive you. Below are some tips to help you stay in control when you’re negotiating bonus offers.

Read the Fine Print

Always start off by reading the terms and conditions of any bonus offer. This includes wagering requirements (rollover), minimum odds, expiration dates, maximum cashout limits, and any game or bet restrictions. The fine print is where the real value (or lack thereof) of a bonus is shown.

Set Limits before Accepting Offers

One of the best defenses against bonus-induced overdrive is to decide on your limits in advance. Before you claim a bonus, set some boundaries:

Treat Bonus Money Like Real Money

Respect the bonus funds as if they were your own cash. It’s easy to treat bonus credits as play-money and do things you wouldn’t normally do, but that plays right into the house’s hands. Look at $100 in bonus credits with the same weight as a $100 bill.

Use Bonuses Strategically

The overarching idea is to have a plan. Don’t just take a bonus because it’s there; take it because you’ve decided how you’ll use it and what your goal is!

The Ethical Debate: Are Bonuses a Form of Manipulation?

There’s no question that betting bonuses are built to influence your behavior. The real debate is whether they cross the line from harmless marketing into outright manipulation.

What Regulators Say

The UK Gambling Commission has flagged concerns about misleading promos (like “risk-free” bets that aren’t) and the aggressive use of incentives. Then there are U.S. states like Ohio that have banned certain bonus terms outright. Globally, there’s growing momentum to regulate how, when, and to whom bonuses can be offered.

Potential for Overuse or Exploitation by Bookmakers

Bonuses work, and sometimes they work a little too well. They’re really effective at drawing players in and keeping them engaged, but when tied to large deposits, high rollovers, or VIP targeting? They can and do fuel harmful behavior. The challenge is striking a balance between customer retention and responsible play.

Conclusion: Don’t Let the Bonus Psych You Out

We don’t need to pretend bonuses are gifts. They’re just marketing tools! And they use real psychological tactics, like loss aversion, urgency, and reward conditioning, to get us betting more often and for longer periods of time.

Here’s a quick debrief on the psychology of betting bonuses:

• Bonuses are designed to influence how we play.
• They can offer real value, but only if we approach them on our terms.
• Knowing the tricks behind the trade makes it much easier to stay in control.

We can absolutely take the bonus without taking the bait. As long as you treat it like what it is, a part of the game, and not as a reason to toss out the rules!

Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics Betting Picks & Predictions (July 10, 2025)

The Las Vegas Aces are on their way to D.C. to take on the Washington Mystics at EagleBank Arena on July 10.

The Aces have been playing well and not so well as of late; they dropped a game 87–78 to the Liberty, but then roared back with a win over the Sun. As for the Mystics, they sealed a clutch win over the Sky, and they have Shakira Austin’s late free throw to thank for it.

A’ja Wilson’s still the main player for Vegas, but she’s been having lower-leg issues. The Mystics are dealing with a disrupted backcourt; Georgia Amoore is still sidelined, and the rotation has been relying a ton on rookies and short-term depth signings.

Even though the Aces have the talent advantage, they’re only 4–6 on the road. Washington’s 6–3 at home and has more momentum, and that makes it interesting. Vegas is the obvious favorite, but Washington having home court advantage makes the spread tighter than most expected it to be.

Keep reading to see the team matchups, any market misreads, the latest betting odds, stats, and our picks for the three best bets and a decent bonus prop!

Match Details & What’s at Stake

• Matchup: Las Vegas Aces (9-10) vs. Washinton Mystics (9-10)
• Date & Time: Thursday, July 10, 7:00 pm ET
• Venue: Entertainment & Sports Arena, Washington, D.C.
• Last 5 – Aces: L-W-L-W-L
• Last 5 – Mystics: W-L-L-W-W

Betting Odds & Market Movement

If you’re betting on this WNBA matchup, look below for the latest odds courtesy of ESPN BET:

Main Stats & Trends to Know

What do you need to know? Look below for the main stats and trends of both the Aces and the Mystics!

Pro Betting Analysis & Insights

Next up, let’s take a gander at the important factors that could affect how this one turns out!

Tactical Breakdown

• Mystics’ Half-Court Defense: Washington thrives on forcing tough, low-percentage shots in the half-court. Their help-side rotations and ability to contest without fouling could frustrate Vegas’ interior-focused offense—especially if A’ja Wilson is limited or out.
• Guard Matchups Favor D.C.: The Mystics’ perimeter defenders, led by Brittney Sykes and rookie standout Sonia Citron, match up well against the Aces’ backcourt. If they can keep Jewell Loyd from heating up early, it may force Las Vegas into uncomfortable offensive sets.
• Aces’ Transition Reliance: Vegas looks best when they’re running. But against a Mystics team that limits turnovers and controls the tempo, transition opportunities may be rare. That puts more pressure on Vegas to execute in the half-court, where they’ve struggled lately.

