Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm Prediction & Betting Picks (June 24, 2025)
Indiana’s Caitlin Clark is going into Seattle with a target on her back and a Fever team that hasn’t quite figured out how to get a road win. Across from her and her teammates? A Storm squad that’s clicking on both ends and just beat Las Vegas like it was no biggie.
This game is an important one for both teams; there are playoff implications, even though it’s only June. Indiana wants to stay relevant in the East, and Seattle wants to lock in a top-three seed in the West.
Clark is always the star, but she’s got some competition from Nneka Ogwumike and Jewel Loyd in this one.
The odds are really close, and there’s a lot of prop value on the board, so keep reading to find out what you need to know, the betting odds, and what we think are the best bets!
Game Details
- Matchup: Indiana Fever (6-7) vs. Seattle Storm (9-5)
- Date & Time: Tuesday, June 24, at 10:00 p.m. Eastern Time
- Location: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, Washington
- How To Watch: NBA TV nationally; local coverage on CW Seattle and WTHR‑13 in Indianapolis
Matchup Rundown
Indiana goes to Seattle after dropping two in a row on the road. The Storm have been better in late-game possessions and are coming off three straight wins.
Team Records & Form
- Fever: 6–7 overall, still winless on the road since the beginning of June
- Storm: 9–5, have won three in a row with disciplined defense and cleaner half-court sets
Previous Head-to-Head
- Seattle has won 11 of the last 14 against Indiana
- Last season, the Storm won every meeting by double digits
Star Players
The headlines will tell you it’s Clark vs. Ogwumike, but this game’s gonna depend on more than its Star players; it also comes down to who can handle the pressure better.
Caitlin Clark (Fever)
- Still running the show with a league-best 8.9 assists per game
- Has had a hard time with her famous three recently; she’s only 1-for-17 in her last two games
- Draws attention every possession, even when the shot isn’t falling
Nneka Ogwumike (Storm)
- She’s on a heater at home and is averaging 19 PPG and shooting 58% in Seattle
- Dropped 25+ in three straight, with good touches in the paint and midrange
Skylar Diggins-Smith & Depth
- Diggins-Smith holds things together with a vet’s pace and good decision-making
- Seattle’s depth took a big hit with Horston and Samuelson being out; it means more minutes on the starters, and less flexibility late in the game
Betting Odds
If you’re betting on this one, here are the latest odds and lines via ESPN BET:
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total Runs |
|---|---|---|---|
Fever | +3.5 (-105) | +135 | Over 167.5 (-110) |
Storm | -3.5 (-115) | -155 | Under 167.5 (-110) |
Our Best Bets
Here are the four that we are backing as our best bets!
| Bet | Analysis | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
Nneka Ogwumike Over 17.5 pts | She’s been on a tear at home, and the Fever haven’t been able to limit her scoring. | ✅ High |
Caitlin Clark Over 3.5 3PM | The volume’s still there even if she’s in a slump; she’ll go for it, and this matchup gives her the room to do it. | ⚠️ Medium |
Game Over 165.5 | They both push the pace, and recent meetings have cleared this line with room to spare. | ✅ High |
Seattle -3.5 | Clark’s facing a lot of pressure on the road, and Seattle’s backcourt has the advantage. | ⚠️ Medium |
Intangibles & X‑Factors
Not everything that matters shows up on the stat sheet! This game could tilt based on who controls the tempo, protects the ball, and the fans in the seats. And as of right now? Seattle has more of those advantages.
Home Crowd & Momentum
The Storm play quicker and more physical bball in their own building, especially on defense. They’ve outscored opponents by an average of 11 points at home during their current streak, and that late-game edge is apparent when the pace ramps up.
Turnover Battle
The Fever averages 15.6 giveaways per game, with most coming from forced passes in close spaces. Seattle doesn’t only force turnovers, they turn them into layups. Diggins-Smith is way too smart in transition to waste those chances, and Indiana’s scramble defense hasn’t shown that it can recover.
Storm Surge or Fever Breakthrough? Our Last Word
Seattle has the better halfcourt defense, the more reliable interior scorer, and the steadier backcourt when the game slows down. Ogwumike’s been surgical at home, and unless Indiana shoots lights out? The Fever will be playing from behind again.
Caitlin Clark is, and will always be, the variable. She can erase a double-digit margin with three quick possessions if she finds her range. But she hasn’t been hitting open looks lately, and Seattle’s perimeter defense doesn’t give up a lot of second chances.
Our best bets?
- Ogwumike over 17.5 points
- Over 165.5 total
- And Seattle -3.5 if you’re backing the more stable team
Final Score Prediction: Seattle Storm 89, Indiana Fever 82
If Indiana’s shots aren’t falling in the first quarter? This’ll be out of reach by halftime. Seattle’s defense adapts quickly, and its core knows how to close.
