Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky Prediction & Betting Picks (August 25, 2025)
The Chicago Sky (9–27) is hosting the Las Vegas Aces (24–14) at Wintrust Arena for a late-season WNBA matchup on Monday, Aug. 25.
Chicago just lost 94–84 to the Connecticut Sun; Kamilla Cardoso was out in front with 18 points, but the Sky’s 17 turnovers proved to be too much to overcome in the end. That defeat dropped them to 12th in the standings, and that means the team’s postseason hopes are long gone.
Las Vegas is a whole different story, and they are on a 10-game win streak! The Aces beat the Washington Mystics 91–81 behind another insane performance from A’ja Wilson, who pushed them to third place in the league standings.
Can Las Vegas grab an 11th consecutive victory and keep climbing toward the No. 2 seed, or could Chicago trip them up on home floor?
We’ve got all the info you need, so keep scrolling for the betting angles and latest odds, team performance and trends, and our picks for the five best bets!
Game Details & Match Info
- Matchup: Las Vegas Aces (24–14) vs. Chicago Sky (9–27)
- Date & Time: Monday, August 25 at 8:00 pm ET
- Venue: Wintrust Arena in Chicago, IL
- How to Watch: Streaming on WNBA League Pass, and airing on local sports networks
- Public Interest: Fan activity has pushed the spread slightly toward Las Vegas, which is something you should watch before tip-off
Context & Stakes
- Las Vegas is already in the playoffs and is on a 10-game win streak, and that puts pressure on the teams that are ahead of them in the standings.
- Chicago, at 9–27, has been out of the race for weeks and is using these games to get more minutes for younger players and test rotations for the future.
- Recent History: The Aces took both earlier meetings this season, each by double figures.
Team Trends & Performance Breakdown
As we said, Las Vegas is on a double-digit win streak and looks like a real contender for the playoffs. And Chicago has lost most of its recent games and is using its younger players. Look below for team trends and a performance breakdown of the Aces and the Sky!
Las Vegas Aces
- Last 10 Games: 10–0 | Average Margin of Victory: +13.1
- Offense: 82.8 PPG (3rd in WNBA)
- Defense: 76.7 PAPG (2nd best)
- Shooting: FG% 43.0 | 3PT% 35.9
Main Players
- A’ja Wilson: 23.2 PPG, 11.1 RPG, 2.6 BPG
- Kelsey Plum: 18.9 PPG, 4.2 APG
- Chelsea Gray: She’s back on the court from her injury, and she’s holding down the offense
Chicago Sky
- Last 10 Games: 2–8; they’ve lost 5 of the last 6 games at home
- Offense: 76.0 PPG (11th in WNBA)
- Defense: 84.6 PAPG (the worst in the WNBA)
- Turnovers: League-high 15.4 per game
Main Players
- Angel Reese: 12.6 RPG (the WNBA leader), 14.7 PPG
- Marina Mabrey: 13.4 PPG; she’s the team’s top 3PT shooter
- Courtney Williams: A solid vet PG, 11.5 PPG
Betting Odds & Market Movement
The market has been all over the place for this matchup, but don’t worry! Things have stabilized as the game gets closer. Here are the current betting odds and how the market has moved according to ESPN BET:
| Market | Las Vegas Aces | Chicago Sky | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
Spread | -11.5 (EVEN) | +11.5 (-120) | The Aces are favored by double digits |
Moneyline | -700 | +450 | These numbers are around the same across all major sportsbooks |
Total | Over 164.5 (-115) | Under 164.5 (-105) | Inclining to the under |
Notes
- Oddsmakers opened this at –9.5, but the Aces were hit with heavy early action, and the line was bumped up to –11.5.
- The total was holding steady at 162.5, with most bettors leaning Over, but now it has been bumped to 164.5, and there is a slight inclination to the under.
- The moneyline is a little too heavy to touch on its own, but it could work if you’re building parlays or looking at alternate spreads!
Matchup Angles, Trends & Player Prop Insights
Las Vegas has been covering numbers, Chicago keeps slipping against the spread, and the player props all match up with those trends!
Recent Trends
- Las Vegas has covered in 8 of its last 10.
- Chicago has lost 7 of its last 10 against the number, and their rare covers only happened when the line was big.
- The last two meetings between these teams both finished Over the total.
Players to Watch
- A’ja Wilson: She’s topped 30 points in three of her last five games, and Chicago’s frontcourt doesn’t have a plan or execution for her inside.
- Angel Reese: She’s gotten 13 or more rebounds in four straight games. With injuries around her, the Sky is leaning on her hard every night.
- Kelsey Plum Props: If her scoring line opens below 20? The Over definitely deserves a look, as Chicago has a really hard time with guards who get downhill.
- Turnovers Impact: The Sky give the ball away more than any team in the WNBA, and the Aces are among the best squads at turning those mistakes into points.
Our Best Bets
We have got five really good angles for this game! Here are the best bets according to the data and our own research:
| Bet | Confidence Level | Why Do We Like It? |
|---|---|---|
Over 164.5 | ★★★★☆ | Recent meetings between these two teams have cleared the number. Vegas plays fast, and Chicago’s defense gives up a ton of clean looks. |
Aces –11.5 | ★★★★☆ | Las Vegas is on a 10-game win streak, and Chicago just doesn’t have the defenders to check Wilson or Plum. |
A’ja Wilson Over 23.5 Points | ★★★★☆ | Chicago’s interior has been super vulnerable, and Wilson has scored 30+ in three of her last five. |
Angel Reese Over 11.5 Rebounds | ★★★☆☆ | Reese keeps pulling down boards regardless of the scoreline and has hit 12+ in four straight. |
Aces Team Total Over (TBD) | ★★★☆☆ | Likely to be set near 85.5, and Vegas has been hitting 90+ consistently in this stretch. |
Stay sharp when betting on this matchup — odds can move quickly as game time approaches, so keeping an eye on the latest lines is key. Always remember to wager responsibly and stick to strategies that fit your budget.
Aces vs. Sky: Where to Put Your Money
We are obviously backing Las Vegas; it’s far and away the stronger team and has been winning by big margins. Chicago’s turnover issues make them really vulnerable against an Aces team that ranks among the top at converting mistakes into points.
Angel Reese will still control the glass, but it’s really hard to see the Sky matching Vegas across four quarters. The total at 162.5 is a solid option with the pace these two play at, and the props set up nicely for A’ja Wilson to put up another strong scoring line and for Reese to rack up those rebounds!
Best Bets Recap
- Over 164.5 Total Points: ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Aces –11.5 Spread: ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- A’ja Wilson Over 23.5 Points: ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Angel Reese Over 11.5 Rebounds: ⭐⭐⭐
- Aces Team Total Over (TBD): ⭐⭐⭐
Final Score Prediction: Las Vegas Aces 89, Chicago Sky 74
The Aces will cover the spread, and the total will go Over. And A’ja Wilson and Angel Reese will each put up some big numbers on the stat sheet!
