Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees Preview & Prediction (July 8, 2025)

Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees

Seattle is heading to the Bronx, and they are chasing a division lead. The Yankees? Well, they’re trying to keep their mitts above water in a packed AL East race.

New York took two of three when these teams met in May, but the Mariners’ offense has been on point; they’ve been scoring and have played really well on the road! They’ll need to bring that same energy to this series.

Logan Gilbert gets the start for Seattle, and he’s gone six innings or more in six of his last seven, giving up no more than three earned during that stretch. The Yankees are sending out Will Warren, who’s been inconsistent and has had some command issues in recent outings, like the five walks against Toronto.

Who’s gonna take this one? Keep scrolling for the game details, starting pitcher info, betting odds, team form and stats, and our three best bets and a bonus prop!

Game Details

  • Matchup: Seattle Mariners (48–42) at New York Yankees (49–41)
  • Date & Time: Tuesday, July 8, 7:05 pm ET
  • Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
  • How to Watch: YES Network (available in NY, NJ, CT, and parts of NE Pennsylvania)
  • Forecast at First Pitch: Around 80°F, cloudy skies, with earlier thunderstorms expected to clear up before game time

Starting Pitchers Duel

Logan Gilbert has worked late into games and kept his opponents at bay. Will Warren has been more erratic; his recent outings have been marked by high pitch counts and missed spots. Below is how these two starters compare side-by-side:

StarterRecordERANotables

Logan Gilbert (SEA)

2-2

3.40

Won back-to-back starts vs. Kansas City and Texas; had 7 strikeouts vs. NYY in May

Will Warren (NYY)

5-4

~5.00

Walk rate remains high; allowed 6 hits and 3 walks vs. Baltimore; curveball has generated swings and misses

Betting Odds

Below are the latest betting odds and lines courtesy of FanDuel:

TeamRun LineMoneylineTotal Runs

Mariners

+1.5 (-200)

+104

Over 9.0 (-105)

Yankees

-1.5 (+164)

-122

Under 9.0 (-115)

Team Form & Main Storylines

  • Mariners: Seattle has won three in a row and seven of its last 10. Cal Raleigh leads MLB in home runs and already has two at Yankee Stadium this year.
  • Yankees: Aaron Judge is sitting above a 1.100 OPS and continues to drive most of the lineup’s output. Projections give New York around a 61% win probability at home.
  • Pressure Point: Can Seattle’s offense keep up, or will the Yankees outpace them with their top-end power?

Our Best Bets for Mariners vs. Yankees

Who and what are we backing in this matchup? Look below for our picks for the three best bets and a decent prop angle!

1. Mariners Moneyline (+115)

Our Confidence Level: Medium

Why Do We Like It?

  • Logan Gilbert has a 3.40 ERA and a WHIP below 1.00. He’s pitched at least six innings in five of his last six road starts.
  • Cal Raleigh and Julio Rodríguez have been driving run production; Seattle has scored 5+ in three straight.
  • With a 5.02 ERA and some control problems, Warren is in a really vulnerable spot against a lineup that’s been hitting barrels all week.

2. Over 8.5 Total Runs (-110)

Our Confidence Level: Medium-High

Why Do We Like It?

  • Seattle has scored five or more in six of its last 10 games.
  • Warren allows contact in the zone and walks too many hitters. Gilbert has given up multiple home runs in two of his last four starts.
  • Judge and Bellinger still give New York power from both sides. Both bullpens are near league average in ERA.

3. Cal Raleigh Anytime Home Run (+350 to +400 range)

Our Confidence Level: Medium-Low

Why Do We Like It?

  • Raleigh is close to the top of the league in home runs and has had a ton of success against right-handers who work up in the zone, and guess who fits that profile? Warren. 
  • He hit a home run against the Yankees earlier this season and has homered more than once at Yankee Stadium in past series.

Prop Angle (Bonus): Logan Gilbert Over 6.5 Strikeouts

  • Gilbert has 23 strikeouts in his last three outings.
  • The Yankees rank top 10 in strikeout rate against right-handed pitchers.
  • If this opens near +100? It’s a really good price!

Wrap-Up & Our Final Score Call

Final Score Prediction: Mariners 6 – Yankees 4

Seattle has the better starting pitcher option in Logan Gilbert, and the Yankees haven’t been producing at the plate in the past week. 

New York still has a ton of power in the lineup, but they’ve been all over the place. With Gilbert’s track record and the Mariners generating more scoring chances? This one favors the underdog!

Best Bets Recap

  • Mariners ML (+115) — Confidence: Medium
  • Over 8.5 Total Runs (–110) — Confidence: Medium-High
  • Cal Raleigh Anytime HR (+350 to +400) — Confidence: Medium-Low
  • Bonus: Logan Gilbert Over 6.5 Strikeouts — Confidence: Low to Medium (if it’s priced at +100 or better)

Don’t forget to compare odds across sportsbooks and lock in your bets early; lines can change closer to first pitch! And, as always, gamble responsibly.

Alyssa Waller Avatar
Alyssa Waller

Alyssa contributes sportsbook/online casino reviews, but she also stays on top of any industry news, precisely that of the sports betting market. She’s been an avid sports bettor for many years and has experienced success in growing her bankroll by striking when the iron was hot. In particular, she loves betting on football and basketball at the professional and college levels.