Situational Factors

• Mystics Riding Momentum: Washington has won three of its last four games and appears to be finding its identity. Confidence is high, especially at home where they’ve been tough to beat.
• Aces on a Road Skid: Vegas has dropped several road games recently and comes in with travel fatigue, a banged-up roster, and limited offensive rhythm. That’s not the combination you want against a defensive-minded opponent.
• Playoff Positioning Stakes: Both teams sit at 9–10 with the season entering its second half. This game has real implications for playoff seeding and tiebreakers, making every possession matter more—something that favors the steadier, more composed Mystics roster right now.

Our Best Bets

Ready for our best bets? We’ve chosen three wagers that look good and a bonus prop for those looking for some side action!

The Final Buzzer – Our Last Word & Prediction

Final Score Prediction:  Washington Mystics 77, Las Vegas Aces 70

This matchup between the Mystics and Aces feels like a turning point for both teams. With identical 9-10 records, they’re neck-and-neck in the standings—but Washington holds the edge with home-court advantage and a roster that’s coming together at just the right time. The Mystics’ defense has been quietly elite, and their young core, led by Sonia Citron and Kiki Iriafen, continues to impress under pressure.

Las Vegas, on the other hand, has struggled to find consistency, especially on the road. If A’ja Wilson is limited or sits out, the scoring burden will fall heavily on Jewell Loyd, which could make it tough for the Aces to keep pace. Unless Vegas can flip the script, this looks like a great spot for the Mystics to notch a statement win and keep climbing in the standings.

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Amanda Anisimova Prediction (July 10, 2025)

Two of the biggest hitters that remain in the women’s draw meet on Wimbledon’s iconic Centre Court with a semifinal on the line. It’s Sabalenka vs. Anisimova, and this will be some great tennis!

Sabalenka has a monster first serve, and when her forehands and backhands are on? She’s formidable. And Anisimova’s return game has taken out higher seeds, and she’s been obliterating opponents’ second serves all week.

Sabalenka has lost only one set through four rounds, hitting 30 aces and winning over 80% of her first-serve points. Anisimova, who’s ranked No. 12, has ripped through the draw with wins over two top-20 players, including a straight-sets win over Qinwen Zheng. Their last meeting? That was at Roland Garros 2025, and Sabalenka won in straight sets, but this is their first time meeting on the grass.

With a Wimbledon semifinal up for grabs and very contrasting game plans (power-first vs. pace absorption), this one has a lot of good betting angles.

Keep scrolling to see all about the match, the betting odds and movement, both players’ stats, head-to-head history, grass-court numbers, and, of course, our picks for the three best bets. We also have a bonus prop that looks really playable!

Match Details

• Current WTA Rankings: Aryna Sabalenka: No. 1; Amanda Anisimova: No. 12
• Date & Time: Thursday, July 10, 8 am ET, 5 am PT
• Location: All England Club, London (Wimbledon Centre Court)
• Tournament Stage: Women’s Singles Quarterfinal
• Recent Wimbledon Form: Sabalenka: 4-0 in 2025 Wimbledon, dropped just one set; Anisimova: 4-0, upset No. 7 seed in R4
• What’s at Stake: A place in the Wimbledon semifinals, ranking points, and a chance at the Grand Slam title

Latest Betting Odds & Market Movement (Updated @ 7:40 am EST, July 10)

Ready to lock in your wagers? Before you do, here are the latest odds and lines via FanDuel:

Line Movement

• Sabalenka’s moneyline shifted from –240 to –260
• Total games market has leaned slightly toward a longer match

Stats & Trends to Know

Before you make any wagers, you should study how Sabalenka and Anisimova have been playing! And not only in this tournament, but during the grass season. Look below for all of their stats:

Pro Betting Analysis & Insights

How could this matchup play out on the court? And where does the betting value come from based on Sabalenka and Anisimova’s serve patterns, return pressure, and surface-specific trends?

Tactical Breakdown

Sabalenka plays so well on grass because her flat groundstrokes and early contact keep points short. When her first serve is landing above 70%, she controls rallies within the first few shots.

Anisimova is more precise from the baseline; she handles pace without backing up and uses her backhand to take time away when she redirects shots crosscourt. If she finds the corners and keeps her first-serve percentage steady? She can extend sets and apply pressure on return.

Situational Factors

• Weather: The forecast is dry and mild, which are perfect conditions for grass play; there won’t be any surface unpredictability.
• Court Experience: Sabalenka has played more high-stakes matches on Centre Court, including Slam semifinals. Anisimova hasn’t gotten to this stage at Wimbledon until now.

Our Best Bets

We’ve zeroed in on the angles that we think have the most value. Here are our three best bets and a prop!

Final Serve – Our Last Word & Prediction

Final Match Prediction:

Aryna Sabalenka defeats Amanda Anisimova 2-1 (scoreline: 6-4, 4-6, 6-3)

If Sabalenka serves above 70% and keeps her forehand in check, she’ll dictate the pace from the first ball hit. But if her second serve gets exposed? And Anisimova has done that to better-ranked players this week? Sabalenka will get dragged into longer games.

