Juventus vs. Manchester City Prediction & Betting Picks (June 26, 2025)
Two of the game’s most decorated clubs will meet on the soccer field on Thursday in Orlando. Juventus and Manchester City both have elite European pedigrees and will battle it out for the top of Group G.
Not only that, they want to avoid playing against Real Madrid in the next round. The two teams are dead even on points and goal difference, so this match will decide who finishes first. The loser probably draws Madrid, and they haven’t lost a knockout tie in this competition in over a decade. You don’t want to play them unless you have to!
Juventus haven’t conceded. City hasn’t let up in front of the goal. They’re both sitting on six points with identical margins, so whoever wins this? They end group play as the #1 seed.
It’ll be a fight to the finish, and we have thoughts about who’ll win! Keep reading to see team and player stats, how they’ve played during past matchups, the latest betting odds, and our three best bets!
Match Details & Stakes
- Matchup: Juventus vs. Manchester City
- Date & Time: Thursday, June 26, at 3:00 pm ET (12:00 pm PT)
- Venue: Camping World Stadium, Orlando, Florida (1610 W Church St)
- Competition: FIFA Club World Cup 2025 – Group G decider
- What’s at Stake: Top spot in Group G – indicates a more favorable Round of 16 draw (likely avoiding Real Madrid)
- Broadcast/Streaming: TNT / truTV, DAZN (free globally)
- Commentators: talkSPORT’s Natalie Sawyer with Kevin Hatchard & Scott Minto
Team Form & Key Players
Juventus crushed Al Ahly 6–1 in their opener and followed with a 3–0 result against Jeonbuk. They’ve built leads inside the opening half-hour in both games and haven’t been forced into long defensive stretches so far.
Manchester City beat Jeonbuk 4–0, then took out Al Ahly 4–0 four days later. Their control in possession has been solid, and they haven’t faced a shot on target since the 16th minute of Matchday 1.
Juventus
- Scored 9, allowed 1 across wins vs. Al Ahly (6–1) and Jeonbuk (3–0)
- Top scorers: Kenan Yıldız (3), Francisco Conceição (2), Randal Kolo Muani (2)
- Manager: Igor Tudor took over in March; the defense has been organized, and really hard to break through
Manchester City
- Scored 8, conceded zero in 4–0 wins over Jeonbuk and Al Ahly
- Main contributors: İlkay Gündoğan (2 goals), Haaland (2), Foden (1)
- Squad play: Aït-Nouri commanding the left side; Lewis is suspended, Kovacic will s sidelined, and the rest of the midfield has rotated without issue
Historical Head-to-Head
How have the two clubs fared when they’ve faced off on the pitch before? Look below to see!
- Juventus limited City to two shots on target in their 2–0 win last December, cutting off passing lanes through the middle and forcing long possessions without penetration.
- Guardiola’s side really struggled to break Juventus down; Haaland was isolated, and Foden was repeatedly forced backward.
- That match gave Juventus a clear tactical blueprint, and City a reminder that they’re vulnerable when pressed high and denied central access.
- Both teams return with almost the same lineups and systems, and that brings up the importance of small adjustments over using new tactics.
Tactical Battle
As for tactics, here is what we’re expecting to see based on how they’ve played in the past:
- Juventus will likely drop into a compact 4-4-2 when defending, using McKennie and Rabiot to cut off central passing lanes and pressure Gündoğan and Foden when they look to combine.
- City will work through their usual 3-2-4-1, relying on Rodri to control tempo and feed the advanced midfield. Their build-up will focus on pulling Juventus out of shape by rotating wide and shifting runners into half-spaces.
- Aït-Nouri could be key down the left—if he can force Gatti or Cambiaso to commit, it creates space for City’s front line to break through.
- If it’s still close in the final 30 minutes, City has the stronger bench; Doku, Álvarez, and Bernardo Silva give Guardiola way more flexibility. Juventus doesn’t have the same level of impact players to bring on.
Latest Betting Odds
Look below for the current betting odds and lines according to BetMGM Sportsbook:
Moneyline (3-way)
- Juventus: +333
- Draw: +275
- Manchester City: -130
Both Teams to Score
- Yes (-135)
- No (-105)
Over/Under
- Over 2.5 (-135)
- Under 2.5 (-110)
Our Best Bets
We are eyeing up three data-driven plays for our best bets:
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
Our Confidence Level: Medium—High
Juventus has found the net in every match, with Yıldız and Kolo Muani leading the charge. City’s record speaks for itself; they create chances against anyone. Several models suggest BTTS is a value play here.
Under 3.5 Total Goals
Our Confidence Level: Medium
Despite the immense attacking talent, the matchups usually stay controlled. Recent group games between top seeds haven’t gone high-scoring, and this one has the feel of a game that will be decided by one or two chances.
Manchester City to Win
Our Confidence Level: Medium
City has more control in possession and more weapons off the bench. Guardiola knows what’s at stake with bracket placement, and the recent additions of Aït-Nouri and Cherki add some variety. If they find an edge late? They’re in a better place to capitalize on it!
Juventus vs. Man City Wrap-Up: Our Verdict
This isn’t a typical group-stage closer. Juventus and City are level on points, and the winner avoids Real Madrid in the first knockout round—a matchup that’s ended plenty of title runs.
Juventus has been ruthless in front of the goal, but City has yet to be breached. The midfield battle decides this one. Juventus hasn’t gone up against a side that holds possession like City, and they’ll need to stay compact between the lines so they don’t get stretched. Without Lewis and Kovacic, City will probably rely on Gündoğan and Foden to carry the tempo; both are great between pockets but not as reliable defensively.
If Juventus can break that rhythm and force turnovers near midfield? They’ll get chances in transition. But if City keeps control and forces Juventus to defend for long periods, it’s going to be a slog just to get out of their own half.
Our Best Bets
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS – Yes)
- Under 3.5 Total Goals
- Manchester City to Win
Final Score Prediction: Manchester City 2 – 1 Juventus
We think it’ll be a close one with lots of action. But in the end, Man City’s squad depth and their attacking prowess give them the advantage!
