Who Will Die in Avengers: Doomsday? The Characters Most Likely to Fall
Marvel has spent nearly two decades teaching audiences that death is negotiable (ask Loki, who has been killed on screen three times and still got...
Prediction Markets
2027 NFL Draft No. 1 Pick Odds: Arch Manning Leads Kalshi
Arch Manning is the favorite to be the No. 1 pick in the 2027 NFL Draft, and on Kalshi he trades around 29 to 30...
Who Will Be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Predictions & Top Candidates
Zohran Mamdani is the favorite to be named TIME Person of the Year [year], trading at 37 cents on Kalshi and 37% on Polymarket as...
Will AOC Run for President in 2028? What Prediction Markets Say
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is now the single most likely 2028 Democratic presidential nominee according to the two largest event-contract venues in the United States, and she...
The Lakers Agreed to a Record $12.5 Billion Sale. Their Title Odds Didn’t Move
At 10:35 a.m. Eastern on August 12, 2026, the most expensive transaction in the history of American sports hit the wire: Josh Kushner and Bob...
Why Betting Markets Sometimes Move Before the News Breaks
You refresh the app and the number is wrong. The total you looked at over breakfast has dropped a point and a half, nothing has...
The Spotify Stream-Bot Betting Scandal: Can Markets Incentivize Real-World Manipulation?
On the last Monday of June, a Malcolm Todd single that had spent weeks parked at No. 4 on Spotify's US chart jumped nearly 70%...
Tony Awards Betting Guide: How Broadway Awards Markets Work
Tony Awards betting works almost nothing like betting an NFL Sunday, and the first thing to know is that you can't do it at a...
Why Gen Z Treats Betting Like Trading
Gen Z treats betting like trading because, to them, it basically is trading — a phone-native, research-flavored, position-by-position way to put money on an outcome,...
Will the U.S. Confirm Alien Life Before 2027? The Prediction Market Explained
Polymarket traders are pricing the odds that the U.S. government confirms alien life by December 31, 2026 at roughly 17.5% — the lowest the contract...