Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky Prediction & Betting Picks (July 14, 2025)
Will the third time be a charm for the Minnesota Lynx or the Chicago Sky? Monday night marks the third game between the WNBA teams in 9 days, and it’s all tied up at 1-1.
The Lynx won the July 6 game 80–75, and the Sky pulled off an 87–81 win on July 12, which was fronted by Atkins’ 27 points and double-doubles from Reese and Cardoso. Now they play again at Chicago’s Wintrust Arena.
Chicago’s frontcourt gave a solid performance in the last one, and Minnesota’s main scorers couldn’t get going in that last one. The Lynx will try to reassert control, and the Sky wants to hit that same note with their size advantage.
Keep reading to find out what you need to know about the third game in what feels like a postseason series (it isn’t, but the back-to-back games make it seem that way). We’ve got the latest betting odds, a season overview, main matchups, and five picks for the best bets!
Game Details
- Matchup: Minnesota Lynx: 18–4 (West) vs. Chicago Sky: 7–13 (East)
- Date & Time: Monday, July 14; Tip-off at 8:00 pm ET / 7:00 pm CT
- Venue: Wintrust Arena, Chicago, IL; Doors open at 6:00 pm local time for those going to the game
- How to Watch: National broadcast on ABC & streaming via ESPN+ and Fubo
- Series to Date (2025 Regular Season): The series is tied 1–1 going into this game; the Lynx won 80–75 on July 6; the Sky won 87–81 on July 12
Latest Betting Odds
If you’re betting on this game, here are the latest odds and lines via FanDuel:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Lynx | -10.5 (-114) | -590 | Over 161.5 (-110) |
Sky | +10.5 (-106) | +410 | Under 161.5 (-110) |
Season Overview
How have the Lynx and the Sky been playing this season? Look below for their records:
Minnesota Lynx (18–4, 13–2 West)
- Road record: 7–4
- Minnesota Lynx: 18–4 overall, 13–2 in the West
- Road record: 7–4
- Shooting 45.9% from the field (2nd in WNBA)
- Averaging 25.4 defensive rebounds per game
Chicago Sky (7–13, 1–8 East)
- Home: 4–4; strong in close games
- Shooting 42.7% from the field, Minnesota holds its opponents to 41.2%
- They are at their most competitive in close finishes on home court, despite their record
Main Matchups
Here is who we’ll be watching during this game:
Napheesa Collier vs. Sky Defense
Collier scored 26 in the last game; she worked off high screens, duck-ins, and second-side movement. Chicago rotated help but just couldn’t close the gaps in time, leaving her room to operate inside and at the elbow. Expect Minnesota to keep her really active in those same spots and force Chicago’s defense into rushed decisions.
Angel Reese & Kamilla Cardoso Paint Prowess
Reese and Cardoso combined for 15 offensive boards and were the difference-makers on the glass in the fourth quarter. Cardoso sealed early in the possession to get high-percentage looks, and Reese crashed from the weak side and extended possessions.
The Lynx need stronger rotations from their forwards to slow down those second-chance scores.
Backcourt Battle: Williams & Atkins
Courtney Williams has become Minnesota’s head ball-handler in half-court sets and transition; she uses quick changes of pace to create space for midrange looks.
Ariel Atkins, who dropped 27 in the last game, found most of her shots curling off screens and attacking the soft spots in Minnesota’s coverage. The team that wins this one will likely control perimeter scoring.
Tactical Insights & Trends
- Game planning: After facing each other twice in a little over a week, these teams are familiar with each other’s games. Expect to see more switching on screens, less defensive breakdowns, and quicker adjustments to any mismatches.
- Chicago’s frontcourt: In Saturday’s win, Reese and Cardoso combined for almost half of the Sky’s rebounds, and 15 were on the offensive end. If Minnesota doesn’t put bodies on them early in the shot clock? It forces extra defensive possessions that wear down the back line.
- Defense: Minnesota runs through Collier and thrives when she draws contact on the inside. Chicago relies more on short jumpers and put-backs. This probably comes down to which team controls the paint, and not just at the rim, but on the boards and around the elbows.
Our Best Bets
For this bball matchup, we’ve zeroed in on three solid angles, a prop, and a parlay! Here are our picks for your best bets:
1. Bet: Lynx –10.5 (-115)
Our Confidence Level: ★★★★☆ (4/5)
Why Do We Like It?
- Minnesota is 6–0 after losses this season and has cleared this spread in five of those games.
- Their road wins average a +9 scoring margin, and their defense holds up away from home.
- Chicago’s interior advantage from Saturday came from second chances, not from clean looks. Minnesota’s rotations will tighten up.
- The gap in execution between the teams is big. If Minnesota avoids foul trouble? This line is light.
2. Bet: Over 161.5 Total Points (–110)
Our Confidence Level: ★★★☆☆ (3/5)
Why Do We Like It?
- Totals from the first two matchups this month were 161 and 168.
- When Minnesota loses a game, the next outing usually has much more pace and shot volume from their wings.
- Chicago has gone Over in 7 of 9 at home, with defensive lapses causing big stretches of scoring on both sides.
- If this one stays competitive past halftime, it gets into the 160s, and there’ll be room to spare.
3. Prop Bet: Napheesa Collier Over 23.5 Points
Our Confidence Level: ★★★★☆ (4/5)
Why Do We Like It?
- Collier had 26 against the Sky on Saturday, scoring from the midpost, in transition, and off slips into the paint.
- Chicago’s help defense doesn’t recover quickly when the ball moves through her.
- Minnesota isn’t spreading out their shots evenly right now; this game runs through her unless it’s a blowout by the third.
4. Prop Bet: Angel Reese Over 10.5 Rebounds
Our Confidence Level: ★★★☆☆ (3/5)
Why Do We Like It?
- Reese has cleared this number in eight games in a row, with 11 against Minnesota two days ago.
- Her best rebound chances come off long misses, and Minnesota takes a lot of shots from 15 feet and out.
- As long as she doesn’t have early fouls, she’ll get the minutes and matchup to repeat that number.
Same‑Game Parlay Idea
- Lynx –10.5
- Over 161.5
- Collier Over 23.5 Points
Upside: All three legs of this depend on Minnesota dictating the game, and if the spread hits and the total clears, Collier almost always leads scoring. You’re backing her volume and the Lynx’s ability to keep the floor spaced.
Downside: If the Sky frontcourt slows the game down or Collier sits with two fouls in the first, the scoring distribution will be disrupted. But the lines support this narrative, and the odds will reward it!
Will Minnesota Dominate or Will Chicago Keep It Close?
Chicago got their win, and now Minnesota gets the adjustment. The Lynx have the better offense, a complete roster, and the player with the highest usage rate, so it’s all sitting on one side, and the line still leaves room to hit!
Final Score Prediction: Minnesota Lynx 89 – Chicago Sky 74
We’re playing the cover, having faith in the pace, and backing the big scorers.
Best Bets Recap
- Lynx –10.5 (–115): ★★★★☆
- Over 161.5 Total Points (–110): ★★★☆☆
- Napheesa Collier Over 23.5 Points: ★★★★☆
- Angel Reese Over 10.5 Rebounds: ★★★☆☆
- Same‑Game Parlay: Lynx –10.5 + Over 161.5 + Collier Over 23.5: CAUTION; High variance, but chance of a high payout
