Flamengo vs Chelsea Prediction (June 20, 2025) – FIFA Club World Cup
Flamengo is up against Chelsea in the Club World Cup semifinal on June 20 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia! Yes, that’s where the Eagles play.
It’s the first time that a South American team has reached this stage at an NFL stadium in the U.S; the Brazilian side hasn’t lost a single one of its 15 matches and opened group play with a solid win.
Chelsea got past LAFC 2–0 without needing a full-strength lineup, which continues their steady run under Enzo Maresca. It’s been over 10 years since a South American club hoisted the FIFA World Cup trophy. Does Flamengo have the best chance they’ve had in years? Or will Chelsea stay unbeaten?
Keep scrolling to see what we think, look at the matchup, betting odds, and our kind of surprising best bets!
Match Overview
- Date & Time: Friday, June 20, at 2 pm ET (7 pm BST)
- Venue: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
- Broadcast Info: DAZN (free global stream), TNT/truTV (US), talkSPORT 2 & DAZN (UK coverage), Channel 5 live stream in the UK
- Tournament Format: Group D opening match in the revamped 32-team FIFA Club World Cup, running from June 15 to July 13
- Group D Teams: Flamengo (Brazil), Chelsea (England), LAFC (USA), Espérance de Tunis (Tunisia)
- Group Context: A win puts either team in a great position to reach the Round of 16; the top two from the group move on
Team Form & Main Players
Flamengo and Chelsea both picked up wins to open group play, but the way they’ve managed their squads and created chances says a lot about what we’ll see next! Below is a snapshot of form and the main players going into the game.
| Team | Form & Strengths | Players in Focus |
|---|---|---|
Flamengo | Unbeaten in 15 of 16; opened 2–0 over Esperance; defense with 7 shutouts in last 8 | Jorginho (veteran presence), De Arrascaeta (scored last match), Filipe Luís (manager, ex-Chelsea) |
Chelsea | Shutout vs LAFC; goals from Neto and Fernández; rotation handled with control | Pedro Neto, Enzo Fernández, Liam Delap (impact sub vs LAFC) |
Tactical Breakdown
- Defensive strength on both sides: Flamengo has allowed only one goal in their last eight matches, and Chelsea beat LAFC without giving up a serious scoring chance. Don’t expect to see a lot of open looks or high shot volume here.
- Midfield matchup could decide it: Jorginho controls the tempo for Flamengo and hardly ever loses possession. Chelsea’s midfield plays faster, presses higher, and looks to force mistakes early in build-up. That contrast could change how the game is played.
- Coaching decisions will matter: Filipe Luís knows Chelsea’s tendencies from his time there, and his side doesn’t stray far from its system. Maresca rotated in the last match but kept the pace and spacing consistent. Any changes here? They’ll be calculated ones.
Betting Odds Overview (Updated June 20)
We know this is what you came for! Look below for the latest betting odds and lines according to ESPN BET:
Moneyline (3-way)
- Chelsea: +115
- Draw: +220
- Flamengo: +250
Spread
- Chelsea –0.5 (+105)
- Flamengo +0.5 (–150)
Over/Under
- Over 2.5 (+130)
- Under 2.5 (-175)
Our Best Bets
This semifinal looks like it’ll have a measured pace, and there’ll be limited scoring chances in the first 45 minutes. And that’s why we think the following are the three best bets!
Both Teams to Score – Yes | Confidence: Medium
Flamengo has scored in 14 of their last 15 matches across all competitions. Chelsea has kept a few clean sheets but conceded against quick, technical sides. A 1–1 draw or narrow win with goals at both ends is definitely on the menu.
Under 2.5 Goals | Confidence: High
In Chelsea’s last five competitive matches, only one has finished with three or more goals. Flamengo’s last six have all stayed under that total. Don’t expect much action before the hour mark; this could stay level or low-scoring well into the second half.
Flamengo Double Chance (Win or Draw) | Confidence: Medium
Flamengo is unbeaten in 15 of 16 games and has been really consistent in midfield control and shot suppression. If Chelsea hasn’t scored by the 70th minute? This match could begin to lean in Flamengo’s favor. A draw or late counter is a good possibility.
Post-Match Angle to Watch
What happens after the final whistle blows could be almost as important as the result itself! Here’s what to watch out for post-match:
- Flamengo has a chance to end Europe’s 33-match unbeaten run: The last time a South American club beat a European side in this tournament was in 2012. If Flamengo wins, it will end over a decade of European control.
- Filipe Luís facing Chelsea on U.S. soil: It’s Chelsea, it’s a semifinal, and it’s in the U.S. in a football stadium (weird). His lineup choices and tactical decisions will draw attention no matter how the game shakes out.
- Round of 16 implications: First place in the group comes with a little wiggle room. Second could mean a rematch with LAFC or a tougher draw, depending on the results in other matches. The outcome here? It decides how manageable the next round looks.
Chelsea vs. Flamengo: Who Gets One Game Closer to Glory?
Flamengo is unbeaten in 16 and standing in the way of another European run through this tournament. Chelsea took care of LAFC without much resistance, but this matchup brings a higher level of pressure and fewer openings to exploit.
Finishing first means facing a weaker opponent and getting an extra day to recover. Second place could lead to a cross-continent matchup on short rest.
It’ll probably be a measured first half and limited chances until the final 30 minutes. Take the under! If you’re looking at props, check out Jorginho’s distribution totals or Enzo Fernández’s involvement around the edge of the box. And don’t wait on the lines; once the starting XIs drop, the numbers will change fast.
This match determines more than placement. It also impacts rest, opponent quality, and how much bumpier the road will get going forward.
Our Final Score Prediction: Flamengo 1 – 1 Chelsea
This looks like it’ll be a midfield-heavy match with limited space in the final third. Both teams are capable of scoring, but with the bracket still in play? Neither side will push too far forward. A 1–1 result sets up a nail-biter finish in Group D; knockout spots will still be up in the air going into the final round.
