Oakland Athletics vs. New York Yankees Prediction & Betting Picks (June 27, 2025)
The Oakland A’s are a younger team compared to the Yankees; they’re practically babies! Ok, that’s a reach. But they are one of the 5 youngest clubs in the MLB.
Does it matter? Yes, when we’re comparing them to the Yankees. Which is why we mentioned it!
The Oakland Athletics (25–49) are on their way to Yankee Stadium to open a three-game set against the New York Yankees (53–20). Oakland has won back-to-back games and is attempting to build on that run, and New York comes in with the top record in MLB and keeps racking up wins.
Will Warren (4-4, 4.66 ERA) takes the hill for the Yankees, and Mitch Spence (2-2, 3.85 ERA) is throwing for the A’s.
The A’s are the underdogs, and the Yanks are the heavy favs in this cross-country matchup. What do you need to know? The betting odds, pitching stats, team form, recent trends, and what our best bets are, which you can find below!
Game Details
- Matchup: Oakland Athletics (33-50) vs. New York Yankees (46-34)
- Date & Time: Friday, June 27, at 7:05 pm ET (4:05 pm PT)
- Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- How To Watch: TV – NBCSCA, YES; Radio – local affiliates
Prediction Breakdown
38.2%
61.8%
According to GamblingSite.com
Betting Odds & Analytics
Latest odds courtesy of ESPN BET:
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total Runs |
|---|---|---|---|
Yankees | -1.5 (-105) | -215 | Over 8.5 (-105) |
A’s | +1.5 (-115) | +180 | Under 8.5 (-115) |
- GamblingSite.com’s win probability: Yankees ~61.8%, A’s ~38.2%
Pitching Matchup
Both starting pitchers are righties; you can check out their individual stats below!
- Yankees: Will Warren (RHP, 4–4, 4.66 ERA, 75.1 IP)
- Athletics: Mitch Spence (RHP, 2–2, 3.84 ERA, 58.2 IP)
Mitch Spence has been the more dependable arm; in his last six outings, he’s held opponents to three runs or fewer in all but one and continues to get outs without needing to rely on strikeouts. His 3.84 ERA across 58.2 innings shows his command and good placement.
Will Warren comes in with a 4.66 ERA in 75.1 innings and has had a harder time putting together clean frames. He’s exhibited swing-and-miss potential with his slider, but issues with location have caused longer innings and more baserunners. Right now? Spence has the advantage in control and overall execution between the two starters.
A’s Storyline: Young Talent on a Mission
Oakland’s youth movement is front and center. Jacob Wilson’s contact-first approach has given the lineup a jumpstart, Tyler Soderstrom is showing he has real power with 26 home runs, and Lawrence Butler’s athleticism has shown up in the field and at the plate.
Brent Rooker continues to be one of their most reliable hitters, and that gives the team a veteran edge without slowing down the pace. The Yankees manager, Aaron Boone, credited the A’s position player core this week, saying that they “look like they belong” and are “not far off from putting something together.”
Oakland went into the off-day on a five-game skid, and problems are mounting on both sides; missed spots on the mound and missed opportunities at the plate. Even when they’ve managed to put runners on, they haven’t cashed in. The lineup has a lot of talent, but the group hasn’t pulled it together across nine innings. They’ll need better execution in this series if they want to put a stop to the slide.
Yankees Spotlight
Aaron Judge is hitting .361 with 28 home runs and 63 RBIs and was just named an AL All-Star starter again. He’s been the anchor in a Yankees lineup that ranks second in the league with 120 homers.
They just salvaged a three-game set in Cincinnati; missed chances cost them a sweep. Back in the Bronx, the focus is on avoiding those same lapses against a beatable A’s team.
Main Matchups & Storylines
Oakland’s lineup will get a look at Will Warren, who’s averaging nearly 1.5 baserunners per inning and has allowed 10 hits in his last two starts combined. If Wilson and Soderstrom can reach in the first few innings? It sets up Rooker with nice chances to drive in runs.
The Yankees’ offense will test Mitch Spence with their usual mix of high fastballs and pull-side power. He’s held right-handed hitters to a .216 average this month, but hasn’t faced a lineup with this kind of top-to-bottom impact hitters since early June against Baltimore.
The A’s bullpen enters with a 5.45 ERA, ranking them close to last in the league, and has given up 11 runs in their last 13 innings of work. If Spence doesn’t get through six, that group could face a bumpy stretch against the heart of New York’s order.
- Weather Forecast: The forecast calls for 70°F at first pitch; it’s perfect baseball weather!
Our Best Bets
For this one, we have some wagers that look promising! Here are our three picks for the best bets.
| Bet | Rationale | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
Over 8.5 runs | Warren gives up steady contact, and Spence hasn’t worked against a lineup this deep in weeks. The Yankees have a lot of power, and Oakland’s younger bats have chipped in recently. Multiple sports analysts like the over. | High (8/10) |
A’s +1.5 (run line) | Spence has been steady through his last few starts, and if he can get through five? The bullpen has a shot to hold the margin. This is a good number at +1.5. | Medium (6/10) |
Judge anytime HR | He’s hitting .361 with 28 homers already and facing a righty-heavy staff. This is a strong setup. | Medium-High (7/10) |
Final Verdict: Our Top Picks & Score Prediction
The Yankees have the more complete roster, period. Judge is producing at the top of the lineup, and New York continues to convert early baserunners into runs. Their bullpen has handled high-leverage spots better than Oakland’s, and that’s an obvious advantage in this matchup.
Oakland’s young core, Wilson, Soderstrom, and Butler, has delivered in spurts, but they haven’t been able to maintain pressure throughout games. Missed opportunities with runners in scoring position and long stretches without traffic have made it really hard to stay in close contests.
Warren and Spence are both contact-heavy throwers, and neither has pitched late into games this month. Once this goes to the bullpens? New York has the upper hand.
Our Best Bets Recap
- Over 8.5 total runs (High Confidence)
- Aaron Judge to hit a home run
- A’s +1.5 as a value hedge
Final Score Prediction: Yankees 6, Athletics 4
All set to lock in your wagers? You can check out our recs for the best sports betting sites! That way, you’ll be able to locate the best odds, bonuses, and the safest platforms to play on.
