Edmonton Oilers vs. Washington Capitals Prediction (November 19, 2025)
It’s a battle of mid between two teams that should be anything but on Wednesday, as the Edmonton Oilers (-104 underdogs) take on the Washington Capitals.
Neither of these teams are where they want to be at the moment. The Oilers have gone from back-to-back Stanley Cup participants to 9-8-4 and a 5th place spot in the Pacific Division. It hasn’t been any better for Washington, who won 51 games and won the Metropolitan Division a season ago, but presently register at 9-8-2 at the bottom of their division.
Something has to break on Wednesday, and either side could use a big win to vault themselves back up the NHL standings. These two sides couldn’t be more different in the early going, either, setting up a matchup that could be tough to gauge.
Need help finding the right Edmonton vs. Washington pick? Join me as I walk you through the latest odds and key matchups en route to my Oilers vs. Capitals prediction.
Game Info
- Matchup: Edmonton Oilers (9-8-4) @ Washington Capitals (9-8-2)
- Date & Time: Wednesday, November 19th, 2025 at 7 pm ET
- Venue: Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C.
- How to Watch: TNT
Betting Odds
Take a look at the latest Oilers vs. Capitals odds for Tuesday night, courtesy of FanDuel:
| Team | Puck Line | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Oilers | +1.5 (-260) | -102 | Over 5.5 (-134) |
Capitals | -1.5 (+205) | -118 | Under 5.5 (+110) |
Recent Form & Context
To get a better idea as to what to expect out of this matchup, let’s quickly break down how these teams have fared to this point.
Edmonton Oilers
- Edmonton ranks third in power play percentage (30.8%) so far in 2025.
- The Oilers are among the most aggressive offenses, ranking 3rd in shots (597).
- Edmonton struggles defensively, giving up the 2nd most goals (73) this year.
Injuries
- RW Kasperi Kapanen has been on injured reserve since November 10th
- C Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won’t be on hand for Wednesday’s game.
Washington Capitals
- Washington has one of the stringer defense, ranking 3rd in goals allowed per game (2.47)
- The Capitals rank 4th in save percentage (.913) with Logan Thompson (7-5-1) leading the charge on defense.
- Washington is one of the worst power play percentage teams (30th) in the league.
Injuries
- LW Pierre-Luc Dubois had abductor surgery and will miss the next 3-4 months.
Matchup Breakdown
This is your classic offense versus defensive battle. Washington is not very effective in power play situations and rely heavily on Logan Thompson and the rest of their defense.
That approach hasn’t always worked out overall in terms of wins and losses, but the Capitals are a stingy defense overall – one of the best in the NHL – and they are above .500 (5-4-1) on their home ice in 2025.
Edmonton still has championship aspirations and is a team with unfinished business. You can see that when looking at their offensive output, as superstar Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl have combined for 22 goals and head a potent power play attack.
The Oilers are a dangerous offense who can match wits with anyone, but leave a lot to be desired on the defensive side of the ice.
Playing Styles & Trends
- Oilers: The Oilers have a dynamic offense that is fairly top-heavy with McDavid and Draisaitl relied on for production, with the team also benefiting immensely from stellar power play production.
- Capitals: Washington has a less effective offense overall, which has them rely more on balance and puck control.
- Special Teams: There is a wide gap between these teams as far as how they play in the penalty department. Edmonton is among the best in hockey, while the Capitals have performed among the worst.
- Defense: Edmonton has struggled on defense, as they presently focus on shot blocking and penalty killing. Overall, they are the far inferior defensive team. Washington has done a fantastic job dictating puck management and emphasizing prevention of high-scoring chances.
Betting Market Notes
- Puck Line (1.5): The puck line has major minus money for Edmonton to keep the game within two, but the Capitals are at +205 to win by two. This suggests respect for the Oilers and a good chance the game is close or Edmonton wins.
- Moneyline (-102/-118): The moneyline is tight, as this game is priced as a virtual pick’em. The close call could favor the home team, but the pricing indicates a lack of confidence in the bookmakers or the public as far as who they think wins this game.
- Total (5.5): This is a high game total, which is mildly surprising given Washington’s stout defense. Their weak power play production and Edmonton’s strong offense make this a difficult bet to gauge.
Props & Alternative Markets
- Anytime Goal Scorer: Connor McDavid (+170) and Leon Draisaitl (+135) are always threats to score, but on the road against a stiff defense, they’re far from locks.
- Will There Be Overtime? These teams have played just six total OT games between them. The gap they have on offense and defense can contribute to that, while the “no” side comes in at -475 for this prop.
Best Bets for Edmonton vs. Washington
Check out my preferred Oilers vs. Capitals bets for tonight:
| Bet | Why We Like It | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
Washington PL -1.5 (+198) | The price is pretty awesome. It’s risky, but Washington is at home, they have a great matchup for their offense, and they have the defense to stifle Edmonton. Five of their last six wins have been by 2+, too. | 7/10 |
Under 5.5 (+110) | The Capitals are at home and have a stingy defense, both of which could impact this game and keep it on the lower scoring side. | 7/10 |
Prop Play – Alex Ovechkin Anytime Scorer (+175) | McDavid is always the more appealing bet, but the ageless Ovechkin has 6 goals on the year and could thrive in a favorable matchup. | 6/10 |
Risk Factors & What Could Go Wrong
The biggest problem here is obviously Edmonton’s superior offense and ability to dominate in the penalty game. If they enforce their will there, the Capitals could fall behind and struggle to a loss.
Edmonton’s power play impact and overall offense could not only contribute to the upset, but it could also push the goals up and hurt our Under bet.
Oilers vs. Capitals Final Prediction
Final Score Prediction: Washington Capitals 4, Edmonton Oilers 2
This is just a serious contrast in playing styles. Edmonton thrives in power play settings and Washington doesn’t. The Capitals prefer more of a defensive battle, while Edmonton is trying to score to compensate for their shaky defense.
These types of situations often favor the home team and the team that can actually effectively play defense. Edmonton has more star power and makes any bet in this game a little risky, but I like Washington to hold serve at home.
If the Capitals end up playing up to their ability, they should exploit this defensive matchup and that should align with Ovechkin adding another goal to his storied career. That may give us a good sweat in regards to the Under, but I think it will just barely get there.
