2025 Home Run Derby Predictions & Top Bets (July 14, 2025)
There is no defending champ in this year’s 2025 MLB Home Run Derby in Atlanta! Pete Alonso, who’s a two-time winner and perennial threat, chose not to participate, even though he was named to the All-Star roster. Ok, Pete! With Alonso opting out, you know what that means? One of the eight hitters on Monday night will walk away with their very first derby title!
Who do we think will take it? All of the names in the bracket are powerful sluggers, but the format, the matchups, and, of course, stamina will decide it. None of the hitters got here by accident; they all deserve to be here. But only one is leaving as the Derby king.
As always, we have some thoughts about who we think will emerge victorious (backed up by odds and stats, we aren’t just guessing), a breakdown of the hitters, live betting odds, our three top picks for the best bets, and the props to watch.
Ready to watch these eight hitters duke it out on the diamond? Batter up!
Event Details
- Date & Time: Monday, July 14, at 8 p.m. ET at Truist Park (Atlanta)
- TV Broadcast: ESPN/ESPN2
- Field of Eight: Cal Raleigh (SEA), Oneil Cruz (PIT), James Wood (WAS), Matt Olson (ATL), Brent Rooker (OAK), Byron Buxton (MIN), Jazz Chisholm Jr. (NYY), Junior Caminero (TB)
- Format: Round 1: 3 min or 40 pitches + bonus outs; Semis: top 4 bracketed head‑to‑head; Finals: 2 min/27 pitches, bonus/outs same as earlier rounds
Live Betting Odds (Outright Winner)
The 2025 Home Run Derby is divided into three rounds, so the outright winner odds will change after every matchup. If you’re betting before the first swing or hopping in later on, below are the live betting odds via ESPN BET:
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
Cal Raleigh | +260 |
Oneil Cruz | +325 |
James Wood | +400 |
Matt Olson | +700 |
Brent Rooker | +850 |
Byron Buxton | +850 |
Junior Caminero | +1000 |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. | +1200 |
Odds for this article updated at 9:00 am EST on July 14, 2025.
Player Rundown
- Cal Raleigh (+260): Leads the league in home runs and comes into this with the most raw pull-side lift in the field. He’s shown a ton of power from both sides of the plate all season.
- Oneil Cruz (+325): Cruz hits balls harder than almost anyone in the league. He’s also the tallest hitter in the bracket, so he has upper-deck range to all fields.
- James Wood (+400): Wood is only 22 years old, but he’s already hitting 450-foot shots in-game. He has quick hands and an easy launch, so this format suits him really well.
- Matt Olson (+700): Olson knows this park better than anyone, so he has the home crowd behind him.
Others
These are the long shots and why they’re considered as such:
- Brent Rooker (+850): Rooker has pull-heavy power and gets plenty of distance when he connects, but he has to keep the ball in the air; grounders will end his round early.
- Byron Buxton (+850): Buxton hits the ball hard when he’s healthy, but hasn’t shown a lot of lift or carry this season.
- Junior Caminero (+1000): Caminero has the hands and upper-tier exit velocity. It’s his lack of experience that makes him a long shot, not his power.
- Jazz Chisholm Jr. (+1200): He’s a fast bat, can elevate to right field, but he doesn’t have the same home run totals as the rest of the bracket does.
Format & Strategy Insights
- Bonus Time: One HR of 425+ ft in Round 1 earns 30 extra seconds.
- Tiebreakers: Longest HR wins the tie; there’s a swing-off if it’s still tied.
- What to Watch: Players with both power and stamina will last, and bonus time swings usually decide the round.
Our Best Bets
Where’s the best value for this year’s Home Run Derby? Look below for our three best bets and a bonus lean!
#1 Cal Raleigh to Win (+260)
Our Confidence Level: Medium-High
Why Do We Like It?
- Raleigh leads the MLB in home runs and pulls the ball with lift, and that’s a great fit for Truist Park’s right field!
- He’s expected to hit left-handed throughout, and that’s the side where his hardest contact happens.
- His swing is compact and doesn’t rely on max effort, and that’ll help him maintain his power during the later rounds.
#2 Oneil Cruz – Longest Home Run (Prop)
Our Confidence Level: Medium
Why do we like it?
- Cruz ranks near the top of the league in max exit velocity and doesn’t even need a full swing to send the ball 440+.
- His height and long levers generate a natural lift, so if he catches one during bonus time? Cruz could post the longest shot of the night.
- Even if he doesn’t win the bracket, he’s one of the only hitters here with real 470+ potential.
#3 Over 238.5 Total Home Runs (Derby Total)
Our Confidence Level: Medium-High
Why Do We Like It?
- The last two Derbies went well over this mark: 341 in 2023 and 277 in 2024.
- Truist Park is really favorable to left-handed pull hitters, and at least half the field fits that profile.
- Because the current format allows more swings per round, and this year’s group is loaded with high exit velocity hitters, anything under 250 looks light.
Props to Watch
- Longest HR: Oneil Cruz and James Wood are the current favorites based on exit velocity and distance metrics.
- First‑Round Homers: Look out for live markets that are pegged to each player’s Round 1 totals; these are usually posted as the event kicks off.
- Head‑to‑Head Semis: Seeding after Round 1 (1‑vs‑4, 2‑vs‑3) sets up matchups. If the odds surface for these, there can be good value in underdogs who are in closer pairings!
Live Betting Opportunities
- Round 1 Live Totals: Sportsbooks will update home run lines during each round. A strong start or early bonus swings can move the number within a minute or two.
- Semifinal Matchups: Once seeding is locked, head-to-head props will post. Raleigh vs. Cruz or Wood could be really closely priced, so watch for value based on round length and swing count.
Final Swing: Who Will Rule the Derby?
How fun is it to watch players absolutely crush home runs? So fun! Even if you’re not a huge baseball fan, this event is a blast. No matter who wins, we’re just happy to watch these sluggers knock ‘em out of the park for a couple of hours.
Best Bets Recap
We’re backing these three bets:
- Cal Raleigh to win (+260): Medium-High Confidence
- Oneil Cruz for Longest Home Run: Medium Confidence
- Over 238.5 Total Home Runs: Medium-High Confidence
Raleigh and the Over offer a lot of value at the current odds, but James Wood is the best mid-tier play. His power metrics hold up, and if he posts a strong first round? His price will drop quickly.
- Last-minute tip: Check Round 1 pairings and bonus swing triggers; those are the best chances for in-event value!
If you’ve got a number that you like, take it now. Once the first bracket starts, everything moves. And it’ll move fast because tons of people are betting on the funnest night in baseball!
Our Final Prediction: We think that Cal Raleigh will win the 2025 Home Run Derby, beating Oneil Cruz 22–19 in the final.
Why? Because Raleigh’s swing doesn’t wear down, and he stays on plane without chasing any extra lift. The lefty pull power matches the ballpark, and he’ll keep his output steady across rounds. Sure, Cruz will have bigger individual totals at times, but Raleigh will put together the better full run.
Betting on the Home Run Derby can add some extra fun to watching the even. However, always make sure to do it responsibly. Placing bets on the Derby is meant to be entertaining just like the event itself. So don’t get carried away.
St. Louis CITY SC vs. Portland Timbers Prediction & Best Bets (July 13, 2025)
The St. Louis CITY SC is playing the Portland Timbers this Sunday. St. Louis has a home pitch advantage, and from the looks of how they’ve been playing? They’ll need it.
CITY SC has only three wins this season and just lost their third straight. They’re turning the ball over in really bad spots, the press isn’t landing, and nothing in the final third looks like it’s in any way connected.
Portland already beat St. Louis 2–1 this season and comes into this match hoping to solidify their hold on fourth place in the West. David da Costa has been defending wide, and the midfield is pushing higher lines, so the Timbers could very possibly make this another one-way match and lock down that fourth seed in the Western Conference.
Keep scrolling to read the head-to-head history, lineups, club news, tactical stats, betting odds, and our picks for the four best bets on this MLS game!
Match Details
- Matchup:St. Louis CITY FC (3‑6‑12, 15 pts; 14th in Western Conference) vs. Portland Timbers (9‑6‑5, 33 pts; 4th in West)
- Date & Time: Sunday, July 13, kickoff at 6:00 pm CT (7:00 pm ET)
- Venue: Energizer Park, St. Louis, MO (capacity ~22,423)
- How To Watch: MLS Season Pass (Apple TV); local coverage on regional TV
Head‑to‑Head & History
The all-time series is level at 2–2–2, but Portland has had the advantage in away fixtures; they’re undefeated in St. Louis and conceded only twice during three regular-season visits. They’ve controlled midfield in those matches, limiting CITY’s ability to press high or create from central areas.
- Last meeting: Portland won 2–1 at home, breaking a late deadlock with a near-post header off a corner. St. Louis had a really hard time defending set pieces and were outshot 13–7.
Team News & Predicted Lineups
St. Louis and Portland are both dealing with availability issues that will influence how they line up in this one! St. Louis are still thinned out in their defense, and Portland’s forward rotation will be limited by injuries. Below is the latest on who’s playing and who’s most likely to start.
St. Louis CITY SC (Interim coach: Ben Critchley)
- Defensive depth is stretched: Nilsson and Durkin are still sidelined; Morales and Alm haven’t looked so great when they’ve been called to the field.
- Boost in attack: Jimer Fory is back and brings hold-up play and an aerial threat in midfield; expect him to start, likely in a 3-5-2 setup to cover gaps in defense and add presence up front.