Anisimova isn’t on Sabalenka’s power level, but she might not need to be. Her early timing, especially off the backhand, can take Sabalenka out of position and force close service games. If she creates break chances early, it could go three sets.

Expect at least one set to go past 6–4, either in a tiebreak or a stretch of long holds. Sabalenka’s serve keeps her in control, but Anisimova’s return game has been good enough to extend pressure.

The over 21.5 games and both players to win a set props both line up with how this matchup plays out on the grass courts of Wimbledon!

New England Revolution vs. Inter Miami CF Prediction & Top Bets (July 9, 2025)

In the Eastern Conference, two MLS teams are going to battle it out on the field. On one side? New England. And on the other? Miami. This one isn’t for all the marbles, but it does have pretty big playoff stakes!

The Revs have been an absolute mess defensively; they haven’t won a game in their last three, have been soft in transition, and are giving up goals left and right. Inter Miami just beat Montréal 4-1, and don’t look like they need Messi to do it all by his lonesome anymore.

New England can’t contain movement in the final third, and Miami overloads that space with Suárez, Gressel, Taylor, and Messi, and you don’t want to go up against those three.

This one doesn’t look like it’ll be a toss-up; New England hasn’t won at home since May and has given up a lot of goals in five of their last six.

Can the Revs stop their losing streak? Or will Miami bulldoze right over them, which means they drop further down in the rankings?

Keep scrolling to find out what the stats have to say about this matchup, game drivers, betting odds, and what we feel are the three best bets!

Match Details

• Matchup: New England Revolution (6-6-7) vs. Inter Miami CF (9-5-3)
• Date & Time: Wednesday, July 9, 7:30 pm ET
• Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
• How to Watch: Available live on MLS Season Pass via Apple TV (U.S. and international), with local radio coverage on 98.5 The Sports Hub (WBZ-FM) in the Boston area and 790 AM The Ticket (WAXY) in Miami.

Current Form & Context

New England hasn’t defended their home field in more than a month, and Miami keeps scoring and going up in the rankings. Here’s how they match up:

Game Drivers & Team News

Miami is coming off a 4–1 win with a full club available to play. New England could be shorthanded in multiple spots, and one of those is attack.

Key Players

• New England: Campana is on the other side of his former team, only days after the deal was sealed; Gil is at the head of chance creation, and Chancalay’s availability is still in question.
• Inter Miami: Messi (12 goals) and Suárez (10 assists) continue to be in sync; Allende has had a part in scoring chances in three straight matches.

Injuries / Questionables

• New England: Feingold (ankle), Chancalay (groin), Ganago (quad), and Bono (neck) are all listed as doubtful or unavailable
• Inter Miami: No injuries have been reported; all players are expected to field their regular starting attack on Wednesday.

Betting Odds (Updated July 9)

If you’re betting on this game, here are the current odds and lines posted on BetMGM Sportsbook:

Our Best Bets

Final Take: Who Wins and Why It Pays

Inter Miami has one of the league’s most productive attacks and doesn’t have any injuries reported. New England? They haven’t won at home in over a month and will be without multiple starters again.

Structurally, Miami’s movement in the final third should stretch New England in the same areas that have broken down repeatedly when fullbacks are pulled wide and midfield cover doesn’t rotate.

Best Bets Recap

• Inter Miami ML — ★★★★☆
• Over 3.5 Total Goals — ★★★★☆
• Both Teams to Score (Yes) — ★★★☆☆

New England can’t defend the final third right now, and Miami is made to press that weakness. Even if Campana starts and Gil finds pockets? It’s not gonna shift the match unless Miami collapses defensively, and they haven’t done that yet against a mid-tier opposition. If Miami takes control in the first half, New England won’t be able to keep up.

Play Miami to win. Over 3.5 and BTTS are both in range if you’re betting the full score profile. New England won’t stop much (they haven’t so far), but they’ll press for something, and with Gil on the ball and Campana stretching the line? They’re good for at least one. Maybe even two!

Final Score Prediction: Inter Miami CF 3 – 2 New England Revolution

Miami stays on the front foot and breaks New England’s shape repeatedly. The Revs do clap back, but can’t manage the space behind their midfield.

Jannik Sinner vs. Ben Shelton Prediction (July 9, 2025) – Wimbledon Quarterfinals

Jannik Sinner will be playing Ben Shelton in the Wimbledon Quarterfinals, and we’ll get to that, but first? We have to talk about Sinner’s match against Grigor Dimitrov.

Sinner fell in the first game, injuring his elbow, and Dimitrov was up two sets (6‑3, 7‑5) and the third was 2‑2. It didn’t look good for Jannik, but after  Grigor served an ace, he clutched his chest; he’d injured his right pectoral muscle. Sinner, being the gentleman that he is, ran around the net.

The 34-year-old had to throw in the towel and retire, walking off the court to a standing O from the Wimbledon crowd. And Sinner? He said, “I don’t know what to say because he’s an incredible player. I think we all saw this today,” reported Reuters.

