Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks Prediction & Betting Picks (August 29, 2025)
The Indiana Fever are going west for a three-game road trip. Their first stop? The Crypto.com Arena to play the Los Angeles Sparks on Friday night at 10 pm ET (7 pm PT).
This is a big one, as both squads are in a fight for one of the last three playoff spots!
The Fever beat Seattle 95–75 on Tuesday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, and that pushed them from eighth up to sixth in the WNBA standings. Aliyah Boston, Odyssey Sims, and Kelsey Mitchell carried the offense; the three combined for 70 points, and all scored more than 20.
That win, paired with the Sparks’ loss to Phoenix the same night, trimmed Indiana’s playoff number to five with six games still to play. A Fever win on Friday? That would cut it down to three and put them on the brink of nabbing a postseason berth.
But if Los Angeles wins this one? They’ll be only a game behind Indiana and hold the season tiebreaker. The Sparks are 3–0 against the Fever this year and are looking to finish off a season sweep.
We weren’t lying when we said this is a big game! Keep scrolling to see context, stakes, the latest betting odds, team forms, stats, injuries, and our picks for the three best bets and a bonus angle!
Game Details
- Matchup: Indiana Fever (20–18, 9–9 on the road) vs. Los Angeles Sparks (17–19, 7–11 at home)
- Date & Time: Friday, August 29, at 10:00 pm ET (local time in LA, 7:00 pm)
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
- How to Watch: ION (national TV) or you can stream it via Sling Orange, DIRECTV Stream, Fubo, YouTube TV, or WNBA League Pass (out-of-market only, blackout rules apply). Radio coverage is available on 93.5 / 107.5 The Fan.
- Series History: The Sparks are unbeaten this season against the Fever; they’ve won all three matchups. The last time they met (Aug. 5), they won 100–91.
Context & Stakes
Playoff positioning is front and center for this game! Indiana has to win to hold its ground in the middle of the bracket, and Los Angeles is trying to stay in it. Add in the Sparks’ 3–0 edge in the season series? We’ve got ourselves a really important matchup with big implications for seeding and tiebreakers.
- Indiana is in sixth place and has a little bit of space to work, but they aren’t locked into the postseason yet! Every single win matters when teams are packed so close in the standings.
- Los Angeles is tied at the bottom of the playoff bracket, holding on for dear life to the eighth spot. A loss here could put them on the outside looking in, and there are only a handful of games left.
- Head-to-head, the Sparks have absolutely owned this matchup in 2025; as we’ve said, they’ve won all three meetings so far by an average of about seven points. That season sweep? It’s on the line here!
Betting Odds
If you’re betting on this game, make sure you compare lines across books! Here’s what DraftKings has posted for the odds and lines:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Fever | +1.5 (-180) | +105 | Over 179 (-108) |
Sparks | -1.5 (-112) | -125 | Under 179 (-112) |
Team Form & Stats
Indiana has evened out after a bad stretch; they’ve won four in a row before losing their last game. They’re really efficient offensively, and rank in the top four in both FG% and 3PT%, but still give up over 82 points a night.
Los Angeles scores at a fast clip and shoots really well from the field, but their defense? It’s one of the league’s worst for points allowed and FG defense. They’ve also failed to cover in five straight.
Indiana Fever
- Last 10: 4–6
- Last 5: Four consecutive wins before losing their most recent game (they beat Seattle 95–75 during the streak)
Stats
- ~85.3 PPG | ~82.6 allowed | 45.7% FG | 33.5 RPG | 20.5 APG
- League ranks: 4th in FG% | 4th in 3PT% | 8th in points allowed
Los Angeles Sparks
- Last 10: 6–4 before a recent slide
- Last 5 ATS: 0–5 despite strong offensive outputs
Stats
- ~86.3 PPG | 88.6 allowed | 46.1% FG | 33.0 RPG | 20.9 APG
- League ranks: 2nd in PPG | 2nd in FG% | 3rd in 3PT% | 12th in FG% defense | last in points allowed
Players to Watch
- The Fever’s Kelsey Mitchell: She’s averaging about 20.7 PPG, and is Indiana’s most reliable scorer and the go-to option late in games.
- The Sparks’ Kelsey Plum: She’s got about 20.4 PPG and 5.9 assists, runs LA’s offense, and leads the team as both a scorer and a shot creator.
- Rickea Jackson: She’s a really strong scoring threat in the last few weeks, and that makes her a prop line worth watching!
