Amanda Anisimova vs Iga Swiatek Betting Picks & Prediction (July 12, 2025)
The “final girls” at Wimbledon played two really different semifinal matches to earn their tickets to a shot at the Grand Slam title.
Poland’s 24-year-old Iga Świątek beat Belinda Bencic in straight sets (6-2, 6-0), and it only took an hour and 12 minutes.
23-year-old Amanda Anisimova (USA) faced off against the No.1 in the world, Aryna Sabalenka, in a grueling, and, at times, unpredictable three-setter, ultimately winning 6–4, 4–6, 6–4. It’s her first time getting to a final, and it comes 18 months after she came back from a break to focus on her mental health.
Now, Amanda Anisimova will take on Iga Świątek on Centre Court in a Wimbledon final that guarantees a first-time champion; neither has won on the grass before. And it’s their first time playing one another in a singles match.
No matter who ends up lifting the Venus Rosewater Dish, it will be must-watch tennis! Will Świątek nab her sixth Grand Slam? Or will Anisimova pull off another upset and get her debut title? And be the first American to win since Serena?
Keep reading to see a breakdown of the final; we’ve got player profiles, stats, current betting odds, and our four picks for the best bets!
Match Details
- Matchup: Amanda Anisimova vs Iga Świątek
- Date: Saturday, July 12
- Time: 4 p.m. local time in London, 11 a.m. ET for U.S. viewers
- Venue: Centre Court, All England Club (Wimbledon, London)
- Stakes: Both Anisimova and Świątek are playing for their first-ever Wimbledon title
- How to Watch: ESPN, live-stream on ESPN+, Tennis Channel
Player Profiles & Form
Look below for a closer look at how Świątek and Anisimova have been playing so far!
Iga Świątek
Świątek already has five Grand Slam titles, but she’s never made it past the quarters at Wimbledon until now. Her baseline patterns are much better tailored to grass this year; she’s been using less topspin, hitting directly, and has closer angles off the forehand side.
She beat Belinda Bencic in 72 minutes with an almost-flawless performance: 19 winners, 6 unforced errors, and 79% of first-serve points won. Her return game has been on point; she’s broken serve in 21 of 44 return games this tournament.
Świątek has really improved her movement on the slicker grass surface. She’s taking the ball earlier and cutting off points before they can drag out. She’s still strongest in neutral rallies, but now she’s finishing at the net; 12 for 16 in her last two matches.
Amanda Anisimova
Anisimova has the most grass wins on tour this year (17) and beat Sabalenka with a combo of precise serving, backhand depth, and clean hitting off second balls. She’s hitting a flatter ball than most players in the draw, and that gives her an advantage on the low-bouncing courts.
Her backhand is far and away the best part of her game; she hit 11 backhand winners against Sabalenka, and several were down-the-line shots off deep returns. She also saved 7 of 9 break points with first serves above 105 mph and had better overall placement.
Mentally, she’s in a better place since returning from her hiatus. She hasn’t overhit on important points and hasn’t needed long recovery games after getting broken. This version of Anisimova isn’t playing defense; she keeps the court short and forces opponents into early decisions.
Tactical Match-Up
Świątek and Anisimova’s strengths don’t really overlap, so this will be an interesting game to watch style-wise! Here’s how their games match up:
| Category | Iga Świątek | Amanda Anisimova |
|---|---|---|
Serve & Return | High first-serve percentage with strong placement; wins most return games by dragging rallies past 4+ shots | Bigger first serve; targets the body and wide angles early in the point; attacks second serves off the rise |
Baseline Game | Builds points with forehand topspin, pushes opponents wide, and steps in on short balls | Backhand-heavy offense; takes early position on the baseline and hits flat through both sides |
Shot Selection | Likes longer rallies, changes direction with margin, resets behind the baseline when under pressure | Commits early; takes time away with pace and low trajectory; doesn’t extend exchanges |
Movement | Strong balance, covers behind her shots well, closes with short steps on grass | Less range, but anticipates early and positions aggressively inside the baseline |
Mental Focus | Doesn’t overhit, keeps structure under pressure, handles momentum shifts really well | Plays high-risk points on her terms; can recover quickly after giving up leads |
Main Factors to Watch
- First-Set Control: Anisimova has won 28 straight matches when she takes the opening set. Her game holds up when she’s playing from in front.
