LAFC vs FC Dallas Prediction & Top Bets (July 12, 2025)
FC Dallas will be looking to grab a win and turn around a losing streak in its last three matches. However, the odds are stacked against the team as it will be heading to the heart of L.A. to face the Los Angeles FC.
The home side, LAFC, is 6th on the table going into this game and is the clear favorite to win the clash. FC Dallas, on the other hand, will be under considerable pressure going into this game, as it has never won on the road against LAFC. Its poor run leading up to the game is also not encouraging either.
But could FC Dallas pick up on any weaknesses to exploit in the coming match day? Read on as we explore both teams’ strengths and weaknesses, make our predictions, and recommend our top bets.
Match Overview
- Matchup: LAFC vs. FC Dallas
- Date & Time: Saturday, July 12, 2025
- Kick-off Time: 7:30 PM PT / 10:30 PM ET
- Venue: BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
- How To Watch: Apple TV’s MLS Season Pass (U.S.)
Recent Form: Key Strengths and Weaknesses
LAFC
When it comes to form, especially on home grass, LAFC takes the win in this category. The team has only lost one match in its last 7 games at home and drawn another.
LAFC’s last game was with Colorado, where it comfortably picked up three points with a three-goal thriller. Even better, it did so without conceding a goal.
Considering Colorado’s higher standing than FC Dallas, LAFC has the advantage going into the game. You should also note that the team has scored 33 goals and has a goal difference of 9 goals compared to FC Dallas, which has more goals against it than for it.
The high number of goals from LAFC also shows a robust offense, one that’ll likely take a toll on FC Dallas as the team tries to contain it.
FC Dallas
The team’s league form has been underwhelming, as it has only secured 5 wins out of 20 games played. That is 3 games short of LAFC’s 8 wins in the league.
When it comes to lost games, FC Dallas also has a weaker performance compared to LAFC. The team has lost 9 games, 4 more than LAFC has lost.
FC Dallas’s defense is not its strongest suit this season, as it has conceded 37 goals, much more than it has scored against other teams. With such statistics, it is expected that the defense will struggle against LAFC’s offense, which has been stellar in the Western Conference. LAFC has one of the lowest scores when it comes to goals conceded in the league.
Key Players to Disrupt the Match
Denis Bouanga remains the top threat from LAFC. The winger/forward has scored 9 league goals going into this game and is the highest MLS scorer for LAFC.
Other notable players likely to keep FC Dallas on their toes are midfielders Delgado, Yeboah, and Igor Jesus. All three will be going up against a less powerful midfield from FC Dallas.
As for FC Dallas, Petar Musa remains their top threat going into the game. The forward has 4 goals in the MLS this season and 7 goals across all competitions.
Tactical Matchup
LAFC will likely control the possession in this game. And you can expect early pressure from LAFC, as it will likely push to open the scoring for the match.
Given FC Dallas’s weak backline, LAFC’s high press and quick transitions might find the net much quicker than anticipated.
As a push to make up for its weak backline, FC Dallas will likely be more counter-focused. But whether it will find the net against LAFC is still unlikely.
Betting Odds & Lines
FC Dallas has never won at LAFC, and the current trends from its recent performances show no signs of an upset. Betting odds to look out for, courtesy of BetRivers, are as follows:
Moneyline (3-way)
- LAFC -245
- Draw +380
- FC Dallas +650
Both Teams to Score
- Yes -175
- No +125
Over/Under
- Over 3.5 (+120)
- Under 3.5 (-148)
Our Best Bets
From our detailed analysis of both teams’ form and history, these are our best bets:
#1 LAFC Moneyline (-250)
Confidence Level: High
Why We Like It
- LAFC Record: LAFC has gone unbeaten in all its home games against FC Dallas. Even better, the team has won 4 of its last 5 home games.
- FC Dallas Record: Dallas has struggled on the road all season. It only has one away win in its last 10 matches.
- Form: LAFC clearly shows the stronger form, as it comes off a clean-sheet win with an upward trend in its Western Conference standings.
#2 Under 3.5 Total Goals (-156)
Confidence Level: Medium to High
Why We Like It
- Firepower: LAFC has shown clear firepower, considering its 33-goal run going into the match. Dallas, on the other hand, typically stays conservative when on the road.
- Formation: LAFC might control the match, but you can expect a deep defense from FC Dallas.
#3 Dennis Bouanga Anytime Goal Scorer (+125 to +150 range)
Confidence Level: Medium
Why We Like It
- Dallas defense: Records show a weak defense, as the team has conceded 37 goals this season. The record is also one of the worst in the conference.
- Goal record: Dennis Bouanga currently leads LAFC with the most goals in the league. He also thrives in home matchups.
- Form check: Dennis is the primary penalty taker. He has also scored in 2 of his last 3 games for the club.
Our Final Take and Score Prediction
Final Score Prediction: LAFC 2 – FC Dallas 1
LAFC has shown dominance at home this season. On the other hand, FC Dallas has racked up a poor record when it comes to away games. While it has conceded 37 goals, LAFC has scored 33 goals in the season.
The moneyline bet is our best, as it places LAFC in the winning position. It is also the most likely, given LAFC’s dominance and impressive record going into the game. As for the total goals, a bet of under 3.5 goals is the most value-based bet. We expect FC Dallas to sit deep in its defense in the game.
Dennis Bouanga will likely make a strong impact in the game, given his strong goal record both home and away. With that said, our final predictions are that LAFC will control possession in the game and keep a clean sheet. On the offense, Bouanga will likely score and create an assist as well.
