Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever Preview & Prediction (September 9, 2025)
There isn’t a ton at stake for the Lynx vs. the Fever game on Tuesday night. When we say that, we mean that both teams are already headed to the playoffs. Yes, seeding is on the line, but both teams already have their spots in the postseason.
It’s the last game of the regular WNBA season for Minnesota and Indiana, and they’ll battle this one out at 7:30 pm ET at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis.
Indiana heads into the regular-season finale still depleted in the backcourt, and that’s been a major issue whenever they’ve played Minnesota. The Lynx have won three of the last four meetings, and that includes a 13-point win the last time they played. Like we said, both squads are already playoff-bound, and seeding is still in play, so how this one looks could be a preview of how they’ll fare if they meet again in the playoffs!
Keep reading for a breakdown of the main storylines, game context, current betting odds, angles, trends, and our picks for the three best bets and why!
Quick Game Snapshot
Look below for all of the game details:
- Matchup: Minnesota Lynx (33-9) vs. Indiana Fever (23-20)
- Date & Time: Tuesday, September 9, at 7:30 pm ET
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
- TV / Streaming: ESPN (live broadcast); Available on WNBA app for streaming, but is subject to regional restrictions.
- Radio: Indiana locals can listen to it on 93.5 / 107.5 The Fan
- League Pass: Accessible outside the ESPN broadcast area via WNBA League Pass
Main Storylines & Game Context
Minnesota has the luxury of treating this game as a playoff warm-up because it’s already the top seed, but Indiana still has to learn how to better function without a real backcourt.
Minnesota Lynx
- The Lynx have clinched the No. 1 seed, which guarantees home-court advantage through the playoffs. Minnesota’s starters will keep logging minutes to stay on top of their game.
- Natisha Hiedeman just scored 24 points in the win over Golden State; she hit six threes and is running the offense like a well-oiled machine.
- Minnesota’s bench only adds to the squad’s advantage; Kayla McBride and Dorka Juhász have both given solid and consistent production, and the Lynx is at the top of the league in defensive rating.
Indiana Fever
- The Fever are in the playoffs, but could move a spot or two depending on other results around the league.
- Injury report: Caitlin Clark (season-ending), Sydney Colson (ACL), Sophie Cunningham (MCL), Aari McDonald (fracture), and Chloe Bibby are all out.
- That leaves Aliyah Boston and NaLyssa Smith with the lion’s share of the scoring and rebounding burden. Boston is averaging close to 18 points and 10 boards over her last five, and Smith has chipped in double-doubles in three of her last six games.
Recent Form
- The Lynx: 7–3 in their last 10 games, are currently on a three-game winning streak, and are holding opponents to 72 points per game during that run.
- The Fever: 5–5 in their last 10, with wins mostly against lower seeds; their last two losses were by double digits against Connecticut and Minnesota.
Live Betting Odds
Don’t feel like checking the odds? We’ve got ‘em for you! Here’s what’s posted on ESPN BET:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Lynx | -2.5 (-110) | -140 | Over 162.5 (-110) |
Fever | +2.5 (-110) | +120 | Under 162.5 (-110) |
Smart Money Angles & Public Trends
The early moves on the spread and total give us a pretty good read on where both the public and sharps are putting their money for this matchup.
- Most of the public tickets are landing on the Lynx against the spread, which is backed by that double-digit victory in their last meetup.
- Early sharp money has shown up on the Over; bettors are expecting Aliyah Boston and NaLyssa Smith to do enough inside to push the scoring higher.
- Props on Boston are drawing some interest; her usage without a healthy backcourt is spiking, and bettors are looking at her point and rebound overs.
Our Best Bets
Ok, so we’ve broken it down, and these are the three spots that are worth putting some money on!
Best Bet 1: Over 162.5 (-110)
Our Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐
Why Do We Like It?
Minnesota and Indiana both play faster than the league average, and they’re each in the top half of the WNBA in offensive rating. The Lynx have cleared the total in 4 of their last 5, which has been fueled by three-point shooting and good bench scoring. Indiana’s defensive rotations on the perimeter have broken down without their guard depth, and that gives Minnesota’s shooters the space to work. That combo creates a high likelihood of this game finishing above the posted number!
Best Bet 2: Aliyah Boston Over 14.5 Points
Our Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Why Do We Like It?
Because Clark and multiple guards are sidelined, Boston is the focal point of Indiana’s offense. At Gainbridge Fieldhouse, she’s averaging 16.7 points this season, and she’s had a lot of success establishing position early against playoff-caliber frontcourts. Minnesota is on the second leg of a back-to-back, and its interior defense usually wears down late in games. Boston’s usage is high enough here that she should see well over a dozen shot attempts, and that makes this line easily reachable.
Best Bet 3: Lynx -2.5 (-110)
Our Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐
Why Do We Like It?
Minnesota has won three of the last four against Indiana, and that includes the 13-point victory two weeks ago when the Fever had more pieces available than they do now. The Lynx come in with the league’s best defensive rating and have been winning by double digits frequently down the stretch. Indiana relies almost entirely on Boston and Smith for production, and when those two are contained or forced into heavy minutes? The offense has a hard time keeping up. And that makes Minnesota the stronger side to cover again.
With the Lynx aiming to close strong and the Fever battling for playoff positioning, odds can shift quickly. Check the latest betting lines and lock in the best value using our top-rated sports betting sites.
Why These Picks Work
Why do our picks work? Because the betting angles on this one all line up with recent form and season-long trends between the Lynx and the Fever!
- Motivation: The Lynx may have the top seed locked and loaded, but they haven’t scaled back minutes. In their last three wins, they’ve covered this spread, showing that they’re still playing with playoff-level intensity.
- Injury Impact: With Indiana missing multiple guards, the offense runs right through Boston. Her touches per game have climbed, and she’s consistently hitting her season averages when she gets early post position.
- Matchup History: Four of Minnesota’s last five have cleared the number because they continue to push the pace no matter what the score is. Indiana’s defense really struggles to close out on shooters, and that just adds to the scoring potential.
- Stat Edge: The Fever rank close to the bottom of the league in turnover percentage without their backcourt. And those giveaways? They all give Minnesota extra possessions, which helps their cover chances.
Will Minnesota Best Indiana?
Final Score Prediction: Minnesota Lynx 89, Indiana Fever 76
Who do we get for this one? We are Minnesota all the way, baby! Even though the Lynx already are the No. 1 seed, their depth and defensive profile still put them ahead in this matchup. Indiana’s backcourt absences mean they have to rely totally on Boston and Smith in the halfcourt, which makes their offense super easy to read.
Boston should get her points inside, but the Lynx have more scoring options and a stronger bench, and that should let them stretch the margin over four quarters. The pace suggests this could end up with a higher total, even if both teams rotate late in the game.
Best Bets Recap
- Over 162.5: ⭐⭐⭐
- Aliyah Boston Over 14.5 Points: ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Lynx –2.5: ⭐⭐⭐