Predicted St. Louis lineup (3-5-2)
- GK: Diop
- CBs: Penilla, Fagúndez, Da Costa
- Wingbacks: Neuhaus (R), McGuire (L)
- Midfield: Budapest, Fory, Larentowicz
- Attack: Dzurjevic, Minadeo
Portland Timbers
- Injury notes: Antony, Lassiter, Rodriguez, and McGraw are all out, and this disrupts their depth and rotation options.
- Stable at the back: Goalkeeper Crepeau and central defenders are all scheduled to start, and that bolsters a back four that’s only 2 goals shy of clean sheets in four of five matches.
Predicted Portland lineup (4-3-3)
- GK: Crepeau
- Defense: Powell (R), Collins, Bouanga, Ajeti (L)
- Midfield: Chara, Nagbe, Asprilla
- Attack: Da Costa, Nunez, Moffat
Tactical Battles
- St. Louis back line under pressure: CITY’s defensive unit has been exposed lately. There’s been slow recovery, poor set-piece marking, and miscommunication between center backs. Portland’s system under Phil Neville has relied on coordinated movement and timely third-man runs, and that could exploit the instability.
- Goalkeeper matchup: Roman Bürki has faced more shots than any goalie in the West, and he’s usually bailing out defensive breakdowns. Maxime Crépeau’s distribution and control in the net give Portland an advantage in buildup and restarts.
- In-form strikers: João Klauss has found the net 5 times in his last 7, and it’s been off limited service. Kelsy’s movement and pace have created good chances in recent matches, and he’s starting to finish with a lot more consistency.
Betting Odds & Stats
If you’re betting on this MLS match, here are the latest odds and lines that are up on DraftKings:
- Moneyline: St. Louis (+110), Portland (+200), Draw (+275)
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 (-215), Under 2.5 (+170)
- Both Teams to Score: Yes (-235), No (+185)
St. Louis CITY SC: 27.8 xG vs. 33.7 xGA; 34 goals conceded across 21 matches (1.6 per 90)
Head-to-head trend: 5 of the last 6 meetings between them have ended with over 2.5 goals
Our Best Bets
We’ve looked at all of the available info, and here are the four best bets based on the stats!
Over 2.5 Total Goals
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (8/10)
Why do we like it?
Five of the last six meetings have cleared this number, and both teams are trending that way again. St. Louis has conceded 34 goals and ranks in the bottom tier in defensive metrics. Portland has scored 2+ in four of their last five and aren’t afraid to open up matches, even when they’re on the road.
- Stat Support: CITY’s xGA sits at 33.7. Portland is averaging about 2 goals per game over their last five.
Both Teams to Score (BTTS – Yes)
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (7/10)
Why do we like it?
CITY doesn’t keep teams out, but they usually don’t go scoreless at home. Klauss and Vassilev keep producing chances, and Portland’s best moments come in transition. Since neither defense is in form, both teams finding the net feels like the most stable angle.
- Trend Note: BTTS has landed in 4 of the last 5 meetings.
João Klauss Anytime Goalscorer (St. Louis)
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (6/10)
Why do we like it?
Klauss is CITY’s most reliable finisher and is always involved on set pieces. He’s scored in 5 matches this season and is central to anything they create inside 18 yards. Portland has allowed goals in 8 straight road games and given up space on second balls.
Draw – Full Time Result (Possible 2–2 or 1–1)
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (5/10)
Why do we like it?
St. Louis performs better at home but hasn’t shown that they can manage leads or close games. Portland creates chances on the road but has dropped points in winnable spots because of breakdowns in their back line. Since both teams are dealing with form and lineup changes, a level result is in play!
- Value Angle: Draw odds range from +280 to +320—solid value in a match where neither side has a clear edge for the full 90.
Our Match Prediction & Betting Wrap-Up
Final Score Prediction: St. Louis CITY FC 2 – 2 Portland Timbers
St. Louis is coming in on a three-match slide and still has lots of unresolved issues in their back line. Portland has been the better club overall, but keeps dropping points when they’re on the road. Neither team stays in control for long periods, and that puts most of the weight on finishing and set-piece moments.
Best Bets Recap
- Over 2.5 Goals (8/10)
- BTTS – Yes (7/10)
- João Klauss Anytime Goalscorer (6/10)
- Full-Time Draw (5/10)
If the first goal happens early, totals and player props become more playable! Side markets carry more risk, so most of the betting value sits with goal-based angles.
Alcaraz vs. Sinner Wimbledon Final Prediction (July 13, 2025)
Two men are left standing at Wimbledon, and they meet on Centre Court to see who will win the poshest Grand Slam.
The players are Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner, two of the best in the world, and make no mistake, it will be phenomenal tennis.
Alcaraz leads the head-to-head, but Sinner just ripped through Djokovic in straight sets to get to the final. He’s playing his best tennis of the season.
Alcaraz is after claiming a third straight Wimbledon title, and that’s something that hasn’t been done since Federer, Nadal, or Djokovic in the last 20 years. Sinner wants his first win here.
They played a brutal five-setter in the French Open Final, where Alcaraz won, and this is a rematch. Only this time it’s not on the slower clay surface, it’s on grass.
Will we be witnessing another epic five-set between these two like we saw at Roland Garros? Keep reading to find out all of the details. We’ve got the tactical matchup, betting odds, player profiles, and our picks for the four best bets!
Match Details
- Matchup: Carlos Alcaraz (World No. 2, two-time defending champion) vs. Jannik Sinner (World No. 1)
- Date & Time: Sunday, July 13, at 4:00 pm BST (11 am ET)
- Venue: Centre Court, All England Lawn Tennis & Croquet Club, Wimbledon, London, England
- Stakes: Alcaraz wants a Wimbledon three-peat. Sinner wants his first title at SW19 after losing to Alcaraz in the Roland Garros final
- How to Watch: ESPN, ESPN2, and streaming on ESPN+
Rematch & Rivalry Recap
Alcaraz and Sinner have played 12 times. Alcaraz has won eight. Their last match? It went five sets, five hours, and had three match points saved. Sinner almost had it. But Alcaraz took it.
Sinner’s been playing great tennis this season, and his game is more straightforward. Alcaraz’s game is way harder to read! He mixes shot height, pace, and placement better than anyone on tour at the moment.
This is the third major they’ve played in 13 months. The surface is the only thing that’s different.
Betting Odds
Here are the latest betting odds and lines via ESPN BET if you’re wagering on the men’s final:
| Player | Moneyline | Total | 1st Set ML |
|---|---|---|---|
Alcaraz | -110 | O 41.5 (-120) | -120 |
Sinner | -110 | U 41.5 (-115) | -110 |
Player Form
These are the two best men’s players in the world, but they play really different tennis. Here’s how they’ve looked this season:
Alcaraz
- Two-time defending champion at Wimbledon; unbeaten here since 2022.
- Picked up another Queen’s Club title before the tournament.
- He’s serving with precision, finishing points early with his forehand, and keeping return games short.
Sinner
- He’s No. 1 in the world and coming off a straight-sets win over Djokovic: 6–3, 6–3, 6–4.
- This is his first Wimbledon final, and his first win against Djokovic on grass.
- Held serve in 48 of 52 games; has controlled the tempo without needing long rallies.
Main Tactical Matchups
- Serve & Second-Ball Control: Alcaraz generates more pace on his first serve but misses targets more often. Sinner steps in early and wallops second serves. If Alcaraz isn’t landing a high first-serve percentage? Sinner will force shorter points.
- Shot Tolerance on Grass: Both are capable of holding up in longer rallies, but Sinner’s timing has looked better through contact. On this surface, Alcaraz’s heavier spin doesn’t always get the same bite when the ball stays low.
- Closing Sets Under Pressure: Alcaraz pulled out multiple close sets in their Roland Garros final and has come through really difficult service games this week. Sinner hasn’t had a lot of high-leverage scorelines since the second round. If the match is close in a third or fourth set, his decisions on big points could very well be the decider.
Our Best Bets
How are we playing the Alcaraz–Sinner final? Look below for our four best bets!
| Bet | Why Do We Like It? | Our Confidence Level |
|---|---|---|
Alcaraz to Win (Moneyline) | He’s 8–4 against Sinner and won in both of their Grand Slam finals. | Medium–High |
Over 4.5 Sets | Their last major final went five. Since both are holding serve well, this matchup should go the distance. | Medium |
Both Players Over 10.5 Games in One Set | They’re each winning over 90% of service games. One set reaching 6–4 or 7–5 is really likely. | Medium |
Over 2.5 Sets (Set Spread) | Straight-set wins are really rare between these two. Three or more sets are the safer side. | Medium |
Alcaraz vs. Sinner – What to Expect
Sinner hasn’t lost a set since the second round, and he beat Djokovic by hitting through the court, taking time away on return, and serving above 70% on firsts. He’s been in control from the baseline all week.
Alcaraz has bumped up against a little more resistance; he’s had longer rallies, higher-ranked opponents, and harder, tougher holds, but he still made it through. His net game has been way better than it was in Paris, and he’s found ways to shorten points without having to force it.
They’ve played two Grand Slam finals, and Alcaraz won both. It’s not because he hit bigger, no, it’s because he managed the scoreline changes and created more variation in his shots when the match seemed to be stuck in neutral.
