Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces Preview & Prediction (August 19, 2025)
Two WNBA teams that are playing some of the best bball of the season will face off on Tuesday night.
The Aces are hosting the Dream in Las Vegas, and there’s playoff seeding in jeopardy. Vegas has A’ja Wilson and Atlanta has Allisha Gray, and these two are the GOATS of the league if you ask us!
The squads are dead even record-wise at 21-14, but does one have an advantage over the other?
We are gonna find out! Keep reading for a close look at team form, storylines, the current betting odds, H2H, trends, injuries, rosters, and our picks for the four best bets!
Game Details
- Matchup: Atlanta Dream (22–12) vs. Las Vegas Aces (21–14)
- Date & Time: Tuesday, August 19 at 10:00 pm ET
- Venue: Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas
- How to Watch: You can catch this one on WNBA League Pass and ESPN+
- Playoff Implications: The Aces are fighting to lock down a better playoff seed and maybe host opening-round games. The Dream is trying to stay near the top 5 in the Eastern race
Recent Form & Storylines
They’re in the middle of the playoff race, and both are coming off good playing stretches. The Aces are counting on their star power on home court, and Atlanta has been kicking butt on the road.
Las Vegas Aces
- They’ve won 4 of their last 5, and A’ja Wilson is putting up MVP-level numbers pretty much every game.
- The Aces have been solid at Michelob Ultra Arena; they’ve won over 70% of their home games this season.
- Chelsea Gray and Kelsey Plum are back on the roster; the Aces are moving the ball better and finding balance in their half-court sets.
Atlanta Dream
- The Dream are on a 3-game road streak that includes an OT win in Connecticut, which is one of the hardest arenas for visitors to win games in.
- Allisha Gray has been deadly from the perimeter, and Rhyne Howard’s ability to create her own shot gives Atlanta a really dependable scoring option late in games.
- Coach Karl Smesko has tightened up rotations, so there’s a physical defensive style that has kept the Dream’s opponents under control during this winning run.
Storylines to Watch
- A’ja Wilson’s Streak: She’s coming off a 30-point, 20-rebound stat line. The big question is if anyone, and that includes Atlanta’s smaller frontcourt, has any way to keep her off the glass.
- Pace Control: Atlanta has been able to slow games down when they have to, but if they’re forced into a faster pace? Las Vegas has perimeter scoring to capitalize on it.
- Fatigue Factor: This is the last stop of what’s been a demanding trip for the Dream, and their energy in the fourth quarter could determine if they can keep up with Vegas at home.
Up-to-Date Betting Odds
Thinking about placing a bet? Check the latest odds and lines by DraftKings below.
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Dream | +2 (-112) | +110 | Over 165 (-108) |
Aces | -2 (-108) | -130 | Under 165 (-112) |
Line Movement Insight
- Early action has leaned toward Las Vegas, and it’s most likely because of their recent wins against Atlanta.
- The total could creep up if bettors expect a faster-paced game, so watch out for any late shifts on the Over/Under.
Head-to-Head & Matchup Trends
Okay, let’s take a look at the H2Hs between the Aces and the Dream and some matchup trends!
- In the last five matchups between them, the Aces have a 4–1 edge with an average margin of victory of 9.2 points.
- Las Vegas beat Atlanta by 15 earlier this season on the Dream’s home court.
- Atlanta has only gotten one win in Las Vegas since 2018.
- The Over has cashed in four of the last six games.
Trend Takeaways
- The Aces have had Atlanta’s number in this matchup; they’ve won most of the recent meetings at home.
- In three out of the last four meetings, the Aces have gotten ahead early enough to cover the first-quarter line.
- Vegas’ front line usually creates mismatches, and Atlanta’s smaller rotation has had a really hard time countering.
Injury & Roster Notes
Both teams are pretty close to full strength, but there is one roster question that could change the balance inside!
The Aces
- A’ja Wilson: She’s in absolutely peak form and carries the frontcourt.
- Chelsea Gray: She’s back in action and giving Las Vegas extra playmaking and floor direction.
The Dream
- Rhyne Howard: She’s playing at 110% and is averaging over 18 points across her last four games.
- Nia Coffey: She’s still listed as day-to-day, and her status will definitely affect Atlanta’s interior depth.
X-Factors
If Coffey is unavailable to play, Las Vegas should control the glass and generate more second-chance looks.
Our Best Bets
For this one? We’ve got three picks for your best bets and a super promising prop angle!
| Bet | Confidence Level | Why Do We Like It? |
|---|---|---|
Aces –2 | High | Vegas has controlled this matchup, and being on the home floor is a late-season advantage. |
Under 165 | Medium | Both defenses tighten up in playoff-style games. |
1st Half Spread | Aces –0.5 | High | Las Vegas usually starts out fast, and Atlanta has struggled during the second quarter. |
Player Prop | A’ja Wilson Over Pts + Rebs | Very High | She’s unstoppable, and Atlanta just doesn’t have the size to contain her. |
Narrative & Betting Angles
- Tempo Battle: Las Vegas will be trying to speed the game up, and Atlanta wants to slow things down. The opening minutes will show us which side gets its way.
- Motivation Factor: Because there is seeding on the line, the Aces will come at this like a must-win, so they don’t drop in the standings.
- Vegas at Home: Their offense usually ramps up when they’re in front of the home crowd; they have better spacing and shot-making.
- Clutch Free Throws: If the game tightens up late, fouls could change the total, but Las Vegas is solid from the stripe at 83% as a team.
The Aces Dash the Dream
We are going with the Aces on this one! Why? Because Las Vegas has all of its star players, and its recent form has been trending upward at home.
No disrespect to Atlanta, as they are dangerous, but the wear and tear of the road trip and a not-so-great track record in Vegas is working against them.
The best value is with the Aces at –3.5 and A’ja Wilson prop markets. It’ll definitely be a competitive game, but we think it will stay under the total.
Best Bets Recap
- Aces –2 (Spread): High
- Under 165 (Total Points): Medium
- Aces –0.5 (1st Half Spread): High
- A’ja Wilson Over Pts + Rebs (Prop): Very High
Final Score Prediction: Las Vegas Aces 83, Atlanta Dream 76
While you’re here, you should definitely check out our picks for the best sportsbook sites so you can always grab the best lines and promos!
