Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars Game 5 Prediction (May 29, 2025)
What a game! Tuesday night’s 4-1 win gave the Oilers their third win in a row, and they’re up 3-1 in the Western Conference Final. They’re only one win away from a spot in the Stanley Cup Final.
Corey Perry broke a 1-1 tie with a power-play goal in the second period, and Stuart Skinner stopped 28 shots.
Perry and Leon Draisaitl had one goal each and an assist on the power play; Connor McDavid and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins chipped in with two assists apiece.
That’s three straight losses for Dallas, and one game away from being eliminated. If they can’t turn it around, they’ll become the first team since the NHL’s current format began in 1994 to reach the conference final three years running without making it to the Cup Final.
Edmonton now has a chance to close out the series in Game 5 on Thursday in Dallas and battle it out for the Stanley Cup for the second straight year! Read on to find out who we’re backing and everything else that matters.
Game Details
- Matchup: Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars
- Series Status: EDM leads 3-1
- Date & Time: Thursday, May 29, at 8:00 pm ET
- Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
- Broadcast: ESPN, ESPN+, SN, TVAS, CBC
Prediction Breakdown
51.8%
48.2%
According to GamblingSite.com
Team Performance Overview
The Oilers are pushing toward a Stanley Cup Final berth, and the Stars are on the brink of falling apart. Edmonton has been the more composed squad, has been more opportunistic, and way better with execution. Dallas looks like they’re stuck in the offensive zone.
Edmonton Oilers
Recent Form: Three straight wins with a 13-2 scoring margin in Games 2 through 4. Edmonton has absolutely owned the middle of the ice and kept Dallas from generating anything sustainable.
Key Players
- Leon Draisaitl: Seven goals in the playoffs. He’s been super patient with the puck and keeps converting on the power play.
- Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: Nine points in the series! That’s the most by an Oiler during the first four games of a conference final since the legendary Wayne Gretzky.
Injuries
Zach Hyman left Game 4 after a savage hit to the upper body. His status for Game 5 is uncertain, and he did not return to practice on Wednesday.
Dallas Stars
Recent Form: Two goals across their last three games. Puck movement has looked disconnected, and their best skaters haven’t created much around the net.
Key Players
- Jason Robertson: Finally broke through with goals in back-to-back games; he’s now sitting on two for the postseason.
- Mikko Rantanen: Still leads the team in scoring but hasn’t produced much in this series. Zone entries have stalled, and his shot volume has dropped.
Injuries
- Roope Hintz was back in Game 4 after missing two games. He got decent ice time but didn’t have much of an impact with the puck.
Betting Odds & Trends
What do the odds say about Game 5? Here are the lines and latest trends, courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Oilers | +1.5 (-225) | +110 | Over 5.5 (-102) |
Stars | -1.5 (+185) | -130 | Under 5.5 (-118) |
Trends
- The Oilers are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games.
- Stars are 1-5 SU in their last six road games.
Best Bets
As for where the smartest money is, we think there are three that are your best bets!
- Pick 1: Oilers Moneyline (-135) – Edmonton has won the last three games by a combined score of 13-2. They’ve been cleaner with the puck, stronger on the forecheck, and more consistent across all four lines.
- Pick 2: Under 5.5 Goals (-130) – Dallas has only scored twice since Game 1. With their season being on the line, they’ll probably slow things down and try to limit any open looks. If that holds, the total stays under.
- Prop Bet: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins Over 0.5 Assists – He’s picked up seven assists in the series and is heavily involved in zone entries and puck movement on the man advantage. As long as the Oilers get on the board? He’s in play for a helper.
Our Prediction: Oilers to Close the Curtain in Game 5
Prediction: The Oilers win 3-2 and head to the Stanley Cup Final.
Edmonton has taken total control since Game 2, outscoring Dallas 13-2 and winning battles all over the ice. Their top line is producing, their special teams have been precise, and Skinner is handling the little traffic that comes his way.
Dallas is back on home ice, but they haven’t managed to get a grip on Edmonton’s structure. They’ve only gotten two goals in the last three games and haven’t been able to generate pressure at 5-on-5. Hintz was back for Game 4 but didn’t factor into the offense. Hyman’s status is still unclear, but the Oilers haven’t needed to adjust much in his absence.
- Our Pick: Oilers ML and Under 5.5
- Prop to Watch: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins Over 0.5 Assists
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