Sinner has a chance if he lands early returns and keeps Alcaraz behind the baseline. But if the exchanges start dragging into repetitive space, Alcaraz will pick it apart one pattern at a time.
Our Final Match Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz def. Jannik Sinner in 4 sets (7-6, 4-6, 6-3, 6-4)
Alcaraz tracks the ball better on the grass, defends with margin, and makes fewer mistakes when rallies go past five shots. Sinner can definitely take a set if his first serve is clicking, but once patterns change and the match gets into longer exchanges? Alcaraz has the advantage in control.
Our strongest bet? Take the Alcaraz Moneyline!
Online Bingo Tactics: Is There a Smart Way to Play?
I am a Bingo addict. Always have been. The first time I played was when my bubbe took me to her weekly bingo game at the tender age of 9. She had no idea what she’d unleashed inside of me; I was competitive, and it didn’t matter that I was playing against senior citizens. I was there to win. It was there that I got my first chance to stand up and shout, “BINGO!” From then on, I was hooked and went whenever I could.
If you think Bingo is only about winning, you’re dead wrong. Yes, winning is fun, but it’s the anticipation. The adrenaline rush. My blood pressure goes up the instant the first number is called out. Bingo-heads know what I’m talking about.
And now we don’t have to hit up a live game in a church basement, temple, dedicated bingo hall, or a casino. We can play it online. Yes, online bingo is everywhere ,and there are so many reasons this beloved game is so popular. Not only is it super accessible; it’s social, you can win prizes and money, and above all? It’s so much fun!
Sure, it’s mostly a game of change, but there are a few strategies you can employ to up your Bingo skills.
My fellow bingo-lovers, we have some tactics and tips that you might want to know about if you want to play your best online bingo ever. Ready to learn from a pro? Get your dabbers ready and let’s do this.
How Online Bingo Works
You can’t really talk tactics without understanding the basic mechanics of the game. Online bingo looks similar to the “please say B12, please say B12” number-chasing lunacy that we love, but online? It runs on a completely different engine than your average bingo hall.
Bingo Formats: It’s Not Just 75-Ball Anymore

Okay, no two bingo games are the same anymore. There are a few main formats that you’ll see online, but each one plays a little differently.
- 75-ball bingo: This is the classic American format and probably what you played in your school fundraiser or your aunt’s backyard. It uses a 5×5 grid with numbers 1 through 75, and you’re aiming to complete specific patterns: rows, Xs, corners, or whatever shape the host came up with. It’s fast-paced, pattern-focused, and a personal favorite of Bingo-ers.
- 90-ball bingo: This is the standard format in the UK. The card layout is different; there are three rows, nine columns, and 15 numbers total. Here, you can win in three ways: one line, two lines, or a full house. It’s a little more chill than 75-ball, and the three-tiered win system adds some intensity as the game progresses.
- 80-ball bingo: A nice in-between. Played on a 4×4 grid, it’s less common but shows up on some bingo-focused apps. It’s a little more structured and faster than 90-ball, but not quite as hectic as the speed formats.
- Speed bingo / 30-ball bingo: Want to watch your hopes and dreams rise and fall in under a minute? This one’s for you. Only 30 balls, a 3×3 grid, and blink-and-you-miss-it gameplay. You have to be and stay ready, because these games move faster than your pop-pop’s Buick going to bingo night.
There are also platforms that have mashups and seasonal formats, like Valentine’s Day heart-shaped win patterns or summer beach ball rounds, but most games will fall under one of the big four formats above.
How Numbers Are Drawn: RNGs
In a traditional bingo hall, some poor soul is in front of players, spins a giant cage, and hopes that they don’t call out the wrong number and face the wrath of the crowd. Online, there’s no real caller.
Every number you see pop up online is pulled using a Random Number Generator (RNG). This is a certified algorithm that mimics pure randomness; it’s tested, audited, and built to make sure no one (including the platform) can predict or influence what number is drawn. That means no shady backroom deals, no rigged sequences, and no “I swear they never call N32” complaints.
This also means that online bingo never slows down. No pausing for a coughing caller, no fumbling for the next ball. Just nonstop numbers, so make sure you hit the bathroom before the game starts!
Auto-Daubing: The Lazy Player’s Buddy
One of the most divisive features in online bingo is auto-daubing. Love it or hate it, it’s not going anywhere.
Here’s how it works: instead of manually clicking or tapping every number that gets called, the platform does it for you. The second I22 drops, your card lights up automatically. If that sounds like cheating to you… I hear you. Part of the charm of old-school bingo is frantically scanning six cards at once while trying not to miss your shot at glory. But auto-daubing frees you up to concentrate on the game chat, hydrate, or run ten cards at once like some sort of a bingo goblin.
Most platforms let you toggle it off if you miss the tactile thrill of marking it yourself. But be warned: turn it off, and you might miss a win because you were too busy being social in the chat.
In addition to the auto-daub, there are some other modernized features that you’ll find on today’s bingo sites, including:
- Card sorting: Automatically reorders your cards so the ones that are closest to winning float to the top
- Highlighting hot numbers: Some gambling sites track what’s been called recently and show you “hot” vs. “cold” draws (yes, this is superstition, but it’s still fun)
- Buy-in boosts or ticket bundles: You can play more games or get discounted entries
- Chatroom bonuses: Random games or emoji contests in the chat that add side prizes
In other words, it’s still bingo, but it’s on speed.
Traditional vs. Online Bingo: What’s the Difference?
Online bingo is an entirely different bingo beast. The vibe is still chaotic and fun. But the logistics have changed a lot.
| Feature | Traditional Bingo | Online Bingo |
|---|---|---|
Caller | Human and hopefully competent | RNG (always consistent) |
Cards | Paper and ink (or laminated if you’re a true bingo connoisseur) | Digital, clickable, auto-sorted |
Daubing | Manual | Auto (or manual if you are old-school) |
Pace | Depends on the crowd | Rapid-fire, constant |
Social aspect | In-person shenanigans | Chat rooms, emojis, and GIFs |
Prize variety | Usually set cash or merch | Varies: cash, bonus credits, sweepstakes entries, etc. |
Accessibility | Must travel to a venue | Phone, tablet, laptop, 24/7, 365 days per year |
The Role of Luck vs. Strategy
Let’s talk about the huge bingo elephant in the room: Is it just luck?
Yes…mostly. Bingo is what the pros call a game of pure chance. You don’t get to roll the dice, make choices mid-game, or bluff your way to a win. Numbers are drawn at random. Cards are pre-filled.
But, and this is a bingo-sized but, there are still choices that can sway things ever-so-slightly in your favor. So while you can’t control what balls get pulled, you can make smarter decisions before the game starts!
Can You Influence the Outcome? Technically? No. But Also, Kind of?
Once those numbers start flying, you’re at the mercy of the RNG gods. The outcome of any individual game is totally outside your control. You can’t “strategize” your way to a guaranteed bingo the way you might be able to in blackjack or poker. But bingo isn’t entirely a hands-off experience.
The long-term odds, especially online, can be nudged a little bit depending on how you choose to play. The following are the four things that can get you closer to a bingo!
Buying more tickets increases your chances of having the winning card. That’s just plain old math. If you’re in a room with 100 total tickets and you’re holding 10 of them, you’ve got a 10% chance to win. If you’re holding 30, your odds triple.
But that doesn’t mean you should go nuts. You still have to afford those tickets. And managing a bunch of cards at once, even with auto-daubing, can make you go cross-eyed. Not to mention, you’ll feel it in your bankroll if you’re chasing wins this way every round. So yes, buying more tickets does improve your chances, but only up to the point where your budget doesn’t protest.
Believe it or not, some players swear by strategic card selection. The most famous method? The Tippett Theory.
British statistician L.H.C. Tippett suggested that in 75-ball games, the longer the game runs, the more likely the numbers called will hover near the median (around 38). So for longer games (like full-card wins), he suggested choosing cards with numbers closer to that midrange. For shorter games (like one-row wins), go with more extreme numbers; low and high.
Does it work? Eh. There’s no solid proof. But it’s a fun theory, and if nothing else, it gives you something to pretend you’re optimizing while waiting for that one last number you need to drop.
Online bingo games run 24/7, but not all sessions are the same. One very real factor that you can control is how many people are in the room. The fewer the players, the better your chances!
- Hop into a game at 3 a.m. on a Wednesday? Better odds.
- Join the Saturday night promo with 500 players and a big jackpot? Good luck, amigo.
Most bingo apps even show how many tickets are in play before you buy in. Use that info to your advantage! You might score smaller wins during off-hours, but you’ll actually win, versus being just one of hundreds chasing a giant prize that you’ll never get near.
If you’re always chasing the huge progressive jackpots with hundreds of players, you’ll probably end most nights winless (and annoyed at the name “SassyNana73,” who somehow wins again). The smaller fixed-prize games might not be as lucrative, but they do have way better odds of a payout.
You can also do a hybrid approach:
- Jackpot rounds when you’ve got money to burn and want a challenge.
- Low-stakes games for longer sessions and better odds of cashing in.
- Speed bingo if you’re in the mood for rapid-fire fun (but expect higher variance).
Look at it like you’re choosing between a lottery ticket and a $5 scratcher. One has life-changing potential. The other might cover some snacks.
Smart Tactics for Online Bingo Players
We’ve already touched on how bingo is a game of chance, but that doesn’t mean you should play with your eyes closed! A few smart decisions before and during the game can give you a little more control, or at the very least, help you get more value (and fun) out of your sessions.
