New England Revolution vs. FC Cincinnati Prediction (June 14, 2025)
Cincinnati heads to Gillette Stadium with the best road record in MLS: five wins in their last six away matches and only four goals allowed in that span. They’ve been really well-organized without the ball and clinical when chances open up.
Their opponents? New England is at the bottom of the Eastern Conference and hasn’t scored more than once in a match since the middle of May.
Carles Gil has been off rhythm, and the front line has been misfiring, so New England’s been relying on set pieces and low-percentage shots. And Cincinnati’s defensive structure doesn’t leave very much room for those tactics to amount to anything.
The Revolution has picked up points in four of their last five home matches against Cincinnati, so if they manage to slow down the flanks and keep Cincinnati from stretching the field, they at least have a shot at keeping it close!
Keep scrolling for all the info on this soccer match, betting odds, and what we think are the best bets for New England Revolution vs. FC Cincinnati.
Match Essentials
- Fixture: New England Revolution (Home) vs. FC Cincinnati (Away)
- Date & Time: Saturday, June 14, at 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
- Competition: MLS regular season
- Weather: Possible showers, high ~67°F, low ~52°F
- Broadcast: MLS Season Pass on Apple TV + radio details
Recent Form & Head‑to‑Head
Here’s a read on how both teams are trending going into Saturday’s game and what their recent matchups tell us!
- New England Revolution: 2 wins in last 6; scored 8, conceded 11 during that stretch
- FC Cincinnati: Unbeaten in last 5 overall; 2–0–1 record at home this season
- Head-to-Head: New England leads all-time series 6–3–3
- Recent Matchups: Cincinnati has earned points in 3 of their last 4 visits to Gillette Stadium
- Trend to Watch: Both teams have scored in 7 of the last 9 meetings
Team News & Tactics
One of these teams is still trying to patch up holes, and the other knows how it wants to play. Below is how New England and Cincinnati are lining up tactically.
New England Revolution
- Manager Caleb Porter is still trying to rebuild the team’s structure after last season’s slide
- Carles Gil remains the central playmaker, but the support around him has been really inconsistent
- Recent shifts to a 4-2-3-1 are trying to give Gil more space, but defensive gaps have opened up
FC Cincinnati
- Pat Noonan’s squad is disciplined in transition and compact off the ball
- Winger Kevin Kelsy and striker Denkey have carried the goal threat early this season
- Midfield link Evander is pushing the tempo; he has a great eye for through balls and second runs
Tactical Match‑up
- Midfield control: Gil and Yueill will try to slow things down and control the ball, but Cincinnati’s pairing of Evander and Orellano is super aggressive; they move the ball forward fast and aren’t afraid to take risks through the middle.
- Defensive impact: Ivačič has kept New England in games with smart positioning and good reads. On the other side, Miles Robinson has been stepping into passing lanes and cutting off wide service before it turns into problems.
Betting Outlook
Hey, soccer fans! If you’re betting on this one, here are the latest odds and lines courtesy of FanDuel:
- Moneyline: Revolution –122, Cincinnati +102
- Total Goals: Around 3 (Over/Under ~2.5–3.0)
Stat‑Driven Angles
- New England’s lack of finishing: Only 18.3 expected goals this season, which is the worst in MLS
- Defensive clean sheets: Six shutouts in 13 games, meaning that they’ve prevented goals 46.7% of the time
Our Best Bets
We are looking at three pretty good angles in terms of best bets:
| Bet/Odds | Pick | Confidence | Why We Like It |
|---|---|---|---|
FC Cincinnati +102 | ✅ Cincinnati to win | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Cincinnati’s road form is elite—they’ve claimed five wins from their last six away, while New England has managed just two victories across their last six. Stats (5W, 1D, 4 goals allowed) |
Under ~3 Goals (~2.5–3 O/U) | ✅ Under | ⭐⭐⭐ | New England is last in expected goals (18.3 xG) and typically defends in low-scoring setups, plus six shutouts in 13 games (46.7%). Cincinnati’s away play tends to be tight, too. |
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) -161 | ✅ Yes | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | 83% of their recent meetings have BTTS; when these sides meet, goals come from both ends |
X‑Factor Players
Watch this space; Gil drives the attack, and Robinson shuts it down. How they play will affect how the match goes!
Carles Gil (New England Revolution)
- Gil leads the team with 2.5 chances created per game, ranking first in MLS for this metric.
- His season stat line: 6 goals and 4 assists in 15 matches; good for 0.53 goal contributions per 90 and top‑25 % in npxG‑per‑90 league‑wide.
- In May’s second half, he hit a new personal best with 11 chances created, showing his ability to produce when the pressure’s on.
Miles Robinson (FC Cincinnati)
- Robinson has 33 MLS appearances for Cincinnati since joining last season, and he’s been pivotal in defensive and aerial battles.
- His USMNT record includes 15 (or 27 according to some reports) senior caps and scoring the winning goal in the 2021 Gold Cup final.
- He ranks second in MLS in duel success rate (≈67 %) with Atlanta before joining FC Cincinnati; Robinson is a rock in the back line who’s capable of turning defense into attack.
Revolution vs. FC Cincinnati: Our Prediction
Final Score Prediction: FC Cincinnati 2 – 1 New England Revolution
The Revolution can’t seem to find a groove even on their home pitch, and they’re not creating enough to stay competitive. Cincinnati doesn’t overextend; they pick their spots, move the ball well, and finish off with control. If this one slows down in the second half, Cincinnati’s midfield should take over.
Rain is expected, so the ball will move faster on the ground, and footing could be trickier. That favors the side with better spacing and fewer mistakes in transition, and that’s Cincinnati.
- Best value bet: FC Cincinnati ML
- Highest confidence pick: Both Teams to Score
If this is a game you’re looking to place a wager on, be sure to check out our recommended soccer betting apps for an easy and convenient way to get your bets in.
