Dodgers vs. Blue Jays WS Game 6 Prediction & Best Bets (October 31, 2025)
The mighty Los Angeles Dodgers suddenly don’t seem so mighty anymore. Shohei Ohtani and the defending champions will head to the Rogers Centre for game six as -140 favorites to even the series, however.
The Toronto Blue Jays dominated the last two games, rebounding nicely from a devastating loss in an 18-inning marathon game to ice the Dodgers in games four and five. Now ahead 3-2, the Jays have a chance to claim their first World Series title since 1993.
Los Angeles isn’t dead just yet, of course. The Dodgers can still even the series in game six and will give everything they’ve got as they continue their bid to become the first back-to-back World Series champions since the Yankees won three in a row in 1998-2000.
So, will the Dodgers stay alive, or will the Jays exercise a killer instinct and reward their fans at home in game six? I’ll break down the matchup, inspect the latest odds, and point you to the best World Series picks for this showdown.
Game Info Snapshot
- Matchup: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- Date & Time: Friday, October 31st, 2025 – 7:00 pm ET
- Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Series status: Jays lead, 3-2
- Odds (ESPN Bet):
- Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
- Blue Jays +1.5 (-135)
- Moneyline: Dodgers -140 | Blue Jays +120
- Total: Over 7.5 (-115) | Under 7.5 (-105)
Starting Pitchers & Match‑Up Dynamics
Game six of the 2025 World Series will end up being a rematch of game two, where Yoshinobu Yamamoto and Kevin Gausman squared off.
Yamamoto was as good as it gets in that game, giving up just four hits en route to the first complete game the World Series has seen since 2015. Will this matchup deliver a similar result, or should bettors bank on Toronto getting to Yamamoto this time around?
Dodgers Starter: Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Yamamoto was flawless in his only start in the World Series so far. Change the record, I guess, because that song has been playing throughout the MLB playoffs. He hasn’t been dishing out complete games left and right, but Yoshi has still dazzled every time he’s toed the rubber in postseason play.
Posting a 2.49 ERA and the 6th best WHIP (0.99) in the majors during the regular season, Yoshi combines a six-pitch arsenal with top-shelf command and elite ball placement. He could always implode in the biggest game of his life, but he’s a true master on the mound, and he’s delivered two gems in the playoffs so far. It stands to reason that he will once again hold the Jays in check.
Blue Jays Starter: Kevin Gausman
On the other side is Kevin Gausman, who gave Toronto six solid innings in that game two loss. He wasn’t perfect – allowed two home runs – but he still limited the damage in his time on the field.
Gausman is a much more flawed pitcher than Yamamoto. He offers solid strikeout upside (6 Ks last time he faced LA), but he can be prone to hard contact and can struggle if his placement isn’t spot on. He’s kept things together so far during the Jays’ playoff run, though, as he topped five innings twice in the previous series against Seattle and allowed just three total runs.
The big thing is L.A. has looked lost on offense over the last two games. The bats could always come alive against Gausman, but it’s not unreasonable to expect him to once again limit the damage.
What to Watch Between the Starters:
- Keep it in the Park: Gausman has done a solid job of limiting base runners and hard contact, but the home run issues have popped up a bit during this run. If he allows some runners and gives up a HR or two, he could unravel in a hurry.
- How Deep Can Yoshi Go?: Yoshi can’t be expected to deliver a CG again, and it’s difficult to anticipate him even sniffing that type of outing again. However, the Dodgers’ bullpen has been suspect, so the Dodgers will try to squeeze every last drop out of him.
Overall, Gausman has been rock solid and just needs to keep the ball in the park to avoid a poorly timed implosion. The odds are decent that LA gets at least a solid effort out of Yoshi in a do-or-die game, but it’s worth wondering just how much he has left in the tank after pitching nine innings just days ago.
Team Trends & Recent Form
The Dodgers didn’t have the top seed in the NL, but they were always supposed to be here. Until now, they were coasting in the MLB playoffs, and now they’re faced with something they’re not really used to: adversity.
Toronto, meanwhile, gets to finish this thing off at home. The narrative of being the underdog with the home field advantage makes them seem like a really good bet to win the WS, whether it happens in game six or not.
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers haven’t fully looked like themselves at any point in this entire series. A huge part of the problem has been a no-show from Shohei Ohtani. Toronto walked him a mind-boggling five times in that wild 18-inning battle, and he’s been hitless over the last two games.
If LA is going to prolong this series, they need their MVP to step up. Ohtani clubbed 55 home runs during the regular season (3rd in MLB) and is a fantastic base runner. But we haven’t seen much of any of that in this series, as Toronto has handled him and this Dodgers offense beautifully.
After getting destroyed in game one, the Dodgers did well to bounce back and make the Jays sweat en route to a 2-1 series lead. However, their offense has gone dormant, getting outscored 12-3 over the last two losses. That absolutely cannot continue if they have any hopes of forcing a seventh game.
Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays are admittedly playing with house money in the sense that they shouldn’t be here, and they also probably shouldn’t have the home-field edge. Of course, they are here, and they do get two cracks at claiming a title at home in front of their fans.
The underdog narrative and playing at home are two massive edges, but the real story is Toronto’s pitching. Trey Yesavage struck out 12 batters in what could end up being a true World Series classic outing, and the Jays collectively have done quite a number on what is supposed to be the best offensive lineup in baseball.