Below is your rapid-fire guide to playing bingo like someone who knows what they’re doing!
1. Pick Games with Fewer Players
Yes, we already said this, but it bears repeating: less competition equals better odds. Every ticket you’re not competing against bumps up your shot at yelling “BINGO!” before someone else does. Smaller rooms do mean smaller prizes, but your chances of taking something home go way up.

Check how many tickets have already been bought before you play. If the counter’s in the hundreds? Sit that one out.
2. Play When the Bingo World Is Asleep
Building on the tip above, timing matters. Late nights, early mornings, weekday afternoons? These are gold for players who’d rather compete against 30 people than 300.
Off-peak sessions also tend to be smoother. The chat is slower, the rooms are less chaotic, and you can focus without someone spamming the emojis like they’re trying to summon the bingo gods. You won’t always win, but you’ll probably have more fun.
3. Buy More Cards (But Know Your Limit)
More cards mean more chances to win. But unless your budget is infinite (and if so, can we be bingo buddies?), It’s about balance.
Buying five or 10 cards per game is usually manageable and affordable. Go past that, and it’s only worth it if:
- You’re using auto-daub
- You can afford the loss
- You’re not burning out your session bankroll in five minutes flat
Your card count is volume control: enough to boost your odds, but not enough to blow your bankroll.
4. Use Auto-Daub
We’ve already sung the praises of auto-daub, but here’s another reason to turn it on: mental bandwidth.
If you’re juggling 11 cards and still trying to participate in the chat, track your progress, or watch for bonus rounds, manual daubing will have you missing numbers left and right. Let the system mark for you, and you can enjoy the game and keep an eye on the action.
This is how pros run multiple cards and still hold onto their sanity. You can always toggle it off later if you’re feeling daring or nostalgic.
5. Hunt for Promos & Bonuses Like a Bargain Bin Queen
Free tickets? Deposit boosts? Loyalty rewards? Yes, yes, and yes.
If you’re not checking the promotions tab before playing, you’re leaving money on the table. Most bingo platforms throw out regular promos to keep players engaged, especially if you’re part of their loyalty or VIP programs. Weekly freebie tickets, cashback on losses, exclusive jackpot entries; all of these can stretch your play.
Just don’t fall for bait-and-switch nonsense. If a promo looks shady or overly complicated, skip it.
6. Join a Reputable Bingo Community
This one flies under the radar, but it shouldn’t. Every online bingo platform has its own community! It could be the in-game chat room, a Discord group, a subreddit, or a dedicated bingo forum.
The point is this: bingo people talk. They drop hints about which rooms have been paying out, which sites are running decent promos, or when jackpot games are scheduled. You don’t have to be the loudest person in the room, but listening in can give you an edge. Also: friendships, funny memes, and a shared hatred for that one person who keeps winning.
Four Psychological Tactics: Don’t Fall Into Common Traps
Online bingo is supposed to be fun, but when you combine adrenaline, lights, and almost-bingo, it’s not hard to lose track. If you’re not careful, what started out as a chill game session can morph into “one more round” spirals and emotional bankroll burns.
We need to talk about the brain traps bingo players fall into, and how to steer clear of them before you end up rage-buying 40 tickets in a room called “High Rollin’ Bingo Mamas.”
Don’t Chase Losses
You miss a full house by one number three games in a row, your card hasn’t lit up in an hour, and you feel like you are due for a win, right?
Wrong.
This is the classic gambler’s fallacy in action. Losing four games doesn’t mean the fifth will hit. The numbers are random. Each round is a clean slate. If your reaction to losing is to double down with bigger buy-ins or more cards? That’s not strategy, that’s panic spending. And it never ends well.
The smartest move is to set a session limit and respect it. Win or lose, when you hit your stop number (money or time), log off.
Budget Wisely to Stretch the Fun
This one is boring, but it’s bingo survival 101. Know what you’re willing to spend before you start clicking. Not what you hope to win. What you’re okay with losing.
Break your bingo budget into sessions or even per game. If you’ve got $40 to play with, that doesn’t mean you should hop into four $10 jackpot rooms and hope for the best. Spread it out with a combo of lower-stakes games so you can have more than 15 minutes of playtime.
And skip the temptation to reload your account mid-rage. That “just one more deposit” thinking is how a casual Friday turns into regretful credit card bill scrolling.
Don’t Fall for the ‘Near Win’ Trap
Let’s say that you’ve got one number left on four cards. The next number drops, and it’s not yours, but it was SO close. You feel like the next game is it. You were almost there. Only you weren’t almost there.
This is what’s called the near-miss fallacy, and it’s one of the most common traps in all of gambling. Your brain mistakes almost winning for momentum, even though the odds haven’t changed at all. Game outcomes don’t care how close you got. “One away” means nothing in a system that’s built on randomness.
So yes, it’s annoying. Yes, it hurts a little. But don’t let the near-miss trick you into overextending. Close only counts in horseshoes and hand grenades.
RNG Is Random: Stop Trying to Outsmart It
This is where bingo messes with people the most. You start to think you’re seeing patterns. “G57 always comes up late.” “They haven’t pulled an I-number in ages.” “If I just change to my lucky avatar, the next one’s mine.”
Nope! Still totally random.
Online bingo uses certified Random Number Generators (RNGs), which we went over above. They are programmed to be unpredictable. You can’t predict or influence the draw. That illusion of control is powerful, but it’s just that: an illusion. You can optimize how you play, but you can’t bend the system to your will.
Trying to “game” a game based on chance is like yelling at a toaster to hurry up.
Are Some Bingo Cards Better Than Others?
You’ve got 10 cards to pick from, but do any give you a real advantage? That all depends on who you ask.
- Tippett’s Theory says longer games favor numbers closer to the middle (38 in 75-ball), while shorter games favor high or low extremes.
- Granville’s Theory argues for balance; equal odd/even, high/low, and number-ending diversity across the card.
Both sound smart, but in RNG bingo? They don’t change your odds. They’re fine to try if you enjoy the ritual, but don’t bet your bankroll on them.
The bottom line is this: there is no such thing as a “lucky” card in a system that’s driven by math. It doesn’t matter if your grid forms a perfect pattern or looks like a numerical mess; it’s all still random and always will be.
Social Features and Chat Room Advantages
If you’re ignoring the chat box, you’re missing half of the fun of the game!
Bingo chat rooms aren’t just for jokes and “GGs.” Regulars drop great tips, like which rooms are paying the best, what promos are hidden, and which bonus games are live. Moderators even run surprise giveaways, trivia games, and side prizes in the chat.

And don’t ever underestimate the community angle. Experienced players will call out platform bugs, share promo codes, and help newcomers stay away from obvious traps. Lurking is learning, bingo fam.
Playing for Fun vs. Playing to Win
Bingo is not a reliable money-making tool. The best and only way to play it is to treat it as what it is: entertainment and fun.
If you’re here for a profit, you’ll burn out. But if you’re here to hang out, chase a few prizes, and ride the highs and lows without tilting? That’s what bingo is all about!
Set clear goals: play for fun, maybe catch a win here and there, and stop playing when it isn’t fun anymore. Make sure you’re always gambling responsibly!
Conclusion: Online Bingo Balancing Act
Bingo isn’t a strategy game; it never was and never will be. You’re not here to mastermind your way through a spreadsheet of odds! No, you’re here because you like the excitement, the rush, and the chance that your card might finally line up before SassyNana73 wins again for the third time in 20 minutes.
But you aren’t powerless! The smarter you are with how and when you play, the longer you last, the more chances you get, and the less likely you are to rage-quit and vow to never play again.
Here’s a quick recap for playing smart and keeping it fun:
- Smaller rooms = better odds. Don’t fight with 300 people for the same $10 prize.
- Buy tickets like a grown-up. Your rent is not a part of your bankroll.
- Snag bonuses. Free games are bingo coupons, so use them.
- Pay attention to the chat. Tips, surprise giveaways, and really knowledgeable regulars hang out there.
LAFC vs FC Dallas Prediction & Top Bets (July 12, 2025)
FC Dallas will be looking to grab a win and turn around a losing streak in its last three matches. However, the odds are stacked against the team as it will be heading to the heart of L.A. to face the Los Angeles FC.
The home side, LAFC, is 6th on the table going into this game and is the clear favorite to win the clash. FC Dallas, on the other hand, will be under considerable pressure going into this game, as it has never won on the road against LAFC. Its poor run leading up to the game is also not encouraging either.
But could FC Dallas pick up on any weaknesses to exploit in the coming match day? Read on as we explore both teams’ strengths and weaknesses, make our predictions, and recommend our top bets.
Match Overview
- Matchup: LAFC vs. FC Dallas
- Date & Time: Saturday, July 12, 2025
- Kick-off Time: 7:30 PM PT / 10:30 PM ET
- Venue: BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
- How To Watch: Apple TV’s MLS Season Pass (U.S.)
Recent Form: Key Strengths and Weaknesses
LAFC
When it comes to form, especially on home grass, LAFC takes the win in this category. The team has only lost one match in its last 7 games at home and drawn another.
LAFC’s last game was with Colorado, where it comfortably picked up three points with a three-goal thriller. Even better, it did so without conceding a goal.
Considering Colorado’s higher standing than FC Dallas, LAFC has the advantage going into the game. You should also note that the team has scored 33 goals and has a goal difference of 9 goals compared to FC Dallas, which has more goals against it than for it.

