Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces Prediction & Preview (July 22, 2025)
The Aces are back on home court following the All-Star game and will be facing off against the Dream.
Both Vegas (11-11) and Atlanta (13-9) want to get a better foothold in a close playoff fight, and it all goes down at the Michelob ULTRA Arena in Nevada at 10 pm ET.
Two of the league’s top scorers, A’ja Wilson (22.3 PPG, 2nd in the WNBA) and Allisha Gray (18.4 PPG, 8th), will hit the floor Tuesday night, and you can watch it on ESPN.
Las Vegas is coming off a 90–86 road win over Dallas, backed by Wilson’s 37 points, 10 rebounds, and 2 blocks on 60% shooting. Jewell Loyd added 14 points and 8 boards on 45.5% from the field.
Atlanta’s last outing was a blowout 86–49 win in Chicago; Brittney Griner led with 15 points and 2 blocks on 75% shooting, and Gray posted 14 points, 7 rebounds, and 5 assists, even though she was shooting only 2-for-8 from beyond the arc.
Keep scrolling to see a breakdown of this WNBA game; we’ve got the latest betting odds, team forms, what to watch for, and our picks for the three best bets!
Game Details
- Matchup: Atlanta Dream (13-9, 5-6 away) at the Las Vegas Aces (11-11, 6-4 home)
- Date & Time: Tuesday, July 22, 10 pm ET
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV
- How to Watch: ESPN
- Records vs. Spread: Dream 11-11 ATS | Aces 8-14 ATS
Latest Betting Odds
If you wanna bet on the Aces vs. the Dream, ESPN BET has the latest odds and lines!
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Dream | +1.5 (-120) | -105 | Over 160.5 (-115) |
Aces | -1.5 (EVEN) | -115 | Under 160.5 (-105) |
Remember that odds and lines can change, so always check your sportsbook for any updates!
Current Form & What to Watch (Post-All-Star Break)
Las Vegas Aces: Dropped three straight before the break, then pulled out a 90–86 win over Dallas. A’ja Wilson led with 37 points and is averaging 32.3 over her last three. The team is 11–11 and still adjusting to changes in rotation and shot distribution.
Atlanta Dream: Have won 3 of their last 5 but remain inconsistent on the road (5–6 record). They rely on interior scoring and physical defense around the rim, with limited outside shooting.
What to Watch
Now that the All-Star Game is done and dusted, regular games are resuming. What are we watching for in this particular matchup? The following:
- Can Atlanta slow down Wilson without bringing a second defender and leaving shooters open? When teams double her on the catch or bring help from the wing, she passes out quickly, and opponents have created open looks by swinging the ball into space. The Dream hasn’t rotated really well in those kinds of spots.
- Will the Aces improve their perimeter looks? They’re hitting 31.8% from three, and way too many of those are coming off forced possessions or without movement beforehand.
- Atlanta holds teams to 6.8 made threes per game, so if Vegas doesn’t get better spacing, they’ll need to rely on post entries, short midrange shots, or trips to the line, and none of that is guaranteed when you’re up against a crowded interior.
Our Best Bets
It’s about that time again! We handpicked the three best bets if you’re into this action.
#1 Aces –1.5 (Spread)
- Our Confidence Level: ★★★★☆ (4/5)
- Line: Aces –1.5 (EVEN at ESPN BET)
Why Do We Like It?
- A’ja Wilson is averaging 32.3 points during her last three and had 37 in the final game before the break. Atlanta doesn’t have the size or mobility inside to slow her down once she’s in position.
- Las Vegas is 6–4 at home and performs really well when they’re given a few days to prepare.
- The Dream are 5–6 on the road and sometimes erode defensively when they’re playing from behind.
- The line likely reflects the Aces’ overall record, not the current form of their best player. But with Wilson in control? This number has value!
#2 Under 160.5 Total Points
- Our Confidence Level: ★★★☆☆ (3/5)
- Line: 160.5 (–105 at ESPN BET)
Why Do We Like It?
- Recent totals support the under: 6 of Atlanta’s last 9 and 7 of Vegas’s last 10 have stayed below this mark.
- First games after extended breaks often lead to uneven possessions, fewer made threes, and longer rotations.
- Atlanta plays an inside-out offense and operates mainly in the half-court.
- The Aces shoot 31.8% from three and rely on post touches to score.
- The Dream allows only 6.8 made threes per game, and that forces Vegas to operate inside the arc and take more contested midrange looks.
#3 A’ja Wilson 30+ Points (Player Prop)
- Our Confidence Level: ★★★★☆ (4/5)
Why Do We Like It?
- Wilson has scored 30 or more in three in a row, including the 37-point performance right before the break.
- Atlanta doesn’t have a true interior defender who can handle Wilson’s strength and footwork near the rim.
- When the Aces need baskets, they go right to Wilson, and especially when it’s a close second half.
- She draws fouls at a high rate and converts at the line, giving her high-floor scoring lines even when the field goals aren’t falling at volume.
Our Final Thoughts
Final Score Prediction: Aces 82, Dream 75
The Aces cover –1.5, and the game stays under the 160.5 total
A’ja Wilson is an absolutely relentless presence in the paint. She draws the defenders in, forces defensive rotations, and keeps a ton of pressure on opposing frontcourts from tip-off until the final buzzer.
Atlanta’s biggest challenge? That’s managing the interior workload without opening up the perimeter. If they can protect the arc and keep Vegas from getting extra possessions, they could have a chance. But Vegas has the experience, an advantage on the glass, and a super reliable scoring anchor in Wilson, so we are firmly backing the Aces.
Best Bets Recap
- Aces –1.5 spread: ★★★★☆
- Under 160.5 total points: ★★★☆☆
- A’ja Wilson 30+ points: ★★★★☆