It was heartbreaking to watch and devastating for Dimitrov, who has been plagued by injuries. Because of it, Sinner advanced and said this: “I don’t take this as a win at all… just an unfortunate moment to witness for all of us.”

Now that the World No. 1 is in the quarterfinals, he’ll face No. 10 Ben Shelton; they’re both cunning for a shot at the semifinals and a possible Grand Slam title.

Sinner’s elbow injury is worse than it looked, and he pulled out of Tuesday’s practice and is awaiting MRI results. Will he be able to play? And if he does, can Ben Shelton pull off the upset?

Look below for all of the stats, player profiles, betting odds, head-to-heads, and our picks for the three best bets!

Match Details

• Matchup:  Jannik Sinner (World No. 1) vs. Ben Shelton (World No. 10)
• Date & Time:  Wednesday, July 9, approximately 9:30 a.m. ET
• Location:  Court No. 1, All England Club, Wimbledon, London
• Surface:  Grass
• How to Watch: ESPN/ESPN+

Betting Odds

We’ve got the latest betting odds and lines courtesy of ESPN BET:

Player Profiles & Form

How have Sinner and Shelton been playing, and what are their individual forms like? Look below!

Head-to-Head & Stats

• Overall: Sinner leads 5–1 and has won the last five matchups
• Recent trend: Sinner has taken four straight sets against Shelton
• Grass meetings: Sinner has won their only match on this surface during the 2024 Wimbledon Round of 16

Our Best Bets & Analysis

And here are our picks for the three best bets and a bonus angle!

Risk Factors

We’re looking at three possible risk factors for this match:

1. Sinner’s elbow: As we said, the injury came during a fall vs. Dimitrov. If it limits his service speed or forehand extension, it’ll allow Shelton to step into returns, and he’ll try to attack second serves early in sets.
2. Shelton’s serve: When his first serve is landing above 70%, he dictates the pace and keeps returners off balance. If he’s hitting his wide angle on the ad side and backing it up with short points, Sinner won’t get a lot of looks.
3. Grass conditions: Slick footing and a lower ball bounce due to early morning humidity can throw off timing on longer rallies. That setup favors quicker points and can take movement out of the equation, and that will help Shelton more than it will Sinner.

Wimbledon QF Wrap-Up: Who Has the Advantage?

Sinner has won five of their six meetings by knocking Shelton out of his patterns. He hits his returns low, targets the forehand side, and forces Shelton to reset from awkward court positions. On grass last year, Sinner won in straight sets without facing a break point.

Shelton’s serve does give him a chance to shorten points, but once the rallies start? It’s all Sinner. He’s been able to drag Shelton wide, bait errors on the forehand, and keep him from stepping into anything off the backhand wing.

Unless his elbow injury is more serious or it flares up during play, Sinner has every advantage in this one.

Best Bets Recap

• Sinner ML (–400): Four straight-set wins vs Shelton, match control in every recent meeting
• Shelton Over 8.5 Aces: Serve numbers clear this line even in straight-set losses
• Sinner –2.5 Sets: Pattern of breaking down Shelton’s forehand and return
• Bonus: Under 39.5 Games: This is worth a look if Sinner keeps return games short

Final Match Prediction: Jannik Sinner def. Ben Shelton — 3 sets to 1 (6-4, 6-7, 6-3, 6-2)

If Shelton gets to a tiebreak? He has a chance. But in baseline rallies, he gets pushed off his spots way too easily. Sinner redirects, targets the forehand, and makes him defend on the run. We’re backing Sinner all the way!

Who are you backing for this matchup? If you’re feeling confident about placing a wager be sure you’re doing it at one of our recommended betting sites to ensure a safe and secure transaction.

Daily Fantasy vs. Traditional Sports Betting: Which Should You Choose?

Sports fans are so lucky when it comes to betting options! There are SO many choices to choose from. When you can put some skin in the game, there are two main ways to go about it.  Daily Fantasy or traditional sports betting.

Both are super popular and fun. DFS, as we know it, took off in the early 2010s with platforms like DraftKings and FanDuel turning what used to be season-long fantasy leagues into daily activities.

Traditional sports betting has a way longer history (we are talking literal centuries of people betting on games), but it entered a new era in the U.S. after a 2018 Supreme Court decision opened the floodgates for states to legalize it. Since then? All major sportsbooks (some of which are run by DFS companies) have launched across the country, giving fans another way to bet on sports outcomes.

We’ll explain how each format works, their main differences, the pros and cons, and how your “betting personality” will match up with one or the other. You can choose the right format based on your goals, skills, and preferences, and it matters not if you’re a beginner, a casual bettor, or an experienced casino pro who is curious about the world of sports betting!

What Is Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS)?

Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) is basically a twist on fantasy leagues; it’s where the contests are condensed into a single day or week instead of a whole season. In a typical DFS contest, you act as a virtual team manager: you draft a lineup of real players under a salary cap, with the goal of assembling the best possible team within that budget. It’s kinda like The Avengers but for Daily Fantasy Sports.