The high number of goals from LAFC also shows a robust offense, one that’ll likely take a toll on FC Dallas as the team tries to contain it.
FC Dallas
The team’s league form has been underwhelming, as it has only secured 5 wins out of 20 games played. That is 3 games short of LAFC’s 8 wins in the league.
When it comes to lost games, FC Dallas also has a weaker performance compared to LAFC. The team has lost 9 games, 4 more than LAFC has lost.
FC Dallas’s defense is not its strongest suit this season, as it has conceded 37 goals, much more than it has scored against other teams. With such statistics, it is expected that the defense will struggle against LAFC’s offense, which has been stellar in the Western Conference. LAFC has one of the lowest scores when it comes to goals conceded in the league.

Key Players to Disrupt the Match
Denis Bouanga remains the top threat from LAFC. The winger/forward has scored 9 league goals going into this game and is the highest MLS scorer for LAFC.
Other notable players likely to keep FC Dallas on their toes are midfielders Delgado, Yeboah, and Igor Jesus. All three will be going up against a less powerful midfield from FC Dallas.
As for FC Dallas, Petar Musa remains their top threat going into the game. The forward has 4 goals in the MLS this season and 7 goals across all competitions.
Tactical Matchup
LAFC will likely control the possession in this game. And you can expect early pressure from LAFC, as it will likely push to open the scoring for the match.
Given FC Dallas’s weak backline, LAFC’s high press and quick transitions might find the net much quicker than anticipated.
As a push to make up for its weak backline, FC Dallas will likely be more counter-focused. But whether it will find the net against LAFC is still unlikely.
Betting Odds & Lines
FC Dallas has never won at LAFC, and the current trends from its recent performances show no signs of an upset. Betting odds to look out for, courtesy of BetRivers, are as follows:
Moneyline (3-way)
- LAFC -245
- Draw +380
- FC Dallas +650
Both Teams to Score
- Yes -175
- No +125
Over/Under
- Over 3.5 (+120)
- Under 3.5 (-148)
Our Best Bets
From our detailed analysis of both teams’ form and history, these are our best bets:
#1 LAFC Moneyline (-250)
Confidence Level: High
Why We Like It
- LAFC Record: LAFC has gone unbeaten in all its home games against FC Dallas. Even better, the team has won 4 of its last 5 home games.
- FC Dallas Record: Dallas has struggled on the road all season. It only has one away win in its last 10 matches.
- Form: LAFC clearly shows the stronger form, as it comes off a clean-sheet win with an upward trend in its Western Conference standings.
#2 Under 3.5 Total Goals (-156)
Confidence Level: Medium to High
Why We Like It
- Firepower: LAFC has shown clear firepower, considering its 33-goal run going into the match. Dallas, on the other hand, typically stays conservative when on the road.
- Formation: LAFC might control the match, but you can expect a deep defense from FC Dallas.
#3 Dennis Bouanga Anytime Goal Scorer (+125 to +150 range)
Confidence Level: Medium
Why We Like It
- Dallas defense: Records show a weak defense, as the team has conceded 37 goals this season. The record is also one of the worst in the conference.
- Goal record: Dennis Bouanga currently leads LAFC with the most goals in the league. He also thrives in home matchups.
- Form check: Dennis is the primary penalty taker. He has also scored in 2 of his last 3 games for the club.
Our Final Take and Score Prediction
Final Score Prediction: LAFC 2 – FC Dallas 1
LAFC has shown dominance at home this season. On the other hand, FC Dallas has racked up a poor record when it comes to away games. While it has conceded 37 goals, LAFC has scored 33 goals in the season.
The moneyline bet is our best, as it places LAFC in the winning position. It is also the most likely, given LAFC’s dominance and impressive record going into the game. As for the total goals, a bet of under 3.5 goals is the most value-based bet. We expect FC Dallas to sit deep in its defense in the game.
Dennis Bouanga will likely make a strong impact in the game, given his strong goal record both home and away. With that said, our final predictions are that LAFC will control possession in the game and keep a clean sheet. On the offense, Bouanga will likely score and create an assist as well.
FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew Prediction & Betting Picks (July 12, 2025)
If the MLS has a version of a knife fight? The Ohio Derby is it. And that’s just the official name. The unofficial name? That would be the “Hell is Real Derby,” and it occurs twice a year.
How did it get this moniker? In 2004, Kentucky developer Jimmy Harston put up a giant black and white billboard on I-71 about halfway between Cincinnati and Columbus, and it read “Hell is Real.” That’s the origin story, and it stuck.
It’s MLS’s most bitter state-line matchup, and on July 12, FC Cincinnati and Columbus Crew meet on the pitch to battle it out.
Cincinnati hasn’t lost a home match in over a month, and Columbus just ripped Charlotte apart and hasn’t lost in six. Both clubs are in the playoff race, so this will be a high-intensity, high-pressure, and super hostile 90 minutes.
If you want to bet on this one (you should, this one is always fun), we have found three solid wagers and a couple of props!
Keep scrolling to see all of the stats, betting odds, expert bet analysis, and our top picks that have the most value for the “Hell is Real” Derby.
Match Details & What’s On the Line
- Date & Time: Saturday, July 12, 7:30 pm ET
- Venue: TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
- Current Standings: FC Cincinnati: 2nd in Eastern Conference (41 pts, 13W-5D-6L); Columbus Crew: 4th in Eastern Conference (38 pts, 11W-5D-7L)
- Recent Form (Last 5 MLS Matches): FC Cincinnati: W-W-D-L-W; Columbus Crew: W-L-W-W-D
- What’s at Stake: A win puts Cincinnati five points clear of Columbus with the season series locked up. Columbus still has games to play, but losing here would put a ton of pressure on their next two fixtures. Both clubs are in the top four, but with Orlando and Miami closing in, neither one can afford to give up any ground if they want to secure a home playoff spot.
Latest Betting Odds & Market Movement
You’re gonna want to get in on this action! Here are the latest betting odds and lines posted on DraftKings:
Moneyline (3-way)
- FC Cincinnati +130
- Draw +265
- Columbus Crew +170
Both Teams to Score
- Yes -205
- No +160
Over/Under
- Over 2.5 (-175)
- Under 2.5 (+135)
Notable Props
- Diego Rossi (Crew) Anytime Goalscorer: Between +160 to +180
Line Movement
As of publication, there hasn’t been any noticeable line movement, but that can and probably will change as the game gets closer!
Stats & Trends to Know
Below is what the recent numbers and matchup history tell us going into Saturday’s “Hell is Real” derby.
| Stat/Trend | Details |
|---|---|
Head-to-Head (Last 5 Meetings) |
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Home/Away Splits |
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Goals Scored/Conceded |
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xG (Expected Goals) |
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Main Players |
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Injuries/Suspensions |
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Expert Betting Analysis & Insights
From a betting perspective, what will matter most for this game? Look below for tactics, matchups, and external factors that can move markets.
Tactical Breakdown
- Cincinnati has relied on home control all season long; they’ve been pressing high, recovering possession quickly, and letting Da Silva Ferreira dictate tempo in the final third. He leads MLS in key passes and continues to create most of their scoring chances.
- Columbus is at its most dangerous when it wins the ball in midfield and counters through Rossi and Russel-Rowe. They’ve combined for 17 goal contributions, and their movement has pulled apart way more organized back lines than Cincinnati’s.
- Both teams average over 1.5 goals per match, but defensive lapses have cost them; Cincinnati has been caught on second balls inside the box, and Columbus has given up chances after failed clearances and late fouls near the goal.
Situational Factors
- Weather forecast: Forecasts call for high humidity and possible storms around kickoff time. If rain does hit, you can expect slower ball movement and a heavier pitch; conditions that usually limit wide buildup and favor set pieces or direct play through the middle.
- Lineups: Cincinnati should be at full strength, though a rotation risk is possible with a midweek fixture ahead. Columbus might need to adjust in midfield if Nagbe isn’t available; his absence has changed their core shape in past games.
Our Best Bets
What are the angles that we think offer the most value? We have three best bets and a bonus prop for you!
Best Bet #1: Over 2.5 Goals (-140)
Our Confidence Level: ★★★★☆ (4/5)
Why Do We Like It?
Both clubs are averaging over 1.7 expected goals per match and have combined to hit this number in 7 of their last 10. The last five “Hell is Real” games have averaged 3.2 goals, and only one finished under. Both of them push numbers forward and leave space when play turns, and neither defense is built to manage pace in transition for a full 90 minutes.
Best Bet #2: Both Teams to Score – Yes (-160)
Our Confidence Level: ★★★★☆ (4/5)
Why Do We Like It?
BTTS has landed in 8 of Cincinnati’s last 10 at home and 7 of Columbus’s last 10 on the road. Both teams use open setups and aren’t shy about pressing high, even if it risks exposing the back line. With Da Silva Ferreira pulling the strings and Rossi lurking in the channels, it’s really hard to see either side keeping a clean sheet.
Best Bet #3: FC Cincinnati Moneyline (+120)
Our Confidence Level: ★★★☆☆ (3/5)
Why Do We Like It?
Cincinnati is unbeaten in 7 straight at TQL and has beaten teams with similar setups to Columbus. Their midfield covers more ground, and at home, they’ve gotten better at turning defensive stops into high-quality chances. Columbus can score, but they’ve dropped points in 3 of their last 5 away and haven’t looked great defending width.