Injury Watch
Indiana’s backcourt is running on fumes, but Los Angeles is one of the few teams that’s at full strength.
The Fever
- Indiana is missing multiple guards, and that leaves them without a floor general.
- Caitlin Clark: She’s out again, but is expected to return on Sept. 7.
- Sydney Colson / Aari McDonald / Sophie Cunningham: All three players are sidelined long term (ACL, fracture, MCL).
Los Angeles Sparks
As of publication, the Sparks are at capacity, and there have been no reported injuries.
Our Best Bets
Best Bet #1 – Sparks -1.5 (-112)
- Pick: Los Angeles Sparks -1.5
- Our Confidence Level: 8/10
Why Do We Like It?
- LA has won all three meetings this year, and by at least five points each time.
- Indiana has no real point guard available. Without Clark or Colson/McDonald? They are forced to initiate offense through wings, and that’s turned into stagnant half-court sets and heavy turnovers when they’re pressured.
- The Sparks are at full strength, can throw multiple defensive looks, and have way more late-game scoring options.
- Even though LA has struggled ATS lately, the short number is playable at home against a shorthanded backcourt.
Best Bet #2 – Over 179 (-108)
- Pick: Over 178 Total Points
- Our Confidence Level: 7/10
Why Do We Like It?
- Both teams rank in the top 5 in FG% and offensive rating.
- The Sparks give up the most points per game in the league; Indiana is in the bottom tier defensively too.
- LA’s home games routinely land in the 174–180 range, and their last matchup with Indiana ended 93–86 (179 points).
- Even without Clark, the Fever still play fast with Kelsey Mitchell’s perimeter scoring and Aliyah Boston’s post touches.
- This one looks like it’ll have long possessions that end in quick shots, plenty of run-outs, and a high turnover conversion.
Best Bet #3 – Rickea Jackson Over Points Prop (Projected ~13.5)
- Pick: Rickea Jackson Over 13.5 Points (Monitor for official DK prop listing)
- Our Confidence Level: 6.5/10
Why Do We Like It?
- Jackson has turned into a super reliable scoring option for LA! She gets buckets off cuts, pull-ups, and in transition.
- She’s hit double figures in 8 of her last 10, with multiple 17–19 point games against frontcourts that defend poorly, and that’s exactly the kind of matchup Indiana brings to the floor.
- The Fever are loading up on Kelsey Plum and Dearica Hamby, so Jackson should see open looks from midrange spots and lots of chances to attack closeouts.
Bonus Bet: Aliyah Boston Double-Double (+150)
- Boston has worked really well against LA’s frontcourt this season; she uses her footwork and size to control the glass.
- If Indiana keeps the game close? Boston’s scoring + rebounding volume makes this prop a viable one!
Stay ahead of the action—odds and lines can shift fast before the Fever vs. Sparks clash. Check the latest numbers and use one of our trusted sports betting sites to secure the best value.
Prediction Summary
- The Sparks have a complete roster and have already beaten Indiana three times.
- Indiana’s guard depth is almost nonexistent, which has really hurt them against teams that pressure the ball.
- Both offenses produce and both defenses give up points, so this is another game that’s leaning high on the total.
- Los Angeles has stronger fourth-quarter options and the advantage of home court.
- Projected line: Sparks by 4–6 points.
Betting Tips
- Track the first-quarter tempo! If the scoreboard is already pushing high by the end of the opening frame, the Live Over has value.
- Indiana’s guard turnovers can make Sparks’ second-half props worth targeting.
- If the Fever starts out strong, look for a better price on Los Angeles with a live moneyline.
The Sparks Shoot in Late‑Season Send-off
Final Score Prediction: Los Angeles Sparks 92, Indiana Fever 86
We are going with the Sparks, as they are hitting the court with a lot more depth and a clean rotation. Indiana is still trying to put together its backcourt.
LA has already beaten the Fever three times this year and has the better scoring options in this matchup. The pace and defensive lapses on both teams signal another high total game, and the Sparks should be able to separate by a few possessions.
Don’t forget to watch the live market if the Fever comes out shooting; there could be some value as the numbers adjust!
Best Bets Recap
- Sparks –1.5 (–112): ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Over 179 (–108): ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Rickea Jackson Over Points Prop (~13.5): ⭐⭐⭐
- Aliyah Boston Double-Double (+150): ⭐⭐