Each player has an assigned salary value, so unfortunately, you can’t just grab all of the superstar athletes. You need strategy and research to find the undervalued gems. Once the games begin, your lineup accumulates fantasy points based on your players’ real-life performances (touchdowns, points scored, yards gained, etc.). The better your picks perform on the field or court? The higher your fantasy score rises!

Unlike betting on a team to win or cover a spread, DFS is a contest against other players. Your payout isn’t fixed by odds; it all depends on where you rank in the contest’s standings. If you’re in a big tournament with thousands of entries, only the top tier of players win money (usually the top ~20%), with the biggest prizes for the top few finishers. 

Beginners usually start out by entering big multi-entry tournaments (daydreaming of that big jackpot), and the more experienced DFS players will play head-to-head matchups or smaller contests where skillful lineup optimization can give them an advantage.

DFS Platforms

The DFS world is helmed by a few big names. DraftKings and FanDuel are the giants; they pioneered daily contests in sports like the NFL, NBA, MLB, and more, and became famous for their massive prize pools (like the NFL “Milly Maker” tournament that awards $1 million to the winner ). The platforms have contests with entry fees ranging from $0.25 to $1000+, and they cater to casual fans and high rollers. 

Another platform gaining traction is Underdog Fantasy, which is known for its best-ball drafts and simple pick’em contests. Underdog has built a place for itself by concentrating on fun formats and provides generous welcome bonuses (they offer to match your first deposit in bonus cash, giving new players extra funds to play with).

No matter the DFS platform, success does hinge on skill, so you’ll need to research players, analyze matchups, and optimize your lineup like a mini-GM. The payoff? The triumph over thousands of other entrants and possibly a big cash prize if your hunches were right!

What Is Traditional Sports Betting?

Traditional sports betting is the classic form of wagering on sports outcomes; basically, putting money on “who will win, and by how much” or on different in-game events. The foundational bets are easy: you can bet on a team to win outright (moneyline), to win or not lose by more than a certain amount (point spread), or on the total points scored (over/under) in a game. Sportsbooks also offer a smorgasbord (such a good word, smorgasbord) of other bet types, like the following:

• Props: Wagering on specific events or stats (e.g., a player’s points, or which team scores first).
• Parlays: Combining multiple picks into one bet for a higher potential payout (at a higher risk, of course).
• Futures: Betting on outcomes down the road (like who will win next year’s championship).
• Live Bets: Betting on games in real-time as they are happening.

When you make a sports bet, you’re betting against the house (a sportsbook or bookmaker), and they set the odds. Those odds determine both the implied probability and how much you stand to win. Like a bet on a big underdog might pay out 5-to-1 if they win, whereas a bet on a favorite might only pay 1-to-2 (you’d win $50 on a $100 bet) because their win is expected. Your potential payout is defined by the odds at the time you place the wager. If your bet hits? You collect your winnings (the original stake plus profit); if not, the house keeps your stake.

Where it’s Legal

This is the biggest factor for traditional betting. Unlike DFS (which found a legal footing as a “skill game”), sports betting in the U.S. was broadly illegal outside Nevada until 2018. 

Since then, legalization has been state-by-state. As of 2025, 39 states plus Washington, D.C. have legalized sports betting in some form (and about 32 of those states offer convenient online/mobile betting through regulated apps). This means if you live in, say, New Jersey or Colorado, you can open up a sportsbook app or gambling site on your phone and place bets legally; but in a few holdout states, you are still out of luck or limited to very specific circumstances, like only betting in-person at certain venues. Always check your local laws.

The most popular online sportsbooks include FanDuel Sportsbook, DraftKings Sportsbook, BetMGM, and Caesars. All are well-known, licensed, and trusted brands where millions of Americans place bets.

And they all actively compete for new customers with generous welcome promos; it’s common to see offers like “Bet $5, Get $150” in bonus bets (a current FanDuel promo, BTW) or deposit-match bonuses up to $1000+ on DraftKings. The emphasis in sports betting is on odds and probability; you’ll hear about “+200 odds” or “-3.5 spreads,” and successful betting always comes down to smart bankroll management and luck that’s riding on the unpredictable nature of real games.

Main Differences at a Glance

Want a summary of the main eight differences between DFS and traditional betting? Look at the side-by-side comparison in the table below!

Pros & Cons of Daily Fantasy Sports

There are great things about DFS and some not-so-hot aspects. Keep reading to find out both!

Pros of DFS

Cons of DFS

Pros & Cons of Traditional Sports Betting

There are also some pros and cons to traditional sports betting as well!

Pros of Sports Betting

Cons of Sports Betting

Which Is Better for You According to Your Betting Personality?

Every bettor is different. Some of us just love to pore over spreadsheets and injury reports; others only want a quick adrenaline rush on a Sunday afternoon or a Monday night. Below are the most common “betting personality” types and which format could match their style!

Of course, these personalities aren’t mutually exclusive! You could see a little of yourself in each category. Ultimately, knowing what you enjoy and what your goals are (just entertainment vs. serious profit-seeking, etc.) will be your guiding light!