Bonus Prop: Diego Rossi Anytime Goalscorer (+185)
Our Confidence Level: ★★★☆☆ (3/5)
Why Do We Like It?
Rossi has 43 goals in his last 6 games and is still the Crew’s best outlet in broken-play moments. Cincinnati has conceded 4 in a row at home, and those were mostly off defensive lapses and slow rotations after turnovers. If Columbus scores? Odds are pretty good that Rossi is there.
Final Whistle – Our Last Word & Prediction
Final Score Prediction: FC Cincinnati 2-1 Columbus Crew
Cincinnati doesn’t need to have long stretches of possession! All they have to do is keep Columbus from controlling the middle. And if Nagbe is out? That job gets a whole lot easier. Even if he does play, Cincinnati has the advantage at TQL; they’ve produced more high-percentage shots and forced better saves in similar matchups, and their midfield does more work without the ball.
Columbus can break through, but they’ll need to finish from limited windows. Cincinnati’s attack is more direct, and their back line recovers faster when things break down.
NOTE: Watch the lineups! If Nagbe’s out, Columbus loses their best link between pressure and buildup, and that will change how they play the first 30 minutes.
Best Bets Recap
- Over 2.5 Goals (-140): ★★★★☆
- Both Teams to Score – Yes (-160): ★★★★☆
- FC Cincinnati ML (+120): ★★★☆☆
- Rossi Hernández Anytime Goalscorer (+185): ★★★☆☆
If the odds change closer to game time and you want to determine the implied probability the bookmakers are showing for each team, check out our betting odds calculator for quick help.
Amanda Anisimova vs Iga Swiatek Betting Picks & Prediction (July 12, 2025)
The “final girls” at Wimbledon played two really different semifinal matches to earn their tickets to a shot at the Grand Slam title.
Poland’s 24-year-old Iga Świątek beat Belinda Bencic in straight sets (6-2, 6-0), and it only took an hour and 12 minutes.
23-year-old Amanda Anisimova (USA) faced off against the No.1 in the world, Aryna Sabalenka, in a grueling, and, at times, unpredictable three-setter, ultimately winning 6–4, 4–6, 6–4. It’s her first time getting to a final, and it comes 18 months after she came back from a break to focus on her mental health.
Now, Amanda Anisimova will take on Iga Świątek on Centre Court in a Wimbledon final that guarantees a first-time champion; neither has won on the grass before. And it’s their first time playing one another in a singles match.
No matter who ends up lifting the Venus Rosewater Dish, it will be must-watch tennis! Will Świątek nab her sixth Grand Slam? Or will Anisimova pull off another upset and get her debut title? And be the first American to win since Serena?
Keep reading to see a breakdown of the final; we’ve got player profiles, stats, current betting odds, and our four picks for the best bets!
Match Details
- Matchup: Amanda Anisimova vs Iga Świątek
- Date: Saturday, July 12
- Time: 4 p.m. local time in London, 11 a.m. ET for U.S. viewers
- Venue: Centre Court, All England Club (Wimbledon, London)
- Stakes: Both Anisimova and Świątek are playing for their first-ever Wimbledon title
- How to Watch: ESPN, live-stream on ESPN+, Tennis Channel
Player Profiles & Form
Look below for a closer look at how Świątek and Anisimova have been playing so far!

Iga Świątek
Świątek already has five Grand Slam titles, but she’s never made it past the quarters at Wimbledon until now. Her baseline patterns are much better tailored to grass this year; she’s been using less topspin, hitting directly, and has closer angles off the forehand side.
She beat Belinda Bencic in 72 minutes with an almost-flawless performance: 19 winners, 6 unforced errors, and 79% of first-serve points won. Her return game has been on point; she’s broken serve in 21 of 44 return games this tournament.
Świątek has really improved her movement on the slicker grass surface. She’s taking the ball earlier and cutting off points before they can drag out. She’s still strongest in neutral rallies, but now she’s finishing at the net; 12 for 16 in her last two matches.

Amanda Anisimova
Anisimova has the most grass wins on tour this year (17) and beat Sabalenka with a combo of precise serving, backhand depth, and clean hitting off second balls. She’s hitting a flatter ball than most players in the draw, and that gives her an advantage on the low-bouncing courts.
Her backhand is far and away the best part of her game; she hit 11 backhand winners against Sabalenka, and several were down-the-line shots off deep returns. She also saved 7 of 9 break points with first serves above 105 mph and had better overall placement.
Mentally, she’s in a better place since returning from her hiatus. She hasn’t overhit on important points and hasn’t needed long recovery games after getting broken. This version of Anisimova isn’t playing defense; she keeps the court short and forces opponents into early decisions.
Tactical Match-Up
Świątek and Anisimova’s strengths don’t really overlap, so this will be an interesting game to watch style-wise! Here’s how their games match up:
| Category | Iga Świątek | Amanda Anisimova |
|---|---|---|
Serve & Return | High first-serve percentage with strong placement; wins most return games by dragging rallies past 4+ shots | Bigger first serve; targets the body and wide angles early in the point; attacks second serves off the rise |
Baseline Game | Builds points with forehand topspin, pushes opponents wide, and steps in on short balls | Backhand-heavy offense; takes early position on the baseline and hits flat through both sides |
Shot Selection | Likes longer rallies, changes direction with margin, resets behind the baseline when under pressure | Commits early; takes time away with pace and low trajectory; doesn’t extend exchanges |
Movement | Strong balance, covers behind her shots well, closes with short steps on grass | Less range, but anticipates early and positions aggressively inside the baseline |
Mental Focus | Doesn’t overhit, keeps structure under pressure, handles momentum shifts really well | Plays high-risk points on her terms; can recover quickly after giving up leads |
Main Factors to Watch
- First-Set Control: Anisimova has won 28 straight matches when she takes the opening set. Her game holds up when she’s playing from in front.
- Świątek on Grass: She’s erased most of the early-season concerns everyone had about her grass form. Since the third round? She hasn’t dropped a set and has broken serve in nearly half her return games.
- Final Experience: Świątek has played six Grand Slam finals and won five of them. Anisimova is making her debut. If the score stays close in the second set or early in the third, Świątek’s experience will give her an advantage.
Betting Odds & Market Context
Wanna put a wager or two on these women? Here are the latest betting odds and lines via FanDuel:
| Player | Moneyline | Spread | Total | 1st Set ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Anisimova | +220 | +3.5 (+102) | O 21.5 (-118) | +166 |
Swiatek | -275 | -3.5 (-134) | U 21.5 (-112) | -205 |
Our Best Bets
There are four angles we think are the best bets for the women’s Wimbledon final!
1. Iga Świątek to Win (Moneyline)
- Odds: Around –240 to –250
- Our Confidence Level: High (70–75%)
Why Do We Like It?
Świątek is on a 12-match win streak and hasn’t lost a set since Round 1. She’s flattened out her forehand, put more speed on her second serve, and is finishing points faster on grass than she has in the past. This is her sixth Slam final, so she knows how to cope. Anisimova is playing her first, and while her form is strong, the disparity in experience could pressure her service games.
2. Świątek –3.5 Games (Spread)
- Odds: ~–110
- Our Confidence Level: Medium-High (65%)
Why Do We Like It?
If Świątek wins in two sets, like she did in her last four matches, she covers this number. On grass this season, her average margin of victory is 5.7 games. Even when opponents keep a set close, she’s been known to run through the next. She’s also 8–2 against the spread in major finals.
3. Anisimova to Win at Least One Set (+1.5 Sets)
- Odds: Around –120 to –130
- Our Confidence Level: Medium (55–60%)
Why Do We Like It?
Anisimova has taken the first set in 9 of her last 10 matches and starts fast. Her flat groundstrokes are a threat to Świątek if she needs time to adapt. And although Świątek’s overall form has been amazing, she’s gotten some early resistance in a few grass matches this year. This bet allows for a 2–1 Swiatek win, and that feels like a real possibility.
4. Over 21.5 Total Games
- Odds: Around –115
- Our Confidence Level: Medium (60%)
Why Do We Like It?
Anisimova’s last five grass matches have averaged 22.8 games. She’s held serve really well, and Świątek’s return game, while it’s good, hasn’t broken early in every single match. This could be a 7–5, 6–4, or 6–3, 3–6, 6–2 type scoreline, both of which land over. Even a close two-setter with a tiebreak puts this one in range.
Wimbledon 2025 Women’s Final Prediction
Anisimova and Świątek are totally different tennis players. One plays fast and flat. The other changes shot height, shifts depth, and disrupts timing. If Anisimova can land her first serves and keep points short, she can stay in control for stretches. But Świątek doesn’t push. She adapts, holds space, and then attacks her opponents’ rushed decisions.
Świątek doesn’t need to take over rallies; all she has to do is extend them. She’s precise, patient, and better at landing the ball where it hurts. Anisimova can strike first, that’s obvious. But Świątek is the better closer.
Final Match Prediction: Iga Świątek in 2 sets (7–5, 6–3)
Best Bets Recap
- Świątek ML (High Confidence)
- Świątek –3.5 Games (Medium-High Confidence)
- Anisimova +1.5 Sets (Medium Confidence)
- Over 21.5 Games (Medium Confidence)
Look, we’re rooting for Anisimova because we love a good comeback story with an underdog. But we just don’t think it’s realistic against Świątek. Iga has been here before, and Amanda hasn’t. It’s as simple as that, unfortunately.
