Knicks vs. Pacers – Game 4 Preview & Prediction (May 27, 2025)
Down 2–0 and trailing by 20 points in Game 3, the Knicks looked like they were calling it a night. But then came Karl-Anthony Towns! He took over in the fourth quarter, scoring 20 of his total 24 points, and that clocked it for New York for a 106–100 win, and it cut the series deficit to 2–1.
Jalen Brunson, despite some foul trouble, contributed 23 points and hit free throws in the final seconds. The Knicks’ bench made some moves, too—Miles McBride showed his prowess in the fourth.
The Pacers, who won the first two games in New York, had a really bad night of shooting in Game 3, going only 5-for-25 from beyond the arc. Tyrese Haliburton got Indiana 20 points, but acknowledged the team’s lack of pace in the final quarter.
Game 4 is on for Tuesday night at 8:00 pm ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. The Pacers want to regain their footing at home, and the Knicks want to keep their Game 3 energy and tie up the series!
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: New York Knicks (51–31) vs. Indiana Pacers (50–32)
- Series Status: IND lead 2-1
- Date & Time: Tuesday, May 27, at 8:00 pm ET
- Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
- Broadcast: TNT, truTV, and MAX
What’s at Stake
What’s at stake? A lot! Look below for what’s on the line in Game 4:
- Knicks: Trying to tie the series at 2–2 before going back to MSG. A win keeps the pressure on Indiana and resets the series after a rocky start.
- Pacers: A chance to go up 3–1 with another win at home. That would put them one step closer to the Eastern Conference Finals and give them two chances to close it out.
Betting Odds & Lines
Want to put some cash on Game 4? Here are the latest odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook:
- Spread: Pacers -2.5
- Total Points (O/U): 221.5
- Moneyline: Pacers -135, Knicks +121
Key Stats & Trends
Look below for the important stats and trends to know before the ball goes up!
Knicks
- 7–1 against the spread in their last 8 road games.
- They’ve won 6 of their last 8 when they were listed as the underdogs.
Pacers
- Won 8 of their last 10 overall.
- 16–4 at home across their last 20 games in Indianapolis.
Matchup Breakdown
Who are we watching? Here are the main matchups you should keep in mind!
Knicks
- Jalen Brunson is still the heart and the engine of NY. He’s averaging over 35 points in this series and continues to shoulder the scoring load in the heaviest minutes.
- Mitchell Robinson moved into the starting five in Game 3 and instantly made a difference; he protected the rim and gave New York a presence on the boards that they’d been previously missing.
Pacers
- Tyrese Haliburton is driving the pace; he’s averaging over 9 assists per game. When he’s pushing in transition? Indiana’s offense is poetic.
- Pascal Siakam has been steady in knocking down midrange shots, finishing in traffic, and guarding multiple positions without needing touches called for him.
Best Bets
And here is what we think are the best bets for this game:
- Knicks +2.5 – New York has covered in 7 of their last 8 on the road, and they went into Indiana and won Game 3 outright. They’ve been better with Mitchell Robinson back in the starting five and have a real chance to even up this series.
- Over/Under: Over 221.5 – Game 2 hit 232, and Game 3 landed at 221. Both teams are playing through their stars and pushing the pace in transition, so this total is definitely in play again, especially if the fourth quarter is competitive.
- Player Prop: Jalen Brunson Over 29.5 Points – Brunson has scored 30+ in all three games this series. Even in Game 3, where he sat part of the third because of fouls, he still finished with 23. If he plays a full 35+ minutes, this number is very much within reach!
Final Take: Who Has the Edge in Game 4?
Final Score Prediction: Knicks 114, Pacers 110
The Knicks got what they needed (and more) in Game 3: a win on the road, more balance in the offense, and a much stronger effort on the boards with Robinson back in the starting five. They were more disciplined, more physical, and didn’t let Indiana dictate the tempo the way they did in the first two games.
The Pacers still have the advantage of playing at home, and they’ve been reliable there all season. If Haliburton finds his groove and their shooters come back from a tough night past the arc, they’ll be in a good position to take control once again.
This one has the feel of a close game deep into the fourth. Based on how Game 3 played out, the Knicks getting points holds some value, and the over is worth a look if both teams stay aggressive on offense!
Note: All betting odds and statistics are current as of May 27, 2025. Always gamble responsibly.