Can You Do Both? Hybrid Betting Strategies

Of course, you can do both! And a lot of sports lovers dabble in both DFS and traditional betting, as the two can complement each other. Since legal sports betting has seen a lot of crossover, it’s not weird to place a few bets on Sunday’s games while also entering a DFS lineup for that weekend. Below are some practical hybrid betting strategies!

Leverage Synergies in Research

The homework you do will do double duty. Say that you study the upcoming NFL games and determine that the Philadelphia Eagles are likely to have a big passing day due to a mismatch against the opponent’s secondary. You could bet on the Eagles to cover the spread and also stack your DFS lineup with Philly’s quarterback and receivers. If your read is correct? You win your bet, and your DFS lineup excels.

Just be mindful: it can also double your risk if you’re wrong, since both your bet and lineup will suffer from the same misread. Balance is important.

Spread Out Your Engagement

Some people like to use DFS in certain sports and betting in others, or DFS for certain days and betting for others, to avoid getting overloaded. You can focus on DFS during the week (like NBA daily fantasy contests on weeknights), but on the weekend, you make traditional bets on NFL and college football. Or vice versa. Alternating can keep things from getting stale and manage your time commitment.

DFS requires more pre-planning (drafting lineups before contests lock), whereas bets can be placed last-minute. You could, say, do a Thursday night DFS lineup for the NFL game, but on Sunday, when multiple games happen, you stick to betting because it’s too hectic to follow a bunch of fantasy lineups. Find a schedule that lets you enjoy both without feeling overwhelmed!

Bankroll Segmentation

It’s also psychologically easier to stomach ups and downs if you’ve siloed the funds: a bad week betting won’t wipe out your DFS and your traditional sports betting stakes if you manage them distinctly.

Diversify Your Action

Using both formats can diversify your risk! They are different games, and there will be times your DFS lineups tank but your sports bets win. Engaging in both means that you’re not putting all your eggs in one basket. Some sharp bettors will hedge: they will bet the under in a game but pick players from that game in DFS in case it turns into a surprise shootout, and either the bet wins (low-scoring game) or the DFS lineup does well (high-scoring game). This kind of a hedge is a little tricky, but it shows that DFS and betting don’t always have to align; they can cover different outcomes.

Time and Attention

Be realistic about the bandwidth you have. Managing a slew of DFS lineups and a bunch of bets simultaneously can be super stressful. If you find it overwhelming, scale it back. Maybe focus on one format per sport or per day. Remember, this is supposed to be fun! Some days, you might not have time to do DFS research, and on those days, a quick bet is fine. Other days, you might skip betting and just play a fantasy contest with friends for fun. There’s no rule that you have to do both (or either) every day.

Conclusion: Choose Your Gameplan

DFS and traditional sports betting are both really fun and exciting ways to engage with the sports you love, but they cater to different tastes and goals. You just have to find which one is up your sports alley!

Below is a quick recap of what you should consider when deciding on your next move:

• Daily Fantasy = more strategy, more variance, more upside: It’s like a skill-based competition with a lottery ticket element. You’ll spend time crafting lineups and doing research. The ride can be volatile (most days you will win nothing), but when you win, you could win big. It’s great for bettors who love strategy, community competition, and the idea of turning a few bucks into a windfall.
• Traditional Betting = more control, faster outcomes, simpler structure: It’s the classic “put your money where your mouth is” on game results. Easier to get into for a beginner (one game, one bet), and you know pretty quickly if you won. You have full control over your wager size and can adopt a steady, systematic approach. Good for those who want consistency, clear odds, and a bit more predictability (relatively speaking!).
• Choose based on your goals and personality: If your main goal is fun and entertainment, think about what sounds more enjoyable: managing a fantasy roster or just sweating a bet on a game? If you’re aiming for profit, ask yourself where your strengths lie; is it analyzing players or odds? If you want competition and bragging rights, DFS will scratch that itch. If you want simplicity and instant gratification, traditional is the way.
• Combine both for a well-rounded experience: There’s no rule that you have to pick one. You can blend the two! Just make sure that you stay disciplined with your bankroll for each and take the time to learn the nuances of both games. A lot of sports fans play a DFS lineup or two and place a couple of bets, and it’s all part of the modern sports experience.

Ultimately, whether you’re setting a fantasy lineup or laying down a wager, the main thing is this: have fun and gamble responsibly! Both DFS and traditional betting can level up the excitement of sports. Give them a go and see which one suits you better (you might surprise yourself), and bask in all of the action.

Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees Preview & Prediction (July 8, 2025)

Seattle is heading to the Bronx, and they are chasing a division lead. The Yankees? Well, they’re trying to keep their mitts above water in a packed AL East race.

New York took two of three when these teams met in May, but the Mariners’ offense has been on point; they’ve been scoring and have played really well on the road! They’ll need to bring that same energy to this series.