As always, remember to bet responsibly and within your means.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction (July 11, 2025)
The Los Angeles Dodgers are going north to San Francisco for the opener in a three-game series against the Giants on July 11. First pitch is thrown at 10:15 p.m. ET.
This kicks off yet another chapter of their NL West rivalry Friday night at Oracle Park, and it’s an important mid-season game. LA is trying to put an end to a slide that’s chipping away at their division lead. San Francisco has won six of its last eight at home and is getting closer to the top of the division.
Dustin May and Logan Webb will be starting on the hill, and that could mean a slow start; both are hard to hit against. Since the standings are tightening up in the NL West race, there are playoff implications!
What do you need to know? We’ll give you the pitchers’ matchup, lineup, team stats, the latest betting odds, and our picks for your three best bets. Let’s play ball!
Game Details
- Matchup: Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants
- Date & Time: July 11; first pitch at 10:15 pm ET / 7:15 PM PT
- Location: Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA
- Weather Forecast: Afternoon and evening: Mostly sunny with highs in the mid‑60s °F; perfect for a ball game
- How to Watch: TV: MLB on TBS, plus NBC Sports Bay Area (cable) and KNTV (over‑the‑air)
- Streaming: MLB.tv, TBS app, and cable streaming platforms
Starting Pitchers Matchup
Who’s throwing for the Dodgers and the Giants? Here are the starters:

Dodgers – Dustin May (5–5, 4.52 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 84 K in 89.2 IP)
May struck out nine over seven innings in his last start against the White Sox, allowing only two runs. But his ERA jumps to 5.18 in road games this season.

Giants – Logan Webb (8–6, 2.62 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 133 K in 120.1 IP)
Webb has a 1.52 ERA at Oracle Park this year and has allowed two earned runs or less in five of his last six starts against the Dodgers.
Lineups & Main Matchup Stats
- Dodgers vs. RHP: Hitting .257 with 142 total home runs this season. Ohtani leads the team with 31 homers and a .279 average.
- Giants vs. RHP: Batting .231 with a lower power output. Heliot Ramos (.270, 20 HR) and Rafael Devers are the hitters to watch.
Team Trends & Stats
- Dodgers: 56–38 overall, 23–21 on the road; they’re above .500 in away games
- Giants: 51–43 overall, 27–18 at Oracle Park; they have one of the better home records in the division
- Recent Betting Trends: Unders have hit more often than not in this matchup, and lower totals show up in their recent head-to-heads
Betting Odds
Thinking about putting some money on this game? Here are the latest odds and lines posted on ESPN BET:
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total Runs |
|---|---|---|---|
Dodgers | +1.5 (-190) | +110 | Over 7.5 (-115) |
Giants | -1.5 (+160) | -130 | Under 7.5 (-105) |
Our Best Bets
There is a lot of value in this game; you just have to know where to look! We’ve gotchu; look below for the three best bets for this ball game.
#1 Under 7.5 Total Runs
Our Confidence Level: High (80%)
Why Do We Like It?
- Logan Webb has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in 6 of his last 7 starts at Oracle Park.
- Dustin May held the White Sox to 2 runs over 7 innings in his last outing and hasn’t allowed more than 3 earned in any of his last 4 starts.
- The last 5 Dodgers–Giants matchups have averaged only 6.6 total runs.
- Giants games have stayed under in 7 of the last 10 when Webb starts at home.
- Oracle Park ranks bottom 3 in park factor for home runs and runs scored.
#2 Dodgers Moneyline (Full Game)
Our Confidence Level: Medium (70%)
Why Do We Like It?
- Even though they’ve had recent losses, LA has won 9 of its last 12 against San Francisco.
- The Dodgers’ bullpen has a 2.65 ERA over the last 10 games; San Francisco’s bullpen has given up 12 earned runs in its last 18.1 innings.
- LA is still in the top 5 in team OPS and run differential.
- They’ve scored 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 10 wins; they only need some support behind a steady start to cash the ML.
#3 Giants +0.5 First 5 Innings
Our Confidence Level: Medium-High (75%)
Why Do We Like It?
- Logan Webb has a 1.52 ERA at home this season and has allowed 1 or fewer runs through the first 5 innings in 5 of his last 6 starts at Oracle.
- San Francisco has led or been tied after 5 innings in 6 of its last 7 home games.
- Dustin May’s road ERA sits at 5.18, and he’s allowed early baserunners in 3 of his last 4 away starts.
Dodgers vs. Giants – How We’re Playing It
Final Score Prediction: Dodgers 4 – Giants 3
The advantage in this game? It splits pretty evenly by timeframe: the Giants have the early advantage with Webb on the mound, but the Dodgers are stronger top-to-bottom and have the better options in the later innings. Oracle Park conditions, recent trends, and starter profiles all point toward a low run total.
Best Bets Recap
- Under 8.5 Total Runs: High Confidence (80%)
- Dodgers Moneyline (Full Game): Medium Confidence (70%)
- Giants +0.5 First 5 Innings: Medium-High Confidence (75%)
The NL West race is close, and that means that every series between contenders changed the standings. Here we have two capable starters and public action expected on both sides, so the totals and props can move fast. If you like your angles? Don’t wait for the closing line before you bet!
Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic Preview & Prediction (July 11, 2025)
It’s the final four of Wimbledon for the men! The semifinals have arrived, and two of the players meeting on Centre Court are Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic.
Sinner is currently on top of the tennis world at No. 1, but Djokovic didn’t get here with luck; he’s one of the best tennis players and a legend on the grass courts.
Could 23-year-old Sinner finally knock out the seven-time, 38-year-old Wimbledon icon? Young vs. old (sorry, Djokovic, that’s old in tennis years) will be the match to watch on Friday.
Keep scrolling for everything you need to know about this matchup; we’ve got player forms, history, betting odds, what to watch for, and our picks for the three best bets!
Match Details
- Matchup: Jannik Sinner (World No. 1) vs. Novak Djokovic (7× Wimbledon champ)
- Date & Time: Friday, July 11, 10:10 a.m. ET (immediately after the Alcaraz–Fritz match)
- Venue: Centre Court, All England Club, Wimbledon (grass surface)
- How to Watch (U.S.): ESPN, ESPN2, ESPN+ (court coverage starts at around 6 a.m. ET; Centre Court at 8 a.m.); the Tennis Channel, ABC during the weekend
- What’s at Stake: Sinner is after his very first Wimbledon final, and wants to back up his No. 1 status; Djokovic is gunning for his 8th Wimbledon and a record 25th Grand Slam
Player Form & History
Sinner and Djokovic have both been playing great tennis recently and at Wimbledon. Look below for how their styles compare and their past match history.

Jannik Sinner
- Current Rank: World No. 1
- Has yet to lose a set at Wimbledon this year
- Leads Djokovic 5–4 in their head-to-head, including a straight-sets win in the French Open semifinal on June 6
- Took a fall in the quarterfinal against Dimitrov; any residual elbow soreness might affect his ability to hit through the backhand and stay aggressive on serve

Novak Djokovic
- 7-time Wimbledon champion with a 93–11 career record at SW19
- Beat Cobolli in straight sets in the quarterfinal, keeping points short and avoiding long baseline exchanges
- Reached the French Open semifinal in June but hasn’t won a Slam since the 2023 US Open
- He turned 38 in May, so his stamina and lateral quickness could become factors if the match goes past three sets
Main Matchup Insights
- Grass-Court Adjustment: Their most recent meeting was on clay, and that gave Sinner more time to set up and dictate off both wings. On grass? That window goes way down. Djokovic’s return game and feel for this surface put a lot more pressure on Sinner to hit winners without extended rally setups.
- Physical Factors: Sinner’s serving motion could be impacted if his elbow is still bothering him, particularly on wide serves or aggressive second deliveries. Djokovic’s endurance hasn’t been tested that much in this tournament, but quick directional movement and recovery between points will come into play in a best-of-five on a grass court.
- Game Plan Contrast: Sinner pushes forward with pace-heavy baseline patterns and looks to finish points as fast as possible. Djokovic changes direction with less power but has more variation; he uses depth to keep opponents from setting up flush shots. This match could depend on who is in control of the middle third of the court.
Betting Odds
If you’re putting some scratch on the semifinals, here are the latest betting odds and lines courtesy of FanDuel:
| Player | Moneyline | Spread | Total Games |
|---|---|---|---|
Sinner | -245 | -3.5 (-130) | Over 39.5 (-112) |
Djokovic | +198 | +3.5 (-102) | Under 39.5 (-118) |
Our Best Bets
Where do we think the most value is for this one? We’ve zeroed in on three playable angles for our best bets!
| Bet | Why Do We Like It? | Confidence Level |
|---|---|---|
Match Winner: Sinner ML (–245) | He’s the more in-form player, has the recent head-to-head edge, and is ranked No. 1 in the world. | ★★★☆☆ |
Total Games: Over 39.5 (–112 ) | We are expecting 4 or 5 sets; both hold their serve well and don’t give a lot of openings. | ★★★★☆ |
Spread: Sinner –3.5 games (-130) | This hits if he wins in four with at least one clear set separation; it’s definitely riskier, but it’s possible! | ★★☆☆☆ |
Locker Room Watchpoints
- Be on watch for any signs of Sinner adjusting his serve toss or shortening points; his elbow could affect his serve mechanics or backhand extension.
