New England Revolution vs. Inter Miami CF Prediction & Top Bets (July 9, 2025)
In the Eastern Conference, two MLS teams are going to battle it out on the field. On one side? New England. And on the other? Miami. This one isn’t for all the marbles, but it does have pretty big playoff stakes!
The Revs have been an absolute mess defensively; they haven’t won a game in their last three, have been soft in transition, and are giving up goals left and right. Inter Miami just beat Montréal 4-1, and don’t look like they need Messi to do it all by his lonesome anymore.
New England can’t contain movement in the final third, and Miami overloads that space with Suárez, Gressel, Taylor, and Messi, and you don’t want to go up against those three.
This one doesn’t look like it’ll be a toss-up; New England hasn’t won at home since May and has given up a lot of goals in five of their last six.
Can the Revs stop their losing streak? Or will Miami bulldoze right over them, which means they drop further down in the rankings?
Keep scrolling to find out what the stats have to say about this matchup, game drivers, betting odds, and what we feel are the three best bets!
Match Details
- Matchup: New England Revolution (6-6-7) vs. Inter Miami CF (9-5-3)
- Date & Time: Wednesday, July 9, 7:30 pm ET
- Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
- How to Watch: Available live on MLS Season Pass via Apple TV (U.S. and international), with local radio coverage on 98.5 The Sports Hub (WBZ-FM) in the Boston area and 790 AM The Ticket (WAXY) in Miami.
Current Form & Context
New England hasn’t defended their home field in more than a month, and Miami keeps scoring and going up in the rankings. Here’s how they match up:
New England Revolution
- Home results: Winless in their last 4 at Gillette, and it’s their longest stretch without a home win this season
- Defensive trend: Conceded 3 goals in each of their last two home matches; 23 allowed overall
- Recent form: 1 point from last 4 league games after a good May run
Inter Miami CF
- Goal tally: Scored 15 in their last 4 league matches; they are are the top of the East with 40 total
- Record: 4 in a row MLS matches without a loss; just 1 defeat in the last 6
- Head-to-head: Won last two vs. New England by a combined score of 10–3 (6–2 and 4–1)
Game Drivers & Team News
Miami is coming off a 4–1 win with a full club available to play. New England could be shorthanded in multiple spots, and one of those is attack.
Key Players
- New England: Campana is on the other side of his former team, only days after the deal was sealed; Gil is at the head of chance creation, and Chancalay’s availability is still in question.
- Inter Miami: Messi (12 goals) and Suárez (10 assists) continue to be in sync; Allende has had a part in scoring chances in three straight matches.
Injuries / Questionables
- New England: Feingold (ankle), Chancalay (groin), Ganago (quad), and Bono (neck) are all listed as doubtful or unavailable
- Inter Miami: No injuries have been reported; all players are expected to field their regular starting attack on Wednesday.
Betting Odds
If you’re betting on this game, here are the current odds and lines posted on BetMGM Sportsbook:
Moneyline (3-way)
- New England +185
- Draw +270
- Inter Miami +120
Both Teams to Score
- Yes -210
- No +150
Over/Under
- Over 3.5 (+125)
- Under 3.5 (-175)
Our Best Bets
Inter Miami to Win (Moneyline)
Our Confidence Level: High
Why Do We Like It?
Miami targets defensive lines that lose shape under pressure. New England has had huge problems tracking inside runs; Suárez and Messi drag defenders out of position, and Allende seems to always find space right behind the midfield line. New England’s midfield has lacked ball pressure, giving playmakers too much time to work. Against a front three that lives and breathes on quick combinations and positional rotations? That’s an obvious mismatch.
Over 3.5 Total Goals
Our Confidence Level: Medium–High
Why Do We Like It?
Inter Miami creates high shot volume inside the box and follows up really well on deflections and second attempts. Their last four matches have averaged over 4 xG combined between both sides. New England’s defending in transition has been poor; fullbacks caught high, midfield cover slow to recover, and that leaves them exposed when play turns. If Miami scores first, New England’s tendency to overcommit forward creates way more open looks both ways.
Both Teams to Score (BTTS – Yes)
Our Confidence Level: Medium
Why Do We Like It?
Miami usually shifts into a more open shape after taking the lead, particularly when their fullbacks get into midfield. That gives their opponents some space to attack wide and create cutbacks or forced corners. Carles Gil is still New England’s most active playmaker in zone 14, and Campana adds a more direct option up top. If New England breaks through, it probably comes from a central overload or a second-phase ball after a set piece.
Final Take: Who Wins and Why It Pays
Inter Miami has one of the league’s most productive attacks and doesn’t have any injuries reported. New England? They haven’t won at home in over a month and will be without multiple starters again.
Structurally, Miami’s movement in the final third should stretch New England in the same areas that have broken down repeatedly when fullbacks are pulled wide and midfield cover doesn’t rotate.
Best Bets Recap
- Inter Miami ML — ★★★★☆
- Over 3.5 Total Goals — ★★★★☆
- Both Teams to Score (Yes) — ★★★☆☆
New England can’t defend the final third right now, and Miami is made to press that weakness. Even if Campana starts and Gil finds pockets? It’s not gonna shift the match unless Miami collapses defensively, and they haven’t done that yet against a mid-tier opposition. If Miami takes control in the first half, New England won’t be able to keep up.
Play Miami to win. Over 3.5 and BTTS are both in range if you’re betting the full score profile. New England won’t stop much (they haven’t so far), but they’ll press for something, and with Gil on the ball and Campana stretching the line? They’re good for at least one. Maybe even two!
Final Score Prediction: Inter Miami CF 3 – 2 New England Revolution
Miami stays on the front foot and breaks New England’s shape repeatedly. The Revs do clap back, but can’t manage the space behind their midfield.