- Świątek on Grass: She’s erased most of the early-season concerns everyone had about her grass form. Since the third round? She hasn’t dropped a set and has broken serve in nearly half her return games.
- Final Experience: Świątek has played six Grand Slam finals and won five of them. Anisimova is making her debut. If the score stays close in the second set or early in the third, Świątek’s experience will give her an advantage.
Betting Odds & Market Context
Wanna put a wager or two on these women? Here are the latest betting odds and lines via FanDuel:
| Player | Moneyline | Spread | Total | 1st Set ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Anisimova | +220 | +3.5 (+102) | O 21.5 (-118) | +166 |
Swiatek | -275 | -3.5 (-134) | U 21.5 (-112) | -205 |
Our Best Bets
There are four angles we think are the best bets for the women’s Wimbledon final!
1. Iga Świątek to Win (Moneyline)
- Odds: Around –240 to –250
- Our Confidence Level: High (70–75%)
Why Do We Like It?
Świątek is on a 12-match win streak and hasn’t lost a set since Round 1. She’s flattened out her forehand, put more speed on her second serve, and is finishing points faster on grass than she has in the past. This is her sixth Slam final, so she knows how to cope. Anisimova is playing her first, and while her form is strong, the disparity in experience could pressure her service games.
2. Świątek –3.5 Games (Spread)
- Odds: ~–110
- Our Confidence Level: Medium-High (65%)
Why Do We Like It?
If Świątek wins in two sets, like she did in her last four matches, she covers this number. On grass this season, her average margin of victory is 5.7 games. Even when opponents keep a set close, she’s been known to run through the next. She’s also 8–2 against the spread in major finals.
3. Anisimova to Win at Least One Set (+1.5 Sets)
- Odds: Around –120 to –130
- Our Confidence Level: Medium (55–60%)
Why Do We Like It?
Anisimova has taken the first set in 9 of her last 10 matches and starts fast. Her flat groundstrokes are a threat to Świątek if she needs time to adapt. And although Świątek’s overall form has been amazing, she’s gotten some early resistance in a few grass matches this year. This bet allows for a 2–1 Swiatek win, and that feels like a real possibility.
4. Over 21.5 Total Games
- Odds: Around –115
- Our Confidence Level: Medium (60%)
Why Do We Like It?
Anisimova’s last five grass matches have averaged 22.8 games. She’s held serve really well, and Świątek’s return game, while it’s good, hasn’t broken early in every single match. This could be a 7–5, 6–4, or 6–3, 3–6, 6–2 type scoreline, both of which land over. Even a close two-setter with a tiebreak puts this one in range.
Wimbledon 2025 Women’s Final Prediction
Anisimova and Świątek are totally different tennis players. One plays fast and flat. The other changes shot height, shifts depth, and disrupts timing. If Anisimova can land her first serves and keep points short, she can stay in control for stretches. But Świątek doesn’t push. She adapts, holds space, and then attacks her opponents’ rushed decisions.
Świątek doesn’t need to take over rallies; all she has to do is extend them. She’s precise, patient, and better at landing the ball where it hurts. Anisimova can strike first, that’s obvious. But Świątek is the better closer.
Final Match Prediction: Iga Świątek in 2 sets (7–5, 6–3)
Best Bets Recap
- Świątek ML (High Confidence)
- Świątek –3.5 Games (Medium-High Confidence)
- Anisimova +1.5 Sets (Medium Confidence)
- Over 21.5 Games (Medium Confidence)
Look, we’re rooting for Anisimova because we love a good comeback story with an underdog. But we just don’t think it’s realistic against Świątek. Iga has been here before, and Amanda hasn’t. It’s as simple as that, unfortunately.
As always, remember to bet responsibly and within your means.