- Djokovic’s early rally tempo and second-serve placement will give away just how much court he’s covering and how aggressive he’s feeling.
- The weather looks good! It’ll be dry, mild, and there are no expected delays.
Sinner vs. Djokovic: Who Will Win?
This one pits the world’s best player right now against the most accomplished grass-court player of the era. Sinner has won their last two meetings (in straight sets at Roland Garros), and hasn’t lost a set at Wimbledon this year. Djokovic does have the established history: seven titles on the grass, years of experience in close Grand Slam matches, and the best survival instincts on the surface.
But Sinner has the advantage this time if he serves well enough to stay away from long second-serve exchanges and takes control early on in rallies with his backhand depth. If he stays aggressive on returns and keeps points short with pace into Djokovic’s forehand corner? He can limit the rallies that usually drag out in Djokovic’s favor. His ability to take time away and hit through the court gives him the edge, and that’s why we think he will win this in four. It’ll be a close four sets, but we think Sinner will do it!
Best Bets Recap
- Sinner ML (★ ★ ★ ☆ ☆)
- Over 39.5 Games (★ ★ ★ ★ ☆)
- Sinner –3.5 Games (★ ★ ☆ ☆ ☆)
Our Final Match Prediction:
- Sinner wins in 4 sets
- Scoreline Prediction: 6-4, 3-6, 7-5, 6-3
We have no doubt that this will be a really competitive match, but Sinner’s upward trajectory and his youth give him a solid advantage.
Taylor Fritz vs. Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Top Picks (July 11, 2025)
And then there were four. The last men standing at Wimbledon are battling it out for a place in the finals.
Two of them are the USA’s Taylor Fritz and Spain’s Carlos Alcaraz, and only one of them will advance to the last round.
If Fritz makes it all the way, it’ll be the first time an American has won this Grand Slam in 16 years (or made it to a final). And if Alcaraz takes it, it’ll be his third in a row at Wimbledon.
We can’t put the cart before the horse, because neither of them is in the finals yet! We are gonna break down the who, what, where, when, betting odds, player profiles, all of the stats, what we think are the three best bets, and a bonus play!
Match Details
- Rankings: Carlos Alcaraz (World No. 2), Taylor Fritz (World No. 5)
- Date & Time: Friday, July 11, at 1:30 pm BST (8:30 am ET)
- Venue: Centre Court, All England Club, Wimbledon, London
- Tournament Stage: Men’s Singles Semifinal
- How to Watch: In the U.S., matches will stream live on ESPN and ESPN+
- What’s at Stake: A spot in the Wimbledon final! Alcaraz is after a third consecutive title, and Fritz is trying to become the first American man to reach the final since 2009
Player Profiles & Main Storylines
How have these two been playing, and what should you be looking out for in this match?

Carlos Alcaraz (Spain)
- Grass record (2025): 9–0
- Main strengths: Shot variety, return positioning, and really quick transitions from defense to offense
- Mental approach: He’s focused, seems comfortable in big tourneys, and shows no signs of panic even when he’s behind
Alcaraz arrives at the semifinal with 23 straight wins overall and 19 consecutive victories at Wimbledon. His serve has looked a lot more precise than in past seasons; there’s been better variation in pace and placement. From the baseline, he mixes sharp angles with short slices and has leaned on his drop shot to get his opponents off balance. Against bigger servers like Fritz, he’s usually trying to extend rallies and attack the second serve.

Taylor Fritz (USA)
- Grass record (2025): 13–1
- Main strengths: His first-strike serve (which peaks around 149 mph), a really powerful forehand from the deuce side, and better net instincts
- Mental approach: He looks confident, measured, and a lot more composed in longer sets than he did earlier in his tennis career
Fritz reaches his first Wimbledon semifinal and becomes the first American man to get this far since Andy Roddick in 2009. He’s been landing first serves around 66% and has totaled the second-most aces of any player in the tournament. His forehand has held up really well under pressure, and he’s finished more points at net than in any of his prior Slam runs.
Betting Odds (Updated July 11)
Look below for the latest betting odds according to DraftKings Sportsbook:
| Player | Moneyline | Spread | Total | 1st Set ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Alcaraz | -500 | -5.5 (+100) | Over 38.5 (-120) | -275 |
Fritz | +380 | +5.5 (-130) | Under 38.5 (-115) | +200 |
Head-to-Head & Recent Form
- Head-to-Head: Alcaraz leads 2–0; Fritz has yet to win a set against him
Wimbledon 2025
- Alcaraz dropped a set in each of his first three matches, but he kept points short and beat Norrie with controlled aggression in the quarterfinal.
- Fritz was pushed in the early rounds but managed to overcome Khachanov in four sets.
- Alcaraz has found his footing as the tournament’s gone on, and Fritz has relied really heavily on his serve and first-strike play to get through close points.
Matchups & Tactical Breakdown
Here’s how Fritz and Alcaraz have played so far, and a tactical view of their games:
Fritz is averaging over 15 aces per match this tournament and lands his first serve around 66% of the time; he wins over 78% of those points. Alcaraz stands far behind the baseline to read the pace but usually steps in on second serves; he’s converted 42% of break points through five rounds. If Fritz misses his spots? Alcaraz will force baseline exchanges off the return.
Alcaraz changes direction off both wings and keeps his backhand deep and flat, and he’ll use that to pin Fritz in the deuce corner and then open the court with his forehand. Fritz’s forehand can dictate when he’s set, but on the run? It breaks down under pressure. Alcaraz will try to drag him wide and finish points with short angles.
Alcaraz has come to the net over 100 times in this tournament and is winning over 70% of those points. He uses the drop shot to draw opponents in and then passes off either wing. Fritz has decent hands at the net, but he doesn’t come forward behind deep balls as naturally. If Alcaraz gets him chasing forward, it breaks up Fritz’s pattern from the baseline.
Fritz has spent more time on court and played more tiebreaks; he’s been good, but not always successful in closing sets. Alcaraz, even when he’s lost a set, has rebounded and played his best tennis in high-pressure moments (11–4 in tiebreaks this season). If this goes past three sets, the physical and mental edge leans toward Alcaraz.
Fritz could hold serve through the first 8–10 games, but Alcaraz applies pressure in return games without overhitting. If Fritz misses more than 35% of first serves in a set, Alcaraz has the shots to break up pace variation and deep returns off the backhand wing, and that’ll be when the match shifts.
Our Best Bets
For the semifinal, we’ve handpicked three smart angles and a bonus value play! Here are our best bets:
#1 Carlos Alcaraz to Win 3–1
- Odds Range: +225 to +250 (varies by book)
- Our Confidence Level: 8/10
Why Do We Like It?
Alcaraz has won 19 straight at Wimbledon and hasn’t lost to Fritz in their two previous matches. He’s dropped a set in three of five matches this tournament, usually needing a set to adapt.
Fritz has held over 88% of service games on grass this season and is averaging nearly 14 aces per match. He should take a set, and it’ll likely be before Alcaraz starts dictating the pace in longer rallies.
#2 Taylor Fritz +5.5 Games (Spread)
- Odds Range: Around -110
- Our Confidence Level: 6.5/10
Why Do We Like It?
Even if our prediction is right and Fritz loses in four, the set scores are going to stay close, and something like 7–5, 4–6, 6–4, 6–4 keeps this inside the number. He’s lost serve only four times through five rounds.
If this goes to a tiebreak or two? Fritz covers even if he loses.
#3 Over 9.5 Games in Set 1
- Odds Range: +105 to +120
- Our Confidence Level: 7/10
Why Do We Like It?
Fritz hasn’t been broken in the first set of any match this tournament. Alcaraz uses early sets to test patterns without forcing it.
Both players are serving really well, and unless one of them misses an early opportunity, this probably ends 6–4 or 7–5.
Bonus Bet: Bet Builder – Fritz 15+ Aces / Alcaraz 5+ Double Faults / Over 3.5 Sets
- Odds Range: +500 to +600 (FanDuel or Bet365 custom builder)
- Our Confidence Level: 5/10 (fun value play)
Why Do We Like It?
Fritz has hit 84 aces across five rounds. Alcaraz has had a few lapses under pressure; he’s had multiple matches with 5+ double faults. Over 3.5 sets is realistic in any scenario where Fritz holds serve and pushes a breaker.
It’s a high-risk combo but well-supported by their tournament stats so far!
Ready to place a wager on this Wimbledon matchup? Check out these betting site recommendations for the best odds and excellent bonus offers.
Will the Streak Continue? Alcaraz Eyes Another Wimbledon Final
Our Final Prediction:
- Carlos Alcaraz defeats Taylor Fritz 3 sets to 1
- Set scores projection: 6–4, 6–7, 6–3, 7–5
Alcaraz has beaten Fritz twice before by attacking second serves, redirecting into the forehand corner, and forcing awkward shot selections from mid-court. His return position cuts time, and his shot placement pulls his opponents out wide without giving them any kind of pace to work with.
Fritz is serving as well as anyone who’s left in the draw; he’s averaging over 13 aces per match and has held above 88% of the time on grass this season. If he hits his spots and keeps rallies short? He can keep it close. But if Alcaraz gets returns down near the baseline and pulls Fritz into longer exchanges, that advantage is lost.
Best Bets Recap
- Alcaraz to win 3–1: (8/10)
- Fritz +5.5 games: (6.5/10)
- Over 9.5 games in Set 1: (7/10)
