Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction (July 11, 2025)
The Los Angeles Dodgers are going north to San Francisco for the opener in a three-game series against the Giants on July 11. First pitch is thrown at 10:15 p.m. ET.
This kicks off yet another chapter of their NL West rivalry Friday night at Oracle Park, and it’s an important mid-season game. LA is trying to put an end to a slide that’s chipping away at their division lead. San Francisco has won six of its last eight at home and is getting closer to the top of the division.
Dustin May and Logan Webb will be starting on the hill, and that could mean a slow start; both are hard to hit against. Since the standings are tightening up in the NL West race, there are playoff implications!
What do you need to know? We’ll give you the pitchers’ matchup, lineup, team stats, the latest betting odds, and our picks for your three best bets. Let’s play ball!
Game Details
- Matchup: Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants
- Date & Time: July 11; first pitch at 10:15 pm ET / 7:15 PM PT
- Location: Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA
- Weather Forecast: Afternoon and evening: Mostly sunny with highs in the mid‑60s °F; perfect for a ball game
- How to Watch: TV: MLB on TBS, plus NBC Sports Bay Area (cable) and KNTV (over‑the‑air)
- Streaming: MLB.tv, TBS app, and cable streaming platforms
Prediction Breakdown
50.8%
49.2%
According to GamblingSite.com
Starting Pitchers Matchup
Who’s throwing for the Dodgers and the Giants? Here are the starters:
Dodgers – Dustin May (5–5, 4.52 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 84 K in 89.2 IP)
May struck out nine over seven innings in his last start against the White Sox, allowing only two runs. But his ERA jumps to 5.18 in road games this season.
Giants – Logan Webb (8–6, 2.62 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 133 K in 120.1 IP)
Webb has a 1.52 ERA at Oracle Park this year and has allowed two earned runs or less in five of his last six starts against the Dodgers.
Lineups & Main Matchup Stats
- Dodgers vs. RHP: Hitting .257 with 142 total home runs this season. Ohtani leads the team with 31 homers and a .279 average.
- Giants vs. RHP: Batting .231 with a lower power output. Heliot Ramos (.270, 20 HR) and Rafael Devers are the hitters to watch.
Team Trends & Stats
- Dodgers: 56–38 overall, 23–21 on the road; they’re above .500 in away games
- Giants: 51–43 overall, 27–18 at Oracle Park; they have one of the better home records in the division
- Recent Betting Trends: Unders have hit more often than not in this matchup, and lower totals show up in their recent head-to-heads
Betting Odds
Thinking about putting some money on this game? Here are the latest odds and lines posted on ESPN BET:
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total Runs |
|---|---|---|---|
Dodgers | +1.5 (-190) | +110 | Over 7.5 (-115) |
Giants | -1.5 (+160) | -130 | Under 7.5 (-105) |
Our Best Bets
There is a lot of value in this game; you just have to know where to look! We’ve gotchu; look below for the three best bets for this ball game.
#1 Under 7.5 Total Runs
Our Confidence Level: High (80%)
Why Do We Like It?
- Logan Webb has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in 6 of his last 7 starts at Oracle Park.
- Dustin May held the White Sox to 2 runs over 7 innings in his last outing and hasn’t allowed more than 3 earned in any of his last 4 starts.
- The last 5 Dodgers–Giants matchups have averaged only 6.6 total runs.
- Giants games have stayed under in 7 of the last 10 when Webb starts at home.
- Oracle Park ranks bottom 3 in park factor for home runs and runs scored.
#2 Dodgers Moneyline (Full Game)
Our Confidence Level: Medium (70%)
Why Do We Like It?
- Even though they’ve had recent losses, LA has won 9 of its last 12 against San Francisco.
- The Dodgers’ bullpen has a 2.65 ERA over the last 10 games; San Francisco’s bullpen has given up 12 earned runs in its last 18.1 innings.
- LA is still in the top 5 in team OPS and run differential.
- They’ve scored 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 10 wins; they only need some support behind a steady start to cash the ML.
#3 Giants +0.5 First 5 Innings
Our Confidence Level: Medium-High (75%)
Why Do We Like It?
- Logan Webb has a 1.52 ERA at home this season and has allowed 1 or fewer runs through the first 5 innings in 5 of his last 6 starts at Oracle.
- San Francisco has led or been tied after 5 innings in 6 of its last 7 home games.
- Dustin May’s road ERA sits at 5.18, and he’s allowed early baserunners in 3 of his last 4 away starts.
Dodgers vs. Giants – How We’re Playing It
Final Score Prediction: Dodgers 4 – Giants 3
The advantage in this game? It splits pretty evenly by timeframe: the Giants have the early advantage with Webb on the mound, but the Dodgers are stronger top-to-bottom and have the better options in the later innings. Oracle Park conditions, recent trends, and starter profiles all point toward a low run total.
Best Bets Recap
- Under 8.5 Total Runs: High Confidence (80%)
- Dodgers Moneyline (Full Game): Medium Confidence (70%)
- Giants +0.5 First 5 Innings: Medium-High Confidence (75%)
The NL West race is close, and that means that every series between contenders changed the standings. Here we have two capable starters and public action expected on both sides, so the totals and props can move fast. If you like your angles? Don’t wait for the closing line before you bet!
