Los Angeles Sparks vs. Dallas Wings Betting Prediction (June 6, 2025)
The Sparks and Wings go into Friday night’s game with similar problems: three straight losses and a season that’s getting away from them.
Los Angeles is 2–6 and coming off another late-game collapse. Dallas is 1–7 and still hasn’t figured out how to finish games with any resemblance of structure. The Sparks rely on perimeter shooting. The Wings play fast, get to the rim, and rebound well, but they haven’t defended for a full four quarters.
The main variable is Paige Bueckers. She remains questionable with a concussion. If she’s cleared? The Wings gain a decision-maker, and their half-court offense will look totally different.
Game Details
- Matchup: Los Angeles Sparks (2-6) vs. Dallas Wings (1-7)
- Date & Time: Friday, June 6, at 9:30 pm ET
- Location: College Park Center, Arlington, TX
- Broadcast: ION
- Betting Odds (via ESPN BET): Dallas Wings favored by 1.5 points; Over/Under set at 164.5 points
Team Overviews
The Sparks rely on guard scoring and outside shooting, but are short in the frontcourt. Dallas rebounds well and scores in the paint, but without Bueckers? Their half-court offense is stagnant in late possessions.
Los Angeles Sparks (Record: 2–6)
Key Players
- Kelsey Plum: 22.9 PPG, 4.8 APG
- Azurá Stevens: 9.3 RPG
- Dearica Hamby: 8.0 RPG
Recent Performance
- Lost 85–80 to Phoenix on June 1
- Scored 80+ for the fourth time this season
- Gave up a 25–14 fourth quarter
- Struggled defending pick-and-roll action down the stretch
- Hit 9 threes but allowed 12 offensive rebounds
Dallas Wings (Record: 1–7)
Key Players
- Arike Ogunbowale: 16.1 PPG
- Myisha Hines-Allen: 6.4 RPG
- Paige Bueckers: 14.7 PPG, 6.7 APG (questionable)
Recent Performance
- Lost 83–77 to Seattle on June 3
- Ogunbowale scored 21 but shot 6-for-19
- Bueckers missed the game due to concussion protocol
- Gave up 15 offensive boards and shot only 31% from three
- Turned the ball over 17 times
Statistical Comparison
The numbers show two teams that can score, but neither one is defending well. The Wings rebound slightly better and shoot more efficiently from the field, and the Sparks rely more on perimeter shooting to stay in games. Look below for the stats:
| Category | Sparks | Wings |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 81.5 | 85.0 |
Points Allowed | 84.3 | 88.4 |
Field Goal % | 42.6% | 43.7% |
Free Throw % | 76.3% | 78.5% |
3-Pointers Made | 8.9 | 6.9 |
Rebounds Per Game | 32.5 | 35.9 |
Injury Report
There are injuries that affect rotation length and matchups on both teams. The Sparks are short in the frontcourt. The Wings may be without their primary ball-handler.
Sparks
- Cameron Brink (F): Out until June 17 – interior defense suffers without her
- Rickea Jackson (F): Game-time decision – averaging 9.2 PPG off the bench
- Rae Burrell (G): Out until June 29
Wings
- Paige Bueckers (G): Questionable – missed last game with a concussion
- Tyasha Harris (G): Out – rotation guard and second-unit distributor
Betting Trends
Did somebody say slumps? The Sparks have failed to cover spreads in most of their games. Dallas, despite having a poor record, has at least been more reliable for bettors.
Sparks
- 1–5 ATS over their last six
- Opponents are averaging 11 offensive rebounds per game
- Shooting under 30% from three in the second halves this season
Wings
- 4–2 ATS across their last six
- Have hit the team total over in five games this season
- Top five in pace but bottom three in points allowed per 100 possessions
Best Bets
No need to overthink this one. Dallas plays faster, scores more consistently, and is less likely to stall out if Bueckers is cleared. The Sparks may be able to score, but they give up runs way too easily and have had a hard time protecting leads. Here are the two best bets we think have value:
- Pick: Dallas Wings -1.5 | They rebound better, move the ball faster, and have more spacing when Bueckers is in. Even without her, their tempo and interior scoring should be enough against a shorthanded L.A. squad.
- Over 164.5 Total Points | Both teams allow more than 84 points per game. Even on poor shooting nights, their pace and the number of free throws each team draws could drive the total past 164. If it stays within 5–7 points in the fourth, expect longer possessions and fouls that push this higher.
Final Thoughts & Prediction
The Sparks get most of their offense through Plum, but don’t have enough reliable post presence with Brink still being sidelined. Dallas generates points in the paint and draws fouls regularly, but without Bueckers? Ogunbowale has had to force too many looks when the defense closes ranks. If Jackson is cleared, L.A. has another scoring threat, but they’ve broken down defensively in fourth quarters throughout the season.
Final Score Prediction: Dallas Wings 85 | Los Angeles Sparks 84
Dallas finds better looks in the final five minutes. The total clears in the fourth.
– Dallas Wings -1.5
– Over 164.5 total points
If Bueckers plays, Dallas gets much better spacing and more control in the half-court. Without her, possessions fizzle out, and Ogunbowale is forced into tougher shots.
Moderate. Dallas has the stronger interior scoring and draws more fouls, but injuries on both rosters make the spread and total vulnerable to game-day lineup changes.
Don’t forget to always bet responsibly and never gamble with money you can’t afford to lose.