Logan Gilbert gets the start for Seattle, and he’s gone six innings or more in six of his last seven, giving up no more than three earned during that stretch. The Yankees are sending out Will Warren, who’s been inconsistent and has had some command issues in recent outings, like the five walks against Toronto.

Who’s gonna take this one? Keep scrolling for the game details, starting pitcher info, betting odds, team form and stats, and our three best bets and a bonus prop!

Game Details

• Matchup: Seattle Mariners (48–42) at New York Yankees (49–41)
• Date & Time: Tuesday, July 8, 7:05 pm ET
• Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
• How to Watch: YES Network (available in NY, NJ, CT, and parts of NE Pennsylvania)
• Forecast at First Pitch: Around 80°F, cloudy skies, with earlier thunderstorms expected to clear up before game time

Starting Pitchers Duel

Logan Gilbert has worked late into games and kept his opponents at bay. Will Warren has been more erratic; his recent outings have been marked by high pitch counts and missed spots. Below is how these two starters compare side-by-side:

Betting Odds

Below are the latest betting odds and lines courtesy of FanDuel:

Team Form & Main Storylines

• Mariners: Seattle has won three in a row and seven of its last 10. Cal Raleigh leads MLB in home runs and already has two at Yankee Stadium this year.
• Yankees: Aaron Judge is sitting above a 1.100 OPS and continues to drive most of the lineup’s output. Projections give New York around a 61% win probability at home.
• Pressure Point: Can Seattle’s offense keep up, or will the Yankees outpace them with their top-end power?

Our Best Bets for Mariners vs. Yankees

Who and what are we backing in this matchup? Look below for our picks for the three best bets and a decent prop angle!

Wrap-Up & Our Final Score Call

Final Score Prediction: Mariners 6 – Yankees 4

Seattle has the better starting pitcher option in Logan Gilbert, and the Yankees haven’t been producing at the plate in the past week. 

New York still has a ton of power in the lineup, but they’ve been all over the place. With Gilbert’s track record and the Mariners generating more scoring chances? This one favors the underdog!

Best Bets Recap

• Mariners ML (+115) — Confidence: Medium
• Over 8.5 Total Runs (–110) — Confidence: Medium-High
• Cal Raleigh Anytime HR (+350 to +400) — Confidence: Medium-Low
• Bonus: Logan Gilbert Over 6.5 Strikeouts — Confidence: Low to Medium (if it’s priced at +100 or better)

Don’t forget to compare odds across sportsbooks and lock in your bets early; lines can change closer to first pitch! And, as always, gamble responsibly.

Taylor Fritz vs. Karen Khachanov Prediction & Betting Preview (July 8, 2025)

Quarterfinal play continues at the All England Club, and July 8 begins with a matchup between American Taylor Fritz and Russia’s Karen Khachanov, and there’s a lot on the line for both players.

Fritz is back in the Wimbledon quarterfinals for the second year in a row, and it’s his third time reaching this stage. He’s had less court time than expected after Jordan Thompson retired following the first set of their fourth-round match. And that gives Fritz a teeny advantage in the rest department going into this one.

As for Khachanov, this marks his first career Wimbledon quarterfinal! The world No. 20 advanced with a straight-sets win over a lower-ranked opponent, a grueling five-setter against Nuno Borges. This will be his first match against a higher-ranked opponent in the 2025 draw.

Can he rise to the occasion and bust through to the semis for the first time at SW19?

Keep scrolling to find out what we think, player profiles, betting odds, stats, our two best bet picks, and a long-shot option!

Match Details

• Matchup: Taylor Fritz vs. Karen Khachanov
• Date & Time: Tuesday, July 8, 8 am ET / 5 am PT
• Location: Centre Court, All England Club (Wimbledon), grass surface
• How to Watch: US: ESPN / ESPN+ (live streaming available); UK: Sky Sports / Now TV
• Stakes: Last 8 showdown; the winner advances to their first-ever Wimbledon semifinal

The Players

Let’s get to know the players! Fritz has won 92% of his grass matches this season and hasn’t been broken in a tournament since Stuttgart. Khachanov got to this point with two comeback wins and five-set mileage, but he hasn’t been across the net from a top-10 player yet.

Head-to‑Head & Matchup Stats

Head-to-head: Khachanov is up 2–0

Grass context: This is their first meeting on a grass court. Fritz has held serve more often this season and finishes with his forehand when he’s given the space to.

Style Breakdown

• Fritz uses his serve to take control and follows with forehands that push opponents behind the baseline.
• Khachanov opens points really well with his first serve, but can’t sustain longer points when he’s moved laterally or forced to reset from a defensive position. 

Betting Odds & Model Predictions

Ready to put some money down on Fritz vs. Khachanov? Here are the latest betting odds and lines via DraftKings:

• 1st Set Winner: Fritz (-215), Khachanov (+160)

Tactical Breakdown

• Serve pressure: Both players are holding at a high rate, and earlier sets could see minimal openings on return unless second serves drop off.
• Physical toll: Fritz has played three five-setters this week. That kind of heavy workload could start to show if the match goes into a fourth or fifth set.
• Baseline exchanges: Fritz builds points around his forehand and tries to end them as fast as he can. Khachanov uses his big reach to stay in rallies, but he does have some trouble when he’s pushed to the backhand corner or dragged out wide. Execution in these two patterns? It could very well decide the winner.

