Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Prediction (June 3, 2025)
The Yankees open a three-game set at home against the Guardians in what could turn into an early postseason litmus test for both clubs. New York has been on fire when they’re at home in the Bronx, which is where they’ve built one of the best home records in baseball.
And Cleveland is holding its own in a competitive AL Central, and they’re coming hoping to shake off some uneven outings and get back on track with a win. Between Rodón’s recent stretch and the production New York’s getting from the middle of the order? This game has a lot to work with on the board!
Keep scrolling for everything you need to know about the Guardians vs the Yanks!
Game Details
- Matchup: Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees
- Date & Time: Tuesday, June 3, at 7:05 pm ET
- Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: TBS
- Weather: Clear skies, 74°F at first pitch
Starting Pitchers
The Guardians and Yankees are both in the playoff picture, so Game 1 of the series should be a good one. Let’s take a look at the starting pitchers and what they’re dealing!
Carlos Rodón (NYY)
- Record: 7-3
- ERA: 2.60
- WHIP: 0.94
- Strikeouts: 90 in 72.2 IP
Rodón’s arm is one of the best, and he’s gone 3-0 with a 0.50 ERA over his last three starts, overpowering hitters and working ahead in counts. The southpaw’s fastball-slider combo has been hard to hit.
Tanner Bibee (CLE)
- Record: 4-5
- ERA: 3.86
- WHIP: 1.27
- Strikeouts: 50 in 63.0 IP
Bibee had a great effort against the Yankees back in April; he went six innings and gave up only one run. But his recent outings have been a mixed bag, and he’ll need to be on from the first pitch to keep the Yankees’ lineup contained.
Key Players to Watch
Here is who we’ll be watching during the game:
Yankees
- Aaron Judge: .391 AVG, 21 HR, 50 RBI
- Paul Goldschmidt: .333 AVG, 6 HR, 28 RBI
Guardians
- José Ramírez: .327 AVG, 11 HR, 29 RBI
- Carlos Santana: .262, 7 HR, 29 RBI
Team Stats Comparison
Next up? Looking at both teams’ stats side by side!
| Category | Yankees | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
Record | 36-22 | 32-26 |
Home/Away Record | 18-9 (Home) | 15-15 (Away) |
Batting Average | .259 | .234 |
Runs Scored | 319 | 235 |
Home Runs | 95 | 61 |
Team ERA | 3.60 | 4.06 |
WHIP | 1.19 | 1.39 |
Betting Odds & Trends
According to DraftKings Sportsbook, here’s where the betting odds and trends sit:
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total Runs |
|---|---|---|---|
Guardians | +1.5 (-142) | +150 | Over 8 (-115) |
Yankees | -1.5 (+120) | -180 | Under 8 (-105) |
Trends
- Yankees are 20-12 in night games
- Guardians are 17-15 in night games
- The Yankees have won 66% of games as moneyline favorites this season
Best Bets
Your best bets? There are three that we think look pretty good!
- Yankees Moneyline (-150): When you pair Rodón’s current run with the Yankees’ home performance, it gives New York the upper hand. If the bullpen holds? They’re in a good spot to take Game 1.
- Under 8.5 Total Runs: Rodón’s been stingy, and Bibee has shown he can navigate this lineup if he’s locating early. With cooler weather expected, the under feels like a smart play.
- Aaron Judge to Hit a Home Run (+250): Judge is clocking the ball well, has crushed righties at home, and this is the kind of game where he’s known to bring his A game. At this price, there’s good value in backing him to go yard.
Final Thoughts & Game Prediction
Rodón has allowed only one run across his last three starts and keeps pounding the zone, and hitters never know what he’s gonna throw. The Yankees have scored five or more in four of their last five home games, with Judge driving the offense. Bibee held them to two runs back in April, but if he falls behind in counts? New York’s lineup can take advantage of that.
If Rodón stays in command and the Yankees keep turning base runners into runs, they should be in front by the fifth inning.
Final Score Prediction: Yankees 4, Guardians 2
This one will be a close game during the first five innings. But with Rodón on the mound and Judge on the the offense? The Yanks are in a better position to pull ahead in the second half and get this win.
Note: All stats and odds are current as of publication, but you should always verify the latest lines before you place your bets!