Alternatively, Toronto’s offense has been patient and timely. They used a grand slam to tee off with 11 runs in an explosive game one win, but the rest of the way we’ve seen what makes them great: consistent contact, situational awareness, and general discipline.
Toronto got schooled by Yamamoto the first time around, but their overall approach is going to give them a chance to get to him early. If that happens, they’ve shown numerous times now that they know how to navigate through a flawed Dodgers bullpen.
Key X‑Factors & Match‑up Variables
- Fast start for LA: The Dodgers are reeling and look deflated. They need a confidence boost by getting to Gausman early and playing with a lead.
- Gausman Limits Power: Conversely, Gausman isn’t really a guy who gets lit up frequently. He simply needs to keep the ball in the park, and he’ll probably be OK.
- No More No-Tani: Ohtani has to do something in this game. Even if it’s to take a walk every time up, he needs to get on base, steal some bases, or send one into the cheap seats. The Dodgers are going to have a hard time winning without him showing up.
- Force Yoshi Out Early: The Jays can’t allow Yamamoto to clown them for 7-9 innings again. They need to work up his pitch count, get an early lead, and force the bullpen into the game earlier than LA wants.
- Home Town Impact: The Jays are the underdogs at home, and their fan base is hungry. Narrative Street is alive and well, and this stadium will be rocking. The Dodgers need to do something special to combat that.
Betting Landscape & Odds Context
The World Series game six odds indicate that the Dodgers are expected to battle back and force a game seven. Given their talent and history, I wouldn’t be totally shocked by it, and I understand the pricing. The top sportsbooks pegged LA as the WS winner all year, so why stop now?
That said, here’s a closer look at the main World Series odds:
- Run Line: Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
- The run line suggests that the Dodgers are favored and expected to win, but that it probably won’t be a game they run away with.
- Moneyline: Dodgers -140 | Blue Jays +120
- LA is again favored to win via the ML, but the gap isn’t very wide. The Dodgers are facing elimination and they’re on the road, making the Jays a more attractive underdog than normal.
- Total: Over 7.5 (-115) | Under 7.5 (-105)
- The pitching in this game is quite strong, so we’re getting a low total. Things could always go sideways, but if Gausman and Yoshi pitch deep into this game, the Under stands out.
- Market Movement:
- It’s early, but the odds haven’t shifted since they first dropped after game five. The Dodgers are favored, but with 51% of the money currently being bet on TOR, don’t be shocked if the moneyline gets tighter.
- Prop Opportunities:
- Yamamoto Over 18.5 Innings (-105) – Dodgers will give him a long leash again out of necessity.
- Ohtani Over 0.5 Hits (-225) – Big time game where he has to do something.
- Public vs. Sharp Split:
- Public money is understandably banking on the Dodgers to not just keep this series going, but still find a way to win it. The sharp money is on the Jays to end it in game six.
The Dodgers are favored to win game six, and while I can’t knock the logic due to how everyone viewed them going into this series, things change. Good sports bettors acknowledge that and adapt before it’s too late.
While the Dodgers are still stacked enough to overcome this 3-2 series hole, the writing could be on the wall for how we should bet on this game (and the series).
Our Best Bets
Game six in the 2025 World Series has a slew of fun bets, but I’ll point you to the ones that stand out the most, and also offer a confidence score for each pick:
1. Blue Jays ML (+120) – Confidence 8/10
Toronto is going to end this thing on Friday night. The Dodgers may be the team with more money and bigger names, but they have not been the better team throughout this series.
Demanding Yamamoto to save them for a second game is a lot, and a patient and advantageous Jays offense will find just enough in this matchup to get some early runs.
Toronto is the underdog at home with nothing to lose with the WS at their fingertips. I love the value with them at +120.
2. Shohei Ohtani Over 0.5 Hits (-225) – Confidence 8/10
While I fully expect the Jays to get the job done in six games, I think LA can still show up to some degree. It’s pretty wild that we can get Ohtani to get a single hit at -225, but that’s a testament to the job the Jays have done on him.
Ohtani is not going to go down without swinging, though. You can take it one step further and bet on Ohtani getting a homer, but this feels like a nice, safe World Series prop to target.
3. Over 7.5 (-110) – Confidence 7/10
This is another one some might not agree with. The pitching is good enough to live up to the low total, but what are we doing here? We’re really expecting a third straight gem out of the definitely exhausted Yamamoto?
We’re also banking on Kevin Gausman keeping a desperate Dodgers team completely silenced in an elimination game? I tend to doubt that, too.
We need just eight runs to get the win here. I see the Dodgers getting to Gausman early and Toronto rallying late to get us (and themselves) there in the bottom of the 9th.
Can the Dodgers Force a Game 7?
Final Score Prediction: Dodgers 4 – Blue Jays 2
Nope! Actually, they totally can, I just don’t think they will. It would be especially cruel of the baseball gods to allow Jays fans to head home and get their hopes up, only to let the Dodgers storm back and win this thing. And putting everyone through a game 7 just feels like torture.
The reality is the Jays have been the best team in baseball for a good while now, and they’ve definitely been better than LA. They’ll show that again in game six, although it may require some mild theatrics late in the game to make it happen.
I like a mini-shootout to the point where we get 8+ runs, I think Ohtani shows up to a certain degree, and I think Toronto ultimately has the last laugh.