Our Best Bets

Looking at everything we know about this one, there are two angles we think are your best bets. And there’s a long-shot value play if you want to be daring!

Wimbledon QF Outlook: Fritz or Khachanov?

Fritz has served better, attacked earlier in rallies, and played shorter points all season on grass. Khachanov has spent more time running after the ball than controlling it. If Fritz keeps nailing his first serves and gets to his forehand? He’ll outplay Khachanov from the first point on.

Best Bets Recap

• Fritz ML (−333) — ★★★★☆
• Fritz 1st Set (~−150) — ★★★☆☆
• Khachanov 1st Set (+180) — ★★☆☆☆

What to Watch For

• Fewer chances on return in the first set
• Fritz stepping into forehands and aiming behind Khachanov
• One or more sets to go to a tiebreaker

Final Match Prediction:

• Taylor Fritz defeats Karen Khachanov in 4 sets
• Scoreline prediction: 7–6, 4–6, 6–4, 6–3

Fritz’s smokeshow of a first serve and experience on the grass court should get him through this, but Khachanov’s powerful shots could win him a set.

LA Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction & Betting Picks (July 7, 2025)

The Dodgers and the Brewers will battle it out in a three-game series, and it’s happening in Milwaukee at American Family Field.

The Brewers get home field advantage, but do they need it? The Dodgers went down to the Astros (0-3), and in the first game of it, they lost 18-1, which was their worst loss at Dodger Stadium. Oof.

The Brewers are sitting in second in the NL Central, so they’re in a good spot. Now the two teams are playing for postseason positioning; who will take this series?

We’ve got all of the stats, who’s pitching, main matchups, betting odds, game outlook, our picks for the three best bets, and a bonus lean! Keep scrolling to find out what you need to know.

Game Details

• Matchup:  Los Angeles Dodgers (56–35; 23–18 away) @ Milwaukee Brewers (50–40; 27–17 home)
• Date & Time: Monday, July 7; First pitch at 7:40 pm ET (4:40 pm PT)
• Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
• How to Watch: SportsNet LA (Dodgers coverage); FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin (Brewers coverage), and will simulcast on local over-the-air stations
• Weather Forecast: Mostly sunny skies, temps will be around 71 °F at first pitch; perfect conditions through the evening

Starting Pitchers Breakdown

On the hill for the start of the game? That’ll be Yamamoto for LA and Peralta for Milwaukee. Both are righties and have been super solid in recent games!

Offense & Main Matchups

The Dodgers, despite their losses to the Astros, are leading the league in scoring and head into this one with an advantage at the plate. Milwaukee has been productive as well, but not at the same level.

Betting Odds & Trends

Feeling lucky? Here are the latest odds and lines as posted on ESPN BET:

• Public Betting: ~85% backing Dodgers
• Heat Map: The Dodgers are 6‑4 in the last 10 vs. the Brewers, but the Brewers are always strong at home (27‑17) 

Our Best Bets

It’s that time again! Look below for our three best bets and a bonus lean.

Game Flow Outlook

• Innings 1–3: Yamamoto and Peralta have each held opponents to one run or fewer through three innings in four of their last five starts. A slow start offensively is the most likely scenario here as well.
• Innings 4–6: This stretch could be the decider. Peralta has allowed most of his home runs the second time through the lineup. The Brewers may go to the bullpen if his pitch count passes 90.
• Innings 7–9: The Dodgers’ bullpen has allowed 9 earned runs across its last four games and has given up runs in the eighth inning three times during that span. Milwaukee has been the better team in close games’ later innings; Payamps and Peguero have combined for a 2.35 ERA across the last 30 appearances.

Closing Prediction: Who Has the Edge?

The Dodgers are the road favorites, but this matchup? It’s more even than the line suggests. Peralta’s recent stretch and Milwaukee’s 27–17 home record give the Brewers a really good shot at taking the opener.

With both starters limiting runs over the last few weeks, early scoring should be low. And if the game is still close past the sixth, Milwaukee has been the more reliable club in late innings.

Yelich is the most dependable hitter in Milwaukee’s lineup right now and should have chances to drive in runs if he’s up with traffic against the bullpen!

Best Bets Recap

• Brewers ML (+125): Confidence ★★★☆☆
• Under 7.5 Total Runs (–110): Confidence ★★★☆☆
• Christian Yelich 1+ RBI (+140 to +170): Confidence ★★☆☆☆

Final Score Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers 4, Los Angeles Dodgers 3

Peralta gets the better of Yamamoto by a small margin, and the Brewers’ bullpen finishes it off with a one-run lead.

Keep checking the lines as we get closer to the first pitch in case they end up changing in your favor. And remember to bet safely and responsibly within your means!